Opposite association between diabetes, dyslipidemia, and hepatocellular carcinoma mortality in the middle-aged and elderly.

UNLABELLED: Limited data exist regarding metabolic risk factors for deaths from hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in aging individuals. We investigated the association between diabetes, dyslipidemia, and HCC mortality in those aged 40 years or more (middle-aged and elderly). In this prospective cohort study based on nationwide health screening units, we consecutively followed middle-aged and elderly participants who had no chronic hepatitis B or C virus infection and received health screening from January 1 1998 to December 31 2008. There were 235 deaths from HCC among 50,080 individuals, ascertained by validated death certificates and the national death registry. Diabetes (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 3.38; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.35 to 4.86) was positively associated with deaths from HCC. However, hypertriglyceridemia (HR, 0.38; 95% CI, 0.26 to 0.55) and hypercholesterolemia (HR, 0.50; 95% CI, 0.37 to 0.67) were inversely associated with HCC mortality. The above significant associations remained in the lag time analyses, applied to check for reverse causation. Metabolic syndrome, as defined by the American Heart Association / National Heart Lung Blood Institute criteria (HR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.46 to 0.86) or by the International Diabetes Federation criteria (HR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.43 to 0.89), was inversely associated with deaths from HCC, especially in men. CONCLUSION: Middle-aged and elderly individuals, once having diabetes, deserve HCC surveillance to reduce HCC mortality. More research is needed to elucidate why having baseline dyslipidemia relates to lower future HCC mortality.

Body mass index and all-cause mortality in a large Chinese cohort.

BACKGROUND: Obesity is known to be associated with an increased risk of death, but current definitions of obesity are based on data from white populations. We examined the association between body mass index (BMI) and the risk of death in a large population of adult Chinese people. METHODS: We examined the association between body mass index (BMI) and all-cause mortality prospectively among 58,738 men and 65,718 women aged 20 years and older enrolled in 1998-1999 from four national health screening centres in Taiwan. We used Cox proportional hazards regression analyses to estimate the relative risks of all-cause mortality for different BMI categories during a maximum follow-up of 10 years. RESULTS: A total of 3947 participants died during the follow-up period. The lowest risk of death was observed among men and women who had a BMI of 24.0-25.9 (mean 24.9). After adjustment for age, smoking status, alcohol intake, betel-nut chewing, level of physical activity, income level and education level, we observed a U-shaped association between BMI and all-cause mortality. Similar U-shaped associations were observed when we analyzed data by age (20-64 or ≥ 65 years), smoking (never, < 10 pack-years or ≥ 10 pack-years) and presence of a pre-existing chronic disease, and after we excluded deaths that occurred in the first three years of follow-up. INTERPRETATION: BMI and all-cause mortality had a U-shaped association among adult Chinese people in our study. The lowest risk of death was among adults who had a BMI of 24.0-25.9 (mean 24.9). Our findings do not support the use of a lower cutoff value for overweight and obesity in the adult Chinese population.

All-cause mortality attributable to chronic kidney disease: a prospective cohort study based on 462 293 adults in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: Both end-stage renal disease and chronic kidney disease are increasing worldwide; however, the full effect of chronic kidney disease is unknown because mortality risks for all five stages are unavailable. We assessed prevalence and mortality risks for all stages of chronic kidney disease and quantified its attributable mortality in Taiwan. METHODS: The cohort consisted of 462 293 individuals aged older than 20 years who participated in a standard medical screening programme since 1994. As of Dec 31, 2006, we identified 14 436 deaths. Chronic kidney disease was determined by glomerular filtration rate and urinary protein. We estimated national prevalence in Taiwan from the cohort by adjusting age and educational levels. Hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated with Cox proportionate hazards model. We calculated mortality attributable to chronic kidney disease for national population and for low socioeconomic status. FINDINGS: The national prevalence of chronic kidney disease was 11.93% (95% CI 11.66-12.28), but only 3.54% (3.37-3.68) of participants in the cohort were aware of their disorder. Prevalence was substantially higher in the group with low socioeconomic status than in the high status group (19.87% [19.84-19.91] vs 7.33% [7.31-7.35]). 56 977 (12%) of cohort participants had chronic kidney disease; those with disease had 83% higher mortality for all cause (HR 1.83 [1.73-1.93]) and 100% higher for cardiovascular diseases (2.00 [1.78-2.25]), in a cohort that was observed for 13 years with median follow-up of 7.5 years (IQR 4.0-10.1). 10.3% (95% CI 9.57-11.03) of deaths in the entire population were attributable to chronic kidney disease, but 17.5% (16.27-18.67) of deaths in the low socioeconomic status population. 2350 (39%) deaths occurred before 65 years of age in those with chronic kidney disease. Regular users of Chinese herbal medicines had a 20% (odds ratio 1.20 [1.16-1.24]) increased risk of developing chronic kidney disease. INTERPRETATION: The high prevalence of chronic kidney disease and its associated all-cause mortality, especially in people with low socioeconomic status, make reduction of this disorder a public-health priority. Promotion of its recognition through the general public knowing their glomerular filtration rate and testing their urine is crucial to reduce premature deaths from all causes and to attenuate this global epidemic.

General and Abdominal Adiposity and Risk of Death in HBV Versus Non-HBV Carriers: A 10-Year Population-based Cohort Study.

Both obesity and hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection increase the risk of death. We investigate the association between general and central obesity and all-cause mortality among adult Taiwanese HBV versus non-HBV carriers.A total of 19,850 HBV carriers and non-hepatitis C virus (HCV) carriers, aged 20 years and older at enrollment in 1998 to 1999 in Taiwan, were matched to 79,400 non-HBV and non-HCV carriers (1:4). Cox proportional-hazards models were used to estimate the relative risks for all-cause mortality during a maximum follow-up period of 10 years. Four obesity-related anthropometric indices-body mass index (BMI), waist circumference, waist-to-hip ratio, and waist-to-height ratio-were the main variables of interest.During the follow-up period, 628 and 2366 participants died among HBV and non-HBV carriers, respectively. Both underweight and general obesity were associated with an increased risk of death. The highest risk of all-cause death in relation to BMI was found in the HBV carriers with underweight (BMI <18.5 kg/m2) and non-HBV carriers with obesity (BMI ≥30 kg/m2). The lowest risks of all-cause death in relation to abdominal adiposity were found at the third quartiles of waist circumference, waist-to-hip ratio, and waist-to-height ratio among HBV carriers, but in the second quartiles among non-HBV carriers. For those with pre-existing liver disease among HBV carriers, patients with underweight have higher risk of death than those with obesity.Hepatitis B virus carriers with underweight have higher risk of death than non-HBV carriers. HBV carriers with mild abdominal obesity have the lowest risk of death, but not in the non-HBV carriers.

Subclinical hypothyroidism is associated with increased risk for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in adults.

OBJECTIVES: This study sought to evaluate the relationship between subclinical hypothyroidism (SCH) and all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality. BACKGROUND: SCH may increase the risks of hypercholesterolemia and atherosclerosis. The associations between SCH and all-cause or CVD mortality are uncertain, on the basis of the results of previous studies. METHODS: A baseline cohort of 115,746 participants without a history of thyroid disease, ≥20 years of age, was recruited in Taiwan. SCH was defined as a serum thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) level of 5.0 to 19.96 mIU/l with normal total thyroxine concentrations. Euthyroidism was defined as a serum TSH level of 0.47 to 4.9 mIU/l. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to estimate the relative risks (RRs) of death from all-cause and CVD for adults with SCH during a 10-year follow-up period. RESULTS: There were 3,669 deaths during the follow-up period; 680 deaths were due to CVD. Compared with subjects with euthyroidism, after adjustment for age, sex, body mass index, diabetes, hypertension, dyslipidemia, smoking, alcohol consumption, betel nut chewing, physical activity, income, and education level, the RRs (95% confidence interval) of deaths from all-cause and CVD among subjects with SCH were 1.30 (1.02 to 1.66), and 1.68 (1.02 to 2.76), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Adult Taiwanese with SCH had an increased risk for all-cause mortality and CVD death.

Cancer-specific mortality in chronic kidney disease: longitudinal follow-up of a large cohort.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is known to be associated with increased all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, but no large studies examined the cancer-specific mortality in non-dialysis-dependent CKD patients. Such outcome data are needed for proper allocation of resources and would help to develop better preventive services. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: Between 1998 and 1999, 123,717 adults were recruited from four health screening centers in Taiwan. The estimated glomerular filtration rate was calculated using the four-variable Modification of Diet in Renal Disease Study equation for the Chinese. Mortality was ascertained by computer linkage to the national death registry after a median follow-up of 7.06 years. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate the impact of CKD on cancer-specific mortality. RESULTS: A higher risk for overall cancer mortality was found in CKD patients compared with non-CKD patients (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.2). CKD was associated with increased mortality from liver cancer, kidney cancer, and urinary tract cancer, with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.74, 3.3, and 7.3, respectively. A graded relationship between the severity of renal impairment and cancer mortality was also found. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with CKD had a higher mortality risk of liver cancer, kidney cancer, and urinary tract cancer. This is the first large study that showed an inverse association between renal function and liver cancer mortality. The increased mortality could be caused by higher cancer incidence or worse response to cancer treatment. Future research is warranted to clarify the mechanism.

All-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality increased with metabolic syndrome in Taiwanese.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate the relationship between mortality and metabolic syndrome using the America Heart Association/National Heart Lung Blood Institute (AHA/NHLBI) and International Diabetes Federation (IDF) definitions in a Taiwanese cohort. METHODS AND PROCEDURES: A total of 124,513 participants, aged 20-94 years, from four nationwide health centers in Taiwan were recruited from 1998 to 1999. Cox proportional hazard regression analyses were used to estimate the relative risks (RRs) for all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality for those with metabolic syndrome compared to those without metabolic syndrome over 8 years of follow-up. RESULTS: The baseline prevalence of metabolic syndrome was 22.4% by the AHA/NHLBI and 13.9% by the IDF definition. A total of 2,762 deaths (527 CVD) occurred. Using the AHA/NHLBI definition, the RRs (95% confidence intervals) of all-cause and CVD mortality were 1.21 (1.09-1.34) and 1.77 (1.40-2.24), respectively, in men and 1.30 (1.12-1.49) and 1.69 (1.19-2.42), respectively, in women. The association between metabolic syndrome and mortality was attenuated when using the IDF definition. Excluding subjects with diabetes or CVD at baseline, the RRs for CVD mortality still remained significant using the two definitions. DISCUSSION: Metabolic syndrome, using either the AHA/NHLBI or IDF definitions, is a common disorder in Taiwanese adults and is similarly associated with an increase in all-cause and CVD mortality as found in Western populations. Our study suggests that Asians with metabolic syndrome are also at higher risk for death.