Incorporating temporal dynamics of mutations to enhance the prediction capability of antiretroviral therapy's outcome for HIV-1.

MOTIVATION: In predicting HIV therapy outcomes, a critical clinical question is whether using historical information can enhance predictive capabilities compared with current or latest available data analysis. This study analyses whether historical knowledge, which includes viral mutations detected in all genotypic tests before therapy, their temporal occurrence, and concomitant viral load measurements, can bring improvements. We introduce a method to weigh mutations, considering the previously enumerated factors and the reference mutation-drug Stanford resistance tables. We compare a model encompassing history (H) with one not using this information (NH). RESULTS: The H-model demonstrates superior discriminative ability, with a higher ROC-AUC score (76.34%) than the NH-model (74.98%). Wilcoxon test results confirm significant improvement of predictive accuracy for treatment outcomes through incorporating historical information. The increased performance of the H-model might be attributed to its consideration of latent HIV reservoirs, probably obtained when leveraging historical information. The findings emphasize the importance of temporal dynamics in acquiring mutations. However, our result also shows that prediction accuracy remains relatively high even when no historical information is available. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: This analysis was conducted using the Euresist Integrated DataBase (EIDB). For further validation, we encourage reproducing this study with the latest release of the EIDB, which can be accessed upon request through the Euresist Network.

Torque Teno Virus Load Is Associated With Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Stage and CD4+ Cell Count in People Living With Human Immunodeficiency Virus but Seems Unrelated to AIDS-Defining Events and Human Pegivirus Load.

BACKGROUND: Torque teno virus (TTV) is part of the human virome. TTV load was related to the immune status in patients after organ transplantation. We hypothesize that TTV load could be an additional marker for immune function in people living with HIV (PLWH). METHODS: In this analysis, serum samples of PLWH from the RESINA multicenter cohort were reanalyzed for TTV. Investigated clinical and epidemiological parameters included human pegivirus load, patient age and sex, HIV load, CD4+ T-cell count (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention [CDC] stage 1, 2, or 3), and CDC clinical stage (1993 CDC classification system; stage A, B, or C) before initiation of antiretroviral therapy. Regression analysis was used to detect possible associations among parameters. RESULTS: Our analysis confirmed TTV as a strong predictor of CD4+ T-cell count and CDC class 3. This relationship was used to propose a first classification of TTV load with regard to clinical stage. We found no association with clinical CDC stages A-C. The human pegivirus load was inversely correlated with HIV load but not TTV load. CONCLUSIONS: TTV load was associated with immunodeficiency in PLWH. Neither TTV nor HIV load were predictive for the clinical categories of HIV infection.

Analytical and clinical evaluation of a novel real-time PCR-based detection kit for Mpox virus.

Outbreaks of emerging diseases, like Mpox in 2022, pose unprecedented challenges to global healthcare systems. Although Mpox cases globally decreased since the end of 2022, numbers are still significant in the African Region, European Region, Region of the Americas, and Western Pacific Region. Rapid and efficient detection of infected individuals by precise screening assays is crucial for successful containment. In these assays, analytical and clinical performance must be assessed to ensure high quality. However, clinical studies evaluating Mpox virus (MPXV) detection kits using patient-derived samples are scarce. This study evaluated the analytical and clinical performance of a new diagnostic MPXV real-time PCR detection kit (Sansure Monkeypox Virus Nucleic Acid Diagnostic Kit) using patient-derived samples collected in Germany during the MPXV clade IIb outbreak in 2022. Our experimental approach determined the Limit of Detection (LoD) to less than 200 cp/mL using whole blood samples and samples derived from vesicles or pustules. Furthermore, we tested potentially inhibiting substances and pathogens with homologous nucleic acid sequences or similar clinical presentation and detected no cross-reactivity or interference. Following this, the assay was compared to a CE-marked test in a clinical performance study and achieved a diagnostic sensitivity of 100.00% and diagnostic specificity of 96.97%. In summary, the investigated real-time PCR assay demonstrates high analytical performance and concurs with the competitor device with high specificity and sensitivity.

Five-year single-center analysis of cytomegalovirus viremia in kidney transplant recipients and possible implication for novel prophylactic therapy approaches.

BACKGROUND: Cytomegalovirus (CMV) infections are a common complication after kidney transplantation (KTx) and negatively affecting patient outcome. Valganciclovir (VGC) prophylaxis is often limited by drug-induced side effects and dose reduction due to decline in kidney function. METHOD: In the present study, episodes of CMV viremia in the first year after KTx in a cohort of 316 recipients were analyzed retrospectively to identify risk factors linked to persistent infections. RESULTS: In the studied cohort, 18.7% of patients showed a high-risk (HR) constellation (D+/R-) for CMV infections. CMV viremia affected 22% of our cohort, with HR patients being the most affected cohort (44.1%). Within this group, most viremic events (65.3%) occurred while patients were still on prophylactic therapy, showing significantly higher viral loads and a longer duration compared to seropositive recipients. CONCLUSION: The analysis at hand revealed that detection of viremia under ongoing antiviral prophylaxis bears an increased risk for sustained viral replication and antiviral drug resistance in HR patients. We identified low estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and lower dose VGC prophylaxis post-KTx as a risk factor for breakthrough infections in HR patients in our single center cohort. These patients might benefit from a closer CMV monitoring or novel prophylactic agents as letermovir.

SARS-CoV-2 Test-to-Stay in Daycare.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Test-to-stay concepts apply serial testing of children in daycare after exposure to SARS-CoV-2 without use of quarantine. This study aims to assess the safety of a test-to-stay screening in daycare facilities. METHODS: 714 daycare facilities and approximately 50 000 children ≤6 years in Cologne, Germany participated in a SARS-CoV-2 Pool-polymerase chain reaction (PCR) screening from March 2021 to April 2022. The screening initially comprised post-exposure quarantine and was adapted to a test-to-stay approach during its course. To assess safety of the test-to-stay approach, we explored potential changes in frequencies of infections among children after the adaptation to the test-to-stay approach by applying regression discontinuity in time (RDiT) analyses. To this end, PCR-test data were linked with routinely collected data on reported infections in children and analyzed using ordinary least squares regressions. RESULTS: 219 885 Pool-PCRs and 352 305 Single-PCRs were performed. 6440 (2.93%) Pool-PCRs tested positive, and 17 208 infections in children were reported. We estimated that during a period of 30 weeks, the test-to-stay concept avoided between 7 and 20 days of quarantine per eligible daycare child. RDiT revealed a 26% reduction (Exp. Coef: 0.74, confidence interval 0.52-1.06) in infection frequency among children and indicated no significant increase attributable to the test-to-stay approach. This result was not sensitive to adjustments for 7-day incidence, season, SARS-CoV-2 variant, and socioeconomic status. CONCLUSIONS: Our analyses provide evidence that suggest safety of the test-to-stay approach compared with quarantine measures. This approach offers a promising option to avoid use of quarantine after exposure to respiratory pathogens in daycare settings.

The Role of Late Presenters in HIV-1 Transmission Clusters in Europe.

BACKGROUND: Investigating the role of late presenters (LPs) in HIV-1 transmission is important, as they can contribute to the onward spread of HIV-1 virus before diagnosis, when they are not aware of their HIV status. OBJECTIVE: To characterize individuals living with HIV-1 followed up in Europe infected with subtypes A, B, and G and to compare transmission clusters (TC) in LP vs. non-late presenter (NLP) populations. METHODS: Information from a convenience sample of 2679 individuals living with HIV-1 was collected from the EuResist Integrated Database between 2008 and 2019. Maximum likelihood (ML) phylogenies were constructed using FastTree. Transmission clusters were identified using Cluster Picker. Statistical analyses were performed using R. RESULTS: 2437 (91.0%) sequences were from subtype B, 168 (6.3%) from subtype A, and 74 (2.8%) from subtype G. The median age was 39 y/o (IQR: 31.0-47.0) and 85.2% of individuals were males. The main transmission route was via homosexual (MSM) contact (60.1%) and 85.0% originated from Western Europe. In total, 54.7% of individuals were classified as LPs and 41.7% of individuals were inside TCs. In subtype A, individuals in TCs were more frequently males and natives with a recent infection. For subtype B, individuals in TCs were more frequently individuals with MSM transmission route and with a recent infection. For subtype G, individuals in TCs were those with a recent infection. When analyzing cluster size, we found that LPs more frequently belonged to small clusters (<8 individuals), particularly dual clusters (2 individuals). CONCLUSION: LP individuals are more present either outside or in small clusters, indicating a limited role of late presentation to HIV-1 transmission.