Participant factors as correlates of patients' psychotherapy outcome expectation: A meta-analytic and box-count review.

OBJECTIVE: More positive pre- or early therapy patient outcome expectation (OE) has consistently correlated with better treatment outcomes. Thus, it is important to identify factors that contribute to patients' OE, which can inform therapist responsivity to such risk or facilitative markers. With growing research on OE correlates-centered primarily on patient characteristics/treatment factors and, to a lesser extent, therapist factors-a comprehensive synthesis is warranted to elucidate replicated and mixed associations and stimulate further research. Accordingly, we set a pragmatic cutoff of k ≥ 5 for meaningful empirical aggregation of participant factor-OE associations; otherwise, we conducted box counts. METHOD: We searched for articles published through March 2022 that included a clinical sample, a measure of patient's pre- or early treatment OE, and an explicit test of the factor-OE association. RESULTS: Patient problem severity, problem chronicity, education, age, and quality of life were meta-analyzed. Greater severity correlated with lower/less optimistic OE (r = -0.13, p < .001) and higher QOL correlated with higher/more optimistic OE (r = 0.18, p < .001). Box counts revealed that few variables had consistent associations with OE. CONCLUSIONS: Some factors can help forecast patient OE, though additional research is needed to enhance confidence and clinical meaning.

Therapist verification of patient self-concepts as a responsive precondition for early alliance development and subsequent introject change.

OBJECTIVE: Social psychological research has indicated that people strive for self-consistent feedback and interactions, even if negative, to preserve the epistemic security of knowing themselves. Without such self-verification, any interpersonal exchange may become frustrated, anxiety-riddled, and at risk for deterioration. Thus, it may be important for therapists to meet patients' self-verification needs as a responsive precondition for early alliance establishment and development. We tested this hypothesis with patients receiving cognitive behavioral therapy for generalized anxiety disorder-a condition that may render one's self-verification needs especially strong. We also tested the hypothesis that better early alliance quality would relate to subsequent adaptive changes in and posttreatment level of patients' self-concepts. METHOD: Eighty-four patients rated their self-concepts at baseline and across treatment and follow-up, their postsession recollection of their therapist's interpersonal behavior toward them during session 2, and their experience of alliance quality rated after sessions 3-6. RESULTS: As predicted, the more therapists verified at session 2 a patient's baseline self-concepts (which trended toward disaffiliative and overcontrolling, on average), the more positively that patient perceived their next-session alliance. Moreover, better session 3 alliance related to more adaptive affiliative and autonomy-granting self-concepts at posttreatment. CONCLUSION: Results are discussed within a therapist responsiveness framework.

A Qualitative Analysis of Stakeholder Attitudes Regarding Personalized Provider Selection and Patient-Therapist Matching.

This study explored mental health care patients and therapists' perspectives on using therapists' measurement-based and problem-specific effectiveness data to inform case assignments - a type of treatment personalization that has been shown to outperform non-measurement-based case assignment as usual (Constantino et al., 2021). We conducted semi-structured qualitative interviews with 8 patients (75% women; M age = 33.75 years) and 8 therapists (75% women; M age = 47.50 years). The interview protocols were unique to stakeholder group. Recorded responses were transcribed and qualitatively analyzed by four judges using a blend of consensual qualitative research and grounded theory methods. Derived patient domains included preferred characteristics of a provider, and experiences and suggestions regarding provider selection. Within the domains, most patients expressed an interest in accessing more specific provider information online. Additionally, most patients indicated that both provider outcome track records and personal preference information (e.g., therapist characteristics) should be considered in the therapist selection process. All patients endorsed being comfortable with having the ability to select a provider based on a list of empirically well-matched recommendations. Derived therapist domains included using routine outcomes monitoring for patient-provider matching, referral source and direct patient use of preferred provider lists, and improvements to the provider selection process. Within the domains, all therapists remarked that outcome data would be useful for matching patients to providers; however, most also indicated that outcome data should not be the only factor used in provider selection. All therapists expressed a willingness to be included in preferred provider lists that incorporate track record data. Overall, both patients and therapists held generally positive views toward using therapist effectiveness data to help personalize mental health care. Yet, both stakeholder groups acknowledged that other personalization factors should be considered alongside these data. Based on these results, our team is in the process of implementing patient-therapist match strategies in larger and more diverse mental health care contexts.

Indirect effect of patient outcome expectation on improvement through alliance quality: A meta-analysis.

Objective: A meta-analysis revealed a positive correlation between patients' optimistic baseline, or early treatment, outcome expectation (OE) and posttreatment improvement (Constantino, Vîsla, et al., [2018]. A meta-analysis of the association between patients' early treatment outcome expectation and their posttreatment outcomes. Psychotherapy, 55(4), 473-485. https://doi.org/10.1037/pst0000169). However, little is known about mechanisms through which OE operates. Increasingly, several individual studies have pointed to higher therapeutic alliance quality as a promising mediator (candidate mechanism) of the positive OE-improvement link. In this study, we conducted the first meta-analysis of this indirect effect, hypothesizing that alliance would partially mediate the OE-outcome link.Method: We included published articles involving a clinical sample; therapist-led treatment of at least 3 sessions; pre- or early treatment patient OE measures; during-treatment patient-rated alliance measures; posttreatment outcome measures; and statistical tests of mediation. This meta-analysis included 10 independent samples and over 1,000 patients.Results: As expected, better alliance quality partially mediated the association between more optimistic OE and improvement; that is, although both were significant, a multivariate analysis revealed that the direct effect was significantly lower than the total effect (standardized difference = -.12, p < .001, 95% CI [-.20, -.05]). Publication bias was low, as was heterogeneity except for the alliance-outcome path.Conclusions: Better alliance may be one process that helps transmit the therapeutic influence of early patient OE.

Therapist perceptions of their own measurement-based, problem-specific effectiveness.

OBJECTIVE: Patient-reported outcomes data reveal differences both in therapists' global effectiveness across their average patient (between-therapist effect) and in treating different problems within their caseload (within-therapist effects). Yet, it is unclear how accurately therapists perceive their own measurement-based, problem-specific effectiveness and whether such self-perceptions predict global between-therapist performance differences. We explored these questions in naturalistic psychotherapy. METHOD: For 50 therapists, we drew on data from a mean of 27 past patients (total N = 1,363) who completed a multidimensional outcome measure-Treatment Outcome Package (TOP)-at pre- and posttreatment. For each of 12 outcome domains (e.g., depression, anxiety), TOP data classified therapists as historically "effective," "neutral," or "ineffective." Unaware of their data-driven classifications, therapists rated their perceived effectiveness for each domain. We conducted chi-square analyses to determine whether therapists predicted their own measurement-based effectiveness classifications to a level greater than chance. We then used multilevel modeling to test whether therapists' problem-specific perceptions predicted global between-therapist performance differences. RESULTS: For all but one outcome domain, therapists were no better than chance at predicting their measurement-based effectiveness classification. Additionally, controlling for patient baseline impairment, therapists who consistently overestimated their problem-specific effectiveness had patients who reported worse global outcomes than patients whose therapist more accurately estimated their effectiveness. Conversely, therapists who underestimated their problem-specific effectiveness had patients who reported better outcomes than patients whose therapist over- or accurately estimated their effectiveness. CONCLUSIONS: Therapist humility may differentiate the most from least globally effective therapists, and this virtue should be cultivated in clinical trainings. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2023 APA, all rights reserved).

Therapist responsivity to patients' early treatment beliefs and psychotherapy process.

As the conceptualization of evidence-based practice expands beyond the phasic application of treatment manuals for specific mental health diagnoses, greater attention is being paid to treatment personalization, including at its very first steps. One approach to such early personalization involves therapist flexible responsivity to patients' presenting nondiagnostic characteristics, such as their treatment-related beliefs, that are known to correlate with treatment outcomes. Such tailoring represents one element of the context-responsive psychotherapy integration framework that privileges the therapist's use of evidence-informed strategies in response to specific patient characteristics and contextual process markers (Constantino, Boswell, Bernecker, & Castonguay, 2013). In this article, we map context-responsive psychotherapy integration principles onto a psychotherapy case illustration. Namely, we describe Alice E. Coyne's attempt to navigate responsively a patient's early outcome expectation and treatment credibility perception, both of which revealed the need to change course from an original treatment plan (despite that plan making good sense vis-à-vis the patient's diagnoses and initial positive reaction to the explanation of a specific treatment protocol). In addition, the case illustrates the influence that patient treatment beliefs can have on other early therapeutic processes, such as patient change ambivalence and resistance to the therapy, that also require therapist responsivity in the service of personalization. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2019 APA, all rights reserved).

Ethical implications of routine outcomes monitoring for patients, psychotherapists, and mental health care systems.

Although psychotherapy is generally efficacious, a substantial number of patients fail to improve meaningfully, whereas still others deteriorate. Moreover, psychotherapists have difficulty forecasting which patients are at risk for nonresponse or deterioration, especially when relying predominantly on their judgment. These limitations have implications for the ethical practice of psychotherapy, and they call for remediation strategies. One such strategy involves the use of routine outcomes monitoring (ROM), or the regular collection of core patient progress information that can be fed back to the clinician and patient in real time. ROM-informed analytics outperform clinical judgment in predicting patients who are on or off track for treatment success, which can help psychotherapists plan and responsively adjust their interventions. Additionally, research demonstrates that ROM-generated feedback improves treatment outcomes for the average case who receives versus does not receive it. ROM data can also uncover between-therapist differences in general efficacy, as well as scientifically highlight clinicians' own relative strengths and weaknesses in treating different mental health problems. In light of such evidence, we submit that the research on ROM has matured to the point that it should occupy a central role in discussions of, and guidelines about, the ethical practice of psychotherapy. In this vein, we discuss ROM at patient, psychotherapist, and mental health care systems levels; namely, for each of these stakeholders, we review the extant empirical support before turning to possible ethical implications. Finally, we offer concluding thoughts on the expanding relevance of ROM for helping psychologists fulfill their ethical practice obligations. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2019 APA, all rights reserved).

Daily Affective and Behavioral Forecasts in Romantic Relationships: Seeing Tomorrow Through the Lens of Today.

The current research examined accuracy and bias in daily forecasts within romantic relationships. Results of an extensive daily report study involving 200 romantic dyads and 4,822 daily observations suggested that predictions regarding affect and partner behavior that will occur tomorrow are somewhat accurate, predicted by actual experiences tomorrow, but are largely biased by current experiences. Participants appeared to project the current state of their relationship into the future, a temporal projection bias. This bias predicted forecasters' pro-relationship motivation and behavior. Forecasters were less likely to exhibit the temporal projection bias when they were high in relationship commitment, and they were more likely to exhibit the bias when they were high in need for cognitive closure, suggesting that motivation can constrain or amplify tendencies to project the present into the future. Implications for interpersonal relationships are discussed.