Stroke and bleeding risk in atrial fibrillation with CHA2DS2-VASC risk score of one: the Norwegian AFNOR study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The benefit of oral anticoagulant (OAC) therapy in atrial fibrillation (AF) and intermediate stroke risk is debated. In a nationwide Norwegian cohort with a non-sex CHA2DS2-VASc risk score of one, this study aimed to investigate (i) stroke and bleeding risk in AF patients with and without OAC treatment, and (ii) the risk of stroke in non-anticoagulated individuals with and without AF. METHODS: A total of 1 118 762 individuals including 34 460 AF patients were followed during 2011-18 until ischaemic stroke, intracranial haemorrhage, increased CHA2DS2-VASc score, or study end. One-year incidence rates (IRs) were calculated as events per 100 person-years (%/py). Cox regression models provided adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs [95% confidence intervals]). RESULTS: Among AF patients, the ischaemic stroke IR was 0.51%/py in OAC users and 1.05%/py in non-users (aHR 0.47 [0.37-0.59]). Intracranial haemorrhage IR was 0.28%/py in OAC users and 0.19%/py in non-users (aHR 1.23 [0.88-1.72]). Oral anticoagulant use was associated with an increased risk of major bleeding (aHR 1.37 [1.16-1.63]) but lower risk of the combined outcome of ischaemic stroke, major bleeding, and mortality (aHR 0.57 [0.51-0.63]). Non-anticoagulated individuals with AF had higher risk of ischaemic stroke compared to non-AF individuals with the same risk profile (aHR 2.47 [2.17-2.81]). CONCLUSIONS: In AF patients at intermediate risk of stroke, OAC use was associated with overall favourable clinical outcomes. Non-anticoagulated AF patients had higher risk of ischaemic stroke compared to the general population without AF with the same risk profile.

Prevalence and Incidence Rates of Atrial Fibrillation in Denmark 2004-2018.

Purpose: To estimate the prevalence and incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in Denmark during 2004-2018 and to investigate whether methodological choices influence these estimates. Patients and Methods: A register-based cohort study was conducted of all individuals aged ≥18 years in Denmark 2004-2018. The cumulative prevalence of AF at the end of the study period was calculated as the number of AF cases alive with at least one inpatient or two outpatient diagnoses during 1994-2018 divided by the number of Danish residents in 2018. Incidence rates were calculated as the number of annual AF cases with no previous diagnosis in the past 10 years (ie, a 10-year washout period) divided by the person-time contributed by the population free of AF on 1 January in the same calendar year. Furthermore, the influence of varying case definitions was investigated. Results: The cumulative prevalence of AF was 3.0% in 2018. The incidence rate increased from 391 to 481 per 100,000 person-years (PYs) from 2004 to 2015 (1.7% average annual increase) after which it declined to 367 per 100,000 PYs in 2018 (8.5% average annual decrease). This pattern was observed in both sexes irrespective of age. Methodological choices, particularly the case definition's strictness and the length of the washout period, had a substantial influence on the reported estimates. Conclusion: The cumulative prevalence of AF is currently around 3.0% in the Danish population, but the incidence has declined since 2015. As these estimates are influenced by methodological choices, future studies should strive for precise reporting of study methodology.

Primary peritoneal carcinoma: regional cancer institute experience.

Primary peritoneal serous carcinoma (PPSC) is a rare malignancy that arises primarily from peritoneal surface epithelium. However there are limited studies on these tumors even in world literature. To study the clinical, pathologic profile, outcome and prognostic features of PPSC. A 5 year retrospective study of PPSC diagnosed and treated at our centre was conducted. The pathological specimen of PPSC diagnosed from January 2008 to December 2012 were reviewed by gynaeconcopathologists. The diagnosis was based on GOG criteria, complemented with IHC. Majority of the patients underwent upfront de-bulking surgery. Postoperatively, six cycles of combination chemotherapy with paclitaxel (175 mg/m(2)) and carboplatin (AUC 6) was administered every 3 weekly. These patients were analysed for progression free survival (PFS), this was correlated with stage and surgical adequacy. The median age of presentation was 56 years. The total number of ovarian cancers treated during study period was 374. The 30 cases were clinically suspected to have primary peritoneal carcinoma (PPC) on pre- and intra-operatve gross findings, but further evaluation with histopathological examination, IHC and GOG criteria revealed only 10 cases were genuine PPSC. The remaing 20 cases; 13 were found to poorly differentiated ovarian carcinomas, six were primary fallopian tube carcinoma and one was appendicular carcinoma. The 10 (2.7 %) cases of the 374 were eligible for the PPSC analysis. The two (20 %) of the 10 cases had family history of breast and ovarian cancers, two (20 %) cases were diagnosed as abdominal tuberculosis (TB) prior referral to our centre. Radiological presentation includes gross ascites, with omental caking and normal adenexa. The eight (80 %) of 10 cases presented with stage IIIC and other two cases (20 %) with stage IV disease. The eight (80 %) of 10 cases underwent upfront surgery; six (75 %) of these eight cases had optimal cytoreduction, i.e. residual disease (RD) <1 cm or no visible disease (R0) and other two (25 %) suboptimal cytoreduction. The two (20 %) of 10 cases with stage IV disease received neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) followed by interval cytoreduction. After debulking surgery the most useful IHC marker include CK7+, CK20-, CA125+, WT-1+, and GCDFP- . At median follow up of 24 months (range 3-60 months), the median progression free survival (PFS) was 22 months, while the estimated 5 year PFS was 18 %. Stage IV disease and suboptimal surgery had poor outcome. The PPSC presents with advanced stage disease and are observed to be misdiagnosed abdominal TB in tropical countries. The GOG criteria and IHC complement the diagnosis. These have poor outcome despite optimal care, highlighting need for larger studies on this disease.