[Establishment and application of rapid assessment system of environment with high transmission risk of schistosomiasis in marshland and lake regions. I. Establishment of an index system with Delphi method].

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To establish an index system for rapid assessment of environment with high transmission risk of schistosomiasis in marshland and lake regions. METHODS: The alternative indices were established preliminarily by the documentary method, and then the Delphi method was used two rounds to select the indices and establish the index system. The degree of familiar and authority of the experts as well as the weights of all indices were assessed. RESULTS: A total of 3 primary indices namely morbidity in domestic animals, morbidity in humans and Oncomelania snail status were established, among which the weight of morbidity in domestic animals (0.68) was the highest. Totally 16 secondary indices were established, among which the combinative weights of the positive rate of wild feces (0.09), the infection rate of livestock (0.09), the infection rate of humans (0.07), the number of cases with acute schistosomiasis (0.07), the area with infected snails (0.07), and the density of infected snails (0.07) were the highest. The coefficients of familiar degree and authority degree of the experts of the primary indices were 0.79-0.85 and 0.88-0.91, and those of the secondary indices were 0.68-0.86 and 0.77-0.91, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The index system for rapid assessment of environment with high transmission risk of schistosomiasis in marshland and lake regions is established preliminarily. Using this system, we can assess the key endemic indices of humans, domestic animals and snails to understand the endemic situation in the investigated sites.