Impact of direct-acting antiviral agents on liver function in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection.

Whilst the benefit of direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) in achieving sustained virological response (SVR) is now well-accepted, their impact on liver function, particularly in relation to achievement of SVR, has not been well documented. We studied 2394 patients with chronic HCV infection, 1276 receiving DAAs and 1118 interferon-based therapy. Liver function was assessed by the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score or grade. Overall survival according to SVR status and baseline ALBI grade was examined. We also studied time to first decompensation according to ALBI grade, as well as longitudinal changes in ALBI score over time according to SVR. Among the patients receiving DAAs, 89% achieved SVR (Japan = 99%, UK = 78%). Amongst the decompensated patients in the UK cohort, three distinct risk groups according to ALBI grade at baseline were observed. The UK patients receiving DAAs, who had predominantly decompensated disease, showed clear evidence of improvement of liver function detectable within 2 years of the start of treatment, especially in those achieving SVR. These early changes in liver function were very similar to those observed in the first 2-3 years after interferon-based therapy. DAAs improve liver function especially in those with decompensated disease who achieve SVR. Experience with interferon-based therapy suggests that failure to achieve SVR is associated with long-term decline in liver function and, in contrast, patients who do achieve SVR can expect long-term disease improvement and subsequent stabilization of liver function. Our initial analysis suggests that those receiving DAAs are likely, in the long term, to follow a similar course.

Modelling the impact of improving screening and treatment of chronic hepatitis C virus infection on future hepatocellular carcinoma rates and liver-related mortality.

BACKGROUND: The societal, clinical and economic burden imposed by the complications of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection - including cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) - is expected to increase over the coming decades. However, new therapies may improve sustained virological response (SVR) rates and shorten treatment duration. This study aimed to estimate the future burden of HCV-related disease in England if current management strategies remain the same and the impact of increasing diagnosis and treatment of HCV as new therapies become available. METHODS: A previously published model was adapted for England using published literature and government reports, and validated through an iterative process of three meetings of HCV experts. The impact of increasing diagnosis and treatment of HCV as new therapies become available was modelled and compared to the base-case scenario of continuing current management strategies. To assess the 'best case' clinical benefit of new therapies, the number of patients treated was increased by a total of 115% by 2018. RESULTS: In the base-case scenario, total viraemic (HCV RNA-positive) cases of HCV in England will decrease from 144,000 in 2013 to 76,300 in 2030. However, due to the slow progression of chronic HCV, the number of individuals with cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis and HCC will continue to increase over this period. The model suggests that the 'best case' substantially reduces HCV-related hepatic disease and HCV-related liver mortality by 2020 compared to the base-case scenario. The number of HCV-related HCC cases would decrease 50% by 2020 and the number progressing from infection to decompensated cirrhosis would decline by 65%. Therefore, compared to projections of current practices, increasing treatment numbers by 115% by 2018 would reduce HCV-related mortality by 50% by 2020. CONCLUSIONS: This analysis suggests that with current treatment practices the number of patients developing HCV-related cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis and HCC will increase substantially, with HCV-related liver deaths likely to double by 2030. However, increasing diagnosis and treatment rates could optimise the reduction in the burden of disease produced by the new therapies, potentially halving HCV-related liver mortality and HCV-related HCC by 2020.

Apolipoprotein E-epsilon 4 protects against severe liver disease caused by hepatitis C virus.

The outcome of infection with hepatitis C virus (HCV) varies greatly. The virus associates with serum lipoproteins, including those containing apolipoprotein E (apoE) and apolipoprotein B (apoB), and may enter cells via the low-density lipoprotein receptor (LDLR). ApoE genotypes can affect the extent of damage in diseases caused by 2 other viruses--herpes simplex virus type 1 (HSV1; in Alzheimer's disease and herpes labialis) and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). We therefore investigated whether specific apoE and apoB alleles were associated with different outcomes of HCV infection. A total of 156 anti-HCV-positive patients and 104 non-HCV-infected patients were studied. Liver biopsy specimens from patients with chronic HCV infection (n = 111) were assessed for disease severity by the Knodell system. ApoE and apoB genotypes were determined by standard polymerase chain reaction (PCR) methods. There was no significant difference among the apoE genotypes of HCV-infected subjects compared with previously published population data, or between HCV-RNA positive or negative patients. However, chronically HCV-infected subjects with mild liver disease (n = 65) had a significantly higher apoE-epsilon 4 allele frequency (20.0%) than those (n = 46) with severe disease (6.5%). ApoB alleles alone or in combination with apoE were not associated with mild or severe disease. The overall apoE allele frequencies of patients with liver disease not caused by HCV were similar to those of the total HCV group and in contrast to the HCV patients, the apoE allele frequencies were similar in those patients with no or mild fibrosis as compared with those with bridging fibrosis or cirrhosis. In conclusion, carriage of an apoE-epsilon 4 allele may be protective against liver damage caused by HCV, but not against damage due to various nonviral causes. This is yet another case in which apoE may determine the severity of a viral disease.