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1.
Hum Mol Genet ; 29(20): 3341-3349, 2020 12 18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32959868

ABSTRACT

Many medical treatments, from oncology to psychiatry, can lower white blood cell counts and thus access to these treatments can be restricted to individuals with normal levels of white blood cells, principally in order to minimize risk of serious infection. This adversely affects individuals of African or Middle Eastern ancestries who have on average a reduced number of circulating white blood cells, because of the Duffy-null (CC) genotype at rs2814778 in the ACKR1 gene. Here, we investigate whether the Duffy-null genotype is associated with the risk of infection using the UK Biobank sample and the iPSYCH Danish case-cohort study, two population-based samples from different countries and age ranges. We found that a high proportion of those with the Duffy-null genotype (21%) had a neutrophil count below the threshold often used as a cut-off for access to relevant treatments, compared with 1% of those with the TC/TT genotype. In addition we found that despite its strong association with lower average neutrophil counts, the Duffy-null genotype was not associated with an increased risk of infection, viral or bacterial. These results have widespread implications for the clinical treatment of individuals of African ancestry and indicate that neutrophil thresholds to access treatments could be lowered in individuals with the Duffy-null genotype without an increased risk of infection.


Subject(s)
Black People/genetics , Duffy Blood-Group System/genetics , Infections/etiology , Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide , White People/genetics , Biological Specimen Banks , Cohort Studies , Female , Genotype , Humans , Infections/pathology , Male , Middle Aged
2.
Mol Psychiatry ; 26(1): 70-79, 2021 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32591634

ABSTRACT

Machine learning methods have been employed to make predictions in psychiatry from genotypes, with the potential to bring improved prediction of outcomes in psychiatric genetics; however, their current performance is unclear. We aim to systematically review machine learning methods for predicting psychiatric disorders from genetics alone and evaluate their discrimination, bias and implementation. Medline, PsycInfo, Web of Science and Scopus were searched for terms relating to genetics, psychiatric disorders and machine learning, including neural networks, random forests, support vector machines and boosting, on 10 September 2019. Following PRISMA guidelines, articles were screened for inclusion independently by two authors, extracted, and assessed for risk of bias. Overall, 63 full texts were assessed from a pool of 652 abstracts. Data were extracted for 77 models of schizophrenia, bipolar, autism or anorexia across 13 studies. Performance of machine learning methods was highly varied (0.48-0.95 AUC) and differed between schizophrenia (0.54-0.95 AUC), bipolar (0.48-0.65 AUC), autism (0.52-0.81 AUC) and anorexia (0.62-0.69 AUC). This is likely due to the high risk of bias identified in the study designs and analysis for reported results. Choices for predictor selection, hyperparameter search and validation methodology, and viewing of the test set during training were common causes of high risk of bias in analysis. Key steps in model development and validation were frequently not performed or unreported. Comparison of discrimination across studies was constrained by heterogeneity of predictors, outcome and measurement, in addition to sample overlap within and across studies. Given widespread high risk of bias and the small number of studies identified, it is important to ensure established analysis methods are adopted. We emphasise best practices in methodology and reporting for improving future studies.


Subject(s)
Machine Learning , Mental Disorders/diagnosis , Mental Disorders/genetics , Bias , Humans , Prognosis
3.
Br J Psychiatry ; 218(2): 104-111, 2021 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32792019

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Schizophrenia is a highly heritable disorder with undetermined neurobiological causes. Understanding the impact on brain anatomy of carrying genetic risk for the disorder will contribute to uncovering its neurobiological underpinnings. AIMS: To examine the effect of rare copy number variants (CNVs) associated with schizophrenia on brain cortical anatomy in a sample of unaffected participants from the UK Biobank. METHOD: We used regression analyses to compare cortical thickness and surface area (total and across gyri) between 120 unaffected carriers of rare CNVs associated with schizophrenia and 16 670 participants without any pathogenic CNV. A measure of cortical thickness and surface area covariance across gyri was also compared between groups. RESULTS: Carrier status was associated with reduced surface area (ß = -0.020 mm2, P < 0.001) and less robustly with increased cortical thickness (ß = 0.015 mm, P = 0.035), and with increased covariance in thickness (carriers z = 0.31 v. non-carriers z = 0.22, P < 0.0005). Associations were mainly present in frontal and parietal areas and driven by a limited number of rare risk alleles included in our analyses (mainly 15q11.2 deletion for surface area and 16p13.11 duplication for thickness covariance). CONCLUSIONS: Results for surface area conformed with previous clinical findings, supporting surface area reductions as an indicator of genetic liability for schizophrenia. Results for cortical thickness, though, argued against its validity as a potential risk marker. Increased structural thickness covariance across gyri also appears related to risk for schizophrenia. The heterogeneity found across the effects of rare risk alleles suggests potential different neurobiological gateways into schizophrenia's phenotype.


Subject(s)
Schizophrenia , Biological Specimen Banks , DNA Copy Number Variations/genetics , Genetic Predisposition to Disease , Genomics , Humans , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Schizophrenia/diagnostic imaging , Schizophrenia/genetics , United Kingdom
4.
J Med Genet ; 56(3): 131-138, 2019 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30343275

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Genomic CNVs increase the risk for early-onset neurodevelopmental disorders, but their impact on medical outcomes in later life is still poorly understood. The UK Biobank allows us to study the medical consequences of CNVs in middle and old age in half a million well-phenotyped adults. METHODS: We analysed all Biobank participants for the presence of 54 CNVs associated with genomic disorders or clinical phenotypes, including their reciprocal deletions or duplications. After array quality control and exclusion of first-degree relatives, we compared 381 452 participants of white British or Irish origin who carried no CNVs with carriers of each of the 54 CNVs (ranging from 5 to 2843 persons). We used logistic regression analysis to estimate the risk of developing 58 common medical phenotypes (3132 comparisons). RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS: Many of the CNVs have profound effects on medical health and mortality, even in people who have largely escaped early neurodevelopmental outcomes. Forty-six CNV-phenotype associations were significant at a false discovery rate threshold of 0.1, all in the direction of increased risk. Known medical consequences of CNVs were confirmed, but most identified associations are novel. Deletions at 16p11.2 and 16p12.1 had the largest numbers of significantly associated phenotypes (seven each). Diabetes, hypertension, obesity and renal failure were affected by the highest numbers of CNVs. Our work should inform clinicians in planning and managing the medical care of CNV carriers.


Subject(s)
DNA Copy Number Variations , Neurodevelopmental Disorders/epidemiology , Adult , Aged , Biological Specimen Banks , Female , Genotype , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Neurodevelopmental Disorders/genetics , Odds Ratio , Phenotype , Population Surveillance , Quality Control , United Kingdom/epidemiology
5.
Br J Psychiatry ; 214(5): 297-304, 2019 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30767844

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Rare copy number variants (CNVs) are associated with risk of neurodevelopmental disorders characterised by varying degrees of cognitive impairment, including schizophrenia, autism spectrum disorder and intellectual disability. However, the effects of many individual CNVs in carriers without neurodevelopmental disorders are not yet fully understood, and little is known about the effects of reciprocal copy number changes of known pathogenic loci.AimsWe aimed to analyse the effect of CNV carrier status on cognitive performance and measures of occupational and social outcomes in unaffected individuals from the UK Biobank. METHOD: We called CNVs in the full UK Biobank sample and analysed data from 420 247 individuals who passed CNV quality control, reported White British or Irish ancestry and were not diagnosed with neurodevelopmental disorders. We analysed 33 pathogenic CNVs, including their reciprocal deletions/duplications, for association with seven cognitive tests and four general measures of functioning: academic qualifications, occupation, household income and Townsend Deprivation Index. RESULTS: Most CNVs (24 out of 33) were associated with reduced performance on at least one cognitive test or measure of functioning. The changes on the cognitive tests were modest (average reduction of 0.13 s.d.) but varied markedly between CNVs. All 12 schizophrenia-associated CNVs were associated with significant impairments on measures of functioning. CONCLUSIONS: CNVs implicated in neurodevelopmental disorders, including schizophrenia, are associated with cognitive deficits, even among unaffected individuals. These deficits may be subtle but CNV carriers have significant disadvantages in educational attainment and ability to earn income in adult life.Declaration of interestNone.


Subject(s)
Autism Spectrum Disorder/genetics , Cognition/physiology , DNA Copy Number Variations , Schizophrenia/genetics , Schizophrenic Psychology , Adult , Aged , Autism Spectrum Disorder/psychology , Biological Specimen Banks , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Neuropsychological Tests , United Kingdom
6.
Am J Med Genet B Neuropsychiatr Genet ; 180(1): 80-85, 2019 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30516002

ABSTRACT

A major controversy in psychiatric genetics is whether nonadditive genetic interaction effects contribute to the risk of highly polygenic disorders. We applied a support vector machines (SVMs) approach, which is capable of building linear and nonlinear models using kernel methods, to classify cases from controls in a large schizophrenia case-control sample of 11,853 subjects (5,554 cases and 6,299 controls) and compared its prediction accuracy with the polygenic risk score (PRS) approach. We also investigated whether SVMs are a suitable approach to detecting nonlinear genetic effects, that is, interactions. We found that PRS provided more accurate case/control classification than either linear or nonlinear SVMs, and give a tentative explanation why PRS outperforms both multivariate regression and linear kernel SVMs. In addition, we observe that nonlinear kernel SVMs showed higher classification accuracy than linear SVMs when a large number of SNPs are entered into the model. We conclude that SVMs are a potential tool for assessing the presence of interactions, prior to searching for them explicitly.


Subject(s)
Schizophrenia/diagnosis , Schizophrenia/genetics , Algorithms , Case-Control Studies , Computer Simulation , Genome/genetics , Genomics , Humans , Multifactorial Inheritance/genetics , Risk Factors , Support Vector Machine
7.
Br J Psychiatry ; 213(3): 548-554, 2018 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30113288

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Fractional anisotropy in the uncinate fasciculus and the cingulum may be biomarkers for bipolar disorder and may even be distinctly affected in different subtypes of bipolar disorder, an area in need of further research.AimsThis study aims to establish if fractional anisotropy in the uncinate fasciculus and cingulum shows differences between healthy controls, patients with bipolar disorder type I (BD-I) and type II (BD-II), and their unaffected siblings. METHOD: Fractional anisotropy measures from the uncinate fasciculus, cingulum body and parahippocampal cingulum were compared with tractography methods in 40 healthy controls, 32 patients with BD-I, 34 patients with BD-II, 17 siblings of patients with BD-I and 14 siblings of patients with BD-II. RESULTS: The main effects were found in both the right and left uncinate fasciculus, with patients with BD-I showing significantly lower fractional anisotropy than both patients with BD-II and healthy controls. Participants with BD-II did not differ from healthy controls. Siblings showed similar effects in the left uncinate fasciculus. In a subsequent complementary analysis, we investigated the association between fractional anisotropy in the uncinate fasciculus and polygenic risk for bipolar disorder and psychosis in a large cohort (n = 570) of healthy participants. However, we found no significant association. CONCLUSIONS: Fractional anisotropy in the uncinate fasciculus differs significantly between patients with BD-I and patients with BD-II and healthy controls. This supports the hypothesis of differences in the physiological sub-tract between bipolar disorder subtypes. Similar results were found in unaffected siblings, suggesting the potential for this biomarker to represent an endophenotype for BD-I. However, fractional anisotropy in the uncinate fasciculus seems unrelated to polygenic risk for bipolar disorder or psychosis.Declaration of interestNone.


Subject(s)
Bipolar Disorder/physiopathology , Brain/pathology , Diffusion Tensor Imaging , Adult , Anisotropy , Bipolar Disorder/classification , Case-Control Studies , Female , Humans , Linear Models , Male , Middle Aged , Nucleus Accumbens/pathology , Prefrontal Cortex/pathology , Psychiatric Status Rating Scales , Siblings , White Matter/pathology
9.
Biol Psychiatry Glob Open Sci ; 3(4): 902-911, 2023 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37881570

ABSTRACT

Background: Copy number variations (CNVs) conferring risk for mental disorders are associated with brain changes and cognitive deficits. However, whether these effects are shared or distinct across CNVs remains untested. Here we compared the effects on brain morphometry and cognitive performance across CNVs with shared psychiatric liability. Methods: Unaffected and unrelated participants of White British and Irish ancestry were drawn from the UK Biobank. After quality control, we retained 31,941 participants not carrying any damaging CNVs and 202 participants carrying one CNV increasing risk for schizophrenia. Using regression analyses, we tested the association between brain morphometry and cognitive performance with CNV carrying status and compared these effect sizes across CNVs using z test for the equality of regression coefficients. Equation modeling was used to examine the mediation of brain phenotypes on the association between CNVs and cognitive performance. Results: We detected different patterns of association between CNVs and brain morphometry and cognitive abilities. Comparing across CNVs, 1q21.1 deletion showed the strongest association with surface area in frontal lobe (ß = -1.03, p = 4 × 10-8; ß = -0.81, p = .00001) and performance in digit memory (ß = -1.58, p = .00003), while 1q21.1 duplication showed the strongest association with volume of the putamen (ß = -0.70, p = .0004) and reaction time (ß = -1.14, p = .000002). We also showed that even when 2 CNVs were associated with performance in the same cognitive ability, these associations were mediated by different brain changes. Conclusions: Despite sharing similar psychiatric liability, the CNVs under study appeared to have different effects on brain morphometry and on performance in cognitive abilities, suggesting the existence of distinctive neurobiological pathways into the same clinical phenotypes.

10.
Psychoneuroendocrinology ; 158: 106393, 2023 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37774659

ABSTRACT

Medial temporal lobe (MTL) atrophy is correlated with risk and severity of Alzheimer disease (AD) pathology and cognitive decline. Increasing evidence suggest that oestrogens affect the aging of MTL structures. Here we investigate the relationship between reproductive hormone exposure, polygenic scores for AD risk and oestradiol concentration, MTL anatomy and cognitive performance in postmenopausal women. To this end, we used data from 10,924 female participants in the UK Biobank from whom brain MRI and genetic data were available. We fitted linear regression models to test whether the volume of structures comprising the MTL were predicted by a) timing related to menopause, b) the use and timing of hormone replacement therapy (HRT) and c) polygenic scores for AD risk and oestradiol concentration. Results showed that longer use of HRT was associated with larger parahippocampal volumes (2.53 mm3/year, p = 0.042). A later age of natural menopause, and a longer reproductive span, was associated with larger hippocampal (6.08 and 5.72 mm3/year, p = 0.0006 and 0.0005), parahippocampal (4.17 mm3 and 4.19 mm3/year, p = 0.00006 and 0.00001), amygdala (2.10 and 2.22 mm3/year, p = 0.028 and 0.01) and perirhinal cortical (2.56 and 2.95 mm3/year, p = 0.028 and 0.008) volumes. Superior prospective memory performance was associated with later age at natural menopause, and a longer reproductive span (ß = 0.05 and 0.05 respectively, p = 0.019 and 0.019). Polygenic scores for AD risk and for oestradiol concentration were not associated with MTL volume and did not interact with menopause-related factors to affect MTL structure. Our results suggest that HRT use did not have any detrimental effects on cognition or brain structure, whilst greater exposure to reproductive hormones across time is associated both with slightly larger volumes of specific MTL structures and marginally superior memory performance, independent of genetic risk for AD and genetic predisposition for higher oestradiol levels. However, the clinical utility of maintenance of oestrogens post-menopause for brain health and protection against cognitive decline is curtailed by the small effect sizes observed.


Subject(s)
Alzheimer Disease , Postmenopause , Humans , Female , Duration of Therapy , Temporal Lobe/pathology , Alzheimer Disease/pathology , Menopause , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Estrogens , Estradiol
11.
Mol Autism ; 14(1): 19, 2023 05 23.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37221545

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Genomic conditions can be associated with developmental delay, intellectual disability, autism spectrum disorder, and physical and mental health symptoms. They are individually rare and highly variable in presentation, which limits the use of standard clinical guidelines for diagnosis and treatment. A simple screening tool to identify young people with genomic conditions associated with neurodevelopmental disorders (ND-GCs) who could benefit from further support would be of considerable value. We used machine learning approaches to address this question. METHOD: A total of 493 individuals were included: 389 with a ND-GC, mean age = 9.01, 66% male) and 104 siblings without known genomic conditions (controls, mean age = 10.23, 53% male). Primary carers completed assessments of behavioural, neurodevelopmental and psychiatric symptoms and physical health and development. Machine learning techniques (penalised logistic regression, random forests, support vector machines and artificial neural networks) were used to develop classifiers of ND-GC status and identified limited sets of variables that gave the best classification performance. Exploratory graph analysis was used to understand associations within the final variable set. RESULTS: All machine learning methods identified variable sets giving high classification accuracy (AUROC between 0.883 and 0.915). We identified a subset of 30 variables best discriminating between individuals with ND-GCs and controls which formed 5 dimensions: conduct, separation anxiety, situational anxiety, communication and motor development. LIMITATIONS: This study used cross-sectional data from a cohort study which was imbalanced with respect to ND-GC status. Our model requires validation in independent datasets and with longitudinal follow-up data for validation before clinical application. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, we developed models that identified a compact set of psychiatric and physical health measures that differentiate individuals with a ND-GC from controls and highlight higher-order structure within these measures. This work is a step towards developing a screening instrument to identify young people with ND-GCs who might benefit from further specialist assessment.


Subject(s)
Autism Spectrum Disorder , Intellectual Disability , Male , Humans , Adolescent , Child , Female , Cohort Studies , Cross-Sectional Studies , Genomics , Machine Learning
12.
Brain Commun ; 5(5): fcad229, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37744023

ABSTRACT

Genome-wide association studies have identified multiple Alzheimer's disease risk loci with small effect sizes. Polygenic risk scores, which aggregate these variants, are associated with grey matter structural changes. However, genome-wide scores do not allow mechanistic interpretations. The present study explored associations between disease pathway-specific scores and grey matter structure in younger and older adults. Data from two separate population cohorts were used as follows: the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children, mean age 19.8, and UK Biobank, mean age 64.4 (combined n = 18 689). Alzheimer's polygenic risk scores were computed using the largest genome-wide association study of clinically assessed Alzheimer's to date. Relationships between subcortical volumes and cortical thickness, pathway-specific scores and genome-wide scores were examined. Increased pathway-specific scores were associated with reduced cortical thickness in both the younger and older cohorts. For example, the reverse cholesterol transport pathway score showed evidence of association with lower left middle temporal cortex thickness in the younger Avon participants (P = 0.034; beta = -0.013, CI -0.025, -0.001) and in the older UK Biobank participants (P = 0.019; beta = -0.003, CI -0.005, -4.56 × 10-4). Pathway scores were associated with smaller subcortical volumes, such as smaller hippocampal volume, in UK Biobank older adults. There was also evidence of positive association between subcortical volumes in Avon younger adults. For example, the tau protein-binding pathway score was negatively associated with left hippocampal volume in UK Biobank (P = 8.35 × 10-05; beta = -11.392, CI -17.066, -5.718) and positively associated with hippocampal volume in the Avon study (P = 0.040; beta = 51.952, CI 2.445, 101.460). The immune response score had a distinct pattern of association, being only associated with reduced thickness in the right posterior cingulate in older and younger adults (P = 0.011; beta = -0.003, CI -0.005, -0.001 in UK Biobank; P = 0.034; beta = -0.016, CI -0.031, -0.001 in the Avon study). The immune response score was associated with smaller subcortical volumes in the older adults, but not younger adults. The disease pathway scores showed greater evidence of association with imaging phenotypes than the genome-wide score. This suggests that pathway-specific polygenic methods may allow progress towards a mechanistic understanding of structural changes linked to polygenic risk in pre-clinical Alzheimer's disease. Pathway-specific profiling could further define pathophysiology in individuals, moving towards precision medicine in Alzheimer's disease.

13.
Schizophr Res ; 246: 156-164, 2022 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35779327

ABSTRACT

Machine learning (ML) holds promise for precision psychiatry, but its predictive performance is unclear. We assessed whether ML provided added value over logistic regression for prediction of schizophrenia, and compared models built using polygenic risk scores (PRS) or clinical/demographic factors. LASSO and ridge-penalised logistic regression, support vector machines (SVM), random forests, boosting, neural networks and stacked models were trained to predict schizophrenia, using PRS for schizophrenia (PRSSZ), sex, parental depression, educational attainment, winter birth, handedness and number of siblings as predictors. Models were evaluated for discrimination using area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC) and relative importance of predictors using permutation feature importance (PFI). In a secondary analysis, fitted models were tested for association with schizophrenia-related traits which had not been used in model development. Following learning curve analysis, 738 cases and 3690 randomly sampled controls were selected from the UK Biobank. ML models combining all predictors showed the highest discrimination (linear SVM, AUROC = 0.71), but did not significantly outperform logistic regression. AUROC was robust over 100 random resamples of controls. PFI identified PRSSZ as the most important predictor. Highest variance in fitted models was explained by schizophrenia-related traits including fluid intelligence (most associated: linear SVM), digit symbol substitution (RBF SVM), BMI (XGBoost), smoking status (XGBoost) and deprivation (linear SVM). In conclusion, ML approaches did not provide substantial added value for prediction of schizophrenia over logistic regression, as indexed by AUROC; however, risk scores derived with different ML approaches differ with respect to association with schizophrenia-related traits.


Subject(s)
Schizophrenia , Biological Specimen Banks , Demography , Humans , Machine Learning , Schizophrenia/epidemiology , Schizophrenia/genetics , United Kingdom/epidemiology
14.
Neurobiol Aging ; 119: 67-76, 2022 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35977442

ABSTRACT

The APOE-ε4 allele is known to predispose to amyloid deposition and consequently is strongly associated with Alzheimer's disease (AD) risk. There is debate as to whether the APOE gene accounts for all genetic variation of the APOE locus. Another question which remains is whether APOE-ε4 carriers have other genetic factors influencing the progression of amyloid positive individuals to AD. We conducted a genome-wide association study in a sample of 5,390 APOE-ε4 homozygous (ε4ε4) individuals (288 cases and 5102 controls) aged 65 or over in the UK Biobank. We found no significant associations of SNPs in the APOE locus with AD in the sample of ε4ε4 individuals. However, we identified a novel genome-wide significant locus associated to AD, mapping to DAB1 (rs112437613, OR = 2.28, CI = 1.73-3.01, p = 5.4 × 10-9). This identification of DAB1 led us to investigate other components of the DAB1-RELN pathway for association. Analysis of the DAB1-RELN pathway indicated that the pathway itself was associated with AD, therefore suggesting an epistatic interaction between the APOE locus and the DAB1-RELN pathway.


Subject(s)
Adaptor Proteins, Signal Transducing , Alzheimer Disease , Apolipoprotein E4 , Nerve Tissue Proteins , Reelin Protein , Adaptor Proteins, Signal Transducing/genetics , Alzheimer Disease/genetics , Alzheimer Disease/pathology , Apolipoprotein E4/genetics , Genome-Wide Association Study , Genotype , Homozygote , Humans , Nerve Tissue Proteins/genetics , Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide/genetics , Reelin Protein/genetics , Signal Transduction
15.
Brain Commun ; 3(4): fcab246, 2021.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34805994

ABSTRACT

Alzheimer's disease is a neurodegenerative disorder and the most common form of dementia. Early diagnosis may assist interventions to delay onset and reduce the progression rate of the disease. We systematically reviewed the use of machine learning algorithms for predicting Alzheimer's disease using single nucleotide polymorphisms and instances where these were combined with other types of data. We evaluated the ability of machine learning models to distinguish between controls and cases, while also assessing their implementation and potential biases. Articles published between December 2009 and June 2020 were collected using Scopus, PubMed and Google Scholar. These were systematically screened for inclusion leading to a final set of 12 publications. Eighty-five per cent of the included studies used the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative dataset. In studies which reported area under the curve, discrimination varied (0.49-0.97). However, more than half of the included manuscripts used other forms of measurement, such as accuracy, sensitivity and specificity. Model calibration statistics were also found to be reported inconsistently across all studies. The most frequent limitation in the assessed studies was sample size, with the total number of participants often numbering less than a thousand, whilst the number of predictors usually ran into the many thousands. In addition, key steps in model implementation and validation were often not performed or unreported, making it difficult to assess the capability of machine learning models.

16.
PLoS One ; 16(3): e0249189, 2021.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33770123

ABSTRACT

Levels of activity are often affected in psychiatric disorders and can be core symptoms of illness. Advances in technology now allow the accurate assessment of activity levels but it remains unclear whether alterations in activity arise from shared risk factors for developing psychiatric disorders, such as genetics, or are better explained as consequences of the disorders and their associated factors. We aimed to examine objectively-measured physical activity in individuals with psychiatric disorders, and assess the role of genetic liability for psychiatric disorders on physical activity. Accelerometer data were available on 95,529 UK Biobank participants, including measures of overall mean activity and minutes per day of moderate activity, walking, sedentary activity, and sleep. Linear regressions measured associations between psychiatric diagnosis and activity levels, and polygenic risk scores (PRS) for psychiatric disorders and activity levels. Genetic correlations were calculated between psychiatric disorders and different types of activity. Having a diagnosis of schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, depression, or autism spectrum disorders (ASD) was associated with reduced overall activity compared to unaffected controls. In individuals without a psychiatric disorder, reduced overall activity levels were associated with PRS for schizophrenia, depression, and ASD. ADHD PRS was associated with increased overall activity. Genetic correlations were consistent with PRS findings. Variation in physical activity is an important feature across psychiatric disorders. Whilst levels of activity are associated with genetic liability to psychiatric disorders to a very limited extent, the substantial differences in activity levels in those with psychiatric disorders most likely arise as a consequences of disorder-related factors.


Subject(s)
Accelerometry/instrumentation , Biological Specimen Banks , Exercise , Mental Disorders/genetics , Adult , Humans , Male , Mental Disorders/physiopathology , Risk Factors , United Kingdom
17.
Neurobiol Aging ; 93: 69-77, 2020 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32464432

ABSTRACT

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a devastating neurodegenerative condition with significant genetic heritability. Several genes have been implicated in the onset of AD with the apolipoprotein E (APOE) gene being the strongest single genetic risk loci. Evidence suggests that the effect of APOE alters with age during disease progression. Here, we aim to investigate the impact of APOE and other variants outside the APOE region on AD risk in younger and older participants. Using data from both the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative and the UK Biobank, we computed the polygenic risk score of each individual informed by the latest genetic study from the International Genomics of Alzheimer's Project. Our analysis showed that the effect of APOE on the disease risk is greater in younger participants and reduces as participants' age increases. Our findings indicate the increased impact of polygenic risk score as participants' age increases. Therefore, AD in older individuals can potentially be triggered by the cumulative effect of genes which are outside the APOE region.


Subject(s)
Aging/genetics , Alzheimer Disease/genetics , Apolipoproteins E/genetics , Multifactorial Inheritance/genetics , Age Factors , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Disease Progression , Female , Genetic Loci/genetics , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Risk
18.
Transl Psychiatry ; 10(1): 309, 2020 09 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32908133

ABSTRACT

Research has shown differences in subcortical brain volumes between participants with schizophrenia and healthy controls. However, none of these differences have been found to associate with schizophrenia polygenic risk. Here, in a large sample (n = 14,701) of unaffected participants from the UK Biobank, we test whether schizophrenia polygenic risk scores (PRS) limited to specific gene-sets predict subcortical brain volumes. We compare associations with schizophrenia PRS at the whole genome level ('genomic', including all SNPs associated with the disorder at a p-value threshold < 0.05) with 'genic' PRS (based on SNPs in the vicinity of known genes), 'intergenic' PRS (based on the remaining SNPs), and genic PRS limited to SNPs within 7 gene-sets previously found to be enriched for genetic association with schizophrenia ('abnormal behaviour,' 'abnormal long-term potentiation,' 'abnormal nervous system electrophysiology,' 'FMRP targets,' '5HT2C channels,' 'CaV2 channels' and 'loss-of-function intolerant genes'). We observe a negative association between the 'abnormal behaviour' gene-set PRS and volume of the right thalamus that survived correction for multiple testing (ß = -0.031, pFDR = 0.005) and was robust to different schizophrenia PRS p-value thresholds. In contrast, the only association with genomic PRS surviving correction for multiple testing was for right pallidum, which was observed using a schizophrenia PRS p-value threshold < 0.01 (ß = -0.032, p = 0.0003, pFDR = 0.02), but not when using other PRS P-value thresholds. We conclude that schizophrenia PRS limited to functional gene sets may provide a better means of capturing differences in subcortical brain volume than whole genome PRS approaches.


Subject(s)
Schizophrenia , Biological Specimen Banks , Brain/diagnostic imaging , Genetic Predisposition to Disease , Genome-Wide Association Study , Humans , Multifactorial Inheritance , Schizophrenia/genetics , United Kingdom
19.
JAMA Psychiatry ; 76(8): 818-825, 2019 08 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30994872

ABSTRACT

Importance: The role of large, rare copy number variants (CNVs) in neuropsychiatric disorders is well established, but their association with common psychiatric disorders, such as depression, remains unclear. Objective: To examine the association of a group of 53 CNVs associated with neurodevelopmental disorders and burden of rare CNVs with risk of depression. Design, Setting, and Participants: This case-control study used data from the UK Biobank study sample, which comprised 502 534 individuals living in the United Kingdom. Individuals with autism spectrum disorder, intellectual disability, attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder, schizophrenia, or bipolar affective disorder diagnoses were excluded. Analyses were further restricted to individuals of European genetic ancestry (n = 407 074). The study was conducted from January 2017 to September 2018. Exposures: CNV carrier status. Main Outcomes and Measures: For the primary outcome, individuals who reported that a physician had told them they had a depression diagnosis were defined as cases. Analyses were repeated using 2 alternative depression definitions: self-reported lifetime depression with current antidepressant prescription at the time of visit 1, and hospital discharge diagnosis of depression. Results: Copy number variants were identified in 488 366 individuals aged 37 to 73 years. In total, 407 074 individuals with European genetic ancestry (220 201 female [54.1%]; mean [SD] age of 56.9 [8.0] years) were included in the study. Of these individuals, 23 979 (5.9%) had self-reported lifetime depression and 383 095 (94.1%) reported no lifetime depression. The group of 53 neurodevelopmental CNVs was associated with self-reported depression (odds ratio [OR], 1.34; 95% CI, 1.19-1.49, uncorrected P = 1.38 × 10-7), and these results were consistent when using 2 alternative definitions of depression. This association was partially explained by physical health, educational attainment, social deprivation, smoking status, and alcohol consumption. A strong independent association remained between the neurodevelopmental CNVs and depression in analyses that incorporated these other measures (OR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.11-1.43; P = 2.87 × 10-4). Eight individual CNVs were nominally associated with risk of depression, and 3 of these 8 CNVs (1q21.1 duplication, Prader-Willi syndrome duplication, and 16p11.2 duplication) survived Bonferroni correction for the 53 CNVs tested. After the exclusion of carriers of neurodevelopmental CNVs, no association was found between measures of CNV burden and depression. Conclusions and Relevance: Neurodevelopmental CNVs appear to be associated with depression, extending the spectrum of clinical phenotypes that are associated with CNV carrier status.


Subject(s)
DNA Copy Number Variations/genetics , Depressive Disorder/epidemiology , Depressive Disorder/genetics , Genetic Predisposition to Disease/epidemiology , Genetic Predisposition to Disease/genetics , Neurodevelopmental Disorders/genetics , Adult , Aged , Alcohol Drinking/epidemiology , Alcohol Drinking/genetics , Biological Specimen Banks , Case-Control Studies , Depressive Disorder/physiopathology , Educational Status , Female , Health Status , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Psychosocial Deprivation , Risk , Severity of Illness Index , Smoking/epidemiology , Smoking/genetics , United Kingdom/epidemiology
20.
JAMA Psychiatry ; 76(12): 1256-1265, 2019 12 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31553412

ABSTRACT

Importance: Psychotic experiences, such as hallucinations and delusions, are reported by approximately 5% to 10% of the general population, although only a small proportion develop psychotic disorders such as schizophrenia. Studying the genetic causes of psychotic experiences in the general population, and its association with the genetic causes of other disorders, may increase the understanding of their pathologic significance. Objectives: To determine whether genetic liability to psychotic experiences is shared with schizophrenia and/or other neuropsychiatric disorders and traits and to identify genetic loci associated with psychotic experiences. Design, Setting and Participants: Analyses of genetic correlation, polygenic risk scores, and copy number variation were performed using data from participants in the UK Biobank from April 1, 2018, to March 20, 2019, to assess whether genetic liability to psychotic experiences is shared with schizophrenia and/or other neuropsychiatric disorders and traits. Genome-wide association studies of psychotic experience phenotypes were conducted to identify novel genetic loci. Participants in the final analyses after exclusions included 6123 individuals reporting any psychotic experience, 2143 individuals reporting distressing psychotic experiences, and 3337 individuals reporting multiple occurrences of psychotic experiences. A total of 121 843 individuals who did not report a psychotic experience formed the comparator group. Individuals with a psychotic disorder were excluded from all analyses. Main Outcomes and Measures: Genetic associations with psychotic experience phenotypes. Results: The study included a total of 127 966 participants (56.0% women and 44.0% men; mean [SD] age, 64.0 [7.6] years). Psychotic experiences were genetically correlated with major depressive disorder, schizophrenia, autism spectrum disorder, and attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder. Analyses of polygenic risk scores identified associations between psychotic experiences and genetic liability for major depressive disorder, schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, autism spectrum disorder, and attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder. Individuals reporting psychotic experiences had an increased burden of copy number variations previously associated with schizophrenia (odds ratio [OR], 2.04; 95% CI, 1.39-2.98; P = 2.49 × 10-4) and neurodevelopmental disorders more widely (OR, 1.75; 95% CI, 1.24-2.48; P = 1.41 × 10-3). Genome-wide association studies identified 4 significantly associated loci, including a locus in Ankyrin-3 (ANK3 [GenBank NM_020987]) (OR, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.10-1.23; P = 3.06 × 10-8) with any psychotic experience, and a locus in cannabinoid receptor 2 gene (CNR2 [GenBank NM_001841]) (OR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.56-0.78; P = 3.78 × 10-8) with distressing psychotic experiences. The genome-wide association study of any psychotic experience had a low single-nucleotide polymorphism-based heritability estimate (h2 = 1.71%; 95% CI, 1.02%-2.40%). Conclusions and Relevance: A large genetic association study of psychotic experiences from the population-based UK Biobank sample found support for a shared genetic liability between psychotic experiences and schizophrenia, major depressive disorder, bipolar disorder, and neurodevelopmental disorders.


Subject(s)
Bipolar Disorder/genetics , Depressive Disorder, Major/genetics , Genome-Wide Association Study , Neurodevelopmental Disorders/genetics , Psychotic Disorders/genetics , Schizophrenia/genetics , Adult , Aged , Ankyrins/genetics , Biological Specimen Banks , Cohort Studies , DNA Copy Number Variations , Female , Genetic Loci , Genetic Predisposition to Disease , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Multifactorial Inheritance , Phenotype , Psychotic Disorders/physiopathology , Receptor, Cannabinoid, CB2/genetics , United Kingdom
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