Long-term exposure to air pollution and precocious puberty in South Korea.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The increasing prevalence of precocious puberty (PP) has emerged as a significant medical and social problem worldwide. However, research on the relationship between long-term air pollution exposure and PP has been relatively limited. We thus investigated the association between long-term air pollution exposure and the onset of PP in South Korea. METHODS: We investigated a retrospective cohort using the Korea National Health Insurance Database. Six-year-old children born from 2007 to 2009 were examined (2013-2015). We included boys ≤10 years and girls aged ≤9 years who visited hospitals for early pubertal development, were diagnosed with PP per the ICD-10 (E228, E301, and E309), and received gonadotropin-releasing hormone agonist treatment. We analyzed data for boys up until 10 years old (60-month follow-up) and for girls up to 9 years old (48-month follow-up). We assessed the association between long-term air pollution exposure and the onset of PP using a Cox proportional hazard model. We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) per 1 µg/m3 increase in fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and particulate matter (PM10) and per 1 ppb increase in sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and ozone (O3). RESULTS: This study included 1,205,784 children aged six years old between 2013 and 2015. A positive association was found between the 48-month moving average PM2.5 (HR: 1.019; 95% CI: 1.012, 1.027), PM10 (HR: 1.009; 95% CI: 1.006, 1.013), SO2 (HR: 1.037; 95% CI: 1.018, 1.055), and O3 (HR: 1.006; 95% CI: 1.001, 1.010) exposure and PP in girls but not boys. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides valuable insights into the harmful effects of air pollution during childhood and adolescence, emphasizing that air pollution is a risk factor that should be managed and reduced.

Association of long-term exposure to PM2.5 and survival following ischemic heart disease.

BACKGROUND: Numerous studies have suggested that long-term exposure to particulate matter ≤2.5 µm (PM2.5) may cause cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. However, susceptibility among those with a history of ischemic heart disease is less clearly understood. We aimed to evaluate whether long-term PM2.5 exposure is related to mortality among patients with ischemic heart disease. METHODS: We followed up 306,418 patients hospitalized with ischemic heart disease in seven major cities in South Korea between 2008 and 2016 using the National Health Insurance Database. We linked the modeled PM2.5 data corresponding to each patient's administrative districts and estimated hazard ratios (HRs) of cause-specific mortality associated with the long-term exposure to PM2.5 in time-varying Cox proportional hazard models after adjusting for individual- and area-level characteristics. We also estimated HRs by sex, age group (65-74 vs. ≥75 years), and household income. RESULTS: Of the patients with ischemic heart disease, mean age at the discharge was 76.8 years, and 105,913 died during a mean follow-up duration of 21.4 months. The HR of all-cause mortality was 1.10 [95% confidence intervals (CI): 1.07, 1.14] per 10 µg/m3 increase in a 12-month moving average PM2.5. The HRs of cardiovascular, stroke, and ischemic heart disease were 1.17 (95% CI: 1.11, 1.24), 1.17 (95% CI: 1.06, 1.30), and 1.25 (95% CI: 1.15, 1.35), respectively. The subgroup analyses showed that participants aged 65-74 years were more susceptible to adverse effects of PM2.5 exposure. We did not observe any differences in the risk by sex and household income. CONCLUSION: Mortality from all-cause and cardiovascular disease following hospitalization due to ischemic heart disease was higher among individuals with greater PM2.5 exposure in seven major cities in South Korea. The result supports the association of long-term exposure to air pollution with poor prognosis among patients with ischemic heart disease.

Effective Emoticon Suggestion Technique Based on Active Emotional Input Using Facial Expressions and Heart Rate Signals.

The evolution of mobile communication technology has brought about significant changes in the way people communicate. However, the lack of nonverbal cues in computer-mediated communication can make the accurate interpretation of emotions difficult. This study proposes a novel approach for using emotions as active input in mobile systems. This approach combines psychological and neuroscientific principles to accurately and comprehensively assess an individual's emotions for use as input in mobile systems. The proposed technique combines facial and heart rate information to recognize users' five prime emotions, which can be implemented on mobile devices using a front camera and a heart rate sensor. A user evaluation was conducted to verify the efficacy and feasibility of the proposed technique, and the results showed that users could express emotions faster and more accurately, with average recognition accuracies of 90% and 82% for induced and intended emotional expression, respectively. The proposed technique has the potential to enhance the user experience and provide more personalized and dynamic interaction with mobile systems.

Association between long-term exposure to particulate matter and childhood cancer: A retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Although particulate matter is a known carcinogen, its association with childhood cancer is inconclusive. The present study aimed to examine the association between long-term exposure to particulate matter and childhood cancer. METHODS: A retrospective cohort was constructed from the claims database of the Korea National Health Insurance Service, including children born in seven metropolitan cities in Korea between 2002 and 2012. Monthly mean concentrations of particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter <10 µm (PM10) and other air pollutants (NO2, SO2, CO, and O3) were calculated using data from the AirKorea. Monthly mean concentrations of particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter <2.5 µm (PM2.5) were estimated based on a data fusion approach. Cumulative exposure was assessed by averaging the monthly concentrations accounting for the residential mobility of the children. The occurrence of cancer was identified by the appearance of diagnosis codes in the claims database. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were calculated using Cox proportional regression, adjusting for potential confounders and O3 concentrations. RESULTS: During the study period, 1,725 patients were newly diagnosed with cancer among 1,261,855 children. HR of all cancers per 10 µg/m3 increment in annual mean concentrations of PM2.5 and PM10 were 3.02 (95% CI: 1.63, 5.59) and 1.04 (0.74, 1.45), respectively. CONCLUSION: PM2.5 exposure was positively associated with childhood cancer in a large retrospective cohort with exposure assessment accounting for residential mobility.

Efficient Integrity-Tree Structure for Convolutional Neural Networks through Frequent Counter Overflow Prevention in Secure Memories.

Advancements in convolutional neural network (CNN) have resulted in remarkable success in various computing fields. However, the need to protect data against external security attacks has become increasingly important because inference process in CNNs exploit sensitive data. Secure Memory is a hardware-based protection technique that can protect the sensitive data of CNNs. However, naively applying secure memory to a CNN application causes significant performance and energy overhead. Furthermore, ensuring secure memory becomes more difficult in environments that require area efficiency and low-power execution, such as the Internet of Things (IoT). In this paper, we investigated memory access patterns for CNN workloads and analyzed their effects on secure memory performance. According to our observations, most CNN workloads intensively write to narrow memory regions, which can cause a considerable number of counter overflows. On average, 87.6% of total writes occur in 6.8% of the allocated memory space; in the extreme case, 93.9% of total writes occur in 1.4% of the allocated memory space. Based on our observations, we propose an efficient integrity-tree structure called Countermark-tree that is suitable for CNN workloads. The proposed technique reduces overall energy consumption by 48%, shows a performance improvement of 11.2% compared to VAULT-128, and requires a similar integrity-tree size to VAULT-64, a state-of-the-art technique.

Particulate Nitrosamines and Nitramines in Seoul and Their Major Sources: Primary Emission versus Secondary Formation.

Seven nitrosamines and three nitramines in particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of less than or equal to 2.5 µm (PM2.5) collected in 2018 in Seoul, South Korea, were quantified. Annual mean concentrations of the sum of nitrosamines and nitramines were 9.81 ± 18.51 and 1.12 ± 0.70 ng/m3, respectively, and nitrosodi-methylamine (NDMA) and dimethyl-nitramine (DMN) comprised the largest portion of nitrosamines and nitramines, respectively. Statistical analyses such as non-parametric correlation analysis, positive matrix factorization, analysis of covariance, and orthogonal partial least squared discrimination analysis were carried out to identify contribution of the atmospheric reactions in producing NDMA and DMN. In addition, kinetic calculation using reaction information obtained from the previous chamber studies was performed to estimate concentrations of NDMA and DMN that might be produced from the atmospheric reactions. It was concluded that (1) the atmospheric reactions contributed to the concentrations of NDMA more than they did for those of DMN, (2) the contribution of atmospheric reactions to the concentrations of NDMA and DMN was significant due to high NO2 concentrations in winter, and (3) primary emissions predominantly affected the ambient concentrations of NDMA and DMN in spring, summer, and autumn.

Particulate air pollution and survival after stroke in older adults: A retrospective cohort study in Korea.

Although many studies have evaluated the effects of ambient particulate matter with diameters of less than 2.5 µm (PM2.5) on stroke mortality in the general population, little is known about the mortality effects of PM2.5 in post-stroke populations. Therefore, a retrospective cohort was constructed using information from the health insurance database to evaluate whether exposure to PM2.5 is associated with increased mortality in aged stroke survivors residing in seven Korean metropolitan cities. A total of 45,513 older adults (≥65 years) who visited emergency rooms due to stroke and who were discharged alive between 2008 and 2016 were followed up. By using district-level modeled PM2.5 concentrations and a time-varying Cox proportional hazard model, associations between 1-month and 2-month moving average PM2.5 exposures and mortality in stroke survivors were evaluated. The annual average concentration of PM2.5 was 27.9 µg/m3 in the seven metropolitan cities, and 14,880 subjects died during the follow-up period. A 10 µg/m3 increase in the 1-month and 2-month moving average PM2.5 exposures was associated with mortality hazard ratios of 1.07 (95% confidence interval: 1.05, 1.09) and 1.06 (95% confidence interval: 1.03, 1.08), respectively. The effects of PM2.5 were similar across types of stroke (ischemic and hemorrhagic), age groups (65-74, 75-84, and ≥85), and income groups (low and high) but were greater in women than in men. This study highlights the adverse health effects of ambient PM2.5 in post-stroke populations. Active avoidance behaviors against PM2.5 are recommended for aged stroke survivors.

Short-term exposure to air pollution and hospital admission for heart failure among older adults in metropolitan cities: a time-series study.

PURPOSE: We aimed to investigate the association between air pollution concentration levels and hospital admissions for heart failure (HF) among older adults in metropolitan cities in South Korea. METHODS: We used hospital admission data of 1.8 million older adults in seven metropolitan cities from 2008 to 2016, derived from the National Health Insurance Service of South Korea. Daily HF admission data were linked to air pollutants concentrations for the respective dates, including particulate matter less than 2.5 µm in size (PM2.5), 10 µm (PM10), sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), carbon monoxide (CO), and ozone. We estimated the association between air pollutants and daily HF admissions using quasi-Poisson generalized additive models for each city. RESULTS: During the study period, 142,490 hospital admissions for HF were noted. Increases of 10 µg/m3 of PM2.5 and PM10, and 10 ppb of SO2, NO2, and CO were associated with an increased risk of HF admission by 0.93% ([95% confidence intervals 0.51-1.36], 0.55% [0.31-0.80], 6.04% [2.15-10.08], 1.10% [0.38-1.82], and 0.05% [0.01-0.09]), respectively, on the same day. Increases in mean exposure to PM2.5, PM10, and SO2 for 8 days from the concurrent day were also significantly associated with HF admissions. During the warm season, the risk of HF admissions increased shortly after an increase in PM2.5, whereas prolonged effects were observed during the cold season. CONCLUSION: Our study suggests the adverse effects of air pollution on HF. Moreover, the evidence of seasonality may help tailor protection guidelines for older adults.

Source country-specific burden on health due to high concentrations of PM2.5.

Asian countries face frequent spikes in concentrations of particulate matter smaller than 2.5 µm (PM2.5), which may consist of domestic emissions, transported pollutants from neighboring countries, and secondary aerosol formation (SAF). We aimed to estimate the burden on health in South Korea due to PM2.5 exposure from source countries. We computed the health benefits of meeting air quality guidelines during high pollution periods or spike periods. We used daily mortality counts, PM2.5 concentrations, and primary and secondary contributions to pollutant levels in seven cities and nine provinces in South Korea during 2006-2016. Generalized additive mixed modeling with a Poisson distribution and random effects in 16 regions was used to examine the short-term effects of PM2.5 on mortality. We computed attributable burden due to PM2.5 exposure and the potential benefits of meeting the air quality guidelines set by the World Health Organization (WHO, 25 µg/m3) and the Korea Ministry of Environment (50 and 35 µg/m3 before and after 2015, respectively). A concentration-response curve showed a non-linear relationship between daily mortality counts and PM2.5 levels. The short-term health impacts of PM2.5 were suggested to be 1638 non-accidental deaths in 2016 in South Korea due to daily domestic emissions and pollutants transported from neighboring countries. Of these, 1509, 995, or 238 deaths could have been prevented if the daily mean PM2.5 concentration had been kept below 25, 35, or 50 µg/m3. After accounting for the contribution of SAF to PM2.5, primary sources of PM2.5 resulted in 258-860 and 26-88 deaths due to pollution transported from China and North Korea, respectively, and 162-538 deaths were due to domestic emissions. Meeting the air quality guidelines of the WHO could have prevented most of these deaths.

Prenatal exposure to traffic-related air pollution and risk of congenital diseases in South Korea.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have suggested links between exposure to ambient air pollutants and increased risk of congenital heart defects. However, few studies have investigated the association between other congenital diseases and traffic-related air pollution. In this study, we assessed the relationship between prenatal exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) with congenital diseases in South Korea. METHODS: Patients with one or more congenital diseases and a control group of patients with non-infective gastroenteritis and colitis with a case:control ratio of 1:3 were obtained from the National Health Insurance Service data for 2008-2013 in South Korea. We estimated the associations of PM2.5 and NO2 exposures with congenital diseases using generalized estimation equations after controlling for covariates. RESULTS: Maternal PM2.5 exposure during the first and second trimester showed positive associations with overall congenital diseases, with changes of 14.7% (95% confidence intervals (CI), 9.3%, 20.3%) and 16.2% (95% CI, 11.0%, 21.7%), respectively, per 11.1 µg/m3 and 10.2 µg/m3 increase of PM2.5 interquartile range (IQR). Similarly, NO2 exposure during the first and second trimester was associated with increased numbers of overall congenital anomalies, with 8.2% (95% CI, 4.2%, 12.3%) and 15.6% (95% CI, 9.3%, 22.2%) more cases, respectively, per 10.6 ppb increase of NO2. We found that maternal PM2.5 exposure during the first and second trimesters of pregnancy was significantly associated with increased risk of specific congenital diseases, including subtypes affecting the circulatory, genitourinary, and musculoskeletal system. However, no significant associations were observed during the third trimester. Maternal NO2 exposure across the entire pregnancy was associated with malformations of the musculoskeletal system. CONCLUSIONS: Our study identified significant links between in utero exposure to PM2.5 and NO2 and certain congenital diseases, and suggests that stricter controls on PM2.5 and NO2 concentrations are required.

Spatial and Temporal Trends of Number of Deaths Attributable to Ambient PM2.5 in the Korea.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to evaluate the spatial and temporal trends of the health burden attributable to particulate matter less than 2.5 µm in diameter (PM2.5) in the metropolitan cities and provinces of the Korea. METHODS: We used modeled PM2.5 concentration data for the basic administrative levels, comprising the cities and the provinces of Korea, the corresponding annual population census data for each level, and the age and cause specific mortality data. We applied cause-specific integrated exposure-response functions to calculate the premature mortality attributable to ambient PM2.5 for four disease end points (ischemic heart disease [IHD], chronic obstructive pulmonary disease [COPD], lung cancer [LC], and cerebrovascular disease [stroke]) for the year 2015. Moreover, the temporal trends of the health burden from 2006 to 2015 were assessed. RESULTS: The annual average PM2.5 concentration for Korea was 24.4 µg/m3, and 11,924 premature deaths were attributable to PM2.5 exposure in 2015. By simulating the reduction in the annual mean values of PM2.5 to 10 µg/m3, about 8,539 premature deaths were preventable. There was spatial variation in mortality burden attributable to PM2.5 across the sub-national regions of Korea. In particular, the high burden was concentrated at Seoul and Gyeonggi province due to the high population density. However, decreasing trends were noted for most of the metropolitan cities and provinces of Korea since 2006. CONCLUSION: Our findings show that further actions to improve air quality in Korea would substantially improve the health burden due to particulate matter.

Impact of ozonation on the formation of particulate nitrosodi-methylamine (NDMA) in atmosphere.

The contribution of ozonation to the formation of particulate nitrosodi-methylamine (NDMA) in the aqueous aerosol phase was investigated using measurement data from 2018 in Seoul, Republic of Korea and a box model. The correlation between the NDMA concentration and aerosol liquid water content and box model results showed that aqueous aerosol phase reactions, including nitrosation and ozonation, might contribute to the formation of NDMA. The concentration of NDMA and the ratio of O3/dimethylamine exhibited a negative correlation, suggesting that the contribution of ozonation to NDMA formation may not be significant. Furthermore, when the daily concentration of NDMA exceeded 10 ng/m3, the pH was 3.96 ± 0.48, indicating that the impact of ozonation on NDMA concentration might not be significant. To quantitatively investigate the contribution of ozonation, the ozonation mechanism that forms NDMA was included in the box model developed in our previous study. The model results showed that the ozonation contributed to the ambient concentration of NDMA (7.9 ± 3.8% (winter); 1.9 ± 3.0% (spring); 10.0 ± 0.77% (summer); 3.6 ± 7.3% (autumn)). It is estimated that the relatively higher O3/NOx ratio in summer (1.63 ± 0.69; 0.64 ± 0.52 (winter); 1.14 ± 0.92 (spring); 0.52 ± 0.54 (autumn)) could enhance ozonation and that relatively lower pH in summer (2.2 ± 0.4; 5.3 ± 1.2 (winter); 3.9 ± 1.2 (spring); 3.9 ± 0.7 (autumn)) could hinder nitrosation compared to that in other seasons.

Mortality Burden Due to Short-term Exposure to Fine Particulate Matter in Korea.

OBJECTIVES: Excess mortality associated with long-term exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) has been documented. However, research on the disease burden following short-term exposure is scarce. We investigated the cause-specific mortality burden of short-term exposure to PM2.5 by considering the potential non-linear concentration-response relationship in Korea. METHODS: Daily cause-specific mortality rates and PM2.5 exposure levels from 2010 to 2019 were collected for 8 Korean cities and 9 provinces. A generalized additive mixed model was employed to estimate the non-linear relationship between PM2.5 exposure and cause-specific mortality levels. We assumed no detrimental health effects of PM2.5 concentrations below 15 µg/m3. Overall deaths attributable to short-term PM2.5 exposure were estimated by summing the daily numbers of excess deaths associated with ambient PM2.5 exposure. RESULTS: Of the 2 749 704 recorded deaths, 2 453 686 (89.2%) were non-accidental, 591 267 (21.5%) were cardiovascular, and 141 066 (5.1%) were respiratory in nature. A non-linear relationship was observed between all-cause mortality and exposure to PM2.5 at lag0, whereas linear associations were evident for cause-specific mortalities. Overall, 10 814 all-cause, 7855 non-accidental, 1642 cardiovascular, and 708 respiratory deaths were attributed to short-term exposure to PM2.5. The estimated number of all-cause excess deaths due to short-term PM2.5 exposure in 2019 was 1039 (95% confidence interval, 604 to 1472). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate an association between short-term PM2.5 exposure and various mortality rates (all-cause, non-accidental, cardiovascular, and respiratory) in Korea over the period from 2010 to 2019. Consequently, action plans should be developed to reduce deaths attributable to short-term exposure to PM2.5.

North Korean CO emissions reconstruction using DMZ ground observations, TROPOMI space-borne data, and the CMAQ air quality model.

Emission uncertainty in North Korea can act as an obstacle when developing air pollution management plans in the country and neighboring countries when the transboundary transport of air pollutants is considered. This study introduces a novel approach for adjusting and reallocating North Korean CO emissions, aiming to complement the limited observational and emissions data on the country's air pollutants. We utilized ground observations from demilitarized zone (DMZ) and vertical column density (VCD) data from a TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI), which were combined with the Community Multi-Scale Air Quality (CMAQ) chemistry transport model simulations. The Clean Air Support System (CAPSS) and Satellite Integrated Joint Monitoring of Air Quality (SIJAQ) emissions inventories served as the basis for our initial simulations. A two-step procedure was proposed to adjust both the emission intensity and the spatial distribution of emissions. First, air quality simulations were conducted to explore model sensitivity to changes in North Korean CO emissions with respect to ground concentrations. DMZ observations then constrained these simulations to estimate corresponding emission intensity. Second, the spatial structure of North Korean CO emission sources was reconstructed with the help of TROPOMI CO VCD distributions. Our two-step hybrid method outperformed individual emissions adjustment and spatial reallocation based solely on surface or satellite observations. Validation using ground observations from the Chinese Dandong site near the China-North Korea border revealed significantly improved model simulations when applying the updated CO emissions. The adjusted CO emissions were 10.9 times higher than those derived from the bottom-up emissions used in this study, highlighting the lack of information on North Korean pollutants and emission sources. This approach offers an efficient and practical solution for identifying potential missing emission sources when there is limited on-site information about air quality on emissions.

A multifaceted approach to explain short- and long-term PM2.5 concentration changes in Northeast Asia in the month of January during 2016-2021.

Changes in PM2.5 concentrations are influenced by interwoven impacts of key drivers (e.g., meteorology, local emissions, and regional emissions). However, it is challenging to quantitatively disentangle their impacts individually at once. Therefore, we introduced a multifaceted approach (i.e., meteorology vs. emissions and self-contribution vs. long-range transport) to analyze the effects of major drivers for long- and short-term PM2.5 concentration changes based on observation and simulation in the month of January during 2016-2021 in Northeast Asia. For the simulations, we conducted modeling with the WRF-CMAQ system. The observed PM2.5 concentrations in China and South Korea in January 2021 decreased by 13.7 and 9.8 µg/m3, respectively, compared to those in January 2016. Emission change was the dominant factor to reduce PM2.5 concentrations in China (-115%) and South Korea (-74%) for the 6 years. However, the short-term changes in PM2.5 concentrations between January of 2020-2021 were mainly driven by meteorological conditions in China (-73%) and South Korea (-68%). At the same time, in South Korea located in downwind area, the impact of long-range transport from upwind area (LTI) decreased by 55% (9.6 µg/m3) over the 6 years whereas the impact of local emissions increased (+2.9 µg/m3/year) during 2016-2019 but decreased (-4.5 µg/m3/year) during 2019-2021. Additionally, PM2.5 concentrations in the upwind area showed a positive relationship with LTIs. However, for the days when westerly winds became weak in the downwind area, high PM2.5 concentrations in upwind area did not lead to high LTIs. These results imply that the decline of PM2.5 concentrations in South Korea was significantly affected by a combination of emission reduction in upwind area and meteorological conditions that hinder long-range transport. The proposed multifaceted approach can identify the main drivers of PM2.5 concentration change in a region by considering the regional characteristics.

Role of vertical advection and diffusion in long-range PM2.5 transport in Northeast Asia.

This study quantitatively analyzed the role of vertical mixing in long-range transport (LRT) of PM2.5 during its high concentration episode in Northeast Asia toward the end of February 2014. The PM2.5 transport process from an upwind to downwind area was examined using the Community Multi-scale Air Quality (CMAQ) modeling system with its instrumented tool and certain code modifications. We identified serial distinctive roles of vertical advection (ZADV) and diffusion (VDIF) processes. The surface PM2.5 in an upwind area became aloft by VDIF- during daytime-to the planetary boundary layer (PBL) altitude of 1 km or lower. In contrast, ZADV updraft effectively transported PM2.5 vertically to an altitude of 2-3 km above the PBL. Furthermore, we found that the VDIF and ZADV in the upwind area synergistically promoted the vertical mixing of air pollutants up to an altitude of 1 km and higher. The aloft PM2.5 in the upwind area was then transported to the downwind area by horizontal advection (HADV), which was faster than HADV at the surface layer. Additionally, VDIF and ZADV over the downwind area mixed down the aloft PM2.5 on the surface. During this period, the VDIF and ZADV increased the PM2.5 concentrations in the downwind area by up to 15 µg·m-3 (15%) and 101 µg·m-3 (60%), respectively. This study highlights the importance of vertical mixing on long-range PM2.5 transport and warrants more in-depth model analysis with three-dimensional observations to enhance its comprehensive understanding.

Adjusting elemental carbon emissions in Northeast Asia using observed surface concentrations of downwind area and simulated contributions.

In this study, we developed a practical approach to augment elemental carbon (EC) emissions to improve the reproducibility of the most recent air quality with photochemical grid modeling in support of source-receptor relationship analysis. We demonstrated the usefulness of this approach with a series of simulations for EC concentrations over Northeast Asia during the 2016 Korea-United States Air Quality study. Considering the difficulty of acquiring EC observational data in foreign countries, our approach takes two steps: (1) augmenting upwind EC emissions based on simulated upwind contributions and observational data at a downwind EC monitor considered as the most representative monitor for upwind influences and (2) adjusting downwind EC emissions based on simulated downwind contributions, including the effects of updated upwind emissions from the first step and observational data at the downwind EC monitors. The emission adjustment approach resulted in EC emissions 2.5 times higher than the original emissions in the modeling domain. The EC concentration in the downwind area was observed to be 1.0 µg m-3 during the study period, while the simulated EC concentration was 0.5 µg m-3 before the emission adjustment. After the adjustment, the normalized mean error of the daily mean EC concentration decreased from 48 % to 22 % at ground monitor locations. We found that the EC simulation results were improved at high altitudes, and the contribution of the upwind areas was greater than that of the downwind areas for EC concentrations downwind with or without emission adjustment. This implies that collaborating with upwind regions is essential to alleviate high EC concentrations in downwind areas. The developed emission adjustment approach can be used for any upwind or downwind area when transboundary air pollution mitigation is needed because it provides better reproducibility of the most recent air quality through modeling with improved emission data.

Source contributions of sulfate aerosol over East Asia estimated by CMAQ-DDM.

We applied the decoupled direct method (DDM), a sensitivity analysis technique for computing sensitivities accurately and efficiently, to determine the source-receptor relationships of anthropogenic SO(2) emissions to sulfate aerosol over East Asia. We assessed source contributions from East Asia being transported to Oki Island downwind from China and Korea during two air pollution episodes that occurred in July 2005. The contribution from China, particularly that from central eastern China (CEC), was found to dominate the sulfate aerosols. To study these contributions in more detail, CEC was divided into three regions, and the contributions from each region were examined. Source contributions exhibited both temporal and vertical variability, largely due to transport patterns imposed by the Asian summer monsoon. Our results are consistent with backward trajectory analyses. We found that anthropogenic SO(2) emissions from China produce significant quantities of summertime sulfate aerosols downwind of source areas. We used a parametric scaling method for estimating anthropogenic SO(2) emissions in China. Using column amounts of SO(2) derived from satellite data, and relationships between the column amounts of SO(2) and anthropogenic emissions, 2009 emissions were diagnosed. The results showed that 2009 emissions of SO(2) from China were equivalent to 2004 levels.

An observation-based adjustment method of regional contribution estimation from upwind emissions to downwind PM2.5 concentrations.

We propose a method to adjust contributions from upwind emissions to downwind PM2.5 concentrations to account for the differences between observed and simulated PM2.5 concentrations in an upwind area. Emissions inventories (EI) typically have a time lag between the inventory year and the release year. In addition, traditional emission control policies and social issues such as the COVID-19 pandemic cause steady or unexpected changes in anthropogenic emissions. These uncertainties could result in overestimation of the emission impacts of upwind areas on downwind areas if emissions used in modeling for the upwind areas were larger than the reality. In this study, South Korea was defined as the downwind area while other regions in Northeast Asia including China were defined as the upwind areas to evaluate applicability of the proposed adjustment method. We estimated the contribution of emissions released from the upwind areas to PM2.5 concentrations in South Korea from 2015 to 2020 using a three-dimensional photochemical model with two EIs. In these two simulations for 2015-2020, the annual mean foreign contributions differed by 4.1-5.5 µg/m3. However, after adjustment, the differences decreased to 0.4-1.1 µg/m3. The adjusted annual mean foreign contributions were 12.7 and 8.8 µg/m3 during 2015-2017 and 2018-2020, respectively. Finally, we applied the adjustment method to the COVID-19 pandemic period to evaluate the applicability for short-term episodes. The foreign contribution of PM2.5 during the lockdown period in China decreased by 30% after adjustment and the PM2.5 normalized mean bias in South Korea improved from 15% to -4%. This result suggests that the upwind contribution adjustment can be used to alleviate the uncertainty of the emissions inventory used in air quality simulations. We believe that the proposed upwind contribution adjustment method can help to correctly understand the contributions of local and upwind emissions to PM2.5 concentrations in downwind areas.

Age-specific effects of ozone on pneumonia in Korean children and adolescents: a nationwide time-series study.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to estimate the age-specific effects of 8-hour maximum ozone levels on pneumonia in children and adolescents. METHODS: We performed quasi-Poisson regression analyses for individuals of 0-4 years, 5-9 years, 10-14 years, and 15-19 years of age using nationwide time-series data from the Korea (2011-2015). We constructed distributed lag linear models employing a generalized difference-in-differences method and controlling for other air pollutants. RESULTS: A 10.0-parts per billion increase in 8-hour maximum ozone levels was associated with a higher risk of hospital admissions due to pneumonia at 0-4 (relative risk [RR], 1.02; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01 to 1.03) and 5-9 years of age (RR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.04 to 1.08), but not at 10-14 (RR, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.98 to 1.04) or 15-19 years of age (RR, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.97 to 1.06). The association between ozone and hospital admissions due to pneumonia was stronger in cool seasons (from November to April) than in warm seasons (from May to October), but was similar between boys and girls. CONCLUSIONS: Short-term exposure to ozone was associated with a higher risk of pneumonia at 0-4 years and 5-9 years of age, but not at 10-14 years or 15-19 years of age. Our findings can help identify vulnerable periods, determine the target populations for public health interventions, and establish air pollution standards.