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1.
Lancet ; 399(10342): 2191-2199, 2022 06 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35691322

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Several passive surveillance systems reported increased risks of myocarditis or pericarditis, or both, after COVID-19 mRNA vaccination, especially in young men. We used active surveillance from large health-care databases to quantify and enable the direct comparison of the risk of myocarditis or pericarditis, or both, after mRNA-1273 (Moderna) and BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) vaccinations. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study, examining the primary outcome of myocarditis or pericarditis, or both, identified using the International Classification of Diseases diagnosis codes, occurring 1-7 days post-vaccination, evaluated in COVID-19 mRNA vaccinees aged 18-64 years using health plan claims databases in the USA. Observed (O) incidence rates were compared with expected (E) incidence rates estimated from historical cohorts by each database. We used multivariate Poisson regression to estimate the adjusted incidence rates, specific to each brand of vaccine, and incidence rate ratios (IRRs) comparing mRNA-1273 and BNT162b2. We used meta-analyses to pool the adjusted incidence rates and IRRs across databases. FINDINGS: A total of 411 myocarditis or pericarditis, or both, events were observed among 15 148 369 people aged 18-64 years who received 16 912 716 doses of BNT162b2 and 10 631 554 doses of mRNA-1273. Among men aged 18-25 years, the pooled incidence rate was highest after the second dose, at 1·71 (95% CI 1·31 to 2·23) per 100 000 person-days for BNT162b2 and 2·17 (1·55 to 3·04) per 100 000 person-days for mRNA-1273. The pooled IRR in the head-to-head comparison of the two mRNA vaccines was 1·43 (95% CI 0·88 to 2·34), with an excess risk of 27·80 per million doses (-21·88 to 77·48) in mRNA-1273 recipients compared with BNT162b2. INTERPRETATION: An increased risk of myocarditis or pericarditis was observed after COVID-19 mRNA vaccination and was highest in men aged 18-25 years after a second dose of the vaccine. However, the incidence was rare. These results do not indicate a statistically significant risk difference between mRNA-1273 and BNT162b2, but it should not be ruled out that a difference might exist. Our study results, along with the benefit-risk profile, continue to support vaccination using either of the two mRNA vaccines. FUNDING: US Food and Drug Administration.


Subject(s)
2019-nCoV Vaccine mRNA-1273 , BNT162 Vaccine , COVID-19 , Myocarditis , Pericarditis , 2019-nCoV Vaccine mRNA-1273/adverse effects , Adolescent , Adult , BNT162 Vaccine/adverse effects , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Cohort Studies , Humans , Male , Myocarditis/diagnosis , Myocarditis/epidemiology , Myocarditis/etiology , Pericarditis/diagnosis , Pericarditis/epidemiology , Pericarditis/etiology , Retrospective Studies , Vaccination/adverse effects , Young Adult
2.
Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf ; 32(7): 735-751, 2023 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36779261

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To evaluate the impact of increased federal restrictions on hydrocodone combination product (HCP) utilization, misuse, abuse, and overdose death. METHODS: We assessed utilization, misuse, abuse, and overdose death trends involving hydrocodone versus select opioid analgesics (OAs) and heroin using descriptive and interrupted time-series (ITS) analyses during the nine quarters before and after the October 2014 rescheduling of HCPs from a less restrictive (CIII) to more restrictive (CII) category. RESULTS: Hydrocodone dispensing declined >30% over the study period, and declines accelerated after rescheduling. ITS analyses showed that immediately postrescheduling, quarterly hydrocodone dispensing decreased by 177M dosage units while codeine, oxycodone, and morphine dispensing increased by 49M, 62M, and 4M dosage units, respectively. Postrescheduling, hydrocodone-involved misuse/abuse poison center (PC) case rates had a statistically significant immediate drop but a deceleration of preperiod declines. There were small level increases in codeine-involved PC misuse/abuse and overdose death rates immediately after HCP's rescheduling, but these were smaller than level decreases in rates for hydrocodone. Heroin-involved PC case rates and overdose death rates increased across the study period, with exponential increases in PC case rates beginning 2015. CONCLUSIONS: HCP rescheduling was associated with accelerated declines in hydrocodone dispensing, only partially offset by smaller increases in codeine, oxycodone, and morphine dispensing. The net impact on hydrocodone and other OA-involved misuse/abuse and fatal overdose was unclear. We did not detect an immediate impact on heroin abuse or overdose death rates; however, the dynamic nature of the crisis and data limitations present challenges to causal inference.


Subject(s)
Drug Overdose , Hydrocodone , Humans , Oxycodone/adverse effects , Heroin , Practice Patterns, Physicians' , Analgesics, Opioid , Codeine/adverse effects , Drug Overdose/epidemiology , Drug Overdose/prevention & control , Drug Overdose/drug therapy , Morphine/adverse effects
3.
Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf ; 27(5): 464-472, 2018 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29243305

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Despite the rise in serious adverse events paralleling increased prescription opioid analgesic use in the United States over the past 2 decades, the association between opioid analgesic dose and the risk of serious adverse health outcomes is incompletely characterized. We sought to synthesize the medical literature for observational studies examining the association between opioid analgesic dose and the risk of serious adverse health outcomes, with particular attention to the outcomes of misuse, abuse, addiction, overdose, and death. METHODS: Searching MEDLINE using PubMed and bibliography review, we identified 22 observational studies published between 2000 and 2015 that assessed the association between opioid analgesic dose and the risk of serious adverse health outcomes. Some of these studies had significant methodological limitations. Twelve reviewed studies examined the outcomes of misuse, overdose, or death; no studies examining the risk of addiction or abuse met our criteria for inclusion. RESULTS: The results of multiple studies clearly indicate an increasing risk of serious adverse health outcomes associated with increasing opioid analgesic dose. In particular, the risk of misuse, overdose, and death increases with increasing opioid analgesic dose. However, there is no opioid dose inflection point beyond which the risk of these adverse health outcomes increases. No opioid analgesic dose is without risk. CONCLUSIONS: The reviewed studies show an increasing risk of serious adverse health outcomes-including misuse, overdose, and death-associated with increasing opioid analgesic dose. Further research is needed to characterize the relationship between opioid analgesic dose and the risk of addiction and abuse. This analysis could inform policy actions for regulators and clinical decision making for providers.


Subject(s)
Analgesics, Opioid/administration & dosage , Drug Overdose/epidemiology , Epidemics/prevention & control , Opioid-Related Disorders/epidemiology , Prescription Drug Misuse/prevention & control , Analgesics, Opioid/adverse effects , Dose-Response Relationship, Drug , Drug Overdose/etiology , Drug Overdose/prevention & control , Humans , Opioid-Related Disorders/etiology , Opioid-Related Disorders/prevention & control , United States/epidemiology
4.
Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf ; 27(5): 473-478, 2018 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28833803

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Abuse, misuse, addiction, overdose, and death associated with non-medical use of prescription opioids have become a serious public health concern. Reformulation of these products with abuse-deterrent properties is one approach for addressing this problem. FDA has approved several extended-release opioid analgesics with abuse-deterrent labeling, the bases of which come from pre-market studies. As all opioid analgesics must be capable of delivering the opioid in order to reduce pain, abuse-deterrent properties do not prevent abuse, nor do pre-market evaluations ensure that there will be reduced abuse in the community. Utilizing data from various surveillance systems, some recent post-market studies suggest a decline in abuse of extended-release oxycodone after reformulation with abuse-deterrent properties. We discuss challenges stemming from the use of such data. METHODS: We quantify the relationship between the sample, the population, and the underlying sampling mechanism and identify the necessary conditions if valid statements about the population are to be made. The presence of other interventions in the community necessitates the use of comparators. We discuss the principles under which the use of comparators can be meaningful. CONCLUSIONS: Results based on surveillance data need to be interpreted with caution as the underlying sampling mechanisms can bias the results in unpredictable ways. The use of comparators has the potential to disentangle the effect due to the abuse-deterrence properties from those due to other interventions. However, identifying a comparator that is meaningful can be very difficult.


Subject(s)
Analgesics, Opioid/adverse effects , Drug Compounding/methods , Opioid-Related Disorders/prevention & control , Prescription Drug Misuse/prevention & control , Product Surveillance, Postmarketing/methods , Analgesics, Opioid/administration & dosage , Analgesics, Opioid/pharmacokinetics , Data Interpretation, Statistical , Delayed-Action Preparations/administration & dosage , Delayed-Action Preparations/adverse effects , Delayed-Action Preparations/pharmacokinetics , Humans , Opioid-Related Disorders/etiology , Oxycodone/administration & dosage , Oxycodone/adverse effects , Oxycodone/pharmacokinetics , Pain/drug therapy , Prescriptions
5.
Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf ; 26(2): 180-191, 2017 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28000295

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Population-based prescription opioid abuse studies in which one drug is compared to another, or drugs are compared across time, often account for the availability of those drugs in the community. The objective of this investigation is to assess consistency in the relative abuse ratios (RARs) across different approaches for adjusting for drug availability. METHODS: For the years 2004 through 2010, RARs for each of four prescription opioids (hydrocodone, oxycodone, hydromorphone, and morphine) were calculated using negative binomial regression. Measures of abuse (outcome) were misuse/abuse-related emergency department visits obtained from the Drug Abuse Warning Network. Measures of drug availability (offsets) were drug utilization estimates obtained from IMS Health. Separate regression models were run using each of five measures of drug utilization: unique patients (URDD), prescriptions dispensed (RX), tablets dispensed (TD), kilograms (KGs) sold, and morphine-equivalents (MEs) of kilograms sold. These results were compared for consistency. RESULTS: Aside from oxycodone-combination products, across molecules, RARs adjusted by RXs, TDs, and URDDs were generally similar to each other while RARs adjusted by KGs and MEs were different. For example, compared to hydrocodone, oxycodone had statistically significantly increased RARs of 3.6 (95%CI: 2.0-6.5), 3.5 (95%CI: 1.9-6.4), and 2.7 (95%CI: 1.5-5.0) when adjusted by URDDs, RXs, and TDs, respectively, but not when adjusted by KGs or MEs. CONCLUSIONS: Different drug utilization adjustment approaches may yield inconsistent RAR estimates in population-based prescription opioid abuse analyses. Published 2016. This article is a U.S. Government work and is in the public domain in the USA.


Subject(s)
Analgesics, Opioid/administration & dosage , Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data , Opioid-Related Disorders/epidemiology , Prescription Drug Misuse/statistics & numerical data , Analgesics, Opioid/adverse effects , Drug Utilization/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Population Surveillance , Regression Analysis
7.
Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf ; 23(12): 1227-37, 2014 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25257660

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: The abuse and nonmedical use of prescription opioids and its subsequent consequences are an important public health concern. This phenomenon has paralleled the increase in the therapeutic use of opioids for pain management. There is thus a need to measure prescription opioid abuse to understand trends over time and to compare abuse of one product to another. The purpose of this review is to provide an overview of the strengths and weaknesses of frequently used numerators and denominators in "abuse ratios" (ARs). METHODS: For this review, we critically evaluated the various measures to quantify drug availability and the available data sources to measure prescription opioid abuse. RESULTS: There are currently no commonly adopted metrics for measuring either the prevalence of opioid abuse, or abuse relative to drug availability. Because the settings, manifestations, and severity of abuse can vary from one person to the next, no one measure of abuse, abuse-related outcome, or drug exposure is ideal. Each measure of abuse captures a specific facet of abuse, but not the whole spectrum. Reliable estimation of population-adjusted or utilization-adjusted rates of abuse can be accomplished with a prescription opioid AR. This metric estimates the prevalence of abuse in a given population or abuse relative to how much drug is available, and, in certain cases, can be used to compare abuse among various opioid drugs. AR measurements in the literature vary in the inclusion of specific measures of abuse and availability, and there is little consensus in the field regarding which measures allow for the most appropriate approximation of the extent of abuse, and for comparisons among opioids. Crude numbers of outcomes related to abuse (e.g., emergency department visits, treatment admissions, and overdoses) cannot be properly understood without context as these may overestimate or underestimate the true scope and severity of prescription opioid abuse. They can, however, serve as numerators in properly constructed ARs. The denominator of the AR provides the necessary context by accounting for populations at risk or drug availability (e.g., prescriptions or tablets dispensed, unique recipients of dispensed drug, total patient days of therapy, or kilograms sold), and each comes with its own set of assumptions to consider. CONCLUSIONS: Moving forward, it is important that there be a common understanding in the scientific community regarding how to select appropriate measures to serve as numerators and denominators in AR calculations, and how to interpret the resultant findings. There is no single best measure of abuse for use as a numerator in an AR, and each must be chosen and interpreted in the context of what it measures. For public health considerations, one must always look at both absolute numbers and adjusted numbers. When conducting multiple analyses using different measures of exposure as denominators, differences in ARs are not unexpected, but one should explore why there are differences and assess the appropriateness of each of the denominators.


Subject(s)
Analgesics, Opioid , Statistics as Topic/standards , Substance-Related Disorders , Humans , Statistics as Topic/trends
8.
Vaccine ; 42(8): 2004-2010, 2024 Mar 19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38388240

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Increased risk of thrombosis with thrombocytopenia syndrome (TTS) following adenovirus vector-based COVID-19 vaccinations has been identified in passive surveillance systems. TTS incidence rates (IRs) in the United States (U.S.) are needed to contextualize reports following COVID-19 vaccination. METHODS: We estimated annual and monthly IRs of overall TTS, common site TTS, and unusual site TTS for adults aged 18-64 years in Carelon Research and MarketScan commercial claims (2017-Oct 2020), CVS Health and Optum commercial claims (2019-Oct 2020), and adults aged ≥ 65 years using CMS Medicare claims (2019-Oct 2020); IRs were stratified by age, sex, and race/ethnicity (CMS Medicare). RESULTS: Across data sources, annual IRs for overall TTS were similar between Jan-Dec 2019 and Jan-Oct 2020. Rates were higher in Medicare (IRs: 370.72 and 365.63 per 100,000 person-years for 2019 and 2020, respectively) than commercial data sources (MarketScan IRs: 24.21 and 24.06 per 100,000 person-years; Optum IRs: 32.60 and 31.29 per 100,000 person-years; Carelon Research IRs: 24.46 and 26.16 per 100,000 person-years; CVS Health IRs: 30.31 and 30.25 per 100,000 person-years). Across years and databases, common site TTS IRs increased with age and were higher among males. Among adults aged ≥ 65 years, the common site TTS IR was highest among non-Hispanic black adults. Annual unusual site TTS IRs ranged between 2.02 and 3.04 (commercial) and 12.49 (Medicare) per 100,000 person-years for Jan-Dec 2019; IRs ranged between 1.53 and 2.67 (commercial) and 11.57 (Medicare) per 100,000 person-years for Jan-Oct 2020. Unusual site TTS IRs were higher in males and increased with age in commercial data sources; among adults aged ≥ 65 years, IRs decreased with age and were highest among non-Hispanic American Indian/Alaska native adults. CONCLUSION: TTS IRs were generally similar across years, higher for males, and increased with age. These rates may contribute to surveillance of post-vaccination TTS.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Thrombocytopenia , Thrombosis , Adult , Male , Aged , Humans , United States/epidemiology , Medicare , Incidence , COVID-19 Vaccines , Thrombocytopenia/epidemiology , COVID-19/epidemiology
9.
JAMA Netw Open ; 7(4): e248192, 2024 Apr 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38656578

ABSTRACT

Importance: Active monitoring of health outcomes after COVID-19 vaccination provides early detection of rare outcomes that may not be identified in prelicensure trials. Objective: To conduct near-real-time monitoring of health outcomes after COVID-19 vaccination in the US pediatric population. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study evaluated 21 prespecified health outcomes after exposure before early 2023 to BNT162b2, mRNA-1273, or NVX-CoV2373 ancestral monovalent COVID-19 vaccines in children aged 6 months to 17 years by applying a near-real-time monitoring framework using health care data from 3 commercial claims databases in the US (Optum [through April 2023], Carelon Research [through March 2023], and CVS Health [through February 2023]). Increased rates of each outcome after vaccination were compared with annual historical rates from January 1 to December 31, 2019, and January 1 to December 31, 2020, as well as between April 1 and December 31, 2020. Exposure: Receipt of an ancestral monovalent BNT162b2, mRNA-1273, or NVX-CoV2373 COVID-19 vaccine dose identified through administrative claims data linked with Immunization Information Systems data. Main Outcomes and Measures: Twenty-one prespecified health outcomes, of which 15 underwent sequential testing and 6 were only monitored descriptively due to lack of historical rates. Results: Among 4 102 016 vaccinated enrollees aged 6 months to 17 years, 2 058 142 (50.2%) were male and 3 901 370 (95.1%) lived in an urban area. Thirteen of 15 sequentially tested outcomes did not meet the threshold for a statistical signal. Statistical signals were detected for myocarditis or pericarditis after BNT162b2 vaccination in children aged 12 to 17 years and seizure after vaccination with BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 in children aged 2 to 4 or 5 years. However, in post hoc sensitivity analyses, a statistical signal for seizure was observed only after mRNA-1273 when 2019 background rates were selected; no statistical signal was observed when 2022 rates were selected. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of pediatric enrollees across 3 commercial health insurance databases, statistical signals detected for myocarditis or pericarditis after BNT162b2 (ages 12-17 years) were consistent with previous reports, and seizures after BNT162b2 (ages 2-4 years) and mRNA-1273 vaccinations (ages 2-5 years) should be further investigated in a robust epidemiologic study with confounding adjustment. The US Food and Drug Administration concludes that the known and potential benefits of COVID-19 vaccination outweigh the known and potential risks of COVID-19 infection.


Subject(s)
2019-nCoV Vaccine mRNA-1273 , BNT162 Vaccine , COVID-19 Vaccines , COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humans , Child , Adolescent , Male , Child, Preschool , Female , Infant , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19/epidemiology , United States/epidemiology , COVID-19 Vaccines/adverse effects , SARS-CoV-2/immunology , Cohort Studies , Vaccination/statistics & numerical data
10.
JAMA Pediatr ; 177(7): 710-717, 2023 07 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37213095

ABSTRACT

Importance: Active monitoring of health outcomes after COVID-19 vaccination offers early detection of rare outcomes that may not be identified in prelicensure trials. Objective: To conduct near-real-time monitoring of health outcomes following BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccination in the US pediatric population aged 5 to 17 years. Design, Setting, and Participants: This population-based study was conducted under a public health surveillance mandate from the US Food and Drug Administration. Participants aged 5 to 17 years were included if they received BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccination through mid 2022 and had continuous enrollment in a medical health insurance plan from the start of an outcome-specific clean window until the COVID-19 vaccination. Surveillance of 20 prespecified health outcomes was conducted in near real time within a cohort of vaccinated individuals from the earliest Emergency Use Authorization date for the BNT162b2 vaccination (December 11, 2020) and was expanded as more pediatric age groups received authorization through May and June 2022. All 20 health outcomes were monitored descriptively, 13 of which additionally underwent sequential testing. For these 13 health outcomes, the increased risk of each outcome after vaccination was compared with a historical baseline with adjustments for repeated looks at the data as well as a claims processing delay. A sequential testing approach was used, which declared a safety signal when the log likelihood ratio comparing the observed rate ratio against the null hypothesis exceeded a critical value. Exposure: Exposure was defined as receipt of a BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccine dose. The primary analysis assessed primary series doses together (dose 1 + dose 2), and dose-specific secondary analyses were conducted. Follow-up time was censored for death, disenrollment, end of the outcome-specific risk window, end of the study period, or a receipt of a subsequent vaccine dose. Main Outcomes: Twenty prespecified health outcomes: 13 were assessed using sequential testing and 7 were monitored descriptively because of a lack of historical comparator data. Results: This study included 3 017 352 enrollees aged 5 to 17 years. Of the enrollees across all 3 databases, 1 510 817 (50.1%) were males, 1 506 499 (49.9%) were females, and 2 867 436 (95.0%) lived in an urban area. In the primary sequential analyses, a safety signal was observed only for myocarditis or pericarditis after primary series vaccination with BNT162b2 in the age group 12 to 17 years across all 3 databases. No safety signals were observed for the 12 other outcomes assessed using sequential testing. Conclusions and Relevance: Among 20 health outcomes that were monitored in near real time, a safety signal was identified for only myocarditis or pericarditis. Consistent with other published reports, these results provide additional evidence that COVID-19 vaccines are safe in children.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 Vaccines , COVID-19 , Myocarditis , Pericarditis , Child , Female , Humans , Male , BNT162 Vaccine , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19 Vaccines/administration & dosage , COVID-19 Vaccines/adverse effects , United States/epidemiology , Vaccination/adverse effects
11.
Vaccine ; 41(2): 333-353, 2023 01 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36404170

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Biologics Effectiveness and Safety (BEST) Initiative conducts active surveillance of adverse events of special interest (AESI) after COVID-19 vaccination. Historical incidence rates (IRs) of AESI are comparators to evaluate safety. METHODS: We estimated IRs of 17 AESI in six administrative claims databases from January 1, 2019, to December 11, 2020: Medicare claims for adults ≥ 65 years and commercial claims (Blue Health Intelligence®, CVS Health, HealthCore Integrated Research Database, IBM® MarketScan® Commercial Database, Optum pre-adjudicated claims) for adults < 65 years. IRs were estimated by sex, age, race/ethnicity (Medicare), and nursing home residency (Medicare) in 2019 and for specific periods in 2020. RESULTS: The study included >100 million enrollees annually. In 2019, rates of most AESI increased with age. However, compared with commercially insured adults, Medicare enrollees had lower IRs of anaphylaxis (11 vs 12-19 per 100,000 person-years), appendicitis (80 vs 117-155), and narcolepsy (38 vs 41-53). Rates were higher in males than females for most AESI across databases and varied by race/ethnicity and nursing home status (Medicare). Acute myocardial infarction (Medicare) and anaphylaxis (all databases) IRs varied by season. IRs of most AESI were lower during March-May 2020 compared with March-May 2019 but returned to pre-pandemic levels after May 2020. However, rates of Bell's palsy, Guillain-Barré syndrome, narcolepsy, and hemorrhagic/non-hemorrhagic stroke remained lower in multiple databases after May 2020, whereas some AESI (e.g., disseminated intravascular coagulation) exhibited higher rates after May 2020 compared with 2019. CONCLUSION: AESI background rates varied by database and demographics and fluctuated in March-December 2020, but most returned to pre-pandemic levels after May 2020. It is critical to standardize demographics and consider seasonal and other trends when comparing historical rates with post-vaccination AESI rates in the same database to evaluate COVID-19 vaccine safety.


Subject(s)
Anaphylaxis , COVID-19 , Narcolepsy , Adult , Male , Female , Humans , Aged , United States/epidemiology , COVID-19 Vaccines/adverse effects , Medicare , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control
12.
EClinicalMedicine ; 58: 101932, 2023 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37034358

ABSTRACT

Background: Adverse events of special interest (AESIs) were pre-specified to be monitored for the COVID-19 vaccines. Some AESIs are not only associated with the vaccines, but with COVID-19. Our aim was to characterise the incidence rates of AESIs following SARS-CoV-2 infection in patients and compare these to historical rates in the general population. Methods: A multi-national cohort study with data from primary care, electronic health records, and insurance claims mapped to a common data model. This study's evidence was collected between Jan 1, 2017 and the conclusion of each database (which ranged from Jul 2020 to May 2022). The 16 pre-specified prevalent AESIs were: acute myocardial infarction, anaphylaxis, appendicitis, Bell's palsy, deep vein thrombosis, disseminated intravascular coagulation, encephalomyelitis, Guillain- Barré syndrome, haemorrhagic stroke, non-haemorrhagic stroke, immune thrombocytopenia, myocarditis/pericarditis, narcolepsy, pulmonary embolism, transverse myelitis, and thrombosis with thrombocytopenia. Age-sex standardised incidence rate ratios (SIR) were estimated to compare post-COVID-19 to pre-pandemic rates in each of the databases. Findings: Substantial heterogeneity by age was seen for AESI rates, with some clearly increasing with age but others following the opposite trend. Similarly, differences were also observed across databases for same health outcome and age-sex strata. All studied AESIs appeared consistently more common in the post-COVID-19 compared to the historical cohorts, with related meta-analytic SIRs ranging from 1.32 (1.05 to 1.66) for narcolepsy to 11.70 (10.10 to 13.70) for pulmonary embolism. Interpretation: Our findings suggest all AESIs are more common after COVID-19 than in the general population. Thromboembolic events were particularly common, and over 10-fold more so. More research is needed to contextualise post-COVID-19 complications in the longer term. Funding: None.

13.
J Comp Eff Res ; 11(16): 1161-1172, 2022 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36148919

ABSTRACT

Aim: It is important to assess if clinical trial efficacy translates into real-world effectiveness for COVID-19 vaccines. Materials & methods: We conducted a modified test-negative design (TND) to evaluate the real-world effectiveness of three COVID-19 vaccines. We defined cases in two ways: self-reported COVID-19-positive tests, and self-reported positive tests with ≥1 moderate/severe COVID-19 symptom. Results: Any vaccination was associated with a 95% reduction in subsequently reporting a positive COVID-19 test, and a 71% reduction in reporting a positive test and ≥1 moderate/severe symptom. Conclusion: We observed high effectiveness across all three marketed vaccines, both for self-reported positive COVID-19 tests and moderate/severe COVID-19 symptoms. This innovative TND approach can be implemented in future COVID-19 vaccine and treatment real-world effectiveness studies. Clinicaltrials.gov identifier: NCT04368065.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 Vaccines , COVID-19 , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19 Vaccines/therapeutic use , Case-Control Studies , Humans , Vaccine Efficacy
14.
Vaccine ; 40(45): 6481-6488, 2022 10 26.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36195472

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Active monitoring of safety outcomes following COVID-19 vaccination is critical to understand vaccine safety and can provide early detection of rare outcomes not identified in pre-licensure trials. We present findings from an early warning rapid surveillance system in three large commercial insurance databases including more than 16 million vaccinated individuals. METHODS: We evaluated 17 outcomes of interest following COVID-19 vaccination among individuals aged 12-64 years in Optum, HealthCore, and CVS Health databases from December 11, 2020, through January 22, 2022, January 7, 2022, and December 31, 2021, respectively. We conducted biweekly or monthly sequential testing and generated rate ratios (RR) of observed outcome rates compared to historical (or expected) rates prior to COVID-19 vaccination. FINDINGS: Among 17 outcomes evaluated, 15 did not meet the threshold for statistical signal in any of the three databases. Myocarditis/pericarditis met the statistical threshold for a signal following BNT162b2 in two of three databases (RRs: 1.83-2.47). Anaphylaxis met the statistical threshold for a signal in all three databases following BNT162b2 vaccination (RRs: 4.48-10.86) and mRNA-1273 vaccination (RRs: 7.64-12.40). DISCUSSION: Consistent with published literature, our near-real time monitoring of 17 adverse outcomes following COVID-19 vaccinations identified signals for myocarditis/pericarditis and anaphylaxis following mRNA COVID-19 vaccinations. The method is intended for early detection of safety signals, and results do not imply a causal effect. Results of this study should be interpreted in the context of the method's utility and limitations, and the validity of detected signals must be evaluated in fully adjusted epidemiologic studies.


Subject(s)
Anaphylaxis , COVID-19 , Myocarditis , Pericarditis , Humans , COVID-19 Vaccines/adverse effects , COVID-19/prevention & control , Anaphylaxis/etiology , Myocarditis/etiology , BNT162 Vaccine , Vaccination/adverse effects , Vaccination/methods , Pericarditis/etiology , RNA, Messenger
15.
Addict Sci Clin Pract ; 16(1): 1, 2021 01 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33397480

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Describe methods to compile a unified database from disparate state agency datasets linking person-level data on controlled substance prescribing, overdose, and treatment for opioid use disorder in Connecticut. METHODS: A multidisciplinary team of university, state and federal agency experts planned steps to build the data analytic system: stakeholder engagement, articulation of metrics, funding to establish the system, determination of needed data, accessing data and merging, and matching patient-level data. RESULTS: Stakeholder meetings occurred over a 6-month period driving selection of metrics and funding was obtained through a grant from the Food and Drug Administration. Through multi-stakeholder collaborations and memoranda of understanding, we identified relevant data sources, merged them and matched individuals across the merged dataset. The dataset contains information on sociodemographics, treatments and outcomes. Step-by-step processes are presented for dissemination. CONCLUSIONS: Creation of a unified database linking multiple sources in a timely and ongoing fashion may assist other states to monitor the public health impact of controlled substances, identify and implement interventions, and assess their effectiveness.


Subject(s)
Databases, Factual , Drug Overdose/epidemiology , Opioid-Related Disorders/epidemiology , Public Health Surveillance/methods , Public-Private Sector Partnerships , Connecticut , Drug Prescriptions , Financing, Government , Government Agencies , Humans , Stakeholder Participation , Universities
16.
Mayo Clin Proc ; 95(11): 2408-2419, 2020 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33153631

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To quantify the risk of hyperkalemia and acute kidney injury (AKI) when spironolactone use is added on to loop diuretic use among patients with heart failure, and to evaluate whether the risk is modified by level of kidney function. METHODS: We identified 17,110 patients with heart failure treated with loop diuretics between January 1, 2004, and December 31, 2016 within the Geisinger Health System. We estimated the incidence of hyperkalemia and AKI associated with spironolactone initiation, and used target trial emulation methods to minimize confounding by indication. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 134 mo, 3229 of 17,110 patients (18.9%) initiated spironolactone. Incidence rates of hyperkalemia and AKI in patients using spironolactone with a loop diuretic were 2.9 and 10.1 events per 1000 person-months, respectively. In propensity score-matched analyses, spironolactone initiation was associated with higher hyperkalemia and AKI risk compared with loop alone (hazard ratio, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.35 to 2.10; P<.001, and hazard ratio, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.00 to 1.26; P=.04, respectively). There were no differences in the relative risk of either outcome associated with spironolactone by level of kidney function. CONCLUSION: The addition of spironolactone to loop diuretics in patients with heart failure was associated with higher risk of hyperkalemia and AKI; these risks must be weighed against the potential benefits of spironolactone.


Subject(s)
Acute Kidney Injury/chemically induced , Heart Failure/drug therapy , Hyperkalemia/chemically induced , Mineralocorticoid Receptor Antagonists/adverse effects , Spironolactone/adverse effects , Acute Kidney Injury/diagnosis , Adult , Aged , Diuretics/therapeutic use , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Heart Failure/physiopathology , Humans , Hyperkalemia/diagnosis , Incidence , Male , Middle Aged , Mineralocorticoid Receptor Antagonists/therapeutic use , Prognosis , Propensity Score , Risk Factors , Spironolactone/therapeutic use
17.
J Dual Diagn ; 5(1): 41-56, 2009 Jan 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19430599

ABSTRACT

The purpose of this 12-week open trial was to evaluate the potential utility of atomoxetine for the treatment of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) in cocaine-dependent treatment seekers. The sample consisted of 20 participants with all participants meeting DSM-IV-TR criteria for ADHD and cocaine dependence (CD). Using several measures to assess ADHD, there was a significant reduction in ADHD symptoms. There was no significant decrease in cocaine use throughout the trial. Taken together, although cocaine-dependent individuals showed some reduction in ADHD symptoms while receiving atomoxetine, the high drop-out rate and lack of impact on cocaine use may limit its utility in ADHD adults who are currently abusing cocaine.

18.
Mayo Clin Proc ; 94(1): 17-26, 2019 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30611444

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the frequency of, risk factors for, and outcomes after elevated levels of vancomycin. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We identified hospitalizations among 21,285 individuals in which intravenous vancomycin was given between August 29, 2007, and October 10, 2014. We investigated frequency and risk factors for elevated vancomycin levels (trough levels >30 mg/L) as well as associations with subsequent acute kidney injury (AKI), length of stay, and in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: Among the 21,285 patients, the mean age was 62.9 years, and 10,478 (49.2%) were female. Trough levels of vancomycin were checked in 7422 patients, and 755 elevated levels were detected. Compared with patients with trough levels checked but no elevated levels found, those with elevated levels had longer duration of vancomycin therapy (median, 6.0 days vs 3.4 days; P<.001) and slightly higher doses (mean, 1.72 g vs 1.58 g; P<.001). Patients with higher body mass index or lower estimated glomerular filtration rate had more elevated levels. In propensity-matched analyses, patients had higher risk of incident AKI after elevated levels compared with patients without elevated levels (hazard ratio, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.09-2.20; P=.02), as well as longer subsequent length of stay (relative risk, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.02-1.28; P=.03) but similar in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSION: In this study, elevated vancomycin levels were common, particularly in patients with higher body mass index and lower estimated glomerular filtration rate, and were associated with greater subsequent AKI and length of stay.


Subject(s)
Acute Kidney Injury/epidemiology , Glomerular Filtration Rate/drug effects , Risk Assessment/methods , Vancomycin/administration & dosage , Acute Kidney Injury/chemically induced , Acute Kidney Injury/physiopathology , Administration, Intravenous , Anti-Bacterial Agents/administration & dosage , Anti-Bacterial Agents/adverse effects , Dose-Response Relationship, Drug , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Hospital Mortality/trends , Hospitalization/trends , Humans , Incidence , Male , Middle Aged , Prognosis , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Time Factors , United States/epidemiology , Vancomycin/adverse effects
19.
Mayo Clin Proc ; 94(11): 2220-2229, 2019 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31619367

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To assess the patterns of angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors and angiotensin receptor blockers (ACE-I/ARB) discontinuation in the setting of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression in real-world clinical practice. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We identified incident ACE-I/ARB users with a baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥15 mL/min/1.73 m2 and without end-stage renal disease in the Geisinger Health System between January 1, 2004, and December 31, 2015. We investigated the associations of CKD stage, hospitalizations with and without acute kidney injury (AKI), serum potassium, bicarbonate level, thiazide, and loop diuretic use with ACE-I/ARB discontinuation. RESULTS: Among the 53,912 ACE-I/ARB users, the mean age was 59.9 years, and 50.6% were female. More than half of users discontinued ACE-I/ARB within 5 years of therapy initiation. The risk of ACE-I/ARB discontinuation increased with more advanced CKD stage. For example, patients who initiated ACE-I/ARB with CKD stage G4 (eGFR: 15-29 mL/min/1.73 m2) were 2.09-fold (95% CI, 1.87-2.34) more likely to discontinue therapy than those with eGFR ≥ 90 mL/min/1.73 m2. Potassium level greater than 5.3 mEq/L, systolic blood pressure ≤ 90 mm Hg, bicarbonate level < 22 mmol/L, and intervening hospitalization-particularly AKI-related-were also strong risk factors for ACE-I/ARB discontinuation. Thiazide diuretic use was associated with lower risk, whereas loop diuretic use was associated with higher risk of discontinuation. CONCLUSION: In a real-world cohort, discontinuation of ACE-I/ARB was common, particularly in patients with lower eGFR. Hyperkalemia, hypotension, low bicarbonate level, and hospitalization (AKI-related, in particular) were associated with a higher risk of ACE-I/ARB discontinuation. Additional studies are needed to evaluate the risk-benefit balance of discontinuing ACE-I/ARB in the setting of CKD progression.


Subject(s)
Angiotensin Receptor Antagonists/therapeutic use , Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Medication Adherence , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/drug therapy , Aged , Angiotensin Receptor Antagonists/adverse effects , Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors/adverse effects , Disease Progression , Female , Glomerular Filtration Rate , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/blood , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/physiopathology , Risk Factors
20.
Drugs Aging ; 35(8): 735-750, 2018 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30039344

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) afflicts many older adults and increases the risk for medication-related adverse events. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to assess the prevalence and associated morbidity and mortality of polypharmacy (use of several medications concurrently), and potentially inappropriate medication (PIM) use in older adults, looking for differences by CKD status. METHODS: We quantified medication and PIM use (from Beers criteria, the Screening Tool of Older People's Prescriptions, and Micromedex®) by level of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) for participants aged 65 years or older attending a baseline study visit in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study (n =6392). We used zero-inflated negative binomial and Cox proportional hazards regressions to assess the relationship between baseline polypharmacy, PIM use, and subsequent hospitalization and death. RESULTS: Mean age at baseline was 76 (± 5) years, 59% were female, and 29% had CKD (eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m2). Overall, participants reported 6.1 (± 3.5) medications and 2.3 (± 2.2) vitamins/supplements; 16% reported ≥ 10 medications; 31% reported a PIM based on their age. On average, participants with CKD reported more medications. A PIM based on kidney function was used by 36% of those with eGFR < 30 ml/min/1.73 m2. Over a median of 2.6 years, more concurrent medications were associated with higher risk of hospitalization and death, but PIM use was not. While those with CKD had higher absolute risks, there was no difference in the relative risks associated with greater numbers of medications by CKD status. CONCLUSION: Polypharmacy and PIM use were common, with greater numbers of medications associated with higher risk of hospitalization and death; relative risks were similar for those with and without CKD.


Subject(s)
Inappropriate Prescribing/prevention & control , Polypharmacy , Potentially Inappropriate Medication List , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/physiopathology , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Cohort Studies , Female , Hospitalization , Humans , Male , Prevalence , Risk Factors
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