Trends of alcohol-attributable deaths in Lithuania 2001-2021: epidemiology and policy conclusions.

BACKGROUND: Lithuania, a Baltic country in the European Union, can be characterized by high alcohol consumption and attributable burden. The aim of this contribution is to estimate the mortality burden due to alcohol use for the past two decades based on different relative risk functions, identify trends, and analyse the associations of alcohol-attributable burden with alcohol control policies and life expectancy. METHODS: The standard methodology used by the World Health Organization for estimating alcohol-attributable mortality was employed to generate mortality rates for alcohol-attributable mortality, standardized for Lithuania's 2021 population distribution. Joinpoint analysis, T-tests, correlations, and regression analyses including meta-regressions were used to describe trends and associations. RESULTS: Age-standardized alcohol-attributable mortality was high in Lithuania during the two decades between 2001 and 2021, irrespective of which relative risks were used for the estimates. Overall, there was a downward trend, mainly in males, which was associated with four years of intensive implementation of alcohol control policies in 2008, 2009, 2017, and 2018. For the remaining years, the rates of alcohol-attributable mortality were stagnant. Among males, the correlations between alcohol-attributable mortality and life expectancy were 0.90 and 0.76 for Russian and global relative risks respectively, and regression analyses indicated a significant association between changes in alcohol-attributable mortality and life expectancy, after controlling for gross domestic product. CONCLUSIONS: Male mortality and life expectancy in Lithuania were closely linked to alcohol-attributable mortality and markedly associated with strong alcohol control policies. Further implementation of such policies is predicted to lead to further improvements in life expectancy.

[Research progress and countermeasures of cancer risk in police officers].

The people's police of public security organs shoulder the important mission of maintaining social security and stability, and ensuring the well-being of people. However, the working environment exposed to a variety of adverse factors has significantly increased the risk of cancer and cancer mortality of public security police, such as bladder cancer, prostate cancer, colon cancer, melanoma cancer, etc. Police related cancer risk research is a noteworthy issue. This article provides a review of existing research on the types and carcinogenic factors of cancer among domestic and foreign police officers, and analyzes various factors that may lead to their cancer based on the actual work situation of Chinese public security police. Corresponding response strategies are proposed to provide a scientific basis for reducing the risk of cancer among public security police.

Future land use simulation model-based landscape ecological risk prediction under the localized shared socioeconomic pathways in the Xiangjiang River Basin, China.

Landscape ecological risk (LER) is an effective index to identify regional ecological risk and measure regional ecological security. The localized shared socioeconomic pathways (LSSPs) can provide multi-scenario parameters of social and economic development for LER research. The research of LER under LSSPs is of scientific significance and practical value in curbing the breeding and spread of LER risk areas. In this study, land-cover raster files from 2010 to 2020 were used as the foundational data. Future land use simulation (FLUS), regression, and Markov chain models were used to predict the land cover patterns under the five LSSP scenarios in the Xiangjiang River Basin (XJRB) in 2030. Thus, an evaluation model was established, and the LER of the watershed was evaluated. We found that the rate of land cover change (LCC) in the XJRB between 2010 and 2020 had a higher intensity (increasing at an average of 18.89% per decade) than that projected under the LSSPs for 2020-2030 (averaging an increase of 8.58% per decade). Among the growth rates of all land use types in the XJRB, that of urban land was the highest (33.3%). From 2010 to 2030, the LER in the XJRB was classified as lower risk (33.73%), lowest risk (33.11%), and moderate risk (24.13%) for each decade. Finally, the LER exhibited significant heterogeneity among different scenarios. Specifically, the percentages of regions characterized by the highest (9.77%) and higher LER (9.75%) were notably higher than those in the remaining scenarios. The higher-level risk area under the localized SSP1 demonstrated a clear spatial reduction compared to those of the other four scenarios. In addition, in order to facilitate the differential management and control of LER by relevant departments, risk zoning was carried out at the county level according to the prediction results of LER. And we got three types of risk management regions for the XJRB under the LSSPs.

Safety and Effectiveness Assessment of Ultraviolet-C Disinfection in Aircraft Cabins.

INTRODUCTION: Aircraft cabins, susceptible to disease transmission, require effective strategies to minimize the spread of airborne diseases. This paper reviews the James Reason Swiss Cheese Theory in mitigating these risks, as implemented by the International Civil Aviation Organization during the COVID-19 pandemic. It also evaluates the use of airborne ultraviolet-C (UV-C) light as an additional protective measure.METHODS: Our approach involved a thorough literature review by experts and a detailed risk-vs.-benefit analysis. The review covered existing research to understand the scientific foundation, while the analysis used established techniques to assess the impact of influenza and COVID-19 in terms of infections, deaths, and economic costs.RESULTS: Integrating UV-C light in aircraft cabins, when applied with appropriate scientific understanding and engineering safeguards, has the potential to reduce in-flight disease transmission. This additional mitigation strategy can work synergistically with existing measures.DISCUSSION: The research and risk-vs.-benefit analysis present strong evidence for the safety and effectiveness of continuous UV-C disinfection in aircraft cabins. It suggests that UV-C light, maintained below exposure limits, can be a valuable addition to existing measures against disease transmission during flights.Belland K, Garcia D, DeJohn C, Allen GR, Mills WD, Glaudel SP. Safety and effectiveness assessment of ultraviolet-C disinfection in aircraft cabins. Aerosp Med Hum Perform. 2024; 95(3):147-157.

Assessment of mould remediation in a healthcare setting following extensive flooding.

BACKGROUND: A new hospital building was close to completion when a large pipe carrying clean water broke, causing extensive flooding. AIM: To determine the flood-associated fungal risk to susceptible patients who would use that building. METHODS: Though standard flood remediation by the builders was relatively straightforward, there was no model for specialist assessment of patient risk due to the flood-associated mould growth. As levels of background airborne fungal spores can be expected to vary significantly over time, we could not use absolute levels to indicate either an excess of airborne fungal spores or successful remediation. Therefore it was decided to use weekly settle plates, exposed at the same time in flooded (test) and equivalent non-flooded (control) areas to compensate for variations in background levels. Flood-related risk was estimated by the ratio between fungal colonies on the test and control sets of settle plates, rather than absolute number. FINDINGS: Whereas the physical flood remediation, including the use of 'anti-fungal' treatments, was completed in three weeks post flooding, fungal contamination in flooded areas took 38 weeks to return to control levels and remained so for a further six weeks of observation. CONCLUSION: By the use of this method, we were able to assure the absence of flood-associated fungal risk to susceptible patients who would use that building. We recommend that infection prevention and control teams consider using this approach should they be faced with similar situations.

Comparing the resource implications of old and new colorectal adenoma surveillance guidelines in Australia.

BACKGROUND: The latest update to the Australian adenoma surveillance guideline in 2018 introduced a novel risk stratification system with updated surveillance recommendations. The resource implications of adopting this new system are unclear. AIMS: To quanitfy the resource demands of adopting new over old adenoma surveillance guidelines. METHODS: We studied data from 2443 patients undergoing colonoscopies, in which a clinically significant lesion was identified in their latest, or previous procedure(s) across five Australian hospitals. We excluded procedures with inflammatory bowel disease, new or prior history of colorectal cancer or resection, inadequate bowel preparation and incomplete procedures. Old and new Australian surveillance intervals were calculated according to the number, size and histological characteristics of lesions identified. We used these data to compare the rate of procedures according to each guideline. RESULTS: Based on the procedures for 766 patients, the new surveillance guidelines significantly increased the number of procedures allocated an interval of 1 year (relative risk (RR): 1.57, P = 0.009) and 10 years (RR: 3.83, P < 0.00001) and reduced those allocated to half a year (RR: 0.08, P = 0.00219), 3 years (RR: 0.51, P < 0.00001) and 5 years (RR: 0.59, P < 0.00001). Overall, this reduced the relative number of surveillance procedures by 21% over 10 years (25.92 vs 32.78 procedures/100 patient-years), which increased to 22% after excluding patients 75 or older at the time of surveillance (19.9 vs 25.65 procedures/100 patient-years). CONCLUSION: The adoption of the latest Australian adenoma surveillance guidelines can reduce demand for surveillance colonoscopy by more than a fifth (21-22%) over 10 years.

Does Physical Activity Confound Race Differences in Osteoarthritis-Related Functional Limitation?

OBJECTIVE: This study sought to determine the extent to which physical activity confounds the relation between race and the incidence of osteoarthritis (OA)-related functional limitation. METHODS: OA Initiative study participants with or at increased risk of knee OA who wore an accelerometer were included. Race was self-reported. Average time spent in moderate to vigorous physical activity (minutes per day) based on ActiGraph uniaxial accelerometer data was assessed. Functional limitation was based on the following: (1) inability to achieve a community walking speed (1.2 m/s) standard, (2) slow walking speed (<1.0 m/s), and (3) low physical functioning based on a Western Ontario and McMaster Universities OA Index (WOMAC) physical function score greater than 28 of 68. RESULTS: African American (AA) participants (n = 226), compared with White participants (n = 1348), had a higher likelihood of developing functional limitation based on various measures. When adjusted for time in moderate to vigorous physical activity, the association between AA race and inability to walk a community walking speed slightly decreased (from relative risk [RR] 2.15, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.64-2.81, to RR 1.99, 95% CI 1.51-2.61). Association between AA race and other measures of functional limitation mildly decreased (slow walking speed: from RR 2.06, 95% CI 1.40-3.01, to RR 1.82, 95% CI 1.25-2.63; low physical functioning: from RR 3.44, 95% CI 1.96-6.03, to RR 3.10, 95% CI 1.79-5.39). When further adjusted for demographic and other clinical variables, only the association between race and low physical functioning (WOMAC) significantly decreased and no longer met statistical significance. CONCLUSION: Greater physical activity is unlikely to completely make up for race differences in OA-related functional limitation, and other barriers to health equity need to be addressed.

Racial disparities in low-risk cesarean birth rates across hospitals.

BACKGROUND: We compared low-risk cesarean birth rates for Black and White women across hospitals serving increasing proportions of Black women and identified hospitals where Black women had low-risk cesarean rates less than or equal to White women. METHODS: In this cross-sectional analysis of secondary data from four states, we categorized hospitals by their proportion of Black women giving birth from "low" to "high". We analyzed the odds of low-risk cesarean for Black and White women across hospital categories. RESULTS: Our sample comprised 493 hospitals and the 65,524 Black and 251,426 White women at low risk for cesarean who birthed in them. The mean low-risk cesarean rate was significantly higher for Black, compared with White, women in the low (20.1% vs. 15.9%) and medium (18.1% vs. 16.9%) hospital categories. In regression models, no hospital structural characteristics were significantly associated with the odds of a Black woman having a low-risk cesarean. For White women, birthing in a hospital serving the highest proportion of Black women was associated with a 21% (95% CI: 1.01-1.44) increase in the odds of having a low-risk cesarean. DISCUSSION: Black women had higher odds of a low-risk cesarean than White women and were more likely to access care in hospitals with higher low-risk cesarean rates. The existence of hospitals where low-risk cesarean rates for Black women were less than or equal to those of White women was notable, given a predominant focus on hospitals where Black women have poorer outcomes. Efforts to decrease the low-risk cesarean rate should focus on (1) improving intrapartum care for Black women and (2) identifying differentiating organizational factors in hospitals where cesarean birth rates are optimally low and equivalent among racial groups as a basis for system-level policy efforts to improve equity and reduce cesarean birth rates.

Socioeconomic Disparities in the Association Between All-Cause Mortality and Health Check-Up Participation Among Healthy Middle-Aged Workers: A Nationwide Study.

BACKGROUND: This study assessed the relationship between non-participation in health check-ups and all-cause mortality and morbidity, considering socioeconomic status. METHODS: Healthy, middle-aged (35-54 years) working individuals who maintained either self-employed or employee status from 2006-2010 were recruited in this retrospective cohort study from the National Health Insurance Service in Korea. Health check-up participation was calculated as the sum of the number of health check-ups in 2007-2008 and 2009-2010. Adjusted hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of all-cause mortality were estimated for each gender using multivariable Cox proportional hazard models, adjusting for age, income, residential area, and employment status. Interaction of non-participation in health check-ups and employment status on the risk of all-cause mortality was further analyzed. RESULTS: Among 4,267,243 individuals with a median 12-year follow-up (median age, 44; men, 74.43%), 89,030 (2.09%) died. The proportion (number) of deaths of individuals with no, one-time, and two-time participation in health check-ups was 3.53% (n = 47,496), 1.66% (n = 13,835), and 1.33% (n = 27,699), respectively. The association between health check-up participation and all-cause mortality showed a reverse J-shaped curve with the highest adjusted HR (95% CI) of 1.575 (1.541-1.611) and 1.718 (1.628-1.813) for men and women who did not attend any health check-ups, respectively. According to the interaction analysis, both genders showed significant additive and multiplicative interaction, with more pronounced additive interaction among women who did not attend health check-ups (relative excess risk due to interaction, 1.014 [0.871-1.158]). CONCLUSION: Our study highlights the significant reverse J-shaped association between health check-up participation and all-cause mortality. A pronounced association was found among self-employed individuals, regardless of gender.

Contribution of smoking, disease history, and survival to lung cancer disparities in Black individuals.

BACKGROUND: Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer deaths and disproportionately affects self-identified Black or African American ("Black") people, especially considering their relatively low self-reported smoking intensity rates. This study aimed to determine the relative impact of smoking history and lung cancer incidence risk, histology, stage, and survival on these disparities. METHODS: We used 2 lung cancer models (MichiganLung-All Races and MichiganLung-Black) to understand why Black people have higher rates of lung cancer deaths. We studied how different factors, such as smoking behaviors, cancer development, histology, stage at diagnosis, and lung cancer survival, contribute to these differences. RESULTS: Adjusted for smoking history, approximately 90% of the difference in lung cancer deaths between the overall and Black populations (born in 1960) was the result of differences in the risk of getting lung cancer. Differences in the histology and stage of lung cancer and survival had a small impact (4% to 6% for each). Similar results were observed for the 1950 and 1970 birth cohorts, regardless of their differences in smoking patterns from the 1960 cohort. CONCLUSIONS: After taking smoking into account, the higher rate of lung cancer deaths in Black people can mostly be explained by differences in the risk of developing lung cancer. As lung cancer treatments and detection improve, however, other factors may become more important in determining differences in lung cancer mortality between the Black and overall populations. To prevent current disparities from becoming worse, it is important to make sure that these improvements are available to everyone in an equitable way.

Risk-taking health agency places first bets.

ARPA-H aims to be unlike NIH, director says.

Ongoing declines for the world's amphibians in the face of emerging threats.

Systematic assessments of species extinction risk at regular intervals are necessary for informing conservation action1,2. Ongoing developments in taxonomy, threatening processes and research further underscore the need for reassessment3,4. Here we report the findings of the second Global Amphibian Assessment, evaluating 8,011 species for the International Union for Conservation of Nature Red List of Threatened Species. We find that amphibians are the most threatened vertebrate class (40.7% of species are globally threatened). The updated Red List Index shows that the status of amphibians is deteriorating globally, particularly for salamanders and in the Neotropics. Disease and habitat loss drove 91% of status deteriorations between 1980 and 2004. Ongoing and projected climate change effects are now of increasing concern, driving 39% of status deteriorations since 2004, followed by habitat loss (37%). Although signs of species recoveries incentivize immediate conservation action, scaled-up investment is urgently needed to reverse the current trends.

Hospital-level variation in racial disparities in low-risk nulliparous cesarean delivery rates.

BACKGROUND: Nationally, rates of cesarean delivery are highest among Black patients compared with other racial/ethnic groups. These observed inequities are a relatively new phenomenon (in the 1980s, cesarean delivery rates among Black patients were lower than average), indicating an opportunity to narrow the gap. Cesarean delivery rates vary greatly among hospitals, masking racial disparities that are unseen when rates are reported in aggregate. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to explore reasons for the current large Black-White disparity in first-birth cesarean delivery rates by first examining the hospital-level variation in first-birth cesarean delivery rates among different racial/ethnic groups. We then identified hospitals that had low first-birth cesarean delivery rates among Black patients and compared them with hospitals with high rates. We sought to identify differences in facility or patient characteristics that could explain the racial disparity. STUDY DESIGN: A population cross-sectional study was performed on 1,267,493 California live births from 2018 through 2020 using birth certificate data linked with maternal patient discharge records. Annual nulliparous term singleton vertex cesarean delivery (first-birth) rates were calculated for the most common racial/ethnic groups statewide and for each hospital. Self-identified race/ethnicity categories as selected on the birth certificate were used. Relative risk and 95% confidence intervals for first-birth cesarean delivery comparing 2019 with 2015 were estimated using a log-binomial model for each racial/ethnic group. Patient and hospital characteristics were compared between hospitals with first-birth cesarean delivery rates <23.9% for Black patients and hospitals with rates ≥23.9% for Black patients. RESULTS: Hospitals with at least 30 nulliparous term singleton vertex Asian, Black, Hispanic, and White patients each were identified. Black patients had a very different distribution, with a significantly higher rate (28.4%) and wider standard deviation (7.1) and interquartile range (6.5) than other racial groups (P<.01). A total of 29 hospitals with a low first-birth cesarean delivery rate among Black patients were identified using the Healthy People 2020 target of 23.9% and compared with 106 hospitals with higher rates. The low-rate group had a cesarean delivery rate of 19.9%, as opposed to 30.7% in the higher-rate group. There were no significant differences between the groups in hospital characteristics (ownership, delivery volume, neonatal level of care, proportion of midwife deliveries) or patient characteristics (age, education, insurance, onset of prenatal care, body mass index, hypertension, diabetes mellitus). Among the 106 hospitals that did not meet the target for Black patients, 63 met it for White patients with a mean rate of 21.4%. In the same hospitals, the mean rate for Black patients was 29.5%. Among Black patients in the group that did not meet the 23.9% target, there were significantly higher rates of all cesarean delivery indications: labor dystocia, fetal concern (spontaneous labor), and no labor (eg, macrosomia), which are all indications with a high degree of subjectivity. CONCLUSION: The statewide cesarean delivery rate of Black patients is significantly higher and has substantially greater hospital variation compared with other racial or ethnic groups. The lack of difference in facility or patient characteristics between hospitals with low cesarean delivery rates among Black patients and those with high rates suggests that unconscious bias and structural racism potentially play important roles in creating these racial differences.

5-alpha reductase inhibitors (5-ARi) with or without alpha-blockers (α-B) for Benign Prostatic Hyperplasia do NOT lower the risk of incident Bladder Cancer: United States insurance claims data.

BACKGROUND: Chemoprotective effect of 5-alpha reductase inhibitors (5-ARi) on bladder cancer (BCa) risk in men with Benign Prostatic Hyperplasia (BPH) has been explored with conflicting results. We sought to examine the effect of 5-ARi on new BCa diagnoses in a large US database. METHODS: Men ≥ 50 y/o with a prescription for 5-ARi after BPH diagnosis were identified in the IBM® Marketscan® Research de-identified Databases between 2007 and 2016 and matched with paired controls. Incident BCa diagnoses were identified after BPH diagnosis and/or pharmacologic treatment. Multivariable regression modeling adjusting for relevant factors was implemented. Sub-group analyses by exposure risk were performed to explore the association between 5-ARi and BCa over time. Administration of alpha-blockers (α-B) w/o 5-ARi was also examined. RESULTS: In total, n = 24,036 men on 5-ARi, n = 107,086 on 5-ARi plus alpha-blockers, and n = 894,275 without medical therapy for BPH were identified. The percentage of men diagnosed with BCa was 0.8% for the 5-ARi, 1.4% for the 5-ARi + α-B, and 0.6% for the untreated BPH group of incident BCa (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.90, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.56 - 1.47), and 1.08, 95%CI 0.89 - 1.30, respectively). This was also true at both shorter (≤ 2 yr) and longer-term (> 2 yr) follow up. In addition, α-B alone had no change in BCa risk (HR 1.06, 0.86-1.30). CONCLUSIONS: We did not find any diminished risk of new BCa in men treated with 5-ARi (i.e., chemoprotective effect). The current report suggests that 5-ARi do not change a man's bladder cancer risk.

Minimum generosity levels in a competitive health insurance market.

An important condition for optimal health insurance is that the level of health care coverage is inversely related to the elasticity of demand. We show that this condition is not satisfied for voluntary deductibles in the Netherlands, which are optional deductibles on top of the mandatory deductible introduced by the Dutch government. We find that low-risk types, that mainly choose voluntary deductibles, have a lower elasticity of demand than high-risk types. Moreover, we show that voluntary deductibles introduce equity problems as it results in non-trivial cross subsidies from high-risk to low-risk types. Capping the level of voluntary deductibles (imposing minimum generosity) is likely to be welfare enhancing in the Netherlands.

LetsTalkShots: personalized vaccine risk communication.

Introduction: Vaccine hesitancy is a global health threat undermining control of many vaccine-preventable diseases. Patient-level education has largely been ineffective in reducing vaccine concerns and increasing vaccine uptake. We built and evaluated a personalized vaccine risk communication website called LetsTalkShots in English, Spanish and French (Canadian) for vaccines across the lifespan. LetsTalkShots tailors lived experiences, credible sources and informational animations to disseminate the right message from the right messenger to the right person, applying a broad range of behavioral theories. Methods: We used mixed-methods research to test our animation and some aspects of credible sources and personal narratives. We conducted 67 discussion groups (n = 325 persons), stratified by race/ethnicity (African American, Hispanic, and White people) and population (e.g., parents, pregnant women, adolescents, younger adults, and older adults). Using a large Ipsos survey among English-speaking respondents (n = 2,272), we tested animations aligned with vaccine concerns and specific to population (e.g., parents of children, parents of adolescents, younger adults, older adults). Results: Discussion groups provided robust feedback specific to each animation as well as areas for improvements across animations. Most respondents indicated that the information presented was interesting (85.5%), clear (96.0%), helpful (87.0%), and trustworthy (82.2%). Discussion: Tailored vaccine risk communication can assist decision makers as they consider vaccination for themselves, their families, and their communities. LetsTalkShots presents a model for personalized communication in other areas of medicine and public health.

Factors that differentiate cancer risk management decisions among females with pathogenic/likely pathogenic variants in PALB2, CHEK2, and ATM.

PURPOSE: Following disclosure of pathogenic or likely pathogenic variants in hereditary cancer genes, patients face cancer risk management decisions. Through this mixed-methods study, we investigated cancer risk management decisions among females with pathogenic or likely pathogenic variants in PALB2, CHEK2, and ATM to understand why some patients follow National Comprehensive Cancer Network guidelines, whereas others do not. METHODS: Survey and interview data were cross-analyzed using a 3-stage approach. Identified factors were used to conduct coincidence analysis and differentiate between combinations of factors that result in following or not following guidelines. RESULTS: Of the 13 participants who underwent guideline inconsistent prophylactic surgery, 12 fit 1 of 3 unique patterns: (1) cancer-related anxiety in the absence of trust in care, (2) provider recommending surgery inconsistent with National Comprehensive Cancer Network guidelines, or (3) surgery occurring before genetic testing. Two unique patterns were found among 18 of 20 participants who followed guidelines: (1) anxiety along with trust in care or (2) lack of anxiety and no prophylactic surgery before testing. CONCLUSION: Health care provider recommendations and trust in care may influence whether individuals receive care that is congruent with risk levels conferred by specific genes. Interventions are needed to improve provider knowledge, patient trust in non-surgical care, and patient anxiety.