Evaluation of Metronomic Therapy as a Low-Cost, Sustainable, Standard-of-Care Option in Desmoid Fibromatosis: Real-World Data From a Tertiary Care Center in India.

PURPOSE: Desmoid fibromatosis (DF) is a locally aggressive tumor with low mortality but significant morbidity. There is a lack of standard of care, and existing therapies are associated with significant barriers including access, cost, and toxicities. This study aimed to explore the efficacy and safety of the metronomic therapy (MT) in DF in a large, homogenous cohort from India. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This study involved histologically confirmed DF cases treated with MT comprising vinblastine (6 mg) and methotrexate (15 mg) both once a week, and tamoxifen (40 mg/m2) in two divided doses once daily between 2002 and 2018. RESULTS: There were 315 patients with a median age of 27 years; the commonest site was extremity (142 of 315; 45.0%). There were 159 (50.1%) male patients. Of the 123 (39.0%) prior treated patients, 119 had surgery. Of 315 patients, 263 (83.5%) received treatment at our institute (MT-151, 77-local treatment, 9-tyrosine kinase inhibitor, and 26 were observed). Among the MT cohort (n = 163, 61.2%), at a median follow-up of 36 (0.5-186) months, the 3-year progression-free and overall survival were 81.1% (95% CI, 74.3 to 88.4) and 99.2% (95% CI, 97.6 to 100), respectively. There were 35% partial responses. Ninety-two patients (56.4%) completed 1-year therapy, which was an independent prognosticator (P < .0001; hazard ratio, 0.177 [95% CI, 0.083 to 0.377]). MT was well tolerated. Predominant grade ≥3 toxicities were febrile neutropenia, 12 (7.4%) without any chemotoxicity-related death. The annual cost of MT was $130 US dollars. CONCLUSION: The novel, low-cost MT qualifies as one of the effective, less toxic, sustainable, standard-of-care options for the treatment of DF with global reach and merits wide recognition.

Formulation, characterization, and cellular toxicity assessment of tamoxifen-loaded silk fibroin nanoparticles in breast cancer.

Silk fibroin (SF) is a natural polymeric biomaterial that is widely adopted for the preparation of drug delivery systems. Herein, we aimed to fabricate and characterize SF nanoparticles loaded with the selective estrogen receptor modulator; tamoxifen citrate (TC-SF-NPs) and to assess their in vitro efficacy against breast cancer cell lines (MCF-7 and MDA-MB-231). TC-loaded SF-NPs were characterized for particle size, morphology, entrapment efficiency, and release profile. In addition, we examined the in vitro cytotoxicity of TC-SF-NPs against human breast cancer cell lines and evaluated the anticancer potential of TC-SF-NPs through apoptosis assay and cell cycle analysis. Drug-loaded SF-NPs showed an average particle size of 186.1 ± 5.9 nm and entrapment efficiency of 79.08%. Scanning electron microscopy (SEM) showed the nanoparticles had a spherical morphology with smooth surface. Tamoxifen release from SF-NPs exhibited a biphasic release profile with an initial burst release within the first 6 h and sustained release for 48 h. TC-SF-NPs exerted a dose-dependent cytotoxic effect against breast cancer cell lines. In addition, flow cytometry analysis revealed that cells accumulate in G0/G1 phase, with a concomitant reduction of S- and G2-M-phase cells upon treatment with TC-SF-NPs. Consequently, the potent anticancer activities of TC-SF-NPs against breast cancer cells were mainly attributed to the induction of apoptosis and cell cycle arrest. Our results indicate that SF nanoparticles may represent an attractive nontoxic nanocarrier for the delivery of anticancer drugs.

Assessment of 25-Year Survival of Women With Estrogen Receptor-Positive/ERBB2-Negative Breast Cancer Treated With and Without Tamoxifen Therapy: A Secondary Analysis of Data From the Stockholm Tamoxifen Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Clinically used breast cancer markers, such as tumor size, tumor grade, progesterone receptor (PR) status, and Ki-67 status, are known to be associated with short-term survival, but the association of these markers with long-term (25-year) survival is unclear. Objective: To assess the association of clinically used breast cancer markers with long-term survival and treatment benefit among postmenopausal women with lymph node-negative, estrogen receptor [ER]-positive and ERBB2-negative breast cancer who received tamoxifen therapy. Design, Setting, and Participants: This study was a secondary analysis of data from a subset of 565 women with ER-positive/ERBB2-negative breast cancer who participated in the Stockholm tamoxifen (STO-3) randomized clinical trial. The STO-3 clinical trial was conducted from 1976 to 1990 and comprised 1780 postmenopausal women with lymph node-negative breast cancer who were randomized to receive adjuvant tamoxifen therapy or no endocrine therapy. Complete 25-year follow-up data through December 31, 2016, were obtained from Swedish national registers. Immunohistochemical markers were reannotated in 2014. Data were analyzed from April to December 2020. Interventions: Patients in the original STO-3 clinical trial were randomized to receive 2 years of tamoxifen therapy vs no endocrine therapy. In 1983, patients who received tamoxifen therapy without cancer recurrence during the 2-year treatment and who consented to continued participation in the STO-3 study were further randomized to receive 3 additional years of tamoxifen therapy or no endocrine therapy. Main Outcomes and Measures: Distant recurrence-free interval (DRFI) by clinically used breast cancer markers was assessed using Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox proportional hazards analyses adjusted for age, period of primary diagnosis, tumor size (T1a and T1b [T1a/b], T1c, and T2), tumor grade (1-3), PR status (positive vs negative), Ki-67 status (low vs medium to high), and STO-3 clinical trial arm (tamoxifen treatment vs no adjuvant treatment). A recursive partitioning analysis was performed to evaluate which markers were able to best estimate long-term DRFI. Results: The study population comprised 565 postmenopausal women (mean [SD] age, 62.0 [5.3] years) with lymph node-negative, ER-positive/ERBB2-negative breast cancer. A statistically significant difference in long-term DRFI was observed by tumor size (88% for T1a/b vs 76% for T1c vs 63% for T2 tumors; log-rank P < .001) and tumor grade (81% for grade 1 vs 77% for grade 2 vs 65% for grade 3 tumors; log-rank P = .02) but not by PR status or Ki-67 status. Patients with smaller tumors (hazard ratio [HR], 0.31 [95% CI, 0.17-0.55] for T1a/b tumors and 0.58 [95% CI, 0.38-0.88] for T1c tumors) and grade 1 tumors (HR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.24-0.95) experienced a significant reduction in the long-term risk of distant recurrence compared with patients with larger (T2) tumors and grade 3 tumors, respectively. A significant tamoxifen treatment benefit was observed among patients with larger tumors (HR, 0.53 [95% CI, 0.32-0.89] for T1c tumors and 0.34 [95% CI, 0.16-0.73] for T2 tumors), lower tumor grades (HR, 0.24 [95% CI, 0.07-0.82] for grade 1 tumors and 0.50 [95% CI, 0.31-0.80] for grade 2 tumors), and PR-positive status (HR, 0.38; 95% CI, 0.24-0.62). The recursive partitioning analysis revealed that tumor size was the most important characteristic associated with long-term survival, followed by clinical trial arm among patients with larger tumors. Conclusions and Relevance: This secondary analysis of data from the STO-3 clinical trial indicated that, among the selected subgroup of patients, tumor size followed by tumor grade were the markers most significantly associated with long-term survival. Furthermore, a significant long-term tamoxifen treatment benefit was observed among patients with larger tumors, lower tumor grades, and PR-positive tumors.

Cost-effectiveness Analysis of CYP2D6*10 Pharmacogenetic Testing to Guide the Adjuvant Endocrine Therapy for Postmenopausal Women with Estrogen Receptor Positive Early Breast Cancer in China.

BACKGROUND: A CYP2D6 gene polymorphism is related to the effect of tamoxifen treatment in patient with estrogen-receptor positive (ER) positive breast cancer and CYP2D6*10 T/T can lead to a poor prognosis in Asian patients. Although one-off pharmacogenetic testing may optimize adjuvant endocrine therapy, testing prior to tamoxifen initiation incurs additional costs. AIM: We conducted a study to assess the cost-effectiveness of CYP2D6*10 pharmacogenetic testing to guide the adjuvant endocrine therapy compared with tamoxifen without CYP2D6*10 testing in China. METHODS: A semi-Markov model was developed to evaluate costs and health outcomes represented as quality adjusted life year (QALY) gained. Input data were obtained from the public literature. The results were expressed as incremental cost per QALY gained. A one-way deterministic sensitivity analysis explored the impact of uncertainty in the model parameters on results, and probabilistic uncertainty was assessed through a Monte Carlo probabilistic sensitivity analysis. RESULTS: In the base-case analysis, in the CYP2D6*10 testing and alternative adjuvant endocrine therapy group, the incremental total cost was US$17,966.95 and the incremental QALY was 3.582. Thus, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was US$5015.693 per QALY gained. Compared with a willingness-to-pay threshold of US$26,508/QALY in China, the CYP2D6*10 testing is the dominant strategy in postmenopausal women with ER-positive breast cancer in China, and the increased cost of genetic testing was completely worthwhile. The sensitivity analyses showed that the model we built was quite stable. CONCLUSION: From the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system, CYP2D6*10 pharmacogenetic testing was cost effective for postmenopausal women with ER-positive early breast cancer.

Post-marketing assessment of generic tamoxifen in Brazilian breast cancer patients.

Generic formulations of tamoxifen are commonly prescribed to oestrogen receptor-positive breast cancer patients at the Brazilian National Cancer Institute (INCA). We carried out a post-marketing surveillance of the generic tamoxifen formulation in current use at INCA, by comparing plasma concentrations of the parent drug and metabolites obtained with the generic vs the reference formulation. Thirty patients participated in an open-label, bracketed protocol, comprising 3 successive phases of 30-32 days each: the generic formulation was used in phases 1 and 3 and the reference formulation in phase 2. Two blood samples were collected in the last 4 days of each phase, for LC-MS/MS quantification of tamoxifen and metabolites in plasma. The median plasma concentrations (ng/mL) for the reference formulation were as follows: tamoxifen, 135.0 (CI 95% 114.2-155.8); endoxifen, 35.3 (30.0-40.8); and 4-hydroxytamoxifen, 4.8 (4.2-5.4). The endoxifen/tamoxifen plasma concentration ratio was 0.27 (0.21-0.25). ANOVA detected no statistically significant difference in plasma concentrations of tamoxifen, metabolites or the endoxifen/tamoxifen ratio among the three phases. The genetic component (rGC) of the CYP2D6-mediated conversion of tamoxifen into endoxifen, estimated using the repeated drug administration procedure across the three phases, was 0.87, pointing to an important component of genetic variability. In conclusion, this first post-marketing surveillance trial of oncologic generic drugs carried out in Brazilian patients verified the switchability between the reference and the generic tamoxifen formulation currently used at our institution. The adopted bracketed protocol adds confidence to this conclusion and may serve as a frame for future trials of post-marketing assessment of other generic drug products.

Ospemifene versus local estrogen: adherence and costs in postmenopausal dyspareunia.

Aim: Objective was to compare adherence and persistence, as well as direct healthcare costs and utilization, of ospemifene to available local estrogen therapies (LETs). Patients & methods: This retrospective database study used integrated medical and pharmacy claims data from the IQVIA Real-World Data Adjudicated Claims - US Database. Results: Ospemifene patients had significantly greater adherence and persistence compared with the other nonring LETs. Ospemifene had the lowest mean outpatient costs of any of the LET cohorts, including the estradiol vaginal ring. Total all-cause healthcare costs were also significantly less for ospemifene patients compared with all other LETs.

Pharmacological, Mechanistic, and Pharmacokinetic Assessment of Novel Melatonin-Tamoxifen Drug Conjugates as Breast Cancer Drugs.

Tamoxifen is used to prevent and treat estrogen receptor-positive (ER+) breast cancer (BC); however, its chronic use can increase uterine cancer risk and induce tamoxifen resistance. Novel melatonin-tamoxifen drug conjugates may be promising to treat BC and may help offset the adverse effects of tamoxifen usage alone due to the presence of melatonin. We synthesized and screened five drug conjugates (C2, C4, C5, C9, and C15 linked) for their effects on BC cell (MCF-7, tamoxifen-resistant MCF-7, mouse mammary carcinoma, MDA-MB-231, and BT-549) viability, migration, and binding affinity to melatonin receptor 1 (MT1R) and estrogen receptor 1 (ESR1). C4 and C5 demonstrated the most favorable pharmacological characteristics with respect to binding profiles (affinity for ESR1 and MT1R) and their potency/efficacy to inhibit BC cell viability and migration in four phenotypically diverse invasive ductal BC cell lines. C4 and C5 were further assessed for their actions against tamoxifen-resistant MCF-7 cells and a patient-derived xenograft triple-negative BC cell line (TU-BcX-4IC) and for their mechanisms of action using selective mitogen-activated protein kinase kinase MEK1/2, MEK5, and phosphoinositide 3-kinase (PI3K) inhibitors. C4 and C5 inhibited tamoxifen-resistant MCF-7 cells with equal potency (IC50 = 4-8 µM) and efficacy (∼90% inhibition of viability and migration) but demonstrated increased potency (IC50 = 80-211 µM) and efficacy (∼140% inhibition) to inhibit migration versus cell viability (IC50 = 181-304 mM; efficacy ∼80% inhibition) in TU-BcX-4IC cells. Unique pharmacokinetic profiles were observed, with C4 having greater bioavailability than C5. Further assessment of C4 and C5 demonstrates that they create novel pharmacophores within each BC cell that is context specific and involves MEK1/2/pERK1/2, MEK5/pERK5, PI3K, and nuclear factor κB. These melatonin-tamoxifen drug conjugates show promise as novel anticancer drugs and further preclinical and clinical evaluation is warranted.

Assessment and management of bone health in women with early breast cancer receiving endocrine treatment in the DATA study.

The phase III DATA study investigates the efficacy of adjuvant anastrozole (6 vs. 3 year) in postmenopausal women with breast cancer previously treated with 2-3 years of tamoxifen. This planned side-study assessed patterns of care regarding detection and treatment of osteopenia/osteoporosis, and trends in bone mineral density (BMD) during and after therapy. We registered all BMD measurements and bisphosphonate-use. Time to osteopenia/osteoporosis was analysed by Kaplan Meier methodology. For the trend in T-scores we used linear mixed models with random patients effects. Of 1860 eligible DATA patients, 910 (48.9%) had a baseline BMD measurement. Among patients with a normal baseline BMD (n = 417), osteopenia was observed in 53.5% and 55.4% in the 6- and 3-year group respectively (p = 0.18), during follow-up. Only two patients (3-year group) developed osteoporosis. Of the patients with osteopenia at baseline (n = 408), 24.4% and 20.4% developed osteoporosis respectively (p = 0.89). Three years after randomisation 18.3% and 18.2% used bisphosphonates in the 6- and 3-year groups respectively and 6 years after randomisation this was 23.7% and 20.9% respectively (p = 0.90) of which the majority used oral bisphosphonates. The yearly mean BMD-change during anastrozole in the lumbar spine showed a T-score decline of 0.075. After bisphosphonate addition the decline became less prominent (0.047 (p < 0.001)) and after anastrozole cessation, while continuing bisphosphonates, the mean BMD yearly increased (0.047 (p < 0.001)). In conclusion, extended anastrozole therapy was not associated with a higher incidence of osteoporosis. Anastrozole-use was associated with a BMD decrease; however, the decline was modest and partially reversible after anastrozole cessation.

Event-free survival following early endometrial events in breast cancer patients treated with anti-hormonal therapy: A nationwide claims data study.

Tamoxifen, an anti-estrogen agent that can suppress breast cancer, has been reported to increase endometrium-related adverse events. There are no guidelines for screening tamoxifen-treated patients for endometrial disease. We analyzed nationwide claims data related to endometrial diseases to investigate patterns of endometrial disease in breast cancer patients who underwent hormonal treatment.We sourced claims data from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service in South Korea. Patients who made their first claim for an anti-hormonal agent between January 1, 2010 and December 31, 2012 were enrolled retrospectively. We analyzed patient characteristics and all claims related to endometrial disease, stratified by prescribed hormonal agents.Among a total of 32,496 enrolled patients, 19,603 used tamoxifen only and 10,101 were treated with an aromatase inhibitor (AI) alone. Endometrial events occurred in 15.4% (3028/19603) of the tamoxifen-only patients and 2.0% (201/10101) of the AI-only group. In patients diagnosed with breast cancer at the age of 50 or older, the hazard ratio (HR) of endometrial malignancy in the tamoxifen-only group compared to the AI-only group was 4.13 (95% CI 1.404-12.159, P = .010). The HR of curettage in the tamoxifen-only group was 31.0 (95% CI 19.668-48.831, P <.001).The occurrence of endometrial events among tamoxifen-treated breast cancer patients was higher than in patients treated with only AI, similar to previous studies. However, the HR of curettage was uniquely high, despite its invasiveness. Guidelines for screening endometrial disease and improvements of healthcare policy are required to appropriately manage high-risk patients.

Hormone therapy and osteoporosis in breast cancer survivors: assessment of risk and adherence to screening recommendations.

The long-term impact of hormone therapy for breast cancer on risk of osteoporosis and the extent to which bone screening recommendations are implemented in daily practice remain unknown. We found that the aromatase inhibitor-induced risk of osteoporosis did not continue in the off-treatment follow-up. Adherence to screening recommendations was suboptimal. INTRODUCTION: A case-cohort study was undertaken to better understand the impact of hormone therapy on breast cancer patients' risk of osteoporosis, and to estimate the extent to which current bone mineral density screening recommendations are implemented in real-life daily practice. METHODS: This study is based on 1692 female breast cancer survivors recruited from "Leumit" healthcare fund, who were diagnosed with primary nonmetastatic invasive breast cancer between 2002 and 2012. A 20% random subcohort was sampled at baseline, and all osteoporosis cases were identified. Adjusted hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated by weighted Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Of 1692 breast cancer survivors, 312 developed osteoporosis during a median follow-up of 5 years. The crude cumulative incidence of osteoporosis accounting for death as a competing risk was 25.7% (95% CI, 21.9-29.5%). In multivariable analyses, osteoporosis was positively associated with the aromatase inhibitor (AI) sequential treatment after tamoxifen (HR, 3.14; 95% CI, 1.44-6.88; P = .004) but was more pronounced with AI use as upfront monotherapy (HR, 5.53; 95% CI, 1.46-20.88; P = .012). This effect did not continue in the off-treatment follow-up. In subgroup analysis by menopausal status, tamoxifen did not seem to confer a protective effect on bone health in postmenopausal patients. Adherence to screening recommendations in AI-treated postmenopausal women was suboptimal, particularly at baseline and after 48 months of continuous AI use. CONCLUSIONS: The natural, age-related reduction in bone density is exacerbated by breast cancer active AI treatment. Future research should focus on investigating screening adherence-related barriers/facilitators and effective strategies to bring practice in line with agreed standards.

Assessment of ovarian function after chemotherapy in women with early and locally advanced breast cancer from Serbia.

PURPOSE: Among harmful effects of chemotherapy is the reduction of ovarian function. The aim was to determine the serum levels of FSH, LH, estradiol and AMH after chemotherapy followed by endocrine therapy in breast cancer patients. METHODS: The study included 40 premenopausal hormone receptor-positive breast cancer patients aged 33-50 years. Anthracycline-based chemotherapy received 14/40 while anthracycline-taxane combination received 26/40 of patients, followed by tamoxifen (30/40) or tamoxifen plus goserelin (10/40). All of them experienced chemotherapy-induced secondary amenorrhea. Hormone levels were determined by ELISA. Statistics included Spearman's test, Mann-Whitney test and multiple linear regression analysis. RESULTS: Undetectable AMH levels were observed in 62.5 and 33.3% of patients with time period < 2 and ≥ 2 years from completion of chemotherapy to sample collection. Median levels of hormones for patients treated with anthracycline-based compared to anthracycline-taxane therapy were: 15.5 vs. 22.3 IU/L for FSH; 10.9 vs. 13.6 IU/L for LH; 55.5 vs. 39.5 pg/mL for estradiol; 0.11 vs. 0.11 ng/mL for AMH. The multiple linear regression showed that: women who received goserelin had significantly lower FSH; those with shorter time from completion of chemotherapy to sample collection had significantly higher LH and lower estradiol; younger women had higher AMH levels. CONCLUSIONS: The ovarian function was recovered from chemotherapy-induced secondary amenorrhea with time elapsed since the completion of adjuvant chemotherapy. It may be less disrupted in patients who received anthracycline-based chemotherapy and goserelin plus tamoxifen, as well.

Comprehensive assessment of cytochromes P450 and transporter genetics with endoxifen concentration during tamoxifen treatment.

OBJECTIVES: Tamoxifen bioactivation to endoxifen is mediated primarily by CYP2D6; however, considerable variability remains unexplained. Our aim was to perform a comprehensive assessment of the effect of genetic variation in tamoxifen-relevant enzymes and transporters on steady-state endoxifen concentrations. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Comprehensive genotyping of CYP enzymes and transporters was performed using the iPLEX ADME PGx Pro Panel in 302 tamoxifen-treated breast cancer patients. Predicted activity phenotype for 19 enzymes and transporters were analyzed for univariate association with endoxifen concentration, and then adjusted for CYP2D6 and clinical covariates. RESULTS: In univariate analysis, higher activity of CYP2C8 (regression ß=0.22, P=0.020) and CYP2C9 (ß=0.20, P=0.04), lower body weight (ß=-0.014, P<0.0001), and endoxifen measurement during winter (each ß<-0.39, P=0.002) were associated with higher endoxifen concentrations. After adjustment for the CYP2D6 diplotype, weight, and season, CYP2C9 remained significantly associated with higher concentrations (P=0.02), but only increased the overall model R by 1.3%. CONCLUSION: Our results further support a minor contribution of CYP2C9 genetic variability toward steady-state endoxifen concentrations. Integration of clinician and genetic variables into individualized tamoxifen dosing algorithms would marginally improve their accuracy and potentially enhance tamoxifen treatment outcomes.

Mechanism-based risk assessment strategy for drug-induced cholestasis using the transcriptional benchmark dose derived by toxicogenomics.

Cholestasis is one of the major causes of drug-induced liver injury (DILI), which can result in withdrawal of approved drugs from the market. Early identification of cholestatic drugs is difficult due to the complex mechanisms involved. In order to develop a strategy for mechanism-based risk assessment of cholestatic drugs, we analyzed gene expression data obtained from the livers of rats that had been orally administered with 12 known cholestatic compounds repeatedly for 28 days at three dose levels. Qualitative analyses were performed using two statistical approaches (hierarchical clustering and principle component analysis), in addition to pathway analysis. The transcriptional benchmark dose (tBMD) and tBMD 95% lower limit (tBMDL) were used for quantitative analyses, which revealed three compound sub-groups that produced different types of differential gene expression; these groups of genes were mainly involved in inflammation, cholesterol biosynthesis, and oxidative stress. Furthermore, the tBMDL values for each test compound were in good agreement with the relevant no observed adverse effect level. These results indicate that our novel strategy for drug safety evaluation using mechanism-based classification and tBMDL would facilitate the application of toxicogenomics for risk assessment of cholestatic DILI.

Assessment of the prognostic and predictive utility of the Breast Cancer Index (BCI): an NCIC CTG MA.14 study.

BACKGROUND: Biomarkers that can be used to accurately assess the residual risk of disease recurrence in women with hormone receptor-positive breast cancer are clinically valuable. We evaluated the prognostic value of the Breast Cancer Index (BCI), a continuous risk index based on a combination of HOXB13:IL17BR and molecular grade index, in women with early breast cancer treated with either tamoxifen alone or tamoxifen plus octreotide in the NCIC MA.14 phase III clinical trial (ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier NCT00002864; registered 1 November 1999). METHODS: Gene expression analysis of BCI by real-time polymerase chain reaction was performed blinded to outcome on RNA extracted from archived formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded tumor samples of 299 patients with both lymph node-negative (LN-) and lymph node-positive (LN+) disease enrolled in the MA.14 trial. Our primary objective was to determine the prognostic performance of BCI based on relapse-free survival (RFS). MA.14 patients experienced similar RFS on both treatment arms. Association of gene expression data with RFS was evaluated in univariate analysis with a stratified log-rank test statistic, depicted with a Kaplan-Meier plot and an adjusted Cox survivor plot. In the multivariate assessment, we used stratified Cox regression. The prognostic performance of an emerging, optimized linear BCI model was also assessed in a post hoc analysis. RESULTS: Of 299 samples, 292 were assessed successfully for BCI for 146 patients accrued in each MA.14 treatment arm. BCI risk groups had a significant univariate association with RFS (stratified log-rank p = 0.005, unstratified log-rank p = 0.007). Adjusted 10-year RFS in BCI low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups was 87.5 %, 83.9 %, and 74.7 %, respectively. BCI had a significant prognostic effect [hazard ratio (HR) 2.34, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 1.33-4.11; p = 0.004], although not a predictive effect, on RFS in stratified multivariate analysis, adjusted for pathological tumor stage (HR 2.22, 95 % CI 1.22-4.07; p = 0.01). In the post hoc multivariate analysis, higher linear BCI was associated with shorter RFS (p = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: BCI had a strong prognostic effect on RFS in patients with early-stage breast cancer treated with tamoxifen alone or with tamoxifen and octreotide. BCI was prognostic in both LN- and LN+ patients. This retrospective study is an independent validation of the prognostic performance of BCI in a prospective trial.

The selective estrogen receptor modulators in breast cancer prevention.

BACKGROUNDS: Persistently increased blood levels of estrogens are associated with an increased risk of breast cancer. Selective estrogen receptor modulators (SERMs) are a class of compounds that act on the estrogen receptor (ER). METHODS: Several clinical trials have demonstrated the effectiveness of its prophylactic administration. Incidence of invasive ER-positive breast cancer was reduced by SERMs treatment, especially for those women with high risk of developing breast cancer. In this study, we reviewed the clinical application of SERMs in breast cancer prevention. RESULTS: To date, four prospective randomized clinical trials had been performed to test the efficacy of tamoxifen for this purpose. Concerning on the benefit and cost of tamoxifen, various studies from different countries demonstrated that chemoprevention with tamoxifen seemed to be cost-effective for women with a high risk of invasive breast cancer. Based above, tamoxifen was approved for breast cancer prevention by the US Food and Drug Administration in 1998. Raloxifene was also approved for postmenopausal women in 2007 for breast cancer prevention which reduces the risk of invasive breast cancer with a lower risk of unwanted stimulation of endometrium. Thus, raloxifene is considered to have a better clinical possesses as prophylactic agent. Several other agents, such as arzoxifene and lasofoxifene, are currently being investigated in clinic. The American Society of Clinical Oncology and National Comprehensive Cancer Network had published guidelines on breast cancer chemoprevention by SERMs. However, use of tamoxifen and raloxifene for primary breast cancer prevention was still low. CONCLUSION: A broader educational effort is needed to alert women and primary care physicians that SERMs are available to reduce breast cancer risk.

Bayesian approach for flexible modeling of semicompeting risks data.

Semicompeting risks data arise when two types of events, non-terminal and terminal, are observed. When the terminal event occurs first, it censors the non-terminal event, but not vice versa. To account for possible dependent censoring of the non-terminal event by the terminal event and to improve prediction of the terminal event using the non-terminal event information, it is crucial to model their association properly. Motivated by a breast cancer clinical trial data analysis, we extend the well-known illness-death models to allow flexible random effects to capture heterogeneous association structures in the data. Our extension also represents a generalization of the popular shared frailty models that usually assume that the non-terminal event does not affect the hazards of the terminal event beyond a frailty term. We propose a unified Bayesian modeling approach that can utilize existing software packages for both model fitting and individual-specific event prediction. The approach is demonstrated via both simulation studies and a breast cancer data set analysis.

Seroprevalencia de VIH en población mexicana de entre 15 y 49 años: resultados de la Ensanut 2012 / HIV seroprevalence among Mexicans age 15 to 49: results from the National Health & Nutrition Survey 2012

Objetivo. Estimar la seroprevalencia de VIH en población mexicana no institucionalizada de 15 a 49 años, y aspectos selectos del perfil de la población serorreactiva. Material y métodos. Estudio transversal con una muestra probabilística de la población del país de 15 a 49 años, con información sobre comportamientos obtenida por entrevista directa en los hogares y determinación de anticuerpos para VIH en sangre capilar. Resultados. Se identificó una seroprevalencia de 0.15% (IC95% 0.09-0.21) en la población de 15 a 49 años; de 0.07% (IC95% 0.03-0.11) en mujeres, y de 0.24% (IC95% 0.11-0.36) en hombres. La población serorreactiva a VIH son hombres jóvenes, de mayor nivel socioeconómico en relación con la población general y con información que sugiere una mayor cobertura por la seguridad social (49.9% en serorreactivos contra 34.5% en no serorreactivos). El 49.4% de los serorreactivos contra 18.5% de los no serorreactivos se había realizado al menos una prueba de detección de VIH. Conclusiones. La seroprevalencia de VIH estimada en la Encuesta Nacional de Salud y Nutrición (Ensanut) 2012 sugiere que ésta se ha mantenido relativamente estable desde 2000. La estimación representa alrededor de 104000 personas (rango de entre 53000 y 126000) de 15 a 49 años que viven con VIH en México (75% de los cuales son hombres), de los que 50.6% desconocería su estatus serológico. Implementando un modelo de corrección de sesgo y agregando a los estimados en hogar, los casos estimados entre población de hombres que tienen sexo con hombres (tanto homosexual como bisexual), la estimación de la seroprevalencia alcanzaría 0.23%, con un total de 140000 personas de 15 a 49 años viviendo con VIH (con un intervalo estimado de entre 92000 y 201000 personas).

Objective. To estimate the HIV seroprevalence among Mexicans aged 15 to 49 years old and living in households, and to describe the profile of serorreactive individuals. Materials and methods. Cross-sectional study with a national probabilistic sample of individuals aged 15 to 49 years with behavioral data from direct interview (face-to-face) at households and HIV screening using capillary blood collected from the same individuals. Results. A seroprevalence of 0.15% (95%CI 0.09-0.21) was estimated for Mexicans aged 15 to 49; seroprevalence among women was 0.07% (95%CI 0.03-0.11) and 0.24% (95%CI 0.11-0.36) for men. HIV serorreactive population is composed of younger men, with a higher socioeconomic level compared to the general population, and with a higher insurance coverage-social protection on health in general and social security in particular. Only 50% of the serorreactive individuals may be aware of their status as living with HIV. Conclusions. The estimated HIV seroprevalence in the NHNS 2012 suggests a stable pattern since 2000. The estimated prevalence among individuals 15 to 49 years was adjusted both for selection bias correction and to include MSM estimations (under the assumption that MSM is a population hard to reach in a household survey), resulting in a total seroprevalence of 0.23% and an estimated number of people with HIV of 140000.

Measuring persistence to hormonal therapy in patients with breast cancer: accounting for temporary treatment discontinuation.

PURPOSE: Several studies have been conducted to estimate persistence to hormonal therapy among women with breast cancer (BC). Most studies focus on first treatment discontinuation. Patients, however, can have numerous periods of treatment discontinuation or treatment exposure. Our objective is to estimate persistence to tamoxifen in patients with BC while accounting for temporary treatment discontinuations and this by using multi-state (MS) models. METHODS: A cohort of 10,806 women with BC having received at least one prescription of tamoxifen between 1998 and 2008 was constituted from the UK General Practice Research Database. We fitted a semi-Markov model with three states to estimate the probability of being off treatment over a 5-year period while accounting for temporary treatment discontinuations (transition between on treatment and off treatment) and competing risks (recurrence of BC or death). RESULTS: Non-persistence, as estimated from the MS model, ranged from 12.1% (95% confidence interval [95%CI]: 9.2-15.1) at 1 year to 14.9% (95%CI: 11.7-18.1) at 5 years. Estimations of non-persistence based on the Kaplan-Meier model were higher, i.e., 29.3% (95%CI: 28.1-30.6) at 5 years, as well as those obtained from a competing risk model, i.e., 24.0% (95%CI: 22.9-25.1). Most temporary discontinuations (94.7%) lasted less than 6 months. Temporary treatment discontinuations are frequent and should be accounted for when measuring adherence to treatment. MS models can provide a useful framework for this sort of analysis insofar as they help describe patients' complex behavior. This may help tailor interventions that improve persistence to hormonal therapy among women with BC.