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BACKGROUND: International data suggest that asthma, like other inflammatory diseases, might increase Alzheimer disease (AD) risk. OBJECTIVE: We sought to explore risk pathways and future mitigation strategies by comparing diagnostic claims-based AD incidence and prevalence among US patients with asthma with those without asthma. METHODS: This cohort study included a national Medicare 20% random sample (2013-2015). Adult patients with asthma with more than 12 months continuous Medicare were compared with subjects without asthma overall and as matched. Asthma was defined by 1 inpatient or 2 outpatient codes for asthma. The main outcomes were 2-year incident or prevalent AD defined by International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision code 331.0 or Tenth Revision code G30.0, G30.1, G30.8, or G30.9. RESULTS: Among 5,460,732 total beneficiaries, 678,730 patients were identified with baseline asthma and more often identified as Black or Hispanic, were Medicaid eligible, or resided in a highly disadvantaged neighborhood than those without asthma. Two-year incidence of AD was 1.4% with asthma versus 1.1% without asthma; prevalence was 7.8% versus 5.4% (both P ≤ .001). Per 100,000 patients over 2 years, 303 more incident AD diagnoses occurred in those with asthma, with 2,425 more prevalent cases (P < .001). Multivariable models showed that asthma had greater odds of 2-year AD incidence (adjusted odds ratio, 1.33 [95% CI, 1.29-1.36]; matched 1.2 [95% CI, 1.17-1.24]) and prevalence (adjusted odds ratio, 1.48 [95% CI, 1.47-1.50]; matched 1.25 [95% CI, 1.22-1.27]). CONCLUSIONS: Asthma was associated with 20% to 33% increased 2-year incidence and 25% to 48% increased prevalence of claims-based AD in this nationally representative US sample. Future research should investigate risk pathways of underlying comorbidities and social determinants as well as whether there are potential asthma treatments that may preserve brain health.
Subject(s)
Alzheimer Disease , Asthma , Medicare , Humans , Asthma/epidemiology , United States/epidemiology , Male , Alzheimer Disease/epidemiology , Female , Incidence , Aged , Prevalence , Cohort Studies , Aged, 80 and over , Middle Aged , Risk FactorsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection leads to chronic immune activation/inflammation that can persist in virally suppressed persons on fully active antiretroviral therapy (ART) and increase risk of malignancies. The prognostic role of low CD4:CD8 ratio and elevated CD8 cell counts on the risk of cancer remains unclear. METHODS: We investigated the association of CD4:CD8 ratio on the hazard of non-AIDS defining malignancy (NADM), AIDS-defining malignancy (ADM) and most frequent group of cancers in ART-treated people with HIV (PWH) with a CD4 and CD8 cell counts and viral load measurements at baseline. We developed Cox proportional hazard models with adjustment for known confounders of cancer risk and time-dependent cumulative and lagged exposures of CD4:CD8 ratio to account for time-evolving risk factors and avoid reverse causality. RESULTS: CD4:CD8 ratios below 0.5, compared to above 1.0, were independently associated with a 12-month time-lagged higher risk of ADM and infection-related malignancies (adjusted hazard ratio 2.61 [95% confidence interval {CI }1.10-6.19] and 2.03 [95% CI 1.24-3.33], respectively). CD4 cell counts below 350 cells/µL were associated with an increased risk of NADMs and ADMs, as did infection, smoking, and body mass index-related malignancies. CONCLUSIONS: In ART-treated PWH low CD4:CD8 ratios were associated with ADM and infection-related cancers independently from CD4 and CD8 cell counts and may alert clinicians for cancer screening and prevention of NADM.
Subject(s)
Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome , Anti-HIV Agents , HIV Infections , Neoplasms , Humans , Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome/complications , Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome/drug therapy , HIV , HIV Infections/complications , HIV Infections/drug therapy , Anti-Retroviral Agents/therapeutic use , CD4 Lymphocyte Count , Neoplasms/complications , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Neoplasms/drug therapy , CD4-CD8 Ratio , Viral Load , Anti-HIV Agents/adverse effectsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Lacunes are associated with cognitive impairment. We sought to identify strategic lacune locations associated with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and subtypes of MCI among older adults, and further to examine the role of white matter hyperintensities and perivascular spaces in the association. METHODS: This population-based cross-sectional study included 1230 dementia-free participants in the brain magnetic resonance imaging substudy (2018-2020) in MIND-China (Multimodal Interventions to Delay Dementia and Disability in Rural China). Lacunes were visually identified in frontal lobe, parieto-occipital lobe, temporal lobe, insula, basal ganglia, thalamus, cerebellum, and brainstem. MCI, amnestic MCI (aMCI), and nonamnestic MCI (naMCI) were defined following the Petersen's criteria. Data were analyzed using logistic regression models. RESULTS: Of the 1230 participants (age, ≥60 years; mean age, 69.40; SD, 4.30 years; 58.5% women), lacunes were detected in 357 people and MCI was defined in 286 individuals, including 243 with aMCI and 43 with naMCI. Lacunes in the supratentorial area, internal capsula, putamen/pallidum, and insula was significantly associated with increased odds ratio of MCI (multivariable-adjusted odds ratio ranged 1.40-3.21; P<0.05) and aMCI (multivariable-adjusted odds ratio ranged 1.46-3.36; P<0.05), whereas lacunes in the infratentorial area and brainstem were significantly associated with naMCI (multivariable-adjusted odds ratio ranged 2.68-3.46; P<0.01). Furthermore, the associations of lacunes in insula and internal capsula with MCI and aMCI, as well as the associations of lacunes in infratentorial area and brainstem with naMCI were present independent of white matter hyperintensities volume and perivascular spaces number. CONCLUSIONS: Lacunes in the internal capsula, putamen/pallidum, insula, and brainstem may represent the strategic lacunes that are independently associated with MCI, aMCI, or naMCI in Chinese older adults. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.chictr.org.cn; Unique identifier: ChiCTR1800017758.
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Previous studies have suggested that the use of proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) more than doubles the risk of acute kidney injury (AKI) in cancer patients receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). However, this association may be confounded. Therefore, we conducted a register-based cohort study to examine the risk of AKI in users and nonusers of PPIs among cancer patients treated with ICIs in Denmark from 2011 through 2021 while accounting for a comprehensive range of potential confounders. PPI use was determined based on redeemed prescriptions of PPIs before ICI initiation. We identified laboratory-recorded AKI events within the first year after ICI initiation. We estimated the risks and hazard ratios (HRs) of AKI while accounting for a comprehensive range of confounders (including comorbidities and comedication) by propensity score weighting. Furthermore, we performed an additional per-protocol analysis while accounting for informative censoring by weighting. We identified 10 200 cancer patients including 2749 (27%) users, 6214 (61%) nonusers, and 1237 (12%) former users of PPIs. PPI users had an increased risk of AKI compared to nonusers (1-year risk, 24.7% vs 19.9%; HR, 1.42 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.29-1.56]); however, this association attenuated when accounting for confounders (weighted 1-year risk, 24.2% vs 23.8%; weighted HR, 1.06 [95% CI, 0.93-1.21]). In the per-protocol analysis, the crude HR was 1.86 (95% CI, 1.63-2.12), while the weighted HR was 1.24 (95% CI, 1.03-1.49). Thus, the association between PPI use and AKI could largely be explained by confounding, suggesting that previous studies may have overestimated the association.
Subject(s)
Acute Kidney Injury , Neoplasms , Humans , Cohort Studies , Proton Pump Inhibitors/adverse effects , Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors/adverse effects , Acute Kidney Injury/chemically induced , Acute Kidney Injury/epidemiology , Neoplasms/drug therapy , Neoplasms/complications , Denmark/epidemiology , Risk FactorsABSTRACT
Osimertinib is prescribed to patients with metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and a sensitizing EGFR mutation. Limited data exists on the impact of patient characteristics or osimertinib exposure on effectiveness outcomes. This was a Dutch, multicenter cohort study. Eligible patients were ≥18 years, with metastatic EGFRm+ NSCLC, receiving osimertinib. Primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS). Secondary endpoints included overall survival (OS) and safety. Kaplan-Meier analyses and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were performed. In total, 294 patients were included. Primary EGFR-mutations were mainly exon 19 deletions (54%) and p.L858R point mutations (30%). Osimertinib was given in first-line (40%), second-line (46%) or beyond (14%), with median PFS 14.4 (95% CI: 9.4-19.3), 13.9 (95% CI: 11.3-16.1) and 8.7 months (95% CI: 4.6-12.7), respectively. Patients with low BMI (<20.0 kg/m2 ) had significantly shorter PFS/OS compared to all other subgroups. Patients with a high plasma trough concentration in steady state (Cmin,SS ; >271 ng/mL) had shorter PFS compared to a low Cmin,SS (<163 ng/mL; aHR 2.29; 95% CI: 1.13-4.63). A significant longer PFS was seen in females (aHR = 0.61, 95% CI: 0.45-0.82) and patients with the exon 19 deletion (aHR = 0.58, 95% CI: 0.36-0.92). A trend towards longer PFS was seen for TP53 wild-type patients, while age did not impact PFS. Patients with a primary EGFR exon 19 deletion had longer PFS, while a low BMI, male sex and a high Cmin,SS were indicative for shorter PFS and/or OS. Age was not associated with effectiveness outcomes of osimertinib.
Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung , Lung Neoplasms , Female , Humans , Male , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/drug therapy , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/genetics , Lung Neoplasms/drug therapy , Lung Neoplasms/genetics , Cohort Studies , Protein Kinase Inhibitors/therapeutic use , ErbB Receptors/genetics , Aniline Compounds/therapeutic use , MutationABSTRACT
Pharmacoepidemiological studies commonly examine the association between drug dose and adverse health outcomes. In situations where no safe dose exists, the choice of modeling strategy can lead to identification of an apparent safe low dose range in the presence of a non-linear relationship or due to the modeling strategy forcing a linear relationship through a dose of 0. We conducted a simulation study to assess the performance of several regression approaches to model the drug dose-response curve at low doses in a setting where no safe range exists, including the use of a (1) linear dose term, (2) categorical dose term, and (3) natural cubic spline terms. Additionally, we introduce and apply an expansion of prior work related to modeling dose-response curves at low and infrequently used doses in the setting of no safe dose ("spike-at-zero" and "slab-and-spline"). Furthermore, we demonstrate and empirically assess the use of these regression strategies in a practical scenario examining the association between the dose of the initial postpartum opioid prescribed after vaginal delivery and the subsequent total dose of opioids prescribed in the entire postpartum period among a cohort of opioid-naïve women with a vaginal delivery enrolled in a State Medicaid program (2007-2014).
ABSTRACT
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fourth leading cause of cancer death worldwide and its prognosis is highly heterogeneous, being related not only to tumour burden but also to the severity of underlying chronic liver disease. Moreover, advances in systemic therapies for HCC have increased the complexity of patient management. Randomised-controlled trials represent the gold standard for evidence generation across all areas of medicine and especially in the oncology field, as they allow for unbiased estimates of treatment effect without confounders. Observational studies have many problems that could reduce their internal and external validity. However, large prospective (well-conducted) observational real-world studies can detect rare adverse events or monitor the occurrence of long-term adverse events. How best to harness real world data, which refers to data generated from the routine care of patients, and real-world 'evidence', which is the evidence generated from real-world data, represents an open challenge. In this review article, we aim to provide an overview of the benefits and limitations of different study designs, particularly focusing on randomised-controlled trials and observational studies, to address important and not fully resolved questions in HCC research.
Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Liver Neoplasms , Observational Studies as Topic , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Research Design , Humans , Liver Neoplasms/therapy , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/therapy , Observational Studies as Topic/methods , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic/methodsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: This study examined the trends and patterns of opioid and non-opioid pharmacotherapy use among a large national sample of privately insured pediatric patients with cancer in the United States. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We identified pediatric (agedâ <â 21) patients diagnosed with central nervous system (CNS), lymphoma, gonadal, leukemia, or bone cancer from MarketScan data 2005-2019. We examined the proportion of patients who filled a prescription for the following 5 types of pharmacotherapy: opioid, anticonvulsant, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID), antidepressant, and muscle relaxant during active cancer treatment. We assessed the trends and patterns in pharmacotherapy using multivariable logistic regressions. RESULTS: Among 4174 patients included, 2979 (71%) had an opioid prescription; 746 (18%), 384 (9%), 202 (5%), and 169 (4%) had anticonvulsant, NSAID, antidepressant and muscle relaxant prescriptions, respectively. Multivariable logistic regression showed a nonlinear trend in the use of opioids among pediatric patients with cancer over time such that use slightly increased until 2012 (OR of 1.40 [95% CI, 1.12-1.73] for 2012 vs. 2006) but then decreased thereafter (OR of 0.51 [0.37-0.68] for 2018 vs. 2012). The use of anticonvulsants, NSAIDs, and muscle relaxants increased significantly linearly over time (all Pâ <â .005). CONCLUSION: There has been a downward trend in the use of opioids in recent years among pediatric patients with cancer and an upward trend in the use of non-opioid pharmacotherapy for pain management potentially as an alternative to opioids.
Subject(s)
Analgesics, Opioid , Neoplasms , Humans , Child , United States/epidemiology , Analgesics, Opioid/therapeutic use , Pain Management , Anticonvulsants/therapeutic use , Drug Prescriptions , Practice Patterns, Physicians' , Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal/therapeutic use , Neoplasms/complications , Neoplasms/drug therapy , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Insurance, Health , Antidepressive Agents/therapeutic useABSTRACT
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Evidence is sparse and inconclusive on the association between long-term fine (≤2.5 µm) particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure and esophageal cancer. We aimed to assess the association of PM2.5 with esophageal cancer risk and compared the esophageal cancer risk attributable to PM2.5 exposure and other established risk factors. METHODS: This study included 510,125 participants without esophageal cancer at baseline from China Kadoorie Biobank. A high-resolution (1 × 1 km) satellite-based model was used to estimate PM2.5 exposure during the study period. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% CIs of PM2.5 with esophageal cancer incidence were estimated using Cox proportional hazard model. Population attributable fractions for PM2.5 and other established risk factors were estimated. RESULTS: There was a linear concentration-response relationship between long-term PM2.5 exposure and esophageal cancer. For each 10-µg/m3 increase in PM2.5, the HR was 1.16 (95% CI, 1.04-1.30) for esophageal cancer incidence. Compared with the first quarter of PM2.5 exposure, participants in the highest quarter had a 1.32-fold higher risk for esophageal cancer, with an HR of 1.32 (95% CI, 1.01-1.72). The population attributable risk because of annual average PM2.5 concentration ≥35 µg/m3 was 23.3% (95% CI, 6.6%-40.0%), higher than the risks attributable to lifestyle risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: This large prospective cohort study of Chinese adults found that long-term exposure to PM2.5 was associated with an elevated risk of esophageal cancer. With stringent air pollution mitigation measures in China, a large reduction in the esophageal cancer disease burden can be expected.
Subject(s)
Esophageal Neoplasms , Particulate Matter , Adult , Humans , East Asian People , Environmental Exposure/adverse effects , Esophageal Neoplasms/epidemiology , Esophageal Neoplasms/etiology , Incidence , Particulate Matter/adverse effects , Particulate Matter/classification , Prospective Studies , China/epidemiology , Risk FactorsABSTRACT
Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a complex autoimmune disorder, the etiology of which involves the alterations in circulating cytokine levels. However, the cause-and-effect relationships and in-depth clinical relevance of them remain to be systematically investigated. We conducted a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study to assess the causality of circulating cytokine levels and SLE and found that genetically determined elevated CTACK and IL-18 were associated with an increased risk of SLE, whereas a higher level of GRO-a was associated with decreased risk. Furthermore, we performed an observational study to further reveal the association between 27 cytokines and the severity measured by SLEDAI score, as well as lupus nephritis (LN), of SLE. We identified six cytokines (MCP1, MIP1ß, CTACK, IP10, HGF, IL18, IL13) that were identified as associated with the clinical severity of SLE, and five cytokines, especially IL18, were related with LN and may have good diagnostic value. Moreover, we also predicted four compounds that might have good binding activities with IL18. The evidence supported a potential causal role of circulating cytokines on the risk of SLE. Targeting IL18 might be a meaningful strategy for the prevention or treatment of SLE, especially in LN patients.
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BACKGROUND: Obesity has been linked to arterial stiffness, while no consensus was reached on the association. We aimed to clarify the association of general and central obesity with arterial stiffness by combining observational studies and Mendelian randomization (MR) study. METHODS: Two cross-sectional studies were performed in UK Biobank and Fuqing Cohort, respectively. Two-sample MR study was conducted using summary data of GWASs from GIANT consortium and UK Biobank. General obesity and central obesity were measured using body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC), respectively. Arterial stiffness was measured by arterial stiffness index (ASI) in UK Biobank or branchial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) in Fuqing Cohort. RESULTS: Two observational studies found a consistent positive association of BMI and WC with arterial stiffness when adjusting for age, sex, education, smoking, alcohol drinking, physical activity, and LDL cholesterol. However, when additionally adjusting for metabolic traits (i.e., systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, blood glucose, triglycerides, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and WC or BMI), the association with BMI changed to be inverse. As compared to the lowest quintile group, the adjusted ORs across groups of second to fifth quintile were 0.93, 0.90, 0.83, and 0.72 in UK Biobank and 0.88, 0.65, 0.63, and 0.50 in Fuqing Cohort. In contrast, the positive relationship with WC remained stable with the adjusted ORs of 1.23, 1.46, 1.60, and 1.56 in UK Biobank and 1.35, 1.44, 1.77, and 1.64 in Fuqing Cohort. MR analyses provided supportive evidence of the negative association with BMI (OR = 0.97, 95%CI = 0.94-1.00) and the positive association with WC (OR = 1.14, 95%CI = 1.08-1.20). CONCLUSIONS: Observational and genetic analyses provide concordant results that central obesity is independently related to arterial stiffness, while the role of general obesity depends on metabolic status.
Subject(s)
Body Mass Index , Mendelian Randomization Analysis , Obesity, Abdominal , Obesity , Vascular Stiffness , Humans , Vascular Stiffness/physiology , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Cross-Sectional Studies , Obesity, Abdominal/epidemiology , Obesity, Abdominal/physiopathology , Obesity/epidemiology , Obesity/physiopathology , Adult , Waist Circumference , Aged , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Pulse Wave Analysis , Cohort StudiesABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Data have shown that vitamin B12 has immunomodulatory effects via different pathways, which could influence the pathophysiology of sepsis. The objective of this study was to investigate whether vitamin B12 levels, assessed by the measurement of holotranscobalamin (HTC), total vitamin B12 (B12), and methylmalonic acid (MMA, which accumulates in case of B12 deficiency), are associated with the development of sepsis in patients with onset of bacterial infection. METHODS: This was a single-center, prospective observational pilot study. Adult patients who presented to the emergency department with bacterial infection confirmed by a positive microbiological culture result were included in the study and followed up for 6 days to assess whether they developed sepsis or not. The primary objective was to compare HTC concentration in patients who developed sepsis to those who did not develop sepsis. Secondary objectives were the evaluation of B12 and MMA concentrations in those two groups. Multiple logistic regression models were used, with presence of sepsis as the outcome variable, and HTC, B12, and MMA concentrations as predictor variables, separately, and adjusted for potential confounders. RESULTS: From 2019 to 2022, 2131 patients were assessed for eligibility, of whom 100 met the inclusion criteria. One patient was excluded from the analysis due to missing data. Of the 99 patients, 29 developed sepsis. There was no evidence for an association between HTC or B12 concentration and the development of sepsis (OR 0.65, 95% CI 0.31-1.29, p = 0.232, OR 0.84, 95% CI 0.44-1.54, p = 0.584, respectively). There was an association between MMA concentration and the development of sepsis, with a positive effect, i.e. with increasing MMA, the odds for sepsis increased (OR 2.36, 95% CI 1.21-4.87, p = 0.014). This association remained significant when adjusted for confounders (OR 2.72, 95% CI 1.23-6.60, p = 0.018). CONCLUSIONS: Our study found an association between elevated MMA concentration and the development of sepsis. We did not find an association between HTC and B12 concentrations and the development of sepsis. Further, larger studies are warranted, as it could lead to interventional trials investigating whether B12 supplementation provides a clinical benefit to patients with infection or sepsis. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The study was registered on ClinicalTrials.gov under the identifier NCT04008446 on June 17, 2019.
Subject(s)
Bacterial Infections , Sepsis , Vitamin B 12 , Humans , Prospective Studies , Male , Female , Vitamin B 12/blood , Middle Aged , Aged , Pilot Projects , Methylmalonic Acid/blood , Adult , Transcobalamins/analysis , Aged, 80 and overABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Numerous studies have been conducted to investigate the relationship between ABO and Rhesus (Rh) blood groups and various health outcomes. However, a comprehensive evaluation of the robustness of these associations is still lacking. METHODS: We searched PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Scopus, Cochrane, and several regional databases from their inception until Feb 16, 2024, with the aim of identifying systematic reviews with meta-analyses of observational studies exploring associations between ABO and Rh blood groups and diverse health outcomes. For each association, we calculated the summary effect sizes, corresponding 95% confidence intervals, 95% prediction interval, heterogeneity, small-study effect, and evaluation of excess significance bias. The evidence was evaluated on a grading scale that ranged from convincing (Class I) to weak (Class IV). We assessed the certainty of evidence according to the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation criteria (GRADE). We also evaluated the methodological quality of included studies using the A Measurement Tool to Assess Systematic Reviews (AMSTAR). AMSTAR contains 11 items, which were scored as high (8-11), moderate (4-7), and low (0-3) quality. We have gotten the registration for protocol on the PROSPERO database (CRD42023409547). RESULTS: The current umbrella review included 51 systematic reviews with meta-analysis articles with 270 associations. We re-calculated each association and found only one convincing evidence (Class I) for an association between blood group B and type 2 diabetes mellitus risk compared with the non-B blood group. It had a summary odds ratio of 1.28 (95% confidence interval: 1.17, 1.40), was supported by 6870 cases with small heterogeneity (I2 = 13%) and 95% prediction intervals excluding the null value, and without hints of small-study effects (P for Egger's test > 0.10, but the largest study effect was not more conservative than the summary effect size) or excess of significance (P < 0.10, but the value of observed less than expected). And the article was demonstrated with high methodological quality using AMSTAR (score = 9). According to AMSTAR, 18, 32, and 11 studies were categorized as high, moderate, and low quality, respectively. Nine statistically significant associations reached moderate quality based on GRADE. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest a potential relationship between ABO and Rh blood groups and adverse health outcomes. Particularly the association between blood group B and type 2 diabetes mellitus risk.
Subject(s)
ABO Blood-Group System , Meta-Analysis as Topic , Observational Studies as Topic , Rh-Hr Blood-Group System , Systematic Reviews as Topic , Humans , Systematic Reviews as Topic/methods , Observational Studies as Topic/methodsABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: To investigate predictive factors for irreversible organ damage in systemic sclerosis (SSc) and establish a nomogram model. METHODS: This retrospective study included patients with SSc who were treated at our hospital between March 2013 and March 2023. Irreversible organ damage included heart failure, respiratory failure, renal failure, and gangrene of the hands and feet. Cox and LASSO regression analyses were performed to determine the predictive factors. Based on the results, a nomogram model was developed. The model was evaluated using the C-indices, calibration plots, and DCA. RESULTS: A total of 361 patients with systemic sclerosis were randomly divided into the development (n = 181) and validation (n = 180) groups. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that age ≥65 years, weight loss, digital ulcers, mRSS ≥16, elevated creatinine, elevated myoglobin, elevated C-reactive protein, renal involvement, and cardiac involvement were independent risk factors. Based on the LASSO analysis, a nomogram model of irreversible organ damage was established. The C-indices of the development group at 24, 60, and 96 m were 96.7, 84.5, and 85.7, whereas those of the validation group at 24, 60, and 96 m were 86.6, 79.1, and 78.5, respectively. The results of the DCA showed that the nomogram can be used as a valuable tool to predict irreversible organ damage in patients with SSc. CONCLUSION: We included commonly used clinical indicators. According to the nomogram, the probability of irreversible organ damage can be calculated and high-risk patients can be identified.
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OBJECTIVES: Sarcoidosis is a multisystemic granulomatosis diagnosed mainly in young adults.18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG) positron emission tomography-computed tomography (PET-CT) is useful in sarcoidosis cases to search for a biopsiable site or assess disease activity.18F-FDG PET-CT can reveal bone hypermetabolism in sarcoidosis patients, even in the absence of osteoarticular symptoms. The aim of this study was to describe metabolic bone involvement in sarcoidosis patients and to evaluate its prognostic impact. METHODS: This was an observational, comparative, retrospective, monocentric study. Inclusion criteria were a confirmed diagnosis of sarcoidosis according to the World Association of Sarcoidosis and Other Granulomatous Diseases (WASOG) criteria and at least one 18F-FDG PET-CT scan during follow-up. Metabolic bone involvement of sarcoidosis was defined as focal bone hypermetabolism with no argument for a differential diagnosis of bone 18F-FDG uptake. Patients with and without bone involvement were compared. RESULTS: Among the 175 included patients, 32 (18%) had metabolic bone involvement of sarcoidosis. The metabolic bone involvement was mainly axial and mostly without bone abnormalities on CT. Metabolic bone involvement was associated with intrathoracic and extrathoracic lymph node involvement and with a higher number of organs involved. Patients with metabolic bone involvement more frequently received corticosteroids, methotrexate and tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α inhibitors and a higher number of treatments. Relapse of sarcoidosis occurred sooner in patients with metabolic bone involvement. CONCLUSION: These results suggest that metabolic bone involvement is associated with more diffuse and more severe sarcoidosis.
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OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the effectiveness and safety of two different intravenous methylprednisolone (IVMP) pulse doses in patients with severe microscopic polyangiitis (MPA) and granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA). METHODS: We emulated a target trial using observational data from the nationwide registry in Japan. Patients with severe glomerulonephritis or diffuse alveolar haemorrhage were selected and pseudo-randomised into three groups using propensity score-based overlap weighting as follows: non-IVMP, IVMP 0.5 g/day, and IVMP 1.0 g/day. The primary outcome was all-cause death, and the secondary outcomes were composite all-cause death and kidney failure, severe relapse, and serious infection from 2 to 48 weeks after treatment initiation. To estimate the treatment effects, the Cox proportional hazard model and Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard model were used. RESULTS: In this emulated target trial, of 201 eligible patients (MPA, 175; GPA, 26), 6 (2.8%) died, 4 (2.0%) had kidney failure, 11 (5.3%) had severe relapse, and 40 (19.8%) had severe infections. Hazard ratios (HR) for IVMP 0.5 g/day and IVMP 1.0 g/day pulse groups compared with non-IVMP pulse were as follows: all-cause death = 0.46 (95% confidence interval [95%CI]: 0.07-2.81) and 0.07 (95%CI: 0.01-0.41); all-cause death/kidney failure = 1.18 (95%CI: 0.26-5.31) and 0.59 (95%CI: 0.08-4.52); subdistribution HRs for severe relapse = 1.26 (95%CI: 0.12-13.70) and 3.36 (95%CI: 0.49-23.29); and serious infection = 1.88 (95%CI: 0.76-4.65) and 0.94 (95%CI: 0.28-3.13). CONCLUSIONS: IVMP 1.0 g/day pulse may improve 48-week mortality in patients with severe MPA/GPA.
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BACKGROUND: Numerous meta-analyses have explored the association between the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and diverse health outcomes, yet the comprehensive assessment of the scope, validity, and quality of this evidence remains incomplete. Our aim was to systematically review and synthesise existing meta-analyses of TyG index and health outcomes and to assess the quality of the evidence. METHODS: A thorough search of PubMed, EMBASE, and Web of Science databases was conducted from their inception through to 8 April 2024. We assessed the quality of reviews using A Measurement Tool to Assess Systematic Reviews (AMSTAR) and the certainty of the evidence using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) system. This study was registered with PROSPERO (CRD: 42024518587). RESULTS: Overall, a total of 95 associations from 29 meta-analyses were included, investigating associations between TyG index and 30 health outcomes. Of these, 83 (87.4%) associations were statistically significant (P < 0.05) according to the random effects model. Based on the AMSTAR tool, 16 (55.2%) meta-analyses were high quality and none was low quality. The certainty of the evidence, assessed by the GRADE framework, showed that 6 (6.3%) associations were supported by moderate-quality evidence. When compared with the lowest category of the TyG index, the risk of contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) [relative risk (RR) = 2.25, 95%CI 1.82, 2.77], the risk of stroke in patients with diabetes mellitus (RR = 1.26, 95%CI 1.18, 1.33) or with acute coronary syndrome disease (RR = 1.56, 95%CI 1.06, 2.28), the prognosis of coronary artery disease (CAD)-non-fatal MI (RR = 2.02, 95%CI 1.32, 3.10), and the severity of CAD including coronary artery stenosis (RR = 3.49, 95%CI 1.71, 7.12) and multi-vessel CAD (RR = 2.33, 95%CI 1.59, 3.42) increased with high TyG index. CONCLUSION: We found that the TyG index was positively associated with many diseases including the risk of CIN and stroke, the prognosis of CAD, and the severity of CAD which were supported by moderate-quality evidence. TyG index might be useful to identify people at high-risk for developing these diseases.
Subject(s)
Biomarkers , Blood Glucose , Observational Studies as Topic , Triglycerides , Female , Humans , Male , Biomarkers/blood , Blood Glucose/metabolism , Cardiovascular Diseases/blood , Cardiovascular Diseases/diagnosis , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Meta-Analysis as Topic , Predictive Value of Tests , Prognosis , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Systematic Reviews as Topic , Triglycerides/bloodABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Type 2 diabetes (T2D) and peripheral artery disease (PAD) are recognized as independent risk factors contributing to excess mortality. Contemporary observational studies exploring the associations of risk factors, and risk of all-cause and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease mortality in persons with T2D following the onset of incident peripheral artery disease are limited. The objectives of this study were to investigate the associations of risk factors, and assess mortality risks in people with T2D compared with controls without T2D after the onset of PAD. METHODS: All persons with T2D (n = 150,215) registered in the Swedish National Diabetes Register between 2005 and 2009 were included, along with 346,423 controls without T2D matched for sex and age. Data were retrieved from several national registries, capturing information on risk factors, onset of incident peripheral artery disease, other comorbidities, socioeconomic factors, and outcomes. To compare persons with T2D and controls following the onset of peripheral artery disease regarding the risk of all-cause, and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease mortality, Cox proportional hazard models and Kaplan-Meier curves were employed. A gradient-boosting model was utilized to estimate the relative statistical contribution of risk factors to the modeling of incident mortality risk in people with both T2D and peripheral artery disease. RESULTS: Crude rates of incident all-cause mortality were higher in individuals with T2D compared with controls, following the onset of PAD (600.4 (95% CI, 581.4-619.8) per 10,000 person-years versus 549.1 (95% CI, 532.1-566.5) per 10,000 person-years). Persons with T2D had an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for all-cause mortality of 1.12 (95% CI, 1.05-1.19, P < 0.01) compared with controls after onset of incident PAD. The comparable adjusted HR for cardiovascular mortality was 1.13 (95% CI, 1.07-1.19, P < 0.01). High age and hyperglycemia at baseline played a significant role in contributing to the predictive models for incident all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among individuals with both T2D and PAD. CONCLUSIONS: The presence of T2D with concomitant PAD is related to an increased risk of both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality compared with individuals with only PAD. This argues for implementing optimized and intensive treatment strategies for individuals with both conditions.
Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 , Peripheral Arterial Disease , Humans , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/diagnosis , Cohort Studies , Cardiovascular Diseases/diagnosis , Risk Factors , Peripheral Arterial Disease/diagnosisABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: Food intake biomarkers are used to estimate dietary exposure; however, selecting a single biomarker to evaluate a specific dietary component is difficult due to the overlap of diverse compounds from different foods. Therefore, combining two or more biomarkers can increase the sensitivity and specificity of food intake estimates. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate the ability of metabolite panels to distinguish between self-reported fruit consumers and non-consumers among participants in the Longitudinal Study of Adult Health. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 93 healthy adults of both sexes were selected from the Longitudinal Study of Adult Health. A 24-h dietary recall was obtained using the computer-assisted 24-h food recall GloboDiet software, and 24-h urine samples were collected from each participant. Metabolites were identified in urine using liquid chromatography coupled with high-resolution mass spectrometry by comparing their exact mass and fragmentation patterns using free-access databases. Multivariate receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis and partial least squares discriminant analysis were used to verify the ability of the metabolite combination to classify daily and non-daily fruit consumers. Fruit intake was identified using a 24 h dietary recall (24 h-DR). RESULTS: Bananas, grapes, and oranges are included in the summary. The panel of biomarkers exhibited an area under the curve (AUC) > 0.6 (Orange AUC = 0.665; Grape AUC = 0.622; Bananas AUC = 0.602; All fruits AUC = 0.679; Citrus AUC = 0.693) and variable importance projection score > 1.0, and these were useful for assessing the sensitivity and predictability of food intake in our population. CONCLUSION: A panel of metabolites was able to classify self-reported fruit consumers with strong predictive power and high specificity and sensitivity values except for banana and total fruit intake.
Subject(s)
Biomarkers , Fruit , Metabolomics , Humans , Female , Male , Biomarkers/urine , Fruit/metabolism , Fruit/chemistry , Metabolomics/methods , Middle Aged , Adult , Longitudinal Studies , Brazil , Diet , Aged , Chromatography, Liquid/methodsABSTRACT
We examined incidence rates (IR) for all distal radius fracture (DRF) events based on inpatient and outpatient data from a large statutory health insurance in Germany. Of all DRF, 56% were treated as inpatients, and thus, 44% treated as outpatients. IR were higher in women than in men. PURPOSE: Although a distal radius fracture (DRF) is one of the most common fractures in the elderly population, epidemiological data are limited. Many studies examine only hospitalized patients, do not analyze time trends, or include only small populations. In this retrospective population-based observational study, routine data on inpatient and outpatient care of persons aged ≥ 60 years insured by a large statutory health insurance in Germany were analyzed from 2014 to 2018. METHODS: DRF were identified by ICD-10 codes. All DRF events of an individual were considered with a corresponding individual washout period. Incidence rates (IR) and time trends were estimated assuming a Poisson distribution per 100,000 person-years, with 95% confidence intervals [95% CI] and age-sex standardization to the German population in 2018. Associations of calendar year, age, sex, and comorbidity with IR were examined using Poisson regression estimating incidence rate ratios (IRR) with CI. RESULTS: The study population consists of 974,332 insured individuals, with 16,557 experiencing one or more DRF events during the observation period. A total of 17,705 DRF events occurred, of which 9961 (56.3%) were hospitalized. Standardized IR were 439 [424-453] (inpatient: 240 [230-251], outpatient: 199 [189-209]) in 2014 and 438 [423-452] (inpatient: 238 [227-249], outpatient: 200 [190-210]) in 2018. Female sex, older age, and comorbidity were associated with higher IR and adjusted Poisson regression showed no significant time trend (IRR overall 0.994 [0.983-1.006]). CONCLUSION: A relevant proportion of DRF were treated in outpatient settings, so both inpatient and outpatient data are necessary for a valid estimate.