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2.
Soc Sci Med ; 348: 116801, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38564957

RESUMO

Devolution and decentralisation policies involving health and other government sectors have been promoted with a view to improve efficiency and equity in local service provision. Evaluations of these reforms have focused on specific health or care measures, but little is known about their full impact on local health systems. We evaluated the impact of devolution in Greater Manchester (England) on multiple outcomes using a whole system approach. We estimated the impact of devolution until February 2020 on 98 measures of health system performance, using the generalised synthetic control method and adjusting for multiple hypothesis testing. We selected measures from existing monitoring frameworks to populate the WHO Health System Performance Assessment framework. The included measures captured information on health system functions, intermediatory objectives, final goals, and social determinants of health. We identified which indicators were targeted in response to devolution from an analysis of 170 health policy intervention documents. Life expectancy (0.233 years, S.E. 0.012) and healthy life expectancy (0.603 years, S.E. 0.391) increased more in GM than in the estimated synthetic control group following devolution. These increases were driven by improvements in public health, primary care, hospital, and adult social care services as well as factors associated with social determinants of health, including a reduction in alcohol-related admissions (-110.1 admission per 100,000, S.E. 9.07). In contrast, the impact on outpatient, mental health, maternity, and dental services was mixed. Devolution was associated with improved population health, driven by improvements in health services and wider social determinants of health. These changes occurred despite limited devolved powers over health service resources suggesting that other mechanisms played an important role, including the allocation of sustainability and transformation funding and the alignment of decision-making across health, social care, and wider public services in the region.


Assuntos
Objetivos , Estudos de Casos Organizacionais , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Inglaterra/epidemiologia , Medicina Estatal/organização & administração , Medicina Estatal/tendências , Estudos de Casos Organizacionais/estatística & dados numéricos , Saúde Pública/normas , Saúde Pública/estatística & dados numéricos , Determinantes Sociais da Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Pacientes Ambulatoriais/estatística & dados numéricos , Serviços de Saúde Materna/estatística & dados numéricos , Serviços de Saúde Bucal/estatística & dados numéricos , Distribuição por Idade , Atenção Primária à Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Medicina de Emergência/estatística & dados numéricos , Pacientes Internados/estatística & dados numéricos , Apoio Social/estatística & dados numéricos , Serviços de Saúde Mental/estatística & dados numéricos , Assistência ao Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Adulto , Adolescente , Adulto Jovem , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso
3.
PLoS One ; 17(2): e0263635, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35139119

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Mistreatment, discrimination, and poor psycho-social support during childbirth at health facilities are common in lower- and middle-income countries. Despite a policy directive from the World Health Organisation (WHO), no operational model exists that effectively demonstrates incorporation of these guidelines in routine facility-based maternity services. This early-phase implementation research aims to develop, implement, and test the feasibility of a service-delivery strategy to promote the culture of supportive and dignified maternity care (SDMC) at public health facilities. METHODS: Guided by human-centred design approach, the implementation of this study will be divided into two phases: development of intervention, and implementing and testing feasibility. The service-delivery intervention will be co-created along with relevant stakeholders and informed by contextual evidence that is generated through formative research. It will include capacity-building of maternity teams, and the improvement of governance and accountability mechanisms within public health facilities. The technical content will be primarily based on WHO's intrapartum care guidelines and mental health Gap Action Programme (mhGAP) materials. A mixed-method, pre-post design will be used for feasibility assessment. The intervention will be implemented at six secondary-level healthcare facilities in two districts of southern Sindh, Pakistan. Data from multiple sources will be collected before, during and after the implementation of the intervention. We will assess the coverage of the intervention, challenges faced, and changes in maternity teams' understanding and attitude towards SDMC. Additionally, women's maternity experiences and psycho-social well-being-will inform the success of the intervention. EXPECTED OUTCOMES: Evidence from this implementation research will enhance understanding of health systems challenges and opportunities around SDMC. A key output from this research will be the SDMC service-delivery package, comprising a comprehensive training package (on inclusive, supportive and dignified maternity care) and a field tested strategy to ensure implementation of recommended practices in routine, facility-based maternity care. Adaptation, Implementation and evaluation of SDMC package in diverse setting will be way forward. The study has been registered with clinicaltrials.gov (Registration number: NCT05146518).


Assuntos
Atitude do Pessoal de Saúde , Serviços de Saúde Materna , Qualidade da Assistência à Saúde , Respeito , Inclusão Social , Parto Obstétrico/psicologia , Parto Obstétrico/normas , Estudos de Viabilidade , Feminino , Programas Governamentais/organização & administração , Programas Governamentais/normas , Humanos , Ciência da Implementação , Recém-Nascido , Serviços de Saúde Materna/organização & administração , Serviços de Saúde Materna/normas , Mortalidade Materna , Obstetrícia/métodos , Obstetrícia/organização & administração , Obstetrícia/normas , Paquistão/epidemiologia , Parto/psicologia , Mortalidade Perinatal , Gravidez , Cuidado Pré-Natal/organização & administração , Cuidado Pré-Natal/psicologia , Cuidado Pré-Natal/normas , Sistemas de Apoio Psicossocial , Saúde Pública/métodos , Saúde Pública/normas
4.
PLoS One ; 17(2): e0263331, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35176053

RESUMO

This study investigates the satisfaction and adequacy of citizens through the expected quality and perceived quality in the areas of planning and territorial viability, experience in the provision of municipal services and citizen experience in environmental issues, in order to provide tools for territorial decision making for the citizens' well-being. In our research PLS software is used for the analysis of hypotheses. A questionnaire was delivered to a sample of 521 citizens, representing the spectrum of the population, and the statistical study of the responses yielded results on citizen satisfaction and loyalty. Our research includes the study of moderating effects on the causal ratio of perceived value and satisfaction in territorial planning and viability, the perceived quality in the provision of municipal services and the perceived quality in the citizen experience in the environmental management of the territory on the value relationship perceived by the citizen and general satisfaction. A second objective of the study is to see if there are significant differences in the hypotheses raised by gender by performing a multigroup analysis. This difference has been appreciated in two of the hypotheses. The study shows that the policies exercised by the territorial managers of the different areas have a significant influence on the value perceived by citizens, satisfaction and loyalty, which shape their general well-being. Areas for improvement in territorial policies and municipal services such as citizen security, air quality, public lighting and sports services have been identified. Knowing these shortcomings allows politicians to focus their efforts on improving the quality of life in cities.


Assuntos
Ciência do Cidadão , Planejamento de Cidades/normas , Planejamento Ambiental/normas , Satisfação do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Saúde Pública/normas , Qualidade de Vida , Saúde da População Urbana/normas , Adulto , Equador , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Participação do Paciente , Percepção , Desenvolvimento Sustentável
5.
Antimicrob Resist Infect Control ; 11(1): 34, 2022 02 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35164886

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The current Coronavirus disease pandemic reveals political and structural inequities of the world's poorest people who have little or no access to health care and yet the largest burdens of poor health. This is in parallel to a more persistent but silent global health crisis, antimicrobial resistance (AMR). We explore the fundamental challenges of health care in humans and animals in relation to AMR in Tanzania. METHODS: We conducted 57 individual interviews and focus groups with providers and patients in high, middle and lower tier health care facilities and communities across three regions of Tanzania between April 2019 and February 2020. We covered topics from health infrastructure and prescribing practices to health communication and patient experiences. RESULTS: Three interconnected themes emerged about systemic issues impacting health. First, there are challenges around infrastructure and availability of vital resources such as healthcare staff and supplies. Second, health outcomes are predicated on patient and provider access to services as well as social determinants of health. Third, health communication is critical in defining trusted sources of information, and narratives of blame emerge around health outcomes with the onus of responsibility for action falling on individuals. CONCLUSION: Entanglements between infrastructure, access and communication exist while constraints in the health system lead to poor health outcomes even in 'normal' circumstances. These are likely to be relevant across the globe and highly topical for addressing pressing global health challenges. Redressing structural health inequities can better equip countries and their citizens to not only face pandemics but also day-to-day health challenges.


Assuntos
Desigualdades de Saúde , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde/normas , Pobreza/estatística & dados numéricos , Saúde Pública/normas , Determinantes Sociais da Saúde/normas , Animais , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Saúde Global/normas , Saúde Global/estatística & dados numéricos , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde/economia , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Saúde Pública/estatística & dados numéricos , Determinantes Sociais da Saúde/economia , Determinantes Sociais da Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Tanzânia/epidemiologia
6.
Lancet Psychiatry ; 9(2): 169-182, 2022 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35065723

RESUMO

Mental disorders account for at least 18% of global disease burden, and the associated annual global costs are projected to be US$6 trillion by 2030. Evidence-based, cost-effective public mental health (PMH) interventions exist to prevent mental disorders from arising, prevent associated impacts of mental disorders (including through treatment), and promote mental wellbeing and resilience. However, only a small proportion of people with mental disorders receive minimally adequate treatment. Compared with treatment, there is even less coverage of interventions to prevent the associated impacts of mental disorders, prevent mental disorders from arising, or promote mental wellbeing and resilience. This implementation failure breaches the right to health, has increased during the COVID-19 pandemic, and results in preventable suffering, broad impacts, and associated economic costs. In this Health Policy paper, we outline specific actions to improve the coverage of PMH interventions, including PMH needs assessments, collaborative advocacy and leadership, PMH practice to inform policy and implementation, training and improvement of population literacy, settings-based and integrated approaches, use of digital technology, maximising existing resources, focus on high-return interventions, human rights approaches, legislation, and implementation research. Increased interest in PMH in populations and governments since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic supports these actions. Improved implementation of PMH interventions can result in broad health, social, and economic impacts, even in the short-term, which support the achievement of a range of policy objectives, sustainable economic development, and recovery.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Política de Saúde , Transtornos Mentais/terapia , Serviços de Saúde Mental/organização & administração , Serviços de Saúde Mental/normas , Saúde Mental/normas , Saúde Pública/normas , Humanos
7.
Anesthesiology ; 136(1): 10-30, 2022 01 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34874401

RESUMO

While U.S. opioid prescribing has decreased 38% in the past decade, opioid deaths have increased 300%. This opioid paradox is poorly recognized. Current approaches to opioid management are not working, and new approaches are needed. This article reviews the outcomes and shortcomings of recent U.S. opioid policies and strategies that focus primarily or exclusively on reducing or eliminating opioid prescribing. It introduces concepts of a prescription opioid ecosystem and opioid pool, and it discusses how the pool can be influenced by supply-side, demand-side, and opioid returns factors. It illuminates pressing policy needs for an opioid ecosystem that enables proper opioid stewardship, identifies associated responsibilities, and emphasizes the necessity of making opioid returns as easy and common as opioid prescribing, in order to minimize the size of the opioid pool available for potential diversion, misuse, overdose, and death. Approaches are applicable to opioid prescribing in general, and to opioid prescribing after surgery.


Assuntos
Analgésicos Opioides/efeitos adversos , Prescrições de Medicamentos/normas , Epidemia de Opioides/prevenção & controle , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Opioides/prevenção & controle , Saúde Pública/normas , Analgésicos Opioides/administração & dosagem , Humanos , Epidemia de Opioides/tendências , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Opioides/epidemiologia , Dor Pós-Operatória/diagnóstico , Dor Pós-Operatória/epidemiologia , Dor Pós-Operatória/prevenção & controle , Saúde Pública/métodos
9.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 106(2): 729-731, 2021 12 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34929673

RESUMO

Between October 2012 and October 2015, we conducted a community trial to assess the impact of semi-annual (twice yearly) community treatment with albendazole on lymphatic filariasis in Seke Pembe, a village in the Republic of the Congo. Semi-annual community treatment with albendazole has been continued in the community since October 2015. We conducted an additional parasitological assessment survey in October 2019, 6 months after the 14th round of semi-annual treatment. Between October 2012 and October 2015, Wuchereria bancrofti antigenemia and microfilaremia rates in the community had decreased from 17.3% to 4.7% and from 5.3% to 0.3%, respectively. In October 2019, the antigenemia rate had decreased further to 2.8% (19 of 687). No microfilariae were found in night blood smears from persons with circulating filarial antigenemia (0 of 16), suggesting that W. bancrofti transmission has been interrupted in Seke Pembe. Semi-annual albendazole treatments also reduced significantly infection rates with soil-transmitted helminths.


Assuntos
Albendazol/uso terapêutico , Filariose Linfática/tratamento farmacológico , Filariose Linfática/transmissão , Filaricidas/uso terapêutico , Helmintíase/tratamento farmacológico , Administração Massiva de Medicamentos/normas , Saúde Pública/métodos , Solo/parasitologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Antígenos de Helmintos/sangue , Criança , Congo/epidemiologia , Feminino , Helmintíase/classificação , Helmintíase/epidemiologia , Helmintíase/parasitologia , Humanos , Masculino , Administração Massiva de Medicamentos/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Saúde Pública/normas , Saúde Pública/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto Jovem
12.
J Neurosci ; 41(42): 8669-8672, 2021 10 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34670866

RESUMO

Racism is a threat to public health. Race is a sociopolitical construct that has been used for generations to create disparities in educational access, housing conditions, exposure to environmental contaminants, and access to health care. Collectively, these disparities have a negative impact on the health of non-white Americans. The National Institutes of Health (NIH) funds biomedical research, including basic neuroscience research, aimed at understanding the mechanisms and consequences of health and disease in Americans. NIH has recently acknowledged its own structural racism, the disadvantage this perpetuates in the biomedical research enterprise, and has announced its commitment to eliminating these disparities. Here, we discuss different rates of disease in U.S. citizens from different racial backgrounds. We next describe ways in which the biomedical research enterprise (1) has contributed to health disparities and (2) can contribute to the solving this problem. Based on our own scientific expertise, we use neuroscience in general and mental health/addiction disorders more specifically as examples of a broader issue. The NIH, including its neuroscience-focused Institutes, and NIH-funded scientists, including neuroscientists, should prioritize research topics that reflect the health conditions that affect all Americans, not just white Americans.


Assuntos
Pesquisa Biomédica/normas , Disparidades em Assistência à Saúde/normas , National Institutes of Health (U.S.)/normas , Neurociências/normas , Racismo/prevenção & controle , Pesquisa Biomédica/tendências , Disparidades em Assistência à Saúde/tendências , Humanos , National Institutes of Health (U.S.)/tendências , Neurociências/tendências , Saúde Pública/normas , Saúde Pública/tendências , Racismo/tendências , Estados Unidos
13.
Acad Med ; 96(11): 1546-1552, 2021 11 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34705750

RESUMO

Racially and ethnically diverse and socioeconomically disadvantaged communities have historically been disproportionately affected by disasters and public health emergencies in the United States. The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services' Office of Minority Health established the National Consensus Panel on Emergency Preparedness and Cultural Diversity to provide guidance to agencies and organizations on developing effective strategies to advance emergency preparedness and eliminate disparities among racially and ethnically diverse communities during these crises. Adopting the National Consensus Panel recommendations, the Johns Hopkins Medicine Office of Diversity, Inclusion, and Health Equity; Language Services; and academic-community partnerships used existing health equity resources and expertise to develop an operational framework to support the organization's COVID-19 response and to provide a framework of health equity initiatives for other academic medical centers. This operational framework addressed policies to support health equity patient care and clinical operations, accessible COVID-19 communication, and staff and community support and engagement, which also supported the National Standards for Culturally and Linguistically Appropriate Services in Health and Health Care. Johns Hopkins Medicine identified expanded recommendations for addressing institutional policy making and capacity building, including unconscious bias training for resource allocation teams and staff training in accurate race, ethnicity, and language data collection, that should be considered in future updates to the National Consensus Panel's recommendations.


Assuntos
Centros Médicos Acadêmicos/organização & administração , COVID-19/etnologia , Desastres/prevenção & controle , Equidade em Saúde/normas , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/virologia , Defesa Civil/organização & administração , Consenso , Diversidade Cultural , Etnicidade/estatística & dados numéricos , Programas Governamentais/organização & administração , Programas Governamentais/normas , Disparidades em Assistência à Saúde/etnologia , Humanos , Grupos Minoritários/estatística & dados numéricos , Formulação de Políticas , Saúde Pública/normas , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Participação Social , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
15.
Pan Afr Med J ; 39: 67, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34422190

RESUMO

Free movement between countries without a visa is allowed within the 15-country Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) region. However, little information is available across the region on the International Health Regulation (IHR 2005) capacities at points of entry (PoE) to detect and respond appropriately to public health emergencies such as Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). ECOWAS and the member states can better tailor border health measures across the region by understanding public health strengths and priorities for improvement at PoEs. A comprehensive literature review was combined with a self-assessment of capacities at PoEs across the fifteen member states from February to July 2020. For the assessment, the member states completed an adapted World Health Organization (WHO) self-assessment checklist by classifying capacity for seven domains as fully, partially, or not implemented. The team implemented three focus group discussion (FGD) sessions and 13 key informant interviews (KII) with national-level border health stakeholders. Univariate analysis was used to summarize the assessment data and detailed content analysis was applied to evaluate FGD and KII results. Of the 15 member states, 3 (20%) are landlocked; 3 (20%) have more than one seaport. Eleven (73%) countries have 1 designated airport, 3 (20%) have two airports, and only one country (6.7%) has three airports. Two hundred and seventy-eight designated ground crossings were identified in 12 countries (80%). Strengths across the PoE were existence of decrees and ministerial acts in some ECOWAS countries and establishment of national taskforces for the COVID-19 response at PoE in ECOWAS. Major challenges were porous borders, poor intersectoral coordination, lack of harmonized traveler screening measures, shortage of staff, and inadequate financial resources. Despite all these challenges, there are opportunities such as leveraging the regional cross-border poliomyelitis coordination and control mechanism, and existence of networks of infection prevention and control specialists and field epidemiologists. However, political instabilities in some countries pose a threat to government commitments to PoE activities. The capacity to respond to public health emergencies at PoE in the ECOWAS region is still below IHR standard. Public health capacities at a majority of IHR-designated PoE in the 15-country region do not meet required core capacities standards.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , Emigração e Imigração , Saúde Pública/normas , África Ocidental , Fortalecimento Institucional , Grupos Focais , Humanos
16.
Am J Epidemiol ; 190(12): 2712-2717, 2021 12 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34409983

RESUMO

Conflation of the terms and concepts of "sex" and "gender" continues to perpetuate the invisibility of sex and gender minorities and obscure information about the ways in which biological sex and gender affect health. The misuse of sex and gender terms and the sex and gender binaries can yield inaccurate results but also, more importantly, contributes to the erasure of intersex, transgender, nonbinary, and agender health experiences. In this article, we discuss ways in which public health researchers can use sex and gender terms correctly and center the health experiences of intersex, transgender, nonbinary, and agender individuals. This includes promoting sensitivity in approaching sex and gender minority communities, improving survey questions, and collaborating with GSM communities to improve research quality and participant experiences. Improving our standards for the quality of sex and gender term usage and centering sex and gender minorities in public health research are imperative to addressing the health inequalities faced by sex and gender minorities.


Assuntos
Inquéritos Epidemiológicos/normas , Saúde Pública/normas , Projetos de Pesquisa/normas , Minorias Sexuais e de Gênero , Pessoas Transgênero , Humanos
17.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 105(5): 1137-1140, 2021 08 31.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34464328

RESUMO

A country's preparedness for a prompt and successful implementation of vaccination programs plays a pivotal role in disease control and prevention. As it stands now, Afghanistan seems to be ill-prepared to embrace a successful implementation of the COVID-19 vaccination program because of a spate of challenges. These include, but are not limited to, the insufficient number of vaccinators, a dearth of fully integrated functioning cold chain, challenging geographical barriers, cultural issues, insecurity, and protracted conflict. The COVID-19 infodemic along with vaccine mistrust in the country will lead to a pervasive public vaccine hesitancy in Afghanistan, which will present serious obstacles to the COVID-19 immunization efforts. The politicization of the Ministry of Public Health (MoPH) and the complaints of embezzlement and misuse of the pandemic aid have already eroded public trust during the pandemic. To ensure a large-scale and equitable distribution of COVID-19 vaccines, the cold chain infrastructure should be strengthened, and the immunization personnel trained. Antivaccination propaganda and misinformation should be tackled with effective communication approaches and effective community engagement, which consider culturally relevant messages appropriate to the culture and people. The allegations of corruption should be addressed to revive public trust in public health interventions, including COVID-19 vaccination.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19/administração & dosagem , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Programas de Imunização , Saúde Pública/métodos , Afeganistão/epidemiologia , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Vacinas contra COVID-19/economia , Comunicação , Feminino , Geografia , Humanos , Programas de Imunização/métodos , Programas de Imunização/normas , Saúde Pública/economia , Saúde Pública/normas , Confiança , Vacinação , Hesitação Vacinal
18.
Acad Med ; 96(11): 1503-1506, 2021 11 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34432717

RESUMO

In his Leadership Plenary at the Association of American Medical Colleges (AAMC) annual meeting, "Learn Serve Lead 2020: The Virtual Experience," president and CEO David Skorton emphasized that the traditional tripartite mission of academic medicine-medical education, clinical care, and research-is no longer enough to achieve health justice for all. Today, collaborating with diverse communities deserves equal weight among academic medicine's missions. This means going beyond "delivering care" to establishing and expanding ongoing, two-way community dialogues that push the envelope of what is possible in service to what is needed. It means appreciating community assets and creating ongoing pathways for listening to and learning from the needs, lived experiences, perspectives, and wisdom of patients, families, and communities. It means working with community-based organizations in true partnership to identify and address needs, and jointly develop, test, and implement solutions. This requires bringing medical care and public/population health concepts together and addressing upstream fundamental causes of health inequities. The authors call on academic medical institutions to do more to build a strong network of collaborators across public and population health, government, community groups, and the private sector. We in academic medicine must hold ourselves accountable for weaving community collaborations consistently throughout research, medical education, and clinical care. The authors recognize the AAMC can do better to support its member institutions in doing so and discuss new initiatives that signify a shift in emphasis through the association's new strategic plan and AAMC Center for Health Justice. The authors believe every area of academic medicine could grow and better serve communities by listening and engaging more and bringing medical care, public health, and other sectors closer together.


Assuntos
Centros Médicos Acadêmicos/organização & administração , Disparidades em Assistência à Saúde/legislação & jurisprudência , Práticas Interdisciplinares/métodos , Saúde Pública/ética , Participação da Comunidade/métodos , Educação Médica , Equidade em Saúde/ética , Humanos , Liderança , Equipe de Assistência ao Paciente/organização & administração , Saúde Pública/normas , Porto Rico , Tempo , Estados Unidos
19.
BMC Med ; 19(1): 162, 2021 07 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34253200

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: When three SARS-CoV-2 vaccines came to market in Europe and North America in the winter of 2020-2021, distribution networks were in a race against a major epidemiological wave of SARS-CoV-2 that began in autumn 2020. Rapid and optimized vaccine allocation was critical during this time. With 95% efficacy reported for two of the vaccines, near-term public health needs likely require that distribution is prioritized to the elderly, health care workers, teachers, essential workers, and individuals with comorbidities putting them at risk of severe clinical progression. METHODS: We evaluate various age-based vaccine distributions using a validated mathematical model based on current epidemic trends in Rhode Island and Massachusetts. We allow for varying waning efficacy of vaccine-induced immunity, as this has not yet been measured. We account for the fact that known COVID-positive cases may not have been included in the first round of vaccination. And, we account for age-specific immune patterns in both states at the time of the start of the vaccination program. Our analysis assumes that health systems during winter 2020-2021 had equal staffing and capacity to previous phases of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic; we do not consider the effects of understaffed hospitals or unvaccinated medical staff. RESULTS: We find that allocating a substantial proportion (>75%) of vaccine supply to individuals over the age of 70 is optimal in terms of reducing total cumulative deaths through mid-2021. This result is robust to different profiles of waning vaccine efficacy and several different assumptions on age mixing during and after lockdown periods. As we do not explicitly model other high-mortality groups, our results on vaccine allocation apply to all groups at high risk of mortality if infected. A median of 327 to 340 deaths can be avoided in Rhode Island (3444 to 3647 in Massachusetts) by optimizing vaccine allocation and vaccinating the elderly first. The vaccination campaigns are expected to save a median of 639 to 664 lives in Rhode Island and 6278 to 6618 lives in Massachusetts in the first half of 2021 when compared to a scenario with no vaccine. A policy of vaccinating only seronegative individuals avoids redundancy in vaccine use on individuals that may already be immune, and would result in 0.5% to 1% reductions in cumulative hospitalizations and deaths by mid-2021. CONCLUSIONS: Assuming high vaccination coverage (>28%) and no major changes in distancing, masking, gathering size, hygiene guidelines, and virus transmissibility between 1 January 2021 and 1 July 2021 a combination of vaccination and population immunity may lead to low or near-zero transmission levels by the second quarter of 2021.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19/provisão & distribuição , COVID-19 , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis/organização & administração , Alocação de Recursos para a Atenção à Saúde/organização & administração , Alocação de Recursos/organização & administração , Cobertura Vacinal , Vacinação , Fatores Etários , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Humanos , Incidência , Massachusetts/epidemiologia , Modelos Teóricos , Saúde Pública/métodos , Saúde Pública/normas , Rhode Island/epidemiologia , SARS-CoV-2 , Vacinação/métodos , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos , Cobertura Vacinal/estatística & dados numéricos , Cobertura Vacinal/provisão & distribuição
20.
Am J Public Health ; 111(8): 1489-1496, 2021 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34197180

RESUMO

The COVID-19 pandemic and its social and health impact have underscored the need for a new strategic science agenda for public health. To optimize public health impact, high-quality strategic science addresses scientific gaps that inform policy and guide practice. At least 6 scientific gaps emerge from the US experience with COVID-19: health equity science, data science and modernization, communication science, policy analysis and translation, scientific collaboration, and climate science. Addressing these areas within a strategic public health science agenda will accelerate achievement of public health goals. Public health leadership and scientists have an unprecedented opportunity to use strategic science to guide a new era of improved and equitable public health.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , Equidade em Saúde/organização & administração , Planejamento em Saúde/métodos , Determinantes Sociais da Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Política de Saúde , Humanos , Saúde Pública/normas , Estados Unidos
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