A 3-year review of deaths in people under community justice supervision in Wales: a cross-sectional analysis.

BACKGROUND: Despite little fluctuation in the numbers of people under community justice supervision in England and Wales, the number of deaths in this population has more than doubled between 2013-14 and 2020-21, from 560 to 1343 deaths. Contributing factors and causes of mortality are somewhat unknown. The aim of this study was to understand the number and the leading causes of people dying while under community justice supervision in Wales, UK, between April 1, 2018, and March 31, 2021. METHODS: Public Health Wales in collaboration with HM Prison and Probation Service in Wales were provided with identifiable data (name, date of birth, date of death, and the Probation Delivery Unit) of 306 individuals (aged ≥18 years) who had died during this time period while under community justice supervision. Following de-duplication and matching of National Health Service (NHS) numbers using the Welsh Demographic System, 266 deaths were linked to the live Office for National Statistics (ONS) Death Registry to obtain the cause of death. Deaths were grouped based on the International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-10 code assigned as their underlying cause of death. FINDINGS: In this cross-sectional study, the mortality rate overall was higher in women than in men (7·5 vs 5·6 deaths per 1000 population), despite the majority of deaths being in men, with less than 40 deaths in women. Mortality rates were nearly double in those aged 50 years and older (9·4 deaths per 1000 population) than in those aged 18-49 years (5·0 deaths per 1000 population). Drugs or alcohol were considered a primary cause of death for just under half of all deaths (n=115; 43%), with opiates being the most commonly named substance (n=63; 24%). 70 drug-related deaths involved poly-drug use. Accidental drug-related deaths were four times higher in those aged 18-49 years than in those aged 50 years and older (2·3 vs 0·6 deaths per 1000 population). Diseases of the circulatory system accounted for 13% (n=34) of all deaths and were 5 times higher in those aged 50 years and older than those aged 18-49 years (2·2 vs 0·4 deaths per 1000 population). INTERPRETATION: This study provides valuable insight into the leading causes of death among this cohort, notably deaths associated with substance misuse in younger age groups and with circulatory disease in older age groups. The increase in substance misuse-related deaths reflects recent national UK trends. Further research is required to understand which of these deaths were preventable. FUNDING: None.

Dimensions of equality in uptake of COVID-19 vaccination in Wales, UK: A multivariable linked data population analysis.

Vaccination has proven to be effective at preventing severe outcomes of COVID-19 infection, and uptake in the population has been high in Wales. However, there is a risk that high-level vaccination coverage statistics may mask hidden inequalities in under-served populations, many of whom may be at increased risk of severe outcomes of COVID-19 infection. The study population included 1,436,229 individuals aged 18 years and over, alive and residence in Wales as at 31st July 2022, and excluded immunosuppressed or care home residents. We compared people who had received one or more vaccinations to those with no vaccination using linked data from nine datasets within the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) databank. Multivariable analysis was undertaken to determine the impact of a range of sociodemographic characteristics on vaccination uptake, including ethnicity, country of birth, severe mental illness, homelessness and substance use. We found that overall uptake of first dose of COVID-19 vaccination was high in Wales (92.1 %), with the highest among those aged 80 years and over and females. Those aged under 40 years, household composition (aOR 0.38 95 %CI 0.35-0.41 for 10+ size household compared to two adult household) and being born outside the UK (aOR 0.44 95 %CI 0.43-0.46) had the strongest negative associations with vaccination uptake. This was followed by a history of substance misuse (aOR 0.45 95 %CI 0.44-0.46). Despite high-level population coverage in Wales, significant inequalities remain across several underserved groups. Factors associated with vaccination uptake should not be considered in isolation, to avoid drawing incorrect conclusions. Ensuring equitable access to vaccination is essential to protecting under-served groups from COVID-19 and further work needs to be done to address these gaps in coverage, with focus on tailored vaccination pathways and advocacy, using trusted partners and communities.