Deep learning predicts patients outcome and mutations from digitized histology slides in gastrointestinal stromal tumor.

Risk assessment of gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST) according to the AFIP/Miettinen classification and mutational profiling are major tools for patient management. However, the AFIP/Miettinen classification depends heavily on mitotic counts, which is laborious and sometimes inconsistent between pathologists. It has also been shown to be imperfect in stratifying patients. Molecular testing is costly and time-consuming, therefore, not systematically performed in all countries. New methods to improve risk and molecular predictions are hence crucial to improve the tailoring of adjuvant therapy. We have built deep learning (DL) models on digitized HES-stained whole slide images (WSI) to predict patients' outcome and mutations. Models were trained with a cohort of 1233 GIST and validated on an independent cohort of 286 GIST. DL models yielded comparable results to the Miettinen classification for relapse-free-survival prediction in localized GIST without adjuvant Imatinib (C-index=0.83 in cross-validation and 0.72 for independent testing). DL splitted Miettinen intermediate risk GIST into high/low-risk groups (p value = 0.002 in the training set and p value = 0.29 in the testing set). DL models achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.81, 0.91, and 0.71 for predicting mutations in KIT, PDGFRA and wild type, respectively, in cross-validation and 0.76, 0.90, and 0.55 in independent testing. Notably, PDGFRA exon18 D842V mutation, which is resistant to Imatinib, was predicted with an AUC of 0.87 and 0.90 in cross-validation and independent testing, respectively. Additionally, novel histological criteria predictive of patients' outcome and mutations were identified by reviewing the tiles selected by the models. As a proof of concept, our study showed the possibility of implementing DL with digitized WSI and may represent a reproducible way to improve tailoring therapy and precision medicine for patients with GIST.

Federated learning for predicting histological response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in triple-negative breast cancer.

Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) is a rare cancer, characterized by high metastatic potential and poor prognosis, and has limited treatment options. The current standard of care in nonmetastatic settings is neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT), but treatment efficacy varies substantially across patients. This heterogeneity is still poorly understood, partly due to the paucity of curated TNBC data. Here we investigate the use of machine learning (ML) leveraging whole-slide images and clinical information to predict, at diagnosis, the histological response to NACT for early TNBC women patients. To overcome the biases of small-scale studies while respecting data privacy, we conducted a multicentric TNBC study using federated learning, in which patient data remain secured behind hospitals' firewalls. We show that local ML models relying on whole-slide images can predict response to NACT but that collaborative training of ML models further improves performance, on par with the best current approaches in which ML models are trained using time-consuming expert annotations. Our ML model is interpretable and is sensitive to specific histological patterns. This proof of concept study, in which federated learning is applied to real-world datasets, paves the way for future biomarker discovery using unprecedentedly large datasets.

An artificial intelligence model predicts the survival of solid tumour patients from imaging and clinical data.

BACKGROUND: The need for developing new biomarkers is increasing with the emergence of many targeted therapies. Artificial Intelligence (AI) algorithms have shown great promise in the medical imaging field to build predictive models. We developed a prognostic model for solid tumour patients using AI on multimodal data. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Our retrospective study included examinations of patients with seven different cancer types performed between 2003 and 2017 in 17 different hospitals. Radiologists annotated all metastases on baseline computed tomography (CT) and ultrasound (US) images. Imaging features were extracted using AI models and used along with the patients' and treatments' metadata. A Cox regression was fitted to predict prognosis. Performance was assessed on a left-out test set with 1000 bootstraps. RESULTS: The model was built on 436 patients and tested on 196 patients (mean age 59, IQR: 51-6, 411 men out of 616 patients). On the whole, 1147 US images were annotated with lesions delineation, and 632 thorax-abdomen-pelvis CTs (total of 301,975 slices) were fully annotated with a total of 9516 lesions. The developed model reaches an average concordance index of 0.71 (0.67-0.76, 95% CI). Using the median predicted risk as a threshold value, the model is able to significantly (log-rank test P value < 0.001) isolate high-risk patients from low-risk patients (respective median OS of 11 and 31 months) with a hazard ratio of 3.5 (2.4-5.2, 95% CI). CONCLUSION: AI was able to extract prognostic features from imaging data, and along with clinical data, allows an accurate stratification of patients' prognoses.

Integrating deep learning CT-scan model, biological and clinical variables to predict severity of COVID-19 patients.

The SARS-COV-2 pandemic has put pressure on intensive care units, so that identifying predictors of disease severity is a priority. We collect 58 clinical and biological variables, and chest CT scan data, from 1003 coronavirus-infected patients from two French hospitals. We train a deep learning model based on CT scans to predict severity. We then construct the multimodal AI-severity score that includes 5 clinical and biological variables (age, sex, oxygenation, urea, platelet) in addition to the deep learning model. We show that neural network analysis of CT-scans brings unique prognosis information, although it is correlated with other markers of severity (oxygenation, LDH, and CRP) explaining the measurable but limited 0.03 increase of AUC obtained when adding CT-scan information to clinical variables. Here, we show that when comparing AI-severity with 11 existing severity scores, we find significantly improved prognosis performance; AI-severity can therefore rapidly become a reference scoring approach.