Improving prevalence estimates of mental health and well-being indicators among Sexual Minority Men: A Propensity Weighting Approach.

The prevalence and relative disparities of mental health outcomes and well-being indicators are often inconsistent across studies of Sexual Minority Men (SMM) due to selection biases in community-based surveys (non-probability sample), as well as misclassification biases in population-based surveys where some SMM often conceal their sexual orientation identities. The current paper estimated the prevalence of mental health related outcomes (depressive symptoms, mental health service use [MHSU], anxiety) and well-being indicators (loneliness and self-rated mental health) among SMM, broken down by sexual orientation using the Adjusted Logistic Propensity score (ALP) weighting. We applied the ALP to correct for selection biases in the 2019 Sex Now data (a community-based survey of SMMs in Canada) by reweighting it to the 2015-2018 Canadian Community Health Survey (a population survey from Statistics Canada). For all SMMs, the ALP-weighted prevalence of depressive symptoms is 15.96% (95% CI: 11.36%, 23.83%), while for MHSU, it is 32.13% (95% CI: 26.09, 41.20). The ALP estimates lie in between the crude estimates from the two surveys. This method was successful in providing a more accurate estimate than relying on results from one survey alone. We recommend to the use of ALP on other minority populations under certain assumptions.

Adverse childhood experiences among black sexually minoritized men and Black transgender women in Chicago.

BACKGROUND: Adverse childhood experiences (ACE) are important predictors of mental health outcomes in adulthood. However, commonly used ACE measures such as the Behavioural Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) have not been validated among Black sexually minoritized men (SMM) nor transgender women (TW), whom are known to have higher rates of ACE and poorer mental health outcomes. Assessing the psychometric properties of the measure is important for health equity research, as measurements that are not valid for some populations will render uninterpretable results. METHODS: Data are drawn from the Neighborhoods and Networks (N2) study, a longitudinal cohort of Black SMM and TW living in Southern Chicago. We conducted confirmatory factor analysis, correlation analysis and a two-parameter Item Response Theory (IRT) on the BRFSS ACE measure, an 11-item measure with 8 domains of ACE. RESULTS: One hundred forty seven participants (85% cisgender male) completed the BRFSS ACE measurement in the N2 study with age ranges from 16-34. The cohort were from a low socioeconomic background: about 40% of the cohort were housing insecure and made than $10,000 or less annually. They also have a high number of ACEs; 34% had endorsed 4 or more ACE domains. The three-factor structure fit the BRFSS ACE measure best; the measurement consisted of three subscales: of "Household Dysfunction", "Emotional / Physical", and "Sexual Abuse" (CFI = 0.975, TLI = 0.967, and RMSEA = 0.051). When the 8 domains of ACE were summed to one score, the total score was is correlated with depressive symptoms and anxiety scores, establishing concurrent validity. Item Response Theory model indicated that the "parental separation" domain had a low discrimination (slope) parameter, suggesting that this domain does not distinguish well between those with and without high ACE. CONCLUSIONS: The BRFFS ACE measure had adequate reliability, a well-replicated structure and some moderate evidence of concurrent validity among Black SMM and TW. The parental separation domain does not discriminate between those with high and low ACE experiences in this population. With changing population demographics and trends in marriage, further examination of this item beyond the current study is warranted to improve health equity research for all.

Neighborhood Safety and Neighborhood Police Violence Are Associated with Psychological Distress among English- and Spanish-Speaking Transgender Women of Color in New York City: Finding from the TURNNT Cohort Study.

Transgender women of color (TWOC) experience high rates of police violence and victimization compared to other sexual and gender minority groups, as well as compared to other White transgender and cisgender women. While past studies have demonstrated how frequent police harassment is associated with higher psychological distress, the effect of neighborhood safety and neighborhood police violence on TWOC's mental health is rarely studied. In this study, we examine the association between neighborhood safety and neighborhood police violence with psychological distress among TWOC. Baseline self-reported data are from the TURNNT ("Trying to Understand Relationships, Networks and Neighborhoods among Transgender Woman of Color") Cohort Study (analytic n = 303). Recruitment for the study began September 2020 and ended November 2022. Eligibility criteria included being a TWOC, age 18-55, English- or Spanish-speaking, and planning to reside in the New York City metropolitan area for at least 1 year. In multivariable analyses, neighborhood safety and neighborhood police violence were associated with psychological distress. For example, individuals who reported medium levels of neighborhood police violence had 1.15 [1.03, 1.28] times the odds of experiencing psychological distress compared to those who experienced low levels of neighborhood police violence. Our data suggest that neighborhood safety and neighborhood police violence were associated with increased psychological distress among TWOC. Policies and programs to address neighborhood police violence (such as body cameras and legal consequences for abusive officers) may improve mental health among TWOC.

Geosexual Archetype, Preventive Behaviors, and Sexually Transmitted Infections Among High-Risk Men Who Have Sex With Men.

BACKGROUND: Social geography plays an important role in transmission of sexually transmitted infections (STIs) among men who have sex with men. Previous qualitative work had identified 7 "geosexual archetypes," each with distinct travel patterns for sex and potentially important differences in STI rates. The objective of this article was to explore what could be learned about STI transmission by looking at STI prevention strategies (condom use and preexposure prophylaxis use) and prevalence of STIs among these geosexual archetypes. METHODS: We analyzed data from the Sex Now 2019 online survey in Canada. Men who have sex with men who reported 3 or more partners in the past 6 months were included in the analysis (n = 3649). RESULTS: The most common archetype was "geoflexible" (sex at home, partner's home, and other places; 35.6%), followed by "privates" (sex only at own/partner's home; 23.0%); the least common archetypes was "rover" (sex not at home or partner's place; 4.0%). There were significant variations in both STI prevention strategies and prevalence of bacterial STIs in the past year by geosexual archetype. In particular, among those who were HIV negative, those who reported a geoflexible archetype and used preexposure prophylaxis but did not use condoms consistently had a 52.6% prevalence of bacterial STIs, which was much higher compared with all other groups. Within other archetypes, those living with HIV had the highest prevalence of bacterial STIs. CONCLUSIONS: Geosexual archetype together with participant's STI prevention strategies was a strong predictor of bacterial STI risk. Understanding how place is connected to bacterial STIs is key in prevention as individuals do not live in isolation.

The Impact of Heparin on Mortality Following Open Ruptured Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Repair.

BACKGROUND: Systemic administration of heparin is widely used in patients undergoing open elective abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair. However, no clear consensus exists in the use of intraoperative heparin during open ruptured AAA (rAAA) repair. In this study, we assessed the safety of intravenous heparin administration in patients undergoing open rAAA repair. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study comparing patients who received and did not receive heparin during open rAAA repair in the Vascular Quality Initiative database between 2003 and 2020 was conducted. The primary outcomes were 30-day and 10-year mortality. The secondary outcomes included estimated blood loss, number of packed red blood cells transfused, early postoperative transfusions, and postsurgical complications. Propensity score matching was used to adjust for potentially confounding variables. The outcomes were compared between the 2 groups using relative risk for binary outcomes and paired t-test and the Wilcoxon rank-sum test for normally and non-normally distributed continuous variables, respectively. Survival was examined using Kaplan-Meier curves and compared using a Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: A total of 2,410 patients who underwent open rAAA repair between 2003 and 2020 were studied. Of the 2,410 patients, 1,853 patients received intraoperative heparin and 557 did not. Propensity score matching on 25 variables yielded 519 pairs for the heparin to no heparin comparison. Thirty-day mortality was lower in the heparin group (risk ratio: 0.74; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.66-0.84) and in-hospital was also lower in the heparin group (risk ratio: 0.68; 95% CI: 0.60-0.77). Furthermore, estimated blood loss was 910 mL (95% CI: 230 mL to 1,590 mL) lower in the heparin group and the mean number of packed red blood cells transfused intraoperatively and postoperatively were 17 units lower in the heparin group (95% CI: 8-42). Ten-year survival was higher for patients who received heparin, and their rate of survival was approximately 40% higher than those who did not receive heparin (hazard ratio: 0.62; 95% CI, 0.53-0.72; P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: In patients who received systemic heparin administration at the time of open rAAA repair, there were significant short-term and long-term survival benefits within 30 days and at 10 years. Heparin administration may have afforded a mortality benefit or been a surrogate for healthier and less moribund patients at the time of the procedure.

Relationship difficulties and "technoference" during the COVID-19 pandemic.

The COVID-19 pandemic has touched many aspects of people's lives around the world, including their romantic relationships. While media outlets have reported that the pandemic is difficult for couples, empirical evidence is needed to test these claims and understand why this may be. In two highly powered studies (N = 3271) using repeated measure and longitudinal approaches, we found that people who experienced COVID-19 related challenges (i.e., lockdown, reduced face-to-face interactions, boredom, or worry) also reported greater self and partner phone use (Study 1) and time spent on social media (Study 2), and subsequently experienced more conflict and less satisfaction in their romantic relationship. The findings provide insight into the struggles people faced in their relationships during the pandemic and suggest that the increase in screen time - a rising phenomenon due to the migration of many parts of life online - may be a challenge for couples.

Association of use of cleaning products with respiratory health in a Canadian birth cohort.

BACKGROUND: Comprehensive longitudinal studies are important for understanding the complex risk factors, pathways, exposures and interactions that lead to the development and persistence of asthma. We aimed to examine associations between use of household cleaning products in early life and childhood respiratory and allergic disease using data from the Canadian Healthy Infant Longitudinal Development (CHILD) Cohort Study. METHODS: We summed responses from parental questionnaires that indicated the frequency of use of 26 household cleaning products in the homes of 2022 children from this birth cohort when they were 3-4 months of age to create a cumulative Frequency of Use Score (FUS). We used multivariable logistic regression models to assess whether frequent compared with less frequent use was associated with recurrent wheeze, atopy or asthma diagnosis, as defined by the questionnaire and clinical assessments at age 3 years. Data were collected between 2008 and 2015. RESULTS: Children in homes with a higher frequency of use of cleaning products in infancy, as determined by an interquartile range increase, had higher odds of recurrent wheeze (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.35, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.11-1.64), recurrent wheeze with atopy (adjusted OR 1.49, 95% CI 1.02-2.16) and asthma diagnosis (adjusted OR 1.37, 95% CI 1.09-1.70), but no increase in the odds of atopy at age 3 years (adjusted OR 1.14, 95% CI 0.96-1.35). Compared with the lowest tertile of FUS exposure, infants in the highest tertile had higher odds of acquiring asthma. Stratification of the results showed that females had higher ORs than males for all outcomes, although the p values for this sex difference did not reach statistical significance. INTERPRETATION: Frequent use of household cleaning products in early life was associated with an increased risk for childhood wheeze and asthma but not atopy at age 3 years. Our findings add to the understanding of how early life exposures to cleaning products may be associated with the development of allergic airway disease and help to identify household behaviours as a potential area for intervention.

Resident-Level Predictors of Dementia Pharmacotherapy at Long-Term Care Admission: The Impact of Different Drug Reimbursement Policies in Ontario and Saskatchewan: Prédicteurs de la pharmacothérapie de la démence au niveau des résidents lors de l'hospitalisation dans des soins de longue durée : l'impact de différentes politiques de remboursement des médicaments en Ontario et en Saskatchewan.

OBJECTIVES: Cholinesterase inhibitors (ChEIs) and memantine are approved for Alzheimer disease in Canada. Regional drug reimbursement policies are associated with cross-provincial variation in ChEI use, but it is unclear how these policies influence predictors of use. Using standardized data from two provinces with differing policies, we compared resident-level characteristics associated with dementia pharmacotherapy at long-term care (LTC) admission. METHODS: Using linked clinical and administrative databases, we examined characteristics associated with dementia pharmacotherapy use among residents with dementia and/or significant cognitive impairment admitted to LTC facilities in Saskatchewan (more restrictive reimbursement policies; n = 10,599) and Ontario (less restrictive; n = 93,331) between April 1, 2009, and March 31, 2015. Multivariable logistic regression models were utilized to assess resident demographic, functional, and clinical characteristics associated with dementia pharmacotherapy. RESULTS: On admission, 8.1% of Saskatchewan residents were receiving dementia pharmacotherapy compared to 33.2% in Ontario. In both provinces, residents with severe cognitive impairment, aggressive behaviors, and recent antipsychotic use were more likely to receive dementia pharmacotherapy; while those who were unmarried, admitted in later years, had a greater degree of frailty, and recent hospitalizations were less likely. The direction of the association for older age, rural residency, medication number, and anticholinergic therapy differed between provinces. CONCLUSIONS: While more restrictive criteria for dementia pharmacotherapy coverage in Saskatchewan resulted in fewer residents entering LTC on dementia pharmacotherapy, there were relatively few differences in the factors associated with use across provinces. Longitudinal studies are needed to assess how differences in prevalence and characteristics associated with use impact patient outcomes.

Trajectories of Depressive Symptoms and Perceived Stress From Pregnancy to the Postnatal Period Among Canadian Women: Impact of Employment and Immigration.

Objectives. To identify trajectory patterns of maternal depressive symptoms and perceived stress from midpregnancy to 2 years postpartum and determine relationships with selected sociodemographic factors including income, education, immigration, and postpartum employment. Methods. Pregnant women (n = 3307) recruited from the general population in 4 regions in Canada provided 6 waves of data from pregnancy to 2 years postpartum. The study was conducted from 2009 to 2015. Results. We determined 5 trajectory groups distinguished by time and magnitude for both depressive symptoms and perceived stress. Immigrants living in Canada for more than 5 up to 10 years, but not more recent arrivals, were at higher risk for persistent stress and depression independent of income status. Being employed at 1 year postpartum was associated with a lower likelihood of postpartum depression and perceived stress, while mothers reporting work exhaustion were substantially more likely to experience persistent depression and stress. Conclusions. The study highlighted the heterogeneous nature of depressive symptoms and perceived stress. Targeting interventions toward women 5 to 10 years after immigration and those experiencing exhaustion from postpartum work may be particularly beneficial.

Exploratory Factor Analysis of Two Sexual Health Scales for Transgender People: Trans-Specific Condom/Barrier Negotiation Self-Efficacy (T-Barrier) and Trans-Specific Sexual Body Image Worries (T-Worries).

Few sexual health measures have been validated for transgender (trans) populations. Condom/barrier self-efficacy and sexual body image worries are interrelated constructs that may contribute to enhanced and poor sexual health, respectively. We report on the development and initial validation of trans-specific scales designed to measure these constructs. Trans people in Ontario, Canada, who had ever had sex completed these scales as a part of a larger Trans PULSE survey (n = 323). Using exploratory factor analysis, a one-factor solution fit the 8-item Condom/Barrier Negotiation Self-Efficacy Scale (T-Barrier). Two factors were identified for the 7-item Sexual Body Image Worries Scale (T-Worries): "general body image worries" and "trans-related image worries," while two items were recommended for deletion. The scales demonstrated convergent validity with measures such as self-esteem, sexual anxiety, sexual satisfaction, sexual fear, and experiences of transphobia. Further evaluation to confirm these structures within an independent trans sample would be valuable. We recommend the use of these scales for studies of sexual health within trans populations, to enhance our ability to better understand and promote sexual health within trans communities.

Comparing Relationship Quality Across Different Types of Romantic Partners in Polyamorous and Monogamous Relationships.

Polyamory is the practice of having multiple emotionally close relationships that may or may not be sexual. Research concerning polyamory has just begun to determine how relationships among partners in polyamorous arrangements may vary. Most of the research assessing perceptions of polyamorous partners has focused on primary-secondary configurations; however, non-hierarchical configurations exist and can involve having multiple primary partners or having only non-primary partners. The current research is the first to examine perceptions of partners and relationship quality in various polyamorous configurations and compares results for each configuration to monogamous partners. Results from online convenience samples suggest that co-primary and non-primary configurations are common among polyamorous participants, with approximately 38% identifying with one of these configurations in 2013 and 55% in 2017. Furthermore, our results suggest that while relationships with partners in co-primary and non-primary structures still differ in some ways (e.g., investment, acceptance, secrecy, time spent having sex), they are closer to their ideals on several psychologically meaningful indicators of relationship quality (e.g., commitment and satisfaction). In other words, despite rejecting hierarchical primary-secondary labels, many of the same relationship qualities differ systematically among partners in non-hierarchical relationships. Furthermore, pseudo-primary partners and primary partners in these relationships are more comparable to monogamous partners than they are to secondary partners. We discuss how these results inform our understanding of polyamorous and monogamous relationships and suggest future directions based on these findings.

Risk for Maternal Depressive Symptoms and Perceived Stress by Ethnicities in Canada: From Pregnancy Through the Preschool Years.

OBJECTIVE: Past cross-sectional studies have reported that mothers from ethnic minorities experience higher levels of prenatal and post-partum psychosocial distress compared with mothers from ethnic majorities. However, no studies have examined how the pattern varies longitudinally in a Canadian population of heterogeneous ethnicity. METHODS: We analyzed data from 3,138 mothers participating in the Canadian Healthy Infant Longitudinal Development (CHILD) Study, a longitudinal multi-center study incorporating 10 distinct waves of psychosocial data collection from pregnancy until the index child was aged 5 y. Maternal self-identified ethnicity was grouped as White Caucasian, First Nations, Black, Southeast Asian, East Asian, South Asian, Middle Eastern, Hispanic and mixed ethnicity. We performed a multi-level regression to determine whether mothers of specific minority ethnicities were more likely to experience higher levels of distress (i.e. depressive symptoms and perceived stress) compared to white Caucasian mothers. RESULTS: Mothers self-identifying as Black or First Nations had consistently higher distress scores than mothers from other ethnicities across all data collection times. After adjusting for relevant variables (history of depression, education, household income, marital status, and social support), First Nations mothers had a 20% increase in the mean scores of depressive symptoms compared to White Caucasian Mothers. CONCLUSIONS: Increased levels of perinatal and post-partum distress were seen in only some ethnic minority groups. Studies should avoid collapsing all categories into ethnic minority or majority and may need to consider how ethnicity interacts with other sociodemographic factors such as poverty.

Predicting the atopic march: Results from the Canadian Healthy Infant Longitudinal Development Study.

BACKGROUND: The atopic march describes the progression from atopic dermatitis during infancy to asthma and allergic rhinitis in later childhood. In a Canadian birth cohort we investigated whether concomitant allergic sensitization enhances subsequent development of these allergic diseases at age 3 years. METHODS: Children completed skin prick testing at age 1 year. Children were considered sensitized if they produced a wheal 2 mm or larger than that elicited by the negative control to any of 10 inhalant or food allergens. Children were also assessed for atopic dermatitis by using the diagnostic criteria of the UK Working Party. At age 3 years, children were assessed for asthma, allergic rhinitis, food allergy, and atopic dermatitis. Data from 2311 children were available. RESULTS: Atopic dermatitis without allergic sensitization was not associated with an increased risk of asthma at age 3 years after adjusting for common confounders (relative risk [RR], 0.46; 95% CI, 0.11-1.93). Conversely, atopic dermatitis with allergic sensitization increased the risk of asthma more than 7-fold (RR, 7.04; 95% CI, 4.13-11.99). Atopic dermatitis and allergic sensitization had significant interactions on both the additive (relative excess risk due to interaction, 5.06; 95% CI, 1.33-11.04) and multiplicative (ratio of RRs, 5.80; 95% CI, 1.20-27.83) scales in association with asthma risk. There was also a positive additive interaction between atopic dermatitis and allergic sensitization in their effects on food allergy risk (relative excess risk due to interaction, 15.11; 95% CI, 4.19-35.36). CONCLUSIONS: Atopic dermatitis without concomitant allergic sensitization was not associated with an increased risk of asthma. In combination, atopic dermatitis and allergic sensitization had strong interactive effects on both asthma and food allergy risk at age 3 years.

Diagnosing atopic dermatitis in infancy: Questionnaire reports vs criteria-based assessment.

BACKGROUND: Persisting atopic dermatitis (AD) is known to be associated with more serious allergic diseases at later ages; however, making an accurate diagnosis during infancy is challenging. We assessed the diagnostic performance of questionnaire-based AD measures with criteria-based in-person clinical assessments at age 1 year and evaluated the ability of these diagnostic methods to predict asthma, allergic rhinitis and food allergies at age 5 years. METHODS: Data relate to 3014 children participating in the Canadian Healthy Infant Longitudinal Development (CHILD) Study who were directly observed in a clinical assessment by an experienced healthcare professional using the UK Working Party criteria. The majority (2221; 73.7%) of these children also provided multiple other methods of AD ascertainment: a parent reporting a characteristic rash on a questionnaire, a parent reporting the diagnosis provided by an external physician and a combination of these two reports. RESULTS: Relative to the direct clinical assessment, the area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve for a parental report of a characteristic rash, reported physician diagnosis and a combination of both were, respectively, 0.60, 0.69 and 0.70. The strongest predictor of asthma at 5 years was AD determined by criteria-based in-person clinical assessment followed by the combination of parental and physician report. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that questionnaire data cannot accurately substitute for assessment by experienced healthcare professionals using validated criteria for diagnosis of atopic dermatitis. Combining the parental report with diagnosis by a family physician might sometimes be appropriate (eg to avoid costs of a clinical assessment).

Timing of food introduction and development of food sensitization in a prospective birth cohort.

BACKGROUND: The effect of infant feeding practices on the development of food allergy remains controversial. We examined the relationship between timing and patterns of food introduction and sensitization to foods at age 1 year in the Canadian Healthy Infant Longitudinal Development (CHILD) birth cohort study. METHODS: Nutrition questionnaire data prospectively collected at age 3, 6, 12, 18, and 24 months were used to determine timing of introduction of cow's milk products, egg, and peanut. At age 1 year, infants underwent skin prick testing to cow's milk, egg white, and peanut. Logistic regression models were fitted to assess the impact of timing of food exposures on sensitization outcomes, and latent class analysis was used to study patterns of food introduction within the cohort. RESULTS: Among 2124 children with sufficient data, delaying introduction of cow's milk products, egg, and peanut beyond the first year of life significantly increased the odds of sensitization to that food (cow's milk adjOR 3.69, 95% CI 1.37-9.08; egg adjOR 1.89, 95% CI 1.25-2.80; peanut adjOR 1.76, 95% CI 1.07-3.01). Latent class analysis produced a three-class model: early, usual, and delayed introduction. A pattern of delayed introduction, characterized by avoidance of egg and peanut during the first year of life, increased the odds of sensitization to any of the three tested foods (adjOR 1.78, 95% CI 1.26-2.49). CONCLUSIONS: Avoidance of potentially allergenic foods during the first year of life significantly increased the odds of sensitization to the corresponding foods.

Factors associated with the use of psychedelics, ketamine and MDMA among sexual and gender minority youths in Canada: a machine learning analysis.

BACKGROUND: Substance use is increasing among sexual and gender minority youth (SGMY). This increase may be due to changes in social norms and socialisation, or due to SGMY exploring the potential therapeutic value of drugs such as psychedelics. We identified predictors of psychedelics, MDMA and ketamine use. METHODS: Data were obtained from 1414 SGMY participants who completed the ongoing longitudinal 2SLGBTQ+ Tobacco Project in Canada between November 2020 to January 2021. We examined the association between 80 potential features (including sociodemographic factors, mental health-related factors and substance use-related factors) with the use of psychedelics, MDMA and ketamine in the past year. Random forest classifier was used to identify the predictors most associated with reported use of these drugs. RESULTS: 18.1% of participants have used psychedelics in the past year; 21.9% used at least one of the three drugs. Cannabis and cocaine use were the predictors most strongly associated with any of these drugs, while cannabis, but not cocaine use, was the one most associated with psychedelic use. Other mental health and 2SLGBTQ+ stigma-related factors were also associated with the use of these drugs. CONCLUSION: The use of psychedelics, MDMA and ketamine among 2SLGBTQ+ individuals appeared to be largely driven by those who used them together with other drugs. Depression scores also appeared in the top 10 factors associated with these illicit drugs, suggesting that there were individuals who may benefit from the potential therapeutic value of these drugs. These characteristics should be further investigated in future studies.

Table 2 Fallacy in Descriptive Epidemiology: Bringing Machine Learning to the Table.

There is a lack of rigorous methodological development for descriptive epidemiology, where the goal is to describe and identify the most important associations with an outcome given a large set of potential predictors. This has often led to the Table 2 fallacy, where one presents the coefficient estimates for all covariates from a single multivariable regression model, which are often uninterpretable in a descriptive analysis. We argue that machine learning (ML) is a potential solution to this problem. We illustrate the power of ML with an example analysis identifying the most important predictors of alcohol abuse among sexual minority youth. The framework we propose for this analysis is as follows: (1) Identify a few ML methods for the analysis, (2) optimize the parameters using the whole data with a nested cross-validation approach, (3) rank the variables using variable importance scores, (4) present partial dependence plots (PDP) to illustrate the association between the important variables and the outcome, (5) and identify the strength of the interaction terms using the PDPs. We discuss the potential strengths and weaknesses of using ML methods for descriptive analysis and future directions for research. R codes to reproduce these analyses are provided, which we invite other researchers to use.

Real world long-term outcomes among adults undergoing transcatheter patent foramen closure with amplatzer PFO occluder.

BACKGROUND: Patent foramen ovale (PFO) is a congenital heart defect associated with an increased risk of cryptogenic stroke. We aimed to evaluate real-world outcomes of adult patients undergoing transcatheter PFO closure with the Amplatzer PFO Occluder. METHODS: In this single centre, retrospective cohort study, we linked a detailed clinical registry with provincial administrative databases to obtain short and long-term outcomes. Validated algorithms were used to established baseline comorbidities and adverse outcomes. RESULTS: Between 1999 and 2017, 479 patients had PFO closure with an Amplatzer PFO Occluder. The average age of the patients was 47.3 years (standard deviation (SD) = 12.4), and 54.7% were males. The procedural success was 100%, and 96% of patients were discharged on the same day. Any in-hospital complication was observed in 2.5% (n = 12) of patients. At 30 days post-discharge, 18% of patients had an ED visit and 5% a hospitalization. Over a mean follow-up of 9.1 (SD = 3.8) years, 4% experienced TIA, 1.5% stroke, and 7.6% atrial fibrillation. The composite outcome of stroke/TIA/death was observed in 10.9% of patients (1.22 events per 100 person-years). Patients >60 years old experienced higher rates of adverse events than younger patients. CONCLUSIONS: In this large real-world cohort of patients with cryptogenic stroke, we observed excellent safety and effectiveness outcomes for PFO closure conducted with Amplatzer PFO Occluder, similar to randomized controlled trials or other long-term cohort studies. New onset atrial fibrillation was one of the most commonly adverse events. Future studies should investigate early post-discharge management of patients to prevent readmissions.

Short- and Long-Term Outcomes in Patients With Thrombophilia Undergoing Transcatheter Closure of Patent Foramen Ovale.

BACKGROUND: Patients with thrombophilia are underrepresented in studies evaluating outcomes after closure of patent foramen ovale (PFO). Real-world data on long term outcomes in this population are very limited. OBJECTIVES: This study compared outcomes in patients with and without thrombophilia undergoing PFO closure, using data from a large, clinical database linked to population-based databases. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included consecutive patients who had a transcatheter PFO closure and had preprocedural thrombophilia screening. Data from a retrospective, clinical registry were linked to population-based administrative databases in Ontario Canada to evaluate outcomes. Outcomes were reported as rates per 100 person-years and compared using Poisson regression. RESULTS: We included 669 patients, with a mean age of 56.4 years, 97.9% of whom underwent PFO closure for a cryptogenic stroke. Thrombophilia was diagnosed among 174 (26.0%), of which 86% had inherited mutations. In-hospital, procedural complications were observed in 3.1% of patients with no difference by thrombophilia status. Similarly, no differences were observed in 30-day emergency department visits and readmissions. Over the median follow-up of 11.6 years, the most common adverse outcome was new-onset atrial fibrillation (1.0 per 100 person-years; 95% CI: 0.8-1.2), followed by recurrent cerebrovascular events (0.8 per 100 person-years; 95% CI: 0.6-1.1) with no differences between the groups (P > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: After PFO closure, no differences were observed in long-term adverse outcomes between patients with and without thrombophilia. Though these patients have been excluded from randomized clinical trials of PFO closure in the past, real-world evidence supports their eligibility for the procedure.