ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The birth cohort effect has been suggested to influence the rate of breast cancer incidence and the trends of associated reproductive and lifestyle factors. We conducted a cohort study to determine whether a differential pattern of associations exists between certain factors and breast cancer risk based on birth cohorts. METHODS: This was a cohort study using pooled data from 12 cohort studies. We analysed associations between reproductive (menarche age, menopause age, parity and age at first delivery) and lifestyle (smoking and alcohol consumption) factors and breast cancer risk. We obtained hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using the Cox proportional hazard regression analysis on the 1920s, 1930s, 1940s and 1950s birth cohorts. RESULTS: Parity was found to lower the risk of breast cancer in the older but not in the younger birth cohort, whereas lifestyle factors showed associations with breast cancer risk only among the participants born in the 1950s. In the younger birth cohort group, the effect size was lower for parous women compared to the other cohort groups (HR [95% CI] 0.86 [0.66-1.13] compared to 0.60 [0.49-0.73], 0.46 [0.38-0.56] and 0.62 [0.51-0.77]). Meanwhile, a higher effect size was found for smoking (1.45 [1.14-1.84] compared to 1.25 [0.99-1.58], 1.06 [0.85-1.32] and 0.86 [0.69-1.08]) and alcohol consumption (1.22 [1.01-1.48] compared to 1.10 [0.90-1.33], 1.15 [0.96-1.38], and 1.07 [0.91-1.26]). CONCLUSION: We observed different associations of parity, smoking and alcohol consumption with breast cancer risk across various birth cohorts.
Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms , Pregnancy , Female , Humans , Breast Neoplasms/epidemiology , Breast Neoplasms/etiology , Birth Cohort , Cohort Studies , Japan , Risk Factors , Life Style , China , Republic of KoreaABSTRACT
Previous studies have investigated the association between reproductive factors and lung cancer risk; however, findings have been inconsistent. In order to assess this association among Asian women, a total of 308,949 female participants from 11 prospective cohorts and four Asian countries (Japan, Korea, China, and Singapore) were included. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). A total of 3,119 primary lung cancer cases and 2247 lung cancer deaths were identified with a mean follow-up of 16.4 years. Parous women had a lower risk of lung cancer incidence and mortality as compared with nulliparous women, with HRs of 0.82 (95% CI = 0.70-0.96) and 0.78 (95% CI = 0.65-0.94). The protective association of parity and lung cancer incidence was greater among ever-smokers (HR = 0.66, 95% CI = 0.49-0.87) than in never-smokers (HR = 0.90, 95% CI = 0.74-1.09) (P-interaction = 0.029). Compared with age at first delivery ≤20 years, older age at first delivery (21-25, ≥26 years) was associated with a lower risk of lung cancer incidence and mortality. Women who ever used hormone replacements had a higher likelihood of developing non-small cell lung cancer (HR = 1.31, 95% CI = 1.02-1.68), compared to those who never used hormone replacements. Future studies are needed to assess the underlying mechanisms, the relationships within these female reproductive factors, and the potential changes in smoking habits over time.
Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung , Lung Neoplasms , Pregnancy , Female , Humans , Incidence , Prospective Studies , Lung Neoplasms/epidemiology , Asia/epidemiology , Hormones , Risk Factors , Proportional Hazards ModelsABSTRACT
The female predominance of gallbladder cancer (GBC) has led to a hypothesis regarding the hormone-related aetiology of GBC. We aimed to investigate the association between female reproductive factors and GBC risk, considering birth cohorts of Asian women. We conducted a pooled analysis of 331,323 women from 12 cohorts across 4 countries (China, Japan, Korea, and Singapore) in the Asia Cohort Consortium. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to assess the association between reproductive factors (age at menarche, parity, age at first delivery, breastfeeding, and age at menopause) and GBC risk. We observed that a later age at menarche was associated with an increased risk of GBC (HR 1.4, 95% CI 1.16-1.70 for 17 years and older vs. 13-14 years), especially among the cohort born in 1940 and later (HR 2.5, 95% CI 1.50-4.35). Among the cohort born before 1940, women with a later age at first delivery showed an increased risk of GBC (HR 1.56, 95% CI 1.08-2.24 for 31 years of age and older vs. 20 years of age and younger). Other reproductive factors did not show a clear association with GBC risk. Later ages at menarche and at first delivery were associated with a higher risk of GBC, and these associations varied by birth cohort.
Subject(s)
Gallbladder Neoplasms , Menarche , Humans , Female , Gallbladder Neoplasms/epidemiology , Gallbladder Neoplasms/etiology , Middle Aged , Risk Factors , Adult , Asia/epidemiology , Aged , Cohort Studies , Reproductive History , Proportional Hazards Models , Menopause , Age Factors , Adolescent , ParityABSTRACT
There has been growing evidence suggesting that diabetes may be associated with increased liver cancer risk. However, studies conducted in Asian countries are limited. This project considered data of 968,738 adults pooled from 20 cohort studies of Asia Cohort Consortium to examine the association between baseline diabetes and liver cancer incidence and mortality. Cox proportional hazard model and competing risk approach was used for pooled data. Two-stage meta-analysis across studies was also done. There were 839,194 subjects with valid data regarding liver cancer incidence (5654 liver cancer cases [48.29/100,000 person-years]), follow-up time and baseline diabetes (44,781 with diabetes [5.3%]). There were 747,198 subjects with valid data regarding liver cancer mortality (5020 liver cancer deaths [44.03/100,000 person-years]), follow-up time and baseline diabetes (43,243 with diabetes [5.8%]). Hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval [95%CI]) of liver cancer diagnosis in those with vs. without baseline diabetes was 1.97 (1.79, 2.16) (p < .0001) after adjusting for baseline age, gender, body mass index, tobacco smoking, alcohol use, and heterogeneity across studies (n = 586,072; events = 4620). Baseline diabetes was associated with increased cumulative incidence of death due to liver cancer (adjusted HR (95%CI) = 1.97 (1.79, 2.18); p < .0001) (n = 595,193; events = 4110). A two-stage meta-analytic approach showed similar results. This paper adds important population-based evidence to current literature regarding the increased incidence and mortality of liver cancer in adults with diabetes. The analysis of data pooled from 20 studies of different Asian countries and the meta-analysis across studies with large number of subjects makes the results robust.
Subject(s)
Liver Neoplasms , Humans , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/mortality , Incidence , Asia/epidemiology , Male , Female , Adult , Middle Aged , Cohort Studies , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology , Diabetes Mellitus/mortality , Risk Factors , Proportional Hazards Models , AgedABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The family history of gastric cancer holds important implications for cancer surveillance and prevention, yet existing evidence predominantly comes from case-control studies. We aimed to investigate the association between family history of gastric cancer and gastric cancer risk overall and by various subtypes in Asians in a prospective study. METHODS: We included 12 prospective cohorts with 550,508 participants in the Asia Cohort Consortium. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to estimate study-specific adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between family history of gastric cancer and gastric cancer incidence and mortality, then pooled using random-effects meta-analyses. Stratified analyses were performed for the anatomical subsites and histological subtypes. RESULTS: During the mean follow-up of 15.6 years, 2258 incident gastric cancers and 5194 gastric cancer deaths occurred. The risk of incident gastric cancer was higher in individuals with a family history of gastric cancer (HR 1.44, 95% CI 1.32-1.58), similarly in males (1.44, 1.31-1.59) and females (1.45, 1.23-1.70). Family history of gastric cancer was associated with both cardia (HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.00-1.60) and non-cardia subsites (1.49, 1.35-1.65), and with intestinal- (1.48, 1.30-1.70) and diffuse-type (1.59, 1.35-1.87) gastric cancer incidence. Positive associations were also found for gastric cancer mortality (HR 1.30, 95% CI 1.19-1.41). CONCLUSIONS: In this largest prospective study to date on family history and gastric cancer, a familial background of gastric cancer increased the risk of gastric cancer in the Asian population. Targeted education, screening, and intervention in these high-risk groups may reduce the burden of gastric cancer.
Subject(s)
Stomach Neoplasms , Humans , Stomach Neoplasms/mortality , Stomach Neoplasms/epidemiology , Stomach Neoplasms/genetics , Male , Female , Incidence , Asia/epidemiology , Prospective Studies , Middle Aged , Risk Factors , Aged , Adult , Follow-Up Studies , Genetic Predisposition to DiseaseABSTRACT
Importance: Candidate gene analysis approaches have shown that colorectal cancer (CRC) risk attributable to diet may differ according to genotype. A genome-wide approach further allows for the exploration of underlying pathways for associations between diet and CRC risk across the genome. Objectives: To identify genetic variants that modify diet-CRC associations and to further explore the underlying pathways in the cause of CRC. Design, Setting, and Participants: This nested case-control study used data on White British participants from the prospective cohort UK Biobank. Participants were recruited between March 13, 2006, and October 1, 2010, and data were censored June 25, 2021. Exposures: The average frequency intake of 11 dietary factors in the year preceding baseline was obtained via a touchscreen questionnaire. After quality control for more than 93 million variants of imputed genetic data, 4â¯122â¯345 variants remained. Main Outcomes and Measures: Colorectal cancer cases were identified according to the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision. Genome-wide interaction analysis was performed to test interactions between dietary factors and variants using a conditional logistic regression model. Summary statistics of interactions at the variant level were used to calculate empirical P values for interactions at gene and gene-set levels in gene-based and gene-set enrichment analyses. Results: A total of 4686 participants with CRC (mean [SD] age, 60.7 [6.6] years; 2707 men [57.8%]) received a new diagnosis during a median of 12.4 years (IQR, 11.6-13.1 years) of follow-up. Once a case was detected, 3 matched controls were identified, for a total of 14â¯058 controls (mean [SD] age, 60.4 [6.6] years; 8121 men [57.8%]). A total of 324 variants were identified that interacted with diet consumption at the suggestive threshold (P < 1 × 10-5). In gene-based analysis, aggregation of multiple EPDR1 gene variants was found to interact with fish intake regarding CRC risk. Furthermore, gene-set enrichment analysis found that several sets of protein-coding genes, which were overrepresented with particular functions and pathways, interacted with the consumption of milk (ART), cheese (OR), tea (KRT), and alcohol (PRM and TNP). Conclusions and Relevance: In this nested case-control study, the risk of CRC associated with fish intake was modified by multiple single-nucleotide polymorphisms of the EPDR1 gene. The findings further suggested possible functions and pathways that might link the consumption of milk, cheese, tea, and alcohol with CRC development.
Subject(s)
Biological Specimen Banks , Colorectal Neoplasms , Animals , Male , Humans , Middle Aged , Case-Control Studies , Prospective Studies , UK Biobank , Ethanol , Eating , Colorectal Neoplasms/epidemiology , Colorectal Neoplasms/genetics , TeaABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Evidence suggests a possible link between diabetes and gastric cancer risk, but the findings remain inconclusive, with limited studies in the Asian population. We aimed to assess the impact of diabetes and diabetes duration on the development of gastric cancer overall, by anatomical and histological subtypes. METHODS: A pooled analysis was conducted using 12 prospective studies included in the Asia Cohort Consortium. Among 558 981 participants (median age 52), after a median follow-up of 14.9 years and 10.5 years, 8556 incident primary gastric cancers and 8058 gastric cancer deaths occurred, respectively. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to estimate study-specific hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and pooled using random-effects meta-analyses. RESULTS: Diabetes was associated with an increased incidence of overall gastric cancer (HR 1.15, 95% CI 1.06-1.25). The risk association did not differ significantly by sex (women vs men: HR 1.31, 95% CI 1.07-1.60 vs 1.12, 1.01-1.23), anatomical subsites (noncardia vs cardia: 1.14, 1.02-1.28 vs 1.17, 0.77-1.78) and histological subtypes (intestinal vs diffuse: 1.22, 1.02-1.46 vs 1.00, 0.62-1.61). Gastric cancer risk increased significantly during the first decade following diabetes diagnosis (HR 4.70, 95% CI 3.77-5.86), and decreased with time (nonlinear p < .01). Positive associations between diabetes and gastric cancer mortality were observed (HR 1.15, 95% CI 1.03-1.28) but attenuated after a 2-year time lag. CONCLUSION: Diabetes was associated with an increased gastric cancer incidence regardless of sex, anatomical subsite, or subtypes of gastric cancer. The risk of gastric cancer was particularly high during the first decade following diabetes diagnosis.