Risk factor analysis for a rapid progression of chronic kidney disease.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a growing global health concern. Identifying individuals in routine clinical care with new-onset CKD at high risk of rapid progression of the disease is imperative to guide allocation of prophylactic interventions, but community-based data are limited. We aimed to examine the risk of rapid progression, kidney failure, hospitalization and death among adults with incident CKD stage G3 and to clarify the association between predefined risk markers and rapid CKD progression. METHODS: Using plasma creatinine measurements for the entire Danish population from both hospitals and primary care, we conducted a nationwide, population-based cohort study, including adults in Denmark with incident CKD stage G3 in 2017-2020. We estimated 3-year risks of rapid progression (defined by a confirmed decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate of ≥5 mL/min/1.73 m2/year), kidney failure, all-cause hospitalization and death. To examine risk markers, we constructed a heat map showing the risk of rapid progression based on predefined markers: albuminuria, sex, diabetes and hypertension/cardiovascular disease. RESULTS: Among 133 443 individuals with incident CKD stage G3, the 3-year risk of rapid progression was 14.6% [95% confidence interval (CI) 14.4-14.8]. The 3-year risks of kidney failure, hospitalization and death were 0.3% (95% CI 0.3-0.4), 53.3% (95% CI 53.0-53.6) and 18.1% (95% CI 17.9-18.4), respectively. In the heat map, the 3-year risk of rapid progression ranged from 7% in females without albuminuria, hypertension/cardiovascular disease or diabetes, to 46%-47% in males and females with severe albuminuria, diabetes and hypertension/cardiovascular disease. CONCLUSION: This population-based study shows that CKD stage G3 is associated with considerable morbidity in a community-based setting and underscores the need for optimized prophylactic interventions among such patients. Moreover, our data highlight the potential of using easily accessible markers in routine clinical care to identify individuals who are at high risk of rapid progression.

Albuminuria-lowering effect of adding semaglutide on top of empagliflozin in individuals with type 2 diabetes: A randomized and placebo-controlled study.

AIM: To investigate whether combined treatment with empagliflozin (a sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitor) and semaglutide (a glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist) can reduce urinary albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR) compared to treatment with empagliflozin alone in individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and albuminuria. METHODS: We conducted a randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind, parallel study including 60 individuals with T2D and albuminuria. All participants initiated open-label empagliflozin 25 mg once daily, on top of renin-angiotensin system inhibition, in a run-in period of 26 weeks. Subsequently, participants were randomized to semaglutide or placebo 1 mg once weekly for 26 weeks. The primary endpoint was change in UACR. Secondary endpoints were change in: (i) measured glomerular filtration rate (GFR); (ii) 24-hour systolic blood pressure; (iii) glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) level; (iv) body weight; and (v) plasma renin and aldosterone levels. RESULTS: Addition of semaglutide to empagliflozin provided no additional change in UACR from randomization to end-of-treatment. The mean (95% confidence interval) difference in UACR was -22 (-44; 10)% (P = 0.15) between treatment groups. Neither GFR, 24-hour blood pressure, body weight, nor plasma renin activity was changed with semaglutide. HbA1c (-8 [-13; -3] mmol/mol; P = 0.003) and plasma aldosterone (-30 [-50; -3] pmol/L; P = 0.035) were reduced with semaglutide compared to placebo. CONCLUSIONS: Semaglutide added to empagliflozin did not change UACR, measured GFR, 24-hour systolic blood pressure, body weight or plasma renin levels in individuals with T2D and albuminuria. Semaglutide improved glycaemic control and plasma aldosterone levels compared to placebo.

Effect of spironolactone wash-out on albuminuria after long-term treatment in individuals with type 2 diabetes and high risk of kidney disease-An observational follow-up of the PRIORITY study.

AIMS: This study aimed to explore the effect of discontinuation of long-term spironolactone treatment on markers of kidney function in individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D) at high risk of kidney disease enrolled in the Proteomic prediction and Renin angiotensin aldosterone system Inhibition prevention Of early diabetic nephRopathy In TYpe 2 diabetic patients with normoalbuminuria (PRIORITY) study. MATERIALS AND METHODS: An observational study following the nested randomised part of the PRIORITY study was conducted. A total of 115 individuals with T2D and normoalbuminuria but high risk for progression based on urinary proteomics, randomised to daily spironolactone (n = 50) or placebo (n = 65) for a median of 2.5 years, were re-examined approximately 6 weeks after the final visit in the PRIORITY study. Primary endpoint was relative change in geometric mean of urinary albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR) between the final visit in PRIORITY (baseline) and follow-up. Secondary endpoints were change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), systolic blood pressure (SBP) and serum potassium. RESULTS: No change in UACR was observed in neither the spironolactone (geometric mean change: 17%; 95% CI -12, 55; p = 0.28) nor the placebo (5%; 95% CI -13, 26; p = 0.63) group at follow-up. No difference in UACR between the groups was observed at follow-up (relative difference in geometric mean: 11%, 95% CI -26, 67; p = 0.60). For eGFR and SBP, an increase after discontinuation of spironolactone was observed, as well as for SBP after placebo discontinuation. Potassium levels were lower after discontinuation of spironolactone, but higher after placebo discontinuation (all p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: UACR did not change after discontinuation of long-term treatment with spironolactone. However, an increase in eGFR was observed supporting a haemodynamic effect of spironolactone in the kidneys.

The development of type 2 diabetes management in people with severe mental illness in the Capital Region of Denmark from 2001 to 2015.

BACKGROUND: Type 2 diabetes (T2D) treatment has changed markedly within the last decades. We aimed to explore whether people with severe mental illness (SMI) have followed the same changes in T2D treatment as those without SMI, as multiple studies suggest that people with SMI receive suboptimal care for somatic disorders. METHODS: In this registry-based annual cohort study, we explored the T2D treatment from 2001 to 2015 provided in general practices of the Greater Copenhagen area. We stratified the T2D cohorts by their pre-existing SMI status. T2D was defined based on elevated glycated hemoglobin (≥48 mmol/mol) or glucose (≥11 mmol/L) using data from the Copenhagen Primary Care Laboratory Database. Individuals with schizophrenia spectrum disorders (ICD-10 F20-29) or affective disorders (bipolar disorder or unipolar depression, ICD-10 F30-33) were identified based on hospital-acquired diagnoses made within 5 years before January 1 each year for people with prevalent T2D or 5 years before meeting our T2D definition for incident patients. For comparison, we defined a non-SMI group, including people who did not have a hospital-acquired diagnosis of schizophrenia spectrum disorders, affective disorders, or personality disorders. For each calendar year, we assembled cohorts of people with T2D with or without SMI. We used Poisson regression to calculate the rates per 100 person-years of having at least one biochemical test (glycated hemoglobin, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and urine albumin-creatinine ratio), having poor control of these biochemical results, taking glucose-lowering or cardiovascular medications, or experiencing a clinical outcome, including all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality. Three outcomes (cardiovascular events, cardiovascular mortality, and all-cause mortality) were additionally examined and adjusted for age and sex in a post hoc analysis. RESULTS: From 2001 to 2015, 66,914 individuals were identified as having T2D. In 2015, 1.5% of the study population had schizophrenia spectrum disorder and 1.4% had an affective disorder. The number of people who used biochemical tests or had poor biochemical risk factor control was essentially unrelated to SMI status. One exception was that fewer LDL cholesterol tests were done on people with affective disorders and schizophrenia spectrum disorders at the beginning of the study period compared to people in the non-SMI group. This difference gradually diminished and was almost nonexistent by 2011. There was also a slightly slower rise in UACR test rates in the SMI groups compared to other people with T2D during the period. Throughout the study period, all groups changed their use of medications in similar ways: more metformin, less sulfonylurea, more lipid-lowering drugs, and more ACEi/ARBs. However, people with schizophrenia disorder consistently used fewer cardiovascular medications. Cardiovascular events were more common in the affective disorder group compared to the non-SMI group from 2009 to 2015 (rate ratio 2015 : 1.36 [95% CI 1.18-1.57]). After adjustment for age and sex, all-cause mortality was significantly higher among people with a schizophrenia spectrum disorder each year from 2003 to 2015 compared to the non-SMI group (rate ratio 2015 : 1.99 [95% CI 1.26-3.12]). CONCLUSION: Persons with schizophrenia or affective disorders demonstrated the same treatment changes for T2D as those without SMI in general practice. The lower use of most types of cardiovascular medications among people with schizophrenia disorders indicates potential undertreatment of hypertension and dyslipidemia and remains throughout the study period. Cardiovascular events were most common among people with affective disorders, but this was not reflected in a higher proportion using cardiovascular preventive medications. This knowledge should be considered in the management of this vulnerable patient group.

"I Haven't Told Anyone but You": Experiences and Biopsychosocial Support Needs of People With Type 2 Diabetes and Binge Eating.

Up to 25% of people with type 2 diabetes (T2D) may binge eat which is almost 10 times as many as in the general population. Binge eating is associated with depression, anxiety, and social isolation. Moreover, binge eating may increase the risk of obesity and high blood glucose levels, both of which can accelerate the onset of complications to diabetes and death in people with T2D. Still, little is known about the experiences, needs, and preferences of people with T2D and binge eating that can inform and develop current and future treatment efforts. The aim of the study was therefore to gain in-depth insights into the experiences and biopsychosocial support needs of women and men with T2D and binge eating. Twenty semi-structured individual interviews (65% with females) were conducted and analyzed according to the methodology of Interpretive Description. Four themes were identified: (a) T2D and binge eating: Feeling trapped in a vicious circle; (b) Unwanted outcasts: Responding to continuous criticism; (c) Biomedical relief: Blaming and adjusting the body; and, (d) Silent struggles: Wanting to cease the secrecy. Pertinent to all themes were the guilt, shame, and worries about developing complications that the participants experienced when binge eating despite having T2D. Although binge eating triggered emotional distress, binge eating was at the same time a way of coping with such distress. Implications for treatment and future research are discussed, including the need to systematically assess and address binge eating in routine T2D care.

Clinical implications and guidelines for CKD in type 2 diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a complication of type 2 diabetes (T2D) with high morbidity and mortality. The prevalence of CKD in T2D is increasing due to rising numbers of persons with T2D. Multiple clinical trials have been conducted testing novel therapies to reduce the progression of CKD, cardiovascular morbidity, in particular hospitalization for heart failure, and mortality. Results of these clinical trials have informed guidelines for the management of CKD in T2D. METHODS: The epidemiology of CKD in T2D and the process of guideline writing, including data gathering, grading and consensus development, were reviewed. Recent guidelines for the management of CKD in T2D that include recent renal outcome clinical trials are reported, along with supporting evidence. RESULTS: All current guidelines recommend annual screening for CKD, control of blood pressure and glucose, although the target levels and background therapy recommendations vary. Renin-angiotensin system (RAS) inhibition is uniformly recommended. Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibition with proven agents is recommended by all guidelines, with minor variations in suggested estimated glomerular filtration rate and albuminuria levels. Finerenone, the first nonsteroidal mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist with renal outcome data, is recommended by the most recent guideline available. CONCLUSIONS: Current guidelines continue to recommend screening for CKD, blood pressure control using RAS inhibition as first-line therapy, and glucose control. SGLT2 inhibition and finerenone are recent additions to current guidelines to improve CKD outcomes in T2D, based on robust clinical trial data.

Sotagliflozin, a dual sodium-glucose co-transporter-1 and sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitor, reduces the risk of cardiovascular and kidney disease, as assessed by the Steno T1 Risk Engine in adults with type 1 diabetes.

AIMS: Sotagliflozin (SOTA) as adjunct to insulin therapy improves glycemic control, reduces body weight and blood pressure, and increases time in range in adults with type 1 diabetes (T1D). SOTA demonstrated CV and kidney benefits in high-risk adults with type 2 diabetes. These potential benefits using SOTA for T1D may collectively outweigh the risk of diabetic ketoacidosis. The present analysis estimated the risk of CVD and kidney failure in adults with T1D treated with SOTA. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Participant-level data were used from the inTandem trials evaluating 2980 adults with T1D randomized to once-daily placebo, SOTA 200 mg, or SOTA 400 mg for 24 weeks. For each participant, the cumulative risks of developing CVD and kidney failure were estimated using the Steno T1 Risk Engine. A subgroup analysis was performed in participants with BMI ≥ 27 kg/m2 . RESULTS: SOTA significantly reduced the predicted 5- and 10-year CVD risk in the SOTA 200 and 400 mg pooled group with a relative change in the SOTA group compared to the relative change in the placebo group of (mean [95%-confidence interval (CI)]) -6.6 (-7.9, -5.3) % and -6.4 (-7.6, -5.1) % (p < 0.0001 for both) respectively. For the 5-year ESKD risk there was a significant reduction with a relative change of -5.0 (-7.6, -2.3) % (p = 0.0003). Similar results were observed with the individual doses and in participants with BMI ≥ 27 kg/m2 . CONCLUSION: This analysis provides additional clinical results that may positively balance the benefit/risk assessment of SGLT inhibition use in T1D.

Overall and inter-individual effect of four different drug classes on soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor in type 1 and type 2 diabetes.

AIM: To evaluate the effect of four different drug classes on soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR), a biomarker active in multiple inflammatory processes and a risk factor for complications, in people with type 1 and type 2 diabetes. METHODS: We conducted post hoc analyses of a randomized, open-label, crossover trial including 26 adults with type 1 and 40 with type 2 diabetes with urinary albumin-creatinine ratio ≥30 and ≤500 mg/g assigned to 4-week treatments with telmisartan 80 mg, empagliflozin 10 mg, linagliptin 5 mg and baricitinib 2 mg, separated by 4-week washouts. Plasma suPAR was measured before and after each treatment. SuPAR change after each treatment was calculated and, for each individual, the best suPAR-reducing drug was identified. Subsequently, the effect of the best individual drug was compared against the mean of the other three drugs. Repeated-measures linear mixed-effects models were employed. RESULTS: The baseline median (interquartile range) plasma suPAR was 3.5 (2.9, 4.3) ng/mL. No overall effect on suPAR levels was observed for any one drug. The individual best-performing drug varied, with baricitinib being selected for 20 participants (30%), followed by empagliflozin for 19 (29%), linagliptin for 16 (24%) and telmisartan for 11 (17%). The individual best-performing drug reduced suPAR by 13.3% (95% confidence interval [CI] 3.7, 22.8; P = 0.007). The difference in suPAR response between the individual best-performing drug and the other three was -19.7% (95% CI -23.1, -16.3; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated no overall effect of 4-week treatment with telmisartan, empagliflozin, linagliptin or baricitinib on suPAR. However, individualization of treatment might significantly reduce suPAR levels.

Initiation of glucose-lowering drugs reduces the anticoagulant effect of warfarin-But not through altered drug metabolism in patients with type 2 diabetes.

AIMS: Drug metabolism might be altered in patients with type 2 diabetes. We aimed to evaluate if initiation of glucose-lowering drugs impacts warfarin efficacy and drug metabolism. METHODS: First, we conducted a register-based self-controlled cohort study on Danish and Scottish warfarin users. Warfarin efficacy (international normalized ratio [INR]) was compared before and after initiation of glucose-lowering drugs. Second, we conducted a clinical pharmacokinetic trial comprising treatment-naïve type 2 diabetes patients. Patients ingested probe drugs for drug-metabolizing enzymes (the Basel Cocktail) before initiating glucose-lowering treatment, and after 3 and 12 weeks of treatment. Drug metabolism, glycaemic control, and inflammation were assessed on each visit. RESULTS: In the Danish and Scottish cohorts (n = 982 and n = 44, respectively), initiating glucose-lowering drugs reduced warfarin efficacy. INR decreased from 2.47 to 2.21 in the Danish cohort (mean difference -0.26; 95% CI -0.35; -0.17) and from 2.33 to 2.13 in the Scottish cohort (-0.21; 95% CI -0.52; 0.11) after initiation of glucose-lowering treatment. This impact on INR was more pronounced among individuals with stronger effects of glucose-lowering treatment. In the clinical pharmacokinetic trial (n = 10), initiating metformin did not affect drug metabolism after 3 weeks (geometric mean ratio of CYP3A metabolic ratio: 1.12 [95% CI: 0.95; 1.32]) or 12 weeks of metformin treatment. Glycaemic control improved during treatment, while inflammation remained low and unchanged during treatment. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, initiation of glucose-lowering drugs among chronic warfarin users seems associated with a reduction in INR, particularly among individuals with a large decrease in HbA1c . This effect seems unrelated to CYP enzyme activity and warfarin drug metabolism.

The effect of metformin treatment on volumes of free-living physical activity and sedentary behaviour: A post-hoc analysis of the PRE-D trial.

Perceived physical exertion is increased when exercise is performed on metformin treatment, but the clinical relevance of this is unknown. In this post hoc analysis of a randomized, controlled trial, we investigated whether metformin treatment was associated with lower levels of free-living physical activity. Ninety individuals with overweight/obesity (BMI>25 m2/kg) and HbA1c-defined prediabetes (39-47 mmol/mol) were randomized to treatment with dapagliflozin (SGLT2-inhibitor; 10 mg once daily, n=30), metformin (850 mg twice daily, n=30) or no treatment (control, n=30) for 13 weeks in a parallel-group, open-label trial. Before (baseline), during (6 weeks) and immediately after (13 weeks) cessation of treatment, a 6-day assessment of physical activity and sedentary behaviour was performed using accelerometer-based physical activity monitors. Intention-to-treat analyses revealed no within-group changes or differences in change between the groups for any measures of physical activity or sedentary behaviour at neither 6 nor 13 weeks. Short-term metformin treatment does not reduce free-living physical activity level in individuals with overweight/obesity and HbA1c-defined prediabetes.

Time trends of cardiovascular risk management in type 1 diabetes - nationwide analyses of real-life data.

BACKGROUND: Individuals diagnosed with and treated for type 1 diabetes (T1D) have increased risk of micro- and macrovascular disease and excess mortality. Improving cardiovascular (CV) risk factors in individuals with T1D is known to reduce diabetes- related CV complications. AIM: To examine time trends in CV risk factor levels and CV-protective treatment patterns. Additionally, examine incidence rates of diabetes-related CV complications in relation to exposure CV-protective treatment. METHODS: We analysed records from 41,630 individuals with T1D, registered anytime between 1996 and 2017 in a nationwide diabetes register. We obtained CV risk factor measurements (2010-2017), CV-protective drug profiles (1996-2017) and CV complication history (1977-2017) from additional nationwide health registers. RESULTS: From 2010 to 2017 there were decreasing levels of HbA1c, LDL-C, and blood pressure. Decreasing proportion of smokers, individuals with glycaemic dysregulation (HbA1c ≥ 58 mmol/mol), dyslipidaemia (LDL-C > 2.6 mmol/l), and hypertension (≥ 140/85 mmHg). Yet, one fifth of the T1D population by January 1st, 2017 was severely dysregulated (HbA1c > 75 mmol/mol). A slight increase in levels of BMI and urinary albumin creatinine ratio and a slight decrease in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) levels was observed. By January 1st, 2017, one fourth of the T1D population had an eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m2. The proportion of the T1D population redeeming lipid-lowering drugs (LLDs) increased from 5% in 2000 to 30% in 2010 followed by a plateau and then a decline. The proportion of the T1D population redeeming antihypertensive drugs (AHDs) increased from 28% in 1996 to 42% in 2010 followed by a tendency to decline. Use of LLDs was associated with lower incidence of micro- and macrovascular complications, while use of AHDs had higher incidence of CVD and CKD, when compared to non-use and discontinued use, respectively. CONCLUSION: Improvements were seen in CV risk factor control among individuals with T1D in Denmark between 2010 and 2017. However, there is clearly a gap between current clinical guidelines and clinical practice for CV risk management in T1D. Action is needed to push further improvements in CV risk control to reduce CVD and the related excess mortality.

Flexible inclusion of dialogue about psychosocial aspects of life with type 1 diabetes in routine consultations: A study of a questionnaire-based dialogue tool to promote person-centred support.

AIMS: To explore (1) experiences among people with type 1 diabetes and diabetologists of using a questionnaire-based dialogue tool in routine consultations to identify and address psychosocial challenges and (2) experiences of person-centredness in this group compared with a group who did not use the tool. METHODS: In all, 42 people with type 1 diabetes (mean age 54 years, mean diabetes duration 31 years and 60% women) were interviewed and completed an evaluation questionnaire following a routine consultation with the use of a dialogue tool including PAID-5, WHO-5 and open-ended questions. A comparison group of 42 people with type 1 diabetes attending routine consultations without the use of dialogue tools completed evaluation questionnaires. All consultations were audio recorded. Diabetologists were interviewed after completing all test consultations. Interviews were analysed using thematic text condensation. Evaluation questionnaires were analysed using descriptive statistics, chi square tests and Student's two-sided t-tests. RESULTS: Most participants found questions in the dialogue tool relevant to discuss with the diabetologist, and two-thirds were satisfied with the time spent on that. Experiences of people with type 1 diabetes and diabetologists were related to three pathways: (1) the tool supported valuable conversations with the diabetologist, (2) conversations with the diabetologist were unchanged and (3) the tool derailed conversations. All participants reported high levels of person centredness; however, significantly more in the comparison group reported that the diabetologist made them feel at ease (80 vs. 55%) and discussed and planned specific changes with them (93 vs. 67%). CONCLUSION: A questionnaire-based dialogue tool in consultations can support the discussion of psychosocial issues of people with type 1 diabetes. However, flexible and tailored use of the dialogue tool is crucial as consultations may otherwise be derailed.

Impact of random variation in albuminuria and estimated glomerular filtration rate on patient enrolment and duration of clinical trials in nephrology.

AIM: To test whether a screening approach with more flexible urinary albumin creatinine ratio (UACR) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) thresholds would decrease screen failure rate without negatively impacting on the event rate and overall study duration. METHODS: We performed a post-hoc analysis of the ALTITUDE trial. We selected participants randomized to placebo with a UACR of >300 mg/g and an eGFR between 30 mL/min/1.73 m2 and 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 at the first visit (pre-screening) for the trial. We then used less stringent lower UACR and higher eGFR thresholds for the following qualifying visit. For each scenario we calculated the number of eligible participants, the number of renal and cardiovascular endpoints, and the event rates. Based on this, we performed simulations for a future trial and estimated the duration of enrolment and total duration of this trial. RESULTS: The base scenario consisted of 848 participants (median UACR 1239 mg/g; median eGFR 44 mL/min/1.73 m2 ). Lowering the UACR and/or raising eGFR qualification thresholds increased the number of eligible participants, decreased screen failures and resulted in only a modest decrease in renal and cardiovascular event rates. For example, relaxing the UACR criterion from 300 mg/g to 210 mg/g at the qualifying visit, increased the number of eligible patients from 848 to 923, and increased the number of renal events from 117 to 122 events. The event rate showed a moderate decrease from 5.6 (4.6-6.7) events per 100 patient-years to 5.3 (4.4-6.4) events per 100 patient-years. In simulations, lowering the UACR and raising eGFR thresholds for inclusion accelerated patient enrolment and did not increase in the overall trial duration. CONCLUSION: More flexible albuminuria and eGFR-based inclusion criteria, in participants who met the inclusion criteria of a trial based on pre-screening values prior to the clinical trial, decreases screen failure rates and accelerated patient enrolment leading to more efficient trial conduct without impacting the overall trial duration.

The importance of addressing multiple risk markers in type 2 diabetes: Results from the LEADER and SUSTAIN 6 trials.

AIMS: To investigate to what extent multiple risk marker improvements confer lower risk of cardiovascular and kidney complications in a contemporary type 2 diabetes population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Post-hoc analysis of the LEADER (n = 8638; median follow-up 3.8 years) and SUSTAIN 6 (n = 3040; median follow-up 2.1 years) cardiovascular outcome trials. Participants were those with baseline and year-1 assessment of at least one of the parameters of interest; we pooled the liraglutide-/semaglutide- and placebo-treated groups and categorized them by number of risk markers with clinically relevant improvements after 1 year of study participation. We investigated risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), expanded MACE, cardiovascular death and nephropathy. Predefined clinically relevant changes: body weight loss ≥5%; reductions in: glycated haemoglobin ≥1%, systolic blood pressure ≥5 mmHg and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol ≥0.5 mmol/L; estimated glomerular filtration rate change ≥0 ml/min/1.73 m2 and urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio change ≥30% of baseline value. Cox regression analysed risk of outcomes adjusted for baseline risk marker levels and treatment group and stratified by trial. RESULTS: Participants with two, three, or four or more improved risk markers versus participants with no risk marker improvement had reduced risk of expanded MACE [hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) 0.80 (0.67-0.96); 0.80 (0.66-0.97); 0.82 (0.66-1.02)], cardiovascular death [0.66 (0.45-0.96), 0.67 (0.45-0.99), 0.60 (0.38-0.94)] and nephropathy [0.71 (0.52-0.97), 0.48 (0.34-0.68), 0.43 (0.29-0.65)]. CONCLUSIONS: In persons with type 2 diabetes, improvements in ≥2 risk markers conferred cardiovascular risk reduction versus none or one improved risk marker. The nephropathy risk decreased with improvement in more risk markers. These findings stress the importance of multifactorial interventions targeting all risk markers.

The effects of dapagliflozin, metformin or exercise on glycaemic variability in overweight or obese individuals with prediabetes (the PRE-D Trial): a multi-arm, randomised, controlled trial.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: We aimed to investigate the short-term efficacy and safety of three glucose-lowering interventions in overweight or obese individuals with prediabetes defined by HbA1c. METHODS: The PRE-D Trial was a randomised, controlled, parallel, multi-arm, open-label, non-blinded trial performed at Steno Diabetes Center Copenhagen, Gentofte, Denmark. One hundred and twenty participants with BMI ≥25 kg/m2, 30-70 years of age, and prediabetes (HbA1c 39-47 mmol/mol [5.7-6.4%]) were randomised 1:1:1:1 to dapagliflozin (10 mg once daily), metformin (1700 mg daily), interval-based exercise (5 days/week, 30 min/session) or control (habitual lifestyle). Participants were examined at baseline and at 6, 13 and 26 weeks after randomisation. The primary outcome was the 13 week change in glycaemic variability (calculated as mean amplitude of glycaemic excursions [MAGE]) determined using a continuous glucose monitoring system (pre-specified minimal clinically important difference in MAGE ∼30%). RESULTS: One hundred and twelve participants attended the examination at 13 weeks and 111 attended the follow-up visit at 26 weeks. Compared with the control group, there was a small decrease in MAGE in the dapagliflozin group (17.1% [95% CI 0.7, 30.8], p = 0.042) and a small, non-significant, reduction in the exercise group (15.3% [95% CI -1.2, 29.1], p = 0.067), whereas MAGE was unchanged in the metformin group (0.1% [95% CI -16.1, 19.4], p = 0.991)). Compared with the metformin group, MAGE was 17.2% (95% CI 0.8, 30.9; p = 0.041) lower in the dapagliflozin group and 15.4% (95% CI -1.1, 29.1; p = 0.065) lower in the exercise group after 13 weeks, with no difference between exercise and dapagliflozin (2.2% [95% CI -14.8, 22.5], p = 0.815). One serious adverse event occurred in the control group (lung cancer). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Treatment with dapagliflozin and interval-based exercise lead to similar but small improvements in glycaemic variability compared with control and metformin therapy. The clinical importance of these findings in prediabetes is uncertain. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02695810 FUNDING: The study was funded by the Novo Nordisk Foundation, AstraZeneca AB, the Danish Innovation Foundation, the University of Copenhagen and Ascensia Diabetes Care Denmark ApS Graphical abstract.

Visit-to-visit variability of clinical risk markers in relation to long-term complications in type 1 diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Clinical characteristics such as HbA1c , systolic blood pressure (SBP), albuminuria and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) are important when treating type 1 diabetes. We investigated the variability in these measures as risk markers for micro- and macrovascular complications. METHODS: This prospective study included 1062 individuals with type 1 diabetes. Visit-to-visit variability of HbA1c , SBP, albuminuria and eGFR was calculated as the SD of the residuals in individual linear regression models using all available measures in a specified period of 3 years (VV). Endpoints included were as follows: cardiovascular events (CVE) defined as myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, or coronary or peripheral arterial intervention; end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) defined as eGFR <15 ml/min/1.73 m2 , chronic dialysis or kidney transplantation; eGFR decline ≥30%; and mortality. Adjustment included age, sex, cholesterol, HbA1c , SBP, body mass index, smoking, albuminuria, eGFR, and mean, intercept, slope of respective exposure variables and regression models. RESULTS: SBP VV was significantly associated with CVE (adjusted hazard ratio per 50% increase, (CI 95%); p: 1.21 [1.05-1.39]; p = 0.008), ESKD (1.51 [1.16-1.96]; p = 0.002) and mortality (1.25 [1.09-1.44]; p = 0.002). HbA1c VV was significantly associated with mortality (1.51 [1.30-1.75]; p < 0.001); albuminuria VV with eGFR decline (1.14 [1.08-1.20]; p = 0.024) and ESKD (1.14 [1.02-1.27]; p < 0.001), but neither CVE nor mortality. Adjusted eGFR VV was not associated with endpoints. CONCLUSION: In type 1 diabetes, higher variability of basic clinical risk markers adds important risk stratification information for the development of micro- and macrovascular complications.

Copeptin and renal function decline, cardiovascular events and mortality in type 1 diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Plasma copeptin is a surrogate of arginine vasopressin (AVP) secretion and is associated with a risk of renal and cardiovascular disease. We investigated associations between copeptin and renal events, cardiovascular events and mortality in type 1 diabetes (T1D). METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study on 658 individuals with T1D from Steno Diabetes Center Copenhagen. Plasma copeptin concentrations and conventional risk factors were assessed at baseline. The five endpoints were traced through national registries and electronic laboratory records. RESULTS: Baseline mean age was 55 ± 13 years and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was 81 ± 26 mL/min/1.73 m2. The median follow-up was 6.2 years (interquartile range 5.8-6.7); 123 participants reached a combined renal endpoint [decline in eGFR ≥30%, end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) or all-cause mortality], 93 had a decrease in eGFR ≥30%, 21 developed ESKD, 94 experienced a combined cardiovascular endpoint and 58 died from all causes. Higher copeptin was associated with all endpoints in unadjusted Cox regression analyses. Upon adjustment for baseline eGFR, the associations were attenuated and remained significant only for the combined renal endpoint and decrease in eGFR ≥30%. Results were similar upon further adjustment for other risk factors, after which hazard ratios for the two renal endpoints were 2.27 (95% confidence interval 1.08-4.74) and 4.49 (1.77-11.4), respectively, for the highest versus the lowest quartile of copeptin. CONCLUSIONS: Higher copeptin was an independent risk marker for a combined renal endpoint and decline in renal function. AVP may be a marker of renal damage or a factor whose contribution to renal and cardiovascular risk is partially mediated by renal damage.

A large remaining potential in lipid-lowering drug treatment in the type 2 diabetes population: A Danish nationwide cohort study.

AIM: To assess lipid-lowering drug (LLD) use patterns during 1996-2017 and examine lipid levels in relation to the use of LLDs and prevalent atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). METHODS: Using a nationwide diabetes register, 404 389 individuals with type 2 diabetes living in Denmark during 1996-2017 were identified. Individuals were followed from 1 January 1996 or date of type 2 diabetes diagnosis until date of emigration, death or 1 January 2017. Redemptions of prescribed LLDs were ascertained from the nationwide Register of Medicinal Products Statistics. Data on lipid levels were sourced from the National Laboratory Database since 2010. LLD coverage was calculated at any given time based on the redeemed amount and dose. Trends in lipid levels were estimated using an additive mixed-effect model. Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) goal attainment was assessed based on recommended targets by the 2011, 2016 and 2019 guidelines for management of dyslipidaemias. RESULTS: LLD use has decreased since 2012 and only 55% of those with type 2 diabetes were LLD users in 2017. A decline in levels of total cholesterol and LDL-C, and an increase in triglycerides, was observed during 2010-2017. Annual mean levels of LDL-C were lower among LLD users compared with non-users (in 2017: 1.84 vs. 2.57 mmol/L). A greater fraction of LLD users achieved the LDL-C goal of less than 1.8 mmol/L compared with non-users (in 2017: 51.7% and 19%, respectively). Among LLD users with prevalent ASCVD, 26.9% and 55% had, as recommended by current 2019 European guidelines, an LDL-C level of less than 1.4 mmol/L and less than 1.8 mmol/L, respectively, in 2017. CONCLUSIONS: LLD use and LDL-C levels are far from optimal in the Danish type 2 diabetes population and improvement in LLD use could reduce ASCVD events.

No effects of dapagliflozin, metformin or exercise on plasma glucagon concentrations in individuals with prediabetes: A post hoc analysis from the randomized controlled PRE-D trial.

AIM: To assess the effects of dapagliflozin, metformin and exercise treatment on changes in plasma glucagon concentrations in individuals with overweight and HbA1c-defined prediabetes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: One-hundred and twenty individuals with overweight (body mass index ≥ 25 kg/m2 ) and prediabetes (HbA1c of 39-47 mmol/mol) were randomized to a 13-week intervention with dapagliflozin (10 mg once daily), metformin (850 mg twice daily), exercise (30 minutes of interval training 5 days per week) or control (habitual living). A 75-g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) (0, 30, 60 and 120 minutes) was administered at baseline, at 13 weeks (end of intervention) and at 26 weeks (end of follow-up). Linear mixed effects models with participant-specific random intercepts were used to investigate associations of the interventions with fasting plasma glucagon concentration, insulin/glucagon ratio and glucagon suppression during the OGTT. RESULTS: At baseline, the median (Q1; Q3) age was 62 (54; 68) years, median fasting plasma glucagon concentration was 11 (7; 15) pmol/L, mean (SD) HbA1c was 40.9 (2.3) mmol/mol and 56% were women. Compared with the control group, fasting glucagon did not change in any of the groups from baseline to the end of the intervention (dapagliflozin group: -5% [95% CI: -29; 26]; exercise group: -8% [95% CI: -31; 24]; metformin group: -2% [95% CI: -27; 30]). Likewise, there were no differences in insulin/glucagon ratio and glucagon suppression during the OGTT between the groups. CONCLUSIONS: In individuals with prediabetes, 13 weeks of treatment with dapagliflozin, metformin or exercise was not associated with changes in fasting or post-OGTT glucagon concentrations.

Drug-drug interaction between warfarin and statins: A Danish cohort study.

Initiation of statin treatment is suggested to increase the international normalised ratio (INR) among warfarin users. However, available data is limited and conflicting. We conducted a register-based cohort study to evaluate the drug-drug interaction between warfarin and statins. By linking data on INR measurements and filled prescriptions, we identified warfarin users 2000-2015 initiating simvastatin (n = 1363), atorvastatin (n = 165) or rosuvastatin (n = 23). Simvastatin initiation led to an increase in mean INR from 2.40 to 2.71, with INRs peaking after 4 weeks, corresponding to a mean change of 0.32 (95%CI 0.25-0.38). High-dose and low-dose simvastatin led to comparable changes (mean change 0.33 vs 0.29). Initiation of atorvastatin and rosuvastatin lead to INR increases of 0.27 (95%CI 0.12-0.42) and 0.30 (95%CI -0.09-0.69). In conclusion, initiation of simvastatin, atorvastatin or rosuvastatin among warfarin users led to a minor increase in INR. The magnitude of this change is for most patients likely of limited clinical relevance.