Secular Trend in GFR Decline in Non-Dialysis CKD Based on Observational Data From Standard of Care Arms of Trials.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: The standard of care (SoC) group of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) is a useful setting to explore the secular trends in kidney disease progression because implementation of best clinical practices is pursued for all patients enrolled in trials. This meta-analysis evaluated the secular trend in the change of glomerular filtration rate (GFR) decline in the SoC arm of RCTs in chronic kidney disease (CKD) published in the last 30 years. STUDY DESIGN: Systematic review and meta-analysis of the SoC arms of RCTs analyzed as an observational study. SETTING & STUDY POPULATIONS: Adult patients with CKD enrolled in the SoC arm of RCTs. SELECTION CRITERIA FOR STUDIES: Phase 3 RCTs evaluating GFR decline as an outcome in SoC arms. DATA EXTRACTION: Two independent reviewers evaluated RCTs for eligibility and extracted relevant data. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: The mean of GFR declines extracted in the SoC arm of selected RCTs were pooled by using a random effects model. Meta-regression analyses were performed to identify factors that may explain heterogeneity. RESULTS: The SoC arms from 92 RCTs were included in the meta-analysis with a total of 32,202 patients. The overall mean GFR decline was-4.00 (95% CI, -4.55 to-3.44) mL/min/1.73m2 per year in the SoC arms with a high level of heterogeneity (I2, 98.4% [95% CI, 98.2-98.5], P<0.001). Meta-regression analysis showed an association between publication year (ß estimate, 0.09 [95% CI, 0.032-0.148], P=0.003) and reduction in GFR over time. When evaluating publication decade categorically, GFR decline was-5.44 (95% CI, -7.15 to-3.73), -3.92 (95% CI, -4.82 to-3.02), and -3.20 (95% CI, -3.75 to -2.64) mL/min/1.73m2 per year during 1991-2000, 2001-2010, and 2011-2023, respectively. Using meta-regression, the heterogeneity of GFR decline was mainly explained by age and proteinuria. LIMITATIONS: Different methods assessing GFR in selected trials and observational design of the study. CONCLUSIONS: In the last 3 decades, GFR decline has decreased over time in patients enrolled in RCTs who received the standard of care. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Registered at PROSPERO with record number CRD42022357704. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: This study evaluated the secular trend in the change in glomerular filtration rate (GFR) decline in the placebo arms of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that were studying approaches to protect the kidneys in the setting of chronic kidney disease. The placebo groups of RCTs are useful for examining whether the rate of progression of kidney disease has changed over time. We found an improvement in the slope of change in GFR over time. These findings suggest that adherence to standards of kidney care as implemented in clinical trials may be associated with improved clinical outcomes, and these data may inform the design of future RCTs in nephrology.

Efficacy of erythropoietin as a neuroprotective agent in CKD-associated cognitive dysfunction: A literature systematic review.

Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) often experience mild cognitive impairment and other neurocognitive disorders. Studies have shown that erythropoietin (EPO) and its receptor have neuroprotective effects in cell and animal models of nervous system disorders. Recombinant human EPO (rHuEPO), commonly used to treat anemia in CKD patients, could be a neuroprotective agent. In this systematic review, we aimed to assess the published studies investigating the cognitive benefits of rHuEPO treatment in individuals with reduced kidney function. We comprehensively searched Pubmed, Cochrane Library, Scopus, and Web of Science databases from 1990 to 2023. After selection, 24 studies were analyzed, considering study design, sample size, participant characteristics, intervention, and main findings. The collective results of these studies in CKD patients indicated that rHuEPO enhances brain function, improves performance on neuropsychological tests, and positively affects electroencephalography measurements. These findings suggest that rHuEPO could be a promising neuroprotective agent for managing CKD-related cognitive impairment.

Carboplatin and paclitaxel plus avelumab compared with carboplatin and paclitaxel in advanced or recurrent endometrial cancer (MITO END-3): a multicentre, open-label, randomised, controlled, phase 2 trial.

BACKGROUND: Adding immunotherapy to first-line chemotherapy might improve outcomes for patients with advanced or recurrent endometrial cancer. We aimed to compare carboplatin and paclitaxel versus avelumab plus carboplatin and paclitaxel as first-line treatment with avelumab given concurrent to chemotherapy and as maintenance after the end of chemotherapy. METHODS: MITO END-3 is an open-label, randomised, controlled, phase 2 trial conducted at 31 cancer institutes, hospitals, and universities in Italy. Eligible patients were aged 18 years or older with histologically confirmed advanced (FIGO stage III-IV) or recurrent endometrial cancer, an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status of 0-1, and no previous systemic anticancer therapy as primary treatment for advanced or metastatic disease. Participants were randomly assigned (1:1) using a computerised minimisation procedure stratified by centre, histology, and stage at study entry, to either receive carboplatin (area under the curve [AUC] 5 mg/mL × min) and paclitaxel (175 mg/m2; standard group) intravenously every 3 weeks for six to eight cycles or avelumab (10 mg/kg intravenously) added to carboplatin and paclitaxel (experimental group) every 3 weeks and then every 2 weeks as a single maintenance treatment after the end of chemotherapy until disease progression or unacceptable toxicity. Patients, treating clinicians, and those assessing radiological examinations were not masked to study treatment. The primary endpoint was investigator-assessed progression-free survival, measured in the intention-to-treat (ITT) population. Patients who received at least one dose of study drug were included in the safety analysis. Experimental group superiority was tested with 80% power and one-tailed α 0·20. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03503786) and EudraCT (2016-004403-31). FINDINGS: From April 9, 2018, to May 13, 2021, 166 women were assessed for eligibility and 39 were excluded. 125 eligible patients were randomly assigned to receive carboplatin and paclitaxel (n=62) or avelumab plus carboplatin and paclitaxel (n=63) and included in the ITT population. The median follow-up was 23·3 months (IQR 13·2-29·6) and was similar between the two groups. 91 progression-free survival events were reported, with 49 events in 62 patients in the standard group and 42 events in 63 patients in the experimental group. The median progression-free survival was 9·9 months (95% CI 6·7-12·1) in the standard group and 9·6 months (7·2-17·7) in the experimental group (HR of progression or death 0·78 [60% CI 0·65-0·93]; one-tailed p=0·085). Serious adverse events were reported more frequently in the experimental group (24 vs seven events in the standard group); neutrophil count decrease was the most frequent grade 3-4 adverse event (19 [31%] of 61 patients in the experimental group vs 26 [43%] of 61 patients in the standard group). Two deaths occurred in the experimental group during treatment (one respiratory failure following severe myositis [possibly related to treatment] and one cardiac arrest [not related to treatment]). INTERPRETATION: Adding avelumab to first-line chemotherapy deserves further testing in patients with advanced or recurrent endometrial cancer, although consideration of mismatch repair status is warranted. FUNDING: Pfizer.

Mild-to-Moderate Kidney Dysfunction and Cardiovascular Disease: Observational and Mendelian Randomization Analyses.

BACKGROUND: End-stage renal disease is associated with a high risk of cardiovascular events. It is unknown, however, whether mild-to-moderate kidney dysfunction is causally related to coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke. METHODS: Observational analyses were conducted using individual-level data from 4 population data sources (Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration, EPIC-CVD [European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition-Cardiovascular Disease Study], Million Veteran Program, and UK Biobank), comprising 648 135 participants with no history of cardiovascular disease or diabetes at baseline, yielding 42 858 and 15 693 incident CHD and stroke events, respectively, during 6.8 million person-years of follow-up. Using a genetic risk score of 218 variants for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), we conducted Mendelian randomization analyses involving 413 718 participants (25 917 CHD and 8622 strokes) in EPIC-CVD, Million Veteran Program, and UK Biobank. RESULTS: There were U-shaped observational associations of creatinine-based eGFR with CHD and stroke, with higher risk in participants with eGFR values <60 or >105 mL·min-1·1.73 m-2, compared with those with eGFR between 60 and 105 mL·min-1·1.73 m-2. Mendelian randomization analyses for CHD showed an association among participants with eGFR <60 mL·min-1·1.73 m-2, with a 14% (95% CI, 3%-27%) higher CHD risk per 5 mL·min-1·1.73 m-2 lower genetically predicted eGFR, but not for those with eGFR >105 mL·min-1·1.73 m-2. Results were not materially different after adjustment for factors associated with the eGFR genetic risk score, such as lipoprotein(a), triglycerides, hemoglobin A1c, and blood pressure. Mendelian randomization results for stroke were nonsignificant but broadly similar to those for CHD. CONCLUSIONS: In people without manifest cardiovascular disease or diabetes, mild-to-moderate kidney dysfunction is causally related to risk of CHD, highlighting the potential value of preventive approaches that preserve and modulate kidney function.

Baseline and lifetime alcohol consumption and risk of skin cancer in the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition cohort (EPIC).

Experimental evidence suggests that alcohol induces cutaneous carcinogenesis, yet epidemiological studies on the link between alcohol intake and skin cancer have been inconsistent. The European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC) is a prospective cohort initiated in 1992 in 10 European countries. Alcohol intake at baseline and average lifetime alcohol intake were assessed using validated country-specific dietary and lifestyle questionnaires. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated in Cox models. A total of 14 037 skin cancer cases (melanoma: n = 2457; basal-cell carcinoma (BCC): n = 8711; squamous-cell carcinoma (SCC): n = 1928; unknown: n = 941) were identified among 450 112 participants (average follow-up: 15 years). Baseline alcohol intake was positively associated with SCC (>15 vs 0.1-4.9 g/day: HR = 1.44, 95% CI = 1.17-1.77; Ptrend  = .001), BCC (HR = 1.12, 95% CI = 1.01-1.23; Ptrend  = .04), and melanoma risks in men (HR = 1.17, 95% CI = 0.95-1.44; Ptrend  = .17), while associations were more modest in women (SCC: HR = 1.09, 95% CI = 0.90-1.30; Ptrend  = .13; BCC: HR = 1.08, 95% CI = 1.00-1.17, Ptrend  = .03; melanoma: HR = 0.93, 95% CI = 0.80-1.08, Ptrend  = .13). Associations were similar for lifetime alcohol intake, with an attenuated linear trend. Lifetime liquor/spirit intake was positively associated with melanoma (fourth vs first quartile: HR = 1.47, 95% CI = 1.08-1.99; Ptrend  = .0009) and BCC risks in men (HR = 1.17, 95% CI = 1.04-1.31; Ptrend  = .14). Baseline and lifetime intakes of wine were associated with BCC risk (HR = 1.25 in men; HR = 1.11-1.12; in women). No statistically significant associations were found between beverage types and SCC risk. Intake of beer was not associated with skin cancer risk. Our study suggests positive relationships between alcohol intake and skin cancer risk, which may have important implications for the primary prevention of skin cancer.

CD39 and LDHA affects the prognostic role of NLR in metastatic melanoma patients treated with immunotherapy.

BACKGROUND: Identifying response markers is highly needed to guide the treatment strategy in patients with metastatic melanoma. METHODS: A retrospective study was carried out in patients with unresectable/metastatic melanoma (stage IIIb-IV), treated with anti-PD-1 in the first line setting, to better explore the role and the timing of neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as potential biomarker of response. The relationship of NLR with inflammation-immune mediators and the underlying negative effect of raising NLR during immunotherapy, have been investigated with transcriptomic gene analysis. RESULTS: The results confirmed previous findings that a high baseline NLR is associated with a poorer prognosis and with higher serum level of lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), regardless of the presence of brain metastases. The transcriptomic analysis showed that high baseline NLR is associated with a characteristic gene signature CCNA1, LDHA and IL18R1, which correlates with inflammation and tumorigenesis. Conversely, low baseline NLR is associated with the signature CD3, SH2D1A, ZAP70 and CD45RA, linked to the immune-activation. The genes positively associated with NLR (CD39 (ENTPD1), PTEN, MYD88, MMP9 and LDH) are involved in processes of immunosuppression, inflammation and tumor-promoting activity. Increased expression of CD39 correlated with TGFß2, a marker of the N2 neutrophils with immunosuppressive activity. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that increasing NLR is associated with an increased neutrophil population, with polarization to the N2 phenotype, and this process may be the basis for the negatively prognostic role of NLR.

Dipping Status, Ambulatory Blood Pressure Control, Cardiovascular Disease, and Kidney Disease Progression: A Multicenter Cohort Study of CKD.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Ambulatory blood pressure (BP) monitoring allows concurrent evaluation of BP control and nocturnal BP dipping status, both related to adverse outcomes. However, few studies have assessed the prognostic role of combining information on dipping status and achieved ambulatory BP in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). STUDY DESIGN: Prospective observational cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 906 patients with hypertension and CKD attending 1 of 3 Italian nephrology clinics. EXPOSURE: Four groups were defined by simultaneously classifying systolic ambulatory BP levels as being at goal (daytime SBP <135 and nighttime SBP <120 mm Hg) or above goal, and the presence or absence of nocturnal dipping (nighttime to daytime SBP ratio of <0.9 versus ≥0.9). OUTCOME: The composite of time to initiation of maintenance dialysis or estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline ≥50%, and the composite of fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular events. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate risks of kidney disease progression and cardiovascular disease in the 4 exposure groups where nocturnal dipping with systolic ambulatory BP at goal was the reference group. RESULTS: The mean patient age was 63.8 years, 61% were male, and 26.4% had diabetes; eGFR was 41.1 ± 20.8 mL/min/1.73 m2. The dipping prevalence in each of the 4 groups was as follows: nocturnal dipping with ambulatory BP at goal, 18.6%; no nocturnal dipping with ambulatory BP at goal, 20.5%; nocturnal dipping with ambulatory BP above goal, 11.8%; and no nocturnal dipping with ambulatory BP above goal, 49.1%. Among patients with ambulatory BP above goal, the risk of cardiovascular events was greater in the absence (HR, 2.79 [95% CI, 1.64-4.75]) and presence (HR, 2.05 [95% CI, 1.10-3.84]) of nocturnal dipping. The same held true for risk of kidney disease progression (HRs of 2.40 [95% CI, 1.58-3.65] and 2.11 [95% CI, 1.28-3.48] in the absence and presence of nocturnal dipping, respectively). Patients at the ambulatory BP goal but who did not experience nocturnal dipping had an increased risk of the cardiovascular end point (HR, 2.06 [95% CI, 1.15-3.68]) and the kidney disease progression outcome (HR, 1.82 [95% CI, 1.17-2.82]). LIMITATIONS: Lack of a diverse cohort (all those enrolled were White). Residual uncontrolled confounding. CONCLUSIONS: Systolic ambulatory BP above goal or the absence of nocturnal dipping, regardless of ambulatory BP, is associated with higher risks of cardiovascular disease and kidney disease progression among patients with CKD. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), ambulatory blood pressure (BP) monitoring improves the identification of individuals at high risk of clinical disease outcomes. Those with uncontrolled ambulatory BP are known to have a higher risk of developing cardiovascular disease and kidney disease progression, particularly when their ambulatory BP does not decline by at least 10% at night. Whether this is also true for patients with presence of optimal ambulatory BP levels but a BP pattern of no nighttime decline is largely unknown. We measured ambulatory BP in 900 Italian patients with CKD and followed them for several years. We found that, independent of ambulatory BP level, the absence of nighttime reductions in BP was associated with worsening of CKD and more frequent cardiovascular events. The absence of nighttime declines in BP is an independent risk factor for adverse events among patients with CKD. Future studies are needed to examine whether treating the absence of nighttime declines in BP improves clinical outcomes.

Oligo-metastatic neoPlasms from the gastro-intestinal tract: iDentIfiCaTIon of cliNical and molecular drivers: the PREDICTION study.

BACKGROUND: Metastatic disease in tumors originating from the gastrointestinal tract can exhibit varying degrees of tumor burden at presentation. Some patients follow a less aggressive disease course, characterized by a limited number of metastatic sites, referred to as "oligo-metastatic disease" (OMD). The precise biological characteristics that define the oligometastatic behavior remain uncertain. In this study, we present a protocol designed to prospectively identify OMD, with the aim of proposing novel therapeutic approaches and monitoring strategies. METHODS: The PREDICTION study is a monocentric, prospective, observational investigation. Enrolled patients will receive standard treatment, while translational activities will involve analysis of the tumor microenvironment and genomic profiling using immunohistochemistry and next-generation sequencing, respectively. The first primary objective (descriptive) is to determine the prevalence of biological characteristics in OMD derived from gastrointestinal tract neoplasms, including high genetic concordance between primary tumors and metastases, a significant infiltration of T lymphocytes, and the absence of clonal evolution favoring specific driver genes (KRAS and PIK3CA). The second co-primary objective (analytic) is to identify a prognostic score for true OMD, with a primary focus on metastatic colorectal cancer. The score will comprise genetic concordance (> 80%), high T-lymphocyte infiltration, and the absence of clonal evolution favoring driver genes. It is hypothesized that patients with true OMD (score 3+) will have a lower rate of progression/recurrence within one year (20%) compared to those with false OMD (80%). The endpoint of the co-primary objective is the rate of recurrence/progression at one year. Considering a reasonable probability (60%) of the three factors occurring simultaneously in true OMD (score 3+), using a significance level of α = 0.05 and a test power of 90%, the study requires a minimum enrollment of 32 patients. DISCUSSION: Few studies have explored the precise genetic and biological features of OMD thus far. In clinical settings, the diagnosis of OMD is typically made retrospectively, as some patients who undergo intensive treatment for oligometastases develop polymetastatic diseases within a year, while others do not experience disease progression (true OMD). In the coming years, the identification of true OMD will allow us to employ more personalized and comprehensive strategies in cancer treatment. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov ID NCT05806151.

Sex difference in cardiovascular risk in patients with chronic kidney disease: pooled analysis of four cohort studies.

BACKGROUND: Progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) has proven to be faster in men than in women. Whether the same holds true for cardiovascular risk remains ill-defined. METHODS: We conducted a pooled analysis of 4 cohort studies from 40 nephrology clinics in Italy including patients with CKD (estimated GFR<60 ml/min/1.73m2 or higher if proteinuria > 0.15 g/day). The aim was to compare multivariable-adjusted risk (Hazard Ratio, 95% Confidence Interval) of a composite cardiovascular endpoint (cardiovascular death and non-fatal myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, stroke, revascularization, peripheral vascular disease, and non-traumatic amputation) in women (n = 1 192) versus men (n = 1 635). RESULTS: At baseline, women had slightly higher systolic blood pressure (SBP) as compared with men (139±19 vs 138±18 mmHg, P = 0.049), lower eGFR (33.4 vs 35.7 mL/min/1.73 m2, P = 0.001) and lower urine protein excretion (0.30 g/day vs 0.45 g/day in men, P < 0.001). Women did not differ from men in age and prevalence of diabetes while having a lower prevalence of cardiovascular disease, left ventricular hypertrophy and smoking habit. During a median follow-up of 4.0 years, 517 fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular events were registered (199 in women and 318 in men). The adjusted risk of cardiovascular events was lower in women (0.73, 0.60-0.89, P = 0.002) than in men; however, the cardiovascular risk advantage of women progressively diminished as SBP (as continuous variable) increased (P for interaction = 0.021). Similar results were obtained when considering SBP categories; when compared to men, women had lower cardiovascular risk for SBP <130 mmHg (0.50, 0.31-0.80; P = 0.004) and between 130-140 mmHg (0.72, 0.53-0.99; P = 0.038), while no difference was observed for SBP>140 mmHg (0.85, 0.64-1.11; P = 0.232). CONCLUSIONS: Higher BP levels abolish the cardiovascular protection seen in female vs male patients with overt CKD. This finding supports the need for higher awareness of hypertensive burden in women with CKD.

Risk of end-stage kidney disease in kidney transplant recipients versus patients with native chronic kidney disease: multicentre unmatched and propensity-score matched analyses.

BACKGROUND: In kidney transplant recipients (KTR), the end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) risk dependent on the risk factors acting in native chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains undefined. METHODS: We compared risk and determinants of ESKD between 757 adult KTR and 1940 patients with native CKD before and after propensity-score (PS) analysis matched for unmodifiable risk factors [(age, sex, diabetes, cardiovascular disease and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)]. RESULTS: In unmatched cohorts, eGFR was lower in CKD versus KTR (45.9 ± 11.3 versus 59.2 ± 13.4 mL/min/1.73 m2, P < 0.001). During a median follow-up of 5.4 years, the unadjusted cumulative incidence of ESKD was consistently lower in unmatched KTR versus CKD. Conversely, in PS-matched analysis, the risk of ESKD in KTR was 78% lower versus CKD at 1 year of follow-up while progressively increased over time resulting similar to that of native CKD patients after 5 years and 2.3-fold higher than that observed in CKD at 10 years. R2 analysis in unmatched patients showed that the proportion of the outcome variance explained by traditional ESKD determinants was smaller in KTR versus native CKD (31% versus 70%). After PS matching, the risk of ESKD [hazard ratio (HR), 95% confidence interval (95% CI)] was significantly associated with systolic blood pressure (1.02, 1.01-1.02), phosphorus (1.31, 1.05-1.64), 24-h proteinuria (1.11, 1.05-1.17) and haemoglobin (0.85, 0.78-0.93) irrespective of KTR status. Similar data were obtained after matching also for modifiable risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: In KTR, when compared with matched native CKD patients, the risk of ESKD is lower in the first 5 years and higher later on. Traditional determinants of ESKD account for one-third of the variability of time-to-graft failure.

Food, Health, and Mitigation of Climate change in Italy

OBJECTIVES: to provide evidence on how diet can influence health, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, and land use. DESIGN: cohort study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: data collected in the EPIC Italy cohort (N. 47,749). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: hazard ratios (HR) for overall mortality and for cancer incidence in association with a sustainable diet (EAT-Lancet). RESULTS: sustainable diets are characterized by lower associated GHG emissions and lower land use (LU). Adherence to the guidelines proposed by the EAT-Lancet Commission was considered. This diet was associated with lower HRs for mortality and cancer incidence in EPIC Italy, estimated with Cox models accounting for potential confounders and stratified by sex. The hazard ratios for overall mortality showed a dose-response relationship with quartiles of diets associated with high GHG emissions, land use, and high distance from the EAT-Lancet diet calculated using a novel index, the EAT-Lancet distance index (EatDI). The HR for overall cancer incidence was also higher in the population with non-sustainable diets. CONCLUSIONS: the association among dietary GHG emissions, LU, and EatDI and overall mortality and overall cancer incidence suggests that promoting diets with low associated environmental impact can be an effective mitigation strategy with important co-benefits.

Biomarkers of the transsulfuration pathway and risk of renal cell carcinoma in the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC) study.

Previous studies have suggested that components of one-carbon metabolism, particularly circulating vitamin B6, have an etiological role in renal cell carcinoma (RCC). Vitamin B6 is a cofactor in the transsulfuration pathway. We sought to holistically investigate the role of the transsulfuration pathway in RCC risk. We conducted a nested case-control study (455 RCC cases and 455 matched controls) within the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC) study. Plasma samples from the baseline visit were analyzed for metabolites of the transsulfuration pathway, including pyridoxal 5'-phosphate (PLP, the biologically active form of vitamin B6), homocysteine, serine, cystathionine, and cysteine, in addition to folate. Bayesian conditional logistic regression was used to estimate associations of metabolites with RCC risk as well as interactions with established RCC risk factors. Circulating PLP and cysteine were inversely associated with RCC risk, and these associations were not attenuated after adjustment for other transsulfuration metabolites (odds ratio (OR) and 90% credible interval (CrI) per 1 SD increase in log concentration: 0.76 [0.66, 0.87]; 0.81 [0.66, 0.96], respectively). A comparison of joint metabolite profiles suggested substantially greater RCC risk for the profile representative of low overall transsulfuration function compared to high function (OR 2.70 [90% CrI 1.26, 5.70]). We found some statistical evidence of interactions of cysteine with body mass index, and PLP and homocysteine with smoking status, on their associations with RCC risk. In conclusion, we found evidence suggesting that the transsulfuration pathway may play a role in metabolic dysregulation leading to RCC development.

Early predictors of clinical deterioration in a cohort of outpatients with COVID-19 in southern Italy: A multicenter observational study.

Data regarding early predictors of clinical deterioration in patients with infection of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) is still scarce. The aim of the study is to identify early symptoms or signs that may be associated with severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We conducted a multicentre prospective cohort study on a cohort of patients with COVID-19 in home isolation from March 2020 to April 2021. We assessed longitudinal clinical data (fever, dyspnea, need for hospitalization) through video calls at three specific time points: the beginning of symptoms or the day of the first positivity of the nasopharyngeal swab for SARS-CoV-2-RNA (t0 ), and 3 (t3 ) and 7 (t7 ) days after the onset of symptoms. We included 329 patients with COVID-19: 182 (55.3%) males, mean age 53.4 ± 17.4 years, median Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) of 1 (0-3). Of the 329 patients enrolled, 171 (51.98%) had a mild, 81 (24.6%) a moderate, and 77 (23.4%) a severe illness; 151 (45.9%) were hospitalized. Compared to patients with mild COVID-19, moderate and severe patients were older (p < 0.001) and had more comorbidities, especially hypertension (p < 0.001) and cardiovascular diseases (p = 0.01). At t3 and t7 , we found a significant higher rate of persisting fever (≥37°C) among patients with moderate (91.4% and 58.0% at t3 and t7 , respectively; p < 0.001) and severe outcome (75.3% and 63.6%, respectively; p < 0.001) compared to mild COVID-19 outcome (27.5% and 11.7%, respectively; p < 0.001). Factors independently associated with a more severe outcome were persisting fever at t3 and t7 , increasing age, and CCI above 2 points. Persisting fever at t3 and t7 seems to be related to a more severe COVID-19. This data may be useful to assess hospitalization criteria and optimize the use of resources in the outpatient setting.

The effect of DPP-4 inhibitors, GLP-1 receptor agonists and SGLT-2 inhibitors on cardiorenal outcomes: a network meta-analysis of 23 CVOTs.

BACKGROUND: Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) and sodium glucose co-transporter-2 (SGLT-2) inhibitors reduce cardiorenal outcomes. We performed a network meta-analysis to compare the effect on cardiorenal outcomes among GLP-1 RAs, SGLT-2 inhibitors and dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitors. METHODS: We searched the PUBMED, Embase and Cochrane databases for relevant studies published up until 10 December 2021. Cardiovascular and renal outcome trials reporting outcomes on GLP-1RA, SGLT-2 inhibitors and DPP-4 inhibitors in patients with or without type 2 diabetes mellitus were included. The primary outcome was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE); other outcomes were cardiovascular and total death, nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI), nonfatal stroke, hospitalization for heart failure (HHF), and renal outcome. RESULTS: Twenty-three trials enrolling a total number of 181,143 participants were included. DPP-4 inhibitors did not lower the risk of any cardiorenal outcome when compared with placebo and were associated with higher risks of MACE, HHF, and renal outcome when compared with the other two drug classes. SGLT-2 inhibitors significantly reduced cardiovascular (RR = 0.88) and total (RR = 0.87) death, as compared with DPP-4 inhibitors, while GLP-1 RA reduced total death only (RR = 0.87). The comparison between GLP-1RA and SGLT-2 inhibitors showed no difference in their risks of MACE, nonfatal MI, nonfatal stroke, CV and total death; SGLT-2 inhibitors were superior to GLP-1RA in reducing the risk of HHF and the renal outcome (24% and 22% lower risk, respectively). Only GLP-1RA reduced the risk of nonfatal stroke (RR = 0.84), as compared with placebo. There was no head-to-head trial directly comparing these antidiabetic drug classes. CONCLUSIONS: SGLT-2 inhibitors and GLP-1RA are superior to DPP-4 inhibitors in reducing the risk of most cardiorenal outcomes; SGLT-2 inhibitors are superior to GLP-1RA in reducing the risk of HHF and renal events; GLP-1RA only reduced the risk of nonfatal stroke. Both SGLT-2 inhibitors and GLP-1RA should be the preferred treatment for type 2 diabetes and cardiorenal diseases.

The number of risk factors not at target is associated with cardiovascular risk in a type 2 diabetic population with albuminuria in primary cardiovascular prevention. Post-hoc analysis of the NID-2 trial.

BACKGROUND: Nephropathy in Diabetes type 2 (NID-2) study is an open-label cluster randomized clinical trial that demonstrated that multifactorial intensive treatment reduces Major Adverse Cardiac Events (MACEs) and overall mortality versus standard of care in type 2 diabetic subjects with albuminuria and no history of cardiovascular disease. Aim of the present post-hoc analysis of NID- 2 study is to evaluate whether the number of risk factors on target associates with patient outcomes. METHODS: Intervention phase lasted four years and subsequent follow up for survival lasted 10 years. To the aim of this post-hoc analysis, the whole population has been divided into 3 risk groups: 0-1 risk factor (absent/low); 2-3 risk factors (intermediate); 4 risk factors (high). Primary endpoint was a composite of fatal and non-fatal MACEs, the secondary endpoint was all-cause death at the end of the follow-up phase. RESULTS: Absent/low risk group included 166 patients (52.4%), intermediate risk group 128 (40.4%) and high-risk group 23 (7.3%). Cox model showed a significant higher risk of MACE and death in the high-risk group after adjustment for confounding variables, including treatment arm (HR 1.91, 95% CI 1.04-3.52, P = 0.038 and 1.96, 95%CI 1.02-3.8, P = 0,045, respectively, vs absent/low risk group). CONCLUSIONS: This post-hoc analysis of the NID-2 trial indicates that the increase in the number of risk factors at target correlates with better cardiovascular-free survival in patients with type 2 diabetes at high CV risk. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00535925. https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT00535925.

Machine learning in neuro-oncology: toward novel development fields.

PURPOSE: Artificial Intelligence (AI) involves several and different techniques able to elaborate a large amount of data responding to a specific planned outcome. There are several possible applications of this technology in neuro-oncology. METHODS: We reviewed, according to PRISMA guidelines, available studies adopting AI in different fields of neuro-oncology including neuro-radiology, pathology, surgery, radiation therapy, and systemic treatments. RESULTS: Neuro-radiology presented the major number of studies assessing AI. However, this technology is being successfully tested also in other operative settings including surgery and radiation therapy. In this context, AI shows to significantly reduce resources and costs maintaining an elevated qualitative standard. Pathological diagnosis and development of novel systemic treatments are other two fields in which AI showed promising preliminary data. CONCLUSION: It is likely that AI will be quickly included in some aspects of daily clinical practice. Possible applications of these techniques are impressive and cover all aspects of neuro-oncology.

Olaparib beyond progression compared with platinum chemotherapy after secondary cytoreductive surgery in patients with recurrent ovarian cancer: phase III randomized, open-label MITO 35b study, a project of the MITO-MANGO groups.

BACKGROUND: Poly (ADP-ribose) polymerase inhibitors have transformed the management landscape for patients with ovarian cancer, demonstrating remarkable improvements in progression-free survival and overall survival. Unfortunately, most relapses are due to an acquired mechanism of resistance to these agents. We hypothesize that secondary cytoreductive surgery, removing resistant clones, might help to overcome the development of resistance to poly (ADP-ribose) polymerase inhibitors, prolonging their therapeutic effect. PRIMARY OBJECTIVE: To determine the efficacy of olaparib beyond progression compared with standard platinum-based chemotherapy in patients with recurrent ovarian cancer progressed during or after poly (ADP-ribose) polymerase inhibitor maintenance therapy after secondary cytoreductive surgery. STUDY HYPOTHESIS: Olaparib administered beyond progression is more effective in increasing progression-free survival and progression-free survival 2 compared with second-line platinum-based chemotherapy in patients after secondary cytoreductive surgery. TRIAL DESIGN: Phase III, randomized, open-label, multicenter trial. Eligible patients will be randomized in a 1:1 ratio to receive olaparib or platinum-based chemotherapy of the investigator's choice. MAJOR ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: Eligible patients must have high-grade serous or endometrioid ovarian cancer progressed during or after first-line poly (ADP-ribose) polymerase inhibitor maintenance therapy and must have undergone secondary cytoreductive surgery. PRIMARY ENDPOINT: The dual primary endpoints will include progression-free survival and progression-free survival 2. Progression-free survival is defined by the investigator using Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) version 1.1 as the time between randomization and progression or death from any cause. Progression-free survival 2 is defined by the investigator using RECIST version 1.1 as the time frame from randomization to the second progression or death from any cause after subsequent treatment. SAMPLE SIZE: Approximately 200 patients will be enrolled in this study. ESTIMATED DATES FOR COMPLETING ACCRUAL AND PRESENTING RESULTS: Enrollment will be completed in 2024. Results will be presented in 2026. TRIAL REGISTRATION: EudraCT 2021-000245-41 NCT05255471.

Diagnostic issues faced by a rare disease healthcare network during Covid-19 outbreak: data from the Campania Rare Disease Registry.

BACKGROUND: The aims of this study were: to investigate the capacity of the rare disease healthcare network in Campania to diagnose patients with rare diseases during the outbreak of Covid-19; and to shed light on problematic diagnoses during this period. METHODS: To describe the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the diagnosis of patients with rare diseases, a retrospective analysis of the Campania Region Rare Disease Registry was performed. A tailored questionnaire was sent to rare disease experts to investigate major issues during the emergency period. RESULTS: Prevalence of new diagnoses of rare disease in March and April 2020 was significantly lower than in 2019 (117 versus 317, P < 0.001 and 37 versus 349, P < 0.001, respectively) and 2018 (117 versus 389, P < 0.001 and 37 versus 282, P < 0.001, respectively). Eighty-two among 98 rare disease experts completed the questionnaire. Diagnostic success (95%), access to diagnosis (80%) and follow-up (72%), lack of Personal Protective Equipment (60%), lack of Covid-19 guidelines (50%) and the need for home therapy (78%) were the most important issues raised during Covid-19 outbreak. CONCLUSIONS: This study describes the effects of the Covid-19 outbreak on the diagnosis of rare disease in a single Italian region and investigates potential issues of diagnosis and management during this period.

Unsupervised Hierarchical Classification Approach for Imprecise Data in the Breast Cancer Detection.

(1) Background: in recent years, a lot of the research of statistical methods focused on the classification problem in presence of imprecise data. A particular case of imprecise data is the interval-valued data. Following this research line, in this work a new hierarchical classification technique for multivariate interval-valued data is suggested for diagnosis of the breast cancer; (2) Methods: an unsupervised hierarchical classification method for imprecise multivariate data (called HC-ID) is performed for diagnosis of breast cancer (i.e., to discriminate between benign or malignant masses) and the results have been compared with the conventional (unsupervised) hierarchical classification approach (HC); (3) Results: the application on real data shows that the HC-ID procedure performs better HC procedure in terms of accuracy (HC-ID = 0.80, HC = 0.66) and sensitivity (HC-ID = 0.61, HC = 0.08). In the results obtained by the usual procedure, there is a high degree of false-negative (i.e., benign cancer diagnosis in malignant status) affected by the high degree of variability (i.e., uncertainty) characterizing the worst data.

Improvement of glycemic control and reduction of major cardiovascular events in 18 cardiovascular outcome trials: an updated meta-regression.

BACKGROUND: Besides providing reassurance about cardiovascular (CV) safety of newer diabetes drugs, cardiovascular outcome trials (CVOTs) have also shown encouraging benefits on some CV endpoints. The contribution of the better glycemic control in the reduction of major cardiovascular events (MACE) remains an open question. The aim of this study is to evaluate the associations between the reduction of HbA1c and risk of MACE, MACE components, hospitalization for heart failure (HF) and all-cause death in CVOTs. METHODS: An electronic search up to July 2021 was conducted to determine eligible trials. Systematic review identified eighteen CVOTs reporting prespecified CV outcomes. Pooled summary estimates and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated according to the random effects model using the Paule-Mandel method; restricted maximum likelihood estimators were used to estimate model parameters in the metaregression. RESULTS: The eighteen CVOTs evaluated 161,156 patients and included four trials with dipeptidyl-peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4i), eight trials with glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) and six trials with sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT-2i). Random-effects model meta-analysis showed an association between treatment and risk of MACE (hazard ratio [HR] 0.90; 95% CI 0.86, 0.94, P < 0.001), with significant heterogeneity between studies (I2 = 45.2%, Q statistic P = 0.040). In meta-regression, there was an association between the reduction in HbA1c at the end of the trial and the HR reduction for MACE (beta = - 0.298, P = 0.007), with significant heterogeneity (I2 = 40%, Q statistic P = 0.04); this association was totally driven by the risk reduction of non-fatal stroke, which explained 100% of between-study variance (beta = - 0.531, R2 = 100%), without heterogeneity (I2 = 24%, Q statistic P = 0.206). There was no association between the reduction in HbA1c and the HR for heart failure or all-cause death. CONCLUSIONS: The reduction of HbA1c in eighteen CVOTs was significantly associated with reduction of non-fatal stroke, explaining all (R2 = 100%) of the between-study variance. While the contribution of glucose lowering in some CV benefits of newer agents does not influence their indications for the patient with type 2 diabetes, it may hopefully facilitate their use.