Tracheostomy Practices for Mechanically Ventilated Patients in Malawi.

BACKGROUND: Tracheostomy is used for patients who require prolonged mechanical ventilation. Extensive research has described the provision and optimal timing of tracheostomy, but very little describes tracheostomy utilization in low- and middle-income countries, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa. METHODS: This prospective cohort study describes patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of a tertiary hospital in Malawi who received tracheostomy versus those who did not, with a primary outcome of hospital mortality. We performed subgroup analysis of patients with severe head injuries. RESULTS: The analysis included 451 patients admitted to the study ICU between September 2016 and July 2018. Overall hospital mortality was 40% for patients who received tracheostomy and 63% for patients who did not. Logistic regression modeling revealed an odds ratio (OR) of 0.34 (95% CI 0.18-0.64) for hospital mortality among patients who received tracheostomy versus those who did not (p < 0.001). Standardized mortality ratio weighting revealed an odds ratio of 0.81 (95% CI 0.65-0.99, p < 0.001) for hospital death among patients who received tracheostomy versus those who did not. In the subgroup excluding severe head injury, both ICU (50%) and hospital mortality (75%) were higher overall, but hospital mortality was not more common for patients with tracheostomy versus without (OR 1.28, 95% CI 0.94-1.74, p = 0.104). CONCLUSIONS: Tracheostomy is not associated with hospital mortality in a Malawi ICU cohort, but these results are affected by the presence of head injury. Research may focus on home tracheostomy care given the lack of hospital discharge options for patients in austere settings.

Outcomes Following Intensive Care Unit Admission in a Pediatric Cohort in Malawi.

INTRODUCTION: The burden of critical illness in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) is high; however, there is a paucity of data describing pediatric critical care outcomes in this setting. METHODS: We performed a prospective observational study of the pediatric (≤18 years) intensive care population in Malawi, from August 2016 to May 2018. Data collected include patient demographics and clinical data, admission criteria and outcome. A multivariate Poisson regression was performed to determine risk factors for mortality. RESULTS: Over the study period, 499 patients were admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) and 105 (21.0%) were children. The average age was 10.6 ± 5.4 years. Primary indications for ICU admission were sepsis (n = 30, 30.3%) and traumatic brain injury (TBI, n = 23, 23.2%). Of those who died, sepsis (n = 18, 32.7%), acute respiratory failure (n = 11, 20.0%) and TBI (n = 11, 20.0%) were the primary admission diagnoses. Overall, ICU mortality was 54.3% (n = 57). Multivariate regression for increased ICU mortality revealed: age ≤5 years [risk ratio (RR) 1.96, 95% CI 1.10-2.26, p < 0.001], hemoglobin < 10 g/dl (RR 1.58, 95% CI 1.08-2.01, p = 0.01) and shock requiring epinephrine support (RR 2.76, 95% CI 1.80-4.23, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Pediatric ICU mortality is high. Predictors of mortality were age ≤5 years, anemia at ICU admission and the need for epinephrine support. Training of pediatric intensive care specialists and increased blood product availability may attenuate the high mortality for critically ill children in Malawi.

ICU Risk Stratification Models Feasible for Use in Sub-Saharan Africa Show Poor Discrimination in Malawi: A Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Critical illness disproportionately affects people in low-income countries (LICs). Efforts to improve critical care in LICs must account for differences in demographics and infrastructure compared to high-income settings. Part of this effort includes the development and validation of intensive care unit (ICU) risk stratification models feasible for use in LICs. The purpose of this study was to validate and compare the performance of ICU mortality models developed for use in sub-Saharan Africa. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a prospective, observational cohort study of ICU patients in a referral hospital in Malawi. Models were selected for comparison based on a Medline search for studies which developed ICU mortality models based on cohorts in sub-Saharan Africa. Model discrimination was evaluated using the area under the curve with 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: During the study, 499 patients were admitted to the study ICU, and after exclusions, there were 319 patients. The cohort was 62% female, with the mean age 31 years (IQR: 23-41), and 74% had surgery preceding ICU admission. Discrimination for hospital mortality ranged from 0.54 (95% CI 0.48, 0.60) for the Universal Vital Assessment (UVA) to 0.72 (95% CI 0.66, 0.78) for the Malawi Intensive care Mortality Evaluation (MIME). After tenfold cross-validation, these results were unchanged. CONCLUSIONS: The MIME outperformed other models in this prospective study. Most ICU models developed for LICs had poor to modest discrimination for hospital mortality. Future research may contribute to a better risk stratification model for LICs by refining and enhancing the MIME.

Two success stories in the management of Guillain-Barré syndrome illustrate the challenges of intensive care unit care in Malawi.

The management of critical illness is especially challenging in low-resource environments, and early recognition and supportive care are essential, regardless of the ability to employ advanced or invasive therapy. In this report, we discuss two patients with Guillain-Barré syndrome who were managed successfully in the intensive care unit of a tertiary hospital in Malawi. Both patients recovered and were discharged home. The management and outcomes of these patients provide case-based lessons for improving intensive care unit medicine in low-resource contexts.

Anemia at Intensive Care Unit Admission and Hospital Mortality Among Patients at a Referral Hospital in Malawi.

BACKGROUND: Anemia is associated with intensive care unit (ICU) outcomes, but data describing this association in sub-Saharan Africa are scarce. Patients in this region are at risk for anemia due to endemic conditions like malaria and because transfusion services are limited. METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study of ICU patients at Kamuzu Central Hospital (KCH) in Malawi. Exclusion criteria included age <5 years, pregnancy, ICU readmission, or admission for head injury. Cumulative incidence functions and Fine-Gray competing risk models were used to evaluate hemoglobin (Hgb) at ICU admission and hospital mortality. RESULTS: Of 499 patients admitted to ICU, 359 were included. The median age was 28 years (interquartile ranges (IQRs) 20-40) and 37.5% were men. Median Hgb at ICU admission was 9.9 g/dL (IQR 7.5-11.4 g/dL; range 1.8-18.1 g/dL). There were 61 (19%) patients with Hgb < 7.0 g/dL, 59 (19%) with Hgb 7.0-8.9 g/dL, and 195 (62%) with Hgb ≥ 9.0 g/dL. Hospital mortality was 51%, 59%, and 54%, respectively. In adjusted analyses, anemia was associated with hospital mortality but was not statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides preliminary evidence that anemia at ICU admission may be an independent predictor of hospital mortality in Malawi. Larger studies are needed to confirm this association.

Prevalence, Etiology, and Outcome of Sepsis among Critically Ill Patients in Malawi.

There are scarce data describing the etiology and clinical sequelae of sepsis in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). This study describes the prevalence and etiology of sepsis among critically ill patients at a referral hospital in Malawi. We conducted an observational prospective cohort study of adults admitted to the intensive care unit or high-dependency unit (HDU) from January 29, 2018 to March 15, 2018. We stratified the cohort based on the prevalence of sepsis as defined in the following three ways: quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) score ≥ 2, clinical suspicion of systemic infection, and qSOFA score ≥ 2 plus suspected systemic infection. We measured clinical characteristics and blood and urine cultures for all patients; antimicrobial sensitivities were assessed for positive cultures. During the study period, 103 patients were admitted and 76 patients were analyzed. The cohort comprised 39% male, and the median age was 30 (interquartile range: 23-40) years. Eighteen (24%), 50 (66%), and 12 patients (16%) had sepsis based on the three definitions, respectively. Four blood cultures (5%) were positive, two from patients with sepsis by all three definitions and two from patients with clinically suspected infection only. All blood bacterial isolates were multidrug resistant. Of five patients with urinary tract infection, three had sepsis secondary to multidrug-resistant bacteria. Hospital mortality for patients with sepsis based on the three definitions ranged from 42% to 75% versus 12% to 26% for non-septic patients. In summary, mortality associated with sepsis at this Malawi hospital is high. Bacteremia was infrequently detected, but isolated pathogens were multidrug resistant.

Associations of day of week and time of day of ICU admission with hospital mortality in Malawi.

This prospective cohort study evaluated the associations of day and time of admission to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) with hospital mortality at a referral hospital in Malawi, a low-income country in sub-Saharan Africa. Patients admitted to the ICU during the day (08:00-16:00) were compared to those admitted at night (16:01-07:59); patients admitted on weekdays (Monday-Friday) were compared to admissions on weekends/holidays. The primary outcome was hospital mortality. Most patients were admitted during daytime (56%) and on weekdays (72%). There was no difference in mortality between night and day admissions (58% vs. 56%, P = 0.8828; hazard ratio [HR] = 1.09, 95% confidence interval [CI = 0.82-1.44, P = 0.5614) or weekend/holiday versus weekday admissions (56% vs. 57%, P = 0.9011; HR = 0.87, 95% CI = 0.62-1.21, P = 0.4133). No interaction between time and day was found. These results may be affected by high overall hospital mortality.

Intensive Care Unit Bed Utilization and Head Injury Burden in a Resource-Poor Setting.

INTRODUCTION: In high-income countries (HICs), the intensive care unit (ICU) bed density is approximately 20-32 beds/100 000 population compared with countries in sub-Saharan Africa, like Malawi, with an ICU bed density of 0.1 beds/100 000 population. We hypothesize that the ICU bed utilization in Malawi will be high. METHODS: This is an observational study at a tertiary care center in Malawi from August 2016 to May 2018. Variables used to evaluate ICU bed utilization include ICU length of stay (LOS), bed occupancy rates (average daily ICU census/number of ICU beds), bed turnover (total number of admissions/number of ICU beds), and turnover intervals (number of ICU bed days/total number of admissions - average ICU LOS). RESULTS: 494 patients were admitted to the ICU during the study period. The average LOS during the study period was 4.8 ± 6.0 days. Traumatic brain injury patients had the most extended LOS (8.7 ± 6.8 days) with a 49.5% ICU mortality. The bed occupancy rate per year was 74.7%. The calculated bed turnover was 56.5 persons treated per bed per year. The average turnover interval, defined as the number of days for a vacant bed to be occupied by the successive patient admission, was 1.63 days. CONCLUSION: Despite the high burden of critical illness, the bed occupancy rates, turn over days, and turnover interval reveal significant underutilization of the available ICU beds. ICU bed underutilization may be attributable to the absence of an admission and discharge protocols. A lack of brain death policy further impedes appropriate ICU utilization.

Brain death in low-income countries: a report from Malawi.

Most low-income nations have no practice guidelines for brain death; data describing brain death in these regions is absent. Our retrospective study describes the prevalence of brain death among patients treated in an intensive care unit (ICU) at a referral hospital in Malawi. The primary outcome was designation of brain death in the medical chart. Of 449 ICU patients included for analysis between September 2016 and May 2018, 43 (9.6%) were diagnosed with brain death during the ICU admission. The most common diagnostic reasons for admission among these patients were trauma (49%), malaria (16%) and postoperative monitoring after general abdominal surgery (19%). All patients diagnosed with brain death were declared dead in the hospital, after cardiac death. In conclusion, the incidence of brain death in a Malawi ICU is substantially higher than that seen in high-income ICU settings. Brain death is not treated as clinical death in Malawi.

Development of a Malawi Intensive care Mortality risk Evaluation (MIME) model, a prospective cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Intensive care medicine can contribute to population health in low-income countries by reducing premature mortality related to surgery, trauma, obstetrical and other medical emergencies. Quality improvement is guided by risk stratification models, which are developed primarily within high-income settings. Models validated for use in low-income countries are needed. METHODS: This prospective cohort study consisted of 261 patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of Kamuzu Central Hospital in Malawi, from September 2016 to March 2018. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. We performed univariable analyses on putative predictors and included those with a significance of 0.15 in the Malawi Intensive care Mortality risk Evaluation model (MIME). Model discrimination was evaluated using the area under the curve. RESULTS: Males made up 37.9% of the study sample and the mean age was 34.4 years. A majority (73.9%) were admitted to the ICU after a recent surgical procedure, and 59% came directly from the operating theater. In-hospital mortality was 60.5%. The MIME based on age, sex, admitting service, systolic pressure, altered mental status, and fever during the ICU course had a fairly good discrimination, with an AUC of 0.70 (95% CI 0.63-0.76). CONCLUSIONS: The MIME has modest ability to predict in-hospital mortality in a Malawian ICU. Multicenter research is needed to validate the MIME and assess its clinical utility.

The burden of surgical diseases on critical care services at a tertiary hospital in sub-Saharan Africa.

In many developing countries, including those of sub-Saharan Africa, care of the critically ill is poorly developed. We sought to elucidate the characteristics and outcomes of critically ill patients in order to better define the burden of disease and identify strategies for improving care. We conducted a cross sectional observation study of patients admitted to the intensive care unit at Kamuzu Central Hospital in 2010. Demographics, patient characteristics, clinical specialty and outcome data was collected for the 234 patients admitted during the study period. Older age and admission from trauma, general surgery or medical services were associated with increased mortality. The lowest mortality was among obstetrical and gynaecology patients. Use of the ventilator and transfusions were not associated with increased mortality. Patients with head injuries had the highest mortality rate. Rationing of critical care resources, using admitting diagnosis or scoring tools, can maximize access to critical care services in resource-limited settings. Furthermore, improvements of critical care services will be central to future efforts to reduce surgical morbidity and mortality and improving outcomes in all critically ill patients.