RESUMEN
Soil health plays a crucial role in crop production, both in terms of quality and quantity, highlighting the importance of effective methods for preserving soil quality to ensure global food security. Soil quality indices (SQIs) have been widely utilized as comprehensive measures of soil function by integrating multiple physical, chemical, and biological soil properties. Traditional SQI analysis involves laborious and costly laboratory analyses, which limits its practicality. To overcome this limitation, our study explores the use of visible near-infrared (vis-NIR) spectroscopy as a rapid and non-destructive alternative for predicting soil properties and SQIs. This study specifically focused on seven soil indicators that contribute to soil fertility, including pH, organic matter (OM), potassium (K), calcium (Ca), magnesium (Mg), available phosphorous (P), and total nitrogen (TN). These properties play key roles in nutrient availability, pH regulation, and soil structure, influencing soil fertility and overall soil health. By utilizing vis-NIR spectroscopy, we were able to accurately predict the soil indicators with good accuracy using the Cubist model (R2 = 0.35-0.93), offering a cost-effective and environmentally friendly alternative to traditional laboratory analyses. Using the seven soil indicators, we looked at three different approaches for calculating and predicting the SQI, including: (1) measured SQI (SQI_m), which is derived from laboratory-measured soil properties; (2) predicted SQI (SQI_p), which is calculated using predicted soil properties from spectral data; and (3) direct prediction of SQI (SQI_dp), The findings demonstrated that SQI_dp exhibited a higher accuracy (R2 = 0.90) in predicting soil quality compared to SQI_p (R2 = 0.23).
RESUMEN
Monitoring and modelling soil organic carbon (SOC) in space and time can help us to better understand soil carbon dynamics and is of key importance to support climate change research and policy. Although machine learning (ML) has attracted a lot of attention in the digital soil mapping (DSM) community for its powerful ability to learn from data and predict soil properties, such as SOC, it is better at capturing soil spatial variation than soil temporal dynamics. By contrast, process-oriented (PO) models benefit from mechanistic knowledge to express physiochemical and biological processes that govern SOC temporal changes. Therefore, integrating PO and ML models seems a promising means to represent physically plausible SOC dynamics while retaining the spatial prediction accuracy of ML models. In this study, a hybrid modelling framework was developed and tested for predicting topsoil SOC stock in space and time for a regional cropland area located in eastern China. In essence, the hybrid model uses predictions of the PO model in unsampled years as additional training data of the ML model, with a weighting parameter assigned to balance the importance of SOC values from the PO model and real measurements. The results indicated that temporal trends of SOC stock modelled by PO and ML models were largely different, while they were notably similar between the PO and hybrid models. Cross-validation showed that the hybrid model had the best performance (RMSE = 0.29 kg m-2), with a 19 % improvement compared with the ML model. We conclude that the proposed hybrid framework not only enhances space-time soil carbon mapping in terms of prediction accuracy and physical plausibility, it also provides insights for soil management and policy decisions in the face of future climate change and intensified human activities.
RESUMEN
Although numerous studies have reported the influencing factors of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in surface soil from source, process or soil perspectives, the mechanism of PAHs heterogeneity in surface soil are still not well understood. In this study, the effects of 16 PAHs in surface soil of China sampled between 2003 and 2020 with their 17 "source-process-sink" factors at 1 km resolution (N = 660)) were explored using deep learning (eXtreme Gradient Boosting) to mine key information from complex dataset under the optimized parameters (i.e., learning rate = 0.05, maximum depth = 5, sub-sample = 0.8). It was observed that top five factors of 16 PAH had the largest cumulative contribution (i.e., from 84.8% to 98.1%) on their soil concentrations. PAH emission was the predominant driver, and its effect on soil PAH increases with increasing logKow. Soil was the second driver, in which clay can promote the partition of PAHs with low or middle logKow. However, sand can accumulate those congeners with high logKow. Moreover, the deep learning plus geo-statistical models (with low deviation for testing dataset (N = 283)) were capable of predicting soil PAH concentrations using their drivers with high accuracy. This study improved the understanding of the environmental fate and spatial variability of soil PAHs, as well as provided a novel technique (i.e., deep learning coupled with geo-statistics) for accurate prediction of soil pollutants.
RESUMEN
Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) and carbon dioxide primarily originate from the combustion of fossil fuels and biomass. The implementation of the Chinese "double carbon strategy" is expected to impact the distribution of PAH emissions, consequently influencing the spatial distribution trend of PAHs in surface soil. Therefore, it is crucial to quantitatively evaluate the effectiveness of the Chinese "double carbon strategy" on soil PAH pollution for the purpose of "the reduction of pollution and carbon emissions". This study utilized 15,088 individual PAH concentration data from 943 soil samples collected between 2003 and 2020 in China, in conjunction with PAH emissions at a 10 km resolution, for meta-analysis. The calculated PAH emissions in this study are in line with the global PAH emission inventory (PKU-PAH-2007), with a relative standard deviation at the provincial level of less than 25 %. Subsequently, a novel method was developed using emission density and Kow of PAHs to predict PAH concentrations in surface soil based on a least-squares regression model. Compared to other environmental models, the method established in this study significantly reduced the percent sample deviation to less than 70 %. Furthermore, energy consumption data for China were simulated based on the implementation plan of the "double carbon strategy" to project PAH emissions and soil PAH levels for the years 2030 and 2060. The predicted PAH emissions in China were estimated to decrease to 41,300 t in 2030 and 10,406.5 t in 2060 from 78,815 t in 2020. Moreover, the heavily contaminated areas of soil PAHs (i.e., total PAH concentrations in soil exceeding 1000 µg kg-1) were projected to decrease by 45 % and 82 % in 2030 and 2060, respectively, compared to levels in 2020. These findings suggest that the implementation of the "double carbon strategy" can fundamentally reduce the pollution of PAHs in surface soil of China.