Clinical evaluation of droplet digital PCR in the early identification of suspected sepsis patients in the emergency department: a prospective observational study.

Background: Rapid and accurate diagnosis of the causative agents is essential for clinical management of bloodstream infections (BSIs) that might induce sepsis/septic shock. A considerable number of suspected sepsis patients initially enter the health-care system through an emergency department (ED), hence it is vital to establish an early strategy to recognize sepsis and initiate prompt care in ED. This study aimed to evaluate the diagnostic performance and clinical value of droplet digital PCR (ddPCR) assay in suspected sepsis patients in the ED. Methods: This was a prospective single-centered observational study including patients admitted to the ED from 25 October 2022 to 3 June 2023 with suspected BSIs screened by Modified Shapiro Score (MSS) score. The comparison between ddPCR and blood culture (BC) was performed to evaluate the diagnostic performance of ddPCR for BSIs. Meanwhile, correlative analysis between ddPCR and the inflammatory and prognostic-related biomarkers were conducted to explore the relevance. Further, the health economic evaluation of the ddPCR was analyzed. Results: 258 samples from 228 patients, with BC and ddPCR performed simultaneously, were included in this study. We found that ddPCR results were positive in 48.13% (103 of 214) of episodes, with identification of 132 pathogens. In contrast, BC only detected 18 positives, 88.89% of which were identified by ddPCR. When considering culture-proven BSIs, ddPCR shows an overall sensitivity of 88.89% and specificity of 55.61%, the optimal diagnostic power for quantifying BSI through ddPCR is achieved with a copy cutoff of 155.5. We further found that ddPCR exhibited a high accuracy especially in liver abscess patients. Among all the identified virus by ddPCR, EBV has a substantially higher positive rate with a link to immunosuppression. Moreover, the copies of pathogens in ddPCR were positively correlated with various markers of inflammation, coagulation, immunity as well as prognosis. With high sensitivity and specificity, ddPCR facilitates precision antimicrobial stewardship and reduces health care costs. Conclusions: The multiplexed ddPCR delivers precise and quantitative load data on the causal pathogen, offers the ability to monitor the patient's condition and may serve as early warning of sepsis in time-urgent clinical situations as ED. Importance: Early detection and effective administration of antibiotics are essential to improve clinical outcomes for those with life-threatening infection in the emergency department. ddPCR, an emerging tool for rapid and sensitive pathogen identification used as a precise bedside test, has developed to address the current challenges of BSI diagnosis and precise treatment. It characterizes sensitivity, specificity, reproducibility, and absolute quantifications without a standard curve. ddPCR can detect causative pathogens and related resistance genes in patients with suspected BSIs within a span of three hours. In addition, it can identify polymicrobial BSIs and dynamically monitor changes in pathogenic microorganisms in the blood and can be used to evaluate antibiotic efficacy and survival prognosis. Moreover, the copies of pathogens in ddPCR were positively correlated with various markers of inflammation, coagulation, immunity. With high sensitivity and specificity, ddPCR facilitates precision antimicrobial stewardship and reduces health care costs.

Association Between Medicare's Sepsis Reporting Policy (SEP-1) and the Documentation of a Sepsis Diagnosis in the Clinical Record.

STUDY DESIGN: Interrupted time series analysis of a retrospective, electronic health record cohort. OBJECTIVE: To determine the association between the implementation of Medicare's sepsis reporting measure (SEP-1) and sepsis diagnosis rates as assessed in clinical documentation. BACKGROUND: The role of health policy in the effort to improve sepsis diagnosis remains unclear. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Adult patients hospitalized with suspected infection and organ dysfunction within 6 hours of presentation to the emergency department, admitted to one of 11 hospitals in a multi-hospital health system from January 2013 to December 2017. Clinician-diagnosed sepsis, as reflected by the inclusion of the terms "sepsis" or "septic" in the text of clinical notes in the first two calendar days following presentation. RESULTS: Among 44,074 adult patients with sepsis admitted to 11 hospitals over 5 years, the proportion with sepsis documentation was 32.2% just before the implementation of SEP-1 in the third quarter of 2015 and increased to 37.3% by the fourth quarter of 2017. Of the 9 post-SEP-1 quarters, 8 had odds ratios for a sepsis diagnosis >1 (overall range: 0.98-1.26; P value for a joint test of statistical significance = 0.005). The effects were clinically modest, with a maximum effect of an absolute increase of 4.2% (95% CI: 0.9-7.8) at the end of the study period. The effect was greater in patients who did not require vasopressors compared with patients who required vasopressors ( P value for test of interaction = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: SEP-1 implementation was associated with modest increases in sepsis diagnosis rates, primarily among patients who did not require vasoactive medications.

[Meta analysis of the predictive efficacy of various derived indicators of sequential organ failure assessment in outcomes of patients with sepsis].

OBJECTIVE: To systematically review and evaluate the predictive efficacy of various derived indicators of sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) in mortality rate of sepsis patients. METHODS: Literature on sepsis and SOFA scores were searched in PubMed, Embase and Cochrane Library. The retrieval time will be set to the time of database-building to February, 2023. The main outcome measures included 28-day mortality, 30-day mortality, in-hospital mortality, intensive care unit (ICU) mortality and long-term mortality. Literature screening, data extraction and quality evaluation were carried out independently by 2 researchers. Data were analyzed by Revman 5.3.5, Meta-disc and Stata software. Deek funnel plots were used to assess publication bias in the included studies. RESULTS: A total of 40 articles including 51 trials were included. Of these, 32 were in English and 8 in Chinese, 17 were in prospective trials and 34 were in retrospective trials, 38 were in initial SOFA-related trials and 9 were in the change of SOFA score (ΔSOFA)-related studies, a total of 59 962 patients were enrolled. (1) The area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) of initial SOFA and ΔSOFA for predicting outcome in sepsis was 0.773 and 0.787 (Z = 0.115, P > 0.05), respectively. There was no significant difference between the two indexes in predicting the outcome of patients with sepsis. (2) In subgroup analysis, due to limitations in the number of literature articles, the 28-day mortality rate and 30-day mortality rate were merged for discussion. The predictive power of ΔSOFA for 28-day or 30-day mortality was significantly higher than that of initial SOFA (AUC was 0.854, 0.787, Z = 2.603, P ≤ 0.01). (3) There were few studies on ΔSOFA in predicting in-hospital mortality, ICU mortality and long-term mortality of sepsis patients. The AUC of the initial SOFA for predicting the study endpoints described above was: ICU mortality (0.814) > 28-day or 30-day mortality (0.787) > in-hospital mortality (0.697) > long-term mortality (0.646). (4) Initial SOFA and ΔSOFA in patients with sepsis of non-Han original had good predictive performance and there was no significant difference between them (AUC was 0.766, 0.811, respectively). However, the pooled sensitivity of ΔSOFA was higher (92%). (5) In prospective studies, initial SOFA was better at predicting outcomes in patients with sepsis (AUC was 0.804, pooled sensitivity 64%). The sensitivity of ΔSOFA indicators in predicting the outcome of sepsis patients was significantly higher than the initial SOFA (78% vs. 64%). The funnel plot showed that there was no significant publication bias in the included literature. CONCLUSIONS: ΔSOFA has a relatively high diagnostic efficacy in predicting short-term (28-day or 30-day) mortality in patients with sepsis.

Prehospital early warning scores for adults with suspected sepsis: the PHEWS observational cohort and decision-analytic modelling study.

Background: Guidelines for sepsis recommend treating those at highest risk within 1 hour. The emergency care system can only achieve this if sepsis is recognised and prioritised. Ambulance services can use prehospital early warning scores alongside paramedic diagnostic impression to prioritise patients for treatment or early assessment in the emergency department. Objectives: To determine the accuracy, impact and cost-effectiveness of using early warning scores alongside paramedic diagnostic impression to identify sepsis requiring urgent treatment. Design: Retrospective diagnostic cohort study and decision-analytic modelling of operational consequences and cost-effectiveness. Setting: Two ambulance services and four acute hospitals in England. Participants: Adults transported to hospital by emergency ambulance, excluding episodes with injury, mental health problems, cardiac arrest, direct transfer to specialist services, or no vital signs recorded. Interventions: Twenty-one early warning scores used alongside paramedic diagnostic impression, categorised as sepsis, infection, non-specific presentation, or other specific presentation. Main outcome measures: Proportion of cases prioritised at the four hospitals; diagnostic accuracy for the sepsis-3 definition of sepsis and receiving urgent treatment (primary reference standard); daily number of cases with and without sepsis prioritised at a large and a small hospital; the minimum treatment effect associated with prioritisation at which each strategy would be cost-effective, compared to no prioritisation, assuming willingness to pay £20,000 per quality-adjusted life-year gained. Results: Data from 95,022 episodes involving 71,204 patients across four hospitals showed that most early warning scores operating at their pre-specified thresholds would prioritise more than 10% of cases when applied to non-specific attendances or all attendances. Data from 12,870 episodes at one hospital identified 348 (2.7%) with the primary reference standard. The National Early Warning Score, version 2 (NEWS2), had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve when applied only to patients with a paramedic diagnostic impression of sepsis or infection (0.756, 95% confidence interval 0.729 to 0.783) or sepsis alone (0.655, 95% confidence interval 0.63 to 0.68). None of the strategies provided high sensitivity (> 0.8) with acceptable positive predictive value (> 0.15). NEWS2 provided combinations of sensitivity and specificity that were similar or superior to all other early warning scores. Applying NEWS2 to paramedic diagnostic impression of sepsis or infection with thresholds of > 4, > 6 and > 8 respectively provided sensitivities and positive predictive values (95% confidence interval) of 0.522 (0.469 to 0.574) and 0.216 (0.189 to 0.245), 0.447 (0.395 to 0.499) and 0.274 (0.239 to 0.313), and 0.314 (0.268 to 0.365) and 0.333 (confidence interval 0.284 to 0.386). The mortality relative risk reduction from prioritisation at which each strategy would be cost-effective exceeded 0.975 for all strategies analysed. Limitations: We estimated accuracy using a sample of older patients at one hospital. Reliable evidence was not available to estimate the effectiveness of prioritisation in the decision-analytic modelling. Conclusions: No strategy is ideal but using NEWS2, in patients with a paramedic diagnostic impression of infection or sepsis could identify one-third to half of sepsis cases without prioritising unmanageable numbers. No other score provided clearly superior accuracy to NEWS2. Research is needed to develop better definition, diagnosis and treatments for sepsis. Study registration: This study is registered as Research Registry (reference: researchregistry5268). Funding: This award was funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme (NIHR award ref: 17/136/10) and is published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 28, No. 16. See the NIHR Funding and Awards website for further award information.

Sepsis is a life-threatening condition in which an abnormal response to infection causes heart, lung or kidney failure. People with sepsis need urgent treatment. They need to be prioritised at the emergency department rather than waiting in the queue. Paramedics attempt to identify people with possible sepsis using an early warning score (based on simple measurements, such as blood pressure and heart rate) alongside their impression of the patient's diagnosis. They can then alert the hospital to assess the patient quickly. However, an inaccurate early warning score might miss cases of sepsis or unnecessarily prioritise people without sepsis. We aimed to measure how accurately early warning scores identified people with sepsis when used alongside paramedic diagnostic impression. We collected data from 71,204 people that two ambulance services transported to four different hospitals in 2019. We recorded paramedic diagnostic impressions and calculated early warning scores for each patient. At one hospital, we linked ambulance records to hospital records and identified who had sepsis. We then calculated the accuracy of using the scores alongside diagnostic impression to diagnose sepsis. Finally, we used modelling to predict how many patients (with and without sepsis) paramedics would prioritise using different strategies based on early warning scores and diagnostic impression. We found that none of the currently available early warning scores were ideal. When they were applied to all patients, they prioritised too many people. When they were only applied to patients whom the paramedics thought had infection, they missed many cases of sepsis. The NEWS2, score, which ambulance services already use, was as good as or better than all the other scores we studied. We found that using the NEWS2, score in people with a paramedic impression of infection could achieve a reasonable balance between prioritising too many patients and avoiding missing patients with sepsis.

Clinical impact and cost-consequence analysis of ePlex® blood culture identification panels for the rapid diagnosis of bloodstream infections: a single-center randomized controlled trial.

To assess clinical impact and perform cost-consequence analysis of the broadest multiplex PCR panels available for the rapid diagnosis of bloodstream infections (BSI). Single-center, randomized controlled trial conducted from June 2019 to February 2021 at a French University hospital with an institutional antimicrobial stewardship program. Primary endpoint was the percentage of patients with optimized antimicrobial treatment 12 h after transmission of positivity and Gram stain results from the first positive BC. This percentage was significantly higher in the multiplex PCR (mPCR) group (90/105 = 85.7% %, CI95% [77.5 ; 91.8] vs. 68/107 = 63.6%, CI95% [53.7 ; 72.6]; p < 10- 3) at interim analysis, resulting in the early termination of the study after the inclusion of 309 patients. For patients not optimized at baseline, the median time to obtain an optimized therapy was much shorter in the mPCR group than in the control group (6.9 h, IQR [2.9; 17.8] vs. 26.4 h, IQR [3.4; 47.5]; p = 0.001). Early optimization of antibiotic therapy resulted in a non-statistically significant decrease in mortality from 12.4 to 8.8% (p = 0.306), with a trend towards a shorter median length of stay (18 vs. 20 days; p = 0.064) and a non-significant reduction in the average cost per patient of €3,065 (p = 0.15). mPCR identified all the bacteria present in 88% of the samples. Despite its higher laboratory cost, the use of multiplex PCR for BSI diagnosis leads to early-optimised therapy, seems cost-effective and could reduce mortality and length of stay. Their impact could probably be improved if implemented 24/7.

Biomarkers Improve Diagnostics of Sepsis in Adult Patients With Suspected Organ Dysfunction Based on the Quick Sepsis-Related Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) Score in the Emergency Department.

OBJECTIVES: Consensus regarding biomarkers for detection of infection-related organ dysfunction in the emergency department is lacking. We aimed to identify and validate biomarkers that could improve risk prediction for overt or incipient organ dysfunction when added to quick Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) as a screening tool. DESIGN: In a large prospective multicenter cohort of adult patients presenting to the emergency department with a qSOFA score greater than or equal to 1, admission plasma levels of C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, adrenomedullin (either bioavailable adrenomedullin or midregional fragment of proadrenomedullin), proenkephalin, and dipeptidyl peptidase 3 were assessed. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression was applied to assess the impact of these biomarkers alone or in combination to detect the primary endpoint of prediction of sepsis within 96 hours of admission. SETTING: Three tertiary emergency departments at German University Hospitals (Jena University Hospital and two sites of the Charité University Hospital, Berlin). PATIENTS: One thousand four hundred seventy-seven adult patients presenting with suspected organ dysfunction based on qSOFA score greater than or equal to 1. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The cohort was of moderate severity with 81% presenting with qSOFA = 1; 29.2% of these patients developed sepsis. Procalcitonin outperformed all other biomarkers regarding the primary endpoint (area under the curve for receiver operating characteristic [AUC-ROC], 0.86 [0.79-0.93]). Adding other biomarkers failed to further improve the AUC-ROC for the primary endpoint; however, they improved the model regarding several secondary endpoints, such as mortality, need for vasopressors, or dialysis. Addition of procalcitonin with a cutoff level of 0.25 ng/mL improved net (re)classification by 35.2% compared with qSOFA alone, with positive and negative predictive values of 60.7% and 88.7%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Biomarkers of infection and organ dysfunction, most notably procalcitonin, substantially improve early prediction of sepsis with added value to qSOFA alone as a simple screening tool on emergency department admission.

Biomarker Assessment of a High-Risk, Data-Driven Pediatric Sepsis Phenotype Characterized by Persistent Hypoxemia, Encephalopathy, and Shock.

OBJECTIVES: Identification of children with sepsis-associated multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) at risk for poor outcomes remains a challenge. We sought to the determine reproducibility of the data-driven "persistent hypoxemia, encephalopathy, and shock" (PHES) phenotype and determine its association with inflammatory and endothelial biomarkers, as well as biomarker-based pediatric risk strata. DESIGN: We retrained and validated a random forest classifier using organ dysfunction subscores in the 2012-2018 electronic health record (EHR) dataset used to derive the PHES phenotype. We used this classifier to assign phenotype membership in a test set consisting of prospectively (2003-2023) enrolled pediatric septic shock patients. We compared profiles of the PERSEVERE family of biomarkers among those with and without the PHES phenotype and determined the association with established biomarker-based mortality and MODS risk strata. SETTING: Twenty-five PICUs across the United States. PATIENTS: EHR data from 15,246 critically ill patients with sepsis-associated MODS split into derivation and validation sets and 1,270 pediatric septic shock patients in the test set of whom 615 had complete biomarker data. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The area under the receiver operator characteristic curve of the modified classifier to predict PHES phenotype membership was 0.91 (95% CI, 0.90-0.92) in the EHR validation set. In the test set, PHES phenotype membership was associated with both increased adjusted odds of complicated course (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 4.1; 95% CI, 3.2-5.4) and 28-day mortality (aOR of 4.8; 95% CI, 3.11-7.25) after controlling for age, severity of illness, and immunocompromised status. Patients belonging to the PHES phenotype were characterized by greater degree of systemic inflammation and endothelial activation, and were more likely to be stratified as high risk based on PERSEVERE biomarkers predictive of death and persistent MODS. CONCLUSIONS: The PHES trajectory-based phenotype is reproducible, independently associated with poor clinical outcomes, and overlapped with higher risk strata based on prospectively validated biomarker approaches.

Affordable blood culture systems from China: in vitro evaluation for use in resource-limited settings.

BACKGROUND: Bloodstream infections (BSI) pose a significant threat due to high mortality rates and the challenges posed by antimicrobial resistance (AMR). In 2019, an estimated 4.95 million deaths were linked to bacterial AMR. The highest impact was seen in resource-limited settings (RLS). For diagnosis of BSI, performant continuously-monitoring blood culture systems (CMBCS) have been optimized. However, in RLS, the implementation of CMBCS is hindered by budget constraints and unsuitable environmental conditions. Manufacturers from growing economies are currently producing affordable in vitro diagnostics, which could fill the gap in capacity, but so far these are not established outside their domestic markets. METHODS: This study evaluated the performance, usability, and interchangeability of Chinese CMBCS in a laboratory setting using simulated blood cultures with a panel of 20 BSI-associated strains. Four systems were selected for the assessment: Autobio BC60, Mindray TDR60, Scenker Labstar50, and DL-biotech DL-60. FINDINGS: Overall, all evaluated CMBCS demonstrated good performance with high yield (96.7-100%) and specificity (97.5-100%), comparable to the reference system (bioMérieux 3D). In addition, when used as "manual" blood cultures in a conventional incubator with visual growth detection, performance was also satisfactory: yield was between 90 and 100% and specificity was 100% for all BCBs. Both the CMBCS and the BCBs were easy to use and lot-to-lot variability in BCBs was minimal. The interchangeability testing indicated that the BCBs from different brands (all except Scenker) were compatible with the various automates, further highlighting the potential for a harmonized "universal BCB." INTERPRETATION: Based on this in vitro study, we recommend the use of these systems in settings with challenging environments and limited resources. The Autobio system performed best for automatic detection and DL-Biotech BCBs for manual cultures respectively (combination of performance, price, usability). The appropriateness for use in RLS should still be confirmed in a field study. FUNDING: The study was funded by FIND.

The role of lactate-to-albumin ratio to predict 30-day risk of death in patients with sepsis in the emergency department: a decision tree analysis.

BACKGROUND: Accurately estimating the prognosis of septic patients on arrival in the emergency department (ED) is clinically challenging. The lactate-to-albumin ratio (LAR) has recently been proposed to improve the predictive performance of septic patients admitted to the ICU. OBJECTIVES: This study aims to assess whether the LAR could be used as an early prognostic marker of 30-day mortality in patients with sepsis in the ED. METHODS: A prospective observational study was conducted in the ED of the Hospital of Merano. All patients with a diagnosis of sepsis were considered. The LAR was recorded on arrival in the ED. The primary outcome measure was mortality at 30 days. The predictive role of the LAR for mortality was evaluated with the area under the ROC curve, logistic regression adjusted for the Charlson Comorbidity Index value, National Early Warning Score, and Sequential Organ Failure score, and with decision tree analysis. RESULTS: 459 patients were enrolled, of whom 17% (78/459) died at 30 days. The median LAR of the patients who died at 30 days (0.78 [0.45-1.19]) was significantly higher than the median LAR of survivors (0.42 [0.27-0.65]) (p < 0.001). The discriminatory ability of the LAR for death at 30 days was 0.738, higher than that of lactate alone (0.692), and slightly lower than that of albumin alone (0.753). The decision trees confirmed the role of the LAR as an independent risk factor for mortality. CONCLUSION: The LAR can be used as an index to better predict the 30-day risk of death in septic patients.

Assessment of urine CCL2 as a potential diagnostic biomarker for acute kidney injury and septic acute kidney injury in intensive care unit patients.

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a prevalent and serious condition in the intensive care unit (ICU), associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Septic acute kidney injury (SAKI) contributes substantially to AKI cases in the ICU. However, current diagnostic methods have limitations, necessitating the exploration of novel biomarkers. In this study, we investigated the potential of plasma and urine CCL2 levels as diagnostic markers for AKI and SAKI in 216 ICU patients. Our findings revealed significant differences in plasma (p < 0.01) and urine CCL2 (p < 0.0001) levels between AKI and non-AKI patients in the ICU. Notably, urine CCL2 demonstrated promising predictive value for AKI, exhibiting high specificity and sensitivity (AUC = 0.8976; p < 0.0001). Furthermore, we observed higher urine CCL2 levels in SAKI compared to non-septic AKI (p < 0.001) and urine CCL2 could also differentiate SAKI from non-septic AKI (AUC = 0.7597; p < 0.0001). These results suggest that urine CCL2 levels hold promise as early biomarkers for AKI and SAKI, offering valuable insights for timely intervention and improved management of ICU patients.

Beyond SEP-1 Compliance: Assessing the Impact of Antibiotic Overtreatment and Fluid Overload in Suspected Septic Patients.

BACKGROUND: The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) developed the Severe Sepsis and Septic Shock Performance Measure bundle (SEP-1) metric to improve sepsis care, but evidence supporting this bundle is limited and harms secondary to compliance have not been investigated. OBJECTIVE: This study investigates the effect of an emergency department (ED) sepsis quality-improvement (QI) effort to improve CMS SEP-1 compliance, looking specifically at antibiotic overtreatment and harm from fluid resuscitation. METHODS: This was a retrospective observational study conducted between March and July 2021 with patients for whom a sepsis order set was initiated. The primary outcomes included the number of patients treated with antibiotics who were ultimately deemed nonseptic and the number of patients who developed pulmonary edema, with or without need for positive pressure ventilation (PPV), within 48 h of receiving a 30 mL/kg fluid bolus. Data were collected via nonblinded chart reviews, with a free marginal κ-calculation indicating excellent interrater reliability. RESULTS: The study cohort included 273 patients, 170 (62.3%) who were ultimately determined to be septic and 103 (37.7%) who were nonseptic. Of the 103 nonseptic patients, 82 (79.6%) received antibiotics in the ED. Of the 121 patients (44.3%) who received a 30 mL/kg bolus, 5 patients (4.1%) developed pulmonary edema and 0 of 121 patients required PPV within 48 h. CONCLUSIONS: The QI effort led to moderate rates of antibiotic overtreatment and very few patients developed pulmonary edema due to a 30 mL/kg fluid bolus.

Central Line-Associated Bloodstream Infection Misclassifications-Rethinking the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Central Line-Associated Bloodstream Infection Definition and Its Implications.

Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services imparts financial penalties for central line-associated bloodstream infections (CLABSIs) and other healthcare-acquired infections. Data for this purpose is obtained from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)'s National Health Safety Network. We present examples of misclassification of bloodstream infections into CLABSI by the CDC's definition and present the financial implications of such misclassification and potential long-term implications.

Micromotor-based dual aptassay for early cost-effective diagnosis of neonatal sepsis.

Given the long-life expectancy of the newborn, research aimed at improving sepsis diagnosis and management in this population has been recognized as cost-effective, which at early stages continues to be a tremendous challenge. Despite there is not an ideal-specific biomarker, the simultaneous detection of biomarkers with different behavior during an infection such as procalcitonin (PCT) as high specificity biomarker with one of the earliest biomarkers in sepsis as interleukin-6 (IL-6) increases diagnostic performance. This is not only due to their high positive predictive value but also, since it can also help the clinician to rule out infection and thus avoid the use of antibiotics, due to their high negative predictive value. To this end, we explore a cutting-edge micromotor (MM)-based OFF-ON dual aptassay for simultaneous determination of both biomarkers in 15 min using just 2 µL of sample from low-birth-weight neonates with gestational age less than 32 weeks and birthweight below 1000 g with clinical suspicion of late-onset sepsis. The approach reached the high sensitivities demanded in the clinical scenario (LODPCT = 0.003 ng/mL, LODIL6 = 0.15 pg/mL) with excellent correlation performance (r > 0.9990, p < 0.05) of the MM-based approach with the Hospital method for both biomarkers during the analysis of diagnosed samples and reliability (Er < 6% for PCT, and Er < 4% for IL-6). The proposed approach also encompasses distinctive technical attributes in a clinical scenario since its minimal sample volume requirements and expeditious results compatible with few easy-to-obtain drops of heel stick blood samples from newborns admitted to the neonatal intensive care unit. This would enable the monitoring of both sepsis biomarkers within the initial hours after the manifestation of symptoms in high-risk neonates as a valuable tool in facilitating prompt and well-informed decisions about the initiation of antibiotic therapy.These results revealed the asset behind micromotor technology for multiplexing analysis in diagnosing neonatal sepsis, opening new avenues in low sample volume-based diagnostics.

Potential impact of a new sepsis prediction model for the primary care setting: early health economic evaluation using an observational cohort.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the potential referral rate and cost impact at different cut-off points of a recently developed sepsis prediction model for general practitioners (GPs). DESIGN: Prospective observational study with decision tree modelling. SETTING: Four out-of-hours GP services in the Netherlands. PARTICIPANTS: 357 acutely ill adult patients assessed during home visits. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome is the cost per patient from a healthcare perspective in four scenarios based on different cut-off points for referral of the sepsis prediction model. Second, the number of hospital referrals for the different scenarios is estimated. The potential impact of referral of patients with sepsis on mortality and hospital admission was estimated by an expert panel. Using these study data, a decision tree with a time horizon of 1 month was built to estimate the referral rate and cost impact in case the model would be implemented. RESULTS: Referral rates at a low cut-off (score 2 or 3 on a scale from 0 to 6) of the prediction model were higher than observed for patients with sepsis (99% and 91%, respectively, compared with 88% observed). However, referral was also substantially higher for patients who did not need hospital assessment. As a consequence, cost-savings due to referral of patients with sepsis were offset by increased costs due to unnecessary referral for all cut-offs of the prediction model. CONCLUSIONS: Guidance for referral of adult patients with suspected sepsis in the primary care setting using any cut-off point of the sepsis prediction model is not likely to save costs. The model should only be incorporated in sepsis guidelines for GPs if improvement of care can be demonstrated in an implementation study. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: Dutch Trial Register (NTR 7026).

Evaluation of the "Neonatal Sequential Organ Failure Assessment" to Predict Mortality in Late-Onset Sepsis in Very Preterm Infants.

INTRODUCTION: We aimed to evaluate the use of "Neonatal Sequential Organ Failure Assessment" (nSOFA) scoring in predicting mortality, to compare the accuracy of nSOFA scores at different time points in very preterm infants with late-onset sepsis (LOS), and to investigate other possible parameters that would improve the prediction. METHODS: This single-center, retrospective study included preterm infants born atS<32 weeks' gestation with culture-proven LOS. The nSOFA scores of non-fatal and fatal episodes were compared at nine time points. RESULTS: Of 120 culture-proven LOS episodes in 106 infants, 90 (75%) episodes were non-fatal and 30 (25%) episodes were fatal. The mean birth weight (BW) of the infants who died was lower than that of survivors (p=0.038). In the fatal LOS episodes, median nSOFA scores were higher at all time points measured before sepsis evaluation, at the time of evaluation, and at all time points measured after the evaluation (p<0.001). nSOFA scores before death and at 48 hours were higher in the fatal episodes (p<0.001). At the time of sepsis assessment, nSOFA score>4 was associated with a 7- to 16-fold increased risk of mortality. Adjustment for BW, lymphocyte and monocyte counts increased the risk to 9- to 18-fold. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrated that the use of nSOFA to predict mortality and morbidity in extremely preterm infants seems feasible. The scoring system could be improved by evaluating the other parameters.

Enhanced Category-Based Risk Assessment for Neonatal Early-Onset Sepsis: A Prospective Observational Study.

INTRODUCTION: Compared with multivariate risk assessment, traditional category-based risk assessment (CRA) approaches for neonatal early-onset sepsis (EOS) screening are usually straightforward to use, do not require electronic devices, but are associated with higher rates of antibiotic use. This study aims to evaluate the performance of a novel enhanced CRA (eCRA) framework on EOS admissions and antibiotic use and to investigate whether a modified version with adjustments in risk factor weighting can allow its performance to match the EOS calculator while remaining easy to implement. METHOD: This is a prospective, single-center, two-phase observational study. Infants of all gestations delivered in a tertiary hospital in Hong Kong with risk factors or clinical features of EOS were recruited. PHASE I: A novel eCRA framework (period 2) was compared with the CDC 2010-based protocol (period 1). PHASE II: A modified eCRA framework was compared theoretically with the EOS calculator. EOS-specific admissions and antibiotic use were measured. RESULTS: Phase I: 1,025 at-risk infants were recruited during period 2 and compared with 757 infants of period 1. Admissions and antibiotic use decreased from 45.8% to 29.4% and 41.1% to 28.2%, respectively. Antibiotics among those at-risk but well-appearing infants decreased from 25.3% to 16.3% (p < 0.001 for all). PHASE II: antibiotic use was similar (7.3 vs. 6.4%, p = 0.42) between the modified eCRA framework and the EOS calculator. CONCLUSIONS: An eCRA framework can effectively and safely provide individualized guidance for EOS screening without the need for tools such as the EOS calculator.

Validation of the time to attain maximal clot amplitude after reaching maximal clot formation velocity parameter as a measure of fibrinolysis using rotational thromboelastometry and its application in the assessment of fibrinolytic resistance in septic patients: a prospective observational study: communication from the ISTH SSC Subcommittee on Fibrinolysis.

BACKGROUND: In sepsis, fibrinolysis resistance correlates with worse outcomes. Practically, rotational thromboelastometry (ROTEM) is used to report residual clot amplitude relative to maximum amplitude at specified times after clot formation clot lysis indices (CLIs). However, healthy individuals can exhibit similar CLIs, thus making it challenging to solely diagnose the low fibrinolytic state. Furthermore, CLI does not include the kinetics of clot formation, which can affect overall fibrinolysis. Therefore, a more nuanced analysis, such as time to attain maximal clot amplitude after reaching maximal clot formation velocity (t-AUCi), is needed to better identify fibrinolysis resistance in sepsis. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the correlation between the degree of fibrinolytic activation and t-AUCi in healthy or septic individuals. METHODS: Whole blood (n = 60) from septic or healthy donors was analyzed using tissue factor-activated (EXTEM) and nonactivated (NATEM) ROTEM assays. Lysis was initiated with tissue-type plasminogen activator, and CLI and t-AUCi were calculated. Standard coagulation tests and plasma fibrinolysis markers (D-dimer, plasmin-α2-antiplasmin complex, plasminogen activator inhibitor type 1, and plasminogen) were also measured. RESULTS: t-AUCi values decreased with increasing fibrinolytic activity and correlated positively with CLI for different degrees of clot lysis both in EXTEM and NATEM. t-AUCi cutoff value of 1962.0 seconds in EXTEM predicted low fibrinolytic activity with 81.8% sensitivity and 83.7% specificity. In addition, t-AUCi is not influenced by clot retraction. CONCLUSION: Whole-blood point-of-care ROTEM analyses with t-AUCi offers a more rapid and parametric evaluation of fibrinolytic potential compared with CLI, which can be used for a more rapid and accurate diagnosis of fibrinolysis resistance in sepsis.

Provider-to-provider telehealth for sepsis patients in a cohort of rural emergency departments.

BACKGROUND: Telehealth has been proposed as one strategy to improve the quality of time-sensitive sepsis care in rural emergency departments (EDs). The purpose of this study was to measure the association between telehealth-supplemented ED (tele-ED) care, health care costs, and clinical outcomes among patients with sepsis in rural EDs. METHODS: Cohort study using Medicare fee-for-service claims data for beneficiaries treated for sepsis in rural EDs between February 1, 2017, and September 30, 2019. Our primary hospital-level analysis used multivariable generalized estimating equations to measure the association between treatment in a tele-ED-capable hospital and 30-day total costs of care. In our supporting secondary analysis, we conducted a propensity-matched analysis of patients who used tele-ED with matched controls from non-tele-ED-capable hospitals. Our primary outcome was total health care payments among index hospitalized patients between the index ED visit and 30 days after hospital discharge, and our secondary outcomes included hospital mortality, hospital length of stay, 90-day mortality, 28-day hospital-free days, and 30-day inpatient readmissions. RESULTS: In our primary analysis, sepsis patients in tele-ED-capable hospitals had 6.7% higher (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.1%-11.5%) total health care costs compared to those in non-tele-ED-capable hospitals. In our propensity-matched patient-level analysis, total health care costs were 23% higher (95% CI 16.5%-30.4%) in tele-ED cases than matched non-tele-ED controls. Clinical outcomes were similar. CONCLUSIONS: Tele-ED capability in a mature rural tele-ED network was not associated with decreased health care costs or improved clinical outcomes. Future work is needed to reduce rural-urban sepsis care disparities and formalize systems of regionalized care.

Modified Cardiovascular Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score in Sepsis: External Validation in Intensive Care Unit Patients.

BACKGROUND: There is a need to update the cardiovascular (CV) Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score to reflect the current practice in sepsis. We previously proposed the modified CV SOFA score from data on blood pressure, norepinephrine equivalent dose, and lactate as gathered from emergency departments. In this study, we externally validated the modified CV SOFA score in multicenter intensive care unit (ICU) patients. METHODS: A multicenter retrospective observational study was conducted on ICU patients at six hospitals in Korea. We included adult patients with sepsis who were admitted to ICUs. We compared the prognostic performance of the modified CV/total SOFA score and the original CV/total SOFA score in predicting 28-day mortality. Discrimination and calibration were evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and the calibration curve, respectively. RESULTS: We analyzed 1,015 ICU patients with sepsis. In overall patients, the 28-day mortality rate was 31.2%. The predictive validity of the modified CV SOFA (AUROC, 0.712; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.677-0.746; P < 0.001) was significantly higher than that of the original CV SOFA (AUROC, 0.644; 95% CI, 0.611-0.677). The predictive validity of modified total SOFA score for 28-day mortality was significantly higher than that of the original total SOFA (AUROC, 0.747 vs. 0.730; 95% CI, 0.715-0.779; P = 0.002). The calibration curve of the original CV SOFA for 28-day mortality showed poor calibration. In contrast, the calibration curve of the modified CV SOFA for 28-day mortality showed good calibration. CONCLUSION: In patients with sepsis in the ICU, the modified SOFA score performed better than the original SOFA score in predicting 28-day mortality.

Establishment of a differential diagnosis method and an online prediction platform for AOSD and sepsis based on gradient boosting decision trees algorithm.

OBJECTIVE: The differential diagnosis between adult-onset Still's disease (AOSD) and sepsis has always been a challenge. In this study, a machine learning model for differential diagnosis of AOSD and sepsis was developed and an online platform was developed to facilitate the clinical application of the model. METHODS: All data were collected from 42 AOSD patients and 50 sepsis patients admitted to Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University from December 2018 to December 2021. In addition, 5 AOSD patients and 10 sepsis patients diagnosed in our hospital after March 2022 were collected for external validation. All models were built using the scikit-learn library (version 1.0.2) in Python (version 3.9.7), and feature selection was performed using the SHAP (Shapley Additive exPlanation) package developed in Python. RESULTS: The results showed that the gradient boosting decision tree(GBDT) optimization model based on arthralgia, ferritin × lymphocyte count, white blood cell count, ferritin × platelet count, and α1-acid glycoprotein/creatine kinase could well identify AOSD and sepsis. The training set interaction test (AUC: 0.9916, ACC: 0.9457, Sens: 0.9556, Spec: 0.9578) and the external validation also achieved satisfactory results (AUC: 0.9800, ACC: 0.9333, Sens: 0.8000, Spec: 1.000). We named this discrimination method AIADSS (AI-assisted discrimination of Still's disease and Sepsis) and created an online service platform for practical operation, the website is http://cppdd.cn/STILL1/ . CONCLUSION: We created a method for the identification of AOSD and sepsis based on machine learning. This method can provide a reference for clinicians to formulate the next diagnosis and treatment plan.