Spleen Stiffness Performance in the Noninvasive Assessment of Gastroesophageal Varices after Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunts.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the performance of spleen stiffness (SS) by using two-dimensional shear-wave elastography (2D-SWE) for assessing the severity of gastroesophageal varices (GEVs) after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS). METHODS: 102 eligible patients were categorized as in the post-TIPS short-term (n = 69) and long-term (n = 38) follow-up groups. The performance of SS by using 2D-SWE for evaluating the severity of GEVs was compared with liver stiffness (LS), spleen stiffness-to-liver stiffness ratio (SS/LS), liver stiffness spleen-diameter-to-platelet-ratio score (LSPS), portal hypertension (PH) risk score, platelet count-to-spleen diameter ratio (PSR), and varices risk score by using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and DeLong test. RESULTS: In the post-TIPS short-term follow-up group, area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) of SS were 0.585 for mild (cutoff value = 30.3 kPa), 0.655 for moderate (cutoff value = 30.6 kPa), and 0.739 for severe (cutoff value = 31.9 kPa) GEVs, which were higher than other parameters for severe GEVs. AUCs of SS were lower than other parameters for mild and moderate GEVs, but no difference was found (p > 0.05). In the post-TIPS long-term follow-up group, AUCs of SS were 0.778 for mild (cutoff value = 28.9 kPa), 0.82 for moderate (cutoff value = 29.9 kPa), and 0.824 for severe (cutoff value = 37.7 kPa) GEVs, which were higher than other parameters except for severe GEVs. AUC of SS was lower than other parameters for severe GEVs, but no significant difference was found (p > 0.05). CONCLUSION: SS is an effective noninvasive tool to predict GEV severity during the post-TIPS follow-up.

An index based on deep learning-measured spleen volume on CT for the assessment of high-risk varix in B-viral compensated cirrhosis.

OBJECTIVES: Deep learning enables an automated liver and spleen volume measurements on CT. The purpose of this study was to develop an index combining liver and spleen volumes and clinical factors for detecting high-risk varices in B-viral compensated cirrhosis. METHODS: This retrospective study included 419 patients with B-viral compensated cirrhosis who underwent endoscopy and CT from 2007 to 2008 (derivation cohort, n = 239) and from 2009 to 2010 (validation cohort, n = 180). The liver and spleen volumes were measured on CT images using a deep learning algorithm. Multivariable logistic regression analysis of the derivation cohort developed an index to detect endoscopically confirmed high-risk varix. The cumulative 5-year risk of varix bleeding was evaluated with patients stratified by their index values. RESULTS: The index of spleen volume-to-platelet ratio was devised from the derivation cohort. In the validation cohort, the cutoff index value for balanced sensitivity and specificity (> 3.78) resulted in the sensitivity of 69.4% and the specificity of 78.5% for detecting high-risk varix, and the cutoff index value for high sensitivity (> 1.63) detected all high-risk varices. The index stratified all patients into the low (index value ≤ 1.63; n = 118), intermediate (n = 162), and high (index value > 3.78; n = 139) risk groups with cumulative 5-year incidences of varix bleeding of 0%, 1.0%, and 12.0%, respectively (p < .001). CONCLUSION: The spleen volume-to-platelet ratio obtained using deep learning-based CT analysis is useful to detect high-risk varices and to assess the risk of varix bleeding. KEY POINTS: • The criterion of spleen volume to platelet > 1.63 detected all high-risk varices in the validation cohort, while the absence of visible varix did not exclude all high-risk varices. • Visual varix grade ≥ 2 detected high-risk varix with a high specificity (96.5-100%). • Combining spleen volume-to-platelet ratio ≤ 1.63 and visual varix grade of 0 identified low-risk patients who had no high-risk varix and varix bleeding on 5-year follow-up.

Invasive and non-invasive assessment of portal hypertension.

Portal hypertension is the central driver of complications in patients with chronic liver diseases and cirrhosis. The diagnosis of portal hypertension has important prognostic and clinical implications. In particular, screening for varices in patients with portal hypertension can effectively reduce the morbidity and mortality of variceal bleeding. In this article, we review the invasive and non-invasive methods to assess portal hypertension. Hepatic venous pressure gradient remains the gold standard to measure portal pressure but is invasive and seldom performed outside expert centers and research settings. In recent years, a number of non-invasive tests of fibrosis have shown good correlation with liver histology. They also show promise in identifying patients with portal hypertension and large varices. As a result, the latest Baveno VI consensus guidelines endorse the use of liver stiffness measurement by transient elastography and platelet count as initial assessment to select patients for varices screening. On the other hand, the performance of non-invasive tests in assessing the response to non-selective beta-blockers or transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunting is either suboptimal or unclear.

A Prospective Comparison of Noninvasive Methods in the Assessment of Liver Fibrosis and Esophageal Varices in Pediatric Chronic Liver Diseases.

GOALS AND BACKGROUND: We compared liver stiffness (LS), the aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRi), and the platelet-to-spleen size z score ratio (P/SZC) in the prediction of liver fibrosis and esophageal varices in children. STUDY: LS, APRi, SZC, and P/SZC were prospectively determined in 99 unselected consecutive children, who underwent liver biopsy for the follow-up of chronic liver disorders. LS was assessed by transient elastography. The spleen size was evaluated as the SD from age-specific and gender-specific normative values. Varices were assessed endoscopically (n=64). Biopsies were staged according to Metavir. RESULTS: The median patient age was 6.0 (interquartile range, 1.8 to 12.9) years. Underlying diagnoses included intestinal failure (n=31), biliary atresia (n=24), and others (n=44). LS showed the strongest correlation with the fibrosis stage (r=0.639, P<0.001) compared with P/SZC (r=-0.427, P=0.003), APRi (r=0.419, P=0.001), or SZC (r=0.396, P=0.004). LS clearly performed the best in predicting fibrosis with area under the receiver operator curve (AUROC) values of 0.789 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.698-0.879; P<0.001] for any (Metavir≥1), and 0.831 (95% CI, 0.745-0.918; P<0.001) for significant (Metavir≥2) fibrosis. For the prediction of the presence of esophageal varices, APRi had a higher AUROC of 0.832 (95% CI, 0.730-0.934; P<0.001), when compared with LS, SZC, or P/SZC with AUROCs of 0.818 (95% CI, 0.706-0.930; P<0.001), 0.795 (95% CI, 0.683-0.904; P=0.001), and 0.760 (95% CI, 0.610-0.909; P=0.004), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: LS performed the best in predicting liver fibrosis, whereas APRi had the highest predictive accuracy for esophageal varices. An LS value over 7.7 kPa identified significant liver fibrosis with high accuracy, whereas low APRi ascertained the absence of esophageal varices.

Quantitative assessment of hepatic function: modified look-locker inversion recovery (MOLLI) sequence for T1 mapping on Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced liver MR imaging.

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether multislice T1 mapping of the liver using a modified look-locker inversion recovery (MOLLI) sequence on gadoxetic acid-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) can be used as a quantitative tool to estimate liver function and predict the presence of oesophageal or gastric varices. METHODS: Phantoms filled with gadoxetic acid were scanned three times using MOLLI sequence to test repeatability. Patients with chronic liver disease or liver cirrhosis who underwent gadoxetic acid-enhanced liver MRI including MOLLI sequence at 3 T were included (n = 343). Pre- and postcontrast T1 relaxation times of the liver (T1liver), changes between pre- and postcontrast T1liver (ΔT1liver), and adjusted postcontrast T1liver (postcontrast T1liver-T1spleen/T1spleen) were compared among Child-Pugh classes. In 62 patients who underwent endoscopy, all T1 parameters and spleen sizes were correlated with varices. RESULTS: Phantom study showed excellent repeatability of MOLLI sequence. As Child-Pugh scores increased, pre- and postcontrast T1liver were significantly prolonged (P < 0.001), and ΔT1liver and adjusted postcontrast T1liver decreased (P < 0.001). Adjusted postcontrast T1liver and spleen size were independently associated with varices (R (2) = 0.29, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: T1 mapping of the liver using MOLLI sequence on gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI demonstrated potential in quantitatively estimating liver function, and adjusted postcontrast T1liver was significantly associated with varices. KEY POINTS: • T1 mapping using MOLLI sequence can be achieved within a breath-hold. • T1liver measured by MOLLI sequence provided excellent short-term repeatability. • Precontrast and postcontrast T1liver were significantly prolonged as Child-Pugh scores increased. • Adjusted postcontrast T1liver and spleen size were independently associated with varices.

Endoscopic ultrasonography assessment of para-esophageal varices predicts efficacy of propranolol in preventing recurrence of esophageal varices.

BACKGROUND: Volume of para-esophageal varices (PEV) correlates with esophageal varices recurrence. The effect of propranolol on volumetric change of PEV has not been studied. The relation between EV recurrence and volumetric change of PEV in patients undergoing endoscopic variceal ligation (EVL) with and without propranolol are studied. METHODS: Sixty-six patients who achieved EV eradication by primary EVL were randomly allocated to a propranolol group (n = 33) or control group (n = 33). The endpoints of the study were EV recurrence and volumetric change of PEV assessed by using endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS) at 3-month intervals for 2 years. RESULTS: The cumulative probability of recurrence at two years was 28% in the propranolol group (n = 9) and 68% in the control group (n = 20) (p = 0.005, log-rank test). Difference of the volumetric change of PEV became significant as early as at the third month [-0.12 (-0.38-0.34) vs. 0.14 (-0.06-0.57), p < 0.001] between the two groups. Regression of PEV was achieved in 20 patients of the propranolol group at a median time of three months (range 3-12 months), and no EV recurrence was found at the end of follow-up for two years. On multivariate analysis, the volumetric change of PEV at the third month and use of propranolol were determinants of EV recurrence. CONCLUSIONS: Propranolol may reduce both EV recurrence rate and volume of PEV in patients achieving endoscopic eradication. Regression of PEV is a predictor of durable eradication of EV without recurrence in patients using propranolol. EUS is an objective and useful tool to measure PEV and predict recurrence of EV.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of beta-blockers vs endoscopic surveillance in patients with cirrhosis and small varices.

AIM: To evaluate the most cost-effectiveness strategy for preventing variceal growth and bleeding in patients with cirrhosis and small esophageal varices. METHODS: A stochastic analysis based on decision trees was performed to compare the cost-effectiveness of beta-blockers therapy starting from a diagnosis of small varices (Strategy 1) with that of endoscopic surveillance followed by beta-blockers treatment when large varices are demonstrated (Strategy 2), for preventing variceal growth, bleeding and death in patients with cirrhosis and small esophageal varices. The basic nodes of the tree were gastrointestinal endoscopy, inpatient admission and treatment for bleeding, as required. All estimates were performed using a Monte Carlo microsimulation technique, consisting in simulating observations from known probability distributions depicted in the model. Eight-hundred-thousand simulations were performed to obtain the final estimates. All estimates were then subjected to Monte Carlo Probabilistic sensitivity analysis, to assess the impact of the variability of such estimates on the outcome distributions. RESULTS: The event rate (considered as progression of varices or bleeding or death) in Strategy 1 [24.09% (95%CI: 14.89%-33.29%)] was significantly lower than in Strategy 2 [60.00% (95%CI: 48.91%-71.08%)]. The mean cost (up to the first event) associated with Strategy 1 [823 £ (95%CI: 106 £-2036 £)] was not significantly different from that of Strategy 2 [799 £ (95%CI: 0 £-3498 £)]. The cost-effectiveness ratio with respect to this endpoint was equal to 50.26 £ (95%CI: -504.37 £-604.89 £) per event avoided over the four-year follow-up. When bleeding episodes/deaths in subjects whose varices had grown were included, the mean cost associated with Strategy 1 was 1028 £ (95%CI: 122 £-2581 £), while 1699 £ (95%CI: 171 £-4674 £) in Strategy 2. CONCLUSION: Beta-blocker therapy turn out to be more effective and less expensive than endoscopic surveillance for primary prophylaxis of bleeding in patients with cirrhosis and small varices.

Assessment of portal hypertension and high-risk oesophageal varices with liver and spleen three-dimensional multifrequency MR elastography in liver cirrhosis.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the value of the liver and spleen viscoelastic parameters at multifrequency MR elastography to determine the degree of portal hypertension and presence of high-risk oesophageal varices in patients with cirrhosis. METHODS: From January to September 2012, 36 consecutive patients with cirrhosis evaluated for transplantation were prospectively included. All patients underwent hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurements and endoscopy to assess oesophageal varices. Multifrequency MR elastography was performed within the liver and spleen. The shear, storage and loss moduli were calculated and compared to the HVPG with Spearman coefficients and multiple regressions. Patients with and without severe portal hypertension and high-risk varices were compared with Mann-Whitney tests, logistic regression and ROC analysis. RESULTS: The liver storage and loss moduli and the spleen shear, storage and loss moduli correlated with the HVPG. At multiple regression, only the liver and the spleen loss modulus correlated with the HVPG (r = 0.44, p = 0.017, and r = 0.57, p = 0.002, respectively). The spleen loss modulus was the best parameter for identifying patients with severe portal hypertension (p = 0.019, AUROC = 0.81) or high-risk varices (p = 0.042, AUROC = 0.93). CONCLUSIONS: The spleen loss modulus appears to be the best parameter for identifying patients with severe portal hypertension or high-risk varices. KEY POINTS: 1. Noninvasive HVPG assessment can be performed with liver and spleen MR elastography 2. The spleen loss modulus enables the detection of high-risk oesophageal varices 3. The spleen loss modulus enables the detection of severe portal hypertension.

High-risk esophageal varices in patients treated with locoregional therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma: assessment with liver computed tomography.

AIM: To assess the diagnostic performance of follow-up liver computed tomography (CT) for the detection of high-risk esophageal varices in patients treated with locoregional therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS: We prospectively enrolled 100 patients with cirrhosis who underwent transcatheter arterial chemoembolization, radiofrequency ablation or both procedures for HCCs. All patients underwent upper endoscopy and subsequently liver CT. Three radiologists independently evaluated the presence of high-risk esophageal varices with transverse images alone and with three orthogonal multiplanar reformation (MPR) images, respectively. With endoscopic grading as the reference standard, diagnostic performance was assessed by using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. RESULTS: The diagnostic performances (areas under the ROC curve) of three observers with transverse images alone were 0.947 ± 0.031, 0.969 ± 0.024, and 0.916 ± 0.038, respectively. The mean sensitivity, specificity, positive predicative value (PPV), and negative predicative value (NPV) with transverse images alone were 90.1%, 86.39%, 70.9%, and 95.9%, respectively. The diagnostic performances, mean sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV with three orthogonal MPR images (0.965 ± 0.025, 0.959 ± 0.027, 0.938 ± 0.033, 91.4%, 89.5%, 76.3%, and 96.6%, respectively) were not superior to corresponding values with transverse images alone (P > 0.05), except for the mean specificity (P = 0.039). CONCLUSION: Our results showed excellent diagnostic performance, sensitivity and NPV to detect high-risk esophageal varices on follow-up liver CT after locoregional therapy for HCC.

Noninvasive assessment of portal hypertension in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Portal hypertension and development of esophageal varices is one of the major complications of liver cirrhosis. The aim of our study was to evaluate the possibility of the presence of esophageal varices and their size using biochemical and ultrasonography parameters in patients with alcoholic liver cirrhosis. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We included in our study 86 patients (74 males, mean age 55±7) with alcoholic liver cirrhosis. The control group consisted of 102 patients with cirrhosis of other etiologies. All patients underwent a complete biochemical workup, upper digestive endoscopy and ultrasonography examination. The right liver lobe diameter/albumin and platelet count/spleen diameter ratios were calculated. The correlation of the calculated ratios with the presence and degree of esophageal varices in patients with liver cirrhosis was also determined. RESULTS: The mean value of right liver lobe diameter-albumin ratio was 6.15±1.77, and statistically significantly differed from values determined in the control group (4.97±1.68). The mean platelet count-spleen diameter ratio was 972.5±599.0 in alcoholic liver cirrhosis and 1055.9±821.3 in controls (p>0.05). In patients with alcoholic liver cirrhosis, none of the analyzed noninvasive markers was shown to be a good predictor of the presence and size of esophageal varices. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the important role of noninvasive markers in providing information pertinent to determination of esophageal varices in patients with liver cirrhosis, these markers have limited relevance in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis.

Risk assessment of esophageal variceal bleeding in B-viral liver cirrhosis by a liver stiffness measurement-based model.

OBJECTIVES: Periodic endoscopic screening for esophageal varices (EVs) and prophylactic treatment for high-risk EVs (HEVs; (i) medium/large EVs and (ii) small EVs with red sign or decompensated cirrhosis) are recommended for cirrhotic patients. We assessed cumulative risks of future EV bleeding (EVB) using the liver stiffness measurement (LSM)-based model, LSM-spleen diameter to platelet ratio score (LSPS=LSM×spleen diameter/platelet count). METHODS: We prospectively enrolled 577 consecutive B-viral cirrhosis patients from 2005 to 2009, none of whom experienced EVB. All underwent laboratory workups, endoscopy, LSM, and ultrasonography. Those with HEVs took nonselective ß-blockers as prophylaxis for EVB after diagnosis, if not contraindicated. The major end point was the first EVB event, examined using Kaplan-Meier and Cox-regression methods. RESULTS: Among whole population, 95.9% negative- /93.5% positive-predictive value by LSPS<3.5/LSPS≥5.5 were provided for predicting the presence of HEV at enrollment, respectively. Among patients with HEV (n=150), 25 experienced their first EVBs during follow-up (median, 29 months). To differentiate EVB risk, we divided them into subgroup 1 (LSPS<6.5) and 2 (LSPS≥6.5) according to LSPS 6.5, a point with maximum sum of sensitivity and specificity from time-dependent receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves (area under ROC curve=0.929). EVB risk was higher in subgroup 2 than subgroup 1 (P<0.001). Multivariate analysis found higher LSPS (P=0.003) a significant predictor, alongside large variceal sizes (P=0.004) and Child-Pugh classifications B/C (P=0.001). Notably, EVB risk of subgroup 1 was as low as that of low-risk EVs (P=0.507). CONCLUSIONS: LSPS is a reliable predictor for EVB risk. According to risk stratification, different prophylactic treatments should be considered for subgroups with LSPS≥6.5.

Noninvasive assessment of portal hypertension in patients with cirrhosis.

Severe portal hypertension is responsible for complications and death. Although measurement of the hepatic venous pressure gradient is the most accurate method for evaluating the presence and severity of portal hypertension, this technique is considered invasive and is not routinely performed in all centers. Several noninvasive techniques have been proposed to measure portal hypertension. Certain methods evaluate elements related to the pathogenesis of portal hypertension through the measurement of hyperkinetic syndrome, for example, or they investigate the development of hepatic fibrosis through the measurement of increased intrahepatic vascular resistance. Other methods evaluate the clinical consequences of portal hypertension, such as the presence of esophageal varices or the development of portosystemic shunts. Methods evaluating increased hepatic vascular resistance are fairly accurate and mainly involve the detection of hepatic fibrosis by serum markers and transient elastography. The radiological assessment of hyperkinetic syndrome probably has value but is still under investigation. The assessment of severe portal hypertension by the presence of varices may be performed with simple tools such as biological assays, computed tomography, and esophageal capsules. More sophisticated procedures seem promising but are still under development. Screening tools for large populations must be simple, whereas more complicated procedures could help in the follow-up of already diagnosed patients. Although most of these noninvasive methods effectively identify severe portal hypertension, methods for diagnosing moderate portal hypertension need to be developed; this shows that further investigation is needed in this field.

Spleen stiffness measurement using Fibroscan for the noninvasive assessment of esophageal varices in liver cirrhosis patients.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Splenomegaly in a common finding in liver cirrhosis that should determine changes in the spleen's density because of portal and splenic congestion and/or because of tissue hyperplasia and fibrosis. These changes might be quantified by elastography, so the aim of the study was to investigate whether spleen stiffness measured by transient elastography varies as liver disease progresses and whether this would be a suitable method for the noninvasive evaluation of the presence of esophageal varices. PATIENTS AND METHODS: One hundred and ninety-one patients (135 liver cirrhosis, 39 chronic hepatitis and 17 healthy controls) were evaluated by transient elastography for measurements of spleen and liver stiffness. Cirrhotic patients also underwent upper endoscopy for the diagnosis of esophageal varices. RESULTS: Spleen stiffness showed higher values in liver cirrhosis patients as compared with chronic hepatitis and with controls: 60.96 vs 34.49 vs 22.01 KPa (P<0.0001). In the case of liver cirrhosis, spleen stiffness was significantly higher in patients with varices as compared with those without (63.69 vs 47.78 KPa, P<0.0001), 52.5 KPa being the best cut-off value, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic of 0.74. Using both liver and spleen stiffness measurement we correctly predicted the presence of esophageal varices with 89.95% diagnostic accuracy. CONCLUSION: Spleen stiffness can be assessed using transient elastography, its value increasing as the liver disease progresses. In liver cirrhosis patients spleen stiffness can predict the presence, but not the grade of esophageal varices. Esophageal varices' presence can be better predicted if both spleen and liver stiffness measurements are used.

Validation of model for end-stage liver disease score to serum sodium ratio index as a prognostic predictor in patients with cirrhosis.

AIM: To evaluate the prognostic ability of model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) to serum sodium (SNa) ratio (MESO) index and to compare the predictive accuracy of the MESO index with the MELD score and the modified Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score for short-term survival in cirrhotic patients. METHODS: A total of 256 patients with cirrhosis were retrospectively evaluated. The predictive accuracy of the MESO index, MELD score and modified CTP score were compared by the area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: Using 1-month and 3-month mortality as the end-point, overall, MESO and MELD were significantly better than the CTP score in predicting the risk of mortality at 1 month (AUC, 0.866,0.819 vs 0.722, P < 0.01) and 3 months (AUC, 0.875,0.820 vs 0.721, P < 0.01). In the low MELD group, the AUC of MESO index (0.758, 0.759) and CTP score (0.754, 0.732) were higher than that of the MELD score (0.608, 0.611) at 1 month and 3 months, respectively (P < 0.01). However, in the high MELD group, the AUC of MESO index (0.762, 0.779) and MELD (0.737, 0.773) were higher than that of the CTP score (0.710, 0.752) at 1 month and 3 months, respectively, although there were no significant differences (P > 0.05). With appropriate cut-offs for the MESO index, the mortality rate of patients in high MESO was higher (57.1% at 1 month and 69.2% at 3 months) than that of the low MESO (5.5% at 1 month and 7.9% at 3 months) (P < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: The MESO index, which adds SNa to MELD, is a useful prognostic marker and is found to be superior to the MELD score and modified CTP score for short-term prognostication of patients with cirrhosis.

Simple clinical predictors may obviate urgent endoscopy in selected patients with nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal tract bleeding.

BACKGROUND: The validated Blatchford risk score (BRS) predicts outcomes in patients with nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal tract bleeding, before endoscopy; completion of the Rockall score requires endoscopy. The aims of this study were to predict whether the modified BRS (mBRS) can predict (1) endoscopic high-risk stigmata (HRS) and (2) rebleeding and mortality. METHODS: Clinical and demographic characteristics on 1869 patients from 6 Canadian provinces were prospectively entered into the Registry for Upper GI Bleeding and Endoscopy database, recording 30-day rebleeding and mortality. The Rockall score and mBRS (hemoglobin level, hemodynamic instability, and presence of melena, liver disease, or cardiac failure; urea and syncope were not recorded) were calculated. Logistic regression was used to assess the association between an mBRS of 1 or less with HRS and with rebleeding and mortality. RESULTS: The mean (SD) age of the patients was 66 (17) years, with 62% men and a mean of 2.5 comorbidities. Of the 1860 patients with 30-day rebleeding data, 334 (18.0%) rebled; 5.3% died. The mBRS was 0 in 3% and 1 or less in 9.8% of patients; HRS were seen in 31.0% of patients. An mBRS of 1 or less was associated with lower rebleeding (5% vs 19%; P<.001) and mortality (0.5% vs 5.8%; P=.003), and was significant in multivariate analysis for rebleeding (odds ratio, 0.24; 95% confidence interval, 0.12-0.48) and mortality (odds ratio, 0.12; 95% confidence interval, 0.02-0.90). The HRS were less frequent when the mBRS was 1 or less (16.9% vs 32.7%; odds ratio, 0.4; 95% confidence interval, 0.3-0.6). Patients with a low mBRS with HRS had a low rebleeding rate (3.3%) and a lower apparent benefit from endoscopic therapy. CONCLUSIONS: An mBRS of 1 or less identifies approximately 10% of patients with gastrointestinal tract bleeding with a low likelihood of having HRS and a low risk of adverse outcomes. A prospective randomized study is required to examine whether this subgroup of patients presenting after hours could be discharged safely from emergency departments with arrangements for (urgent) outpatient endoscopy.

Assessment of the presence and severity of esophagogastric varices by splenic index in patients with liver cirrhosis.

PURPOSE: To determine whether spleen size is related to the severity of esophageal varices or associated gastric varices and liver functions in patients with cirrhosis. METHOD: The authors retrospectively studied spleen size on CT (splenic index [SI] = length x width x height of the spleen), liver functions, and the results of esophagogastric endoscopy in 110 patients with cirrhosis. They also analyzed SI in 112 controls. RESULTS: In controls, body weight, height, and age affected the SI. The SI in patients with uncompensated cirrhosis was greater compared with the SI in those with well-compensated disease (p = 0.0363). The SI in patients with esophageal varices was greater than in patients without esophageal varices (p<0.0001), but patients with and without gastric varices had similar SI values. The SI in patients with the red color signs (red wale marking, cherry red spot, and hematocystic spot) on esophageal varices or with risky varices (enlarged tortuous varices with beady, nodular, or tumor shape associated with red color signs) was greater than in patients without these signs (p = 0.0029 and p = 0.0030, respectively). CONCLUSION: The SI is a good indicator of the severity of esophageal varices and hepatic functional reserve in patients with cirrhosis.

Predictors of large esophageal varices in patients with cirrhosis.

OBJECTIVE: Recent guidelines recommend that all cirrhotics undergo screening upper endoscopy to identify those patients at risk for bleeding from varices. However, this practice may not be cost effective as large esophageal varices are seen only in 9-36% of these patients. The aim of this study was to determine whether clinical variables were predictive of the presence of large esophageal varices. METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of cirrhotics who had a screening upper endoscopy during an evaluation for liver transplantation at three different centers and who had not previously bled from varices. A multivariate model was derived on the combined cohort using logistic regression. Three hundred forty-six patients were eligible for the study. RESULTS: The prevalence of large esophageal varices was 20%. On multivariate analysis, splenomegaly detected by computed tomographic scan (odds ratio: 4.3; 95% confidence interval: 1.6-11.5) or by physical examination (odds ratio: 2.0; 95% confidence interval: 1.1-3.8), and low platelet count were independent predictors of large esophageal varices. On the basis of these variables, cirrhotics were stratified into high- and low-risk groups for the presence of large esophageal varices. Patients with a platelet count of > or = 88,000/mm3 (median value) and no splenomegaly by physical examination had a risk of large esophageal varices of 7.2%. Those with splenomegaly or platelet count < 88,000/mm3 had a risk of large esophageal varices of 28% (p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Our data show that clinical predictors could be used to stratify cirrhotic patients for the risk of large esophageal varices and such stratification could be used to improve the cost effectiveness of screening endoscopy.

High-resolution endoluminal sonography assessment of the hematocystic spots of esophageal varices.

BACKGROUND: Many variables are associated with an increased potential for esophageal variceal rupture, especially the presence of hematocystic spots and other red signs on upper endoscopy. The etiology of hematocystic spots is unknown. High-resolution endoluminal sonography has been shown to be an accurate and sensitive imaging modality for detection, as well as the qualitative and quantitative assessment of esophageal varices. Because the high-resolution endoluminal sonography transducer permits detailed resolution of submucosal structures thereby allowing more precise examination of the actual wall of the varix, we sought to image variceal hematocystic spots in an effort to better define their anatomy. METHODS: Simultaneous upper endoscopy and high-resolution endoluminal sonography were performed in 68 patients with cirrhosis. Endoscopy was performed as part of screening for varices during evaluation for liver transplantation or in patients with previous presumed variceal bleeding. On endoscopy and high-resolution endoluminal sonography, two independent reviewers identified the same 10 patients having esophageal varices with hematocystic spots. The patients who had bled from their varices had not received prior endoscopic treatment. RESULTS: Hematocystic spots as seen with high-resolution endoluminal sonography imaging appeared as saccular aneurysm like projections on the variceal surface in 6 of 10 patients. Four of six patients would later have recurrent bleeding; two of these patients were again noted to have hematocystic spots on endoscopy with a similar corresponding high-resolution endoluminal sonography appearance. Patients without hematocystic spots did not have similar high-resolution endoluminal sonography imaging. CONCLUSION: Aneurysm-like projections in the wall of varices may represent focal weaknesses of the variceal wall and thus play a role in the pathophysiology of esophageal variceal rupture. The present findings may help to explain why there is an increased risk of variceal hemorrhage associated with the presence of hematocystic spots on esophageal varices.

[Assessment of endoscopic embolization in the management of esophageal varices].

Between February 1984 and September 1987, endoscopic embolization (EE) was performed in 26 patients with esophageal varices. The effects of EE were evaluated with endoscopic findings according to the general rules for recording endoscopic findings on esophageal varices as specified by the Japanese Research Society for Portal Hypertension. 1) When the result was regarded as effective if a patient had Cw, F1, R-C sign (-), Li and Lm or disappearance of varices, the improvement was found in 66.7% for Color, 79.2% for R-C sign, 54.2% for Form and 45.8% for Location after EE. 2) Recurrence of varices was found in 50% of the patients (12/24) and 4 of 12 cases (33.3%) had rebleeding. 3) When the endoscopic findings before and after EE were compared between relapsed and unrelapsed cases, relapsed patients had more unfavorable endoscopic findings, furthermore, the extent of improvements was also worse than that of unrelapsed cases. 4) As complications, slight fever, dysphagia and epigastric pain were found in most cases, however, all were cured conservatively. In conclusion, EE is useful and safety tool for the improvement of endoscopic findings of the patients with esophageal varices.