ABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: During the 2022 mpox outbreak, the province of Quebec, Canada, prioritized first doses for pre-exposure vaccination of people at high mpox risk, delaying second doses due to limited supply. We estimated single-dose mpox vaccine effectiveness (VE) adjusting for virus exposure risk based only on surrogate indicators available within administrative databases (eg, clinical record of sexually transmitted infections) or supplemented by self-reported risk factor information (eg, sexual contacts). METHODS: We conducted a test-negative case-control study between 19 June and 24 September 2022. Information from administrative databases was supplemented by questionnaire collection of self-reported risk factors specific to the 3-week period before testing. Two study populations were assessed: all within the administrative databases (All-Admin) and the subset completing the questionnaire (Sub-Quest). Logistic regression models adjusted for age, calendar-time and exposure-risk, the latter based on administrative indicators only (All-Admin and Sub-Quest) or with questionnaire supplementation (Sub-Quest). RESULTS: There were 532 All-Admin participants, of which 199 (37%) belonged to Sub-Quest. With exposure-risk adjustment based only on administrative indicators, single-dose VE estimates were similar among All-Admin and Sub-Quest populations at 35% (95% confidence interval [CI]:-2 to 59) and 30% (95% CI:-38 to 64), respectively. With adjustment supplemented by questionnaire information, the Sub-Quest VE estimate increased to 65% (95% CI:1-87), with overlapping confidence intervals. CONCLUSIONS: Using only administrative data, we estimate one vaccine dose reduced the mpox risk by about one-third; whereas, additionally adjusting for self-reported risk factor information revealed greater vaccine benefit, with one dose instead estimated to reduce the mpox risk by about two-thirds. Inadequate exposure-risk adjustment may substantially under-estimate mpox VE.
Subject(s)
Mpox (monkeypox) , Smallpox Vaccine , Humans , Quebec/epidemiology , Self Report , Case-Control StudiesABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Influenza immunization programs aim to reduce the risk and burden of severe outcomes. To inform optimal program strategies, we monitored influenza hospitalizations over 7 seasons, stratified by age, comorbidity, and vaccination status. METHODS: We assembled data from 4 hospitals involved in an active surveillance network with systematic collection of nasal samples and polymerase chain reaction testing for influenza virus in all patients admitted through the emergency department with acute respiratory infection during the 2012-2013 to 2018-2019 influenza seasons in Quebec, Canada. We estimated seasonal, population-based incidence of influenza-associated hospitalizations by subtype predominance, age, comorbidity, and vaccine status, and derived the number needed to vaccinate to prevent 1 hospitalization per stratum. RESULTS: The average seasonal incidence of influenza-associated hospitalization was 89/100 000 (95% confidence interval, 86-93), lower during A(H1N1) (49-82/100 000) than A(H3N2) seasons (73-143/100 000). Overall risk followed a J-shaped age pattern, highest among infants 0-5 months and adults ≥75 years old. Hospitalization risks were highest for children <5 years old during A(H1N1) but for highest adults aged ≥75 years during A(H3N2) seasons. Age-adjusted hospitalization risks were 7-fold higher among individuals with versus without comorbid conditions (214 vs 30/100 000, respectively). The number needed to vaccinate to prevent hospitalization was 82-fold lower for ≥75-years-olds with comorbid conditions (n = 1995), who comprised 39% of all hospitalizations, than for healthy 18-64-year-olds (n = 163 488), who comprised just 6% of all hospitalizations. CONCLUSIONS: In the context of broad-based influenza immunization programs (targeted or universal), severe outcome risks should be simultaneously examined by subtype, age, comorbidity, and vaccine status. Policymakers require such detail to prioritize promotional efforts and expenditures toward the greatest and most efficient program impact.
Subject(s)
Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype , Influenza Vaccines , Influenza, Human , Adult , Infant , Child , Humans , Child, Preschool , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Seasons , Quebec/epidemiology , Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype , Hospitalization , Comorbidity , VaccinationABSTRACT
We describe an unusual mortality event caused by a highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) A(H5N1) virus clade 2.3.4.4b involving harbor (Phoca vitulina) and gray (Halichoerus grypus) seals in the St. Lawrence Estuary, Quebec, Canada, in 2022. Fifteen (56%) of the seals submitted for necropsy were considered to be fatally infected by HPAI H5N1 containing fully Eurasian or Eurasian/North American genome constellations. Concurrently, presence of large numbers of bird carcasses infected with HPAI H5N1 at seal haul-out sites most likely contributed to the spillover of infection to the seals. Histologic changes included meningoencephalitis (100%), fibrinosuppurative alveolitis, and multiorgan acute necrotizing inflammation. This report of fatal HPAI H5N1 infection in pinnipeds in Canada raises concerns about the expanding host of this virus, the potential for the establishment of a marine mammal reservoir, and the public health risks associated with spillover to mammals.Nous décrivons un événement de mortalité inhabituelle causé par un virus de l'influenza aviaire hautement pathogène A(H5N1) clade 2.3.4.4b chez des phoques communs (Phoca vitulina) et gris (Halichoerus grypus) dans l'estuaire du Saint-Laurent au Québec, Canada, en 2022. Quinze (56%) des phoques soumis pour nécropsie ont été considérés comme étant fatalement infectés par le virus H5N1 de lignées eurasiennes ou de réassortiment eurasiennes/nord-américaines. Un grand nombre simultané de carcasses d'oiseaux infectés par le H5N1 sur les sites d'échouement a probablement contribué à la contamination de ces phoques. Les changements histologiques associés à cette infection incluaient : méningo-encéphalite (100%), alvéolite fibrinosuppurée et inflammation nécrosante aiguë multi-organique. Cette documentation soulève des préoccupations quant à l'émergence de virus mortels, à la possibilité d'établissement de réservoirs chez les mammifères marins, et aux risques pour la santé publique associés aux propagations du virus chez les mammifères.
Subject(s)
Disease Outbreaks , Influenza A Virus, H5N1 Subtype , Animals , Influenza A Virus, H5N1 Subtype/genetics , Influenza A Virus, H5N1 Subtype/pathogenicity , Quebec/epidemiology , Disease Outbreaks/veterinary , Estuaries , Influenza in Birds/epidemiology , Influenza in Birds/virology , Influenza in Birds/history , Seals, Earless/virology , Phylogeny , Orthomyxoviridae Infections/veterinary , Orthomyxoviridae Infections/virology , Orthomyxoviridae Infections/epidemiology , Birds/virologyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: It is vital to understand healthy gut microbiota composition throughout early life stages when environments are changing, and immunity is developing. There are limited large-scale longitudinal studies classifying healthy succession of swine microbiota. The objectives of this study were to (a) determine the microbiota composition of fecal samples collected from piglets within a few days after birth until one-week post-weaning, and (b) investigate the associations of early fecal microbiota with pig growth performance in nursery and later growing stages. Fecal samples were collected from nine cohorts of 40 pigs (n = 360) from distinct farrowing sources in Ontario and Quebec, Canada at four timepoints from birth to one-week post-weaning, with pig body weight was recorded at each fecal sampling. RESULTS: Microbiota was dominated by the phyla Firmicutes, Bacteroides and Proteobacteria. There were notable differences in genera abundance between pigs from different provinces and farming systems. Over the early life stage, the genera Bacteroides, Escherichia/Shigella, and Clostridium cluster XIVa were abundant preweaning, while Prevotella dominated post-weaning. Hierarchical clustering identified three major stages of microbiota development, each associated with distinct composition. Stage one occurs from birth to 7 days, stage two from 7 days after birth until weaning, and stage three from weaning to one-week post-weaning. Three enterotypes were identified in stage two that showed differences in growth before weaning, and in the grower production stage. Piglets with a microbiota enterotype characterized by higher abundance of Prevotella and unclassified Ruminococcaceae had lower growth performance in the pre-weaning stage, and the growing stage. CONCLUSION: These findings help identify the timing of microbiota shifts across early swine life which may be the optimal time for external intervention to shift the microbiota to a beneficial state. The project findings should help decrease antimicrobial use, increase animal welfare, and have positive economic impacts.
Subject(s)
Bacteria , Feces , Gastrointestinal Microbiome , Weaning , Animals , Feces/microbiology , Longitudinal Studies , Swine/microbiology , Bacteria/classification , Bacteria/genetics , Bacteria/isolation & purification , Bacteria/growth & development , Ontario , RNA, Ribosomal, 16S/genetics , Quebec , Animals, NewbornABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The diet proposed by the EAT-Lancet Commission, which supports both health and environmental sustainability, provides an opportunity to assess the sustainability of food-based dietary guidelines. OBJECTIVES: The primary objective was to assess the alignment of the 2019 Canada's Food Guide (CFG) with the EAT-Lancet diet. To do so, an index assessing adherence to the EAT-Lancet diet was developed and evaluated. METHODS: Data from 1147 adults were used from the cross-sectional PRÉDicteurs Individuals, Sociaux et Environnementaux (PREDISE) study conducted between 2015 and 2017 in the province of Québec. The EAT-Lancet Dietary Index (EAT-I) was developed to evaluate adherence to the EAT-Lancet diet. Adherence to the 2019 CFG was assessed using the Healthy Eating Food Index (HEFI)-2019. Associations between the HEFI-2019 score and component scores and the EAT-I score were examined using linear regression models. RESULTS: The mean EAT-I score (/80) in this population was 33.4 points [95% confidence interval (CI): 32.2, 34.6]. EAT-I scores were consistent with expected differences in diet quality between females and males (+6.9 points, 95% CI: 4.8, 9.0) and between adults aged 50-65 y and 18-34 y (+4.3 points, 95% CI: 1.6, 7.0). The mean HEFI-2019 (/80) score was 44.9 points (95% CI: 44.1, 45.7). The HEFI-2019 was strongly associated with the EAT-I (ß = 0.76, 95% CI: 0.72, 0.80). Among the 10 components of the HEFI-2019, components such as the whole-grain foods (ß =4.01, 95% CI: 3.49, 4.52), grain foods ratio (ß =3.65, 95% CI: 3.24, 4.07), plant-based protein foods (ß =2.41, 95% CI: 2.03, 2.78), and fatty acids ratio (ß =3.12, 95% CI: 2.72, 3.51) showed the strongest associations with the EAT-I. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that recommendations in the 2019 CFG are largely coherent with the EAT-Lancet diet underscoring the complementarity and compatibility of the 2019 CFG for sustainability and health promotion purposes.
Subject(s)
Diet , Food , Adult , Male , Female , Humans , Cross-Sectional Studies , Diet, Healthy , QuebecABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The PAROLE-Onco program was introduced in the province of Quebec, Canada in 2019. It integrates accompanying patients (APs), i.e., people who have been affected by cancer, into the clinical team as full members. These APs use their experiential knowledge with people undergoing treatment and with clinical teams. The aim of this paper is to evaluate, within the framework of two university medical centers, the perceptions of breast cancer patients who receive support from APs, particularly in terms of their active involvement in their care trajectory. METHODS: A qualitative study based on semi-structured interviews with accompanied patients was performed. Fourteen individual interviews were conducted between July and September 2021 with women presenting different profiles in terms of age, education, professional status, type of treatment, family situation, and clinical background. The data were analyzed using thematic analysis, focusing on patients' perceptions of APs' contributions and suggested improvements for accessing AP support. RESULTS: Three themes emerged from the semi-structured interviews: communication modalities used to connect patients with their APs, the characteristics of the support provided by APs, and the perceived effects of this support on the patients. Patients expressed a preference for telephone communication, highlighting its convenience and accessibility. The support provided by APs included emotional and informational support, neutrality, and adaptability. This relationship improved patient communication, reduced anxiety, helped regain control, and enhanced overall quality of life. The results emphasized the added value of APs in complementing the support offered by healthcare professionals. Patients noted the critical role of APs in helping them navigate the healthcare system, better understand their treatment processes, and manage their emotions. The ability of APs to provide practical advice and emotional reassurance was particularly valued. Overall, the findings underscored the significant impact of AP support on patients' experiences and highlighted areas for enhancing this service. CONCLUSION: This study highlights, during the care trajectory of people affected by breast cancer, APs' contribution to patients' emotional well-being because they improve, in particular, the management of emotions and communication with health professionals.
In 2019, we initiated the PAROLE-Onco program in Quebec, Canada, to support cancer patients by integrating Accompanying Patients (APs) into the medical team. These individuals, who have personally experienced cancer, join as full team members, sharing their insights with both patients and medical staff. Our study delved into the perceptions of breast cancer patients at two university hospitals regarding APs' involvement in their care trajectory. Through interviews with 14 women of diverse backgrounds and cancer experiences, we found that APs were instrumental in enhancing communication with doctors, facilitating the expression of challenging emotions, and aiding in treatment decisions. Patients valued the inclusion of APs in their care team and expressed gratitude for their support. Nonetheless, some encountered difficulties in reaching out to APs due to a lack of awareness or challenges involved in connecting. Overall, our research underscores the positive impact of involving APs in the care of breast cancer patients, and of enhancing emotional well-being and communication throughout the treatment journey.
Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms , Qualitative Research , Humans , Female , Breast Neoplasms/psychology , Breast Neoplasms/therapy , Middle Aged , Adult , Aged , Communication , Quebec , Quality of LifeABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) can be cured with the new highly effective interferon-free combination treatments (DAA) that were approved in 2014. However, CHC is a largely silent disease, and many individuals are unaware of their infections until the late stages of the disease. The impact of wider access to effective treatments and improved awareness of the disease on the number of infections and the number of patients who remain undiagnosed is not known in Canada. Such evidence can guide the development of strategies and interventions to reduce the burden of CHC and meet World Health Organization's (WHO) 2030 elimination targets. The purpose of this study is to use a back-calculation framework informed by provincial population-level health administrative data to estimate the prevalence of CHC and the proportion of cases that remain undiagnosed in the three most populated provinces in Canada: British Columbia (BC), Ontario and Quebec. METHODS: We have conducted a population-based retrospective analysis of health administrative data for the three provinces to generate the annual incidence of newly diagnosed CHC cases, decompensated cirrhosis (DC), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and HCV treatment initiations. For each province, the data were stratified in three birth cohorts: individuals born prior to 1945, individuals born between 1945 and 1965 and individuals born after 1965. We used a back-calculation modelling approach to estimate prevalence and the undiagnosed proportion of CHC. The historical prevalence of CHC was inferred through a calibration process based on a Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm. The algorithm constructs the historical prevalence of CHC for each cohort by comparing the model-generated outcomes of the annual incidence of the CHC-related health events against the data set of observed diagnosed cases generated in the retrospective analysis. RESULTS: The results show a decreasing trend in both CHC prevalence and undiagnosed proportion in BC, Ontario and Quebec. In 2018, CHC prevalence was estimated to be 1.23% (95% CI: .96%-1.62%), .91% (95% CI: .82%-1.04%) and .57% (95% CI: .51%-.64%) in BC, Ontario and Quebec respectively. The CHC undiagnosed proportion was assessed to be 35.44% (95% CI: 27.07%-45.83%), 34.28% (95% CI: 26.74%-41.62%) and 46.32% (95% CI: 37.85%-52.80%) in BC, Ontario and Quebec, respectively, in 2018. Also, since the introduction of new DAA treatment in 2014, CHC prevalence decreased from 1.39% to 1.23%, .97% to .91% and .65% to .57% in BC, Ontario and Quebec respectively. Similarly, the CHC undiagnosed proportion decreased from 38.78% to 35.44%, 38.70% to 34.28% and 47.54% to 46.32% in BC, Ontario and Quebec, respectively, from 2014 to 2018. CONCLUSIONS: We estimated that the CHC prevalence and undiagnosed proportion have declined for all three provinces since the new DAA treatment has been approved in 2014. Yet, our findings show that a significant proportion of HCV cases remain undiagnosed across all provinces highlighting the need to increase investment in screening. Our findings provide essential evidence to guide decisions about current and future HCV strategies and help achieve the WHO goal of eliminating hepatitis C in Canada by 2030.
Subject(s)
Antiviral Agents , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Hepatitis C, Chronic , Humans , Hepatitis C, Chronic/epidemiology , Hepatitis C, Chronic/drug therapy , Hepatitis C, Chronic/diagnosis , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Prevalence , Male , Female , Retrospective Studies , Middle Aged , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Aged , Adult , Quebec/epidemiology , Ontario/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , British Columbia/epidemiology , Liver Cirrhosis/epidemiology , IncidenceABSTRACT
We propose a multivariate GARCH model for non-stationary health time series by modifying the observation-level variance of the standard state space model. The proposed model provides an intuitive and novel way of dealing with heteroskedastic data using the conditional nature of state-space models. We follow the Bayesian paradigm to perform the inference procedure. In particular, we use Markov chain Monte Carlo methods to obtain samples from the resultant posterior distribution. We use the forward filtering backward sampling algorithm to efficiently obtain samples from the posterior distribution of the latent state. The proposed model also handles missing data in a fully Bayesian fashion. We validate our model on synthetic data and analyze a data set obtained from an intensive care unit in a Montreal hospital and the MIMIC dataset. We further show that our proposed models offer better performance, in terms of WAIC than standard state space models. The proposed model provides a new way to model multivariate heteroskedastic non-stationary time series data. Model comparison can then be easily performed using the WAIC.
Subject(s)
Bayes Theorem , Critical Care , Intensive Care Units , Markov Chains , Models, Statistical , Monte Carlo Method , Humans , Multivariate Analysis , Critical Care/statistics & numerical data , Critical Care/methods , Algorithms , Computer Simulation , QuebecABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: This study aims to describe the characteristics of patients with a pelvic fracture treated at a level 1 trauma center, the proportion of prehospital undertriage and the use of pelvic circumferential compression device (PCCD). METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study. Prehospital and inhospital medical records of adults (≥16 y old) with a pelvic fracture who were treated at Hopital de l'Enfant-Jesus-CHU de Québec (Quebec City, Canada), a university-affiliated level 1 trauma center, between September 01, 2017 and September 01, 2021 were reviewed. Isolated hip or pubic ramus fracture were excluded. Data are presented using proportions and means with standard deviations. RESULTS: A total of 228 patients were included (males: 62.3%; mean age: 54.6 [standard deviation 21.1]). Motor vehicle collision (47.4%) was the main mechanism of injury followed by high-level fall (21.5%). Approximately a third (34.2%) needed at least one blood transfusion. Compared to those admitted directly, transferred patients were more likely to be male (73.0% versus 51.3%, P < 0.001) and to have a surgical procedure performed at the trauma center (71.3% versus 46.9%, P < 0.001). The proportion of prehospital undertriage was 22.6%. Overall, 17.1% had an open-book fracture and would have potentially benefited from a prehospital PCCD. Forty-six transferred patients had a PCCD applied at the referral hospital of which 26.1% needed adjustment. CONCLUSIONS: Pelvic fractures are challenging to identify in the prehospital environment and are associated with a high undertriage of 22.6%. Reducing undertriage and optimizing the use of PCCD are key opportunities to improve care of patients with a pelvic fracture.
Subject(s)
Emergency Medical Services , Emergency Service, Hospital , Fractures, Bone , Pelvic Bones , Humans , Male , Female , Pelvic Bones/injuries , Retrospective Studies , Fractures, Bone/therapy , Middle Aged , Adult , Aged , Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data , Emergency Medical Services/statistics & numerical data , Triage/statistics & numerical data , Triage/methods , Trauma Centers/statistics & numerical data , Quebec/epidemiology , Young AdultABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Since the implementation of medical assistance in dying (MAiD), deceased organ donation after MAiD has been possible in Quebec. We sought to describe organ donations after MAiD in the first 5 years after this practice was implemented in Quebec. METHODS: We reviewed all cases referred for donation after MAiD from January 2018 to December 2022. We presented all data descriptively with no comparison statistics. RESULTS: Transplant Québec received 245 referrals for donation after MAiD, of which 82 were retained (33.5%). Of the 163 nonretained referrals, 152 (93.2%) had a recorded reason, including 91 (55.8%) for medical unsuitability on initial screen (e.g., organ dysfunction, medical history), 34 (20.8%) for patient refusal and 21 (12.9%) instances where patients withdrew from the MAiD process entirely. Six patients died before MAiD. Eighteen of the 82 retained cases were cancelled later in the process, almost all (n = 17, 94.4%) because of medical contraindication discovered during detailed donor evaluation. Sixty-four patients became actual donors after MAiD, increasing from 8 in 2018 to 24 in 2022. The total conversion rate from referral to an actual donor was 26.1% (64/245). A total of 182 organs (116 kidneys, 20 livers and 46 lungs) were transplanted after MAiD. During the study period, MAiD donors represented 8.0% (64/803) of total deceased donors, increasing from 4.9% (8/164) in 2018 to 14.0% (24/171) in 2022. INTERPRETATION: These data describe a substantial increase in deceased donation after MAiD in the first 5 years of implementation in Quebec. Future studies should focus on how to optimize systems to ensure these requests are treated in the most ethical and medically effective way.
Subject(s)
Suicide, Assisted , Tissue and Organ Procurement , Humans , Canada , Death , Quebec , Referral and Consultation , Tissue DonorsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Whether Inuit in Canada experience disparities in lung cancer survival remains unknown. When requiring investigation and treatment for lung cancer, all residents of Nunavik, the Inuit homeland in Quebec, are sent to the McGill University Health Centre (MUHC), in Montréal. We sought to compare survival among patients with lung cancer at the MUHC, who were residents of Nunavik and Montréal, Quebec, respectively. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study. Using lung cancer registry data, we identified Nunavik residents with histologically confirmed lung cancer diagnosed between 2005 and 2017. We aimed to match 2 Montréal residents to each Nunavik resident on sex, age, calendar year of diagnosis, and histology (non-small cell lung cancer v. small cell lung cancer). We reviewed medical records for data on additional patient characteristics and treatment, and obtained vital status from a provincial registry. We compared survival using Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: We included 95 residents of Nunavik and 185 residents of Montréal. For non-small cell lung cancer, median survival times were 321 (95% confidence interval [CI] 184-626) days for Nunavik (n = 71) and 720 (95% CI 536-1208) days for Montréal residents (n = 141). For small cell lung cancer, median survival times were 190 (95% CI 159-308) days for Nunavik (n = 24) and 270 (95% CI 194-766) days for Montréal residents (n = 44). Adjusting for matching variables, stage, performance status, and comorbidity, Nunavik residents had a higher hazard of death (hazard ratio 1.68, 95% CI 1.17-2.41). INTERPRETATION: Nunavik residents experience disparities in survival after lung cancer diagnosis. Although studies in other Inuit Nunangat regions are needed, our findings point to an urgent need to ensure that interventions aimed at improving lung cancer survival, including lung cancer screening, are accessible to Inuit Nunangat residents.
Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung , Lung Neoplasms , Small Cell Lung Carcinoma , Humans , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/therapy , Retrospective Studies , Lung Neoplasms/epidemiology , Small Cell Lung Carcinoma/therapy , Early Detection of Cancer , Cohort Studies , Quebec/epidemiologyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Health administrative databases play a crucial role in population-level multimorbidity surveillance. Determining the appropriate retrospective or lookback period (LP) for observing prevalent and newly diagnosed diseases in administrative data presents challenge in estimating multimorbidity prevalence and predicting health outcome. The aim of this population-based study was to assess the impact of LP on multimorbidity prevalence and health outcomes prediction across three multimorbidity definitions, three lists of diseases used for multimorbidity assessment, and six health outcomes. METHODS: We conducted a population-based study including all individuals ages > 65 years on April 1st, 2019, in Québec, Canada. We considered three lists of diseases labeled according to the number of chronic conditions it considered: (1) L60 included 60 chronic conditions from the International Classification of Diseases (ICD); (2) L20 included a core of 20 chronic conditions; and (3) L31 included 31 chronic conditions from the Charlson and Elixhauser indices. For each list, we: (1) measured multimorbidity prevalence for three multimorbidity definitions (at least two [MM2+], three [MM3+] or four (MM4+) chronic conditions); and (2) evaluated capacity (c-statistic) to predict 1-year outcomes (mortality, hospitalisation, polypharmacy, and general practitioner, specialist, or emergency department visits) using LPs ranging from 1 to 20 years. RESULTS: Increase in multimorbidity prevalence decelerated after 5-10 years (e.g., MM2+, L31: LP = 1y: 14%, LP = 10y: 58%, LP = 20y: 69%). Within the 5-10 years LP range, predictive performance was better for L20 than L60 (e.g., LP = 7y, mortality, MM3+: L20 [0.798;95%CI:0.797-0.800] vs. L60 [0.779; 95%CI:0.777-0.781]) and typically better for MM3 + and MM4 + definitions (e.g., LP = 7y, mortality, L60: MM4+ [0.788;95%CI:0.786-0.790] vs. MM2+ [0.768;95%CI:0.766-0.770]). CONCLUSIONS: In our databases, ten years of data was required for stable estimation of multimorbidity prevalence. Within that range, the L20 and multimorbidity definitions MM3 + or MM4 + reached maximal predictive performance.
Subject(s)
Multimorbidity , Humans , Aged , Female , Male , Prevalence , Chronic Disease/epidemiology , Aged, 80 and over , Quebec/epidemiology , Databases, Factual/statistics & numerical data , Retrospective Studies , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Outcome Assessment, Health Care/statistics & numerical data , Outcome Assessment, Health Care/methodsABSTRACT
The global increase in wildfires, primarily driven by climate change, significantly affects air quality and health. Wildfire-emitted particulate matter (WFPM) is linked to adverse health effects, yet the toxicological mechanisms are not fully understood given its physicochemical complexity and the lack of spatiotemporal exposure data. This study focuses on the physicochemical characterization of WFPM from a Canadian wildfire in June 2023, which affected over 100 million people in the US Northeast, particularly around New Jersey/New York. Aerosol systems were deployed to characterize WFPM during the 3 day event, revealing unprecedented mass concentrations mainly in the WFPM0.1 and WFPM0.1-2.5 size fractions. Peak WFPM2.5 concentrations reached 317 µg/m3, nearly 10 times the National Ambient Air Quality Standard (NAAQS) 24 h average limit. Chemical analysis showed a high organic-to-total carbon ratio (96%), consistent with brown carbon wildfires nanoparticles. Large concentrations of high-molecular-weight PAHs were found predominantly bound to WFPM0.1, with retene, a molecular marker of biomass burning and a known teratogen, being the most abundant (>70%). Computational modeling estimated a total lung deposition of 9.15 mg over 72 h, highlighting the health risks of WFPM, particularly due to its long-distance travel capability and impact on densely populated areas.
Subject(s)
Particulate Matter , Wildfires , New Jersey , Particulate Matter/analysis , New York City , Air Pollutants/analysis , Environmental Monitoring , Quebec , Air Pollution , Canada , Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons/analysisABSTRACT
Infections in the first trimester of pregnancy can be teratogenic, but the possibility that Covid-19 could lead to birth defects is unclear. We examined whether SARS-CoV-2 infection during pregnancy or exposure to pandemic conditions were associated with the risk of congenital anomalies. We carried out a retrospective study of 420,222 neonates born in Quebec, Canada in two time periods: prepandemic (January 1, 2017 to March 12, 2020) vs. pandemic (March 13, 2020 to March 31, 2022). We classified pandemic births as early (first trimester completed before the pandemic) or late (first trimester during the pandemic), and identified patients with SARS-CoV-2 infections during pregnancy. We applied (1) adjusted log-binomial regression models to assess the association between SARS-CoV-2 infection and congenital anomalies, and (2) autoregressive interrupted time series regression to analyze temporal trends in the monthly number of defects in all patients regardless of infection. In total, 29,263 newborns (7.0%) had a congenital anomaly. First trimester SARS-CoV-2 infections were not associated with a greater risk of birth defects compared with no infection (RR 1.07, 95% CI 0.59-1.95). However, births during the late pandemic period were more likely to be diagnosed with congenital microcephaly compared with prepandemic births (RR 1.44, 95% CI 1.21-1.71). Interrupted time series analysis confirmed that the frequency of microcephaly increased during the late pandemic period, whereas other anomalies did not. We conclude that Covid-19 is likely not teratogenic, but enhanced surveillance of anomalies among late pandemic births may have heightened the detection of infants with microcephaly.
Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Congenital Abnormalities , Pregnancy Complications, Infectious , SARS-CoV-2 , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Pregnancy , Female , Congenital Abnormalities/epidemiology , Pregnancy Complications, Infectious/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Infant, Newborn , Quebec/epidemiology , Pregnancy Trimester, First , Adult , Pandemics , MaleABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: Some studies have found hot temperatures to be associated with exacerbations of schizophrenia, namely psychoses. As climate changes faster in Northern countries, our understanding of the association between temperature and hospital admissions (HA) for psychosis needs to be deepened. OBJECTIVES: 1) Among adults diagnosed with schizophrenia, measure the relationship between mean temperatures and HAs for psychosis during summer. 2) Determine the influence of individual and ecological characteristics on this relationship. METHODS: A cohort of adults diagnosed with schizophrenia (n = 30,649) was assembled using Quebec's Integrated Chronic Disease Surveillance System (QICDSS). The follow-up spanned summers from 2001 to 2019, using hospital data from the QICDSS and meteorological data from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA) Daymet database. In four geographic regions of the province of Quebec, a conditional logistic regression was used for the case-crossover analysis of the relationship between mean temperatures (at lags up to 6 days) and HAs for psychosis using a distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM). The analyses were adjusted for relative humidity, stratified according to individual (age, sex, and comorbidities) and ecological (material and social deprivation index and exposure to green space) factors, and then pooled through a meta-regression. RESULTS: The statistical analyses revealed a statistically significant increase in HAs three days (lag 3) after elevated mean temperatures corresponding to the 90th percentile relative to a minimum morbidity temperature (MMT) (OR 1.040; 95% CI 1.008-1.074), while the cumulative effect over six days was not statistically significant (OR 1.052; 95% IC 0.993-1.114). Stratified analyses revealed non statistically significant gradients of increasing HAs relative to increasing material deprivation and decreasing green space levels. CONCLUSIONS: The statistical analyses conducted in this project showed the pattern of admissions for psychosis after hot days. This finding could be useful to better plan health services in a rapidly changing climate.
Subject(s)
Psychotic Disorders , Schizophrenia , Adult , Humans , Schizophrenia/epidemiology , Hot Temperature , Quebec/epidemiology , Cross-Over Studies , Psychotic Disorders/epidemiology , Temperature , HospitalsABSTRACT
Ambient air pollution has been associated with asthma onset and exacerbation in children. Whether improvement in air quality due to reduced industrial emissions has resulted in improved health outcomes such as asthma in some localities has usually been assessed indirectly with studies on between-subject comparisons of air pollution from all sources and health outcomes. In this study we directly assessed, within small areas in the province of Quebec (Canada), the influence of changes in local industrial fine particulate matter (PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and sulfur dioxide (SO2) concentrations, on changes in annual asthma onset rates in children (≤12 years old) with a longitudinal ecological design. We identified the yearly number of new cases of childhood asthma in 1282 small areas (census tracts or local community service centers) for the years 2002, 2004, 2005, 2006, and 2015. Annual average concentrations of industrial air pollutants for each of the geographic areas, and three sectors (i.e., pulp and paper mills, petroleum refineries, and metal smelters) were estimated by the Polair3D chemical transport model. Fixed-effects negative binomial models adjusted for household income were used to assess associations; additional adjustments for environmental tobacco smoke, background pollutant concentrations, vegetation coverage, and sociodemographic characteristics were conducted in sensitivity analyses. The incidence rate ratios (IRR) for childhood asthma onset for the interquartile increase in total industrial PM2.5, NO2, and SO2 were 1.016 (95% confidence interval, CI: 1.006-1.026), 1.063 (1.045-1.090), and 1.048 (1.031-1.080), respectively. Positive associations were also found with pollutant concentrations from most individual sectors. Results suggest that changes in industrial pollutant concentrations influence childhood asthma onset rates in small localities.
Subject(s)
Air Pollutants , Air Pollution , Asthma , Environmental Pollutants , Child , Humans , Quebec/epidemiology , Nitrogen Dioxide/analysis , Environmental Exposure/analysis , Air Pollution/analysis , Asthma/chemically induced , Asthma/epidemiology , Air Pollutants/toxicity , Air Pollutants/analysis , Canada , Particulate Matter/toxicity , Particulate Matter/analysis , Environmental Pollutants/analysisABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: As climate change increases the frequency and intensity of extreme heat events, there is an urgent need to quantify the heat-related health burden. However, most past studies have focussed on a single health outcome (mainly mortality) or on specific heatwaves, thus providing limited knowledge of the total pressure heat exerts on health services. OBJECTIVES: This study aims to quantify the heat-related mortality and morbidity burden for five different health outcomes including all-cause mortality, hospitalizations, emergency department (ED) visits, ambulance transports and calls to a health hotline, using the province of Quebec (Canada) as a case study. METHODS: A two-step statistical analysis was employed to estimate regional heat-health relationships using Distributed Lag Non-Linear Models (DLNM) and pooled estimates using a multivariate meta-regression. Heat burden was quantified by attributable fraction (AF) and attributable number (AN) for two temperature ranges: all heat (above the minimum mortality/morbidity temperature) and extreme heat (above the 95th percentile of temperature). RESULTS: Higher temperatures were associated with greater risk ratios for all health outcomes studied, but at different levels. Significant AF ranging from 2 to 3% for the all heat effect and 0.4-1.0% for extreme heat were found for all health outcomes, except for hospitalizations that had an AF of 0.1% for both heat exposures. The estimated burden of all heat (and extreme heat) every summer across the province was 470 (200) deaths, 225 (170) hospitalizations, 36 000 (6 200) ED visits, 7 200 (1 500) ambulance transports and 15 000 (3 300) calls to a health hotline, all figures significant. DISCUSSION: This new knowledge on the total heat load will help public health authorities to target appropriate actions to reduce its burden now and in the future. The proposed state-of-the-art framework can easily be applied to other regions also experiencing the adverse effects of extreme heat.
Subject(s)
Hospitalization , Hot Temperature , Quebec/epidemiology , Humans , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Hot Temperature/adverse effects , Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data , Heat Stress Disorders/mortality , Heat Stress Disorders/epidemiology , Morbidity , Extreme Heat/adverse effects , Mortality/trends , AgedABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Because health resources are limited, health programs should be compared to allow the most efficient ones to emerge. To that aim, health utility instruments have been developed to allow the calculation of quality-adjusted life-year (QALY). However, generic instruments, which can be used by any individual regardless of their health profile, typically consider the preferences of the general population when developing their value set. Consequently, they are often criticized for lacking sensitivity in certain domains, such as cancer. In response, the latest version of the Short Form 6-Dimension (SF-6Dv2) has been adapted to suit the preferences of patients with breast or colorectal cancer in the Canadian province of Quebec. By extension, our study's aim was to determine cancer population norms of utility among patients with breast or colorectal cancer in Quebec using the SF-6Dv2. METHOD: To determine the cancer population norms, we exploited the data that were used in the development of a new value set for the SF-6Dv2. This value set was developed considering the preferences of patients with breast or colorectal cancer. Stratification by time of data collection (i.e., T1 and T2), sociodemographic variables (i.e., age, sex, body mass index, and self-reported health problems affecting quality of life), and clinical aspects (i.e., cancer site, histopathological classification, cancer stage at diagnosis, modality, and treatment characteristics) was performed. RESULTS: In 353 observations, patients were more likely to have negative utility scores at T1 than at T2. Males had higher mean utility scores than females considering type of cancer and comorbidities. Considering the SF-6Dv2's dimensions, more females than males reported having health issues, most which concerned physical functioning. Significant differences by sex surfaced for all dimensions except "Role Limitation" and "Mental health." Patients with multifocal cancer had the highest mean and median utility values in all cancer sites considered. CONCLUSION: Cancer population norms can serve as a baseline for interpreting the scores obtained by a given population in comparison to the situation of another group. In this way, our results can assist in comparing utility scores among cancer patients with different sociodemographic groups to other patients/populations groups. To our knowledge, our identified utility norms are the first for patients with breast or colorectal cancer from Quebec.
Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms , Colorectal Neoplasms , Humans , Quebec , Female , Colorectal Neoplasms/psychology , Male , Middle Aged , Aged , Breast Neoplasms/psychology , Surveys and Questionnaires , Adult , Quality of Life , Patient Preference/psychology , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Psychometrics , Health Status , Aged, 80 and overABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Low-carbohydrate-diets (LCDs) are gaining popularity in individuals with type 1 diabetes (T1D). However, the impact of such diets on glycemia and cardiovascular risk factors is debated. This study aims to evaluate associations between low-carbohydrate intakes using LCD score with glycemia and cardiovascular risk factors (lipid profile) in adults with T1D or LADA in Québec, Canada. METHODS AND RESULTS: This is a cross-sectional study using data collected in the BETTER registry (02/2019 and 04/2021) including self-reported 24-h dietary recalls to calculate LCD scores, waist circumference, level-2 and level-3 hypoglycemic episodes and measured biochemical data (HbA1c, LDL-cholesterol and non-HDL-cholesterol). Participants were divided into quartiles (Q) based on LCD scores. Two hundred eighty-five adults (aged 48.2 ± 15.0 years; T1D duration 25.9 ± 16.2 years) were included. Categorical variables underwent Chi-squared/Fisher's Exact tests, while continuous variables underwent ANOVA tests. Mean carbohydrate intake ranged from 31.2 ± 6.9% (Q1) to 56.5 ± 6.8% (Q4) of total daily energy. Compared to Q4, more people in Q1 reported HbA1c ≤ 7% [≤53.0 mmol/mol] (Q1: 53.4% vs. Q4: 29.4%; P = 0.011). The same results were found in the models adjusted for age, sex and T1D duration. A greater proportion of participants in Q1 never experienced level-3 hypoglycemia compared to Q3 (Q1: 60.0% vs. Q3: 31.0%; P = 0.004). There were no differences across quartiles for frequency of level-2 hypoglycemia events and lipid profile (LDL-cholesterol and non-HDL-cholesterol). CONCLUSIONS: Low-carbohydrate intakes are associated with higher probabilities of reaching HbA1c target and of never having experienced level-3 hypoglycemia. No associations with level-2 hypoglycemia frequency, nor cardiovascular risk factors were observed.
Subject(s)
Biomarkers , Blood Glucose , Cardiovascular Diseases , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1 , Diet, Carbohydrate-Restricted , Glycemic Control , Heart Disease Risk Factors , Humans , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1/blood , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1/diagnosis , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1/complications , Male , Female , Cross-Sectional Studies , Middle Aged , Adult , Blood Glucose/metabolism , Diet, Carbohydrate-Restricted/adverse effects , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Cardiovascular Diseases/diagnosis , Cardiovascular Diseases/prevention & control , Cardiovascular Diseases/blood , Cardiovascular Diseases/etiology , Biomarkers/blood , Risk Assessment , Quebec/epidemiology , Registries , Glycated Hemoglobin/metabolism , Lipids/blood , Treatment Outcome , Nutritive ValueABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: The overall aim of this study was to understand the experiences and perspectives of immigrant Muslim women in Quebec living with mental illness, who have recently used formal mental health services such as an accredited therapist, psychologist, or clinician. Specific objectives included (i) eliciting and examining their self-identified barriers and facilitators to recovery; (ii) exploring links between religion and mental health; and (iii) self-reported satisfaction with mental health services received. METHODS: We adopted a qualitative approach, facilitating the prioritization of participant perspectives. This involved semi-structured interviews with 20 women who (i) identified as Muslim; (ii) had used mental health services in the last three years; and (iii) were 18 + years of age. Interviews were transcribed and analyzed using thematic analysis techniques. RESULTS: Three prominent themes emerged from the analysis. These themes were (i) stigma and misunderstandings in families (especially parents) and sometimes in the ethno-religious community, both acting as barriers to health service utilization and recovery; (ii) frustrating clinical experiences within formal mental health care settings, in particular a perceived lack of cultural and religious competence, which negatively affected service utilization and the development of a therapeutic alliance; and (iii) deeply-held religious beliefs, practices and trust in God imparting a rhythm, purpose and meaning, which were strong facilitators to recovery. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE: These findings suggest that recovery from mental illness can be advanced by a three-pronged approach in this population. First, anti-stigma mental health literacy interventions could be held in collaboration with Muslim community groups. Second, there is a need for further religious and cultural competence interventions, resources and trainings for mental health professionals working with Muslims. Third, self-care resources should be developed that harness aspects of religious practices that can give structure, meaning, purpose and hope. All this could ultimately foster recovery in this population.