The Effect of Spironolactone in Patients With Obesity at Risk for Heart Failure: Proteomic Insights from the HOMAGE Trial.

BACKGROUND: Adipose tissue influences the expression and degradation of circulating biomarkers. We aimed to identify the biomarker profile and biological meaning of biomarkers associated with obesity to assess the effect of spironolactone on the circulating biomarkers and to explore whether obesity might modify the effect of spironolactone. METHODS AND RESULTS: Protein biomarkers (n = 276) from the Olink Proseek-Multiplex cardiovascular and inflammation panels were measured in plasma collected at baseline, 1 month and 9 months from the HOMAGE randomized controlled trial participants. Of the 510 participants, 299 had obesity defined as an increased waist circumference (≥102 cm in men and ≥88 cm in women). Biomarkers at baseline reflected adipogenesis, increased vascularization, decreased fibrinolysis, and glucose intolerance in patients with obesity at baseline. Treatment with spironolactone had only minor effects on this proteomic profile. Obesity modified the effect of spironolactone on systolic blood pressure (Pinteraction = 0.001), showing a stronger decrease of blood pressure in obese patients (-14.8 mm Hg 95% confidence interval -18.45 to -11.12) compared with nonobese patients (-3.6 mm Hg 95% confidence interval -7.82 to 0.66). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients at risk for heart failure, those with obesity have a characteristic proteomic profile reflecting adipogenesis and glucose intolerance. Spironolactone had only minor effects on this obesity-related proteomic profile, but obesity significantly modified the effect of spironolactone on systolic blood pressure.

The effect of spironolactone on cardiovascular function and markers of fibrosis in people at increased risk of developing heart failure: the heart 'OMics' in AGEing (HOMAGE) randomized clinical trial.

AIMS: To investigate the effects of spironolactone on fibrosis and cardiac function in people at increased risk of developing heart failure. METHODS AND RESULTS: Randomized, open-label, blinded-endpoint trial comparing spironolactone (50 mg/day) or control for up to 9 months in people with, or at high risk of, coronary disease and raised plasma B-type natriuretic peptides. The primary endpoint was the interaction between baseline serum galectin-3 and changes in serum procollagen type-III N-terminal pro-peptide (PIIINP) in participants assigned to spironolactone or control. Procollagen type-I C-terminal pro-peptide (PICP) and collagen type-1 C-terminal telopeptide (CITP), reflecting synthesis and degradation of type-I collagen, were also measured. In 527 participants (median age 73 years, 26% women), changes in PIIINP were similar for spironolactone and control [mean difference (mdiff): -0.15; 95% confidence interval (CI) -0.44 to 0.15 µg/L; P = 0.32] but those receiving spironolactone had greater reductions in PICP (mdiff: -8.1; 95% CI -11.9 to -4.3 µg/L; P < 0.0001) and PICP/CITP ratio (mdiff: -2.9; 95% CI -4.3 to -1.5; <0.0001). No interactions with serum galectin were observed. Systolic blood pressure (mdiff: -10; 95% CI -13 to -7 mmHg; P < 0.0001), left atrial volume (mdiff: -1; 95% CI -2 to 0 mL/m2; P = 0.010), and NT-proBNP (mdiff: -57; 95% CI -81 to -33 ng/L; P < 0.0001) were reduced in those assigned spironolactone. CONCLUSIONS: Galectin-3 did not identify greater reductions in serum concentrations of collagen biomarkers in response to spironolactone. However, spironolactone may influence type-I collagen metabolism. Whether spironolactone can delay or prevent progression to symptomatic heart failure should be investigated.

Proteomic mechanistic profile of patients with diabetes at risk of developing heart failure: insights from the HOMAGE trial.

BACKGROUND: Patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) are at increased risk of developing heart failure (HF). The "Heart OMics in AGEing" (HOMAGE) trial suggested that spironolactone had beneficial effect on fibrosis and cardiac remodelling in an at risk population, potentially slowing the progression towards HF. We compared the proteomic profile of patients with and without diabetes among patients at risk for HF in the HOMAGE trial. METHODS: Protein biomarkers (n = 276) from the Olink®Proseek-Multiplex cardiovascular and inflammation panels were measured in plasma collected at baseline and 9 months (or last visit) from HOMAGE trial participants including 217 patients with, and 310 without, diabetes. RESULTS: Twenty-one biomarkers were increased and five decreased in patients with diabetes compared to non-diabetics at baseline. The markers clustered mainly within inflammatory and proteolytic pathways, with granulin as the key-hub, as revealed by knowledge-induced network and subsequent gene enrichment analysis. Treatment with spironolactone in diabetic patients did not lead to large changes in biomarkers. The effects of spironolactone on NTproBNP, fibrosis biomarkers and echocardiographic measures of diastolic function were similar in patients with and without diabetes (all interaction analyses p > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Amongst patients at risk for HF, those with diabetes have higher plasma concentrations of proteins involved in inflammation and proteolysis. Diabetes does not influence the effects of spironolactone on the proteomic profile, and spironolactone produced anti-fibrotic, anti-remodelling, blood pressure and natriuretic peptide lowering effects regardless of diabetes status.  Trial registration NCT02556450.

[NNT and NNH: statistics and stochastics in the evaluation of added therapeutic value]. / NNT e NNH: statistica e stocastica nella valutazione del valore terapeutico aggiunto.

Any pharmacological, invasive, surgical health intervention should have an added therapeutic value as well as the requirements of quality, safety, efficacy, to be considered as a medical device based on scientific evidence and of clinical utility for the patient. The intervention should be shared between the doctor and the patient who should have rigorous but simple tools to decide on the best therapy to undertake. Assessment of relative risk reduction is commonly used in the scientific literature to quantify both statistical and clinical significance. The reduction of the relative risk is independent of the baseline risk and is useful for comparing the results of trials conducted on populations at different risk levels. A biased reading of relative risk reduction can be used to emphasize the magnitude of the benefit for market innovation. The absolute risk reduction, on the other hand, is proportional to the magnitude of the baseline risk and is a more useful parameter for physicians and patients to understand the extent of benefit and harm, especially if the parameter is expressed in terms of the number needed to treat (NNT) or to harm (NNH). The mode of scientific communication is important for doctors' choices and patients' trust. Even true data can be fake in communication and perception by resorting to verbose paraphrases. Presenting the results of clinical trials in stochastic as well as statistical terms is useful for doctors and patients to verify whether it is worth practicing a certain treatment whose success sometimes has the probability of winning the lottery, also considering side effects and adverse events. One of the most important challenges in precision medicine will be understanding the relationship between probability and randomness.

[Shared decision-making in metaclinical medicine: from informed consent to shared probability]. / Il processo decisionale condiviso nella medicina metaclinica: dal consenso informato alla probabilità condivisa.

At the dawn of "metaclinical medicine" era, shared decision-making represents the overcoming of modern medicine guidelines and classical medicine experience. The patient's life plan, the doctor's health plan, the scientist's evidence-based plan, the administrator's plan and the beliefs of the society for healthcare options should be integrated into the shared decision-making process to avoid patient's unrealistic expectations, doctor's self-referential and defensive medicine, the science without compassion of the scientist, the administered medicine of the politician, the herd mentality of artificial intelligence. For a doctor who must evaluate according to science and conscience, it becomes difficult to make decisions about a patient who thinks that there can be "no decisions about me without me". It risks being a pure declamatory statement in the absence of clinical knowledge and the associated concept of probability. The idea of moving from informed consent to shared probability is convenient for both the doctor and the patient but not for litigation professionals. Even in metaclinical medicine, clinical decision support systems, if well governed, would facilitate the choice of the best treatment according to the definition of absolute risk reduction and the number of patients to be treated to avoid an event, leaving it up to the doctor-patient relationship the narrative and the choice of the most appropriate treatment, which also requires taking care of the emotional and compassionate aspects.

Phenotyping patients with ischaemic heart disease at risk of developing heart failure: an analysis of the HOMAGE trial.

AIMS: We aim to characterize the clinical and proteomic profiles of patients at risk of developing heart failure (HF), with and without coronary artery disease (CAD) or prior myocardial infarction (MI). METHODS AND RESULTS: HOMAGE evaluated the effect of spironolactone on plasma and serum markers of fibrosis over 9 months of follow-up in participants with (or at risk of having) CAD, and raised natriuretic peptides. In this post hoc analysis, patients were classified as (i) neither CAD nor MI; (ii) CAD; or (iii) MI. Proteomic between-group differences were evaluated through logistic regression and narrowed using backward stepwise selection and bootstrapping. Among the 527 participants, 28% had neither CAD or MI, 31% had CAD, and 41% had prior MI. Compared with people with neither CAD nor MI, those with CAD had higher baseline plasma concentrations of matrix metalloproteinase-7 (MMP-7), galectin-4 (GAL4), plasminogen activator inhibitor 1 (PAI-1), and lower plasma peptidoglycan recognition protein 1 (PGLYRP1), whilst those with a history of MI had higher plasma MMP-7, neurotrophin-3 (NT3), pulmonary surfactant-associated protein D (PSPD), and lower plasma tumour necrosis factor-related activation-induced cytokine (TRANCE). Proteomic signatures were similar for patients with CAD or prior MI. Treatment with spironolactone was associated with an increase of MMP7, NT3, and PGLYRP1 at 9 months. CONCLUSIONS: In patients at risk of developing HF, those with CAD or MI had a different proteomic profile regarding inflammatory, immunological, and collagen catabolic processes.

Thromboembolic event rate in paroxysmal and persistent atrial fibrillation: data from the GISSI-AF trial.

BACKGROUND: Few data on the thromboembolic (TE) risk of paroxysmal and persistent atrial fibrillation (AF) are available. This study aimed to assess the incidence of TE events in paroxysmal and persistent AF. METHODS: We performed a subset post hoc analysis of 771 patients with paroxysmal and 463 with persistent AF enrolled in the multicenter, prospective, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled GISSI-AF trial - comparing the efficacy of valsartan versus placebo in preventing AF recurrences - where the choice of antithrombotic treatment was left to the judgment of the referring physician. TE and major outcome events were centrally validated. AF recurrences were detected by frequent clinic visits and a transtelephonic monitoring device with weekly and symptomatic transmissions. RESULTS: Eighty-five percent of patients had a history of hypertension, and the 7.7% had heart failure, left ventricular dysfunction, or both. The mean CHADS2 score was 1.41±0.84. TE and major bleeding events were observed at a low incidence among the overall population at 1-year follow-up (0.97% and 0.81%, respectively). The univariate and multivariable analyses revealed no statistically significant differences in the incidence of TE, major bleeding events or mortality in paroxysmal and persistent AF patients. TE events were more common among women than men (p=0.02). The follow-up examination showed under- or overtreatment with warfarin in many patients, according to guideline suggestions. Warfarin was more frequently prescribed to patients with persistent AF (p<0.0001) and patients with AF recurrences (p<0.0001). AF recurrences were noninvasively detected in 632 (51.2%) patients. In patients without AF recurrences, the TE event rate was 0.5% versus 1.74%, 1.28%, and 1.18% for those with only symptomatic, only asymptomatic or both symptomatic and asymptomatic AF recurrences, respectively, but the difference was not statistically significant, even after adjusting for warfarin treatment and the CHADS2 score (HR 2.93; CI 95%; 0.8-10.9; p=0.11). CONCLUSIONS: TE and major bleeding events showed a very low incidence in the GISSI-AF trial population, despite under- or overtreatment with warfarin in many patients. TE events had a similar rate in paroxysmal and persistent AF. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT00376272.

[The statistical literacy of "my" patient]. / L'alfabetizzazione statistica del "mio" paziente - La statistica medica spiegata al paziente dal medico non statistico né scienziato, per passare dal consenso alla condivisione delle decisioni.

The fundamental questions asked by the patient to the doctor are: "What is the best cure for my disease?"; "How likely am I to benefit from the intervention you propose?". To answer on a scientific basis, the doctor can use seven parameters: 1) the relative reduction of the risk; 2) its absolute reduction; 3) the necessary number of patients to be treated to obtain a benefit; 4) the number of patients to be treated to avoid an adverse event; 5) average life time gained; 6) average life time gained in good health; 7) the residual risk.The doctor, not a statistician or scientist, must explain to the patient the reason for his proposals, to pass from consent to sharing; this requires strong commitment and cultural growth of both the patient and the doctor. To avoid purely declamatory positions, it is necessary to adopt some tools such as the scientific method and risk management but above all statistics. If medicine has been defined as "the science of uncertainty and the art of probability", statistics is the science of probability and the art of uncertainty, that physicians and patients cannot do without to share their important decisions in the field of health.

Spironolactone effect on cardiac structure and function of patients with heart failure and preserved ejection fraction: a pooled analysis of three randomized trials.

AIMS: Spironolactone is currently used in a large proportion of patients with heart failure and preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), yet its effect on cardiac structure and function in a large population has not been well established. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of spironolactone on key echocardiographic parameters in HFpEF. METHODS AND RESULTS: An individual-patient-data meta-analysis of three randomized trials (HOMAGE, Aldo-DHF, and TOPCAT) was performed comparing spironolactone (9-12 month exposure) to placebo (or control) for the changes in left atrial volume index (LAVi), left ventricular mass index (LVMi), interventricular septum (IVS) thickness, E/e' ratio, and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) among patients with stage B (HOMAGE) or C (Aldo-DHF and TOPCAT) HFpEF. Analysis of covariance was used to test the effect of spironolactone on echocardiographic changes. A total of 984 patients were included in this analysis: 452 (45.9%) from HOMAGE, 398 (40.4%) from Aldo-DHF, and 134 (13.6%) from TOPCAT. The pooled-cohort patient's median age was 71 (66-77) years and 39% were women. Median LAVi was 29 (24-35) ml/m2 , LVMi 100 (84-118) g/m2 , IVS thickness 12 (10-13) mm, E/e' ratio 11 (9-13), and LVEF 64 (59-69)%. Spironolactone reduced LAVi by -1.1 (-2.0 to -0.1) ml/m2 (p = 0.03); LVMi by -3.6 (-6.4 to -0.8) g/m2 (p = 0.01); IVS thickness by -0.2 (-0.3 to -0.1) mm (p = 0.01); E/e' ratio by -1.3 (-2.4 to -0.2) (p = 0.02); and increased LVEF by 1.7 (0.8-2.6)% (p < 0.01). No treatment-by-study heterogeneity was found except for E/e' ratio with a larger effect in Aldo-DHF and TOPCAT (interaction p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Spironolactone improved cardiac structure and function of patients with HFpEF.

Spironolactone effect on circulating procollagen type I carboxy-terminal propeptide: Pooled analysis of three randomized trials.

BACKGROUND: Spironolactone might improve the prognosis of patients with heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFpEF), but the mechanisms by which it acts are uncertain. Serum concentrations of procollagen type I carboxy-terminal propeptide (PICP) reflect the synthesis of type I collagen and correlate well with histologically proven cardiac fibrosis. AIMS: To investigate the effect of spironolactone on serum PICP concentration in patients with stage B and C HFpEF across three trials (HOMAGE, ALDO-DHF, and TOPCAT) for which measurements of serum PICP were available. METHODS: Random-effects meta-analysis. RESULTS: A total of 1038 patients with PICP measurements available both at baseline and 9-12 months were included in this analysis: 488 (47.0%) from HOMAGE, 386 (37.2%) from ALDO-DHF, and 164 (15.8%) from TOPCAT. The median (percentile25-75) serum PICP was 98 (76-128) ng/mL. Compared to placebo or usual care, administration of spironolactone for 9 to 12 months reduced serum PICP by -7.4 ng/mL, 95%CI -13.9 to -0.9, P-value =0.02. The effect was moderately heterogeneous (I2 = 64%) with the most pronounced effect seen in TOPCAT where PICP was reduced by -27.0 ng/mL, followed by HOMAGE where PICP was reduced by -8.1 ng/mL, and was least marked in ALDO-DHF where PICP changed by -2.9 ng/mL. The association between spironolactone and serum PICP was not mediated substantially by blood pressure. CONCLUSIONS: Spironolactone reduced serum concentrations of PICP in patients with HFpEF with different severity and stages of disease. These findings are consistent with spironolactone having an anti-fibrotic effect.

Clinical outcome of renal tubular damage in chronic heart failure.

AIMS: Both reduced glomerular filtration and increased urinary albumin excretion independently determine outcome in patients with chronic heart failure (HF). However, tubulo-interstitial injury might indicate renal damage, even in the presence of normal glomerular filtration. We studied the relationship between tubular damage, glomerular filtration, urinary albumin excretion, and outcome in HF patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: In 2130 patients participating in the GISSI-HF trial, we measured urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and three urinary markers of tubular damage: N-acetyl-beta-D-glucosaminidase (NAG), kidney injury molecule 1 (KIM-1), and neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL). We assessed the relationship between the individual tubular damage markers and the combined endpoint of all-cause mortality and HF hospitalizations. Mean age was 67 ± 11 years, and 21% were female. Urinary NAG 13.7 (7.8-22) U/gCr, KIM-1 1939 (671-3871) ng/gCr, and NGAL 36 (14-94) µg/gCr were markedly elevated above normal levels. All individual tubular markers were independently associated with the combined endpoint: NAG: adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.22; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.10-1.36; P< 0.001, KIM-1 HR 1.13; 95% CI, 1.02-1.24; P= 0.018 and NGAL HR 1.10; 95% CI, 1.00-1.20; P= 0.042; all per log standard deviation increase). Even in patients with a normal eGFR, increased tubular markers were related to a poorer outcome. The combination of impaired eGFR, increased UACR, and high NAG was associated with a HR of 3.00; 95% CI, 2.29-3.95; P< 0.001, compared with those without these abnormalities. CONCLUSION: Tubular damage is related to a poor clinical outcome in HF patients even when eGFR is normal.

[Scientific communication to "my" patient]. / La comunicazione scientifica al "mio" paziente.

In scientific communication, "my" patient should be differentiated from the "average" patient of randomized controlled clinical trials. Communication addressed to "my" patient takes place in the delicate and a certain sense intimate doctor-patient relationship in which various components are involved, such as the patient's expectations, needs and hopes, the professional, emotional and bureaucratic fatigue of the doctor, scientist's rigor and superficiality, the administrator's economic and organizational sustainability, social, media and judicial control. The simple trust required in the era of "paternalism" has undergone a transition first into "informed consent" and then into "shared decision-making". The next step would be that of physicians implementing corporate protocols and guidelines or artificial intelligence algorithms, forgetting that medicine is science applied with art to a complex and complicated system that needs to be ruled by those who know it. Until more effective solutions are found, the most cost-effective way is to apply shared guidelines of evidence-based medicine free from weak recommendations based on expert consensus, asking scientists to "recommend not recommending" when uncertainty prevails, leaving the choice to doctor's experience and patient's preferences.

[Process to insulin for type 2 diabetes mellitus therapy]. / Processo all'insulina nella terapia del diabete mellito di tipo 2.

In type 1 diabetes mellitus and in symptomatic and critical hyperglycemic states, insulin is a lifesaving drug; however, its value in long-term type 2 diabetes therapy, which represents more than 90% of diabetes, has not been assessed. This happens despite the fact that, in randomized studies on type 2 diabetes, insulin is used in two-thirds of cases when intensive hypoglycemic treatment is needed and in half of the patients when treatment is the standard one. This is a major issue from a clinical, economic and social-health organization point of view as insulin therapy is expensive and needs a complex organization. Observational and retrospective studies from the scientific literature show that in this type of diabetes insulin treatment is associated with increased cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. It is not clear whether this is due to a greater severity of the clinical picture, to the therapeutic target of blood glucose that may induce hypoglycemia, or to the intrinsic pharmacological activity of the drug that beyond reducing hyperglycemia can cause hypoglycemia, water retention, weight gain and hyperinsulinemia with proatherogenic effects. In particular, in patients with heart failure at high cardiovascular risk or with high insulin resistance, these clues are supported by meaningful data. Although there is no definitive evidence (the so-called "smoking gun") from randomized controlled trials, the high degree of suspicion induces the preferential choice of other drugs such as sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors, glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists and metformin beyond avoiding glycemic targets that induce hypoglycemia, especially in frail, elderly patients, or patients with cardiovascular diseases. These drugs, for their proven efficacy and the easy use within an outpatient setting (that favors their prescription and improves the inertia of the doctor and the adherence of patients), could help a more effective treatment of patients, both for quality and life expectancy beyond mere glycemic control.

Biomarker-based assessment of collagen cross-linking identifies patients at risk of heart failure more likely to benefit from spironolactone effects on left atrial remodelling. Insights from the HOMAGE clinical trial.

AIMS: The HOMAGE randomized trial found that spironolactone reduced left atrial volume index (LAVI), E:A ratio, and a marker of collagen type I synthesis (procollagen type I C-terminal propeptide) in patients at risk of heart failure (HF). Previous trials showed that patients with HF, preserved ejection fraction and low serum collagen type I C-terminal telopeptide to matrix metalloproteinase-1 ratio (CITP:MMP-1), associated with high collagen cross-linking, had less improvement in diastolic function with spironolactone. We evaluated the interaction between serum CITP:MMP-1 and spironolactone on cardiac function in the HOMAGE trial. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients at risk of HF were randomized to spironolactone (n = 260) or not (n = 255). Blood sampling and echocardiography were done at baseline, one and nine months. CITP:MMP-1 was used as an indirect measure of collagen cross-linking. Higher baseline CITP:MMP-1 (i.e. lower collagen cross-linking) was associated with greater reductions in LAVI with spironolactone at both one (p = 0.003) and nine (p = 0.01) months, but no interaction was observed for E:A ratio. Spironolactone reduced LAVI after one and nine months only for those patients in the third tertile of CITP:MMP-1 (estimated lowest collagen cross-linking) [mean differencesspiro/control : -1.77 (95% confidence interval, CI -2.94 to -0.59) and -2.52 (95% CI -4.46 to -0.58) mL/m2 ; interaction pacross-tertiles  = 0.005; interaction pthird tertile  = 0.008] with a similar trend for N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide which was consistently reduced by spironolactone only in the lowest collagen cross-linking tertile [mean differencesspiro/control : -0.47 (95% CI -0.66 to -0.28) and -0.31 (95% CI -0.59 to -0.04) ng/L; interaction pacross-tertiles  = 0.09; interaction pthird tertile < 0.001]. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that, for patients at risk of HF, the effects of spironolactone on left atrial remodelling may be more prominent in patients with less collagen cross-linking (indirectly assessed by serum CITP:MMP-1).

Dyskalemia in people at increased risk for heart failure: findings from the heart 'OMics' in AGEing (HOMAGE) trial.

AIMS: In people at risk of heart failure (HF) enrolled in the Heart 'OMics' in AGEing (HOMAGE) trial, spironolactone reduced circulating markers of collagen synthesis, natriuretic peptides, and blood pressure and improved cardiac structure and function. In the present report, we explored factors associated with dyskalaemia. METHODS AND RESULTS: The HOMAGE trial was an open-label study comparing spironolactone (up to 50 mg/day) versus standard care in people at risk for HF. After randomization, serum potassium was assessed at 1 and 9 months and was defined as low when ≤3.5 mmol/L (hypokalaemia) and high when ≥5.5 mmol/L (hyperkalaemia). Multivariable logistic regression models were constructed to identify clinical predictors of dyskalaemia. A total of 513 participants (median age 74 years, 75% men, median estimated glomerular filtration rate 71 mL/min/1.73 m2 ) had serum potassium available and were included in this analysis. At randomization, 88 had potassium < 4.0 mmol/L, 367 had potassium 4.0-5.0 mmol/L, and 58 had potassium > 5.0 mmol/L. During follow-up, on at least one occasion, a serum potassium < 3.5 mmol/L was observed in 6 (1.2%) and <4.0 mmol/L in 46 (9%) participants, while a potassium > 5.0 mmol/L was observed in 38 (8%) and >5.5 mmol/L in 5 (1.0%) participants. The median (percentile25-75 ) increase in serum potassium with spironolactone during the study was 0.23 (0.16; 0.29) mmol/L. Because of the low incidence of dyskalaemia, for regression analysis, hypokalaemia and hyperkalaemia thresholds were set at <4.0 and >5.0 mmol/L, respectively. The occurrence of a serum potassium > 5.0 mmol/L during follow-up was positively associated with the presence of diabetes mellitus {odds ratio [OR]: 1.21 [95% confidence interval (CI) 2.14; 3.79]} and randomization to spironolactone (OR: 2.83 [95% CI 1.49; 5.37]). Conversely, the occurrence of a potassium concentration < 4.0 mmol/L was positively associated with the use of thiazides (OR: 2.39 [95% CI 1.32; 4.34]), blood urea concentration (OR: 2.15 [95% CI 1.34; 3.39] per 10 mg/dL), and history of hypertension (OR: 2.32 [95% CI 1.02; 5.29]) and negatively associated with randomization to spironolactone (OR: 0.30 [95% CI 0.18; 0.52]). CONCLUSIONS: In people at risk for developing HF and with relatively normal renal function, spironolactone reduced the risk of hypokalaemia and, at the doses used, was not associated with the occurrence of clinically meaningful hyperkalaemia.

The association between markers of type I collagen synthesis and echocardiographic response to spironolactone in patients at risk of heart failure: findings from the HOMAGE trial.

AIMS: Procollagen type I C-terminal propeptide (PICP) and procollagen type III N-terminal propeptide (PIIINP) are markers reflecting collagen synthesis in cardiac fibrosis. However, they may be influenced by the presence of non-cardiac comorbidities (e.g. ageing, obesity, renal impairment). Understanding the associations between markers of collagen synthesis and abnormalities of cardiac structure and function is important to screen for myocardial fibrosis and monitor the antifibrotic effect of medications. METHODS AND RESULTS: The HOMAGE (Heart 'OMics' in AGEing) trial showed that spironolactone decreased serum PICP concentrations and improved cardiac remodelling over 9 months in a population at risk of developing heart failure (HF). We evaluated the associations between echocardiographic variables, PICP, PIIINP and galectin-3 at baseline and during the course of the trial. Among 527 individuals (74 ± 7 years, 26% women), median serum concentrations of PICP, PIIINP and galectin-3 were 80.6 µg/L (65.1-97.0), 3.9 µg/L (3.1-5.0), and 16.1 µg/L (13.5-19.7), respectively. After adjustment for potential confounders, higher serum PICP was significantly associated with left ventricular hypertrophy, left atrial enlargement, and greater ventricular stiffness (all p < 0.05), whereas serum PIIINP and galectin-3 were not (all p > 0.05). In patients treated with spironolactone, a reduction in serum PICP during the trial was associated with a decrease in E/e' (adjusted-beta = 0.93, 95% confidence interval 0.14-1.73; p = 0.022). CONCLUSIONS: In individuals at high risk of developing HF, serum PICP was associated with cardiac structural and functional abnormalities, and a decrease in PICP with spironolactone was correlated with improved diastolic dysfunction as assessed by E/e'. In contrast, no such associations were present for serum PIIINP and galectin-3.

Spironolactone effect on the blood pressure of patients at risk of developing heart failure: an analysis from the HOMAGE trial.

AIMS: Uncontrolled blood pressure (BP) increases the risk of developing heart failure (HF). The effect of spironolactone on BP of patients at risk of developing HF is yet to be determined. To evaluate the effect of spironolactone on the BP of patients at risk for HF and whether renin can predict spironolactone's effect. METHODS AND RESULTS: HOMAGE (Heart OMics in Aging) was a prospective multicentre randomized open-label blinded endpoint (PROBE) trial including 527 patients at risk for developing HF randomly assigned to either spironolactone (25-50 mg/day) or usual care alone for a maximum of 9 months. Sitting BP was assessed at baseline, Months 1 and 9 (or last visit). Analysis of covariance (ANCOVA), mixed effects models, and structural modelling equations was used. The median (percentile25-75) age was 73 (69-79) years, 26% were female, and >75% had history of hypertension. Overall, the baseline BP was 142/78 mmHg. Patients with higher BP were older, more likely to have diabetes and less likely to have coronary artery disease, had greater left ventricular mass (LVM), and left atrial volume (LAV). Compared with usual care, by last visit, spironolactone changed SBP by -10.3 (-13.0 to -7.5) mmHg and DBP by -3.2 (-4.8 to -1.7) mmHg (P < 0.001 for both). A higher proportion of patients on spironolactone had controlled BP <130/80 mmHg (36 vs. 26%; P = 0.014). Lower baseline renin levels predicted a greater response to spironolactone (interactionP = 0.041). CONCLUSION: Spironolactone had a clinically important BP-lowering effect. Spironolactone should be considered for lowering blood pressure in patients who are at risk of developing HF.