ABSTRACT
In 2013, the national human papillomavirus (HPV) immunization program began. However, in June 2013, Japan's Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare (MHLW) announced a "temporary" suspension of its recommendation for the human papillomavirus vaccine. Finally, in November 2021, the MHLW ended its suspension of the recommendation of the HPV vaccine. To address the 9-year gap in HPV vaccinations the suspension had caused, the MHLW conducted a program of catch-up vaccinations from April 2022 to March 2025. Finally, in April 2023, the 9-valent HPV vaccine was approved for both the routine and catch-up vaccination programs in Japan. In this study, we investigated the potential effects of the introduction of the 9-valent vaccine on the increased risk of cervical cancer in females born after fiscal year (FY) 2000. We estimated the lifetime relative risk of cervical cancer incidence and death using the improved routine and catch-up vaccination rates after the recent resumption of the governmental recommendation for women and girls to have the HPV vaccination. These relative risks were calculated using a lifetime risk of 1.000 for cervical cancer incidence and death for females born in FY 1993. We predicted that even if a 90% vaccination rate were to be achieved by FY 2024 with the 9-valent vaccine among women born between FY 2000 and FY 2005, the risk would remain higher than for the vaccination generation. Therefore, for women born between FY 2000 and FY 2005, it will be necessary to significantly improve the cervical cancer screening rate to compensate for this increased risk.
Subject(s)
Papillomavirus Infections , Papillomavirus Vaccines , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms , Female , Humans , Early Detection of Cancer , Japan/epidemiology , Papillomavirus Infections/complications , Papillomavirus Infections/epidemiology , Papillomavirus Infections/prevention & control , Papillomavirus Vaccines/administration & dosage , Risk Reduction Behavior , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/epidemiology , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/prevention & control , Immunization ProgramsABSTRACT
Recent advances in treating colorectal cancer (CRC) have increased the importance of multidisciplinary treatment. This study aimed to clarify trends in the treatment and survival of CRC using population-based cancer registry data in Japan. We analyzed the survival of CRC cases diagnosed from 1995 through 2015 from a population-based cancer registry of six prefectures. The year of diagnosis was classified into five periods, and the trends in the detailed categorization of treatments and survival were identified. We calculated net survival and excess hazard of death from cancer using data on 256,590 CRC patients. The use of laparoscopic surgery has been increasing since 2005 and accounts for the largest proportion of treatment types in the most recent period. Net survival of CRC patients diagnosed after 2005 remained high for laparoscopic surgery and endoscopic surgery (endoscopic mucosal resection or endoscopic submucosal dissection). There was an upward trend in treatment with chemotherapy in addition to open and laparoscopic surgery. Using the excess hazard ratio at the regional stage since 2005, there has been a significant improvement in survival in the younger age group and the rectum cancer group. By type of treatment, there was a tendency toward significant improvement in the open surgery + chemotherapy group. We clarified the trends in treating CRC and the associated trends in survival. Continuous survey based on population-based data helps monitor the impact of developments in treatment.
Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms , Registries , Humans , Japan/epidemiology , Colorectal Neoplasms/mortality , Colorectal Neoplasms/therapy , Colorectal Neoplasms/surgery , Colorectal Neoplasms/pathology , Colorectal Neoplasms/epidemiology , Male , Female , Aged , Middle Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Laparoscopy , AdultABSTRACT
Advances in diagnostic techniques and treatment modalities have impacted head and neck cancer (HNC) prognosis, but their effects on subsite-specific prognosis remain unclear. This study aimed to assess subsite-specific trends in mid- and long-term survival for HNC patients diagnosed from 1993 to 2011 using data from population-based cancer registries in Japan. We estimated the net survival (NS) for HNC by subsite using data from 13 prefectural population-based cancer registries in Japan. Changes in survival over time were assessed by multivariate excess hazard model of mortality. In total, 68,312 HNC patients were included in this analysis. We observed an overall improvement in 5-year NS for HNC patients in Japan. However, survival varied among subsites of HNC, with some, such as naso-, oro- and hypopharyngeal cancers, showing significant improvement in both 5- and 10-year NS, whereas others such as laryngeal cancer showed only a slight improvement in 5-year NS and no significant change in 10-year NS after adjustment for age, sex and stage. In conclusion, the study provides insights into changing HNC survival by site at the population level in Japan. Although advances in diagnostic techniques and treatment modalities have improved survival, these improvements are not shared equally among subsites.
Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Squamous Cell , Head and Neck Neoplasms , Laryngeal Neoplasms , Humans , Japan/epidemiology , Head and Neck Neoplasms/epidemiology , Head and Neck Neoplasms/therapy , PrognosisABSTRACT
This nationwide study retrospectively examined the center effect on allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT) for adult B-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia. The cohort analyses were separated into Philadelphia chromosome (Ph)-positive and -negative cases. The patients were divided into low- and high-volume groups according to the number of allo-HSCTs at each facility. The primary endpoint was 5-year overall survival (OS). This study included 1156 low-volume and 1329 high-volume Ph-negative and 855 low-volume and 926 high-volume Ph-positive cases. In Ph-negative cases, 5-year OS was significantly higher in the high-volume centers at 52.7% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 49.9-55.5) versus 46.8% (95% CI: 43.8-49.7) for the low-volume centers (P < 0.01). Multivariate analysis identified high volume as a favorable prognostic factor (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.81 [95% CI: 0.72-0.92], P < 0.01). Subgroup analysis in Ph-negative cases revealed that the center effects were more evident in patients aged ≥40 years (HR: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.61-0.86, P < 0.01) and those receiving cord blood transplantation (HR: 0.62, 95% CI: 0.48-0.79, P < 0.01). In Ph-positive cases, no significant difference was observed between the high and low-volume centers for 5-year OS (59.5% [95% CI: 56.2-62.7] vs. 54.9% [95% CI: 51.3-58.3], P = 0.054). In multivariate analysis, center volume did not emerge as a significant prognostic indicator. This study showed center effects on survival in Ph-negative but not in Ph-positive cases, highlighting the heterogeneity of the center effect in allo-HSCT for B-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia. Collaborative efforts among transplant centers and further validation are essential to improve outcomes.
Subject(s)
Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation , Transplantation, Homologous , Humans , Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation/methods , Adult , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Transplantation, Homologous/methods , Adolescent , Young Adult , Treatment Outcome , Philadelphia Chromosome , Prognosis , Precursor B-Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma/therapy , Precursor B-Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma/mortality , Precursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma/therapy , Precursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma/mortalityABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: The public does not always understand key information conveyed by epidemiologists and statisticians. The purpose of this study was to understand the level of public access to, trust in, and comprehension of, cancer statistics through a population-based survey in Japan. METHODS: We used an online research method, requesting online responses to a 15-question questionnaire. The survey was sent to males and females aged 20 years and older, selected by sex, age and prefecture to match the national population proportions shown in the latest census. The final number of valid responses was 10 477. The statistical analyses mainly used χ2 testing. RESULTS: Respondents were not frequently exposed to cancer statistics regardless of sex or age group, nor did they necessarily have confidence in the statistics. The increase of collected information and trust in cancer statistics was aligned with increasing age and cancer exposure. Respondents found Relative Risk and Relative Survival Rate easier to understand and more useful than the Standardized Incidence Ratio. In addition, those with cancer experience, higher income and were elderly gave more accurate responses when asked questions related to cancer incidence and probability of getting cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Our respondents showed limited familiarity with cancer statistical indicators. Enhanced awareness of indicators such as infographics and visual tools has the potential to enhance cancer visibility, thereby promoting public prevention and early detection efforts. Educating cancer patients about pertinent indicators can boost their confidence in managing their condition. Conversely, the introduction of indicators unrelated to the public should be discouraged.
Subject(s)
Neoplasms , Humans , Male , Female , Japan/epidemiology , Adult , Surveys and Questionnaires , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Aged , Young Adult , Incidence , Aged, 80 and overABSTRACT
In observational studies, identifying and adjusting for a sufficient set of confounders is crucial for accurately estimating the causal effect of the exposure on the outcome. Even in studies with large sample sizes, which typically benefit from small variances in estimates, there is a risk of producing estimates that are precisely inaccurate if the study suffers from systematic errors or biases, including confounding bias. To date, several approaches have been developed for selecting confounders. In this article, we first summarize the epidemiological and statistical approaches to identify a sufficient set of confounders. Particularly, we introduce the modified disjunctive cause criterion as one of the most useful approaches, which involves controlling for any pre-exposure covariate that affects the exposure, outcome, or both. It then excludes instrumental variables but includes proxies for the shared common cause of exposure and outcome. Statistical confounder selection is also useful when dealing with a large number of covariates, even in studies with small sample sizes. After introducing several approaches, we discuss some pitfalls and considerations in confounder selection, such as the adjustment for instrumental variables, intermediate variables, and baseline outcome variables. Lastly, as it is often difficult to comprehensively measure key confounders, we introduce two statistics, E-value and Robustness value, for assessing sensitivity to unmeasured confounders. Illustrated examples are provided using the National Health and Nutritional Examination Survey Epidemiologic Follow-up Study. Integrating these principles and approaches will enhance our understanding of confounder selection and facilitate better reporting and interpretation of future epidemiological studies.
ABSTRACT
Cancer patients have been able to live longer according to the development of early diagnosis and treatment. On the other hand, prolonged treatment period, increased cost burdens, and various late complications can occur as a result. In this article, I introduce research on cancer survivorship in Japan, about the statistics for cancer survivors, physical, mental, and social late complications. I also summarize the issues of survivorship research that should be conducted in Japan in the future. First, the 5-year survival has been used as a prognostic indicator for cancer survivors, however, the conditional survival, which is more useful information to predict the patients' future, was introduced. In addition, studies on late complications of cancer patients were summarized, including studies on the development of secondary cancer as a physical complication, suicide as a psychological complication, and continued employment and economic toxicity as social complications. Finally, we summarized the research and data bases that are needed to realize"cancer control that leaves no one behind".
Subject(s)
Cancer Survivors , Neoplasms, Second Primary , Humans , Japan , Databases, Factual , EmploymentABSTRACT
Cancer registry data provide a very important source of information for improving our understanding of the epidemiology of various cancers. In this work, we estimated the 5-year crude probabilities of death from cancer and from other causes for five common cancers, namely stomach, lung, colon-rectum, prostate and breast, in Japan, using population-based registry data. Based on data on 344 676 patients diagnosed with one of these cancers between 2006 and 2008 in 21 prefectures participating in the Monitoring of Cancer Incidence in Japan (MCIJ) and followed-up for at least 5 years, we used a flexible excess hazard model to compute the crude probabilities of death for different combinations of sex, age and stage at diagnosis. For tumours diagnosed at the distant stage, as well as for regional lung tumours, the vast majority of deaths at 5 years in cancer patients were attributable to the disease itself (although this proportion was only around 60% in older prostate cancer patients). For localised and most regional tumours, the impact of other causes of death on the total mortality increased with age at diagnosis, especially for localised breast, colorectal and gastric cancer. By allowing the partition of the mortality experience of cancer patients into a cancer- and an other-cause-specific component, crude probability of death estimates provide insight into how the impact of cancer on mortality might differ among populations with different background mortality risks. This might be useful for informing discussions between clinicians and patients about treatment options.
Subject(s)
Cause of Death , Neoplasms , Aged , Humans , Male , East Asian People , Incidence , Lung Neoplasms/epidemiology , Prostatic Neoplasms/epidemiology , Registries/statistics & numerical data , Routinely Collected Health Data , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Neoplasms/mortality , Japan/epidemiologyABSTRACT
Contrary to other developed countries, in Japan, recent years have seen increases in cervical cancer incidence and mortality among young people. However, the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine program, a key measure for avoiding cervical cancer, has been virtually suspended. Temporal changes in cervical cancer profiles in this unique situation have not been fully investigated epidemiologically. Our study aimed to determine the current status and future trends of the incidence and mortality of cervical cancer and precancerous lesions in Japan. Mortality rates of cervical cancer during 1975 to 2016 and incidence rates of cervical cancer and cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) 3 during 1975 to 2013 were examined using vital statistics and population-based cancer registry data in Japan. Bayesian age-period-cohort analyses were performed to analyze temporal changes of the three cervical cancer-related outcomes. We also calculated projections to 2028 for the three outcomes, assuming that HPV vaccination coverage and screening rates in Japan would be maintained at the current level after the resumption of the national vaccination program. The risk of occurrence of the three outcomes showed similar changes by birth cohort, peaking in the mid-1890s to 1900s birth cohorts, declining sharply in the 1940s birth cohort, and persistently increasing in the 1950s and later birth cohorts. Projections to 2028 show increases in cervical cancer incidence and mortality in the 30 to 69 age group, with a particular increase in CIN3 incidence in the 25 to 49 age group, if HPV vaccine programs and screening are not effectively implemented. These findings revealed an increasing cervical disease burden among reproductive age females in Japan.
Subject(s)
Papillomavirus Infections , Papillomavirus Vaccines , Uterine Cervical Dysplasia , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms , Female , Humans , Adolescent , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/epidemiology , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/prevention & control , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/diagnosis , Papillomavirus Vaccines/therapeutic use , Japan/epidemiology , Papillomavirus Infections/complications , Papillomavirus Infections/epidemiology , Papillomavirus Infections/prevention & control , Bayes Theorem , IncidenceABSTRACT
The epidermal growth factor receptor tyrosine kinase inhibitors (EGFR-TKIs) gefitinib and erlotinib were approved for metastatic or relapsed non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) in Japan in 2002 and 2007, respectively. EGFR mutation testing was also approved in 2007. Although clinical trials showed efficacy in NSCLC patients harboring activating EGFR mutations, these effects have rarely been reported in real-world practice. We evaluated changes in survival in NSCLC patients following introduction of these agents and EGFR mutation testing by extracting patients diagnosed with NSCLC from 1993 through 2011 from six prefectural population-based cancer registries in Japan. Relative survival (RS) was calculated by sex, histological subtype, and cancer stage. We conducted interrupted time series analysis to assess survival changes following introduction of EGFR-TKIs and EGFR mutation testing. 120,068 patients with NSCLC were analyzed. One- and three-year RS gradually increased in overall NSCLC for men and women. For adenocarcinoma, among men, slopes of 1- and 3-year RS increased steeply in patients diagnosed from 2007 through 2011; among women, significant level increases were seen in 1-year RS in patients diagnosed in 2002 (4.55% [95% confidence interval: 1.76-7.33]) and 2007 (3.40% [1.27-5.52]). These significant level increases were particularly obvious in women with adenocarcinoma at an advanced stage. Our results suggest that recent improvements in survival in men and women with adenocarcinoma are due at least partly to introduction of EGFR-TKIs into real-world practice, and to prescription based on appropriate patient selection following introduction of EGFR mutation testing into real-world practice in Japan.
Subject(s)
Adenocarcinoma , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung , Lung Neoplasms , Male , Humans , Female , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/genetics , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Lung Neoplasms/pathology , Japan , Protein Kinase Inhibitors/therapeutic use , ErbB Receptors/genetics , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local/drug therapy , Adenocarcinoma/drug therapy , MutationABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to compare the short-term outcomes between laparoscopic and open distal pancreatectomy for lesions of the distal pancreas from a real-world database. BACKGROUND: Reports on the benefits of laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy include 2 randomized controlled trials; however, large-scale, real-world data are scarce. METHODS: We analyzed the data of patients undergoing laparoscopic or open distal pancreatectomy for benign or malignant pancreatic tumors from April 2008 to May 2020 from a Japanese nationwide inpatient database. We performed propensity score analyses to compare the inhospital mortality, morbidity, readmission rate, reoperation rate, length of postoperative stay, and medical cost between the 2 groups. RESULTS: From 5502 eligible patients, we created a pseudopopulation of patients undergoing laparoscopic and open distal pancreatectomy using inverse probability of treatment weighting. Laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy was associated with lower inhospital mortality during the period of admission (0.0% vs 0.7%, P <0.001) and within 30 days (0.0% vs 0.2%, P =0.001), incidence of reoperation during the period of admission (0.7% vs 1.7%, P =0.018), postpancreatectomy hemorrhage (0.4% vs 2.0%, P <0.001), ileus (1.1% vs 2.8%, P =0.007), and shorter postoperative length of stay (17 vs 20 d, P <0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The propensity score analysis revealed that laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy was associated with better outcomes than open surgery in terms of inhospital mortality, reoperation rate, postoperative length of stay, and incidence of postoperative complications such as postpancreatectomy hemorrhage and ileus.
Subject(s)
Ileus , Intestinal Obstruction , Laparoscopy , Pancreatic Neoplasms , Humans , Retrospective Studies , Pancreatectomy , Propensity Score , Treatment Outcome , Length of Stay , Intestinal Obstruction/surgery , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Postoperative Complications/surgeryABSTRACT
Infrared photodissociation of protonated water clusters with an Ar atom, namely H3O+-Ar and H+(H2O)2-Ar, was investigated by an imaging technique for mass-selected ions, to reveal the intra- and intermolecular vibrational dynamics. The presented system has the advantage of achieving fragment ion images with the cluster size- and mode-selective photoexcitation of each OH stretching vibration. Translational energy distributions of photofragments were obtained from the images upon the excitation of the bound (νb) and free (νf) OH stretching vibrations. The energy fractions in the translational motion were compared between νbI and νfI in H3O+-Ar or between νbII and νfII in H+(H2O)2-Ar, where the labels "I" and "II" represent H3O+-Ar and H+(H2O)2-Ar, respectively. In H3O+-Ar, the νfI excitation exhibited a smaller translational energy than νbI. This result can be explained by the higher vibrational energy of νfI, which enabled it to produce bending (ν4) excited H3O+ fragments that should be favored according to the energy-gap model. In contrast to H3O+-Ar, the νbII excitation of an Ar-tagged H2O subunit and the νfII excitation of an untagged H2O subunit resulted in very similar translational energy distributions in H+(H2O)2-Ar. The similar energy fractions independent of the excited H2O subunits suggested that the νbII and νfII excited states relaxed into a common intermediate state, in which the vibrational energy was delocalized within the H2O-H+-H2O moiety. However, the translational energy distributions for H+(H2O)2-Ar did not agree with a statistical dissociation model, which implied another aspect of the process, that is, Ar dissociation via incomplete energy randomization in the whole H+(H2O)2-Ar cluster.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Inequalities in opportunities for primary lung cancer surgery due to socioeconomic status exist. We investigated whether socioeconomic inequalities exist in net survival after curative intent surgery at a tertiary university hospital, in Japan. METHODS: Data from the hospital-based cancer registry on primary lung cancer patients who received lung resection between 2010 and 2018 were linked to the surgical dataset. An area deprivation index, calculated from small area statistics and ranked into tertiles based on Japan-wide distribution, was linked with the patient's address as a proxy measure for individual socioeconomic status. We estimated net survival of up to 5 years by deprivation tertiles. Socioeconomic inequalities in cancer survival were analyzed using an excess hazard model. RESULTS: Of the 1039 patient-sample, advanced stage (Stage IIIA+) was more prevalent in the most deprived group (28.1%) than the least deprived group (18.0%). The 5-year net survival rates (95% confidence interval) from the least to the most deprived tertiles were 82.1% (76.2-86.6), 77.6% (70.8-83.0) and 71.4% (62.7-78.4), respectively. The sex- and age-adjusted excess hazard ratio of 5-year death was significantly higher in the most deprived group than the least deprived (excess hazard ratio = 1.64, 95% confidence interval: 1.09-2.47). The hazard ratio reduced toward null after additionally accounting for disease stage, suggesting that the advanced stage may explain the poor prognosis among the deprived group. CONCLUSION: There was socioeconomic inequality in the net survival of patients who received curative intent surgery for primary lung cancer. The lower socioeconomic status group might be less likely to receive early curative surgery.
Subject(s)
Lung Neoplasms , Social Class , Humans , Socioeconomic Factors , Japan/epidemiology , Lung Neoplasms/surgery , Hospitals , LungABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Previous studies have shown that socioeconomic factors are associated with cancer incidence and stage at diagnosis; however, relevant findings in Japan are limited. We examined the association between socioeconomic status and cancer incidence, stage at diagnosis, and detection status by screening, as assessed using the areal deprivation index (ADI), in population-based cancer registry data. METHODS: A total of 79,816 cases, including stomach, colorectal, lung, female breast, and cervical cancer diagnosed in Miyagi Prefecture between 2005 and 2010, were analyzed. After calculating the ADI at the place of residence in each case, we examined the association between quintiles of ADI and age-adjusted incidence rates of all stages and advanced stages by sex and site using Poisson regression analysis. The association between the ADI and the proportion of screen-detected cancers was also examined using logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: The age-adjusted incidence rates of all sites and lung cancer in men and lung cancer and cervical cancer in women tended to increase significantly in areas with a higher ADI. The age-adjusted incidence rates of advanced-stage cancers were significantly higher for all sites and lung cancer in both sexes, and for stomach and colorectal cancer in men. The proportion of screen-detected cancer tended to be significantly lower in areas with a higher ADI for stomach and colorectal cancer in men. CONCLUSION: Our results indicate that socioeconomic disparities may affect cancer incidence and early diagnosis in Japan. These results suggest the importance of cancer control measures targeting people with low socioeconomic status in Japan.
Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms , Lung Neoplasms , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms , Male , Humans , Female , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/diagnosis , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/epidemiology , Incidence , Japan/epidemiology , Early Detection of Cancer , Social Class , Socioeconomic Factors , Lung Neoplasms/epidemiology , Colorectal Neoplasms/epidemiologyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has affected cancer care. The aim of this study was to clarify the trend of colorectal cancer (CRC) stage distribution in Japan during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: In this retrospective study, we used an inpatient medical claims database established at approximately 400 acute care hospitals. From the database, we searched patients who were identified as having the main disease (using ICD-10codes [C18.0-C20]) between January 2018 and December 2020. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to determine the impact of the pandemic on CRC stage distribution each month, and the odds ratio (OR) for late-stage cancer was calculated. RESULTS: We analyzed 99,992 CRC patients. Logistic regression analysis, including the interaction term between increased late-stage CRC effect during the pandemic period and by each individual month, showed that the OR for late-stage CRC was highest in July during the pandemic, at 1.31 (95%CI: 1.13- 1.52) and also significantly higher in September at 1.16 (95%CI: 1.00- 1.35). CONCLUSION: We investigated the trend of CRC stage distribution during the COVID-19 pandemic using a nationwide hospital-claims database in Japan, and found that the proportion of early-stage cancers tended to decrease temporarily after the state of emergency declaration due to the COVID-19 pandemic, but the effect was only temporary.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Logistic regression models are widely used to evaluate the association between a binary outcome and a set of covariates. However, when there are few study participants at the outcome and covariate levels, the models lead to bias of the odds ratio (OR) estimated using the maximum likelihood (ML) method. This bias is known as sparse data bias, and the estimated OR can yield impossibly large values because of data sparsity. However, this bias has been ignored in most epidemiological studies. METHODS: We review several methods for reducing sparse data bias in logistic regression. The primary aim is to evaluate the Bayesian methods in comparison with the classical methods, such as the ML, Firth's, and exact methods using a simulation study. We also apply these methods to a real data set. RESULTS: Our simulation results indicate that the bias of the OR from the ML, Firth's, and exact methods is considerable. Furthermore, the Bayesian methods with hyper-É¡ prior modeling of the prior covariance matrix for regression coefficients reduced the bias under the null hypothesis, whereas the Bayesian methods with log F-type priors reduced the bias under the alternative hypothesis. CONCLUSION: The Bayesian methods using log F-type priors and hyper-É¡ prior are superior to the ML, Firth's, and exact methods when fitting logistic models to sparse data sets. The choice of a preferable method depends on the null and alternative hypothesis. Sensitivity analysis is important to understand the robustness of the results in sparse data analysis.
Subject(s)
Logistic Models , Humans , Odds Ratio , Bayes Theorem , Japan , Computer Simulation , BiasABSTRACT
Oxacillinase (OXA)-48-like ß-lactamases are the most common carbapenemases in Enterobacterales in certain regions of the world and are being introduced on a regular basis into regions of non-endemicity. Japan has been characterized by low rates of carbapenemase-producing Enterobacterales, and among them, OXA-48-like carbapenemase-producing isolates are extremely rare. Here we describe a Japanese medical worker, without a history of travel abroad, who was diagnosed as having a community-acquired urinary tract infection, and whose urine sample was found to be positive for OXA-48-like carbapenemase-producing Escherichia coli. None of her close contacts had a history of foreign travel, and the same drug-resistant organism was not observed in other patients who had been hospitalized and undergone environmental culture tests in the same medical institution. This isolate was resistant to penicillins, narrow-spectrum cephalosporins, fluoroquinolones, and cefmetazole, but was susceptible to broad-spectrum cephalosporins, piperacillin/tazobactam, and meropenem and displayed reduced susceptibility to imipenem. The modified carbapenem inactivation test supported carbapenemase production, but inhibitor-based synergistic tests yielded negative results of carbapenemase production. Multiplex polymerase chain reaction revealed the presence of the carbapenemase gene (blaOXA-48) blaTEM and AmpC ß-lactamase gene (blaDHA). Singleplex polymerase chain reaction targeting the blaOXA-48 region amplified a product sequencing to nearly the full length (722 bp) and matching 100% with OXA-48. The present case highlights a new concern regarding OXA-48-like carbapenemase-producing Enterobacterales, which remain challenging to detect for clinical laboratories in regions of non-endemicity, and may already be latent in Japan.
Subject(s)
Anti-Bacterial Agents , Carbapenem-Resistant Enterobacteriaceae , Humans , Female , Anti-Bacterial Agents/pharmacology , Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use , East Asian People , Bacterial Proteins/genetics , beta-Lactamases/genetics , Escherichia coli/genetics , Piperacillin, Tazobactam Drug Combination , Cephalosporins , Microbial Sensitivity TestsABSTRACT
Worldwide, research based on geographic information of official statistical data, including cancer registries, is utilized for cancer control and public health policies. The National Cancer Registry of Japan was launched in 2016, making it possible to use data on cancer incidence systematically. Given the nature of this comprehensive survey, the usefulness of the National Cancer Registry would be further enhanced when it is utilized at small-regional levels, such as in municipalities or even smaller geographical units. It is essential to maintain a balance between privacy protection and data usability. Currently, the national and prefectural councils determine the availability of the data from the National Cancer Registry at the small-regional level on an individual application basis. Under this framework, use of the data is often restricted or declined. This paper showcases three model countries where geographic information obtained from cancer registry data are widely utilized: the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. It further discusses measures to ensure that data are effectively used, without compromising data privacy. In the three countries, data-providing systems have been established to compile the necessary data from the cancer registry and other linked databases, in accordance with the purpose of use. The relationships between healthcare access and various outcomes are elaborately examined at the small-regional level. In Japan, similar utilization of data has not been fully implemented, and there remain many hurdles to the application of the data use. For the National Cancer Registry to promote research and further enhance cancer control, it is necessary to establish a system that enables effective and safe utilization of the data from the National Cancer Registry, including linkage with other data and on-site use.
Subject(s)
Neoplasms , Humans , United States , Japan/epidemiology , Registries , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Neoplasms/prevention & control , Privacy , Health Services AccessibilityABSTRACT
C(aryl)-C(âO) bonds of aryl amides can be activated and added across alkenes with the aid of a nickel catalyst. This 1,2-carboaminocarbonylation reaction enables the dicarbofunctionalization of alkenes with an atom economy of 100%.
ABSTRACT
The incidence of uterine corpus cancer has been increasing globally due to increase in obesity. However, a detailed analysis of long-term epidemiological trends of corpus cancer in Japan, where obesity is relatively minimal, has not been conducted. In this retrospective, population-based study using the Osaka Cancer Registry, we analyzed 15 255 cases of corpus neoplasia registered between 1977 and 2016. We determined the age-standardized incidence, mortality, relative survival and conditional survival rates, and the treatment trends for corpus cancer over the last 40 years in Japan. The age-standardized incidence rate of corpus neoplasia increased sharply in 2000-2011 (APC = 9.9, 95% CI: 8.4-11.3), whereas the mortality rate trended to a much more modest increase (APC = 3.3, 95% CI: 2.7-3.8). Compared to 1977-2000, 10-year survival rates for post-2000 cases of localized and regional corpus cancers significantly improved (from 87.7% [95% CI: 85.8-89.4] to 94.2% [95% CI: 92.7-95.7] and from 47.5% [95% CI: 43.3-51.6] to 64.4% [95% CI: 61.0-67.6], respectively). This was largely associated with the significant increase in the percentage of localized and regional patients who received chemotherapy instead of radiation as an adjuvant therapy combined to surgery (P < .001 for both). We found that each histological type (endometrioid carcinoma, serous carcinoma, clear cell carcinoma and carcinosarcoma) has different characteristics of trend of age-standardized incidence rate, relative survival and distribution of extent of disease. In endometrioid carcinoma, the age-standardized incidence rate increased consistently after 1990, but the rate of increase was decreasing after 1997.