Clinical Efficacy and Safety of Nivolumab in Malignant Non-Pleural Mesothelioma: A Multicenter, Open-Label, Single-Arm, Japanese Phase II Trial (Viola) Protocol.

BACKGROUND: There is no authorized treatment for malignant non-pleural mesothelioma (MNPM) worldwide. In contrast to malignant pleural mesothelioma, MNPM has not been investigated, and no treatment has been established due to its rarity. OBJECTIVES: This multicenter, open-label, single-arm, Japanese phase II trial aims at evaluating the efficacy and safety of nivolumab, an immune checkpoint inhibitor, in advanced or metastatic MNPM treatment. METHODS: This phase II trial commenced in October 2020. Twenty-three patients with advanced or metastatic MNPM who meet the inclusion and exclusion criteria were enrolled from five institutions within 2 years. Regardless of prior therapy, 240 mg of nivolumab will be administered intravenously to MNPM patients every 2 weeks to investigate its efficacy and safety until disease progression or unacceptable toxicities are detected, or the patient's condition meets the withdrawal criteria. RESULTS: The primary endpoint is the objective response rate by central assessment following the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors version 1.1. The secondary endpoints include disease control rate, overall survival, progression-free survival, adverse events, and treatment-related adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first prospective investigator-initiated trial to evaluate the effect of nivolumab monotherapy for MNPM.

Novel nomogram developed for determining suitability of metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer patients to receive maximum benefit from radium-223 dichloride treatment-Japanese Ra-223 Therapy in Prostate Cancer using Bone Scan Index (J-RAP-BSI) Trial.

PURPOSE: To develop a novel nomogram for determining radium-223 dichloride (Ra-223) treatment suitability for metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) patients. METHODS: This Japanese Ra-223 Therapy in Prostate Cancer using Bone Scan Index (J-RAP-BSI) Trial was a retrospective multicenter investigation enrolled 258 mCRPC patients in Japan with Ra-223 treatment between June 2016 and August 2020, with bone scintigraphy findings before treatment, clinical data, and survival outcome available. A nomogram was constructed using prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) based on a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression model. A sub-analysis was also conducted for patients meeting European Medicines Agency (EMA) guidelines. RESULTS: Within a median of 17.4 months after initial Ra-223 treatment, 124 patients (48.1%) died from prostate cancer. Predictive factors included (1) sum of prior treatment history (score 0, never prior novel androgen receptor-targeted agents (ARTA) therapy, never prior taxane-based chemotherapy, and ever prior bisphosphonate/denosumab treatment), (2) Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status, (3) prostate-specific antigen doubling time (PSADT), (4) hemoglobin, (5) lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and (6) alkaline phosphatase (ALP) levels, and (7) automated bone scan index (aBSI) value based on bone scintigraphy. The nomogram using those factors showed good discrimination, with apparent and optimism-corrected Harrell's concordance index values of 0.748 and 0.734, respectively. Time-dependent area under the curve values at 1, 2, and 3 years were 0.771, 0.818, and 0.771, respectively. In 227 patients meeting EMA recommendation, the nomogram with seven factors showed good discrimination, with apparent and optimism-corrected Harrell's concordance index values of 0.722 and 0.704, respectively. Time-dependent area under the curve values at 1, 2, and 3 years were 0.747, 0.790, and 0.759, respectively. CONCLUSION: This novel nomogram including aBSI to select mCRPC patients to receive Ra-223 with significantly prolonged OS possibility was found suitable for assisting therapeutic decision-making, regardless of EMA recommendation.

Usefulness of the placebo lead-in design for clinical trials with binary outcomes.

BACKGROUND: In placebo-controlled clinical trials to develop new drugs for the treatment of psychiatric or neurological disorders, a high and sometimes greater-than-expected placebo response makes it difficult to show the superiority of an investigational drug over a corresponding placebo. To avoid such difficulty, a placebo lead-in design has been presented, but its usefulness has been open to discussion. Although the statistical properties of the placebo lead-in design are investigated in the context of continuous outcomes, whether these properties can be generalized for binary or ordinal cases remains unclear. METHODS: We investigate whether the placebo lead-in design is useful in clinical trials with binary outcomes through mathematical formulae and a numerical investigation. Specifically, we compare the proportion of placebo responders, the drug-placebo difference, and the effect size between two populations: one enriched for placebo nonresponders and the other comprising the all-comers. RESULTS: Under positive correlation of the data between the lead-in stage and the randomized stage for both treatment groups, we mathematically show that the proportion of responders in the population enriched for placebo nonresponders is less than that in the all-comers population, and whether the placebo lead-in design increases the drug-placebo difference depends on the variances of outcomes in both treatment groups as well as the correlations of the outcomes between two stages. Further, through a numerical investigation, we show that whether the placebo lead-in design increases the effect size strongly depends on the magnitude of the correlations and their difference. CONCLUSION: If the correlation of the placebo-placebo group is much higher than that of the placebo-drug group, the placebo lead-in design is advantageous in most cases but has an impact on an estimand in placebo nonresponders. Therefore, we do not recommend using the placebo lead-in design for clinical trials with binary outcomes.

Heterogeneous reduction in regional wall stress after aortic valve replacement for aortic regurgitation: a distinct feature from aortic stenosis.

Geometric changes caused by volume reduction early after aortic valve replacement (AVR) for aortic regurgitation (AR) may not be uniform, resulting in varying regional end-systolic wall stress (ESS). This study compared changes in regional ESS between AR and aortic stenosis (AS) patients in the early phase following AVR. Computer-tomographic left ventricular (LV) angiography was performed for 10 patients with AR and 13 with AS before and three months after AVR. Regional ESS at the base, middle, and apex levels, each subdivided into four segments, was calculated based on the Janz equation: ESS = end-systolic LV pressure × local cross-sectional area of LV cavity/that of LV wall. Following AVR, median LV end-diastolic volume index fell from 106 to 69 ml/m2 (P = 0.001) in AR and 60 to 46 ml/m2 (P = 0.01) in AS patients. Global ESS also declined in both (AR, 186 to 124 kdyne/cm2, P = 0.02; AS, 187 to 108 kdyne/cm2, P < 0.001, respectively). Regional ESS was reduced in all segments in AS patients, accompanied by left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) improvement (71-80%, P = 0.02). In contrast, regional ESS in AR patients was heterogeneously reduced, as regional ESS fell significantly in the antero-septal wall but was unchanged in the infero-lateral wall, and LVEF remained unchanged (65 to 62%, P = 0.42). In the early postoperative phase after AVR, the loading condition of the regional LV wall in AR patients was characterized by a heterogeneous reduction in regional ESS in contrast to a uniform decline in AS patients.

Regulatory issues and the potential use of Bayesian approaches for early drug approval systems in Japan.

Bayesian methods quantify and interpret the therapeutic effects of investigational drugs based on probability statements of the posterior distribution. However, the basic principle underlying the use of Bayesian methods in registration trials for new drug applications in Japan has not been adequately discussed. Motivated by the two drug approval systems for early approval recently enacted in Japan, we present our perspectives on the application of the Bayesian approach in registration trials in Japan. These are based on discussions among academic, industry, and regulatory experts at invited workshops. Based on the aforementioned early approval systems, we discuss putative common regulatory issues related to the use of the Bayesian approach and introduce instances of clinical trials in which the Bayesian approach is expected to be used. This article provides a well-defined premise for the discussion between industry and regulatory agencies on the use of Bayesian approaches for early drug approval in Japan.

Bilateral Internal Thoracic Artery Grafting Improves Survival for Severe Left Ventricular Dysfunction and Diabetes.

BACKGROUND: In patients with severe left ventricular (LV) dysfunction requiring coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), the association between diabetic status and outcomes after surgery, as well as with survival benefit following bilateral internal thoracic artery (ITA) grafting, remain largely unknown.Methods and Results:Patients (n=188; mean [±SD] age 67±9 years) with LV ejection fraction ≤40% who underwent isolated initial CABG were classified into non-diabetic (n=64), non-insulin-dependent diabetic (NIDM; n=74), and insulin-dependent diabetic (IDM; n=50) groups. During follow-up (mean [±SD] 68±47 months), the 5-year survival rate was 84% and 65% among non-diabetic and diabetic patients, respectively (P=0.034). After adjusting for all covariates, both NIDM and IDM were associated with increased mortality, with hazard ratios (HRs) of 1.9 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.0-3.7; P=0.049) and 2.4 (95% CI 1.2-4.8; P=0.016), respectively. Among non-diabetic patients, there was no difference in the 5-year survival rate between single and bilateral ITA grafting (86% vs. 80%, respectively; P=0.95), whereas bilateral ITA grafting increased survival among diabetic patients (57% vs. 81%; P=0.004). Multivariate analysis revealed that bilateral ITA was significantly associated with a decreased risk of mortality (HR 0.3; 95% CI 0.1-0.8; P=0.024). CONCLUSIONS: NIDM and IDM were significantly associated with worse long-term clinical outcome after CABG for severe LV dysfunction. Bilateral ITA grafting has the potential to improve survival in diabetic patients with severe LV dysfunction.

Autologous Induced Stem-Cell-Derived Retinal Cells for Macular Degeneration.

We assessed the feasibility of transplanting a sheet of retinal pigment epithelial (RPE) cells differentiated from induced pluripotent stem cells (iPSCs) in a patient with neovascular age-related macular degeneration. The iPSCs were generated from skin fibroblasts obtained from two patients with advanced neovascular age-related macular degeneration and were differentiated into RPE cells. The RPE cells and the iPSCs from which they were derived were subject to extensive testing. A surgery that included the removal of the neovascular membrane and transplantation of the autologous iPSC-derived RPE cell sheet under the retina was performed in one of the patients. At 1 year after surgery, the transplanted sheet remained intact, best corrected visual acuity had not improved or worsened, and cystoid macular edema was present. (Funded by Highway Program for Realization of Regenerative Medicine and others; University Hospital Medical Information Network Clinical Trials Registry [UMIN-CTR] number, UMIN000011929 .).

Recovery From Exhaustion of the Frank-Starling Mechanism by Mechanical Unloading With a Continuous-Flow Ventricular Assist Device.

BACKGROUND: We describe our original left ventricular assist device (LVAD) speed ramp and volume loading test designed to evaluate native heart function under continuous-flow LVAD support.Methods and Results:LVAD speed was decreased in 4 stages from the patient's optimal speed to the minimum setting for each device. Under minimal LVAD support, patients were subjected to saline loading (body weight [kg]×10 mL in 15 min). Echocardiographic and hemodynamic data were obtained at each stage of the LVAD speed ramp and every 3 min during saline loading. Patients were divided into Recovery (with successful LVAD removal; n=8) and Non-recovery (others; n=31) groups. During testing, increased pulmonary capillary wedge pressure caused by volume loading was milder in the Recovery than Non-recovery group (repeated measures analysis of variance; group effect, P=0.0069; time effect, P<0.0001; interaction effect, P=0.0173). Increased cardiac output from volume loading was significantly higher in the Recovery than Non-recovery group (group effect, P=0.0124; time effect, P<0.0001; interaction effect, P=0.0091). Therefore, the Frank-Starling curve of the Recovery group was located upward and to the left of that of the Non-recovery group. CONCLUSIONS: The LVAD speed ramp and volume loading test facilitates the precise evaluation of native heart function during continuous-flow LVAD support.

Sequential parallel comparison design with two coprimary endpoints.

A placebo-controlled randomized clinical trial is required to demonstrate that an experimental treatment is superior to its corresponding placebo on multiple coprimary endpoints. This is particularly true in the field of neurology. In fact, clinical trials for neurological disorders need to show the superiority of an experimental treatment over a placebo in two coprimary endpoints. Unfortunately, these trials often fail to detect a true treatment effect for the experimental treatment versus the placebo owing to an unexpectedly high placebo response rate. Sequential parallel comparison design (SPCD) can be used to address this problem. However, the SPCD has not yet been discussed in relation to clinical trials with coprimary endpoints. In this article, our aim was to develop a hypothesis-testing method and a method for calculating the corresponding sample size for the SPCD with two coprimary endpoints. In a simulation, we show that the proposed hypothesis-testing method achieves the nominal type I error rate and power and that the proposed sample size calculation method has adequate power accuracy. In addition, the usefulness of our methods is confirmed by returning to an SPCD trial with a single primary endpoint of Alzheimer disease-related agitation.

Bayesian sample-size determination methods considering both worthwhileness and unpromisingness for exploratory two-arm randomized clinical trials with binary endpoints.

A randomized exploratory clinical trial comparing an experimental treatment with a control treatment on a binary endpoint is often conducted to make a go or no-go decision. Such an exploratory trial needs to have an adequate sample size such that it will provide convincing evidence that the experimental treatment is either worthwhile or unpromising relative to the control treatment. In this paper, we propose three new sample-size determination methods for an exploratory trial, which utilize the posterior probabilities calculated from predefined efficacy and inefficacy criteria leading to a declaration of the worthwhileness or unpromisingness of the experimental treatment. Simulation studies, including numerical investigation, showed that all three methods could declare the experimental treatment as worthwhile or unpromising with a high probability when the true response probability of the experimental treatment group is higher or lower, respectively, than that of the control treatment group.