Pre-Test Probability Assessment and d-Dimer Based Evaluation in Patients with Previous Acute Aortic Syndrome.

Background and Objectives. Acute aortic syndromes (AASs) are emergencies burdened by high morbidity and mortality. Guideline-recommended diagnostic workup is based on pre-test probability assessment (PPA) and d-dimer testing. However, the performance of PPA and d-dimer has never been studied in individuals with previous AAS (pAAS), which represent a challenging population. Materials and Methods. We analyzed a registry of patients with pAAS evaluated in two Emergency Departments (EDs) for suspected novel AAS (nAAS). Enrolment criteria were history of pAAS and the presence of truncal pain, syncope or perfusion deficit. All patients underwent advanced imaging. Clinical data were registered prospectively and PPA was performed by applying the aortic dissection detection (ADD) and an aorta simplified (AORTAs) score. Results. A total of 128 patients were enrolled, including 77 patients with previous Stanford type A aortic dissection and 45 patients with previous Stanford type B aortic dissection. The final diagnosis was nAAS in 40 (31%) patients. Clinical variables associated with nAAS were: aortic valve disease, thoracic aortic aneurysm, severe pain, sudden pain, ripping/tearing pain and hypotension/shock. ADD score ≥ 2 had a sensitivity of 65% and a specificity of 83% for nAAS; AORTAs score ≥ 2 had a sensitivity of 48% and a specificity of 88%. d-dimer (cutoff ≥ 500 ng/mL or age-adjusted cutoff) had a sensitivity of 97% and a specificity of 13%/14.7%, for diagnosis of nAAS. Patients that were candidates for guideline-compliant PPA/d-dimer integrated rule-out were: 5 (4.9%) with ADD ≤ 1/d-dimer and 8 (7.8%) with AORTAs ≤ 1/d-dimer < age-adjusted cutoff. None of them had a nAAS. Conclusions. Patients with pAAS evaluated in the ED for red-flag symptoms showed intermediate-to-high pre-test probability of nAAS. The ADD score had lower sensitivity and specificity than in unselected patients. d-dimer, alone and integrated with PPA, was highly sensitive for nAAS, but very unspecific. PPA/d-dimer integrated strategies are unlikely to significantly reduce the number of patients with pAAS undergoing advanced imaging.

Comparison of out of hospital cardiac arrest due to acute brain injury vs other causes.

BACKGROUND: Acute brain injury (ABI) can cause out of hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). The aim of this study was to compare clinical features, mortality and potential for organ donation in patients with OHCA due to ABI vs other causes. METHODS: From January 2017 to December 2018, all adult patients presenting to ED for OHCA were considered for the study. Two physicians established the definitive cause of OHCA, according to clinical, laboratory, diagnostic imaging and autoptic findings. Clinical features in patients with OHCA due to ABI or other causes were compared. RESULTS: 280 patients were included in the analysis. ABI was the third most frequent cause of OHCA (21, 7.5%); ABIs were 8 subarachnoid hemorrhage, 8 intracerebral hemorrhage, 2 ischemic stroke, 2 traumatic spinal cord injury and 1 status epilepticus respectively. Neurological prodromes such as seizure, headache and focal neurological signs were significantly more frequent in patients with OHCA due to ABI (OR 5.34, p = 0.03; OR 12.90, p = 0.02; and OR 66.53, p < 0.01 respectively) while among non-neurological prodromes chest pain and dyspnea were significantly more frequent in patients with OHCA due to other causes (OR 14.5, p < 0.01; and OR 10.4, p = 0.02 respectively). Anisocoria was present in 19% of patients with OHCA due to ABI vs 2.7% due to other causes (OR 8.47, p < 0.01). In 90.5% of patients with ABI and in 53.1% of patients with other causes the first cardiac rhythm was non shockable (OR 8.1; p = 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that older age, active smoking, post-traumatic OHCA, neurological prodromes, anisocoria at pupillary examination were independently associated with OHCA due to ABI. Patients with ABI showed a higher mortality compared with the other causes group (19 pts., 90.5% versus 167 pts., 64.5%; p = 0.015). Potential organ donors were more frequent among ABI than other causes group (10 pts., 47.6% vs 75 pts., 28.9%) however the difference did not reach the statistical significance (p = 0.07). CONCLUSIONS: ABI is the third cause of OHCA. Neurological prodromes, absence of chest pain and dyspnea before cardiac arrest, anisocoria and initial non-shockable rhythm might suggest a neurological etiology of the cardiac arrest. Patients with OHCA due to ABI has an unfavorable outcome, however, they could be candidate to organ donation.

Diagnostic Accuracy of Point-of-Care Ultrasound Integrated into Clinical Examination for Acute Diverticulitis: A Prospective Multicenter Study.

PURPOSE: Diverticulitis is a common cause of abdominal pain and CT scan is commonly used for its diagnosis in the emergency department (ED). The diagnostic performance of point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) integrated into a clinical exam for diverticulitis is still not established. We evaluate the accuracy of clinical-sonographic assessment for the diagnosis of diverticulitis and whether POCUS could improve the selection of patients needing CT scan for complicated diverticulitis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This is a multicentric observational study involving adult patients suspected of having diverticulitis presenting at 4 EDs. 21 sonographer physicians were asked to diagnose diverticulitis and complicated diverticulitis based on clinical-sonographic assessment. The final diagnosis was established by two reviewers, blinded to POCUS, based on data collected during the one-month follow-up comprehensive CT scan. RESULTS: Among 393 enrolled patients, 218 (55.5 %) were diagnosed with diverticulitis and 33 (8 %) had complicated diverticulitis. The time to diagnosis by the sonographer physicians was shorter compared to standard care (97 ±â€Š102 vs. 330 ±â€Š319 minutes, p < 0.001). Clinical-sonographic assessment showed optimal sensitivity (92.7 %) and specificity (90.9 %) for diverticulitis. However, the sensitivity (50 %) for complicated diverticulitis was low. The sonographer physician would have proceeded to CT scan in 194 (49.4 %) patients and the CT scan request compared to the final diagnosis of complicated diverticulitis demonstrated 94 % sensitivity. CONCLUSION: Clinical-sonographic assessment is rapid and accurate for the diagnosis of diverticulitis. Even if POCUS has low sensitivity for complicated diverticulitis, it can be used to safely select patients needing CT.

Prognostic value of CT pulmonary angiography parameters in acute pulmonary embolism.

OBJECTIVES: Computed tomographic pulmonary angiography (CTPA) is the first-line test in acute pulmonary embolism (APE) diagnostic algorithm, but its correlation with short-term outcome remains not clear at all. The aim is to determine whether CTPA findings can predict 30-day mortality of patients with APE in Emergency Department. METHODS: This retrospective monocentric study involved 780 patients with APE diagnosed at the Emergency Department of our institution (period 2010-2019). These CTPA findings were evaluated: embolic obstruction burden score (Qanadli score), common pulmonary artery trunk diameter, right-to-left ventricular ratio, azygos vein and coronary sinus diameters. Comorbidities and fatal/nonfatal adverse outcomes within 30 days were recorded. Troponin I values were correlated with angiographic parameters with multiple logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: The all-cause and APE-related 30-day mortality rates were 5.9% and 3.6%, respectively. Patients who died within 30 days were older with higher prevalence rates of malignancy. Qanadli score and all CTPA parameters correlate with Troponin I level and the presence of RVD at echocardiography (p values < 0.0001). Instead, RV/LV ratio and coronary sinus diameter correlate with 30-day mortality (p values < 0.05). At the multivariate logistic regression analysis, only coronary sinus and RVD remained significant with an HR = 2.5 (95% CI 1.1-5.6) and HR = 1.9 (95% CI 0.95-3.7), respectively. CONCLUSION: CTPA quantification of right ventricular strain is an accurate predictor of 30-day mortality. In particular, it seems that a dilated coronary sinus (>9 mm) has an additional prognostic value in association with echocardiographic signs of right-heart disfunction and high Troponin I levels.

Chest X-ray in the emergency department during COVID-19 pandemic descending phase in Italy: correlation with patients' outcome.

PURPOSE: The aims of our study are: (1) to estimate admission chest X-ray (CXR) accuracy during the descending phase of pandemic; (2) to identify specific CXR findings strictly associated with COVID-19 infection; and (3) to correlate lung involvement of admission CXR with patients' outcome. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We prospectively evaluated the admission CXR of 327 patients accessed to our institute during the Italian pandemic descending phase (April 2020). For each CXR were searched ground glass opacification (GGO), consolidation (CO), reticular-nodular opacities (RNO), nodules, excavations, pneumothorax, pleural effusion, vascular congestion and cardiac enlargement. For lung alterations was defined the predominance (upper or basal, focal or diffuse, central or peripheric, etc.). Then radiologists assessed whether CXRs were suggestive or not for COVID-19 infection. For COVID-19 patients, a prognostic score was applied and correlated with the patients' outcome. RESULTS: CXR showed 83% of specificity and 60% of sensitivity. GGO, CO, RNO and a peripheric, diffuse and basal prevalence showed good correlation with COVID-19 diagnosis. A logistic regression analysis pointed out GGO and a basal or diffuse distribution as independent predictors of COVID-19 diagnosis. The prognostic score showed good correlation with the patients' outcome. CONCLUSION: In our study, admission CXR showed a fair specificity and a good correlation with patients' outcome. GGO and others CXR findings showed a good correlation with COVID-19 diagnosis; besides GGO a diffuse or bibasal distribution resulted in independent variables highly suggestive for COVID-19 infection thus enabling radiologists to signal to clinicians radiologically suspect patients during the pandemic descending phase.

Multi-organ point-of-care ultrasound for COVID-19 (PoCUS4COVID): international expert consensus.

COVID-19 has caused great devastation in the past year. Multi-organ point-of-care ultrasound (PoCUS) including lung ultrasound (LUS) and focused cardiac ultrasound (FoCUS) as a clinical adjunct has played a significant role in triaging, diagnosis and medical management of COVID-19 patients. The expert panel from 27 countries and 6 continents with considerable experience of direct application of PoCUS on COVID-19 patients presents evidence-based consensus using GRADE methodology for the quality of evidence and an expedited, modified-Delphi process for the strength of expert consensus. The use of ultrasound is suggested in many clinical situations related to respiratory, cardiovascular and thromboembolic aspects of COVID-19, comparing well with other imaging modalities. The limitations due to insufficient data are highlighted as opportunities for future research.

Integration of transthoracic focused cardiac ultrasound in the diagnostic algorithm for suspected acute aortic syndromes.

AIMS: The diagnosis of acute aortic syndromes (AASs) is challenging and requires integrated strategies. Transthoracic focused cardiac ultrasound (FoCUS) is endorsed by guidelines as a first-line/triage tool allowing rapid bedside assessment of the aorta. However, the performance of FoCUS in the European Society of Cardiology-recommended workup of AASs awaits validation. METHODS AND RESULTS: This was a prespecified subanalysis of the ADvISED multicentre prospective study. Patients with suspected AAS underwent FoCUS for detection of direct/indirect signs of AAS. Clinical probability assessment was performed with the aortic dissection detection risk score (ADD-RS). Case adjudication was based on advanced imaging, surgery, autopsy, or 14-day follow-up. An AAS was diagnosed in 146 (17.4%) of 839 patients. Presence of direct FoCUS signs had a sensitivity and specificity of 45.2% [95% confidence interval (CI) 37-53.6%] and 97.4% (95% CI 95.9-98.4%), while presence of any FoCUS sign had a sensitivity and specificity of 89% (95% CI 82.8-93.6%) and 74.5% (95% CI 71-77.7%) for AAS. The additive value of FoCUS was most evident within low clinical probability (ADD-RS ≤1). Herein, direct FoCUS signs were identified in 40 (4.8%) patients (P < 0.001), including 29 with AAS. ADD-RS ≤1 plus negative FoCUS for AAS rule-out had a sensitivity of 93.8% (95% CI 88.6-97.1%) and a failure rate of 1.9% (95% CI 0.9-3.6%). Addition of negative D-dimer led to a failure rate of 0% (95% CI 0-1.2%). CONCLUSION: FoCUS has additive value in the workup of AASs. Direct FoCUS signs can rapidly identify patients requiring advanced imaging despite low clinical probability. In integrated bundles, negative FoCUS is useful for rule-out of AASs.

Diagnostic Accuracy of the Aortic Dissection Detection Risk Score Plus D-Dimer for Acute Aortic Syndromes: The ADvISED Prospective Multicenter Study.

BACKGROUND: Acute aortic syndromes (AASs) are rare and severe cardiovascular emergencies with unspecific symptoms. For AASs, both misdiagnosis and overtesting are key concerns, and standardized diagnostic strategies may help physicians to balance these risks. D-dimer (DD) is highly sensitive for AAS but is inadequate as a stand-alone test. Integration of pretest probability assessment with DD testing is feasible, but the safety and efficiency of such a diagnostic strategy are currently unknown. METHODS: In a multicenter prospective observational study involving 6 hospitals in 4 countries from 2014 to 2016, consecutive outpatients were eligible if they had ≥1 of the following: chest/abdominal/back pain, syncope, perfusion deficit, and if AAS was in the differential diagnosis. The tool for pretest probability assessment was the aortic dissection detection risk score (ADD-RS, 0-3) per current guidelines. DD was considered negative (DD-) if <500 ng/mL. Final case adjudication was based on conclusive diagnostic imaging, autopsy, surgery, or 14-day follow-up. Outcomes were the failure rate and efficiency of a diagnostic strategy for ruling out AAS in patients with ADD-RS=0/DD- or ADD-RS ≤1/DD-. RESULTS: A total of 1850 patients were analyzed. Of these, 438 patients (24%) had ADD-RS=0, 1071 patients (58%) had ADD-RS=1, and 341 patients (18%) had ADD-RS >1. Two hundred forty-one patients (13%) had AAS: 125 had type A aortic dissection, 53 had type B aortic dissection, 35 had intramural aortic hematoma, 18 had aortic rupture, and 10 had penetrating aortic ulcer. A positive DD test result had an overall sensitivity of 96.7% (95% confidence interval [CI], 93.6-98.6) and a specificity of 64% (95% CI, 61.6-66.4) for the diagnosis of AAS; 8 patients with AAS had DD-. In 294 patients with ADD-RS=0/DD-, 1 case of AAS was observed. This yielded a failure rate of 0.3% (95% CI, 0.1-1.9) and an efficiency of 15.9% (95% CI, 14.3-17.6) for the ADD-RS=0/DD- strategy. In 924 patients with ADD-RS ≤1/DD-, 3 cases of AAS were observed. This yielded a failure rate of 0.3% (95% CI, 0.1-1) and an efficiency of 49.9% (95% CI, 47.7-52.2) for the ADD-RS ≤1/DD- strategy. CONCLUSIONS: Integration of ADD-RS (either ADD-RS=0 or ADD-RS ≤1) with DD may be considered to standardize diagnostic rule out of AAS. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT02086136.

Lung ultrasound: a novel technique for detecting fluid overload in children on dialysis.

Background: Optimizing the target weight of infants and children on dialysis remains an important clinical challenge. The use of ultrasound to detect fluid overload in adult patients on dialysis is receiving growing attention. We hypothesized that fluid overload can be quantified in infants and children receiving dialysis using lung ultrasound. Methods: In this prospective observational study, infants and children receiving dialysis for end-stage renal disease (ESRD) or acute kidney injury (AKI) in a regional paediatric nephrology centre were eligible. Lung ultrasound examinations were performed during in-centre dialysis, on home visits or in an outpatient clinic. Fluid overload was assessed by quantifying B-lines on ultrasound and compared with proportional (%) increase in patient weight from the target weight. Results: A total of 142 ultrasound assessments were performed in 23 children. In children with AKI, median B-line score reduced from 5 (range 0-22) at presentation to 1.5 (0-4) at recovery (P = 0.04) with concurrent improvement in fluid overload judged by weight from 7.2 (-1.9 to 15.2)% to 0%. A linear correlation between lung ultrasound B-line score and fluid overload judged by weight was observed in children with AKI (r = 0.83) and ESRD (r = 0.61). Inter-observer variability was acceptable. Conclusions: Lung ultrasound is a practical and sensitive method of quantifying subclinical fluid overload in infants and children on dialysis. Interventional studies to determine the benefits of using lung ultrasound to optimize the target weight for children with ESRD are merited.

Short-term clinical outcome of normotensive patients with acute PE and high plasma lactate.

BACKGROUND: Strategies for identifying normotensive patients with acute symptomatic PE at high risk of PE-related complications remain to be defined. METHODS: This prospective cohort study aimed to determine the role of plasma lactate levels in the risk assessment of normotensive patients with acute PE. Outcomes assessed over the 7 days after the diagnosis of PE included PE-related mortality and haemodynamic collapse, defined as need for cardiopulmonary resuscitation, systolic blood pressure <90 mm Hg for at least 15 min, need for catecholamine administration, or need for mechanical ventilation. RESULTS: Between December 2012 and January 2014, the study enrolled 496 normotensive outpatients with acute symptomatic PE. PE-related complications occurred in 20 (4.0%; 95% CI 2.5% to 6.2%) of the 496 patients. These patients had higher baseline lactate levels (median 2.66 mmol/L; IQR 1.56-5.96 mmol/L) than patients without complications (1.20 mmol/L; IQR 1.20-2.00 mmol/L) (p<0.001). Overall, 135 patients (27.2%) had plasma lactate ≥2 mmol/L. Fourteen (10.4%) of them had PE-related complications versus 6 of 361 patients with low lactate (negative predictive value 98.3%; p<0.001). Patients with elevated plasma lactate had an increased rate of PE-related complications (adjusted OR 5.3; 95% CI 1.9 to 14.4; p=0.001) compared with those with low lactate. The combination of elevated plasma lactate with markers of right ventricular dysfunction (by echocardiogram) and myocardial injury (by cardiac troponin) was a particularly useful prognostic indicator (positive predictive value 17.9%; 95% CI 6.1% to 36.9%). CONCLUSIONS: Plasma lactate represents a powerful predictor of short-term PE-related complications and may provide guidance for decision-making in PE care.

Accuracy of lung ultrasound for the diagnosis of consolidations when compared to chest computed tomography.

OBJECTIVES: Despite emerging evidences on the clinical usefulness of lung ultrasound (LUS), international guidelines still do not recommend the use of sonography for the diagnosis of pneumonia. Our study assesses the accuracy of LUS for the diagnosis of lung consolidations when compared to chest computed tomography (CT). METHODS: This was a prospective study on an emergency department population complaining of respiratory symptoms of unexplained origin. All patients who had a chest CT scan performed for clinical reasons were consecutively recruited. LUS was targeted to evaluate lung consolidations with the morphologic characteristics of pneumonia, and then compared to CT. RESULTS: We analyzed 285 patients. CT was positive for at least one consolidation in 87 patients. LUS was feasible in all patients and in 81 showed at least one consolidation, with a good inter-observer agreement (k = 0.83), sensitivity 82.8% (95% CI 73.2%-90%) and specificity 95.5% (95% CI 91.5%-97.9%). Sensitivity raised to 91.7% (95% CI 61.5%-98.6%) and specificity to 97.4% (95% CI 86.5%-99.6%) in patients complaining of pleuritic chest pain. In a subgroup of 190 patients who underwent also chest radiography (CXR), the sensitivity of LUS (81.4%, 95% CI 70.7%-89.7%) was significantly superior to CXR (64.3%, 95% CI 51.9%-75.4%) (P<.05), whereas specificity remained similar (94.2%, 95% CI 88.4%-97.6% vs. 90%, 95% CI 83.2%-94.7%). CONCLUSIONS: LUS represents a reliable diagnostic tool, alternative to CXR, for the bedside diagnosis of lung consolidations in patients with respiratory complains.

Diagnosis of acute aortic syndromes with ultrasound and d-dimer: the PROFUNDUS study.

BACKGROUND: In patients complaining common symptoms such as chest/abdominal/back pain or syncope, acute aortic syndromes (AAS) are rare underlying causes. AAS diagnosis requires urgent advanced aortic imaging (AAI), mostly computed tomography angiography. However, patient selection for AAI poses conflicting risks of misdiagnosis and overtesting. OBJECTIVES: We assessed the safety and efficiency of a diagnostic protocol integrating clinical data with point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) and d-dimer (single/age-adjusted cutoff), to select patients for AAI. METHODS: This prospective study involved 12 Emergency Departments from 5 countries. POCUS findings were integrated with a guideline-compliant clinical score, to define the integrated pre-test probability (iPTP) of AAS. If iPTP was high, urgent AAI was requested. If iPTP was low and d-dimer was negative, AAS was ruled out. Patients were followed for 30 days, to adjudicate outcomes. RESULTS: Within 1979 enrolled patients, 176 (9 %) had an AAS. POCUS led to net reclassification improvement of 20 % (24 %/-4 % for events/non-events, P < 0.001) over clinical score alone. Median time to AAS diagnosis was 60 min if POCUS was positive vs 118 if negative (P = 0.042). Within 941 patients satisfying rule-out criteria, the 30-day incidence of AAS was 0 % (95 % CI, 0-0.41 %); without POCUS, 2 AAS were potentially missed. Protocol rule-out efficiency was 48 % (95 % CI, 46-50 %) and AAI was averted in 41 % of patients. Using age-adjusted d-dimer, rule-out efficiency was 54 % (difference 6 %, 95 % CI, 4-9 %, vs standard cutoff). CONCLUSIONS: The integrated algorithm allowed rapid triage of high-probability patients, while providing safe and efficient rule-out of AAS. Age-adjusted d-dimer maximized efficiency. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov, NCT04430400.

Prognostic value of plasma lactate levels among patients with acute pulmonary embolism: the thrombo-embolism lactate outcome study.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: We investigate the prognostic value of plasma lactate levels in patients with acute pulmonary embolism. METHODS: We studied adult patients with symptomatic, objectively confirmed pulmonary embolism presenting to a single emergency department. Plasma lactate and troponin I levels were tested at presentation. We considered lactate values greater than or equal to 2 mmol/L and troponin I values greater than or equal to 0.10 ng/mL to be abnormal. Right-sided ventricular dysfunction was assessed by echocardiography. Primary endpoint was all-cause death occurring on or before 30 days after presentation. Secondary endpoints were the composite of all-cause death and clinical deterioration (defined as progression to shock, mechanical ventilation, or cardiopulmonary resuscitation) and death caused by pulmonary embolism. We tested the association between lactate level greater than or equal to 2 mmol/L and the endpoints using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. RESULTS: Of the 270 patients included in the study, the mean age was 73 years (SD 12.7 years) and 151 (55.9%) were women. Twelve patients (4.4%) showed shock or hypotension (shock or systolic arterial pressure <100 mm Hg) at presentation, 109 (40.4%) had right-sided ventricular dysfunction, 93 (34.4%) showed troponin I level greater than or equal to 0.10 ng/mL, and 81 (30%) showed lactate level greater than or equal to 2 mmol/L. Seventeen patients (6.3%) died, 12 (4.4%) because of pulmonary embolism, and 37 (13.7%) reached the composite endpoint. Patients with lactate level greater than or equal to 2 mmol/L showed higher mortality (17.3%; 95% confidence interval [CI] 11.9% to 20%) than patients with a lower level (1.6%; 95% CI 0.8% to 1.9%). Plasma lactate level was associated with all-cause death (hazard ratio 11.67; 95% CI 3.32 to 41.03) and the composite endpoint (hazard ratio 8.14; 95% CI 3.83 to 17.34) independent of shock or hypotension, right-sided ventricular dysfunction, or elevation of troponin I values. CONCLUSION: Patients with pulmonary embolism and elevated plasma lactate level are at high risk of death and adverse outcome, independent of shock or hypotension, or right-sided ventricular dysfunction or injury markers.

A Computational Approach in the Diagnostic Process of COVID-19: The Missing Link between the Laboratory and Emergency Department.

BACKGROUND: The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is responsible for the COVID-19 pandemic and so it is crucial the right evaluation of viral infection. According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), the Real-Time Reverse Transcription PCR (RT-PCR) in respiratory samples is the gold standard for confirming the disease. However, it has practical limitations as time-consuming procedures and a high rate of false-negative results. We aim to assess the accuracy of COVID-19 classifiers based on Arificial Intelligence (AI) and statistical classification methods adapted on blood tests and other information routinely collected at the Emergency Departments (EDs). METHODS: Patients admitted to the ED of Careggi Hospital from April 7th-30th 2020 with pre-specified features of suspected COVID-19 were enrolled. Physicians prospectively dichotomized them as COVID-19 likely/unlikely case, based on clinical features and bedside imaging support. Considering the limits of each method to identify a case of COVID-19, further evaluation was performed after an independent clinical review of 30-day follow-up data. Using this as a gold standard, several classifiers were implemented: Logistic Regression (LR), Quadratic Discriminant Analysis (QDA), Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Neural Networks (NN), K-nearest neighbor (K-NN), Naive Bayes (NB). RESULTS: Most of the classifiers show a ROC >0.80 on both internal and external validation samples but the best results are obtained applying RF, LR and NN. The performance from the external validation sustains the proof of concept to use such mathematical models fast, robust and efficient for a first identification of COVID-19 positive patients. These tools may constitute both a bedside support while waiting for RT-PCR results, and a tool to point to a deeper investigation, by identifying which patients are more likely to develop into positive cases within 7 days. CONCLUSIONS: Considering the obtained results and with a rapidly changing virus, we believe that data processing automated procedures may provide a valid support to the physicians facing the decision to classify a patient as a COVID-19 case or not.

A retrospective multicentric study on the effectiveness of intravenous brivaracetam in seizure clusters: Data from the Italian experience.

OBJECTIVE: Nearly half of people with epilepsy (PWE) are expected to develop seizure clusters (SC), with the subsequent risk of hospitalization. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the use, effectiveness and safety of intravenous (IV) brivaracetam (BRV) in the treatment of SC. METHODS: Retrospective multicentric study of patients with SC (≥ 2 seizures/24 h) who received IV BRV. Data collection occurred from January 2019 to April 2022 in 25 Italian neurology units. Primary efficacy outcome was seizure freedom up to 24 h from BRV administration. We also evaluated the risk of evolution into Status Epilepticus (SE) at 6, 12 and 24 h after treatment initiation. A Cox regression model was used to identify outcome predictors. RESULTS: 97 patients were included (mean age 62 years), 74 (76%) of whom had a history of epilepsy (with drug resistant seizures in 49% of cases). BRV was administered as first line treatment in 16% of the episodes, while it was used as first or second drug after benzodiazepines failure in 49% and 35% of episodes, respectively. On the one hand, 58% patients were seizure free at 24 h after BRV administration and no other rescue medications were used in 75 out of 97 cases (77%) On the other hand, SC evolved into SE in 17% of cases. A higher probability of seizure relapse and/or evolution into SE was observed in patients without a prior history of epilepsy (HR 2.0; 95% CI 1.03 - 4.1) and in case of BRV administration as second/third line drug (HR 3.2; 95% CI 1.1 - 9.7). No severe treatment emergent adverse events were observed. SIGNIFICANCE: In our cohort, IV BRV resulted to be well tolerated for the treatment of SC and it could be considered as a treatment option, particularly in case of in-hospital onset. However, the underlying etiology seems to be the main outcome predictor.

Acute aortic syndromes: An internist's guide to the galaxy.

Acute aortic syndromes (AASs) are severe conditions defined by dissection, hemorrhage, ulceration or rupture of the thoracic aorta. AASs share etiological and pathophysiological features, including long-term aortic tissue degeneration and mechanisms of acute aortic damage. The clinical signs and symptoms of AASs are unspecific and heterogeneous, requiring large differential diagnosis. When evaluating a patient with AAS-compatible symptoms, physicians need to integrate clinical probability assessment, bedside imaging techniques such as point-of-care ultrasound, and blood test results such as d-dimer. The natural history of AASs is dominated by engagement of ischemic, coagulative and inflammatory pathways at large, causing multiorgan damage. Medical treatment, multiorgan monitoring and outcome prognostication are therefore paramount, with internal medicine playing a key role in non-surgical management of AASs.

Retrospective analysis of the diagnostic accuracy of lung ultrasound for pulmonary embolism in patients with and without pleuritic chest pain.

BACKGROUND: Lung ultrasound (LUS) has a role in the diagnosis of pulmonary embolism (PE) mainly based on the visualization of pulmonary infarctions. However, examining the whole chest to detect small peripheral infarctions by LUS may be challenging. Pleuritic pain, a frequent presenting symptom in patients with PE, is usually localized in a restricted chest area identified by the patient itself. Our hypothesis is that sensitivity of LUS for PE in patients with pleuritic chest pain may be higher due to the possibility of focusing the examination in the painful area. We combined data from three prospective studies on LUS in patients suspected of PE and extracted data regarding patients with and without pleuritic pain at presentation to compare the performances of LUS. RESULTS: Out of 872 patients suspected of PE, 217 (24.9%) presented with pleuritic pain and 279 patients (32%) were diagnosed with PE. Pooled sensitivity of LUS for PE in patients with and without pleuritic chest pain was 81.5% (95% CI 70-90.1%) and 49.5% (95% CI 42.7-56.4%) (p < 0.001), respectively. Specificity of LUS was similar in the two groups, respectively 95.4% (95% CI 90.7-98.1%) and 94.8% (95% CI 92.3-97.7%) (p = 0.86). In patients with pleuritic pain, a diagnostic strategy combining Wells score with LUS performed better both in terms of sensitivity (93%, 95% CI 80.9-98.5% vs 90.7%, 95% CI 77.9-97.4%) and negative predictive value (96.2%, 95% CI 89.6-98.7% vs 93.3%, 95% CI 84.4-97.3%). Efficiency of Wells score + LUS outperformed the conventional strategy based on Wells score + d-dimer (56.7%, 95% CI 48.5-65% vs 42.5%, 95% CI 34.3-51.2%, p = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: In a population of patients suspected of PE, LUS showed better sensitivity for the diagnosis of PE when applied to the subgroup with pleuritic chest pain. In these patients, a diagnostic strategy based on Wells score and LUS performed better to exclude PE than the conventional strategy combining Wells score and d-dimer.

Lung Ultrasound Improves Outcome Prediction over Clinical Judgment in COVID-19 Patients Evaluated in the Emergency Department.

In the Emergency Department (ED), the decision to hospitalize or discharge COVID-19 patients is challenging. We assessed the utility of lung ultrasound (LUS), alone or in association with a clinical rule/score. This was a multicenter observational prospective study involving six EDs (NCT046291831). From October 2020 to January 2021, COVID-19 outpatients discharged from the ED based on clinical judgment were subjected to LUS and followed-up at 30 days. The primary clinical outcome was a composite of hospitalization or death. Within 393 COVID-19 patients, 35 (8.9%) reached the primary outcome. For outcome prognostication, LUS had a C-index of 0.76 (95%CI 0.68−0.84) and showed good performance and calibration. LUS-based classification provided significant differences in Kaplan−Meier curves, with a positive LUS leading to a hazard ratio of 4.33 (95%CI 1.95−9.61) for the primary outcome. The sensitivity and specificity of LUS for primary outcome occurrence were 74.3% (95%CI 59.8−88.8) and 74% (95%CI 69.5−78.6), respectively. The integration of LUS with a clinical score further increased sensitivity. In patients with a negative LUS, the primary outcome occurred in nine (3.3%) patients (p < 0.001 vs. unselected). The efficiency for rule-out was 69.7%. In unvaccinated ED patients with COVID-19, LUS improves prognostic stratification over clinical judgment alone and may support standardized disposition decisions.

The presentations/physician ratio predicts door-to-physician time but not global length of stay in the emergency department: an Italian multicenter study during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.

To investigate the effects of the dramatic reduction in presentations to Italian Emergency Departments (EDs) on the main indicators of ED performance during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. From February to June 2020 we retrospectively measured the number of daily presentations normalized for the number of emergency physicians on duty (presentations/physician ratio), door-to-physician and door-to-final disposition (length-of-stay) times of seven EDs in the central area of Tuscany. Using the multivariate regression analysis we investigated the relationship between the aforesaid variables and patient-level (triage codes, age, admissions) or hospital-level factors (number of physician on duty, working surface area, academic vs. community hospital). We analyzed data from 105,271 patients. Over ten consecutive 14-day periods, the number of presentations dropped from 18,239 to 6132 (- 67%) and the proportion of patients visited in less than 60 min rose from 56 to 86%. The proportion of patients with a length-of-stay under 4 h decreased from 59 to 52%. The presentations/physician ratio was inversely related to the proportion of patients with a door-to-physician time under 60 min (slope - 2.91, 95% CI - 4.23 to - 1.59, R2 = 0.39). The proportion of patients with high-priority codes but not the presentations/physician ratio, was inversely related to the proportion of patients with a length-of-stay under 4 h (slope - 0.40, 95% CI - 0.24 to - 0.27, R2 = 0.36). The variability of door-to-physician time and global length-of-stay are predicted by different factors. For appropriate benchmarking among EDs, the use of performance indicators should consider specific, hospital-level and patient-level factors.