A Prognostic Model To Predict Survival After Recurrence Among Patients With Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: We sought to develop and validate a preoperative model to predict survival after recurrence (SAR) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). BACKGROUND: Although HCC is characterized by recurrence as high as 60%, models to predict outcomes after recurrence remain relatively unexplored. METHODS: Patients who developed recurrent HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified from an international multi-institutional database. Clinicopathologic data on primary disease and laboratory and radiologic imaging data on recurrent disease were collected. Multivariable Cox regression analysis and internal bootstrap validation (5000 repetitions) were used to develop and validate the SARScore. Optimal Survival Tree analysis was used to characterize SAR among patients treated with various treatment modalities. RESULTS: Among 497 patients who developed recurrent HCC, median SAR was 41.2 months (95% CI 38.1-52.0). The presence of cirrhosis, number of primary tumors, primary macrovascular invasion, primary R1 resection margin, AFP>400 ng/mL on the diagnosis of recurrent disease, radiologic extrahepatic recurrence, radiologic size and number of recurrent lesions, radiologic recurrent bilobar disease, and early recurrence (≤24 months) were included in the model. The SARScore successfully stratified 1-, 3- and 5-year SAR and demonstrated strong discriminatory ability (3-year AUC: 0.75, 95% CI 0.70-0.79). While a subset of patients benefitted from resection/ablation, Optimal Survival Tree analysis revealed that patients with high SARScore disease had the worst outcomes (5-year AUC; training: 0.79 vs. testing: 0.71). The SARScore model was made available online for ease of use and clinical applicability ( https://yutaka-endo.shinyapps.io/SARScore/ ). CONCLUSION: The SARScore demonstrated strong discriminatory ability and may be a clinically useful tool to help stratify risk and guide treatment for patients with recurrent HCC.

Perioperative Changes in Serum Transaminase Levels: Impact on Postoperative Morbidity Following Liver Resection of Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

OBJECTIVES: To define how dynamic changes in pre- versus post-operative serum aspartate aminotransferase (AST) and alanine aminotransaminase (ALT) levels may impact postoperative morbidity after curative-intent resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). BACKGROUND: Hepatic ischemia/reperfusion can occur at the time of liver resection and may be associated with adverse outcomes following liver resection. METHODS: Patients who underwent curative resection for HCC between 2010-2020 were identified from an international multi-institutional database. Changes in AST and ALT (CAA) on postoperative day (POD) 3 versus preoperative values () were calculated using the formula: based on a fusion index via Euclidean norm, which was examined relative to the comprehensive complication index (CCI). The impact of CAA on CCI was assessed by the restricted cubic spline regression and Random Forest analyses. RESULTS: A total of 759 patients were included in the analytic cohort. Median CAA was 1.7 (range, 0.9 to 3.25); 431 (56.8%) patients had a CAA<2, 215 (28.3%) patients with CAA 2-5, and 113 (14.9%) patients had CAA ≥5. The incidence of post-operative complications was 65.0% (n=493) with a median CCI of 20.9 (IQR, 20.9-33.5). Spline regression analysis demonstrated a non-linear incremental association between CAA and CCI. The optimal cutoff value of CAA=5 was identified by the recursive partitioning technique. After adjusting for other competing risk factors, CAA≥5 remained strongly associated with risk of post-operative complications (Ref. CAA<5, OR 1.63, 95%CI 1.05-2.55, P=0.03). In fact, the use of CAA to predict post-operative complications was very good in both the derivative (AUC 0.88) and external (ACU 0.86) cohorts (n=1137). CONCLUSIONS: CAA was an independent predictor of CCI after liver resection for HCC. Use of routine labs such as AST and ALT can help identify patients at highest risk of post-operative complications following HCC resection.

Clinical Outcomes of Robotic Resection for Perihilar Cholangiocarcinoma: A First, Multicenter, Trans-Atlantic, Expert-Center, Collaborative Study.

INTRODUCTION: Perihilar cholangiocarcinoma is a difficult cancer to treat with frequent vascular invasion, local recurrence, and poor survival. Due to the need for biliary anastomosis and potential vascular resection, the standard approach is an open operation. Suboptimal outcomes after laparoscopic resection had been sporadically reported by high-volume centers. In this first, Trans-Atlantic, multicenter study, we report our outcomes of robotic resection for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma. This is the largest study of its kind in the Western hemisphere. METHODS: Between 2016 and 2023, we prospectively followed patients undergoing robotic resection for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma at three, high-volume, robotic, liver-surgery centers. RESULTS: Thirty-eight patients underwent perihilar cholangiocarcinoma utilizing the robotic technique; Klatskin type-3 was the most common. The median age was 72 years, and 82% of the patients underwent preoperative biliary drainage. Median operative time was 481 minutes with a median estimated blood loss of 200 mL. The number of harvested lymph nodes was seven, and 11 (28%) patients yielded positive lymph nodes. Three patients required vascular reconstruction; 18% of patients had >1 biliary anastomosis. R0 resection margins were achieved in 82% of patients. Clavien-Dindo Grade ≥3 complications were seen in 16% of patients. The length of stay was 6 days. Five patients had an unplanned readmission within 30 days. One patient died within 30 days. With a median follow-up of 15 months, 68% of patients are alive without disease, 13% recurred, and 19% died. CONCLUSIONS: Application of the robotic platform for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma is safe and feasible with acceptable short-term clinical and oncological outcomes.

Classification of Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma into Perihilar Versus Peripheral Subtype.

BACKGROUND: Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) constitutes a group of heterogeneous malignancies within the liver. We sought to subtype ICC based on anatomical origin of tumors, as well as propose modifications of the current classification system. METHODS: Patients undergoing curative-intent resection for ICC, hilar cholangiocarcinoma (CCA), or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) were identified from three international multi-institutional consortia of databases. Clinicopathological characteristics and survival outcomes were assessed. RESULTS: Among 1264 patients with ICC, 1066 (84.3%) were classified as ICC-peripheral subtype, whereas 198 (15.7%) were categorized as ICC-perihilar subtype. Compared with ICC-peripheral subtype, ICC-perihilar subtype was more often associated with aggressive tumor characteristics, including a higher incidence of nodal metastasis, macro- and microvascular invasion, perineural invasion, as well as worse overall survival (OS) (median: ICC-perihilar 19.8 vs. ICC-peripheral 37.1 months; p < 0.001) and disease-free survival (DFS) (median: ICC-perihilar 12.8 vs. ICC-peripheral 15.2 months; p = 0.019). ICC-perihilar subtype and hilar CCA had comparable OS (19.8 vs. 21.4 months; p = 0.581) and DFS (12.8 vs. 16.8 months; p = 0.140). ICC-peripheral subtype tumors were associated with more advanced tumor features, as well as worse survival outcomes versus HCC (OS, median: ICC-peripheral 37.1 vs. HCC 74.3 months; p < 0.001; DFS, median: ICC-peripheral 15.2 vs. HCC 45.5 months; p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: ICC should be classified as ICC-perihilar and ICC-peripheral subtype based on distinct clinicopathological features and survival outcomes. ICC-perihilar subtype behaved more like carcinoma of the bile duct (i.e., hilar CCA), whereas ICC-peripheral subtype had features and a prognosis more akin to a primary liver malignancy.

Perioperative Lymphopenia is Associated with Increased Risk of Recurrence and Worse Survival Following Hepatectomy for Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

INTRODUCTION: Immune dysregulation may be associated with cancer progression. We sought to investigate the prognostic value of perioperative lymphopenia on short- and long-term outcomes among patients undergoing resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS: Patients undergoing resection of HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified using an international database. The incidence and impact of perioperative lymphopenia [preoperative, postoperative day (POD) 1/3/5], defined as absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) <1000/µL, on short- and long-term outcomes was assessed. RESULTS: Among 1448 patients, median preoperative ALC was 1593/µL [interquartile range (IQR) 1208-2006]. The incidence of preoperative lymphopenia was 14.0%, and 50.2%, 45.1% and 35.6% on POD1, POD3 and POD5, respectively. Preoperative lymphopenia predicted 5-year overall survival (OS) [lymphopenia vs. no lymphopenia: 49.1% vs. 66.1%] and 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) [25.0% vs. 41.5%] (both p < 0.05). Lymphopenia on POD1 (5-year OS: 57.1% vs. 71.2%; 5-year DFS: 30.0% vs. 41.1%), POD3 (5-year OS: 57.3% vs. 68.9%; 5-year DFS: 35.4% vs. 42.7%), and POD5 (5-year OS: 53.1% vs. 66.1%; 5-year DFS: 32.8% vs. 42.3%) was associated with worse long-term outcomes (all p < 0.05). Patients with severe lymphopenia (ALC <500/µL) on POD5 had worse 5-year OS and DFS (5-year OS: 44.7% vs. 54.3% vs. 66.1%; 5-year DFS: 27.8% vs. 33.3% vs. 42.3%) [both p < 0.05], as well as higher incidence of overall (45.5% vs. 25.3% vs. 30.9%; p = 0.013) and major complications (18.2% vs. 3.4% vs. 4.5%; p < 0.001) versus individuals with moderate (ALC 500-1000/µL) or no lymphopenia following hepatectomy for HCC. After adjusting for competing risk factors, prolonged lymphopenia was independently associated with higher hazards of death [hazard ratio (HR) 1.38, 95% CI 1.11-1.72] and recurrence (HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.02-1.45). CONCLUSION: Perioperative lymphopenia had short- and long-term prognostic implications among individuals undergoing hepatectomy for HCC.

Benchmarks in Liver Resection for Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma.

INTRODUCTION: Benchmarking in surgery has been proposed as a means to compare results across institutions to establish best practices. We sought to define benchmark values for hepatectomy for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) across an international population. METHODS: Patients who underwent liver resection for ICC between 1990 and 2020 were identified from an international database, including 14 Eastern and Western institutions. Patients operated on at high-volume centers who had no preoperative jaundice, ASA class <3, body mass index <35 km/m2, without need for bile duct or vascular resection were chosen as the benchmark group. RESULTS: Among 1193 patients who underwent curative-intent hepatectomy for ICC, 600 (50.3%) were included in the benchmark group. Among benchmark patients, median age was 58.0 years (interquartile range [IQR] 49.0-67.0), only 28 (4.7%) patients received neoadjuvant therapy, and most patients had a minor resection (n = 499, 83.2%). Benchmark values included ≥3 lymph nodes retrieved when lymphadenectomy was performed, blood loss ≤600 mL, perioperative blood transfusion rate ≤42.9%, and operative time ≤339 min. The postoperative benchmark values included TOO achievement ≥59.3%, positive resection margin ≤27.5%, 30-day readmission ≤3.6%, Clavien-Dindo III or more complications ≤14.3%, and 90-day mortality ≤4.8%, as well as hospital stay ≤14 days. CONCLUSIONS: Benchmark cutoffs targeting short-term perioperative outcomes can help to facilitate comparisons across hospitals performing liver resection for ICC, assess inter-institutional variation, and identify the highest-performing centers to improve surgical and oncologic outcomes.

Early Onset Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma: Clinical Characteristics, Oncological Outcomes, and Genomic/Transcriptomic Features.

INTRODUCTION: Data on clinical characteristics and disease-specific prognosis among patients with early onset intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) are currently limited. METHODS: Patients undergoing hepatectomy for ICC between 2000 and 2020 were identified by using a multi-institutional database. The association of early (≤50 years) versus typical onset (>50 years) ICC with recurrence-free (RFS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) was assessed in the multi-institutional database and validated in an external cohort. The genomic and transcriptomic profiles of early versus late onset ICC were analyzed by using the Total Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center databases. RESULTS: Among 971 patients undergoing resection for ICC, 22.7% (n = 220) had early-onset ICC. Patients with early-onset ICC had worse 5-year RFS (24.1% vs. 29.7%, p < 0.05) and DSS (36.5% vs. 48.9%, p = 0.03) compared with patients with typical onset ICC despite having earlier T-stage tumors and lower rates of microvascular invasion. In the validation cohort, patients with early-onset ICC had worse 5-year RFS (7.4% vs. 20.5%, p = 0.002) compared with individuals with typical onset ICC. Using the TCGA cohort, 652 and 266 genes were found to be upregulated (including ATP8A2) and downregulated (including UTY and KDM5D) in early versus typical onset ICC, respectively. Genes frequently implicated as oncogenic drivers, including CDKN2A, IDH1, BRAF, and FGFR2 were infrequently mutated in the early-onset ICC patients. CONCLUSIONS: Early-onset ICC has distinct clinical and genomic/transcriptomic features. Morphologic and clinicopathologic characteristics were unable to fully explain differences in outcomes among early versus typical onset ICC patients. The current study offers a preliminary landscape of the molecular features of early-onset ICC.

Recurrent Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma: A 10-Point Score to Predict Post-Recurrence Survival and Guide Treatment of Recurrence.

INTRODUCTION: Although up to 50-70% of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) recur following resection, data to predict post-recurrence survival (PRS) and guide treatment of recurrence are limited. METHODS: Patients who underwent resection of ICC between 2000 and 2020 were identified from an international, multi-institutional database. Data on primary disease as well as laboratory and radiologic data on recurrent disease were collected. Factors associated with PRS were examined and a novel scoring system to predict PRS (PRS score) was developed and internally validated. RESULTS: Among 986 individuals who underwent resection for ICC, 588 (59.6%) patients developed recurrence at a median follow up of 20.3 months. Among patients who experienced a recurrence, 97 (16.5%) underwent re-resection/ablation for recurrent ICC; 88 (15.0%) and 403 (68.5%) patients received intra-arterial treatment or systemic chemotherapy/supportive therapy, respectively. Patient American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) class > 2 (1 point), primary tumor N1/Nx status (1 point), primary R1 resection margin (1 point), primary tumor G3/G4 grade (1 point), carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 > 37 UI/mL (2 points) at recurrence and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) > 5 ng/mL (2 points) at recurrence, as well as recurrent bilateral disease (1 point) and early recurrence (1 point) were included in the PRS score. The PRS score successfully stratified patients relative to PRS and demonstrated strong discriminatory ability (C-index 0.70, 95% confidence interval 0.68-0.72). While a PRS score of 0-3 was associated with a 3-year PRS of 62.5% following resection/ablation for recurrent ICC, a PRS score > 3 was associated with a low 3-year PRS of 35.5% (p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: The PRS score demonstrated strong discriminatory ability to predict PRS among patients who had developed recurrence following initial resection of ICC. The PRS score may be a useful tool to guide treatment among patients with recurrent ICC.

Long-term survivors after curative-intent resection for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.

OBJECTIVES: The objective of the current study was to characterize prognostic factors related to long-term recurrence-free survival after curative-intent resection of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC). METHODS: Data on patients who underwent curative-intent resection for ICC between 2000 and 2020 were collected from an international multi-institutional database. Prognostic factors were investigated among patients who recurred within 5 years versus long-term survivors who survived more than 5 years with no recurrence. RESULTS: Among 635 patients who underwent curative-intent resection for ICC, 104 (16.4%) patients were long-term survivors with no recurrence beyond 5 years after surgery. Patients who survived for more than 5 years with no recurrence were more likely to have less aggressive tumor features, as well as have undergone an R0 resection versus patients who recurred within 5 years after resection. On multivariable analysis, tumor size (>5 cm) (HR: 1.535, 95% CI: 1.254-1.879), satellite lesions (HR: 1.253, 95% CI: 1.003-1.564), and lymph node metastasis (HR: 1.733, 95% CI: 1.349-2.227) were independently associated with recurrence within 5 years. Patients who recurred beyond 5 years (n = 23), 2-5 years (n = 60), and within 2 years (n = 471) had an incrementally worse post-recurrence survival (PRS, 28.0 vs. 20.0 vs. 12.0 months, p = 0.032). Among patients with N0 status, tumor size (>5 cm) (HR: 1.612, 95% CI: 1.087-2.390) and perineural invasion (PNI) (HR: 1.562,95% CI: 1.081-2.255) were risk factors associated with recurrence. Among patients with N1 disease, only a minority (5/128, 3.9%) of patients survived with no recurrence to 5 years. CONCLUSION: Roughly 1 in 6 patients survived for more than 5 years with no recurrence following curative-intent resection of ICC. Among N0 patients, tumor recurrence was associated with tumor size and PNI. Only a small subset of N1 patients experienced long-term survival.

The aMAP score predicts long-term outcomes after resection of hepatocellular carcinoma: a multi-institutional analysis.

BACKGROUND: The aMAP score is a proposed model to predict the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among high-risk patients with chronic hepatitis. The role of the aMAP score to predict long-term survival among patients following resection of HCC has not been determined. METHODS: Patients undergoing resection for HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified using a multi-institutional database. The impact of the aMAP score on long-term outcomes following HCC resection was assessed. RESULTS: Among 1377 patients undergoing resection for HCC, a total of 972 (70.6 %) patients had a low aMAP score (≤63), whereas 405 (29.4 %) individuals had a high aMAP score (≥64). aMAP score was associated with 5-year OS in the entire cohort (low vs high aMAP score:66.5 % vs. 54.3 %, p < 0.001). aMAP score predicted 5-year OS following resection among patients with HBV-HCC (low vs. high aMAP:68.8 % vs. 55.6 %, p = 0.01) and NASH/other-HCC (64.7 % vs. 53.7, p = 0.04). aMAP score could sub-stratify 5-year OS among patients undergoing HCC resection within (low vs. high aMAP:81.5 % vs. 67.4 %, p < 0.001) and beyond (55.9 % vs. 38.8 %, p < 0.001) Milan criteria. DISCUSSION: The aMAP score predicted postoperative outcomes following resection of HCC within and beyond Milan criteria. Apart from a surveillance tool, the aMAP score can also be used as a prognostic tool among patients undergoing resection of HCC.

Prognostic significance of postoperative complications for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma relative to alpha-feto protein and tumor burden score.

BACKGROUND: We sought to elucidate the impact of postoperative complications on patient outcomes relative to differences in alpha-fetoprotein-tumor burden score (ATS) among patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS: Patients who underwent resection of HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified from an international database. Moderate/severe complications were defined using the optimal cut-off value of the comprehensive complication index (CCI) based on the log-rank test. RESULTS: A total of 1124 patients was included. CCI cut-off value of 16.6 was identified as the optimal prognostic threshold. Patients who experienced moderate/severe complications were more likely to have worse recurrence free survival [RFS] versus individuals who had no/mild complications (2-year RFS; no/mild complication: 55.9% vs. moderate/severe complication: 38.1% p < 0.001). Of note, low and medium ATS patients who experienced moderate/severe complications had a higher risk of recurrence (2-year RFS; no/mild complication: postoperative complications 70.0% vs. moderate/severe complication: 51.1%, p = 0.006; medium: no/mild complication: 50.8% vs moderate/severe complication: 56.7%, p = 0.01); however, postoperative complications were not associated with worse outcomes among patients with high ATS (no/mild complication: 39.1% vs. moderate/severe complication: 29.2%, p = 0.20). CONCLUSION: These data serve to emphasize how reduction in postoperative complications may be crucial to improve prognosis, particularly among patients with favorable HCC characteristics.

An International Expert Delphi Consensus on Defining Textbook Outcome in Liver Surgery (TOLS).

OBJECTIVE: To reach global expert consensus on the definition of TOLS in minimally invasive and open liver resection among renowned international expert liver surgeons using a modified Delphi method. BACKGROUND: Textbook outcome is a novel composite measure combining the most desirable postoperative outcomes into one single measure and representing the ideal postoperative course. Despite a recently developed international definition of Textbook Outcome in Liver Surgery (TOLS), a standardized and expert consensus-based definition is lacking. METHODS: This international, consensus-based, qualitative study used a Delphi process to achieve consensus on the definition of TOLS. The survey comprised 6 surgical domains with a total of 26 questions on individual surgical outcome variables. The process included 4 rounds of online questionnaires. Consensus was achieved when a threshold of at least 80% agreement was reached. The results from the Delphi rounds were used to establish an international definition of TOLS. RESULTS: In total, 44 expert liver surgeons from 22 countries and all 3 major international hepato-pancreato-biliary associations completed round 1. Forty-two (96%), 41 (98%), and 41 (98%) of the experts participated in round 2, 3, and 4, respectively. The TOLS definition derived from the consensus process included the absence of intraoperative grade ≥2 incidents, postoperative bile leakage grade B/C, postoperative liver failure grade B/C, 90-day major postoperative complications, 90-day readmission due to surgery-related major complications, 90-day/in-hospital mortality, and the presence of R0 resection margin. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first study providing an international expert consensus-based definition of TOLS for minimally invasive and open liver resections by the use of a formal Delphi consensus approach. TOLS may be useful in assessing patient-level hospital performance and carrying out international comparisons between centers with different clinical practices to further improve patient outcomes.

Higher Tumor Burden Status Dictates the Impact of Surgical Margin Status on Overall Survival in Patients Undergoing Resection of Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The present study aimed to examine the prognostic significance of margin status following hepatectomy of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) relative to overall tumor burden and nodal status. METHOD: Patients who underwent curative-intent surgery for ICC between 1990 and 2017 were included from a multi-institutional database. The impact of margin status and width on overall survival (OS) was examined relative to TBS and preoperative nodal status. RESULTS: Among 1105 patients with ICC who underwent resection, median tumor burden score (TBS) was 6.1 (IQR 4.2-8.8) and 218 (19.7%) patients had N1 disease. More than one in eight patients had an R1 surgical margin (n = 154, 13.9%). Among patients with low or medium TBS, an increasing margin width was associated with an incrementally improved 5-year OS (R1 31.9% vs. 1-3 mm 38.5% vs. 3-10 mm 48.0% vs. ≥ 10 mm 52.3%). In contrast, among patients with a high TBS, margin width was not associated with better survival (R1 28.9% vs. 1-3 mm 22.8% vs. 3-10 mm 29.6% vs. ≥ 10 mm 13.7%). In addition, surgical margin status did not impact survival with cutoffs of TBS 7 or greater. Furthermore, patients with low or medium TBS and preoperative negative lymph nodes derived a survival benefit from an R0 resection (R1 resection, HR 2.15, 95% CI 1.35-3.44, p = 0.001). In contrast, margin status was not associated with prognosis among patients with a high TBS and preoperative positive/suspicious lymph nodes (R1 resection, HR 1.34, 95% CI 0.58-3.11, p = 0.50). CONCLUSION: R0 resection and wider margin resection resulted in improved outcomes in patients with low tumor burden; however, the survival benefit of negative margin status disappeared in patients with underlying poor tumor biology.

Long-Term Recurrence-Free and Overall Survival Differ Based on Common, Proliferative, and Inflammatory Subtypes After Resection of Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma.

INTRODUCTION: While generally associated with poor prognosis, intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) can have a heterogeneous presentation and natural history. We sought to identify specific ICC subtypes that may be associated with varied long-term outcomes and patterns of recurrence after liver resection. METHODS: Patients who underwent curative-intent resection for ICC from 2000 to 2020 were identified from a multi-institutional database. Hierarchical cluster analysis characterized three ICC subtypes based on morphology (i.e., tumor burden score [TBS]) and biology (i.e., preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio [NLR] and CA19-9 levels). RESULTS: Among 598 patients, the cluster analysis identified three ICC subtypes: Common (n = 300, 50.2%) (median, TBS: 4.5; NLR: 2.4; CA19-9: 38.0 U/mL); Proliferative (n = 246, 41.1%) (median, TBS: 8.8; NLR: 2.9; CA19-9: 71.2 U/mL); Inflammatory (n = 52, 8.7%) (median, TBS: 5.4; NLR: 12.6; CA19-9: 26.7 U/mL). Median overall survival (OS) (Common: 72.0 months; Proliferative: 31.4 months; Inflammatory: 22.9 months) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) (Common: 21.5 months; Proliferative: 11.9 months; Inflammatory: 9.0 months) varied considerably among the different ICC subtypes (all p < 0.001). Even though patients with Inflammatory ICC had more favorable T-(T1/T2, Common: 84.4%; Proliferative: 80.6%; Inflammatory: 86.5%) and N-(N0, Common: 14.0%; Proliferative: 20.7%; Inflammatory: 26.9%) disease, the Inflammatory subtype was associated with a higher incidence of intra- and extrahepatic recurrence (Common: 15.8%; Proliferative: 24.2%; Inflammatory: 28.6%) (all p = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Cluster analysis identified three distinct subtypes of ICC based on TBS, NLR, and CA19-9. ICC subtype was associated with RFS and OS and predicted worse outcomes among patients. Despite more favorable T- and N-disease, the Inflammatory ICC subtype was associated with worse outcomes ICC subtype should be considered in the prognostic stratification of patients.

A Novel Online Calculator to Predict Risk of Microvascular Invasion in the Preoperative Setting for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Undergoing Curative-Intent Surgery.

BACKGROUND: The presence of microvascular invasion (MVI) has been highlighted as an important determinant of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prognosis. We sought to build and validate a novel model to predict MVI in the preoperative setting. METHODS: Patients who underwent curative-intent surgery for HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified using a multi-institutional database. Preoperative predictive models for MVI were built, validated, and used to develop a web-based calculator. RESULTS: Among 689 patients, MVI was observed in 323 patients (46.9%). On multivariate analysis in the test cohort, preoperative parameters associated with MVI included α-fetoprotein (AFP; odds ratio [OR] 1.50, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.23-1.83), imaging tumor burden score (TBS; hazard ratio [HR] 1.11, 95% CI 1.04-1.18), and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR; OR 1.18, 95% CI 1.03-1.35). An online calculator to predict MVI was developed based on the weighted ß-coefficients of these three variables ( https://yutaka-endo.shinyapps.io/MVIrisk/ ). The c-index of the test and validation cohorts was 0.71 and 0.72, respectively. Patients with a high risk of MVI had worse disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) compared with low-risk MVI patients (3-year DFS: 33.0% vs. 51.9%, p < 0.001; 5-year OS: 44.2% vs. 64.8%, p < 0.001). DFS was worse among patients who underwent an R1 versus R0 resection among those patients at high risk of MVI (R0 vs. R1 resection: 3-year DFS, 36.3% vs. 16.1%, p = 0.002). In contrast, DFS was comparable among patients at low risk of MVI regardless of margin status (R0 vs. R1 resection: 3-year DFS, 52.9% vs. 47.3%, p = 0.16). CONCLUSION: Preoperative assessment of MVI using the online tool demonstrated very good accuracy to predict MVI.

Application of Hazard Function to Investigate Recurrence of Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma After Curative-Intent Liver Resection: A Novel Approach to Characterize Recurrence.

PURPOSE: To investigate recurrence patterns after surgery for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) relative to lymph node status, tumor extension, tumor burden score (TBS), and adjuvant chemotherapy. METHODS: Patients who underwent curative-intent resection for ICC from 1990 to 2020 were enrolled from a multi-institutional database. The hazard function was applied to plot the hazard rates over time, with further stratification by T and N AJCC 8th edition categories, TBS, and adjuvant chemotherapy. RESULTS: A total of 1192 patients underwent curative-intent resection for ICC and 59.9% experienced recurrence. Overall, the peak of recurrence occurred at 6.6 months. Among patients with negative lymph nodes, the T4-category had a higher peak rate of recurrence (0.1199 at 10.2 months) compared with other T-categories, while high TBS had an earlier peak of recurrence (4.2 months) compared with lower TBS. Among patients with N1 disease, T2-T4 categories had multipeak patterns of recurrence with higher hazard rates during the first 3 years after surgery in comparison with T1-category, while patients with high TBS had an earlier (4.0 months) and higher hazard peak rate compared with lower TBS groups. The administration of adjuvant chemotherapy was associated with delayed hazard rates of recurrence for N1 (4 months) and NX (6 months) categories. DISCUSSION: The novel application of the hazard function to assess hazard rates and timing patterns of recurrence following resection for ICC demonstrated that recurrence varied based on T- and N-categories, as well as TBS. Hazard function-based recurrence data may be helpful to tailor counseling, surveillance, and adjuvant therapy recommendations.

Variations in Textbook Oncologic Outcomes After Curative-Intent Resection: Early Versus Intermediate Hepatocellular Carcinoma Based on Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer Criteria and Child-Pugh Classification.

BACKGROUND: The impact of early versus intermediate hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) on short-term "optimal" outcomes remains ill-defined. This study sought to define the incidence of textbook oncologic outcomes (TOO), as well as to identify factors associated with TOO among patients with early versus intermediate HCC. METHODS: Patients who underwent curative-intent liver resection for HCC (1998-2020) were identified from a multi-institutional database. Textbook oncologic outcome (TOO) was defined as negative surgical margins, no return to the operating room, no extended hospital stay, no severe complications, and no 90-day mortality or readmission. Patients were stratified as early HCC (BCLC 0 or BCLC A/Child-Pugh A) or intermediate HCC (BCLC A/Child-Pugh B or BCLC B). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to assess factors associated with TOO. RESULTS: Among 1383 patients, the overall incidence of TOO was 69.0%. Patients with intermediate HCC were less likely to achieve a TOO (early [71.6 %] vs. intermediate [60.1%]; p < 0.001). On multivariate analysis, factors associated with decreased odds of a TOO were high tumor burden (odds ratio [OR], 0.57; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.33-1.00), high aspartate transaminase-platelet ratio index (APRI) (OR, 0.46; 95% CI, 0.30-0.70), Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) greater than 3 (OR, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.49-0.91), major liver resection (OR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.52-0.90), and intermediate HCC (OR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.50-0.93) (all p < 0.05). Notably, although high APRI, CCI greater than 3, and major liver resection contributed to lower odds of a TOO in early HCC, the only factor that adversely impacted TOO in intermediate HCC was high tumor burden. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with intermediate HCC and early HCC patients with liver dysfunction, comorbidities, or an extensive resection were less likely to achieve an "optimal" postoperative outcome.

Impact of Surgical Margin Width on Prognosis Following Resection of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Varies on the Basis of Preoperative Alpha-Feto Protein and Tumor Burden Score.

BACKGROUND: We sought to examine the prognostic impact of margin width at time of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) resection relative to the alpha-feto protein tumor burden score (ATS). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients who underwent curative-intent hepatectomy for HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified from a multi-institutional database. The impact of margin width on overall survival and recurrence-free survival was examined relative to ATS using univariable and multivariable analyses. RESULTS: Among 782 patients with HCC who underwent resection, median ATS was 6.5 [interquartile range (IQR) 4.3-10.2]. Most patients underwent R0 resection (n = 613, 78.4%); among patients who had an R0 resection, 325 (41.6%) had a margin width > 5 mm while 288 (36.8%) had a 0-5 mm margin width. Among patients with high ATS, an increasing margin width was associated with incrementally better overall and recurrence-free survival. In contrast, among patients with low ATS, margin width was not associated with long-term outcomes. On multivariable Cox regression analysis, each unit increase in ATS was independently associated with a 7% higher risk of death [hazard ratio (HR) 1.07; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03-1.11, p < 0.001]. While the incidence of early recurrence was not associated with margin width among patients with low ATS, wider margin width was associated with an incrementally lower incidence of early recurrence among patients with high ATS. CONCLUSION: ATS, an easy-to-use composite tumor-related metric, was able to risk stratify patients following resection of HCC relative to overall survival and recurrence-free survival. The therapeutic impact of resection margin width had a variable impact on long-term outcomes relative to ATS.

Lymph Node Examination and Patterns of Nodal Metastasis Among Patients with Left- Versus Right-Sided Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma After Major Curative-Intent Resection.

BACKGROUND: We sought to investigate whether the unique lateral patterns of lymphatic drainage impacted lymphadenectomy (LND), lymph node metastasis (LNM), and long-term survival of patients after curative hemi-hepatectomy for left- versus right-sided intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC). METHODS: Data on patients who underwent curative hemi-hepatectomy for left- or right-sided ICC were collected from 15 high-volume centers worldwide, as well as from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registry. Primary outcomes included overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). RESULTS: Among 697 patients identified from the multi-institutional database, patients who underwent hemi-hepatectomy for left-sided ICC (n = 363, 52.1%) were more likely to have an increased number of LND versus patients with right-sided ICC (n = 334, 47.9%) (median, left 5 versus right 3, p = 0.012), although the frequency (left 66.4% versus right 63.8%, p = 0.469) and station (beyond station no. 12, left 25.3% versus right 21.1%, p = 0.293) were similar. Consequently, left-sided ICC was associated with higher incidence of LNM (left 33.3% versus right 25.7%, p = 0.036), whereas the station and number of LNM were not different (both p > 0.1). There was no difference in OS (median, left 34.9 versus right 29.6 months, p = 0.130) or DFS (median, left 14.5 versus right 15.2 months, p = 0.771) among patients who underwent hemi-hepatectomy for left- versus right-sided ICC, which were also verified in the SEER dataset. LNM beyond station no. 12 was associated with even worse long-term survival versus LNM within station no. 12 among patients with either left- or right-sided ICC after curative-intent resection (all p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The unique lateral patterns of lymphatic drainage were closely related to utilization of LND, as well as LNM of left- versus right-sided ICC.

Development and Validation of a Machine-Learning Model to Predict Early Recurrence of Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The high incidence of early recurrence after hepatectomy for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) has a detrimental effect on overall survival (OS). Machine-learning models may improve the accuracy of outcome prediction for malignancies. METHODS: Patients who underwent curative-intent hepatectomy for ICC were identified using an international database. Three machine-learning models were trained to predict early recurrence (< 12 months after hepatectomy) using 14 clinicopathologic characteristics. The area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) was used to assess their discrimination ability. RESULTS: In this study, 536 patients were randomly assigned to training (n = 376, 70.1%) and testing (n = 160, 29.9%) cohorts. Overall, 270 (50.4%) patients experienced early recurrence (training: n = 150 [50.3%] vs testing: n = 81 [50.6%]), with a median tumor burden score (TBS) of 5.6 (training: 5.8 [interquartile range {IQR}, 4.1-8.1] vs testing: 5.5 [IQR, 3.7-7.9]) and metastatic/undetermined nodes (N1/NX) in the majority of the patients (training: n = 282 [75.0%] vs testing n = 118 [73.8%]). Among the three different machine-learning algorithms, random forest (RF) demonstrated the highest discrimination in the training/testing cohorts (RF [AUC, 0.904/0.779] vs support vector machine [AUC, 0.671/0.746] vs logistic regression [AUC, 0.668/0.745]). The five most influential variables in the final model were TBS, perineural invasion, microvascular invasion, CA 19-9 lower than 200 U/mL, and N1/NX disease. The RF model successfully stratified OS relative to the risk of early recurrence. CONCLUSIONS: Machine-learning prediction of early recurrence after ICC resection may inform tailored counseling, treatment, and recommendations. An easy-to-use calculator based on the RF model was developed and made available online.