Why Most Acute Stroke Studies Are Positive in Animals but Not in Patients: A Systematic Comparison of Preclinical, Early Phase, and Phase 3 Clinical Trials of Neuroprotective Agents.

OBJECTIVE: To analyze why numerous acute stroke treatments were successful in the laboratory but failed in large clinical trials. METHODS: We searched all phase 3 trials of medical treatments for acute ischemic stroke and corresponding early clinical and experimental studies. We compared the overall efficacy and assessed the impact of publication bias and study design on the efficacy. Furthermore, we estimated power and true report probability of experimental studies. RESULTS: We identified 50 phase 3 trials with 46,008 subjects, 75 early clinical trials with 12,391 subjects, and 209 experimental studies with >7,141 subjects. Three (6%) phase 3, 24 (32%) early clinical, and 143 (69.08%) experimental studies were positive. The mean treatment effect was 0.76 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.70-0.83) in experimental studies, 0.87 (95% CI = 0.71-1.06) in early clinical trials, and 1.00 (95% CI = 0.95-1.06) in phase 3 trials. Funnel plot asymmetry and trim-and-fill revealed a clear publication bias in experimental studies and early clinical trials. Study design and adherence to quality criteria had a considerable impact on estimated effect sizes. The mean power of experimental studies was 17%. Assuming a bias of 30% and pre-study odds of 0.5 to 0.7, this leads to a true report probability of <50%. INTERPRETATION: Pivotal study design differences between experimental studies and clinical trials, including different primary end points and time to treatment, publication bias, neglected quality criteria and low power, contribute to the stepwise efficacy decline of stroke treatments from experimental studies to phase 3 clinical trials. Even under conservative estimates, less than half of published positive experimental stroke studies are truly positive. ANN NEUROL 2020;87:40-51.

Inhibition of leukocyte migration after ischemic stroke by VE-cadherin mutation in a mouse model leads to reduced infarct volumes and improved motor skills.

AIMS: To distinguish between the genuine cellular impact of the ischemic cascade by leukocytes and unspecific effects of edema and humoral components, two knock-in mouse lines were utilized. Mouse lines Y731F and Y685F possess point mutations in VE-cadherin, which lead to a selective inhibition of transendothelial leukocyte migration or impaired vascular permeability. METHODS: Ischemic stroke was induced by a model of middle cerebral artery occlusion. Analysis contained structural outcomes (infarct volume and extent of brain edema), functional outcomes (survival analysis, rotarod test, and neuroscore), and the extent and spatial distribution of leukocyte migration (heatmaps and fluorescence-activated cell sorting (FACS) analysis). RESULTS: Inhibition of transendothelial leukocyte migration as in Y731F mice leads to smaller infarct volumes (52.33 ± 4719 vs. 70.43 ± 6483 mm3 , p = .0252) and improved motor skills (rotarod test: 85.52 ± 13.24 s vs. 43.06 ± 15.32 s, p = .0285). An impaired vascular permeability as in Y685F mice showed no effect on structural or functional outcomes. Both VE-cadherin mutations did not influence the total immune cell count or spatial distribution in ischemic brain parenchyma. CONCLUSION: Selective inhibition of transendothelial leukocyte migration by VE-cadherin mutation after ischemic stroke in a mouse model leads to smaller infarct volumes and improved motor skills.

Anti-LINGO-1 treatment restores myelination of corticospinal tract neurons and improves functional recovery after stroke.

Demyelination of corticospinal tract neurons contributes to long-term disability after cortical stroke. Nonetheless, poststroke myelin loss has not been addressed as a therapeutic target, so far. We hypothesized that an antibody-mediated inhibition of the Nogo receptor-interacting protein (LINGO-1, leucine-rich repeat and immunoglobulin domain-containing Nogo receptor-interacting protein) may counteract myelin loss, enhance remyelination and axonal growth, and thus promote functional recovery following stroke. To verify this hypothesis, mice were subjected to photothrombotic stroke and received either an antibody against LINGO-1 (n = 19) or a control treatment (n = 18). Behavioral tests were performed to assess the effects of anti-LINGO-1 treatment on the functional recovery. Seven weeks after stroke, immunohistochemical analyses were performed to analyze the effect of anti-LINGO-1 treatment on myelination and axonal loss of corticospinal tract neurons, proliferation of oligodendrocytes and neurogenesis. Anti-LINGO-1 treatment resulted in significantly improved functional recovery (p < 0.0001, repeated measures analysis of variance), and increased neurogenesis in the hippocampus and subventricular zone of the ipsilateral hemisphere (p = 0.0094 and p = 0.032, t-test). Notably, we observed a significant increase in myelin (p = 0.0295, t-test), platelet-derived growth factor receptor α-positive oligodendrocyte precursor cells (p = 0.0356, t-test) and myelinating adenomatous polyposis coli-positive cells within the ipsilateral internal capsule of anti-LINGO-1-treated mice (p = 0.0021, t-test). In conclusion, we identified anti-LINGO-1 as the first neuroregenerative treatment that counteracts poststroke demyelination of corticospinal tract neurons, presumably by increased proliferation of myelin precursor cells, and thereby improves functional recovery. Most importantly, our study presents myelin loss as a novel therapeutic target following stroke.

The dilemma of neuroprotection trials in times of successful endovascular recanalization.

Background: The "translational roadblock" between successful animal stroke studies and neutral clinical trials is usually attributed to conceptual weaknesses. However, we hypothesized that rodent studies cannot inform the human disease due to intrinsic pathophysiological differences between rodents and humans., i.e., differences in infarct evolution. Methods: To verify our hypothesis, we employed a mixed study design and compared findings from meta-analyses of animal studies and a retrospective clinical cohort study. For animal data, we systematically searched pubmed to identify all rodent studies, in which stroke was induced by MCAO and at least two sequential MRI scans were performed for infarct volume assessment within the first two days. For clinical data, we included 107 consecutive stroke patients with large artery occlusion, who received MRI scans upon admission and one or two days later. Results: Our preclinical meta-analyses included 50 studies with 676 animals. Untreated animals had a median post-reperfusion infarct volume growth of 74%. Neuroprotective treatments reduced this infarct volume growth to 23%. A retrospective clinical cohort study showed that stroke patients had a median infarct volume growth of only 2% after successful recanalization. Stroke patients with unsuccessful recanalization, by contrast, experienced a meaningful median infarct growth of 148%. Conclusion: Our study shows that rodents have a significant post-reperfusion infarct growth, and that this post-reperfusion infarct growth is the target of neuroprotective treatments. Stroke patients with successful recanalization do not have such infarct growth and thus have no target for neuroprotection.