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BACKGROUND: Evidence is lacking regarding long-term patterns of change in Life's Essential 8 (LE8) and their association with the risk of stroke. We aim to evaluate LE8 trajectories and examine their association with the risk of stroke in China. METHODS: This study, conducted in a workplace setting, recruited 26 719 participants (average age, 46.02±11.27 years and a male population of 73.73%) who had no history of stroke and consecutively participated in 6 surveys from 2006 to 2016. Repeated LE8 measurements were determined by taking the unweighted average of the 8 component scores ranging from 0 to 100. People with higher scores had better overall cardiovascular health. By examining the medical records of the participants, stroke cases were identified for the period from 2016 to 2020. A latent mixture model was applied to classify the trajectory clusters of LE8 from 2006 to 2016, and Cox proportional hazard models were used to analyze the data. RESULTS: Five LE8 trajectories were detected between 2006 and 2016. Four hundred ninety-eight incident strokes including 55 (11.04%) hemorrhagic and 458 (91.97%) ischemic strokes were documented. After adjusting for covariates, the hazard ratios and 95% CIs for the association between stable-low, moderate-increasing, moderate-stable, and high-stable trajectories and incident stroke, compared with the moderate-decreasing trajectory, were 1.42 (1.11-1.84), 0.73 (0.56-0.96), 0.49 (0.39-0.62), and 0.19 (0.11-0.32), respectively. Individuals with high LE8 status (LE8≥80) exhibited a significantly reduced risk of stroke compared with those with low one (LE8≤49; P-trend <0.001). A faster annual growth in LE8 was related to a lower risk of stroke. CONCLUSIONS: Maintaining high LE8 over an extended period and high baseline LE8 status were related to a decreased risk of stroke. Despite the initial low level of LE8, improvement in LE8 attenuates or even reverses the risk of stroke.
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Accidente Cerebrovascular , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Femenino , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , Estudios Prospectivos , Adulto , Factores de Riesgo , China/epidemiología , Estudios de Cohortes , Anciano , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The relationship between variation in serum uric acid (SUA) levels and brain health is largely unknown. This study aimed to examine the associations of long-term variability in SUA levels with neuroimaging metrics and cognitive function. METHODS: This study recruited 1111 participants aged 25-83 years from a multicenter, community-based cohort study. The SUA concentrations were measured every two years from 2006 to 2018. We measured the intraindividual SUA variability, including the direction and magnitude of change by calculating the slope value. The associations of SUA variability with neuroimaging markers (brain macrostructural volume, microstructural integrity, white matter hyperintensity, and the presence of cerebral small vessel disease) and cognitive function were examined using generalized linear models. Mediation analyses were performed to assess whether neuroimaging markers mediate the relationship between SUA variation and cognitive function. RESULTS: Compared with the stable group, subjects with increased or decreased SUA levels were all featured by smaller brain white matter volume (beta = - 0.25, 95% confidence interval [CI] - 0.39 to - 0.11 and beta = - 0.15, 95% CI - 0.29 to - 0.02). Participants with progressively increased SUA exhibited widespread disrupted microstructural integrity, featured by lower global fractional anisotropy (beta = - 0.24, 95% CI - 0.38 to - 0.10), higher mean diffusivity (beta = 0.16, 95% CI 0.04 to 0.28) and radial diffusivity (beta = 0.19, 95% CI 0.06 to 0.31). Elevated SUA was also associated with cognitive decline (beta = - 0.18, 95% CI - 0.32 to - 0.04). White matter atrophy and impaired brain microstructural integrity mediated the impact of SUA increase on cognitive decline. CONCLUSIONS: It is the magnitude of SUA variation rather than the direction that plays a critical negative role in brain health, especially for participants with hyperuricemia. Smaller brain white matter volume and impaired microstructural integrity mediate the relationship between increased SUA level and cognitive function decline. Long-term stability of SUA level is recommended for maintaining brain health and preventing cognitive decline.
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Disfunción Cognitiva , Neuroimagen , Ácido Úrico , Humanos , Anciano , Masculino , Disfunción Cognitiva/sangre , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Ácido Úrico/sangre , Neuroimagen/métodos , Estudios de Cohortes , Adulto , Encéfalo/diagnóstico por imagen , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética/métodos , Sustancia Blanca/diagnóstico por imagen , Sustancia Blanca/patologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Converging data have suggested that monocytic inflammation and C-reactive protein (CRP) are biologically intertwined processes and are involved in diabetogenesis. This study aimed to investigate the association between systemic inflammation assessed by joint cumulative high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (CumCRP) and monocyte to high-density lipoprotein ratio (CumMHR) and incident type 2 diabetes (T2D) and their predictive value for T2D in a general population. METHODS: A total of 40,813 nondiabetic participants from a prospective real-life cohort (Kailuan Study, China) were followed biennially from 2010/2011 until December 31, 2020. Multivariable Cox regression analyses were conducted to evaluate the adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) of incident diabetes. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 7.98 (IQR: 5.74-8.87) years, 4848 T2D cases developed. CumMHR and CumCRP were alone or jointly associated with incident T2D after adjusting for potential confounders. Elevated CumMHR levels significantly increased the risk of incident diabetes in each CumCRP strata (P-interaction: 0.0278). Participants with concomitant elevations in CumMHR and CumCRP levels had the highest risk (aHR: 1.71, 95% CI 1.52-1.91) compared to both in the low strata. Notably, the coexposure-associated T2D risk was modified by age, sex, hypertension, dyslipidemia, and prediabetes status. C-statistics increased from 0.7377 to 0.7417 when CumMHR and CumCRP were added into the multivariable-adjusted model, with a net reclassification improvement (%) of 12.39 (9.39-15.37) (P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Cumulative hsCRP and MHR were both independently and jointly associated with an increased risk of T2D and their addition to established risk factors should improve risk prediction and reclassification of diabetes.
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Proteína C-Reactiva , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Humanos , Proteína C-Reactiva/metabolismo , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/metabolismo , Estudios Prospectivos , Lipoproteínas HDL , Monocitos/metabolismo , Factores de Riesgo , Inflamación/complicacionesRESUMEN
RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), a risk factor for stroke and all-cause mortality, is highly prevalent among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), but it is unclear whether the association of MAFLD with stroke and all-cause mortality differs within and outside of the setting of CKD. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: We enrolled 95,353 participants from the Kailuan Cohort Study, among whom 35,749 had CKD at baseline or developed CKD during the follow-up period, and 59,604 individuals who had no CKD at baseline or during the follow-up period. EXPOSURE: MAFLD. OUTCOME: Stroke (ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke), all-cause mortality. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Adjusted Cox regression models were used to estimate the influence of MAFLD on stroke outcomes within the subgroups defined by the presence of CKD. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 12.8 years, 6,140 strokes (6.4%) and 11,975 deaths from any cause (12.6%) occurred. After adjusting for potential confounders, MAFLD was associated with an increased incidence of stroke among the participants with CKD (HR, 1.34 [95% CI, 1.23-1.45]) but not among those without CKD (HR, 1.05 [95% CI, 0.97-1.15]; Pinteraction<0.001). This association was principally related to ischemic stroke (HR, 1.38 [95% CI, 1.26-1.51]) and not hemorrhagic stroke (HR, 1.04 [95% CI, 0.85-1.26]). No association was found between MAFLD and all-cause mortality in the participants with CKD (HR,1.04 [95% CI, 0.98-1.10]) or those without CKD (HR,1.03 [95% CI, 0.97-1.09]). Among the participants with CKD, compared with non-MAFLD, MAFLD with diabetes (HR,1.36 [95% CI, 1.23-1.50]) or overweight/obesity (HR,1.30 [95% CI, 1.14-1.50]) was associated with a higher risk of stroke whereas MAFLD without overweight/obesity or diabetes was not associated with a higher risk (HR,1.08 [95% CI, 0.81-1.43]). LIMITATIONS: This was an observational study and included individuals with CKD who had a relatively high estimated glomerular filtration rate. CONCLUSIONS: MAFLD was associated with an increased risk of stroke in individuals with CKD but not in those without CKD. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), which is recognized as a risk factor for stroke in the general population, is highly prevalent among individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, the impact of MAFLD on the risk of stroke in patients with CKD remains uncertain. We investigated the association of MAFLD with stroke in individuals with and without CKD. Our analysis revealed that MAFLD was associated with a significantly increased risk of stroke in individuals with CKD, and the magnitude of this increased risk was greater in the setting of CKD. These findings highlight the need for increased attention to MAFLD in patients with CKD and emphasize that addressing and preventing MAFLD in this population may contribute to reduced morbidity from stroke.
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Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Humanos , Estudios de Cohortes , Sobrepeso , Estudios Prospectivos , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular/etiología , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico/complicaciones , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico/epidemiología , Obesidad , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/complicaciones , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Triglyceride glucose (TyG) index and its related parameters have been introduced as cost-effective surrogate indicators of insulin resistance, while prospective evidence of their effects on atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) remained scattered and inconsistent. We aimed to evaluate the association of TyG and its related parameters with new-onset ASCVD, and the predictive capacity were further compared. METHOD: A total of 95,342 ASCVD-free participants were enrolled from the Kailuan study. TyG and its related parameters were defined by fasting blood glucose, triglyceride, body mass index (BMI), waist circumstance (WC) and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR). The primary outcome was incident ASCVD, comprising myocardial infarction (MI) and ischemic stroke (IS). Cox proportional hazard models and restricted cubic spline (RCS) analyses were adopted to investigate the association between each index and ASCVD. The C-index, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and net reclassification improvement (NRI) were used for comparison of their predictive value for ASCVD. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 15.0 years, 8,031 new cases of ASCVD were identified. The incidence rate of ASCVD increased along with elevated levels of each index, and the relationships were found to be nonlinear in the RCS analyses. The hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) for ASCVD was 1.39 (1.35, 1.43), 1.46 (1.41, 1.50), 1.50 (1.46, 1.55), and 1.52 (1.48, 1.57) per 1 IQR increase of baseline TyG, TyG-BMI, TyG-WC, and TyG-WHtR, respectively, and the association were more pronounced for females and younger individuals aged < 60 years (Pfor interaction<0.05). Using the updated mean or time-varying measurements instead of baseline indicators did not significantly alter the primary findings. Additionally, TyG-WC and TyG-WHtR showed better performance in predicting risk of ASCVD than TyG, with the IDI (95% CI) of 0.004 (0.001, 0.004) and 0.004 (0.001, 0.004) and the category-free NRI (95% CI) of 0.120 (0.025, 0.138) and 0.143 (0.032, 0.166), respectively. Similar findings were observed for MI and IS. CONCLUSIONS: Both the TyG index and its related parameters were significantly and positively associated with ASCVD. TyG-WC and TyG-WHtR had better performance in predicting incident ASCVD than TyG, which might be more suitable indices for risk stratification and enhance the primary prevention of ASCVD.
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Aterosclerosis , Biomarcadores , Glucemia , Triglicéridos , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Femenino , Masculino , China/epidemiología , Medición de Riesgo , Glucemia/metabolismo , Triglicéridos/sangre , Incidencia , Biomarcadores/sangre , Factores de Tiempo , Anciano , Pronóstico , Aterosclerosis/epidemiología , Aterosclerosis/sangre , Aterosclerosis/diagnóstico , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/epidemiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/sangre , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/diagnóstico , Estudios de Seguimiento , Adulto , Estudios Prospectivos , Índice de Masa Corporal , Factores de Riesgo , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Infarto del Miocardio/epidemiología , Infarto del Miocardio/sangre , Infarto del Miocardio/diagnóstico , Relación Cintura-EstaturaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, a surrogate marker of insulin resistance, has been implicated in the risk of ischemic stroke. However, the interplay between TyG levels, lifestyle factors, and their collective impact on stroke risk in non-diabetic populations remains inadequately explored. This study aims to evaluate the association of ischemic stroke with the joint development of the TyG index and lifestyle in the non-diabetic population. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, data was collected across three consecutive biennial surveys of the Kailuan Study from 2006 to 2011. The dual-trajectory model was used to determine the temporal development of TyG levels and lifestyle scores. Statistical analysis involved Cox regression models to evaluate the association between TyG-lifestyle trajectories and ischemic stroke risk, adjusting for potential confounders. RESULTS: A total of 44,403 participants were included, with five distinct TyG levels and lifestyle scores trajectory subtypes identified. In the multivariable-adjusted analyses, significant differences in ischemic stroke risk among the trajectory subtypes. Group 5, characterized by the highest TyG levels and moderate lifestyle scores, exhibited the greatest ischemic stroke risk (HR = 1.81, 95% CI: 1.51-2.18), while group 4, with moderate TyG levels and higher lifestyle scores, demonstrated the lowest risk (HR = 1.19, 95% CI: 1.04-1.37), compared with group 3. Participants with elevated TyG levels were at an increased risk of ischemic stroke in cases of pronounced insulin resistance, even with a healthy lifestyle. CONCLUSIONS: This study reveals the significant associations between the identified TyG and lifestyle trajectories and the stratification of ischemic stroke risk among non-diabetics. The TyG index is a valuable indicator for assessing insulin resistance. However, the potential benefits of lifestyle changes for those with significantly high TyG levels need to be clarified by more research to develop more effective stroke prevention strategies.
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Biomarcadores , Glucemia , Resistencia a la Insulina , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico , Estilo de Vida , Conducta de Reducción del Riesgo , Triglicéridos , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Femenino , Estudios Prospectivos , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/sangre , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/epidemiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/diagnóstico , Factores de Riesgo , Medición de Riesgo , Biomarcadores/sangre , Glucemia/metabolismo , China/epidemiología , Anciano , Triglicéridos/sangre , Factores de Tiempo , Adulto , Pronóstico , Estilo de Vida SaludableRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The association between the triglyceride glucose (TyG) index and the risk of early-onset atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events or all-cause mortality in young and middle-aged people is not fully elucidated. METHODS: The present study included 64,489 young and middle-aged people who participated in the 2006 Kailuan Study physical examination. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic spline curves were used to assess the association of TyG index with early-onset ASCVD events and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: During a median of 11-year follow-up, 1984 (3.08%) participants experienced at least one ASCVD event and 1,392 (2.16%) participants experienced all-cause death. A higher TyG index was significantly associated with a higher risk of early-onset ASCVD events (HR: 1.61, 95% CI 1.38-1.89) and all-cause mortality (HR: 1.39, 95% CI 1.17-1.65), respectively. For each unit increase in TyG index, the risk of early-onset ASCVD events increased by 20%. In addition, there was a non-linear association between the TyG index and early-onset ASCVD events (P for non-linear < 0.01), and a linear association between TyG index and all-cause mortality (P for non-linear = 0.476). CONCLUSIONS: A higher TyG index is significantly associated with an increased incidence of early-onset ASCVD events and all-cause mortality in a young and middle-aged population from North China.
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Aterosclerosis , Biomarcadores , Glucemia , Causas de Muerte , Triglicéridos , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos , Triglicéridos/sangre , Glucemia/metabolismo , Glucemia/análisis , China/epidemiología , Adulto , Medición de Riesgo , Biomarcadores/sangre , Factores de Tiempo , Aterosclerosis/sangre , Aterosclerosis/mortalidad , Aterosclerosis/diagnóstico , Aterosclerosis/epidemiología , Pronóstico , Edad de Inicio , Factores de Riesgo , IncidenciaRESUMEN
AIMS: To investigate the associations of baseline and longitudinal cardiovascular health (CVH) measured by 'Life's Essential 8' (LE8) metrics with the risk of diabetes in Chinese people with normoglycaemia or prediabetes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total 86,149 participants without diabetes were enroled from the Kailuan study and were stratified by baseline glycaemic status (normoglycaemia or prediabetes). Cardiovascular health score ranged from 0 to 100 points was categorised into low (0-49), middle (50-79), and high (80-100) CVH status. Cox regressions were used to assess the associations of baseline and time-updated CVH status with incident diabetes in the overall cohort and across baseline glycaemic statuses. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 12.94 (interquartile rage: 12.48-13.16) years, we identified 13,097 (15.20%) cases of incident diabetes. Baseline and time-updated high CVH status was associated with a lower risk of diabetes, the corresponding hazard ratio (HR) versus low CVH status was 0.27 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.23-0.31) and 0.26 (95% CI, 0.23-0.30) in the overall cohort, respectively. Additionally, the effect of high CVH on diabetes was more prominent in participants with normoglycaemia than those with prediabetes (P < 0.0001), with an HR of 0.26 (95% CI, 0.22-0.31) versus 0.50 (95% CI, 0.41-0.62) for baseline CVH, and 0.25 (95% CI, 0.21-0.30) versus 0.39 (95% CI, 0.32-0.48) for time-updated CVH. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated baseline and longitudinal CVH score assessed by LE8 metrics is associated with a lower risk of subsequent diabetes, especially in normoglycaemic adults.
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Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Diabetes Mellitus , Pueblos del Este de Asia , Estado Prediabético , Adulto , Humanos , Factores de Riesgo , Estudios Prospectivos , Estado Prediabético/complicaciones , Incidencia , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/complicaciones , Estado de SaludRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: To explore the association between the differences between cystatin C- and creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRdiff), and the risk of mortality and cardiovascular (CV) events in individuals with diabetes. METHODS: Three prospective cohorts analyzed data from adults with diabetes from the Incident, Development, and Prognosis of Diabetic Kidney Disease (INDEED) study (2016-17 to 2020) in China, the National Health Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES, 1999-2004 to 2019) in the USA and UK Biobank (UKB, 2006-10 to 2022) in the UK. Baseline eGFRdiff was calculated using both absolute difference between cystatin C- and creatinine-based calculations (eGFRabdiff), and the ratio between them (eGFRrediff). Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to investigate the association between eGFRdiff and outcomes including all-cause mortality and incident CV events. RESULTS: A total of 8129 individuals from INDEED (aged 60.7 ± 10.0 years), 1634 from NHANES (aged 62.5 ± 14.4 years) and 29 358 from UKB (aged 59.4 ± 7.3 years) were included. At baseline, 43.6%, 32.4% and 42.1% of participants in INDEED, NHANES and UKB, respectively, had an eGFRabdiff value ≥15 mL/min/1.73 m2. During a median follow-up of 3.8 years for INDEED, 15.2 years for NHANES and 13.5 years for UKB, a total of 430, 936 and 6143 deaths and a total of 481, 183 and 5583 CV events occurred, respectively. Each 1-standard deviation higher baseline eGFRabdiff was independently associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality and CV events, with hazard ratios of 0.77 and 0.82 in INDEED, 0.70 and 0.68 in NHANES, and 0.66 and 0.78 in UKB. Similar results were observed for eGFRrediff. CONCLUSIONS: eGFRdiff represents a marker of adverse events for diabetes among general population. Monitoring both eGFRcys and eGFRcr yields additional prognostic information and has clinical utility in identifying high-risk individuals for mortality and CV events.
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Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Creatinina , Cistatina C , Tasa de Filtración Glomerular , Humanos , Cistatina C/sangre , Persona de Mediana Edad , Femenino , Masculino , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/mortalidad , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/etiología , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico , Creatinina/sangre , Estudios Prospectivos , Anciano , China/epidemiología , Pronóstico , Nefropatías Diabéticas/mortalidad , Nefropatías Diabéticas/diagnóstico , Nefropatías Diabéticas/fisiopatología , Nefropatías Diabéticas/etiología , Biomarcadores/sangre , Encuestas Nutricionales , Diabetes Mellitus/mortalidad , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Arterial stiffness (AS) was associated with heart failure (HF) in previous studies based on specific populations with small samples and the effects of age and blood pressure on AS were not taken into account. Whether AS was independently associated with new-onset HF in community dwellers has not been fully investigated to date. METHODS: Individuals who participated in health evaluations and underwent synchronized brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) screening in 2010 to 2019 were included. They were free of HF and atrial fibrillation at baseline. The participants were allocated to 3 groups according to their baPWV values. Normal AS was defined as baPWV <1400 cm/s, borderline AS was defined as 1400≤baPWV<1800 cm/s, and elevated AS was defined as baPWV ≥1800 cm/s. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to calculate hazard ratios with 95% CIs of new-onset HF across different AS groups. RESULTS: A total of 40 064 participants were enrolled with a mean age of 48.81±12.67 years. During a mean 5.53 years of follow-up, 411 participants developed HF. Compared with the normal AS group, the hazard ratio (95% CI) for incident HF was 1.97 (1.36-2.86) for the borderline AS group and 2.24 (1.49-3.38) for the elevated AS group in the multivariable-adjusted model. For each 1 SD (359 cm/s) increase in baPWV, the hazard ratio (95% CI) for new-onset HF was 1.10 (1.02-1.20). CONCLUSIONS: AS was positively associated with a higher risk of new-onset HF independently of traditional risk factors, with a dose-responsive effect.
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Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Rigidez Vascular , Humanos , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Índice Tobillo Braquial , Rigidez Vascular/fisiología , Análisis de la Onda del Pulso , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/epidemiología , Presión SanguíneaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this work was to check the connection between parameters of lipid profile and body mass index (BMI) in relation to the occurrence of acute pancreatitis within a sample of adults from northern China. METHODOLOGY: A total of 123,214 participants from the Kailuan Group were incorporated into this prospective study. The subjects were categorized into quartiles on the basis of their initial levels of triglyceride (TG), total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C). On the basis of BMI classification, the individuals in the study were divided into three distinct groups: normal weight, overweight, and obese. The data were analyzed to explore the correlation between lipid profile and BMI with acute pancreatitis. RESULTS: Over a period of 12.59 ± 0.98 years, during the median follow-up duration, a total of 410 new patients with acute pancreatitis were recorded. The occurrence rate and total occurrence of acute pancreatitis demonstrated an upward trend in correlation with elevated levels of TG, TC, and BMI. Following adjustment for multiple variables, it was observed that individuals in the fourth quartile of TG and TC levels demonstrated the highest likelihood of developing acute pancreatitis. Furthermore, our analysis revealed that a proportion of 19.29% of the correlation between BMI and the likelihood of experiencing acute pancreatitis can be attributed to the influence of elevated TG levels, whereas 12.69% of the association was mediated by higher TC. CONCLUSIONS: We found that hypertriglyceridemia, hypercholesterolemia, and obesity were risk factors for acute pancreatitis, especially in young and middle-aged men.TG and TC were the mediating factors between BMI and the risk of acute pancreatitis.
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Índice de Masa Corporal , Hipercolesterolemia , Hipertrigliceridemia , Pancreatitis , Humanos , Hipertrigliceridemia/epidemiología , Hipertrigliceridemia/sangre , Hipertrigliceridemia/complicaciones , Masculino , Pancreatitis/epidemiología , Pancreatitis/sangre , Pancreatitis/etiología , Pancreatitis/diagnóstico , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Hipercolesterolemia/epidemiología , Hipercolesterolemia/sangre , Adulto , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , China/epidemiología , Enfermedad Aguda , Triglicéridos/sangre , Obesidad/epidemiología , Obesidad/complicaciones , Obesidad/sangre , AncianoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: A single measurement lipid accumulation product (LAP) level has been shown to increase cardiovascular disease, but cumulative LAP on stroke effects is uncertain. METHODS AND RESULTS: This study included 43,089 participants, free of any cardiovascular diseases at baseline, from the Kailuan Study. The cumulative LAP was determined by multiplying the average LAP index and the time interval between two consecutive examinations, resulting in their categorization into four quartile groups. The higher LAP exposure was defined as participants with LAP values exceeding 90% of this population during each health survey. The association between cumulative LAP and stroke was assessed using multivariable Cox proportional hazard models. During a median follow-up period of 11.0 (10.6-11.3) years, 2461 participants developed stroke (of which 2220 were ischemic stroke, 320 were hemorrhagic stroke, and 79 were concurrent). After adjusting for potential confounders, the risk of stroke gradually increased in Groups Q2 to Q4 compared to Q1, with hazard ratios (HRs) ranging from 1.19 (95% CI: 1.05-1.36) to 1.50 (95% CI: 1.30-1.70). Specifically, the risk of ischemic stroke showed an increase from 1.21 (1.06-1.39) to 1.56 (1.36-1.79), while no statistically significant effect was observed for hemorrhagic stroke. The longer duration of higher LAP index exposure was also associated with increased stroke risk. Similar results were obtained in the stratification and sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION: Cumulative LAP was positively and significantly associated with incident stroke, especially ischemic stroke, and a longer duration of exposure to higher LAP may increase the risk of stroke.
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Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Accidente Cerebrovascular Hemorrágico , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico , Producto de la Acumulación de Lípidos , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Humanos , Accidente Cerebrovascular/diagnóstico , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , China/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIM: Hyperuricemia is associated with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), whereas whether the association differed by hyperuricemia onset age remained unclear. This study sought to investigate the associations of hyperuricemia onset age with the risk of incident NAFLD across adulthood. METHODS AND RESULTS: Based on Kailuan prospective cohort, our analysis comprised 3318 new-onset hyperuricemia cases from 2006 to 2015 and 3318 age- and sex-matched controls who were randomly selected from the general population. The risk of NAFLD across the onset age groups (<45, 45-54, 55-64, and ≥65 years) were compared using multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models. During a median follow-up of 6.78 years, 744 (22.42%) hyperuricemia participants and 586 (17.66%) normouricemia participants were diagnosed with incident NAFLD. After adjusted for potential confounders, the risk of NAFLD was gradually attenuated with each decade increase in hyperuricemia onset age. The adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) was 1.62 (1.33-1.97) for hyperuricemia onset age <45 years, 1.26 (1.01-1.57) for age of 45-54 years, 1.24 (1.00-1.59) for age of 55-64 years, and 1.19 (0.90-1.71) for age ≥65 years, respectively. The trend remained robust among the multiple sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: The relative risk of incident NAFLD differed across hyperuricemia onset age-group, and the association was more evident in those with a younger age of hyperuricemia onset, highlighting the importance of performing early strategies on the prevention of NAFLD.
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BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Risk factor modification may decrease the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Whether risk factor modification can mitigate the effect of hyperuricemia on CVD is unclear. This study aimed to investigate the risk of CVD among individuals with hyperuricemia, according to risk factors on target, compared with controls without hyperuricemia. METHODS AND RESULTS: This prospective study included 91,722 participants free of CVD at baseline (2006-2007) of the Kailuan study. Individuals with hyperuricemia were categorized according to the number of seven selected risk factors within the guideline-recommended target range (nonsmoking, physical activity, healthy diet, guideline-recommended levels of body mass index, blood pressure, fasting blood glucose, and total cholesterol). During a median follow-up of 13.00 years, 671 out of 6740 individuals (9.96%) with hyperuricemia and 6301 out of 84,982 control subjects (7.41%) had incident CVD. Compared with control subjects without hyperuricemia, individuals with hyperuricemia who had 4 or 5 to 7 risk factors on target had no significant excess CVD risk, the hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence internal [CI]) was 0.93 (0.79-1.10) and 0.88 (0.71-1.10), respectively. Among individuals with hyperuricemia, excess CVD risk decreased stepwise for a higher number of risk factors on target, the HR of CVD associated with per additional risk factor within target range was 0.82 (95% CI, 0.77-0.87). Similar results were yielded for CVD subtypes. CONCLUSIONS: Among individuals with hyperuricemia, excess CVD risk decreased stepwise for a higher number of risk factors within target.
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Biomarcadores , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Factores de Riesgo de Enfermedad Cardiaca , Hiperuricemia , Ácido Úrico , Humanos , Hiperuricemia/epidemiología , Hiperuricemia/sangre , Hiperuricemia/diagnóstico , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/prevención & control , Estudios Prospectivos , Medición de Riesgo , Adulto , China/epidemiología , Incidencia , Biomarcadores/sangre , Factores de Tiempo , Ácido Úrico/sangre , Conducta de Reducción del Riesgo , Dieta Saludable , Pronóstico , Factores Protectores , Anciano , Fumar/epidemiología , Fumar/efectos adversos , Ejercicio Físico , Glucemia/metabolismo , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Uric acid has been positively associated with the risk of developing heart failure in the general population. Nevertheless, it remains unclear whether hyperuricemia is an independent risk factor for heart failure and further contributes to the risk of heart failure among the already at-risk cardiovascular disease (CVD) population. This study aimed to evaluate the association between uric acid and incident heart failure in individuals with established CVD. METHODS AND RESULTS: Included were 18,438 adults with established CVD but free of heart failure at baseline, from the Kailuan Study. Incident heart failure cases were ascertained by medical records. Cause-specific Cox proportional hazards regression models were applied to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) of heart failure according to uric acid tertiles. Over a median follow-up of 6.1 years, we identified 1215 incident heart failure cases. Higher uric acid was associated with a higher risk of incident heart failure, with adjusted HR for the last vs. first tertile of 1.50 (95%CI:1.30-1.73). Higher uric acid concentrations were associated with an increased risk of heart failure in individuals with coronary heart disease, atrial fibrillation, and ischemic stroke, but not in those with hemorrhagic stroke. Moreover, the observed association between uric acid and heart failure risk was more pronounced in individuals diagnosed with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction subtype compared with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. CONCLUSIONS: In individuals with CVD, uric acid was positively associated with the risk of heart failure, in a dose-response manner.
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BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Uric acid (UA) and C-reactive protein (CRP) may interact synergistically to accelerate the initiation and progression of cardiovascular disease (CVD). This study investigated the effects of a combination of high UA and high CRP on the risks of CVD. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 90,270 participants recruited from the Kailuan study were included, who were divided into four groups according to the presence/absence of hyperuricemia and inflammation. Cox regression was applied to evaluate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) of CVD. C-statistics, net classification index (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were used to compare the incremental predictive of UA, CRP, and their combined effects on CVD. Mediation analysis was to explore the impact of CRP on the association between UA and CVD. Over a median follow-up of 14.95 years, we identified 11398 incident CVD cases. Compared to the low UA/low CRP group, the high UA/low CRP, low UA/high CRP and high UA/high CRP groups showed progressively higher risks of CVD, HR (95% CI): 1.18(1.10-1.27), 1.27(1.21-1.33) and 1.50 (1.33-1.69), respectively. The incorporation of UA and CRP into the traditional China-PAR model led to improvement in the C-statistic, NRI, and IDI, and was better than incorporation of either UA or CRP alone. Mediation analysis showed that CRP mediated the association between UA and CVD, accounting for 11.57% of the total effects. CONCLUSIONS: High UA/high CRP is associated with increased risks of CVD. Incorporation of both UA and CRP provided additional value for risk stratification.
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Biomarcadores , Proteína C-Reactiva , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Factores de Riesgo de Enfermedad Cardiaca , Hiperuricemia , Mediadores de Inflamación , Regulación hacia Arriba , Ácido Úrico , Humanos , Proteína C-Reactiva/análisis , Ácido Úrico/sangre , Masculino , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/sangre , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico , Persona de Mediana Edad , Femenino , Estudios Prospectivos , Biomarcadores/sangre , China/epidemiología , Medición de Riesgo , Hiperuricemia/sangre , Hiperuricemia/epidemiología , Hiperuricemia/diagnóstico , Factores de Tiempo , Adulto , Incidencia , Mediadores de Inflamación/sangre , Pronóstico , Anciano , Análisis de MediaciónRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to evaluate the association between different levels of physical activity and risk of developing type 2 diabetes (T2D) mellitus among adults with prediabetes in Chinese population. METHODS: This prospective population-based cohort study included 12,424 participants (mean [SD] age, 52.8 [16.8] years; 82.2% men) with prediabetes at 2014 survey of the Kailuan study. Physical activity information was collected through the International Physical Activity Questionnaire-Short Form and categorized by metabolic equivalent (MET) of task as low, moderate, and high. Cox regression models were built to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for associations between physical activity levels and incident T2D. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 3.6 years, 2,207 (17.8%) participants developed T2D. The incident rate of T2D were 55.83/1000, 35.14/1000, and 39.61/1000 person-years in the low, moderate, and high physical activity level group, respectively. Both moderate (HR 0.57, 95% CI 0.49 to 0.67) and high (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.66 to 0.89) physical activity levels were associated with lower risks of developing T2D compared to low physical activity level (P for trend < 0.001). The association between high physical activity level and T2D was primarily observed in participants without metabolic syndrome (P for interaction < 0.001). Moreover, participants with moderate or high levels of physical activity had significantly decreased fasting blood glucose levels during follow-up when compared to those with low level (P group*time < 0.001). CONCLUSION: This study suggested that individuals with prediabetes might benefit from moderate and high levels of physical activity.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Ejercicio Físico , Estado Prediabético , Humanos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Estado Prediabético/epidemiología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Femenino , Ejercicio Físico/fisiología , Estudios Prospectivos , Adulto , Factores de Riesgo , China/epidemiología , Anciano , Estudios de Cohortes , Incidencia , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Glucemia/metabolismo , Estudios de SeguimientoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Menopause significantly impacts the immune system. Postmenopausal women are more susceptible to infection. Nonetheless, the pattern of change in peripheral white blood cell counts around the menopause remains poorly understood. METHODS: We conducted a prospective longitudinal cohort study with repeated measurements using Kailuan cohort study of 3632 Chinese women who participated in the first checkup (2006-2007) and reached their final menstrual period (FMP) by the end of the seventh checkup (2018-2020). Peripheral WBC count indicators included total white blood cells (TWBC), neutrophils (NEUT), lymphocytes (LYM), and monocytes (MON). Multivariable mixed effects regressions fitted piece-wise linear models to repeated measures of WBC count indicators as a function of time before or after the final menstrual period (FMP). Interaction and subgroup analysis were used to explore the effects of age and body mass index (BMI) on changes in WBC indicators around FMP. RESULTS: WBC count indicators decreased before the FMP, and the reduction in TWBC, NEUT, and MON continued for 2 years following the FMP. LYM and NEUT declined during < -1 years and - 4 â¼ + 2 years relative to FMP, respectively. A reduction in MON was observed pre-FMP, extending continuously through the two-year period post-FMP. TWBC declined from - 3 to + 2 years relative to FMP, but both MON and TWBC increased during > + 2 years. The baseline age had an interaction effect on changes in WBC indicators during specific menopausal stages, except for TWBC. Individuals in different age subgroups showed distinct trajectories for NEUT, LYM and MON around the FMP. High baseline BMI had a synergistic effect on changes in specific menopause segments for TWBC, LYM, and MON. The impact of menopause on TWBC and LYM was postponed or counterbalanced in high BMI individuals. Individuals in three BMI subgroups experienced similar MON changes around FMP, and there were slight variations during < -4 years. CONCLUSIONS: Menopause was associated with count changes of peripheral WBC. The trajectories of various WBC types differ around menopause. Age and BMI affected WBC trajectory around menopause. The menopause period may represent a window of opportunity to promote immune health in middle-aged women.
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Índice de Masa Corporal , Menopausia , Humanos , Femenino , Recuento de Leucocitos/estadística & datos numéricos , Recuento de Leucocitos/métodos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos , Menopausia/sangre , Menopausia/fisiología , Estudios Longitudinales , Adulto , China/epidemiología , Estudios de Cohortes , NeutrófilosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The health effects of Life's Essential 8 (LE8) on chronic diseases have been disclosed, but its association with hypertension remains unknown. The current study aimed to explore the potential link between 10-year LE8 trajectory and the incidence of hypertension. METHODS: LE8 was constructed from four behaviors and four metabolic factors, ranging from 0 to 100. Latent mixture models were used to identify trajectories of LE8 scores during 2006 to 2016. Incident hypertension was diagnosed based on self-reported clinical diagnoses and physical examinations from 2016 to 2020. Cox models were employed to assess the association of LE8 trajectories with hypertension. In addition to incorporating the mean hs-CRP levels from 2006 to 2016, age, sex, monthly income, educational level, and occupation at recruitment were adjusted for as confounding factors. RESULTS: 7500 participants aged 40.28 ± 10.35 years were included in the study, of whom 2907 (38.76%) were women. Five LE8 trajectory patterns were identified. After around four-year follow-up, 667 hypertension events were observed. Compared to the Low-Stable trajectory, the hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for the Moderate-Increasing, Moderate-Decreasing, Moderate-Stable, and High-Stable trajectories were 0.51 (0.40, 0.65), 0.81 (0.64, 1.02), 0.45 (0.36, 0.58), 0.23 (0.16, 0.33), respectively. The risk of incident hypertension decreased as participants improved their LE8 status. The robustness of the primary results was confirmed through several sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: LE8 trajectories were associated with the incident hypertension. People who improved their LE8 scores over time experienced a decreased risk of hypertension, even if they started with lower LE8 scores initially.
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Hipertensión , Humanos , Hipertensión/epidemiología , Femenino , Masculino , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Incidencia , Factores de Riesgo , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Estudios de CohortesRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: We aimed to explore the association of socioeconomic status (SES) and life's essential 8 (LE8) with cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality in north China. METHODS: A total of 91,365 adults from the Kailuan study were included in this study. Comprehensive individual SES, mainly including monthly household income, education, Occupation position, and community environment, was confirmed by latent class analysis. Furthermore, the mediation and combination effects of SES and LE8 on CVD and all-cause mortality were further assessed. The Cox regression model was conducted to estimate HRs and 95% CI. RESULTS: During about 13 years of follow-up, 7,646 cardiovascular events and 11,749 deaths were recorded. Relative to the high SES, there were decreased risks of CVD [HR (95% CI): 1.57(1.43-1.72)] and high all-cause death [HR (95% CI): 1.43(1.31-1.53)] in the low SES. The associations between SES and CVD [Mediation % (95% CI): 22.3 (16.4-30.4)] and mortality [Mediation % (95% CI): 10.1 (7.1-14.0)] were partially mediated by LE8 when comparing medium SES to high SES. Meanwhile, relative to high LE8, the elevated risk of death [HR (95% CI): 1.72(1.56-1.89)], and incident CVD [HR (95% CI): 3.34(2.91-3.83)] were detected in low LE8. Compared to participants who had the high SES and LE8, participants who had both the low SES and LE8 further increased the risk of CVD [HR (95% CI): 7.76(5.21-11.55)] and all-cause mortality [HR (95% CI): 2.80(2.19-3.58)]. CONCLUSION: Low SES was related to a higher risk of CVD and mortality in low- and middle-income countries, which was partially mediated by LE8.