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1.
J Am Soc Nephrol ; 35(2): 235-248, 2024 Feb 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37882743

ABSTRACT

There is a broad phenotypic spectrum of monogenic polycystic kidney diseases (PKDs). These disorders often involve cilia-related genes and lead to the development of fluid-filled cysts and eventual kidney function decline and failure. Preimplantation genetic testing for monogenic (PGT-M) disorders has moved into the clinical realm. It allows prospective parents to avoid passing on heritable diseases to their children, including monogenic PKD. The PGT-M process involves embryo generation through in vitro fertilization, with subsequent testing of embryos and selective transfer of those that do not harbor the specific disease-causing variant(s). There is a growing body of literature supporting the success of PGT-M for autosomal-dominant and autosomal-recessive PKD, although with important technical limitations in some cases. This technology can be applied to many other types of monogenic PKD and ciliopathies despite the lack of existing reports in the literature. PGT-M for monogenic PKD, like other forms of assisted reproductive technology, raises important ethical questions. When considering PGT-M for kidney diseases, as well as the potential to avoid disease in future generations, there are regulatory and ethical considerations. These include limited government regulation and unstandardized consent processes, potential technical errors, high cost and equity concerns, risks associated with pregnancy for mothers with kidney disease, and the impact on all involved in the process, including the children who were made possible with this technology.


Subject(s)
Polycystic Kidney Diseases , Preimplantation Diagnosis , Pregnancy , Female , Child , Humans , Prospective Studies , Genetic Testing , Fertilization in Vitro , Polycystic Kidney Diseases/diagnosis , Polycystic Kidney Diseases/genetics
2.
Hum Genet ; 143(5): 649-666, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38538918

ABSTRACT

Most rare disease patients (75-50%) undergoing genomic sequencing remain unsolved, often due to lack of information about variants identified. Data review over time can leverage novel information regarding disease-causing variants and genes, increasing this diagnostic yield. However, time and resource constraints have limited reanalysis of genetic data in clinical laboratories setting. We developed RENEW, (REannotation of NEgative WES/WGS) an automated reannotation procedure that uses relevant new information in on-line genomic databases to enable rapid review of genomic findings. We tested RENEW in an unselected cohort of 1066 undiagnosed cases with a broad spectrum of phenotypes from the Mayo Clinic Center for Individualized Medicine using new information in ClinVar, HGMD and OMIM between the date of previous analysis/testing and April of 2022. 5741 variants prioritized by RENEW were rapidly reviewed by variant interpretation specialists. Mean analysis time was approximately 20 s per variant (32 h total time). Reviewed cases were classified as: 879 (93.0%) undiagnosed, 63 (6.6%) putatively diagnosed, and 4 (0.4%) definitively diagnosed. New strategies are needed to enable efficient review of genomic findings in unsolved cases. We report on a fast and practical approach to address this need and improve overall diagnostic success in patient testing through a recurrent reannotation process.


Subject(s)
Genomics , Humans , Genomics/methods , Exome/genetics , Exome Sequencing/methods , Databases, Genetic , Genetic Testing/methods , Genome, Human , Whole Genome Sequencing/methods , Phenotype
3.
Am J Perinatol ; 2024 Jul 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39008985

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine the prevalence and heteroplasmy level(s) of MT-RNR1 variants m.1555A > G and m.1494C > T, which are associated with aminoglycoside-induced hearing loss, in a general perinatal population. This study also aimed to characterize the association of these variants and their heteroplasmy levels with hearing loss outcomes with and without aminoglycoside exposure. STUDY DESIGN: Droplet digital polymerase chain reaction was performed on 479 maternal DNA samples from a general perinatal biobank at our institution to detect the presence and heteroplasmy levels of MT-RNR1 variants m.1555A > G and m.1494C > T. Testing of paired neonatal specimen(s) was planned for positive maternal tests. A retrospective chart review was performed to characterize the population, identify aminoglycoside exposures, and determine hearing outcomes. RESULTS: All maternal samples tested negative for MT-RNR1 variants m.1555A > G and m.1494C > T. Maternal and neonatal subjects had high rates of aminoglycoside exposure (15.9 and 13.9%, respectively). No subjects with sensorineural or mixed hearing loss had documented aminoglycoside exposure. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrated that a larger sample size is needed to establish the prevalence of these variants as no subjects tested positive. Determination of variant prevalence in the neonatal population, association of variant heteroplasmy levels with hearing outcomes, and reliability of maternal testing as a surrogate for neonatal testing are important next steps toward universal prenatal or newborn screening. KEY POINTS: · MT-RNR1 variants are associated with aminoglycoside-induced hearing loss.. · Prevalence of MT-RNR1 variants is uncertain.. · Universal screening for MT-RNR1 variants may be indicated..

4.
Genet Med ; 25(10): 100870, 2023 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37490054

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Although the role of CHEK2 germline pathogenic variants in cancer predisposition is well known, resources for managing CHEK2 heterozygotes in clinical practice are limited. METHODS: An international workgroup developed guidance on clinical management of CHEK2 heterozygotes informed by peer-reviewed publications from PubMed. RESULTS: Although CHEK2 is considered a moderate penetrance gene, cancer risks may be considered as a continuous variable, which are influenced by family history and other modifiers. Consequently, early cancer detection and prevention for CHEK2 heterozygotes should be guided by personalized risk estimates. Such estimates may result in both downgrading lifetime breast cancer risks to those similar to the general population or upgrading lifetime risk to a level at which CHEK2 heterozygotes are offered high-risk breast surveillance according to country-specific guidelines. Risk-reducing mastectomy should be guided by personalized risk estimates and shared decision making. Colorectal and prostate cancer surveillance should be considered based on assessment of family history. For CHEK2 heterozygotes who develop cancer, no specific targeted medical treatment is recommended at this time. CONCLUSION: Systematic prospective data collection is needed to establish the spectrum of CHEK2-associated cancer risks and to determine yet-unanswered questions, such as the outcomes of surveillance, response to cancer treatment, and survival after cancer diagnosis.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms , Genetics, Medical , Male , Humans , United States , Breast Neoplasms/diagnosis , Genetic Predisposition to Disease , Mastectomy , Checkpoint Kinase 2/genetics , Germ-Line Mutation/genetics , Genomics
5.
J Natl Compr Canc Netw ; 21(10): 1000-1010, 2023 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37856201

ABSTRACT

The NCCN Guidelines for Genetic/Familial High-Risk Assessment: Breast, Ovarian, and Pancreatic focus primarily on assessment of pathogenic/likely pathogenic (P/LP) variants associated with increased risk of breast, ovarian, pancreatic, and prostate cancer, including BRCA1, BRCA2, CDH1, PALB2, PTEN, and TP53, and recommended approaches to genetic counseling/testing and care strategies in individuals with these P/LP variants. These NCCN Guidelines Insights summarize important updates regarding: (1) a new section for transgender, nonbinary and gender diverse people who have a hereditary predisposition to cancer focused on risk reduction strategies for ovarian cancer, uterine cancer, prostate cancer, and breast cancer; and (2) testing criteria and management associated with TP53 P/LP variants and Li-Fraumeni syndrome.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms , Ovarian Neoplasms , Male , Female , Humans , Germ-Line Mutation , Genetic Testing , Breast Neoplasms/diagnosis , Breast Neoplasms/genetics , Genetic Predisposition to Disease , Risk Factors , Ovarian Neoplasms/diagnosis , Ovarian Neoplasms/genetics
6.
Birth ; 50(4): 1034-1044, 2023 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37555375

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: It has yet to be fully elucidated how differing populations of obstetric patients adapted to the disruptions in perinatal care and postpartum support from the COVID-19 pandemic. We surveyed an enriched sample of socioeconomically advantaged patients to understand the influence of COVID-19 on their perinatal care experience, well-being, and coping. METHODS: We surveyed pregnant and postpartum patients (n = 6140) at a large academic medical center in the Midwest of the United States using the Coronavirus and Perinatal Experiences instrument in Spring 2021. RESULTS: The survey was sent to 6141 pregnant and postpartum patients; 1180 (17.8%) respondents completed the survey, including 256 who were pregnant and 834 postpartum. Most pregnant patients experienced no changes in their prenatal care with 16.5% indicating somewhat worsened care. In the postpartum cohort, 37.5% stated their care had somewhat worsened. In describing influences on stress and mental health, 58.1% of postpartum respondents stated it was moderately, and 17.4% significantly, worse. The pandemic had a somewhat or moderately negative influence for 72.7% of respondents, with 11.0% stating these effects were extremely negative. Both cohorts characterized a range of coping strategies, most commonly, talking with friends and family (76.3%). CONCLUSION(S): Even among this sample of socioeconomically advantaged patients, respondents indicated that the pandemic disrupted many facets of their medical care and daily life, especially social activities and postpartum support. Our findings suggest that counseling on coping and adaptation strategies for stressors and increased health systems support be part of perinatal care during public health emergencies for all demographic groups.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Pregnancy , Female , Humans , United States/epidemiology , Pandemics , Postpartum Period/psychology , Parturition/psychology , Patient Outcome Assessment
7.
BMC Pregnancy Childbirth ; 22(1): 537, 2022 Jul 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35787675

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has posed profound challenges for pregnant patients and their families. Studies conducted early in the pandemic found that pregnant individuals reported increased mental health concerns in response to pandemic-related stress. Many obstetric practices changed their healthcare delivery models, further impacting the experiences of pregnant patients. We conducted a survey study to explore the ways in which COVID-19 impacted the lives of pregnant and newly postpartum people. METHODS: A mixed-methods survey was distributed to all patients ≥18 years old who were pregnant between January 1st, 2020 - April 28, 2021 in a large Midwest health system. Open-ended survey responses were analyzed for common themes using standard qualitative methodology. RESULTS: Among the 1182 survey respondents, 647 women provided an open-ended response. Of these, 77% were in the postpartum period. The majority of respondents identified as white, were partnered or married, and owned their own home. Respondents reported feeling greater uncertainty, social isolation, as though they had limited social and practical support, and negative mental health effects as a result of the pandemic. Many cited sudden or arbitrary changes to their medical care as a contributing factor. Though in the minority, some respondents also reported benefits from the changes to daily life, including perceived improvements to medical care, better work-life balance, and opportunities for new perspectives. CONCLUSIONS: This large qualitative dataset provides insight into how healthcare policy and lifestyle changes impacted pregnant and postpartum people. Respondents expressed similar levels of uncertainty and mental health concerns compared to other cohorts but less overall positivity. Our findings suggest greater attention be given to the impact of pandemic-related stress on pregnant and postpartum women. As the pandemic continues, these data identify areas where investment in additional support may have the greatest impact.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Adolescent , COVID-19/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Menopause , Mental Health , Pandemics , Postpartum Period/psychology , Pregnancy
8.
Am J Hum Genet ; 103(5): 666-678, 2018 11 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30343943

ABSTRACT

Developmental and epileptic encephalopathies (DEEs) are severe neurodevelopmental disorders often beginning in infancy or early childhood that are characterized by intractable seizures, abundant epileptiform activity on EEG, and developmental impairment or regression. CACNA1E is highly expressed in the central nervous system and encodes the α1-subunit of the voltage-gated CaV2.3 channel, which conducts high voltage-activated R-type calcium currents that initiate synaptic transmission. Using next-generation sequencing techniques, we identified de novo CACNA1E variants in 30 individuals with DEE, characterized by refractory infantile-onset seizures, severe hypotonia, and profound developmental impairment, often with congenital contractures, macrocephaly, hyperkinetic movement disorders, and early death. Most of the 14, partially recurring, variants cluster within the cytoplasmic ends of all four S6 segments, which form the presumed CaV2.3 channel activation gate. Functional analysis of several S6 variants revealed consistent gain-of-function effects comprising facilitated voltage-dependent activation and slowed inactivation. Another variant located in the domain II S4-S5 linker results in facilitated activation and increased current density. Five participants achieved seizure freedom on the anti-epileptic drug topiramate, which blocks R-type calcium channels. We establish pathogenic variants in CACNA1E as a cause of DEEs and suggest facilitated R-type calcium currents as a disease mechanism for human epilepsy and developmental disorders.


Subject(s)
Calcium Channels, R-Type/genetics , Cation Transport Proteins/genetics , Contracture/genetics , Dyskinesias/genetics , Epilepsy/genetics , Genetic Variation/genetics , Megalencephaly/genetics , Spasms, Infantile/genetics , Adolescent , Adult , Child , Child, Preschool , Female , Humans , Infant , Male , Neurodevelopmental Disorders/genetics
9.
Genet Med ; 23(8): 1416-1423, 2021 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33976419

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: PALB2 germline pathogenic variants are associated with increased breast cancer risk and smaller increased risk of pancreatic and likely ovarian cancer. Resources for health-care professionals managing PALB2 heterozygotes are currently limited. METHODS: A workgroup of experts sought to outline management of PALB2 heterozygotes based on current evidence. Peer-reviewed publications from PubMed were identified to guide recommendations, which arose by consensus and the collective expertise of the authors. RESULTS: PALB2 heterozygotes should be offered BRCA1/2-equivalent breast surveillance. Risk-reducing mastectomy can be considered guided by personalized risk estimates. Pancreatic cancer surveillance should be considered, but ideally as part of a clinical trial. Typically, ovarian cancer surveillance is not recommended, and risk-reducing salpingo-oophorectomy should only rarely be considered before the age of 50. Given the mechanistic similarities, PALB2 heterozygotes should be considered for therapeutic regimens and trials as those for BRCA1/2. CONCLUSION: This guidance is similar to those for BRCA1/2. While the range of the cancer risk estimates overlap with BRCA1/2, point estimates are lower in PALB2 so individualized estimates are important for management decisions. Systematic prospective data collection is needed to determine as yet unanswered questions such as the risk of contralateral breast cancer and survival after cancer diagnosis.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms , Genetics, Medical , Breast Neoplasms/genetics , Fanconi Anemia Complementation Group N Protein/genetics , Female , Genetic Predisposition to Disease , Genomics , Germ Cells , Humans , Mastectomy , United States
10.
J Natl Compr Canc Netw ; 19(1): 77-102, 2021 01 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33406487

ABSTRACT

The NCCN Guidelines for Genetic/Familial High-Risk Assessment: Breast, Ovarian, and Pancreatic focus primarily on assessment of pathogenic or likely pathogenic variants associated with increased risk of breast, ovarian, and pancreatic cancer and recommended approaches to genetic testing/counseling and management strategies in individuals with these pathogenic or likely pathogenic variants. This manuscript focuses on cancer risk and risk management for BRCA-related breast/ovarian cancer syndrome and Li-Fraumeni syndrome. Carriers of a BRCA1/2 pathogenic or likely pathogenic variant have an excessive risk for both breast and ovarian cancer that warrants consideration of more intensive screening and preventive strategies. There is also evidence that risks of prostate cancer and pancreatic cancer are elevated in these carriers. Li-Fraumeni syndrome is a highly penetrant cancer syndrome associated with a high lifetime risk for cancer, including soft tissue sarcomas, osteosarcomas, premenopausal breast cancer, colon cancer, gastric cancer, adrenocortical carcinoma, and brain tumors.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms , Ovarian Neoplasms , Pancreatic Neoplasms , Breast Neoplasms/diagnosis , Breast Neoplasms/genetics , Female , Genes, BRCA1 , Genes, BRCA2 , Genetic Counseling , Genetic Predisposition to Disease , Genetic Testing , Humans , Male , Mutation , Ovarian Neoplasms/diagnosis , Ovarian Neoplasms/genetics , Pancreatic Neoplasms/diagnosis , Pancreatic Neoplasms/genetics
11.
Hum Mutat ; 41(7): 1238-1249, 2020 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32112660

ABSTRACT

Int22h1/Int22h2-mediated Xq28 duplication syndrome is a relatively new X-linked intellectual disability syndrome, arising from duplications of the subregion flanked by intron 22 homologous regions 1 and 2 on the q arm of chromosome X. Its primary manifestations include variable cognitive deficits, distinct facial dysmorphia, and neurobehavioral abnormalities that mainly include hyperactivity, irritability, and autistic behavior. Affected males are hemizygous for the duplication, which explains their often more severe manifestations compared with heterozygous females. In this report, we describe the cases of nine individuals recently identified having the syndrome, highlighting unique and previously unreported findings of this syndrome. Specifically, we report for the first time in this syndrome, two cases with de novo duplications, three receiving prenatal diagnosis with the syndrome, and three others having atypical versions of the duplication. Among the latter, one proband has a shortened version spanning only the centromeric half of the typical duplication, while the other two cases have a nearly identical length duplication as the classical duplication, with the exception that their duplication's breakpoints are telomerically shifted by about 0.2 Mb. Finally, we shed light on two new manifestations in this syndrome, vertebral anomalies and multiple malignancies, which possibly expand the phenotypic spectrum of the syndrome.


Subject(s)
Chromosome Duplication , Genetic Diseases, X-Linked/genetics , Intellectual Disability/genetics , Child , Child, Preschool , Female , Humans , Infant , Male , Middle Aged , Prenatal Diagnosis , Syndrome
12.
J Natl Compr Canc Netw ; 18(4): 380-391, 2020 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32259785

ABSTRACT

The NCCN Guidelines for Genetic/Familial High-Risk Assessment: Breast, Ovarian, and Pancreatic provide recommendations for genetic testing and counseling for hereditary cancer syndromes, and risk management recommendations for patients who are diagnosed with syndromes associated with an increased risk of these cancers. The NCCN panel meets at least annually to review comments, examine relevant new data, and reevaluate and update recommendations. These NCCN Guidelines Insights summarize the panel's discussion and most recent recommendations regarding criteria for high-penetrance genes associated with breast and ovarian cancer beyond BRCA1/2, pancreas screening and genes associated with pancreatic cancer, genetic testing for the purpose of systemic therapy decision-making, and testing for people with Ashkenazi Jewish ancestry.


Subject(s)
Neoplastic Syndromes, Hereditary/diagnosis , Neoplastic Syndromes, Hereditary/genetics , Ovarian Neoplasms/diagnosis , Ovarian Neoplasms/genetics , Pancreatic Neoplasms/diagnosis , Pancreatic Neoplasms/genetics , Biomarkers, Tumor , Female , Genetic Association Studies , Genetic Counseling , Genetic Predisposition to Disease , Genetic Testing , Humans , Neoplastic Syndromes, Hereditary/therapy , Penetrance , Pancreatic Neoplasms
14.
Gynecol Oncol ; 149(1): 121-126, 2018 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29402500

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To increase genetic counseling referrals for patients with newly diagnosed epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC). METHODS: A practice-gap analysis was performed after measuring baseline genetic counseling referral rates to identify barriers to referral from the multidisciplinary single institution EOC care group. A Genetics Referral Toolkit consisting of a referral template, a genetic risk checklist, family history worksheet and provider and patient awareness was developed to address identified gaps with the goal of increasing referral rates. Clinical characteristics, referral placement, completion of genetic counseling/testing were abstracted for a historic cohort and intervention cohort. Data for the two cohorts were compared using chi-square, Fisher's exact test, or t-test. Association with referral was determined by univariate logistic regression. RESULTS: Eighty one patients from July through December 2013 (historic cohort) and 62 patients from July through December 2015 (intervention cohort) were identified as having a new diagnosis of EOC. Among these women, genetic counseling referral rates increased from 48.1% (39/81) in 2013 to 74.2% (46/62) in 2015 (p=0.002) after implementation of the toolkit. In a subset of patients without a previous genetic counseling referral, 87.9% (29/33) completed counseling and 79.3% (23/29) pursued testing from the historic cohort. In the intervention cohort, 60% (24/40) were seen for counseling and 100% (24/24) had testing. CONCLUSION: Application of a quality improvement process to create a Genetics Referral Toolkit increased the genetic counseling referral rate in patients with a new diagnosis of EOC. The majority of patients who were referred completed genetics consultation and elected genetic testing.


Subject(s)
Genetic Counseling/methods , Neoplasms, Glandular and Epithelial/diagnosis , Neoplasms, Glandular and Epithelial/genetics , Ovarian Neoplasms/diagnosis , Ovarian Neoplasms/genetics , Carcinoma, Ovarian Epithelial , Cohort Studies , Female , Genetic Counseling/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Middle Aged , Practice Patterns, Physicians' , Referral and Consultation/statistics & numerical data
16.
J Natl Compr Canc Netw ; 15(1): 9-20, 2017 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28040716

ABSTRACT

The NCCN Clinical Practice Guidelines in Oncology for Genetic/Familial High-Risk Assessment: Breast and Ovarian provide recommendations for genetic testing and counseling for hereditary cancer syndromes and risk management recommendations for patients who are diagnosed with a syndrome. Guidelines focus on syndromes associated with an increased risk of breast and/or ovarian cancer. The NCCN Genetic/Familial High-Risk Assessment: Breast and Ovarian panel meets at least annually to review comments from reviewers within their institutions, examine relevant new data from publications and abstracts, and reevaluate and update their recommendations. The NCCN Guidelines Insights summarize the panel's discussion and most recent recommendations regarding risk management for carriers of moderately penetrant genetic mutations associated with breast and/or ovarian cancer.


Subject(s)
Genetic Counseling/standards , Genetic Testing/standards , Hereditary Breast and Ovarian Cancer Syndrome/diagnosis , Hereditary Breast and Ovarian Cancer Syndrome/genetics , Female , Humans , Mutation , Practice Guidelines as Topic , Risk Assessment/standards , Risk Factors
17.
J Obstet Gynaecol ; 37(6): 795-798, 2017 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28366031

ABSTRACT

In 2016, the American College of Medical Genetics and Genomics updated their practice guidelines on the provision of non-invasive prenatal genomic screening using cell-free DNA. This article lays out the changes to the guidelines and their implications for clinical practice. Impact Statement What is already known on this subject.cfDNA is being translated into prenatal clinical practice at a rapid pace. Various professional societies have attempted to provide ongoing guidance for this translation. What the results of this study add.The latest recommendations from the American College of Medical Genetics offer the most recent practice guidelines for how to implement cfDNA in clinical practice. What the implications are of these findings for clinical practice and/or further research.This summary offers concise suggestions for practitioners on implementing the new guidelines.


Subject(s)
Cell-Free Nucleic Acids/analysis , Genetic Testing , Maternal Serum Screening Tests , Female , Humans , Practice Guidelines as Topic , Pregnancy
18.
J Natl Compr Canc Netw ; 14(2): 153-62, 2016 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26850485

ABSTRACT

The NCCN Guidelines for Genetic/Familial High-Risk Assessment: Breast and Ovarian provide recommendations for genetic testing and counseling and risk assessment and management for hereditary cancer syndromes. Guidelines focus on syndromes associated with an increased risk of breast and/or ovarian cancer and are intended to assist with clinical and shared decision-making. These NCCN Guidelines Insights summarize major discussion points of the 2015 NCCN Genetic/Familial High-Risk Assessment: Breast and Ovarian panel meeting. Major discussion topics this year included multigene testing, risk management recommendations for less common genetic mutations, and salpingectomy for ovarian cancer risk reduction. The panel also discussed revisions to genetic testing criteria that take into account ovarian cancer histology and personal history of pancreatic cancer.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms/genetics , Ovarian Neoplasms/genetics , Female , Genetic Counseling/methods , Genetic Predisposition to Disease/genetics , Genetic Testing/methods , Humans , Mutation/genetics , Neoplastic Syndromes, Hereditary/genetics , Pancreatic Neoplasms/genetics , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Factors
19.
Gynecol Obstet Invest ; 77(2): 121-6, 2014.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24525697

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To develop a model to predict vaginal birth after cesarean (VBAC) in our population and to compare the accuracy of this model to the accuracy of a previously published widely used model. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Women attempting trial of labor after cesarean delivery (TOLAC) at our institution from January 1, 2000 through May 30, 2010 were evaluated for inclusion. Demographic and clinical data were collected. Associations of these characteristics with VBAC were evaluated with univariate and multivariate logistic regression. We critically compared the accuracy of the resulting model to a previously published widely utilized model for predicting VBAC. RESULTS: A total of 2,635 deliveries with at least 1 prior cesarean delivery were identified. TOLAC was attempted in 599 (22.7%) and resulted in 456 VBACs (76.0%) and 143 repeat cesareans (24.0%). VBAC success was independently associated with age <30 years, a body mass index <30, prior vaginal delivery, prior VBAC, and absence of a recurrent indication for cesarean. This model provided a range of successful probability of VBAC (38-98%) with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.723. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides an accurate and simple model that can be utilized to guide decisions related to TOLAC.


Subject(s)
Cesarean Section, Repeat/statistics & numerical data , Models, Statistical , Nomograms , Trial of Labor , Vaginal Birth after Cesarean/statistics & numerical data , Adolescent , Adult , Cohort Studies , Female , Humans , Logistic Models , Middle Aged , Pregnancy , ROC Curve , Young Adult
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