Perspective on donor-derived infections in Italy.

BACKGROUND: Expected and unexpected donor-derived infections (DDI) are a rare event in solid organ transplant (SOT) recipients but are potentially associated with significant morbidity and mortality. To assure the microbial safety of transplantation, both national guidelines and the current, regional, and local epidemiology of infectious diseases must be considered. METHODS: In the present paper the strategies adopted by the Italian National Center for Transplantation (CNT) since 2003 and their evolution to guarantee the safety of organ transplantation are reported. Starting in 2012 mandatory reporting to the CNT of all adverse reactions was started. The number and type of DDI reported to the CNT are currently being analyzed. RESULTS: The infectious diseases second opinion has written and updated the guidelines on the safety of organs for transplantation and supported the Italian transplant network for the use of organs from donors with suspected or documented potentially transmissible infections. CONCLUSION: A transplant safety network was developed in Italy in 2003 and has been updated according to the evolving knowledge and the changing epidemiology. This is an evolving field, and a continuous update of the recommendation is needed.

Perspectives on donor-derived infections from the Notify Library.

It is impossible to eliminate the potential for transmission of donor-derived infections (DDI) when using medical products of human origin (MPHO). However, a thoughtful and systematic approach to donor evaluation can mitigate the risk. Prevention is a key issue, and physicians must maintain a high index of suspicion and remain vigilant in evaluating MPHO donors or recipients, as well as stay current on emerging infections. Biovigilance is the systematic monitoring of serious adverse reactions and events (SARE) that ensures the quality and safety of MPHO in transplantation. The Notify Library with its 2808 references is an available didactic tool that could support physicians in donor or recipient evaluation, inform biovigilance activity, and benefit the international scientific community. It provides free access to a large collection of many different types of SARE, identified mainly through the review of published articles and case reports from national or regional surveillance programs. The Notify Library includes many well-documented records of SARE in the field of DDI, representing a useful tool for assessing SARE associated with transplantation. It is continuously updated with new records, especially when a new type of incident is first reported. All types of described incidents may have educational value while guiding detection, investigation, or risk management. Sharing the lessons learned from these incidents represents an important educational opportunity that can help improve organ donation processes and achieve higher standards of quality and safety.

Impact of Sars-CoV-2 pandemic on the Veneto Region multitissue bank activity.

Covid pandemic affected donation activities worldwide, especially for living donation due to the lack of elective surgery. Moreover, the number of heart-beating and non-heart beating donors has recorded a decrease. Fondazione Banca dei Tessuti di Treviso (FBTV) is a non-profit healthcare organisation, located in Veneto Region, tasked with procurement, processing, preserving, validating and distributing human tissue for clinical use. During Covid-19 outbreak, operations in FBTV have never stopped and a great effort was required to maintain a standard trend of activity. The aim of this study was to describe the impact of Sars-CoV-2 on the activity of a multitissue bank in Italy. Moreover, we investigated the presence of the virus in tissues retrieved from two Sars-CoV-2 positive cadaver donors. Our survey demonstrated that the transplantation network of Veneto Region has positively reacted to the pandemic scenario, thanks to the effort of all personnel involved. Statistical analyses underlined that most of the activities of the tissue bank were unaffected during the Sars-CoV-2 pandemic.

Rapid screening for malignancy in organ donors: 15-year experience with the Verona "Alert" protocol and review of the literature.

BACKGROUND: Prevention of transmission of malignancy from donors to recipients is an aim of donor assessment. We report the most stringent interpretation of the Italian National Guidelines. METHODS: A two-step ALERT process was used: ALERT1 consisting of clinical, radiological, and laboratory tests; ALERT2, consisting of intraoperative assessment in suspicious lesions. RESULTS: Four hundred of 506 potential deceased donors entered the ALERT system. Forty-one of 400 (10%) donors were excluded due to unacceptable risk of transmission. Of the remaining 359 193 required histopathology, which excluded malignancy or determined acceptable risk in 161/193 (83%). Thirty-five malignancies were identified: 19 (54%) at ALERT1, four (11%) at ALERT2, nine (26%) picked up at ALERT1 and confirmed by ALERT2. Three (9%) were missed by ALERT and diagnosed at postmortem examination. Prostate (n=12%, 34%) and renal cell (n=7%, 20%) were the most frequent carcinomas. The majority (92%) of prostate adenocarcinomas were of low risk and donation proceeded compared to 43% of renal carcinomas. Four renal carcinomas, two breast carcinomas, and a single case of nine different malignancies excluded donation. Positive ALERT donors had statistically more malignant reports than negative ALERT donors (P=<.05). CONCLUSION: Histopathology is an essential component of the multidisciplinary assessment of donors.

Interventricular conduction disorders after orthotopic heart transplantation: risk factors and clinical relevance.

BACKGROUND: Causes and significance of interventricular conduction disorders (IVCDs) after orthotopic heart transplantation (OHT) are still unknown. METHODS: We retrospectively researched the presence of IVCDs in 240 patients who underwent bicaval OHT in three time periods: at day 1, after 1 year, and after 3 years from OHT. To evaluate the impact of the surgical technique, a control population treated with biatrial anastomosis was used. RESULTS: The most common IVCD was right bundle branch block (RBBB). Its presence at day 1 correlated with transpulmonary gradient before OHT. Its presence after 1 year and its development correlated with a 1-month acute rejection score≥2 (p = .050 and p = .006). The incidence of RBBB was higher in the biatrial control population (40.7% vs 23.8%, p < .001). CONCLUSIONS: RBBB is the most common IVCD. Its presence can be explained by a susceptibility of the right branch to heart positioning, pressure overload, and acute rejection. IVCDs do not affect prognosis.

The role of an integrated referral program for patients with liver disease: A network between hub and spoke centers.

INTRODUCTION: Access to Liver transplantation (LT) can be affected by several barriers, resulting in delayed referral and increased risk of mortality due to complications of the underlying liver disease. AIM: To assess the clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients with acute or chronic liver disease referred using an integrated referral program. MATERIALS AND METHODS: An integrated referral program was developed in 1 October 2017 based on email addresses and a 24/7 telephone availability. All consecutive adult patients with liver disease referred for the first time using this referral program were prospectively collected until 1 October 2021. Characteristics and outcomes of inpatients were compared with a historical cohort of patients referred without using the integrated referral program (1 October 2015-1 October 2017). Patients were further divided according to pre- and post-Covid-19 pandemic. RESULTS: Two hundred eighty-one referred patients were considered. End stage liver disease was the most common underlying condition (79.3%), 50.5% of patients were referred as inpatients and 74.7% were referred for LT evaluation. When inpatient referrals (n = 142) were compared with the historical cohort (n = 86), a significant increase in acute liver injury due to drugs/herbals and supplements was seen (p = 0.01) as well as an increase in End stage liver disease due to alcohol-related liver disease and NASH, although not statistically significant. A significant increase in referrals for evaluation for Trans-jugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt placement was seen over time (5.6% vs. 1%; p = 0.01) as well as for LT evaluation (84.5% vs. 81%; p = 0.01). Transplant-free survival was similar between the study and control groups (p = 0.3). The Covid-19 pandemic did not affect trends of referrals and patient survival. CONCLUSIONS: The development of an integrated referral program for patients with liver disease can represent the first step to standardize already existing referral networks between hub and spoke centers. Future studies should focus on the timing of referral according to different etiologies to optimize treatment options and outcomes.

Successful Recovery of Cardiac Function Following 20 min of a No-touch Period in a Donation After Circulatory Death: A Case Report.

BACKGROUND: Withdrawal of life-sustaining therapy (WLST) performed in the circulatory determination of death (DCD) donors leads to cardiac arrest, challenging the utilization of the myocardium for transplantation. The rapid initiation of normothermic regional perfusion or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation after death helps to optimize organs before implantation. However, additional strategies to mitigate the effects of stress response during WLST, hypoxic/ischemic injury, and reperfusion injury are required to allow myocardium recovery. METHODS: To this aim, our team routinely used a preconditioning protocol for each DCD donation before and during the WLST and after normothermic regional perfusion/extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. The protocol includes pharmacological treatments combined to reduce oxidative stress (melatonin, N -acetylcysteine, and ascorbic acid), improve microcirculation (statins), and mitigate organ's ischemic injury (steroids) and organ ischemia/reperfusion injury (remifentanil and sevoflurane when the heart is available for transplantation). RESULTS: This report presents the first case of recovery of cardiac function, with the only support of normothermic regional reperfusion, following 20 min of a no-touch period and 41 min of functional warm ischemic time in a DCD donor after the preconditioning protocol. CONCLUSIONS: Our protocol seems to be effective in abolishing the stress response during WLST and, on the other hand, particularly organ protective (and heart protective), giving a chance to donate organs less impaired from ischemia/reperfusion injury.

Overcoming the Boundaries of Heart Warm Ischemia in Donation After Circulatory Death: The Padua Case.

A 45 year old male obese patient with a previous history of repaired congenital heart disease developed worsening heart failure making heart transplantation listing mandatory. Unfortunately, due to his anthropometric measures, the search for a suitable brain-dead donor was unsuccessful. For this reason, he accepted to be enrolled in the controlled donation after circulatory death (cDCD) program. According to the Italian Law regulating death declaration after cardiac arrest (no-touch period of 20 minutes-one of the longest in the world), we faced a 34 minute cardiac asystole, after which the heart was recovered through a thoraco-abdominal normothermic regional perfusion excluding the epiaortic vessels. The heart was then preserved by means of cold static storage. Heart transplantation was performed successfully without any signs of primary graft failure. Postoperative endomyocardial biopsies were negative for acute cellular and antibody-mediated rejection. Furthermore, echocardiographic and cardiac magnetic resonance evaluation of the heart did not show any functional abnormalities. The patient was discharged on post-operative day (POD) #39 in good clinical conditions.

Erectile dysfunction, penile atherosclerosis, and coronary artery vasculopathy in heart transplant recipients.

INTRODUCTION: Vascular erectile dysfunction (ED) is the expression of a systemic vascular disease and in particular of endothelial dysfunction. Dysfunctional endothelium plays also a significant role in the onset and progression of coronary artery vasculopathy (CAV). AIM: This pilot study was designed to evaluate the prevalence and pathogenesis of ED and its correlation with CAV in heart transplanted male. METHODS: A total of 77 male heart transplanted patients (HTx) evaluated in our center (mean age 61.6 + 10.6 years) were enrolled in the study. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: All subjects underwent accurate medical history collection, including lifestyle (cigarette smoking, dietary and sedentary habits, drug intake, and erectile function before cardiac transplantation), physical examination (body mass index and arterial pressure), biochemical blood tests (fasting glucose, total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and triglycerides), and hormones (prolactin, luteinizing hormone and total testosterone). Furthermore, they were studied with penile, carotid, femoral echo-color Doppler ultrasonography and coronary angiogram. RESULTS: Incidence of ED was 24% before HTx and increased up to 65% after. Postischemic cardiomiopathy was an indication to HTx in ED group more frequently than in patients without ED (No-ED group) (45.1% vs. 20%). ED patients showed a lower peak systolic velocity, a higher cavernosal intima-media thickness (IMT), a higher prevalence of cavernosal plaques (26.7% vs. 5.2%, P < 0.05), peripheral vascular disease (60.87% vs. 26.1%, P < 0.05) and CAV (45.8% vs. 25.8%, P < 0.05) with respect to No-ED patients. Coronary flow reserve was significantly reduced in ED vs. No-ED patients (2.43 + 0.7 vs. 2.9 + 0.8, P < 0.04). Finally, cavernous plaque and testosterone plasma levels were statistically associated with CAV. CONCLUSIONS: We showed that ED is a frequent disease in HTx patients, more common when the original pathology is postischemic cardiomiopathy and associated with higher prevalence of cavernous plaques and CAV. Its evaluation should be integral to an HTx rehab program.

Organ procurement requiring the authorization of the judicial authority. An epidemiological investigation in the Veneto region (Italy).

BACKGROUND: When death occurs through a mechanism requiring a forensic investigation, consent for organ harvesting must be sought from the Judicial Authority (JA). AIM: To perform a retrospective study of potential organ donors in the Veneto region over a six-year period (2012-2017), analysing any differences between cases in which the JA approved or denied organ harvesting. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Both non-heart beating (NHB) and heart beating (HB) donors were included. For HB cases, personal and clinical data were collected. To evaluate the correlation between the JA response and the circumstantial and clinical data a logistic multivariate analysis was performed, estimating the adjusted odds ratios (adjORs). RESULTS: Between 2012 and 2017, 17,662 organ and/or tissue donors were included, of which 16,418 were NHB donors and 1,244 HB-donors. Among the 1,244 HB-donors, JA authorization was asked in 200 cases (16.1%), approved in 154 cases (77.0%), limited in 7 cases (3.5%) and denied in 39 cases (19.5%). The JA denied the authorization for organ harvesting in 53,3% of cases with hospitalizations of less than 1 day and in 9,4% of cases with hospitalization exceeding one week [adjOR(95%CI) = 10.67 (1.92-59.22)]. The performance of an autopsy was linked to a higher chance of denied outcome from the JA [adjOR(95%CI): 3.45 (1.42-8.39)]. CONCLUSIONS: Improvements in the communication between organ procurement organizations and the JA through efficient protocols furnishing detailed information on the cause of death might lead to a better procurement process with an increase in the number of transplanted organs.

Human cytomegalovirus and Epstein-Barr virus infections occurring early after transplantation are risk factors for antibody-mediated rejection in heart transplant recipients.

Background: Antibody-mediated rejection (AMR) is a serious complication affecting the survival of patients receiving transplantation. Human cytomegalovirus (CMV) and Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) are common viral infections that occur after transplantation, frequently emerging as viral reactivation in donor grafts or transplant recipients. The present study aimed to investigate the association between CMV and EBV infections and early-onset AMR. Materials and methods: This study was conducted at the Heart Transplantation Center of Padova General Hospital and included a cohort of 47 heart transplant recipients (HTxs), including 24 HTxs diagnosed with AMR and 23 control HTxs with no episodes of AMR. Only early cases of CMV and/or EBV infections (1-90 days after transplantation) were considered. Fisher's exact test and logistic regression analysis were used to statistically analyze the correlation and association between AMR and CMV or EBV infection. Results: We observed a positive statistical association between CMV and EBV infections (two-sided Fisher's exact test, p = 0.0136) and between EBV infection and AMR (two-sided Fisher's exact test, p = 0.0034). Logistic regression analysis revealed a direct statistical association between CMV and EBV infections and AMR risk (p = 0.037 and 0.006 and odds ratio = 1.72 and 2.19, respectively). AMR occurrence was associated with increased viral loads of both CMV and EBV early after transplantation. Discussion: These findings suggest the role of CMV and EBV infections as relevant risk factors for AMR in HTxs for the first time.

Using machine learning to predict antibody response to SARS-CoV-2 vaccination in solid organ transplant recipients: the multicentre ORCHESTRA cohort.

OBJECTIVES: The study aim was to assess predictors of negative antibody response (AbR) in solid organ transplant (SOT) recipients after the first booster of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination. METHODS: Solid organ transplant recipients receiving SARS-CoV-2 vaccination were prospectively enrolled (March 2021-January 2022) at six hospitals in Italy and Spain. AbR was assessed at first dose (t0), second dose (t1), 3 ± 1 month (t2), and 1 month after third dose (t3). Negative AbR at t3 was defined as an anti-receptor binding domain titre <45 BAU/mL. Machine learning models were developed to predict the individual risk of negative (vs. positive) AbR using age, type of transplant, time between transplant and vaccination, immunosuppressive drugs, type of vaccine, and graft function as covariates, subsequently assessed using a validation cohort. RESULTS: Overall, 1615 SOT recipients (1072 [66.3%] males; mean age±standard deviation [SD], 57.85 ± 13.77) were enrolled, and 1211 received three vaccination doses. Negative AbR rate decreased from 93.66% (886/946) to 21.90% (202/923) from t0 to t3. Univariate analysis showed that older patients (mean age, 60.21 ± 11.51 vs. 58.11 ± 13.08), anti-metabolites (57.9% vs. 35.1%), steroids (52.9% vs. 38.5%), recent transplantation (<3 years) (17.8% vs. 2.3%), and kidney, heart, or lung compared with liver transplantation (25%, 31.8%, 30.4% vs. 5.5%) had a higher likelihood of negative AbR. Machine learning (ML) algorithms showing best prediction performance were logistic regression (precision-recall curve-PRAUC mean 0.37 [95%CI 0.36-0.39]) and k-Nearest Neighbours (PRAUC 0.36 [0.35-0.37]). DISCUSSION: Almost a quarter of SOT recipients showed negative AbR after first booster dosage. Unfortunately, clinical information cannot efficiently predict negative AbR even with ML algorithms.

Human cytomegalovirus-specific T-cell immune reconstitution in preemptively treated heart transplant recipients identifies subjects at critical risk for infection.

Human cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection represents a major threat for heart transplant recipients (HTXs). CMV-specific T cells effectively control virus infection, and thus, assessment of antiviral immune recovery may have clinical utility in identifying HTXs at risk of infection. In this study, 10 CMV-seropositive (R(+)) pretransplant patients and 48 preemptively treated R(+) HTXs were examined before and after 100 days posttransplant. Preemptive treatment is supposed to favor the immune recovery. CMV DNAemia and gamma interferon enzyme-linked immunosorbent spot (ELISPOT) assay were employed to assess the viremia and immune reconstitution. HTXs could be categorized into three groups characterized by high (>100), medium (50 to 100), and low (<50) spot levels. Early-identified high responders efficiently controlled the infection and also maintained high immunity levels after 100 days after transplant. No episodes of grade ≥2R rejection occurred in the high responders. Midresponders were identified as a group with heterogeneous trends of immune reconstitution. Low responders were 41% and 21% of HTXs before and after 100 days posttransplant, respectively. Low responders were associated with a higher incidence of infection. The effect of viremia on immune recovery was investigated: a statistically significant inverse correlation between magnitude of viremia and immune recovery emerged; in particular, each 10-fold increase in viremia (>4 log(10) DNAemia/ml) was associated with a 36% decrease of the ELISPOT assay spot levels. All episodes of high viremia (>4 log(10) DNAemia/ml) occurred from 1 to 60 days after transplant. Thus, the concomitant evaluation of viremia and CMV immune reconstitution has clinical utility in identifying HTXs at risk of infection and may represent a helpful guide in making therapeutic choices.

Marginal versus Standard Donors in Heart Transplantation: Proper Selection Means Heart Transplant Benefit.

BACKGROUND: In this study, we assessed the mid-term outcomes of patients who received a heart donation from a marginal donor (MD), and compared them with those who received an organ from a standard donor (SD). METHODS: All patients who underwent HTx between January 2012 and December 2020 were enrolled at a single institution. The primary endpoints were early and long-term survival of MD recipients. Risk factors for primary graft failure (PGF) and mortality in MD recipients were also analyzed. The secondary endpoint was the comparison of survival of MD versus SD recipients. RESULTS: In total, 238 patients underwent HTx, 64 (26.9%) of whom received an organ from an MD. Hospital mortality in the MD recipient cohort was 23%, with an estimated 1 and 5-year survival of 70% (59.2-82.7) and 68.1% (57.1-81), respectively. A multivariate analysis in MD recipients showed that decreased renal function and increased inotropic support of recipients were associated with higher mortality (p = 0.04 and p = 0.03). Cold ischemic time (p = 0.03) and increased donor inotropic support (p = 0.04) were independent risk factors for PGF. Overall survival was higher in SD than MD (85% vs. 68% at 5 years, log-rank = 0.008). However, risk-adjusted mortality (p = 0.2) and 5-year conditional survival (log-rank = 0.6) were comparable. CONCLUSIONS: Selected MDs are a valuable resource for expanding the cardiac donor pool, showing promising results. The use of MDs after prolonged ischemic times, increased inotropic support of the MD or the recipient and decreased renal function are associated with worse outcomes.

Rapid spread of a new West Nile virus lineage 1 associated with increased risk of neuroinvasive disease during a large outbreak in northern Italy, 2022: One Health analysis.

BACKGROUND: A new strain of WNV lineage 1 (WNV - 1) emerged in the Veneto Region, northern Italy, in 2021, eight years after the last outbreak of WNV - 1 in Italy. The virus, which co-circulates with WNV-2, has become endemic in the Region, where, in 2022, most human cases of neuroinvasive disease (WNND) reported in Europe have occurred. METHODS: Comparative analysis of the epidemiology and clinical presentation of WNV-1 and WNV-2 infection in humans, as well as the temporal and geographic distribution of WNV-1 and WNV-2 among wild birds and Culex pipiens mosquitoes in Veneto, from May 16th to August 21st, 2022, to determine if the high number of WNND cases was associated with WNV-1. RESULTS: As of August 21st, 2022, 222 human cases of WNV infection were confirmed by molecular testing, including 103 with fever (WNF) and 119 with WNND. WNV lineage was determined in 201 (90.5%) cases, comprising 138 WNV-1 and 63 WNV-2 infections. During the same period, 35 blood donors tested positive, including 30 in whom WNV lineage was determined (13 WNV-1 and 17 WNV-2). Comparative analysis of the distribution of WNV-1 and WNV-2 infections among WNND cases, WNF cases and WNV-positive blood donors showed that patients with WNND were more likely to have WNV-1 infection than blood donors (odds ratio 3.44; 95% CI 95% 1.54 to 8.24; p = 0.0043). As observed in humans, in wild birds WNV-1 had higher infectious rate (IR) and showed a more rapid expansion than WNV-2. At variance, the distribution of the two lineages was more even in mosquitoes, but with a trend of rapid increase of WNV-1 IR over WNV-2. CONCLUSIONS: Comparative analysis of WNV-1 vs WNV-2 infection in humans, wild birds, and mosquitos showed a rapid expansion of WNV-1 and suggested that WNV-1 infected patients might have an increased risk to develop severe disease.

Evaluation of the Kinetics of Antibody Response to COVID-19 Vaccine in Solid Organ Transplant Recipients: The Prospective Multicenter ORCHESTRA Cohort.

Previous studies assessing the antibody response (AbR) to mRNA COVID-19 vaccines in solid organ transplant (SOT) recipients are limited by short follow-up, hampering the analysis of AbR kinetics. We present the ORCHESTRA SOT recipients cohort assessed for AbR at first dose (t0), second dose (t1), and within 3 ± 1 month (t2) after the first dose. We analyzed 1062 SOT patients (kidney, 63.7%; liver, 17.4%; heart, 16.7%; and lung, 2.5%) and 5045 health care workers (HCWs). The AbR rates in the SOTs and HCWs were 52.3% and 99.4%. The antibody levels were significantly higher in the HCWs than in the SOTs (p < 0.001). The kinetics showed an increase (p < 0.001) in antibody levels up to 76 days and a non-significant decrease after 118 days in the SOT recipients versus a decrease up to 76 days (p = 0.02) and a less pronounced decrease between 76 and 118 days (p = 0.04) in the HCWs. Upon multivariable analysis, liver transplant, ≥3 years from SOT, mRNA-1273, azathioprine, and longer time from t0 were associated with a positive AbR at t2. Older age, other comorbidities, mycophenolate, steroids, and impaired graft function were associated with lower AbR probability. Our results may be useful to optimize strategies of immune monitoring after COVID-19 vaccination and indications regarding timing for booster dosages calibrated on SOT patients' characteristics.

Peripheral adaptation mechanisms in physical training and cardiac rehabilitation: the case of a patient supported by a CardioWest total artificial heart.

BACKGROUND: The benefits of exercise training in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF) are due to a combination of cardiac and peripheral adaptations. Separating these 2 components is normally impossible, except for patients implanted with total artificial heart (TAH), where cardiac adaptation cannot occur. METHODS AND RESULTS: We report the case of a patient implanted with a CardioWest-TAH who underwent a comprehensive strength and endurance training program and was evaluated by repeated peak cardiopulmonary exercise tests. The patient experienced a 24% increase of peak oxygen consumption and an improvement in recovery kinetics during the training period of 29 months. CONCLUSION: This unique situation of a patient with a TAH, and therefore a fixed peak cardiac output, allows us to isolate training-induced changes in the periphery, that suggest greater oxygen extraction and more efficient metabolic gas kinetics during the exercise and recovery phases.

Liver Transplantation for T2 Hepatocellular Carcinoma during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Novel Model Balancing Individual Benefit against Healthcare Resources.

The COVID-19 pandemic caused temporary drops in the supply of organs for transplantation, leading to renewed debate about whether T2 hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients should receive priority during these times. The aim of this study was to provide a quantitative model to aid decision-making in liver transplantation for T2 HCC. We proposed a novel ethical framework where the individual transplant benefit for a T2 HCC patient should outweigh the harm to others on the waiting list, determining a "net benefit", to define appropriate organ allocation. This ethical framework was then translated into a quantitative Markov model including Italian averages for waiting list characteristics, donor resources, mortality, and transplant rates obtained from a national prospective database (n = 8567 patients). The net benefit of transplantation in a T2 HCC patient in a usual situation varied from 0 life months with a model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score of 15, to 34 life months with a MELD score of 40, while it progressively decreased with acute organ shortage during a pandemic (i.e., with a 50% decrease in organs, the net benefit varied from 0 life months with MELD 30, to 12 life months with MELD 40). Our study supports the continuation of transplantation for T2 HCC patients during crises such as COVID-19; however, the focus needs to be on those T2 HCC patients with the highest net survival benefit.