ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The natural history of a cohort of patients monitored for popliteal artery aneurysms (PAAs) has not been well described. A prevailing uncertainty exists regarding the optimal surveillance strategies and timing of treatment. The primary aim of the present study was to describe the care trajectory of all patients with PAAs identified at two tertiary vascular centers, both in surveillance and eventually treated. The secondary aim was to define the PAA growth rates. METHODS: A retrospective, multicenter cohort study was performed of all patients with PAAs at two vascular centers in two countries (Sweden, 2009-2016; New Zealand, 2009-2017). Data were collected from electronic medical records regarding the comorbidities, treatment, and outcomes and analyzed on a patient- and extremity-specific level. Treatment was indicated at the occurrence of emergent symptoms or considered at a PAA threshold of >2 cm. The PAAs were divided into small (≤15 mm) and large (>15 mm) aneurysms. The mean surveillance follow-up was 5.1 years. RESULTS: Most of the 241 identified patients (397 limbs) with a diagnosis of PAAs had bilateral aneurysms (n = 156). Most patients were treated within the study period (163 of 241; 68%), and one half of the diagnosed extremities with PAA had been treated (54%; 215 of 397). Among those who had undergone elective repair, treatment had usually occurred within 1 year after the diagnosis (66%; 105 of 158). More small PAAs were detected in the group that had required emergent repair compared with elective repair (6 of 57 [11%] vs 12 of 158 [8%]; P < .001). No differences were found in the mean diameters between the elective and emergent groups (30.1 mm vs 32.2 mm; P = .39). Growth was recorded in 110 PAAs and on multivariate analysis was associated with a larger index diameter (odds ratio, 1.138; 95% confidence interval, 1.040-1.246; P = .005) and a concurrent abdominal aortic aneurysm (odds ratio, 2.553; 95% confidence interval, 1.018-6.402; P = .046). CONCLUSIONS: The present cohort of patients represented a true contemporary clinical setting of monitored PAAs and showed that most of these patients will require elective repair, usually within 1 year. The risk of emergent repair is not negligible for patients with smaller diameter PAAs. However, the optimal selection strategy for preventive early repair is still unknown. Future morphologic studies are needed to support the development of individualized surveillance protocols.