An artificial intelligence model predicts the survival of solid tumour patients from imaging and clinical data.

BACKGROUND: The need for developing new biomarkers is increasing with the emergence of many targeted therapies. Artificial Intelligence (AI) algorithms have shown great promise in the medical imaging field to build predictive models. We developed a prognostic model for solid tumour patients using AI on multimodal data. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Our retrospective study included examinations of patients with seven different cancer types performed between 2003 and 2017 in 17 different hospitals. Radiologists annotated all metastases on baseline computed tomography (CT) and ultrasound (US) images. Imaging features were extracted using AI models and used along with the patients' and treatments' metadata. A Cox regression was fitted to predict prognosis. Performance was assessed on a left-out test set with 1000 bootstraps. RESULTS: The model was built on 436 patients and tested on 196 patients (mean age 59, IQR: 51-6, 411 men out of 616 patients). On the whole, 1147 US images were annotated with lesions delineation, and 632 thorax-abdomen-pelvis CTs (total of 301,975 slices) were fully annotated with a total of 9516 lesions. The developed model reaches an average concordance index of 0.71 (0.67-0.76, 95% CI). Using the median predicted risk as a threshold value, the model is able to significantly (log-rank test P value < 0.001) isolate high-risk patients from low-risk patients (respective median OS of 11 and 31 months) with a hazard ratio of 3.5 (2.4-5.2, 95% CI). CONCLUSION: AI was able to extract prognostic features from imaging data, and along with clinical data, allows an accurate stratification of patients' prognoses.

Integrating deep learning CT-scan model, biological and clinical variables to predict severity of COVID-19 patients.

The SARS-COV-2 pandemic has put pressure on intensive care units, so that identifying predictors of disease severity is a priority. We collect 58 clinical and biological variables, and chest CT scan data, from 1003 coronavirus-infected patients from two French hospitals. We train a deep learning model based on CT scans to predict severity. We then construct the multimodal AI-severity score that includes 5 clinical and biological variables (age, sex, oxygenation, urea, platelet) in addition to the deep learning model. We show that neural network analysis of CT-scans brings unique prognosis information, although it is correlated with other markers of severity (oxygenation, LDH, and CRP) explaining the measurable but limited 0.03 increase of AUC obtained when adding CT-scan information to clinical variables. Here, we show that when comparing AI-severity with 11 existing severity scores, we find significantly improved prognosis performance; AI-severity can therefore rapidly become a reference scoring approach.