Venous thromboembolism risk assessment scale for prediction of venous thromboembolism in inpatients with cancer: A meta-analysis.

AIMS: This meta-analysis was conducted to evaluate the validity of the Caprini venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk assessment scale in predicting the risk of VTE in inpatients with cancer. METHODS: Studies relating to the Caprini VTE risk assessment scale were systematically retrieved from the MEDLINE, EMBASE, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, BIOSIS Previews, EBSCOhost, and China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) databases up to May 1, 2022. Two reviewers independently conducted data extraction and quality evaluation. MetaDisc 1.4 and Stata 15.0 software were used for data analysis. RESULTS: We included 10 studies with 23,644 subjects in our analyses. The results showed that the pooled sensitivity (SEN) and specificity (SPE) were 0.59 (95 % CI: 0.55 to 0.63) and 0.57 (95 % CI:0.57 to 0.58), respectively; the pooled diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) was 6.05 (95 % CI: 2.70 to 13.58); and the area under the curve (AUC) of the summary receiver operating characteristic (SROC) curve was 0.76. Subgroup analysis was performed according to ethnicity (Chinese or non-Chinese), study design (prospective/retrospective), Caprini RAM version (2005/2009), and cut-off (≤7 or > 7). CONCLUSION: The Caprini VTE risk assessment scale has a moderate ability to predict VTE in surgical inpatients with cancer, as well as in Western populations; Caprini 2009 has a stronger predictive ability than 2005, and its predictive power is better if the cut-off value is >7. Future studies in clinical practice and specific specialties are needed to explore the optimal cut-off value of different cancers. This will improve our accuracy in understanding the risk of VTE in inpatients and help promote timely and targeted prevention. In turn, this will reduce the incidence of VTE and improve the quality of life of inpatients with cancer.

The thrombotic risk in Cushing's syndrome-questions, answers, and the algorithm to consider in its assessment: part I-thrombotic risk not related to surgery.

Introduction: Recently, it has been reported that there is a great diversity in strategies used for thromboprophylaxis in patients with Cushing's syndrome (CS). An aim of this review was to discuss these practices in light of the existing data on the thrombotic risk in patients with CS and guidelines for medically ill patients. Methods: The four relevant topics and questions on thrombotic risk in CS were identified. The current guidelines on prevention and diagnosis of venous thromboembolism (VTE) were reviewed for the answers. An algorithm to consider in the assessment of the thrombotic risk in patients with CS was proposed. Results: To address both generic and CS-specific risk factors for VTE, the algorithm includes the stepwise approach consisting of Padua Score, urine free cortisol, and CS-VTE score, with no indication for routine thrombophilia testing in the prediction of an index VTE episode. Having confirmed VTE, selected patients require thrombophilia testing to aid the duration of anticoagulant treatment. The separate part of the algorithm is devoted to patients with ectopic adrenocorticotropic hormone syndrome in whom exclusion of VTE precedes introducing routine thromboprophylaxis to prevent VTE. The cancer-related VTE also prompts thromboprophylaxis, with the possible vessel invasion. The algorithm presents a unifactorial and multifactorial approach to exclude high-bleeding risks and safely introduce thromboprophylaxis with low-molecular-weight heparin. Summary: Our article is the first to present an algorithm to consider in the thrombotic risk assessment among patients with Cushing's syndrome as a starting point for a broader discussion in the environment. A plethora of factors affect the VTE risk in patients with CS, but no studies have conclusively evaluated the best thromboprophylaxis strategy so far. Future studies are needed to set standards of care.

VTE risk assessment, prevention and diagnosis in pregnancy.

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is still reported as the leading cause of direct maternal death in pregnancy in serial international reports in developed countries. VTE risk is higher during pregnancy but is further increased by additional well-characterized risk factors. International guidelines recommend that formal VTE risk assessment should be conducted at least in early pregnancy, at delivery and when risk factors change. High quality data supporting optimal VTE prevention strategies are lacking, outside the setting of prevention of VTE recurrence. Moreover, recent high-quality studies have provided much-needed data on diagnostic strategies for pulmonary embolism (PE) in pregnancy. In this review, we summarize knowledge gaps and recently published data in the prevention and diagnosis of VTE in pregnancy. Moreover, we describe ongoing high-quality randomised trials and prospective clinical management studies in this area. High quality clinical studies and trials in pregnancy can be done and must be prioritised, through international network efforts and national funding advocacy. Ultimately, translation of study results to impact upon guidelines and policy will deliver better care to and will protect the lives and health of pregnant people and those contemplating pregnancy throughout the world.

The Validation and Modification of the Caprini Risk Assessment Model for Evaluating Venous Thromboembolism after Joint Arthroplasty.

BACKGROUND: The Caprini risk assessment model (RAM) is the most commonly used tool for evaluating venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk, a high score for arthroplasty can result in patients being classified as high risk for VTE. Therefore, its value in post-arthroplasty has been subject to debate. METHODS: Retrospective data were collected from patients who underwent arthroplasty between August 2015 and December 2021. The study cohort included 3,807 patients, all of whom underwent a thorough evaluation using Caprini RAM and vascular Doppler ultrasonography preoperatively. RESULTS: A total of 432 individuals (11.35%) developed VTE, while 3,375 did not. Furthermore, 32 (0.84%) presented with symptomatic VTE, while 400 (10.51%) were detected as asymptomatic. Additionally, 368 (9.67%) VTE events occurred during the hospitalization period, and 64 (1.68%) cases were detected during postdischarge follow-up. Statistical analysis revealed significant differences between the VTE and non-VTE groups in terms of ages, blood loss, D-dimer, body mass index >25, visible varicose veins, swollen legs, smoking, history of blood clots, broken hip, percent of female, hypertension, and knee joint arthroplasty (p < 0.05). The Caprini score was found to be significantly higher in the VTE group (10.10 ± 2.23) compared with the non-VTE group (9.35 ± 2.14) (p < 0.001). Furthermore, there was a significant correlation between the incidence of VTE and the Caprini score (r = 0.775, p = 0.003). Patients with a score ≥9 are at a high-risk threshold for postoperative VTE. CONCLUSION: The Caprini RAM shows a significant correlation with the occurrence of VTE. A higher score indicates a greater likelihood of developing VTE. The score ≥9 is at particularly high risk of developing VTE.

Racial and ethnic disparities in eligibility for postpartum venous thromboembolism prophylaxis in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Postpartum venous thromboembolism (VTE) incidence differs by race and ethnicity in the United States. However, it is unclear whether the eligibility criteria for postpartum VTE prophylaxis mirror this disparity. OBJECTIVE: To characterize the prevalence of risk factors and eligibility for postpartum VTE prophylaxis, among US Birthing people, stratified by race and ethnicity. METHODS: We analyzed the National Inpatient Sample from October 2015 to December 2019, using diagnosis and procedure codes to identify postpartum individuals and their VTE risk factors. We compared proportion of delivery hospitalizations meeting eligibility for thromboprophylaxis stratified by race or ethnicity, according to American College of Gynecology and Obstetrics, American College of Chest Physicians, Royal College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists (RCOG), and American Society for Hematology guidelines. RESULTS: Among a national estimate of 14 967 861 delivery hospitalizations in the United States, the proportion of individuals eligible for thromboprophylaxis using the RCOG, American College of Chest Physicians, American College of Gynecology and Obstetrics, and American Society for Hematology guidelines were 32.9%, 8.0%, 0.2%, and 0.2%, respectively. Using the RCOG criteria, non-Hispanic Black individuals had the highest proportion of thromboprophylaxis eligibility (39.7%), whereas it was lowest among Hispanic individuals (30.8%). Racial disparities in thromboprophylaxis eligibility were driven by differences in clinical risk factors (38.8% non-Hispanic Black population vs 30.5% Hispanic population) and cesarean section rates (35.9% vs 32.2%), rather than history of VTE (0.3% vs 0.1%), inherited thrombophilia (0.2% vs 0.2%), or sickle cell disease (0.4% vs <0.1%). CONCLUSION: Non-Hispanic Black individuals were most likely to qualify for postpartum thromboprophylaxis, attributable to clinical risk factors rather than inherited risk factors. An urgent need exists to better understand ethno-racial disparities in thromboprophylaxis use and to equitably address modifiable risk factors for postpartum VTE.

Ability of Caprini and Padua risk-assessment models to predict venous thromboembolism in a nationwide Veterans Affairs study.

OBJECTIVE: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a preventable complication of hospitalization. Risk-stratification is the cornerstone of prevention. The Caprini and Padua are two of the most commonly used risk-assessment models (RAMs) to quantify VTE risk. Both models perform well in select, high-risk cohorts. Although VTE RAMs were designed for use in all hospital admissions, they are mostly tested in select, high-risk cohorts. We aim to evaluate the two RAMs in a large, unselected cohort of patients. METHODS: We analyzed consecutive first hospital admissions of 1,252,460 unique surgical and non-surgical patients to 1298 Veterans Affairs facilities nationwide between January 2016 and December 2021. Caprini and Padua scores were generated using the Veterans Affairs' national data repository. We determined the ability of the two RAMs to predict VTE within 90 days of admission. In secondary analyses, we evaluated prediction at 30 and 60 days, in surgical vs non-surgical patients, after excluding patients with upper extremity deep vein thrombosis, in patients hospitalized ≥72 hours, after including all-cause mortality in a composite outcome, and after accounting for prophylaxis in the predictive model. We used area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) as the metric of prediction. RESULTS: A total of 330,388 (26.4%) surgical and 922,072 (73.6%) non-surgical consecutively hospitalized patients (total N = 1,252,460) were analyzed. Caprini scores ranged from 0 to 28 (median, 4; interquartile range [IQR], 3-6); Padua scores ranged from 0-13 (median, 1; IQR, 1-3). The RAMs showed good calibration and higher scores were associated with higher VTE rates. VTE developed in 35,557 patients (2.8%) within 90 days of admission. The ability of both models to predict 90-day VTE was low (AUCs: Caprini, 0.56; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.56-0.56; Padua, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.58-0.59). Prediction remained low for surgical (Caprini, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.53-0.54; Padua, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.56-0.57) and non-surgical patients (Caprini, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.58-0.59; Padua, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.59-0.60). There was no clinically meaningful change in predictive performance in any of the sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Caprini and Padua RAM scores have low ability to predict VTE events in a cohort of unselected consecutive hospitalizations. Improved VTE RAMs must be developed before they can be applied to a general hospital population.

Generalizability of COBRA: A Parsimonious Perioperative Venous Thromboembolism Risk Assessment Model.

INTRODUCTION: Standardized use of venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk assessment models (RAMs) in surgical patients has been limited, in part due to the cumbersome workflow addition required to use available models. The COBRA score-capturing cancer diagnosis, (old) age, body mass index, race, and American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status score-has been reported as a potentially automatable VTE RAM that circumvents the cumbersome workflow addition that most RAMs represent. We aimed to test the ability of the COBRA model to effectively risk-stratify patients across various populations. METHODS: Patients were included from the 2014-2019 American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) Participant Use Data File for two hospitals, representing colorectal, endocrine, breast, transplant, plastic, and general surgery services. COBRA score was calculated for each patient using preoperative characteristics. We calculated negative predictive value (NPV) for VTE outcomes and compared the COBRA score to NSQIP's expected VTE rate for all patients, between the two hospitals, and between subspecialty service lines. RESULTS: Of the 10,711 patients included, those with COBRA <4 (31%) had projected median VTE rate of 0.21% (interquartile range, 0.09-0.68%; mean, 0.54%). Patients with higher scores (69%) had median rate of 0.88% (0.26-2.07%; 1.46%); relative rate 2.7. The median projected VTE rates for patients identified as low risk were 0.21% and 0.16% and as high risk were 0.87% and 0.89% at hospitals one and 2, respectively. The median projected VTE rates for patients identified as low risk were 0.17%, 0.61%, and 0.08% and as high risk were 0.52%, 1.43%, and 0.18% among general, colorectal, and endocrine surgery patients, respectively. COBRA had NPV of 0.995 and sensitivity of 0.871 as compared to NPV 0.997 and sensitivity 0.857 of the NSQIP model. CONCLUSIONS: The COBRA score is concordant with the traditional gold standard NSQIP VTE RAM and demonstrates interhospital and service-specific generalizability, although performance was limited in especially low-risk patients. The model adequately risk-stratifies surgical patients preoperatively, potentially providing clinical decision support for perioperative workflows.

Cost-effectiveness of modified diagnostic strategy to safely rule-out pulmonary embolism in the emergency department: a non-inferiority cluster crossover randomized trial (MODIGLIA-NI).

BACKGROUND: The aim of this trial-based economic evaluation was to assess the incremental costs and cost-effectiveness of the modified diagnostic strategy combining the YEARS rule and age-adjusted D-dimer threshold compared with the control (which used the age-adjusted D-dimer threshold only) for the diagnosis of pulmonary embolism (PE) in the Emergency Department (ED). METHODS: Economic evaluation from a healthcare system perspective alongside a non-inferiority, crossover, and cluster-randomized trial conducted in 16 EDs in France and two in Spain with three months of follow-up. The primary endpoint was the additional cost of a patient without failure of the diagnostic strategy, defined as venous thromboembolism (VTE) diagnosis at 3months after exclusion of PE during the initial ED visit. Mean differences in 3-month failure and costs were estimated using separate generalized linear-regression mixed models, adjusted for strategy type, period, and the interaction between strategy and period as fixed effects and the hospital as a random effect. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was obtained by dividing the incremental costs by the incremental frequency of VTE. RESULTS: Of the 1,414 included patients, 1,217 (86%) were analyzed in the per-protocol analysis (648 in the intervention group and 623 in the control group). At three months, there were no statistically significant differences in total costs (€-46; 95% CI: €-93 to €0.2), and the failure rate was non inferior in the intervention group (-0.64%, one-sided 97.5% CI: -∞ to 0.21%, non-inferiority margin 1.5%) between groups. The point estimate of the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) indicating that each undetected VTE averted in the intervention group is associated with cost savings of €7,142 in comparison with the control group. There was a 93% probability that the intervention was dominant. Similar results were found in the as randomized population. CONCLUSIONS: Given the observed cost decrease of borderline significance, and according to the 95% confidence ellipses, the intervention strategy has a potential to lead to cost savings as a result of a reduction in the use of chest imaging and of the number of undetected VTE averted. Policy-makers should investigate how these monetary benefits can be distributed across stakeholders. CLINICALTRIALS: Trial registration number ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04032769; July 25, 2019.

Risk assessment of venous thromboembolism in inflammatory bowel disease by inherited risk in a population-based incident cohort.

BACKGROUND: Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), including Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC), is a chronic inflammatory disease of the digestive tract with increasing prevalence globally. Although venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a major complication in IBD patients, it is often underappreciated with limited tools for risk stratification. AIM: To estimate the proportion of VTE among IBD patients and assess genetic risk factors (monogenic and polygenic) for VTE. METHODS: Incident VTE was followed for 8465 IBD patients in the UK Biobank (UKB). The associations of VTE with F5 factor V leiden (FVL) mutation, F2 G20210A prothrombin gene mutation (PGM), and polygenic score (PGS003332) were tested using Cox hazards regression analysis, adjusting for age at IBD diagnosis, gender, and genetic background (top 10 principal components). The performance of genetic risk factors for discriminating VTE diagnosis was estimated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: The overall proportion of incident VTE was 4.70% in IBD patients and was similar for CD (4.46%), UC (4.49%), and unclassified (6.42%), and comparable to that of cancer patients (4.66%) who are well-known at increased risk for VTE. Mutation carriers of F5/F2 had a significantly increased risk for VTE compared to non-mutation carriers, hazard ratio (HR) was 1.94, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.42-2.65. In contrast, patients with the top PGS decile had a considerably higher risk for VTE compared to those with intermediate scores (middle 8 deciles), HR was 2.06 (95%CI: 1.57-2.71). The AUC for differentiating VTE diagnosis was 0.64 (95%CI: 0.61-0.67), 0.68 (95%CI: 0.66-0.71), and 0.69 (95%CI: 0.66-0.71), respectively, for F5/F2 mutation carriers, PGS, and combined. CONCLUSION: Similar to cancer patients, VTE complications are common in IBD patients. PGS provides more informative risk information than F5/F2 mutations (FVL and PGM) for personalized thromboprophylaxis.

Development and validation of a facile rapid assessment scale for perinatal venous thromboembolism in puerperium in Chinese women.

BACKGROUND: It is still urgent and challenge to develop a simple risk assessment scale for venous thromboembolism (VTE) in puerperium in Chinese women. METHODS: The study, a retrospective case-control study, was conducted in 12 hospitals in different cities in China. A total of 1152 pregnant women were selected, including 384 cases with VTE and 768 cases without VTE. A logistic regression method was conducted to determine the risk factors of VTE. RESULTS: Age, BMI before delivery, gestational diabetes mellitus, family history (thrombosis, diabetes, cardiovascular disease), and assisted reproductive technology were independent risk factors (P<0.05). The difference between the high-risk group and the low-risk group was statistically significant(P<0.001) with a sensitivity of 0.578, specificity of 0.756, Yuden index o.334, and area under the ROC curve of 0.878. CONCLUSIONS: The age (≥ 35 years), BMI before delivery (≥ 30 kg/m2), gestational diabetes mellitus, family history of related diseases and assisted reproductive technology are more likely to cause VTE after full-time delivery. The simple and rapid assessment scale of VTE in women after full-term delivery has perfect discrimination (P < 0.001), which can be applied to predict the risk of VTE in Chinese full-term postpartum women.

Risk assessment of venous thromboembolism in head and neck cancer patients and its establishment of a prediction model.

IMPORTANCE: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is closely relevant to head and neck cancer (HNC) prognosis, but little data exist on the risk prediction of VTE in patients with HNC. OBJECTIVE: To study the risk factors regarding VTE in HNC patients and construct a nomogram model for its prediction. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: A cross-sectional retrospective study was implemented to comparatively analyze 220 HNC patients from January 2018 to December 2021. The Lasso algorithm was used to optimize the selection of variables. A nomogram model for predicting HNC-associated VTE was established using multivariate logistic regression analysis. Internal validation of the model was performed by bootstrap resampling (1000 times). Calibration plot and decision curve analysis (DCA) were applied to evaluate the calibration capability of the prediction model. MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURE: The demographics, medical history, blood biochemical indicators, and modalities of treatment were included for analysis. RESULTS: The incidence of HNC-associated VTE was 2.8% (55/1967) in authors' affiliation. Five variables of risk factors, including surgery, radiochemotherapy, D-dimer, aspartate transaminase, and globulin, were screened and selected as predictors by Lasso algorithm. A prediction model that incorporated these independent predictors was developed and presented as the nomogram. The model showed good discrimination with a C-index of 0.972 (95% CI: 0.934-0.997), and had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve value of 0.981 (p < 0.001, 95% CI: 0.964-0.998). The calibration curve displayed good agreement of the predicted probability with the actual observed probability for HNC-associated VTE. The DCA plot showed that the application of this nomogram was associated with net benefit gains in clinical practice. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: The high-performance nomogram model developed in this study may help early diagnose the risk of VTE in HNC patients and to guide individualized decision-making on thromboprophylaxis.

Thrombosis in multiple myeloma: mechanisms, risk assessment and management.

Multiple myeloma (MM) is associated with an increased risk of venous and arterial thrombosis. Pathophysiologic mechanisms include patient, disease and treatment related factors. Risk assessment models have been developed to determine whichpatients are at highest thrombotic risk and pursuant to this, risk adapted thrombosis prophylaxis has been suggested. Areas in which further basic and clinical research is imperative include the molecular and cellular mechanisms of thrombosis in myeloma, the inclusion of relevant biomarkers in risk assessment scores and controlled clinical trials of VTE prophylaxis and treatment using direct oral anticoagulants.

[Comparison of the predictive value of Padua and the IMPEDE assessment scores for venous thromboembolism in patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma: A single institution experience].

Objective: To compare the predictive efficacy of the two thrombosis risk assessment scores (Padua and IMPEDE scores) in venous thromboembolism (VTE) within 6 months in patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) in China. Methods: This study reviewed the clinical data of 421 patients with NDMM hospitalized in Beijing Jishuitan Hospital from April 2014 to February 2022. The sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and Youden index of the two scores were calculated to quantify the thrombus risk assessment of VTE by the Padua and IMPEDE scores. The receiver operating characteristics curves of the two evaluation scores were drawn. Results: The incidence of VTE was 14.73%. The sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and Youden index of the Padua score were 100%, 0%, 14.7%, and 0% and that of the IMPEDE score was 79%, 44%, 49.2%, and 23%, respectively. The areas under the curve of Padua and IMPEDE risk assessment scores were 0.591 and 0.722, respectively. Conclusion: IMPEDE score is suitable for predicting VTE within 6 months in patients with NDMM.

Assessment of bleeding risk in low-weight patients receiving prophylactic subcutaneous unfractionated heparin.

BACKGROUND: Underweight patients may be at an increased risk of bleeding while receiving venous thromboembolism (VTE) prophylaxis. Additional evidence is needed to identify patient-specific factors associated with bleeding. The objective of the study was to describe the incidence and identify risk factors associated with bleeding in low-weight (⩽ 60 kg) adult patients receiving subcutaneous unfractionated heparin (SQH) for VTE prophylaxis. METHODS: This was a single-center, retrospective, nested case-control study of low-weight patients receiving SQH for VTE prophylaxis for ⩾ 48 hours. Cases, patients with clinically relevant bleeding while receiving SQH, and controls, patients without a bleeding event, were matched in a 1:3 ratio for age, sex, primary service (surgical or medical), and time at risk of bleeding on SQH to determine factors associated with bleeding. RESULTS: A total of 3761 patients met the inclusion criteria, of which 38 cases of clinically relevant bleeding were identified. The bleeding incidence was 1% at hospital day 6 and 2.8% at hospital day 14. Most patients in this study (69%) received SQH 5000 units three times daily. ICU admission at SQH start was associated with bleeding, OR 2.97 (95% CI 1.21-7.29). CONCLUSION: Bleeding in low-weight patients on prophylactic SQH was uncommon. Patients admitted to the ICU at time of SQH start may be at a higher risk of bleeding. Further studies are needed to detect additional risk factors associated with bleeding and investigate the effects of reduced dosing in this population.

Causality assessment of circulating Vitamin D level on venous thromboembolism: A Mendelian randomization study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The associations of vitamin D level with venous thromboembolism (VTE) reported in observational studies, whereas these causal associations were uncertain in European population. Therefore, we used Mendelian randomization (MR) method to explore the causal associations between 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) concentrations and the risk of VTE and its subtypes [including deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE)]. METHODS AND RESULTS: We used three kinds of genetic instruments to proxy the exposure of 25(OH)D, including genetic variants significantly associated with 25(OH)D, expression quantitative trait loci of 25(OH)D target genes, and genetic variants within or nearby 25(OH)D target genes. MR analyses did not provide any evidence for the associations of 25(OH)D levels with VTE and its subtypes (p > 0.05). The summary-data-based MR (SMR) analyses indicated that elevated expression of VDR was associated with decreased risk of VTE (OR = 0.81; 95% CI, 0.65-0.998; p = 0.047) and PE (OR = 0.67; 95% CI, 0.50-0.91; p = 0.011), and expression of AMDHD1 was associated with PE (OR = 0.93; 95% CI, 0.88-0.99; p = 0.027). MR analysis provided a significant causal effect of 25(OH)D level mediated by gene AMDHD1 on PE risk (OR = 0.09; 95% CI, 0.01-0.60; p = 0.012). CONCLUSION: Our MR analysis did not support causal association of 25(OH)D level with the risk of VTE and its subtypes. In addition, the expression of VDR and AMDHD1 involved in vitamin D metabolism showed a strong association with VTE or PE and might represent targets for these conditions.

Comparison of three risk assessment models for thromboembolism in multiple myeloma patients receiving immunomodulators: a Brazilian historical cohort.

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is among the complications of Multiple Myeloma (MM) and may occur in up to 10% of this patient population. However, medications used in MM therapy such as immunomodulators (IMID) may raise these rates. Thus, risk prediction models have been developed to quantify the risk of VTE in MM patients. The aim of this study is to compare the performance of three risk assessment models for VTE in newly diagnosed MM (NDMM) patients using immunomodulatory agents. A historical cohort study during a 10-year period in a Brazilian metropolis with NDMM treated with IMID. Data were collected from patient's medical charts for the period of one year to calculate the scores using IMPEDE VTE, SAVED, and International Myeloma Working Group (IMWG) guidelines. The area under the curve (AUC) of the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve analysis was calculated to assess the discriminative power of three risk assessment models. We included 131 patients (9 in the VTE group versus 122 in the non VTE group). According to IMPEDE, 19.1, 62.6, and 18.3% of patients were considered low, intermediate, and high risk, respectively. SAVED classified 32.1% as high risk and 64.9% had ≥2 risk factors based on IMWG guidelines. The AUC of the IMPEDE VTE score was 0.80 (95% CI 0.66-0.95, p = 0.002), of the SAVED score was 0.69 (95% CI 0.49-0.89, p = 0.057), and of the IMWG risk score was 0.68 (95% CI 0.48-0.88, p = 0.075). IMPEDE VTE was the most accurate in predicting the development of VTE in Brazilian patients on IMID therapy. The SAVED score and the IMWG guidelines did not show discriminative ability in predicting VTE based on the population involved in this study.

Stratifying the risks of venous thromboembolism in the lateral skull base surgery using Caprini risk assessment model.

PURPOSE: To analyze and stratify the possible risk factors of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in lateral skull base surgery (LSBS) using the Caprini risk assessment model. METHODS: In a single center, a retrospective study was conducted with patients who underwent LSBS from June 2016 to August 2021. The clinical characteristics and blood chemistry tests were collected. The incidence of VTE within 30 days of surgery was recorded. The Caprini risk score was calculated to assess the postoperative VTE risk. RESULTS: Among the 123 patients in this study, the VTE incidence within 30 postoperative days was 8.9%. The total Caprini risk score in VTE patients (5.6 ± 1.9 points) was significantly higher than that of non-VTE patients (4.6 ± 1.4 points; p = 0.028). The binary logistic regression showed the total Caprini score as the only independent indicator of postoperative VTE. The receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that the Caprini score at 6.5 points had low sensitivity (36.4%) but high specificity (91.1%), with the largest area under the curve being 0.659. The VTE rate was significantly higher in patients with a total Caprini score ≥ 7 points (28.6%) compared to those with a total Caprini score ≤ 6 points (7.3%; p = 0.022). CONCLUSION: LSBS patients have a high risk of developing postoperative VTE. Patients with a Caprini score ≥ 7 points had a significantly higher risk of developing VTE after LSBS. The Caprini risk system was useful in assessing the VTE risk in LSBS. However, more data, calibration, and validation are necessary to establish an exclusive Caprini risk system for LSBS.

Characterizing geographic variation in postoperative venous thromboembolism.

OBJECTIVE: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) after major surgery remains an important contributor to morbidity and mortality. Despite significant quality improvement efforts in prevention and prophylaxis strategies, the degree of hospital and regional variation in the United States remains unknown. METHODS: Medicare beneficiaries undergoing 13 different major surgeries at U.S. hospitals between 2016 and 2018 were included in this retrospective cohort study. We calculated the rates of 90-day VTE. We adjusted for a variety of patient and hospital covariates and used a multilevel logistic regression model to calculate the rates of VTE and coefficients of variation across hospitals and hospital referral regions (HRRs). RESULTS: A total of 4,115,837 patients from 4116 hospitals were included, of whom 116,450 (2.8%) experienced VTE within 90 days. The 90-day VTE rates varied substantially by procedure, from 2.5% for abdominal aortic aneurysm repair to 8.4% for pancreatectomy. Across the hospitals, there was a 6.6-fold variation in index hospitalization VTE and a 5.3-fold variation in the rate of postdischarge VTE. Across the HRRs, there was a 2.6-fold variation in 90-day VTE, with a 12.1-fold variation in the coefficient of variation. A subset of HRRs was identified with both higher VTE rates and higher variance across hospitals. CONCLUSIONS: Substantial variation exists in the rate of postoperative VTE across U.S. hospitals. Characterizing HRRs with high overall rates of VTE and those with significant variation across the hospitals will allow for targeted quality improvement efforts.