ABSTRACT
PURPOSE: The objective of our study is to propose fast, cost-effective, convenient, and effective biomarkers using the perfusion parameters from dynamic contrast-enhanced ultrasound (DCE-US) for the evaluation of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) early response. METHODS: The retrospective cohort used in this study included 63 patients with metastatic cancer eligible for immunotherapy. DCE-US was performed at baseline, day 8 (D8), and day 21 (D21) after treatment onset. A tumor perfusion curve was modeled on these three dates, and change in the seven perfusion parameters was measured between baseline, D8, and D21. These perfusion parameters were studied to show the impact of their variation on the overall survival (OS). RESULTS: After the removal of missing or suboptimal DCE-US, the Baseline-D8, the Baseline-D21, and the D8-D21 groups included 37, 53, and 33 patients, respectively. A decrease of more than 45% in the area under the perfusion curve (AUC) between baseline and D21 was significantly associated with better OS (p = 0.0114). A decrease of any amount in the AUC between D8 and D21 was also significantly associated with better OS (p = 0.0370). CONCLUSION: AUC from DCE-US looks to be a promising new biomarker for fast, effective, and convenient immunotherapy response evaluation.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The need for developing new biomarkers is increasing with the emergence of many targeted therapies. Artificial Intelligence (AI) algorithms have shown great promise in the medical imaging field to build predictive models. We developed a prognostic model for solid tumour patients using AI on multimodal data. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Our retrospective study included examinations of patients with seven different cancer types performed between 2003 and 2017 in 17 different hospitals. Radiologists annotated all metastases on baseline computed tomography (CT) and ultrasound (US) images. Imaging features were extracted using AI models and used along with the patients' and treatments' metadata. A Cox regression was fitted to predict prognosis. Performance was assessed on a left-out test set with 1000 bootstraps. RESULTS: The model was built on 436 patients and tested on 196 patients (mean age 59, IQR: 51-6, 411 men out of 616 patients). On the whole, 1147 US images were annotated with lesions delineation, and 632 thorax-abdomen-pelvis CTs (total of 301,975 slices) were fully annotated with a total of 9516 lesions. The developed model reaches an average concordance index of 0.71 (0.67-0.76, 95% CI). Using the median predicted risk as a threshold value, the model is able to significantly (log-rank test P value < 0.001) isolate high-risk patients from low-risk patients (respective median OS of 11 and 31 months) with a hazard ratio of 3.5 (2.4-5.2, 95% CI). CONCLUSION: AI was able to extract prognostic features from imaging data, and along with clinical data, allows an accurate stratification of patients' prognoses.