ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: In most African countries, confirmed COVID-19 case counts underestimate the number of new SARS-CoV-2 infection cases. We propose a multiplying factor to approximate the number of biologically probable new infections from the number of confirmed cases. METHODS: Each of the first thousand suspect (or alert) cases recorded in South Kivu (DRC) between 29 March and 29 November 2020 underwent a RT-PCR test and an IgM and IgG serology. A latent class model and a Bayesian inference method were used to estimate (i) the incidence proportion of SARS-CoV-2 infection using RT-PCR and IgM test results, (ii) the prevalence using RT-PCR, IgM and IgG test results; and, (iii) the multiplying factor (ratio of the incidence proportion on the proportion of confirmed -RT-PCR+- cases). RESULTS: Among 933 alert cases with complete data, 218 (23%) were RT-PCR+; 434 (47%) IgM+; 464 (~ 50%) RT-PCR+, IgM+, or both; and 647 (69%) either IgG + or IgM+. The incidence proportion of SARS-CoV-2 infection was estimated at 58% (95% credibility interval: 51.8-64), its prevalence at 72.83% (65.68-77.89), and the multiplying factor at 2.42 (1.95-3.01). CONCLUSIONS: In monitoring the pandemic dynamics, the number of biologically probable cases is also useful. The multiplying factor helps approximating it.
Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Humans , COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2 , Bayes Theorem , COVID-19 Testing , Clinical Laboratory Techniques/methods , Immunoglobulin G/analysis , Immunoglobulin M/analysis , Antibodies, ViralABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: Preoperative information is a key to adherence to treatment for the patients, but may be misunderstood because of its density and complexity. The aim of this study was to assess comprehension and satisfaction of patients about preoperative information of benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH) surgery. Factors influencing patient understanding were also studied. PATIENTS AND METHODS: It was a monocentric study on questionnaires including every patients planned for BPH surgery, whatever the surgical technique. A survey was sent at patient's home after the preoperative consultation. RESULTS: One hundred and six of 210 patients (50,5 %) returned the questionnaire. 38,68 % (n=41) found the quality of information excellent (9 or 10 out of 10), and 45,28 % (n=48) found the quality of information good (7 or 8 out of 10). The main recalled complications were retrograde ejaculation (39.6 %, n=42/106), and bleeding (29,2 %, n=31/106). 57.6 % of patients (n=61) remembered receiving the written information sheet of the French Association of Urology. 5.7 % (n=6) hesitated having the procedure. Only patient's age was significantly associated with difference of comprehension (p<0.005). CONCLUSION: Information given before a BPH surgery seems satisfactory although it was poorly understood, notably about complications. Providing complete oral information, insisting on complications, and giving the written information sheet are essential for a good doctor-patient relationship and a forensic serenity. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 3.
Subject(s)
Patient Education as Topic/methods , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Preoperative Care/methods , Prostatic Hyperplasia/surgery , Age Factors , Comprehension , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Physician-Patient Relations , Surveys and QuestionnairesABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: From 2009 to 2013, the French colorectal cancer screening program (CRCSP) provided for a medical phase and a phase of systematic mailing of the test kit (SMTK) to people who could not participate in the medical phase. After 2013, the SMTK was abandoned in most districts. This study aims to analyze the impact of this termination. STUDY DESIGN: This was a descriptive and cohort study. METHODS: The study concerned a cohort of 143,989 people (aged 50-74 years) living in Seine-Saint-Denis (France), invited to participate in the 2013 campaign (with SMTK) and in the 2015 campaign (without SMTK). The impact of SMTK termination was analyzed in terms of the difference between the participation rates and between the delay (expected vs observed) in performing the screening test in 2015. These differences were described based on previous solicitation in the CRCSP. Expected rates and expected delay were estimated in a Monte Carlo simulation. RESULTS: The participation rate observed (20.0%) was higher than expected (16.1% [15.9-16.3]). People who have never had a SMTK between 2007 and 2013 (80.0% [79.3-80.7] vs 69.6%) and those who participated in all campaigns before 2015 (97.0% [96.7-97.3] vs 82.6%) had an observed rate lower than expected. The delay observed (4.2 months) was longer than expected (2.5 months). CONCLUSION: The sudden termination certainly contributed to the extension of the delay. However, it did not have a major impact on the participation rate, partly due to information campaigns on the new screening test. In this cohort, the low participation would be explained better by the behavior in the previous campaigns than by the lack of SMTK.
Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms/diagnosis , Colorectal Neoplasms/prevention & control , Early Detection of Cancer/statistics & numerical data , Mass Screening/statistics & numerical data , Postal Service , Aged , Cohort Studies , Female , France , Health Promotion , Humans , Male , Mass Screening/methods , Middle Aged , Occult Blood , Outcome Assessment, Health Care , Reagent Kits, DiagnosticABSTRACT
During outbreaks of hospital-acquired influenza-like illness (HA-ILI) healthcare workers (HCWs), patients, and visitors are each a source of infection for the other. Quantifying the effects of these various exposures will help improve prevention and control of HA-ILI outbreaks. We estimated the attributability of HA-ILI to: (1) exposure to recorded or unrecorded sources; (2) exposure to contagious patient or contagious HCW; (3) exposure during observable or unobservable contagious period of the recorded sources; and, (4) the moment of exposure. Among recorded sources, 59% [95% credible interval (CrI) 34-83] of HA-ILI of patients was associated with exposure to contagious patients and 41% (95% CrI 17-66) with exposure to contagious HCWs. Exposure during the unobservable contagiousness period of source patients accounted for 49% (95% CrI 19-75) of HA-ILI, while exposure during the unobservable contagiousness period of source HCWs accounted for 82% (95% CrI 51-99) of HA-ILI. About 80% of HA-ILIs were associated with exposure 1 day earlier. Secondary cases of HA-ILI might appear as soon as the day after the detection of a primary case highlighting the explosive nature of HA-ILI spread. Unobservable transmission was the main cause of HA-ILI transmission suggesting that symptom-based control measures alone might not prevent hospital outbreaks. The results support the rapid implementation of interventions to control influenza transmission.
Subject(s)
Cross Infection/epidemiology , Disease Outbreaks , Health Personnel , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Inpatients , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Cross Infection/transmission , Female , France/epidemiology , Humans , Influenza, Human/transmission , Male , Middle Aged , Prospective Studies , Risk , Young AdultABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: The aim of the study was to assess the added value of a prostatic MRI performed in a non-expert center before radical prostatectomy for prostate cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS: All patients considered for a radical prostatectomy for a clinically localised prostate cancer in our institution between June 2006 and April 2011 were analysed. They underwent a systematic endorectal 1.5 T MRI [eMRI] (T2 and diffusion-weighted imaging). The procedure was performed at least 8 weeks after transrectal ultrasound guided prostate biopsies. They were analyzed by a single experimented genitourinary radiologist. The preoperative characteristics and biopsy data were collected, as the eMRI interpretation using a systematic scale. Correlation between eMRI and final histopathology has been analyzed (standardized pathological report using the Stanford procedure). We considered the following points: extracapsular extension, seminal vesicle invasion and cancer localisation. Cancer localization was analyzed both by halves (left/right) and on sextant-basis (base, middle, apex, left and right respectively). For each data, sensitivity, specificity, positive (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) were calculated. Finally, we compared the results with those from the Partin's table and the Kattan's nomogram for T stage. RESULTS: Two hundred and fifteen patients underwent a radical prostatectomy, having a mean age of 63 ± 6 years, a mean PSA: 7.8 ± 3.8 ng/mL. One hundred and fifty-nine patients had organ confined disease. Fifty-six had pT3 disease (50 pT3a and 6 pT3b). Sensibilities and specificities were the following: for extracapsular extension 26% and 96%; for seminal vesicle invasion 17% and 98%; for cancer localisation 64% and 74%; for prediction of left or right side 81% and 48%. DISCUSSION: MRI showed equal performances compared to the Partin's table and the Kattan's nomogram for T stage. It showed lower performance compared to biopsy results for cancer localization (sensitivity 88%, specificity 70%). Literature provides wide ranges of results for eMRI. The results of this study were at the low limit of these ranges but reflect everyday practice. When performed, as it was in our study, eMRI did not seem to be accurate for staging. It had at best a very limited added value compared to the existing tools.
Subject(s)
Biomarkers, Tumor/blood , Magnetic Resonance Imaging, Interventional , Preoperative Care , Prostate-Specific Antigen/blood , Prostatectomy , Prostatic Neoplasms/diagnosis , Prostatic Neoplasms/surgery , Aged , Biopsy , Cohort Studies , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Neoplasm Grading , Neoplasm Staging , Predictive Value of Tests , Prostatic Neoplasms/blood , Retrospective Studies , Sensitivity and Specificity , Treatment OutcomeABSTRACT
The aims of this study were to describe the clinical, biological and radiological features of community-acquired (CA) Legionnaires' disease (LD) and identify the predictors of mortality in hospitalised patients. Demographic data, risk factors, clinical and biological features, medical management, complications, and outcome from 540 hospitalised patients with confirmed CA LD were prospectively recorded. 8.1% of patients (44 out of 540) died. The predictors of survival after Kaplan-Meier analysis were male sex (p = 0.01), age <60 yrs (p = 0.02), general symptoms (p = 0.006), intensive care unit (ICU) stay (p<0.001), and class II-III Pneumonia Severity Index score (p = 0.004). Six predictors of death were identified by multivariate analysis: age (per 10-yr increment) (relative hazard (RH) 1.50, 95% CI 1.21-1.87), female sex (RH 2.00, 95% CI 1.08-3.69), ICU admission (RH 3.31, 95% CI 1.67-6.56), renal failure (RH 2.73, 95% CI 1.42-5.27), corticosteroid therapy (RH 2.54, 95% CI 1.04-6.20) and C-reactive protein (CRP) >500 mg · L(-1) (RH 2.14, 95% CI 1.02-4.48). Appropriate antibiotic therapy was prescribed for 70.8% (292 out of 412) of patients after admission and for 99.8% (537 out of 538) of patients after diagnosis confirmation. In conclusion, female sex, age, ICU stay, renal failure, corticosteroid treatment and increased level of CRP are significant risk factors for mortality in CA LD.
Subject(s)
Community-Acquired Infections/mortality , Hospital Mortality/trends , Legionella pneumophila , Legionnaires' Disease/mortality , Adolescent , Adrenal Cortex Hormones/therapeutic use , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use , Community-Acquired Infections/drug therapy , Female , France/epidemiology , Humans , Kaplan-Meier Estimate , Legionnaires' Disease/drug therapy , Male , Middle Aged , Multivariate Analysis , Predictive Value of Tests , Prospective Studies , Risk Factors , Young AdultABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: As the prognosis for final height is unfavorable for children with idiopathic short stature (ISS), we studied the pubertal growth dynamics in these children, which is a determinant factor in final height. SUBJECTS/METHODS: In a retrospective cohort study, we analyzed the pubertal period, age of puberty and peripubertal growth in 50 children with ISS. RESULTS: The onset of puberty occurred later. Growth rate tended to become increasingly subnormal in the prepubertal period and height was -2.45 SD at puberty onset. Growth reaccelerated at this point, which tended to correct the deviation from the mean height, but it was insufficient to obtain a normal final height. CONCLUSIONS: The dynamics of growth in children with ISS showed a distinct pattern in the prepubertal and pubertal periods and puberty is significantly delayed in this population. These patterns could explain the unfavorable prognosis for children with ISS.
Subject(s)
Body Height/physiology , Growth Disorders/pathology , Puberty/physiology , Adolescent , Age Factors , Body Height/drug effects , Child , Child Development/physiology , Cohort Studies , Female , Growth Disorders/drug therapy , Growth Disorders/physiopathology , Human Growth Hormone/therapeutic use , Humans , Male , Menarche/physiology , Retrospective StudiesABSTRACT
In 1998, with the launch of the Senegalese Initiative for Antiretroviral Access (ISAARV), Senegal became one of the first African countries to propose an antiretroviral access program. Our objective in this paper is to study the time to any first drug resistance, as well as predictors of the time to resistance. We propose a joint model to study the effect of adherence to the HAART therapy, and virological response on the time to resistance mutations. A logistic mixed model is used to model the time-dependent adherence process; and a Markov model is used to study the virological response. Given the presence of missing data in the adherence process and in the virological response, the latent adherence and virological states are then included in the linear predictor of the time to resistance model. The proposed time to resistance model takes into account interval-censored data as well as null hazard periods, during which the viral replication is very low. A Bayesian approach is used for accommodating with missing data and for prediction. We also propose model checking tools to study model adequacy.
Subject(s)
Antiretroviral Therapy, Highly Active/standards , Drug Resistance, Viral/immunology , HIV Infections/immunology , HIV/immunology , Models, Immunological , Models, Statistical , Antiretroviral Therapy, Highly Active/psychology , Bayes Theorem , Cohort Studies , HIV Infections/drug therapy , HIV Infections/virology , Humans , Patient Compliance/psychology , RNA, Viral/blood , SenegalABSTRACT
UNLABELLED: There was 75% variation in the trend in hip fracture incidence with age in women aged 50 to 85 in France. In southwest France, the women are at higher risk of hip fracture at younger ages. This finding should be taken into account when examining risk factors. INTRODUCTION: Few studies have analysed the geographical variations in the relationship between age and hip fracture incidence. Our goal was to assess these variations among women under 85 within the same country. METHODS: The study population included women aged 50 to 85 who were living in France in 2004. Hip fracture cases were identified in the French Diagnosis Related Groups (DRG)-like database using the diagnosis code for closed hip fractures and procedural codes for treatment. The Moran index and a spatial model using latitude and longitude were used to assess the geographical heterogeneities of cumulative incidence risk (CIR) and age effect. RESULTS: A total of 29,218 hip fracture cases were identified. A south-to-north CIR gradient ranging from 7 to 16% was observed. The variation in the number of years until double hip fracture incidence was 75% (i.e. 1.49 to 2.57 years). In the south, and more markedly in southwest France, the women are at higher risk of hip fracture at a younger age. CONCLUSION: The risk of fracture may be different between women of the same age. This may be hidden in a comparison of standardised ratios. This finding should be considered when examining risk factors and implementing public health interventions.
Subject(s)
Hip Fractures/epidemiology , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Female , France/epidemiology , Humans , Incidence , Middle Aged , Population Surveillance/methods , Reference Values , Risk FactorsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND/AIMS: In diabetics with end-stage renal disease (ESRD), risk of death has been reported to be non-constant after the first dialysis, and different outcomes have been observed between genders. We assessed the impact of type 2 diabetes (T2DM) on mortality in dialysis regarding its differential effect by gender using time-dependent analyses. METHODS: All T2DM and non-diabetic (no-DM) patients who started dialysis in two renal units in Lyon, France, between January 1, 1995, and December 31, 2007, were included. In multivariate analyses, the Cox model and Shoenfeld residual approach were used to assess the effect of T2DM on dialysis mortality by gender. RESULTS: We included 235 T2DM (males: 57.9%) and 480 no-DM (males: 65.6%) patients. In males, the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for death in T2DM versus no-DM was 0.83 (p = 0.20) and was constant over time after the first renal replacement therapy (RRT) (p = 0.88). In females, aHR for death in T2DM versus no-DM patients was not constant over time (p = 0.002). It was 0.64 (p = 0.13) within the first year after the first RRT and 2.10 (p = 0.002) after the first year. Evolutions with time of these aHR by gender were significantly different (p = 0.009). CONCLUSIONS: T2DM was associated with death only in females. This association was not constant over time after the first dialysis.
Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/mortality , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/rehabilitation , Kidney Failure, Chronic/mortality , Kidney Failure, Chronic/rehabilitation , Proportional Hazards Models , Renal Dialysis/mortality , Aged , Comorbidity , Female , France/epidemiology , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Factors , Sex Distribution , Survival Analysis , Survival RateABSTRACT
Monthly serological testing is mandatory in France for pregnant women not immune to toxoplasmosis. We assessed for the first time the adherence to this national programme, using data from antenatal tests for Toxoplasma antibodies collected by the Union of Health Insurance Services in the French Rhone-Alpes region.
Subject(s)
Guideline Adherence/statistics & numerical data , Mass Screening/statistics & numerical data , Mass Screening/standards , Pregnancy Complications, Parasitic/diagnosis , Pregnancy Complications, Parasitic/epidemiology , Toxoplasmosis, Congenital/diagnosis , Toxoplasmosis, Congenital/epidemiology , Female , France/epidemiology , Humans , Infant, Newborn , Pregnancy , PrevalenceABSTRACT
Background: With the increase of life expectancy, *On behalf of the REIN registry. end-stage renal disease (ESRD) is affecting a growing number of people. Simultaneously, renal replacement therapies (RRTs) have considerably improved patient survival. We investigated the way current RRT practices would affect patients' survival. Methods: We used a multi-state model to represent the transitions between RRTs and the transition to death. The concept of "crude probability of death" combined with this model allowed estimating the proportions of ESRD-related and ESRD-unrelated deaths. Estimating the ESRD-related death rate requires comparing the mortality rate between ESRD patients and the general population. Predicting patients' courses through RRTs and Death states could be obtained by solving a system of Kolmogorov differential equations. The impact of practice on patient survival was quantified using the restricted mean survival time (RMST) which was compared with that of healthy subjects with same characteristics. Results: The crude probability of ESRD-unrelated death was nearly zero in the youngest patients (18-45 years) but was a sizeable part of deaths in the oldest (≥70 years). Moreover, in the oldest patients, the proportion of expected death was higher in patient without vs. with diabetes because the former live older. In men aged 75 years at first RRT, the predicted RMSTs in patients with and without diabetes were, respectively, 61% and 69% those of comparable healthy men. Conclusion: Using the concept of "crude probability of death" with multi-state models is feasible and useful to assess the relative benefits of various treatments in ESRD and help patient long-term management.
Subject(s)
Kidney Failure, Chronic/mortality , Kidney Failure, Chronic/therapy , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Models, Statistical , Registries , Renal Replacement Therapy , Survival Rate , Young AdultABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: To estimate the probabilities of intrapartum and postpartum HIV-1 mother-to-child-transmission according to various feeding practices (formula feeding, exclusive breastfeeding, or mixed-feeding) and to other mother and infant covariates. METHODS: We used the promotion time model extended to multiple exposures to study the probability of infection attributable to each transmission occasion. Blood samples from 551 infants from Durban (South Africa) born to HIV-1 positive untreated mothers between 1995 and 1998 were sequentially tested until 15 months. RESULTS: The probability of infection attributable to in utero and intrapartum transmission was 21.88% (18.71-25.20) and was not significantly associated with the feeding practice. The probability of infection attributable to postnatal transmission through exclusive breastfeeding was negligible -0.7% (0-2.5) for 6 months of exclusive breastfeeding-- in comparison with that observed with mixed-feeding -6.15% (3.16-9.57) for 6 months of mixed-feeding. Maternal CD4 cell count and gestational age were significant predictors of intrapartum transmission probability while maternal CD4 cell count and maternal haemoglobin concentration were significant predictors of postpartum transmission probability. CONCLUSION: Decisions about appropriate infant feeding practices should take into account the difference in postpartum transmission risk between exclusive and mixed-feeding. Mixed-feeding should be all the more avoided that mothers have poor immunological statuses and low haemoglobin concentrations.
Subject(s)
Bottle Feeding , Breast Feeding , HIV Infections/transmission , HIV-1 , Infectious Disease Transmission, Vertical , Adult , CD4 Lymphocyte Count , Female , Gestational Age , HIV Infections/blood , HIV Infections/immunology , Hemoglobins/chemistry , Humans , Infant , Infant Food , Infant, Newborn , Male , Pregnancy , Risk Factors , South AfricaABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: For hospitalizations in rehabilitation centers (RCs) in France, the quantification of healthcare givers' activity is based on the dependency of the patients, defined as a total or partial inability to perform activities required for daily living without help. The tools currently used to quantify dependency are not sufficiently precise. Here we describe the construction of a new tool, the SOFMER Activity Score (SAS scoring), which allows for a good description of the level of activity of patients hospitalized in RCs, and a feasibility study of the tool. METHODS: After a study group proposed the first version of the SAS, the validity of its content was studied by the Delphi consensus method: 26 physicians or healthcare professionals known for their expertise in PMR responded to the first round. The feasibility study was prospective and involved multi-site professionals. Data related to the SAS determined by a multidisciplinary team were collected and compared to the Activité de la Vie Quotidienne (AVQ) scale, which is administered to all patients and included in medical and administrative data. RESULTS: We included 81 patients in the feasibility study. The mean (SD) time to obtain the SAS was 4.5 (3.3) min. For 97.5% of scorings, the participating professionals judged that the SAS was compatible or fairly compatible with clinical practice. The internal structure of the SAS scale seemed better than that of the AVQ scale, for which the present study confirmed a floor effect for all items. CONCLUSIONS: The SAS allows for measuring the level of physical and cognitive activity of a patient hospitalized in an RC. If validation studies for the SAS, exploring its reliability, construct validity or criterion validity, confirm the tool's good metrological qualities, the SAS will allow for a good quantification of the burden of care.
Subject(s)
Cognition , Disability Evaluation , Exercise , Rehabilitation Centers , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Delphi Technique , Feasibility Studies , Female , France , Humans , Inpatients , Male , Middle Aged , Prospective Studies , Young AdultABSTRACT
The aim of this study was to estimate temporal trends in the incidence of surgical site infection (SSI) using a large SSI surveillance network in southeast France from 1995 to 2003. Data were analysed from 187 surgical wards that had participated in the network for at least two years. The change in SSI rate over time was modelled using a hierarchical logistic regression model with patients clustered within surgical wards. Of the 200 207 patients selected, 3786 (1.9%) had an SSI. The nine-year trend in SSI rate estimated by an odds ratio of 0.95 (95% confidence interval 0.93-0.97) was interpreted as a 5% decrease in SSI rate per year. This decrease was constant over the study period and was observed for almost all of the different types of surgical operations (orthopaedic, gastrointestinal, urology, etc). Overall SSI rates were reduced by 45% over a period of nine years. This trend was maintained even when taking into account the heterogeneity of the surgical wards and the diversity of patient demographics over time. From this, the 5% decrease per year can be reasonably interpreted as a result of preventive measures taken by surgical wards to reduce SSIs.
Subject(s)
Cross Infection/epidemiology , Surgical Wound Infection/epidemiology , Female , France/epidemiology , Humans , Incidence , Infection Control/methods , Logistic Models , Male , Middle Aged , Models, StatisticalABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether carriage of multidrug-resistant bacteria is a risk factor for nosocomial infection and whether detection of carriage is predictive of subsequent onset of nosocomial infection. METHODS: In this observational cohort (study period, June 1998 through October 2002), nasal and rectal swab specimens from 412 consecutive patients admitted to the intensive care unit were tested for carriage of multidrug-resistant bacteria. Concomitantly, the bacteria responsible for any subsequent nosocomial infection, the date of infection, and some of the known clinical risk factors for nosocomial infection were noted. These factors were adjusted for potential confounders, using a Cox model stratified on the propensity score of multidrug-resistant bacteria carriage. The diagnostic characteristics of a carriage test, including the positive and negative diagnostic likelihood ratios, were calculated for all strata of the propensity score. RESULTS: Forty-two patients were carrying multidrug-resistant bacteria. Nosocomial infection occurred in 95 patients, of whom 16 (38%) were carriers, and 79 (83%) were noncarriers (P=.01). After adjustment for potential confounders, statistical analysis revealed that carriage remained a risk factor for nosocomial infection (relative risk, 2.08 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 1.13-3.81]). Receipt of antibiotic treatment at the time of intensive care unit admission was found to be protective against nosocomial infection. A positive result of test for detection of carriage seemed to be an efficient predictor of subsequent nosocomial infection (positive diagnostic likelihood ratio, 2.05 [95% CI, 1.15-3.66]), although a negative test result was not a predictor of subsequent nosocomial infection (negative likelihood ratio, 0.91 [95% CI, 0.73-1.11]). CONCLUSION: Carriage proved to be a risk factor for subsequent nosocomial infection. However, the carriage test was useful as a predictive tool only for patients with a positive test result.
Subject(s)
Bacterial Infections/diagnosis , Carrier State/microbiology , Cross Infection/diagnosis , Drug Resistance, Multiple, Bacterial , Gram-Negative Bacteria/isolation & purification , Gram-Positive Bacteria/isolation & purification , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Bacterial Infections/microbiology , Carrier State/diagnosis , Cross Infection/microbiology , Female , France , Gram-Negative Bacteria/drug effects , Gram-Positive Bacteria/drug effects , Humans , Intensive Care Units , Male , Middle Aged , Predictive Value of Tests , Proportional Hazards Models , Risk FactorsABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: In French national claims databases, claims are currently anonymous i.e. not linked to individual patients. In order to improve our estimate of the medical activity related to cancer in one French region, a statistical method was developed to use claims data to assess the number of cancer patients hospitalized in acute care. METHODS: This method used the medical and administrative information available in the claims (i.e. age, primary site, length of stay) to predict an average number of stays per patient, followed by a number of patients. It was based on a two-phase study design using an internal dataset which contained personal identifiers to estimate the model parameters. RESULTS: The predicted number of acute care patients hospitalized in one or several health care centers in one French region was 38,109 with a 95% predictive interval (37,990; 38,228) for the first six months of 2002. A prediction error of 24 per thousand was found. CONCLUSION: We provide a good estimate of the morbidity in acute care hospitals using claims data that is not linked to individual patients. This estimate reflects the medical activity and can be used to anticipate acute care needs.
Subject(s)
Geography , Hospitalization , Insurance Claim Reporting , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Patient Identification Systems , Population Surveillance/methods , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Child , Child, Preschool , Databases as Topic , Female , France/epidemiology , Humans , Infant , Male , Middle Aged , Models, StatisticalABSTRACT
UNLABELLED: Giant cell arteritis is the most frequent vasculitis. Cardiovascular events such as cerebrovascular accident or ischemic heart disease may occur in patients with giant cell arteritis. However, their real incidence, as well as their relative risk compared to the general population, remains unknown. PURPOSE: To assess in a prospective, double cohort study, the incidence of cardiovascular events in giant cell arteritis patients compared to controls, after controlling for cardiovascular risk factors. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We included on predefined criteria 432 newly diagnosed patients with giant cell arteritis, each assigned to sex- and age-matched controls randomly selected from the general population. Cardiovascular risk factors (high-blood pressure, diabetes, smoking, hypercholesterolemia and preexisting peripheral vascular disease) were collected at inclusion. During the 24-month follow-up, all cardiovascular events were collected. After stratification for cardiovascular risk factors, a log-rank test was performed to compare cases and controls. A parametric survival model was used for multivariate analysis. RESULTS: Cardiovascular events all combined were significantly increased in patients with giant cell arteritis (RR = 2.15 [1.21-3.81], P = 0.009), and were mainly associated with age (P = 0.0001), past history of cardiovascular disease (P = 0.023) but also with giant cell arteritis (P = 0.009). However, each subset of cerebrovascular accident (RR = 2.42 [0.84-7]) or ischemic heart disease (RR = 1.67 [0.72-3.89]) increased but did not significantly. CONCLUSION: Cardiovascular events incidence is increased in patients with giant cell arteritis, and prescription of preventive antiagregant treatment may be discussed.
Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Cardiovascular Diseases/etiology , Giant Cell Arteritis/complications , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Case-Control Studies , Female , Humans , Incidence , Male , Middle Aged , Risk FactorsABSTRACT
PURPOSE OF THE STUDY: Reconstruction of the anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) is a common procedure, but use of lateral reinforcement is still a subject of debate. The purpose of this study was to compare two randomized series of ACL reconstructions, one using an intra-articular method (patellar tendon autograft) and the other an intra- and extra-articular method (Mac-InJones). MATERIAL AND METHODS: From January 1995 to March 1998, 63 knees underwent surgery for ACL reconstruction. Inclusion criteria was significant medial differential laxity measured between 7 and 12 mm on passive dynamic x-rays as 20 degrees flexion. Group 1 (patellar tendon intra-articular reconstruction) included 34 patients (27.1+/-7.5 years) and group 2 (intra-articular reconstruction plus extra-articular quadircipital tendon plasty) included 29 patients (28.5+/-12 years). The IKDC score was determined for 72% of the knees in group 1 and 68% in group 2 at seven years follow-up on average (102 and 93 months respectively). Anterior laxity was measured radiographically and with KT-1000. The position of the tunnels was controlled using the Aglietti method. RESULTS: The subjective functional score was 83.6+/-3.5 in group 1 and 83.5+/-3.5 in group 2. The overall IKDC knee score classes for group 1 were 0% A, 52.4% B, 28.6% C, and 19% D and for group 2 were 5.5% group A, 50% group B, 33.3% group C, and 11.1% group D. In group 1, the pivot test was negative in 61.9% and noted stage 1 in 28.6% and stage 2 in 9.5%. In group 2, the pivot test was negative in 78.9% and noted stage 1 in 15.8% and stage 2 in 5.3%. The KT-1000 showed no difference in gain in laxity: 31% for group 1 and 27% for group 2. Similarly, radiographically there was no difference with a 43.9% gain in differential laxity for the medial compartment and 45.3% for the lateral compartment in group 1. In group 2 the corresponding values were 51.9% and 41.8%. The position of the tunnels was the same in the two groups. DISCUSSION: In a preliminary study with two years follow-up, the results in these two series were not significantly different. It was concluded that there was not clear advantage to adding the extra-articular lateral plasty. At the present 7-year follow-up, pivoting appears to be better controlled in the lateral plasty group (p=0.23), but with no significant difference for laxity for both knee compartments. The inclusion criteria would be different today and would be based on the laxity of the lateral compartment.
Subject(s)
Anterior Cruciate Ligament Injuries , Anterior Cruciate Ligament/surgery , Patellar Ligament/transplantation , Adult , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Male , Orthopedic Procedures/methods , Prospective Studies , Time FactorsABSTRACT
High-intensity ultrasound has been used to treat Dunning R3327 prostatic adenocarcinoma implanted s.c. in Fischer Copenhagen rats. Focused ultrasound was generated with a 1-MHz transducer and energy was provided by a 7.5-kW power amplifier. Seventy-four rats were treated using two different sublines of Dunning tumor. Study 1 dealt with 49 rats with the Mat-Ly-Lu subline, treated with acoustic intensities ranging from 300 to 2750 W/cm2. Of the 49 rats in Study 1, 30 had complete tumor necrosis and 19 had no effect; of the 30 who had complete local tumor necrosis, 14 had local relapse, 9 had distance metastases to lung and nodes without local occurrence, and 7 remained free of tumor and were still alive 12 months after treatment. In Study 2, 25 rats with AT2 subline were treated with an intensity of 820 W/cm2. Similarly for Study 2, there was complete local tumor necrosis in 24 of 25 animals, with local regrowth in 7 of 24 and no recurrence of metastasis in the remaining 16 after a follow-up of 3 months. These results suggested that high-intensity focused ultrasound could be useful for the treatment of small localized cancerous tumors such as low-grade prostate carcinoma.