ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Firearm-related death rates continue to rise in the US. As some states enact more permissive firearm laws, we sought to assess the relationship between a change to permitless open carry (PLOC) and subsequent firearm-related death rates, a currently understudied topic. STUDY DESIGN: Using state-level data from 2013 to 2021, we performed a linear panel analysis using a state fixed-effects model. We examined total firearm-related death, suicide, and homicide rates separately. If a significant association between OC law and death rate was found, we then performed a difference-in-difference (DID) analysis to assess for a causal relationship between changing to PLOC and increased death rate. For significant DID results, we performed confirmatory DID separating firearm and nonfirearm death rates. RESULTS: Nineteen states maintained a no OC or permit-required law, whereas 5 changed to permitless and 26 had a PLOC before 2013. The fixed-effects model indicated more permissive OC law that was associated with increased total firearm-related deaths and suicides. In DID, changing law to PLOC had a significant average treatment effect on the treated of 1.57 (95% CI 1.05 to 2.09) for total suicide rate but no significant average treatment effect for the total firearm-related death rate. Confirmatory DID results found a significant average treatment effect on the treated of 1.18 (95% CI 0.90 to 1.46) for firearm suicide rate. CONCLUSIONS: OC law is associated with total firearm-related death and suicide rates. Based on our DID results, changing to PLOC is indeed strongly associated with increased suicides by firearm.
Subject(s)
Firearms , Suicide , Wounds, Gunshot , Humans , United States/epidemiology , HomicideABSTRACT
Pre-existing cirrhosis is associated with increased mortality in blunt liver injury. Despite widespread use of nonoperative management (NOM) for blunt liver injury, there is a relative paucity of data regarding how pre-existing cirrhosis impacts the success of NOM. Herein, we perform a retrospective cohort study using ACS TQIP 2017-2020 data to assess the relationship between cirrhosis and failure of NOM for adult patients with blunt liver injury. 37,176 patients were included (342 cirrhosis and 36,834 without cirrhosis). After propensity-score matching, patients with pre-existing cirrhosis had higher rates of failure of NOM (32.2 vs 14.1%, p < 0.01) and in-hospital mortality (36.3 vs 10.8%, p < 0.01) than patients without cirrhosis. Hesitancy to operate on patients with pre-existing cirrhosis and trauma, as well as significant underlying coagulopathy, may explain these findings.