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1.
Ann Surg ; 278(4): 479-488, 2023 10 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37436876

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Evaluate outcome of left-lobe graft (LLG) first combined with purely laparoscopic donor hemihepatectomy (PLDH) as a strategy to minimize donor risk. BACKGROUND: An LLG first approach and a PLDH are 2 methods used to reduce surgical stress for donors in adult living donor liver transplantation (LDLT). But the risk associated with application LLG first combined with PLDH is not known. METHODS: From 2012 to 2023, 186 adult LDLTs were performed with hemiliver grafts, procured by open surgery in 95 and PLDH in 91 cases. LLGs were considered first when graft-to-recipient weight ratio ≥0.6%. Following a 4-month adoption process, all donor hepatectomies, since December 2019, were performed laparoscopically. RESULTS: There was one intraoperative conversion to open (1%). Mean operative times were similar in laparoscopic and open cases (366 vs 371 minutes). PLDH provided shorter hospital stays, lower blood loss, and lower peak aspartate aminotransferase. Peak bilirubin was lower in LLG donors compared with right-lobe graft donors (1.4 vs 2.4 mg/dL, P < 0.01), and PLDH further improved the bilirubin levels in LLG donors (1.2 vs 1.6 mg/dL, P < 0.01). PLDH also afforded a low rate of early complications (Clavien-Dindo grade ≥ II, 8% vs 22%, P = 0.007) and late complications, including incisional hernia (0% vs 13.7%, P < 0.001), compared with open cases. LLG was more likely to have a single duct than a right-lobe graft (89% vs 60%, P < 0.01). Importantly, with the aggressive use of LLG in 47% of adult LDLT, favorable graft survival was achieved without any differences between the type of graft and surgical approach. CONCLUSIONS: The LLG first with PLDH approach minimizes surgical stress for donors in adult LDLT without compromising recipient outcomes. This strategy can lighten the burden for living donors, which could help expand the donor pool.


Subject(s)
Laparoscopy , Liver Transplantation , Adult , Humans , Liver Transplantation/methods , Living Donors , Liver/surgery , Hepatectomy/methods , Bilirubin , Treatment Outcome
2.
Ann Surg ; 278(3): e540-e548, 2023 09 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36453261

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the clinical implications of BRAF -mutated (mut BRAF ) colorectal liver metastases (CRLMs). BACKGROUND: The clinical implications of mut BRAF status in CRLMs are largely unknown. METHODS: Patients undergoing resection for mut BRAF CRLM were identified from prospectively maintained registries of the collaborating institutions. Overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were compared among patients with V600E versus non-V600E mutations, KRAS/BRAF comutation versus mut BRAF alone, microsatellite stability status (Microsatellite Stable (MSS) vs instable (MSI-high)), upfront resectable versus converted tumors, extrahepatic versus liver-limited disease, and intrahepatic recurrence treated with repeat hepatectomy versus nonoperative management. RESULTS: A total of 240 patients harboring BRAF -mutated tumors were included. BRAF V600E mutation was associated with shorter OS (30.6 vs 144 mo, P =0.004), but not RFS compared with non-V600E mutations. KRAS/BRAF comutation did not affect outcomes. MSS tumors were associated with shorter RFS (9.1 vs 26 mo, P <0.001) but not OS (33.5 vs 41 mo, P =0.3) compared with MSI-high tumors, whereas patients with resected converted disease had slightly worse RFS (8 vs 11 mo, P =0.01) and similar OS (30 vs 40 mo, P =0.4) compared with those with upfront resectable disease. Patients with extrahepatic disease had worse OS compared with those with liver-limited disease (8.8 vs 40 mo, P <0.001). Repeat hepatectomy after intrahepatic recurrence was associated with improved OS compared with nonoperative management (41 vs 18.7 mo, P =0.004). All results continued to hold true in the multivariable OS analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Although surgery may be futile in patients with BRAF -mutated CRLM and concurrent extrahepatic disease, resection of converted disease resulted in encouraging survival in the absence of extrahepatic spread. Importantly, second hepatectomy in select patients with recurrence was associated with improved outcomes. Finally, MSI-high status identifies a better prognostic group, with regard to RFS while patients with non-V600E mutations have excellent prognosis.


Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms , Liver Neoplasms , Humans , Proto-Oncogene Proteins B-raf/genetics , Colorectal Neoplasms/pathology , Proto-Oncogene Proteins p21(ras)/genetics , Prognosis , Liver Neoplasms/genetics , Liver Neoplasms/surgery , Liver Neoplasms/secondary , Hepatectomy/methods , Mutation
3.
Liver Transpl ; 29(1): 34-47, 2023 01 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36630156

ABSTRACT

NAFLD will soon be the most common indication for liver transplantation (LT). In NAFLD, HCC may occur at earlier stages of fibrosis and present with more advanced tumor stage, raising concern for aggressive disease. Thus, adult LT recipients with HCC from 20 US centers transplanted between 2002 and 2013 were analyzed to determine whether NAFLD impacts recurrence-free post-LT survival. Five hundred and thirty-eight (10.8%) of 4981 total patients had NAFLD. Patients with NAFLD were significantly older (63 vs. 58, p<0.001), had higher body mass index (30.5 vs. 27.4, p<0.001), and were more likely to have diabetes (57.3% vs. 28.8%, p<0.001). Patients with NAFLD were less likely to receive pre-LT locoregional therapy (63.6% vs. 72.9%, p<0.001), had higher median lab MELD (15 vs. 13, p<0.001) and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (3.8 vs. 2.9, p<0.001), and were more likely to have their maximum pre-LT alpha fetoprotein at time of LT (44.1% vs. 36.1%, p<0.001). NAFLD patients were more likely to have an incidental HCC on explant (19.4% vs. 10.4%, p<0.001); however, explant characteristics including tumor differentiation and vascular invasion were not different between groups. Comparing NAFLD and non-NAFLD patients, the 1, 3, and 5-year cumulative incidence of recurrence (3.1%, 9.1%, 11.5% vs. 4.9%, 10.1%, 12.6%, p=0.36) and recurrence-free survival rates (87%, 76%, and 67% vs. 87%, 75%, and 67%, p=0.97) were not different. In competing risks analysis, NAFLD did not significantly impact recurrence in univariable (HR: 0.88, p=0.36) nor in adjusted analysis (HR: 0.91, p=0.49). With NAFLD among the most common causes of HCC and poised to become the leading indication for LT, a better understanding of disease-specific models to predict recurrence is needed. In this NAFLD cohort, incidental HCCs were common, raising concerns about early detection. However, despite less locoregional therapy and high neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, explant tumor characteristics and post-transplant recurrence-free survival were not different compared to non-NAFLD patients.


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Liver Neoplasms , Liver Transplantation , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease , Adult , Humans , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/surgery , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/pathology , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/surgery , Liver Neoplasms/pathology , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/complications , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/epidemiology , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/surgery , Liver Transplantation/adverse effects , Retrospective Studies , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local/pathology , Risk Factors
4.
Ann Surg Oncol ; 30(5): 2769-2777, 2023 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36719568

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Current success in transplant oncology for select liver tumors, such as hepatocellular carcinoma, has ignited international interest in liver transplantation (LT) as a therapeutic option for nonresectable colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). In the United States, the CRLM LT experience is limited to reports from a handful of centers. This study was designed to summarize donor, recipient, and transplant center characteristics and posttransplant outcomes for the indication of CRLM. METHODS: Adult, primary LT patients listed between December 2017 and March 2022 were identified by using United Network Organ Sharing database. LT for CRLM was identified from variables: "DIAG_OSTXT"; "DGN_OSTXT_TCR"; "DGN2_OSTXT_TCR"; and "MALIG_TY_OSTXT." RESULTS: During this study period, 64 patients were listed, and 46 received LT for CRLM in 15 centers. Of 46 patients who underwent LT for CRLM, 26 patients (56.5%) received LTs using living donor LT (LDLT), and 20 patients received LT using deceased donor (DDLT) (43.5%). The median laboratory MELD-Na score at the time of listing was statistically similar between the LDLT and DDLT groups (8 vs. 9, P = 0.14). This persisted at the time of LT (8 vs. 12, P = 0.06). The 1-, 2-, and 3-year, disease-free, survival rates were 75.1, 53.7, and 53.7%. Overall survival rates were 89.0, 60.4, and 60.4%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: This first comprehensive U.S. analysis of LT for CRLM suggests a burgeoning interest in high-volume U.S. transplant centers. Strategies to optimize patient selection are limited by the scarce oncologic history provided in UNOS data, warranting a separate registry to study LT in CRLM.


Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms , Liver Neoplasms , Liver Transplantation , Adult , Humans , United States , Retrospective Studies , Liver Neoplasms/surgery , Living Donors , Colorectal Neoplasms/surgery , Receptors, Antigen, T-Cell , Treatment Outcome
5.
Surg Endosc ; 36(8): 6144-6152, 2022 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35277772

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Although interest in expanding the application of minimally invasive liver resection (MILR) is high the world over, most of the extensive experience in MILR has been reported from Far East Asia and Europe and its adoption in North America is limited. The aim of this study was to review the experience of MILR in a single North American institute over a 15-year period, highlighting both the obstacles encountered and strategies adopted to overcome the stagnation in its uptake. METHODS: This study included 500 MILR cases between 2006 and 2020. Patient demographics, disease characteristics, surgical technique, and perioperative outcomes are summarized. The major hepatectomy rate and conversion rate were assessed according to case numbers (first 100, 101-300, and 301-500 cases) to assess chronological trends. RESULTS: Of 500, 402 MILRs were done by pure laparoscopic (80.4%), 67 were hand assisted (13.4%), and 31 were robotic (6.2%). The majority (64%) of cases were performed for malignancy (n = 320; 100 Hepatocellular carcinoma, 153 Colorectal metastases, 27 Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma, and others, 40, 64%). A total of 71 cases were converted to open (14.2%). The annual case number gradually increased over the first few years; however, case numbers stayed around 30 between 2009 and 2017. In this period, despite accumulating MILR experience, open conversion rates increased despite no change in major hepatectomy rate. After this period of long-term stagnation, we introduced crucial changes in team composition and laparoscopic instrumentation. Our MILR case number and major hepatectomy rate thereafter increased significantly without increasing conversion or complication rates. CONCLUSION: Our recovery from long-term stagnation by instituting key changes as detailed in this study could be used as a guidepost for programs that are contemplating transitioning their MILR program from minor to advanced resections. Establishing a formal MILR training model through proper mentorship/proctorship and building a dedicated MILR team would be imperative to this strategy.


Subject(s)
Bile Duct Neoplasms , Laparoscopy , Liver Neoplasms , Bile Duct Neoplasms/surgery , Bile Ducts, Intrahepatic/pathology , Hepatectomy/methods , Humans , Laparoscopy/methods , Liver Neoplasms/pathology , Liver Neoplasms/surgery , Minimally Invasive Surgical Procedures/methods
6.
Surg Endosc ; 36(5): 3601-3609, 2022 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34031739

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Laparoscopic liver resection (LLR) involves a difficult learning curve, for which multiple difficulty scores have been proposed to assist with safe adaptation. The IWATE Criteria is a 4-level difficulty score shown to correlate with conversion to open surgery, estimated blood loss (EBL), and operative time in Japanese and French cohorts. We set out to validate the IWATE Criteria in a North American cohort, describe the evolution of our LLR program, and analyze the IWATE Criteria's ability to predict conversion to open surgery. METHODS: Patients that underwent LLR between January 2006 and December 2019 were selected from a prospectively maintained database. Difficulty outcomes, including conversion to open surgery, EBL, operative time, and post-operative complications were analyzed according to IWATE difficulty level, both overall and between chronological eras. The IWATE Criteria's ability to predict conversion to open surgery was assessed with a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. RESULTS: A total of 426 patients met inclusion criteria. Operative time, EBL, and conversion to open surgery increased in concordance with low to advanced IWATE difficulty. ROC analysis for conversion to open surgery demonstrated an overall area under the curve (AUC) of 0.694. Predictive performance was superior during the first two eras, with AUCs of 0.771 and 0.775; predictive value decreased as the LLR program gained experience, with AUCs of 0.708 and 0.551 for eras three and four. CONCLUSIONS: This study validated the IWATE Criteria in a North American population distinct from previous Japanese and French cohorts, based on its correlation with operative time, EBL, and conversion to open surgery. The IWATE Criteria may be of utility for identification of LLR cases appropriate for surgeon experience, as well as determination of laparoscopic feasibility. Interval difficulty score recalibration may be warranted as surgeon perception of difficulty evolves.


Subject(s)
Laparoscopy , Liver Neoplasms , Hepatectomy , Humans , Length of Stay , Liver Neoplasms/surgery , North America , Operative Time , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Postoperative Complications/surgery , Retrospective Studies
7.
Ann Surg ; 273(6): 1165-1172, 2021 06 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31389831

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To examine the prognostic impact of tumor laterality in colon cancer liver metastases (CLM) after stratifying by Kirsten rat sarcoma 2 viral oncogene homolog (KRAS) mutational status. BACKGROUND: Although some studies have demonstrated that patients with CLM from a right sided (RS) primary cancer fare worse, others have found equivocal outcomes of patients with CLM with RS versus left-sided (LS) primary tumors. Importantly, recent evidence from unresectable metastatic CRC suggests that tumor laterality impacts prognosis only in those with wild-type tumors. METHODS: Patients with rectal or transverse colon tumors and those with unknown KRAS mutational status were excluded from analysis. The prognostic impact of RS versus LS primary CRC was determined after stratifying by KRAS mutational status. RESULTS: 277 patients had a RS (38.6%) and 441 (61.4%) had a LS tumor. Approximately one-third of tumors (28.1%) harbored KRAS mutations. In the entire cohort, RS was associated with worse 5-year overall survival (OS) compared with LS (39.4% vs 50.8%, P = 0.03) and remained significantly associated with worse OS in the multivariable analysis (hazard ratio 1.45, P = 0.04). In wild-type patients, a worse 5-year OS associated with a RS tumor was evident in univariable analysis (43.7% vs 55.5%, P = 0.02) and persisted in multivariable analysis (hazard ratio 1.49, P = 0.01). In contrast, among patients with KRAS mutated tumors, tumor laterality had no impact on 5-year OS, even in the univariable analysis (32.8% vs 34.0%, P = 0.38). CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated, for the first time, that the prognostic impact of primary tumor side differs according to KRAS mutational status. RS tumors were associated with worse survival only in patients with wild-type tumors.


Subject(s)
Colonic Neoplasms/genetics , Colonic Neoplasms/pathology , Liver Neoplasms/secondary , Mutation , Proto-Oncogene Proteins p21(ras)/genetics , Rectal Neoplasms/genetics , Rectal Neoplasms/pathology , Aged , Colonic Neoplasms/mortality , Female , Humans , Liver Neoplasms/mortality , Male , Middle Aged , Prognosis , Rectal Neoplasms/mortality , Retrospective Studies , Survival Rate
8.
Hepatology ; 71(2): 569-582, 2020 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31243778

ABSTRACT

Prognosticating outcomes in liver transplant (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) continues to challenge the field. Although Milan Criteria (MC) generalized the practice of LT for HCC and improved outcomes, its predictive character has degraded with increasing candidate and oncological heterogeneity. We sought to validate and recalibrate a previously developed, preoperatively calculated, continuous risk score, the Hazard Associated with Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HALTHCC), in an international cohort. From 2002 to 2014, 4,089 patients (both MC in and out [25.2%]) across 16 centers in North America, Europe, and Asia were included. A continuous risk score using pre-LT levels of alpha-fetoprotein, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Sodium score, and tumor burden score was recalibrated among a randomly selected cohort (n = 1,021) and validated in the remainder (n = 3,068). This study demonstrated significant heterogeneity by site and year, reflecting practice trends over the last decade. On explant pathology, both vascular invasion (VI) and poorly differentiated component (PDC) increased with increasing HALTHCC score. The lowest-risk patients (HALTHCC 0-5) had lower rates of VI and PDC than the highest-risk patients (HALTHCC > 35) (VI, 7.7%[ 1.2-14.2] vs. 70.6% [48.3-92.9] and PDC:4.6% [0.1%-9.8%] vs. 47.1% [22.6-71.5]; P < 0.0001 for both). This trend was robust to MC status. This international study was used to adjust the coefficients in the HALTHCC score. Before recalibration, HALTHCC had the greatest discriminatory ability for overall survival (OS; C-index = 0.61) compared to all previously reported scores. Following recalibration, the prognostic utility increased for both recurrence (C-index = 0.71) and OS (C-index = 0.63). Conclusion: This large international trial validated and refined the role for the continuous risk metric, HALTHCC, in establishing pre-LT risk among candidates with HCC worldwide. Prospective trials introducing HALTHCC into clinical practice are warranted.


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/surgery , Liver Neoplasms/surgery , Liver Transplantation , Risk Assessment , Female , Humans , International Cooperation , Male , Middle Aged , Prognosis , Retrospective Studies
9.
J Surg Oncol ; 123(4): 939-948, 2021 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33400818

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Despite the long-standing consensus on the importance of tumor size, tumor number and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels as predictors of long-term outcomes among patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM), optimal prognostic cut-offs for these variables have not been established. METHODS: Patients who underwent curative-intent resection of CRLM and had available data on at least one of the three variables of interest above were selected from a multi-institutional dataset of patients with known KRAS mutational status. The resulting cohort was randomly split into training and testing datasets and recursive partitioning analysis was employed to determine optimal cut-offs. The concordance probability estimates (CPEs) for these optimal cut offs were calculated and compared to CPEs for the most widely used cut-offs in the surgical literature. RESULTS: A total of 1643 patients who met eligibility criteria were identified. Following recursive partitioning analysis in the training dataset, the following cut-offs were identified: 2.95 cm for tumor size, 1.5 for tumor number and 6.15 ng/ml for CEA levels. In the entire dataset, the calculated CPEs for the new tumor size (0.52), tumor number (0.56) and CEA (0.53) cut offs exceeded CPEs for other commonly employed cut-offs. CONCLUSION: The current study was able to identify optimal cut-offs for the three most commonly employed prognostic factors in CRLM. While the per variable gains in discriminatory power are modest, these novel cut-offs may help produce appreciable increases in prognostic performance when combined in the context of future risk scores.


Subject(s)
Biomarkers, Tumor/metabolism , Carcinoembryonic Antigen/metabolism , Colorectal Neoplasms/pathology , Hepatectomy/methods , Liver Neoplasms/secondary , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Colorectal Neoplasms/metabolism , Colorectal Neoplasms/surgery , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , International Agencies , Liver Neoplasms/metabolism , Liver Neoplasms/surgery , Male , Middle Aged , Prognosis , Retrospective Studies , Survival Rate , Young Adult
10.
Transpl Int ; 34(8): 1433-1443, 2021 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33599045

ABSTRACT

The use of livers from donation after circulatory death (DCD) is historically characterized by increased rates of biliary complications and inferior short-term graft survival (GS) compared to donation after brain death (DBD) allografts. This study aimed to evaluate the dynamic prognostic impact of DCD livers to reveal whether they remain an adverse factor even after patients survive a certain period following liver transplant (LT). This study used 74 961 LT patients including 4065 DCD LT in the scientific registry of transplant recipients from 2002-2017. The actual, 1 and 3-year conditional hazard ratio (HR) of 1-year GS in DCD LT were calculated using a conditional version of Cox regression model. The actual 1-, 3-, and 5-year GS of DCD LT recipients were 83.3%, 73.3%, and 66.3%, which were significantly worse than those of DBD (all P < 0.01). Actual, 1-, and 3-year conditional HR of 1-year GS in DCD compared to DBD livers were 1.87, 1.49, and 1.39, respectively. Graft loss analyses showed that those lost to biliary related complications were significantly higher in the DCD group even 3 years after LT. National registry data demonstrate the protracted higher risks inherent to DCD liver grafts in comparison to their DBD counterparts, despite survival through the early period after LT. These findings underscore the importance of judicious DCD graft selection at individual center level to minimize the risk of long-term biliary complications.


Subject(s)
Liver Transplantation , Tissue and Organ Procurement , Brain Death , Death , Graft Survival , Humans , Proportional Hazards Models , Retrospective Studies , Tissue Donors
11.
Ann Surg Oncol ; 27(13): 5139-5147, 2020 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32779049

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Surgical resection of hepatic metastases remains the only potentially curative treatment option for patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). Widely adopted prognostic tools may oversimplify the impact of model parameters relative to long-term outcomes. METHODS: Patients with CRLM who underwent a hepatectomy between 2001 and 2018 were identified in an international, multi-institutional database. Bootstrap resampling methodology used in tandem with multivariable mixed-effects logistic regression analysis was applied to construct a prediction model that was validated and compared with scores proposed by Fong and Vauthey. RESULTS: Among 1406 patients who underwent hepatic resection of CRLM, 842 (59.9%) had recurrence. The full model (based on age, sex, primary tumor location, T stage, receipt of chemotherapy before hepatectomy, lymph node metastases, number of metastatic lesions in the liver, size of the largest hepatic metastases, carcinoembryonic antigen [CEA] level and KRAS status) had good discriminative ability to predict 1-year (area under the receiver operating curve [AUC], 0.693; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.684-0.704), 3-year (AUC, 0.669; 95% CI, 0.661-0.677), and 5-year (AUC, 0.669; 95% CI, 0.661-0.679) risk of recurrence. Studies analyzing validation cohorts demonstrated similar model performance, with excellent model accuracy. In contrast, the AUCs for the Fong and Vauthey scores to predict 1-year recurrence were only 0.527 (95% CI, 0.514-0.538) and 0.525 (95% CI, 0.514-0.533), respectively. Similar trends were noted for 3- and 5-year recurrence. CONCLUSION: The proposed clinical score, derived via machine learning, which included clinical characteristics and morphologic data, as well as information on KRAS status, accurately predicted recurrence after CRLM resection with good discrimination and prognostic ability.


Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms , Liver Neoplasms , Colorectal Neoplasms/surgery , Hepatectomy , Humans , Liver Neoplasms/surgery , Machine Learning , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local/surgery , Prognosis , Retrospective Studies
12.
Ann Surg ; 269(6): 1129-1137, 2019 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31082912

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the changing impact of genetic and clinicopathologic factors on conditional overall survival (CS) over time in patients with resectable colorectal liver metastasis. BACKGROUND: CS estimates account for the changing likelihood of survival over time and may reveal the changing impact of prognostic factors as time accrues from the date of surgery. METHODS: CS analysis was performed in 1099 patients of an international, multi-institutional cohort. Three-year CS (CS3) estimates at the "xth" year after surgery were calculated as follows: CS3 = CS (x + 3)/CS (x). The standardized difference (d) between CS3 rates was used to estimate the changing prognostic power of selected variables over time. A d < 0.1 indicated very small differences between groups, 0.1 ≤ d < 0.3 indicated small differences, 0.3 ≤ d < 0.5 indicated moderate differences, and d ≥ 0.5 indicated strong differences. RESULTS: According to OS estimates calculated at the time of surgery, the presence of BRAF and KRAS mutations, R1 margin status, resected extrahepatic disease, patient age, primary tumor lymph node metastasis, tumor number, and carcinoembryonic antigen levels independently predicted worse survival. However, when temporal changes in the prognostic impact of these variables were considered using CS3 estimates, BRAF mutation dominated prognosis during the first year (d = 0.48), whereas surgeon-related variables (ie, surgical margin and resected extrahepatic disease) determined prognosis thereafter (d ≥ 0.5). Traditional clinicopathologic factors affected survival constantly, but only to a moderate degree (0.3 ≤ d < 0.5). CONCLUSIONS: The impact of genetic, surgery-related, and clinicopathologic factors on OS and CS3 changed dramatically over time. Specifically, BRAF mutation status dominated prognosis in the first year, whereas positive surgical margins and resected extrahepatic disease determined prognosis thereafter.


Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms/pathology , Hepatectomy , Liver Neoplasms/secondary , Liver Neoplasms/surgery , Aged , Colorectal Neoplasms/genetics , Colorectal Neoplasms/mortality , Europe , Female , Humans , Liver Neoplasms/mortality , Male , Middle Aged , Mutation/genetics , Prognosis , Proto-Oncogene Proteins B-raf/genetics , Proto-Oncogene Proteins p21(ras)/genetics , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Survival Analysis , Survival Rate , Time Factors , United States
13.
Liver Transpl ; 25(5): 741-751, 2019 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30615254

ABSTRACT

A recent study using US national registry data reported, using Cox proportional hazards (PH) models, that split-liver transplantation (SLT) has improved over time and is no more hazardous than whole-liver transplantation (WLT). However, the study methods violated the PH assumption, which is the fundamental assumption of Cox modeling. As a result, the reported hazard ratios (HRs) are biased and unreliable. This study aimed to investigate whether the risk of graft survival (GS) in SLT has really improved over time, ensuring attention to the PH assumption. This study included 80,998 adult deceased donor liver transplantation (LT) (1998-2015) from the Scientific Registry Transplant Recipient. The study period was divided into 3 time periods: era 1 (January 1998 to February 2002), era 2 (March 2002 to December 2008), and era 3 (January 2009 to December 2015). The PH assumption was tested using Schoenfeld's test, and where the HR of SLT violated the assumption, changes in risk for SLT over time from transplant were assessed. SLT was performed in 1098 (1.4%) patients, whereas WLT was used in 79,900 patients. In the Cox PH analysis, the P values of Schoenfeld's global tests were <0.05 in all eras, which is consistent with deviation from proportionality. Assessing HRs of SLT with a time-varying effect, multiple Cox models were conducted for post-LT intervals. The HR curves plotted according to time from transplant were higher in the early period and then decreased at approximately 1 year and continued to decrease in all eras. For 1-year GS, the HRs of SLT were 1.92 in era 1, 1.52 in era 2, and 1.47 in era 3 (all P < 0.05). In conclusion, the risk of SLT has a time-varying effect and is highest in the early post-LT period. The risk of SLT is underestimated if it is evaluated by overall GS. SLT was still hazardous if the PH assumption was considered, although it became safer over time.


Subject(s)
Graft Rejection/epidemiology , Graft Survival , Liver Transplantation/adverse effects , Tissue Donors/statistics & numerical data , Transplant Recipients/statistics & numerical data , Adolescent , Adult , Allografts/supply & distribution , Allografts/surgery , Data Interpretation, Statistical , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Graft Rejection/etiology , Humans , Liver/surgery , Liver Transplantation/methods , Male , Middle Aged , Registries/statistics & numerical data , Time Factors , Treatment Outcome , United States/epidemiology , Young Adult
14.
Hepatology ; 68(4): 1448-1458, 2018 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29604231

ABSTRACT

Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are screened at presentation for appropriateness of liver transplantation (LT) using morphometric criteria, which poorly specifies risk. Morphology is the crux of measuring tumor response to locoregional therapy (LRT) using modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (mRECIST). This study investigated the utility of following a continuous risk score (hazard associated with liver transplantation in hepatocellular carcinoma; HALTHCC) to longitudinally assess risk. This multicenter, retrospective study from 2002 to 2014 enrolled 419 patients listed for LT for HCC. One cohort had LRT while waiting (n = 351), compared to the control group (n = 68) without LRT. Imaging studies (n = 2,085) were collated to laboratory data to calculate HALTHCC, MORAL, Metroticket 2.0, and alpha fetoprotein (AFP) score longitudinally. Cox proportional hazards evaluated associations of HALTHCC and peri-LRT changes with intention-to-treat (ITT) survival (considering dropout or post-LT mortality), and utility was assessed with Harrell's C-index. HALTHCC better predicted ITT outcome (LT = 309; dropout = 110) when assessed closer to delisting (P < 0.0001), maximally just before delisting (C-index, 0.742 [0.643-0.790]). Delta-HALTHCC post-LRT was more sensitive to changes in risk than mRECIST. HALTHCC score and peri-LRT percentage change were independently associated with ITT mortality (hazard ratio = 1.105 [1.045-1.169] per point and 1.014 [1.004-1.024] per percent, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: HALTHCC is superior in assessing tumor risk in candidates awaiting LT, and its utility increases over time. Peri-LRT relative change in HALTHCC outperforms mRECIST in stratifying risk of dropout, mortality, and recurrence post-LT. With improving estimates of post-LT outcomes, it is reasonable to consider allocation using HALTHCC and not just waiting time. Furthermore, this study supports a shift in perspective, from listing to allocation, to better utilize precious donor organs. (Hepatology 2018).


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/pathology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/surgery , Liver Neoplasms/pathology , Liver Neoplasms/surgery , Liver Transplantation/methods , Waiting Lists , Adult , Biomarkers, Tumor/analysis , Biopsy, Needle , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/mortality , Case-Control Studies , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Graft Survival , Humans , Immunohistochemistry , Kaplan-Meier Estimate , Liver Neoplasms/mortality , Liver Transplantation/adverse effects , Longitudinal Studies , Male , Middle Aged , Patient Selection , Proportional Hazards Models , Retrospective Studies , Risk Assessment , Survival Rate , Treatment Outcome , United States , alpha-Fetoproteins/metabolism
15.
Clin Transplant ; 33(12): e13743, 2019 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31655000

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this retrospective study was to characterize the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) on the waitlist and determine its prognostic utility in liver transplantation (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with special focus on longitudinal data. Biomarkers such as pre-operative NLR have been suggested to predict poor oncological outcomes for patients with HCC seeking LT. NLR's utility is thought to be related to tumor biology. However, recent studies have demonstrated that a high NLR conveys worse outcomes in non-HCC cirrhotics. This study investigated the relationship between NLR, liver function, tumor factors and patient prognosis. METHODS: Patients with HCC undergoing LT were identified between 2002 and 2014 (n = 422). Variables of interest were collected longitudinally from time of listing until LT. The prognostic utility of NLR was assessed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox Proportional Hazard regression. Associations between NLR and MELD-Na, AFP, and tumor morphology were also assessed. RESULTS: NLR demonstrated a positive correlation with MELD-Na at LT (R2 = 0.125, P < 0.001) and had parallel trends over time. The lowest NLR quartile had a median MELD-Na of 9 while the highest had a median MELD-Na of 19. There were minimal differences in AFP, tumor morphology, and rates of vascular invasion between quartiles. NLR was a statistically significant predictor of OS (HR = 1.64, P = 0.017) and recurrence (HR = 1.59, P = 0.016) even after controlling for important tumor factors. However, NLR lost its statistical significance when MELD-Na was added to the Cox regression model (OS: HR = 1.46, P = 0.098) (recurrence: HR = 1.40, P = 0.115). CONCLUSIONS: NLR is a highly volatile marker on the waitlist that demonstrates a significant correlation and collinearity with MELD-Na temporally and at the time of LT. These characteristics of NLR bring into question its utility as a predictive marker in HCC patients.


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/mortality , Liver Neoplasms/mortality , Liver Transplantation/mortality , Lymphocytes/pathology , Neutrophils/pathology , Waiting Lists/mortality , Aged , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/pathology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/surgery , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Liver Neoplasms/pathology , Liver Neoplasms/surgery , Male , Middle Aged , Prognosis , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Survival Rate
16.
Clin Transplant ; 33(11): e13723, 2019 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31583762

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Portal vein thrombosis (PVT) does not preclude liver transplantation (LT), but poor portal vein (PV) flow after LT remains a predictor of poor outcomes. Given the physiologic tendency of the hepatic artery (HA) to compensate for low PV flow via vasodilation, we investigated whether adequate HA flow would have a favorable prognostic impact among patients with low PV flow following LT. METHODS: This study included 163 patients with PVT who underwent LT between 2004 and 2015. PV and HA flow were categorized into quartiles, and their association with 1-year graft survival (GS) and biliary complication rates was assessed. For both the HA and the PV, patients at the lowest two quartiles were categorized as having low flow and the remainder as having high flow. RESULTS: The median MELD score was 22 and 1-year GS was 87.3%. As expected, GS paralleled PV flow with patients at the lowest flow quartile faring the worst. In combination of PV and HA flows, high HA flow was associated with improved 1-year GS among patients with low PV flow (P = .03). Similar findings were observed with respect to biliary complication rates. CONCLUSIONS: Sufficient HA flow may compensate for poor PV flow. Consequently, meticulous HA reconstruction may be central to achieving optimal outcomes in PVT cases.


Subject(s)
Hepatic Artery/physiopathology , Liver Diseases/mortality , Liver Transplantation/mortality , Liver/blood supply , Portal Vein/pathology , Venous Thrombosis/mortality , Adult , Aged , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Graft Survival , Humans , Liver Circulation , Liver Diseases/surgery , Male , Middle Aged , Prognosis , Survival Rate , Venous Thrombosis/physiopathology
17.
Transpl Int ; 32(2): 117-127, 2019 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30362294

ABSTRACT

Portal vein thrombosis (PVT) is commonly encountered during liver transplantation (LT). Depending on the grade of thrombosis, varied management strategies are indicated. The aims of this study are to clarify the contemporary role of renoportal anastomosis (RPA) in patients with splanchnic vein thrombosis (SVT) undergoing LT and to systematically analyze all reported cases of RPA. A systematic literature search was performed according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta- Analyses statement guidelines. The study was limited to studies reported in English between January 1997 and May 2017. Only retrospective single center studies were included in the analysis. A total of 66 patients with SVT were reported to have undergone RPA during LT. Transient renal dysfunction was reported in 12 patients (18.1%), variceal hemorrhage in 2 patients (3%), early portal vein (PV) re-thrombosis in 2 patients (3%), chronic renal dysfunction in 2 patients (3%), and late PV re-thrombosis in 1 patient (1.5%). The overall patient and graft survival were each 80%. This analysis illustrates the decades-long evolution of a technique practiced across the field of transplantation. Postoperative complications and graft survival appear to be encouraging, even in the setting of SVT.


Subject(s)
Anastomosis, Surgical/adverse effects , Anastomosis, Surgical/methods , End Stage Liver Disease/surgery , Liver Transplantation/methods , Portal Vein/pathology , Venous Thrombosis/surgery , Adolescent , Adult , End Stage Liver Disease/complications , End Stage Liver Disease/mortality , Esophageal and Gastric Varices , Female , Graft Survival , Hemorrhage/complications , Humans , Kidney Failure, Chronic/complications , Male , Middle Aged , Postoperative Complications , Retrospective Studies , Splanchnic Circulation , Thrombosis , Treatment Outcome , Varicose Veins/physiopathology , Vascular Surgical Procedures/methods , Waiting Lists , Young Adult
18.
HPB (Oxford) ; 21(6): 702-710, 2019 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30501989

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Investigation into right and left-sided primary colon liver metastasis (CLM) has revealed differences in the tumor biology and prognosis. This indicates that preoperative and operative factors may affect outcomes of right-sided primary CLM differently than left. This retrospective analysis investigated the effects of resection margin stratified by left and right-sided primary CLM on overall survival (OS) for patients undergoing hepatectomy. METHODS: A total of 732 patients undergoing hepatic resection for CLM at the Cleveland Clinic and Johns Hopkins were identified between 2002 and 2016. Clinically significant variables were analyzed using Cox proportional hazard regression. The cohort was then divided into patients with right and left-sided CLM and analyzed separately using Kaplan Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazard regression. RESULTS: Cox proportional hazard regression showed that left-sided CLM with an R0 margin was a statistically significant predictor of OS even after controlling for other important factors (HR = 0.629, P = 0.024) but right-sided CLM with R0 margin was not (HR = 0.788, P = 0.245). Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated that patients with a left-sided CLM and R0 margin had the best prognosis (P = 0.037). CONCLUSION: Surgical margin is an important prognostic factor for left-sided primary CLM but tumor biology may override surgical technique for right-sided CLM.


Subject(s)
Colonic Neoplasms/pathology , Hepatectomy/methods , Liver Neoplasms/surgery , Margins of Excision , Neoplasm Staging , Aged , Colonic Neoplasms/mortality , Colonic Neoplasms/surgery , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Liver Neoplasms/diagnosis , Liver Neoplasms/secondary , Male , Middle Aged , Prognosis , Retrospective Studies , Survival Rate/trends , United States/epidemiology
20.
HPB (Oxford) ; 20(10): 956-965, 2018 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29887261

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: While several prognostic models have been developed to predict long-term outcomes in resectable intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC), their prognostic discrimination remains limited. The addition of tumor markers might improve the prognostic power of the classification schemas proposed by the AJCC 8th edition and the Liver Cancer Study Group of Japan (LCSGJ). METHODS: The prognostic discrimination of the AJCC and the LCSGJ were compared before and after the addition of CA 19-9 and CEA, using Harrell's C-index, net reclassification improvement (NRI) and the integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) in an international, multi-institutional cohort. RESULTS: Eight hundred and five surgically treated patients with ICC that met the inclusion criteria were identified. On multivariable analysis, CEA5 ng/mL, 100IU/mL CA 19-9< 500IU/mL and CA 19-9500 IU/mL were associated with worse overall survival. The C-index of the AJCC and the LCSGJ improved from 0.540 to 0.626 and 0.553 to 0.626, respectively following incorporation of CA 19-9 and CEA. The NRI and IDI metrics confirmed the superiority of the modified AJCC and LCSGJ, compared to the original versions. CONCLUSION: The inclusion of preoperative CA 19-9 and CEA in the AJCC and LCSGJ staging schemas may improve prognostic discrimination among surgically treated patients with ICC.


Subject(s)
Bile Duct Neoplasms/blood , Bile Duct Neoplasms/pathology , CA-19-9 Antigen/blood , Carcinoembryonic Antigen/blood , Cholangiocarcinoma/blood , Cholangiocarcinoma/pathology , Decision Support Techniques , Neoplasm Staging/methods , Aged , Asia , Bile Duct Neoplasms/mortality , Bile Duct Neoplasms/surgery , Cholangiocarcinoma/mortality , Cholangiocarcinoma/surgery , Europe , Female , Hepatectomy/adverse effects , Hepatectomy/mortality , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , New South Wales , North America , Predictive Value of Tests , Retrospective Studies , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Time Factors , Treatment Outcome
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