An objective way to predict remission and relapse in Cushing disease using Bayes' theorem of probability.

OBJECTIVE: In this study on patients with Cushing disease, post-transsphenoidal surgery (TSS), we attempt to predict the probability of remaining in remission, at least for a year and relapse after that, using Bayes' theorem and the equation of conditional probability. The number of parameters, as well as the weightage of each, is incorporated in this equation. DESIGN AND METHODS: The study design was a single-centre ambispective study. Ten clinical, biochemical, radiological and histopathological parameters capable of predicting Cushing disease remission were identified. The presence or absence of each parameter was entered as binary numbers. Bayes' theorem was applied, and each patient's probability of remission and relapse was calculated. RESULTS: A total of 145 patients were included in the study. ROC plot showed a cut-off value of the probability of 0.68, with a sensitivity of 82% (range 73-89%) and a specificity of 94% (range 83-99%) to predict the probability of remission. Eighty-one patients who were in remission at 1 year were followed up for relapse and 23 patients developed relapse of the disease. The Bayes' equation was able to predict relapse in only 3 out of 23 patients. CONCLUSIONS: Using various parameters, remission of Cushing disease can be predicted by applying Bayes' theorem of conditional probability with a sensitivity and a specificity of 82% and 94%, respectively. This study provided an objective way of predicting remission after TSS and relapse in patients with Cushing disease giving a weightage advantage to every parameter.

Remission in Cushing's disease is predicted by cortisol burden and its withdrawal following pituitary surgery.

AIM: To ascertain the predictors of remission and relapse in patients of Cushing's disease (CD) undergoing pituitary transsphenoidal surgery (TSS). METHODS: Patients with CD subjected to TSS over 35 years at a tertiary care center were included. Patients were grouped into remission and persistent disease at 1 year after surgery, and were further followed up for relapse. Demographic, clinical, biochemical, histological, radiological and post-operative follow-up parameters were analyzed. RESULTS: Of the 152 patients of CD, 145 underwent TSS. Remission was achieved in 95 (65.5%) patients at 1 year. Patients in remission had shorter duration of symptoms prior to presentation (p = 0.009), more frequent presence of proximal myopathy (p = 0.038) and a tumor size of < 2.05 cm (p = 0.016) in comparison to those with persistent disease. Post-TSS, immediate post-operative 0800-h cortisol (< 159.85 nmol/L; p = 0.001), histological confirmation of tumor (p = 0.045), duration of glucocorticoid replacement (median 90 days; p = 0.001), non-visualization of tumor on MRI (p = 0.003), new-onset hypogonadism (p = 0.001), 3-month 0800-h cortisol (< 384.9 nmol/L; p = 0.001), resolution of diabetes (p = 0.001) and hypertension (p = 0.001), and recovery of hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal axis (p = 0.018) favored remission. In logistic regression model, requirement of glucocorticoid replacement (p = 0.033), and resolution of hypertension post-TSS (p = 0.003) predicted remission. None of the parameters could predict relapse. CONCLUSION: The study could ascertain the predictors of remission in CD. Apart from the tumor characteristics, surgical aspects and low post-operative 0800-h cortisol, the results suggest that baseline clinical parameters, longer glucocorticoid replacement, and resolution of metabolic complications post-TSS predict remission in CD. Long-term follow-up is essential to look for relapse.

Prospective Phase II Study of Radiotherapy Dose Escalation in Grade 4 Glioma Using 68Ga-Pentixafor PET Scan.

AIMS: Local failure remains the major concern in grade 4 glioma or glioblastoma (GBM). Pilot studies have shown a radiotherapy (RT) dose-response relationship in GBM. Here we present our preliminary data of RT dose escalation using 68Ga-Pentixafor PET scan. High 68Ga-pentixafor uptake in glioma cells helps in sharp demarcation between tumour and normal brain. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This phase II prospective study was conducted from 2018 to 2020. Thirty, biopsy-proven cases of grade 4 glioma were included. All patients underwent post-operative MRI of the brain and 68Ga-Pentixafor PET scan. RT was planned in 2-phases. Phase-1 GTV (GTV1) comprised of T2/flair abnormality, PET-avid disease and post-op cavity. A margin of 2cm was given to GTV-1 to create phase-1 CTV (CTV1), which was further expanded to 0.5cm to generate phase-1 PTV (PTV1). A radiation dose of 46Gy/23fr was prescribed to PTV-1. Phase-2 GTV (GTV2) consisted of CT/MRI contrast-enhancing lesion, PET avid disease and post-op cavity. A margin of 0.5 cm was given to GTV2 to create phase-2 CTV (CTV2) which was expanded to 0.5 cm to create phase-2 PTV (PTV2). RT dose of 14 Gy/7 fr was prescribed to PTV2. PET avid disease was delineated as GTV PET and a margin of 3mm was given to generate PTV-PET which received escalated RT dose of 21 Gy/7fr by simultaneous integrated boost (SIB) in phase 2 (Total dose to PTV PET = 67 Gy/30 fr). All patients received concurrent and adjuvant temozolomide. The data was prospectively maintained in Microsoft Excel sheet. SPSS v 23 was used for statistical analysis. The primary endpoints were estimation of the overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS), and secondary endpoint was to measure the incidence of radiation necrosis. Categorical variables were reported as frequency and percentage and quantitative variables were reported as median and range. RESULTS: Data from thirty patients were analysed. A median OS of 23 months was observed with estimated 1, 2 and 3 years OS of 90%, 40% and 17.8% respectively. A significant association of OS was seen with the extent of surgery (p = 0.04) and kernofsky performance status (p = 0.007). No patient developed significant radiation necrosis. CONCLUSIONS: The index study did not show any survival benefit from dose escalation RT. However, all of the patients tolerated the treatment well and none of them developed radiation necrosis. Considering the small sample size as a limitation of the index study, the role of 68Ga-pentixafor PET scan for radiation dose escalation should be further explored. CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: CTRI/2019/05/019146.

Embryonal tumors with multilayered rosettes: A tertiary care centre experience.

BACKGROUND: Embryonal tumors with multilayered rosettes (ETMR) is an extremely rare and highly aggressive tumor. It includes three distinct entities i.e, embryonal tumor with abundant neuropil and true rosettes (ETANTR), ependymoblastoma (EBL) and medulloepithelioma (MEPL). Here, we present our institutional experience of seven ETMR cases treated over a period of five years. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients' records from 2015 to 2019 were reviewed manually and electronically to retrieve the data. Clinicopathological and outcome details of ETMR cases were entered in a predesigned proforma. RESULTS: A total of seven cases of ETMR were registered from 2015 to 2019 with a median age at presentation of four years (range 3-7 years). All patients underwent surgery. However, only three patients completed the planned adjuvant treatment, comprising of focal radiotherapy (RT) alone, craniospinal irradiation (CSI) alone and CSI followed by six cycles of chemotherapy in one patient each respectively. Two patients commenced CSI but deteriorated during RT and thereafter needed best supportive care. Two patients could not be started on any adjuvant treatment. Unfortunately, six patients succumbed to their disease within one year of their diagnosis. Only one patient who received both CSI and adjuvant chemotherapy is alive at 15 months of diagnosis. CONCLUSION: ETMR is a rare and aggressive entity. Majority of the patients die within one year of the diagnosis despite multimodality treatment.

Cirsoid aneurysm of the right pre-auricular region: an unusual cause of tinnitus managed by endovascular glue embolisation.

OBJECTIVE: We report an interesting case of a right temporal pre-auricular arteriovenous fistula (cirsoid aneurysm) causing intractable tinnitus successfully managed by transarterial n-butyl cyanoacrylate glue embolisation. CASE REPORT: A 52-year-old female presented with a one-year history of tinnitus and pulsatile swelling in the right pre-auricular region. A colour Doppler ultrasound test and magnetic resonance angiography revealed a high-flow scalp arteriovenous fistula with a feeder vessel from the distal superficial temporal artery, which drained into the corresponding, dilated, tortuous vein. The patient underwent diagnostic digital subtraction angiography. This was followed by transarterial embolisation of the fistula using a 50 per cent mixture of n-butyl cyanoacrylate glue and Lipiodol®, with manual distal venous occlusion. A successful outcome was achieved with instant relief of symptoms. CONCLUSION: Cirsoid aneurysms of the facial region, an uncommon cause of tinnitus, can be effectively managed by endovascular embolisation. This treatment obviates the need for surgery, which is associated with an increased risk of complications such as scarring, deformity and bleeding.