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BACKGROUND: The goal of this study is to explore the clinical value of routine tests in multiple myeloma (MM). METHODS: A total of 179 MM patients, newly diagnosed in our hospital from January 2010 to December 2018 (case group), as well as 352 cases of healthy individuals (control group) were evaluated. Albumin (Alb), globulin (Glb), albumin/globulin (A/G), creatinine (Cr), calcium (Ca), hemoglobin (Hb), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), platelet count (Plt), and platelet distribution width (PDW) were compared between the analyzed groups. Respective tests were screened by forward selection. Thereafter, screened out indicators were identified through logistic regression analysis. Risk prediction nomogram, area under curve (AUC), calibration, decision curve analysis (DCA), and clinical impact curve (CIC) were further performed. At the same time, routine test indicators of MM patients for stage and subtype diagnosis, were compared. A correlation analysis between these test indicators and respective disease stages was performed. High stage group and low stage groups were subsequently compared to define the predictive value of single and combined indicators of disease severity. RESULTS: Except for Ca, the difference between the case and control groups for all other blood indicators was statistically significant (p < 0.05). Moreover, the difference in positive rate(s) was statistically significant (p < 0.05). The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of Alb, Hb, and PDW harbored robust discrimination (AUC = 0.960) and appropriate calibration. The DCA and CIC showed that the resulting nomogram had a superior net benefit in predicting MM. Among all indicators, only LDH was statistically reduced in MM patients at ISS stages I, II, and III (p < 0.05). Interestingly, the ISS stage of respective MM patients was positively correlated with Cr (τ = 0.392), while it was negatively correlated with Hb (τ = -0.364). Alb, Glo, A/G, and Hb were significantly distinct between heavy chain (IgG, IgA) and LC, while few significant differences were found between the ISS stages. Lastly, the AUC (0.828) for Cr was greater than that for all other single and combined indicators. CONCLUSIONS: The effective application of major indicators measured in routine blood tests can provide important clues for the diagnosis and prognosis of MM.
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Mieloma Múltiple , Albúminas , Pruebas Hematológicas , Humanos , Mieloma Múltiple/diagnóstico , Pronóstico , Curva ROC , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To explore the effect of COVID-19 outbreak on the treatment time of patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) in Hangzhou, China. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the data of STEMI patients admitted to the Hangzhou Chest Pain Center (CPC) during a COVID-19 epidemic period in 2020 (24 cases) and the same period in 2019 (29 cases). General characteristics of the patients were recorded, analyzed, and compared. Moreover, we compared the groups for the time from symptom onset to the first medical contact (SO-to-FMC), time from first medical contact to balloon expansion (FMC-to-B), time from hospital door entry to first balloon expansion (D-to-B), and catheter room activation time. The groups were also compared for postoperative cardiac color Doppler ultrasonographic left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF),the incidence of major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE),Kaplan-Meier survival curves during the 28 days after the operation. RESULTS: The times of SO-to-FMC, D-to-B, and catheter room activation in the 2020 group were significantly longer than those in the 2019 group (P < 0.05). The cumulative mortality after the surgery in the 2020 group was significantly higher than the 2019 group (P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: The pre-hospital and in-hospital treatment times of STEMI patients during the COVID-19 epidemic were longer than those before the epidemic. Cumulative mortality was showed in Kaplan-Meier survival curves after the surgery in the 2020 group was significantly different higher than the 2019 group during the 28 days.The diagnosis and treatment process of STEMI patients during an epidemic should be optimized to improve their prognosis.
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COVID-19/complicaciones , Intervención Coronaria Percutánea , Infarto del Miocardio con Elevación del ST/terapia , Tiempo de Tratamiento/estadística & datos numéricos , Enfermedad Aguda , China , Ecocardiografía Doppler en Color , Humanos , Pronóstico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Infarto del Miocardio con Elevación del ST/mortalidad , Volumen Sistólico , Análisis de Supervivencia , Factores de Tiempo , Función Ventricular IzquierdaRESUMEN
Several COVID-19 vaccines have been approved for emergency use according to China's immunization programs. These vaccines has created hope for patients with epilepsy, because the vaccines can help to reduce their risk of becoming infected with the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). The aim of this study was to investigate the COVID-19 vaccine safety in patients with epilepsy. Here, we assessed the time of symptom control and the features of adverse events of seizure patients following their COVID-19 vaccinations. The results showed that adverse events of COVID-19 vaccinations for epilepsy patients included local pain at the injection site, dizziness and headache, epileptic attack, somnolence, limb weakness, limb pain, allergy, and fever. In addition, the average recovery time of the adverse events was approximately 42 h. More importantly, our study showed that it was relatively safe to vaccinate epilepsy patients who did not experience seizures for approximately 12 months prior to the immunization date.
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Background: While timely assessment of long-term survival for patients with bone cancer is essential for evaluation on early detection and prognosis level of treatment of bone cancer, those data are extremely scarce in China. We aimed to timely and accurately assess long-term survival for patients with bone cancer in Eastern China. Methods: Patients diagnosed with bone cancer during 2004 - 2018 from four cancer registries with high-quality data from Taizhou, Eastern China were included. Five-year relative survival (RS) of bone cancer patients was calculated by period analysis for overall and the stratification. We further predicted 5-year RS during upcoming 2019 - 2023 using a model-based period analysis and survival data during 2004 - 2018. Results: Overall, 5-year RS for patients with bone cancer during 2014 - 2018 reached 46.6%, being 40.8% for male and 51.0% for female. Five-year RS declined along with aging, decreasing from 58.9% for age < 45 years to 41.5% for age > 60 years, while 5-year RS for urban area was higher compared to rural area (59.1% vs. 44.3%). The 5-year RS during upcoming 2019 - 2023 reached 48.3%. We found a clear upward trend in 5-year RS during 2004 - 2023 for overall and the stratification by sex, age at diagnosis, and region. Conclusions: We found that, for first time in China using period analysis, most up-to-date 5-year RS for patients with bone cancer reached 46.6% during 2014 - 2018, and is projected to reach 48.3% for the period 2019 - 2023, which has important implications for timely evaluation on early detection and prognosis level of treatment for patients with bone cancer in Eastern China.
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BACKGROUND: Venous catheters are widely used in clinical practice, but a drawback of their usage is the increased risk of thrombosis. AIMS: The current study explored the risk factors affecting the formation of thrombosis following venous catheterization and establishes a risk nomogram prediction model for catheter-related thrombosis. METHODS: Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were carried out to identify the independent factors involved in venous catheter thrombosis. These factors were included in the construction of a nomogram. Finally, the C-index and calibration curves were used to validate the nomogram. RESULT: A total of 146 cases were included in the sample, of which 36 were cases of thrombosis. The results of the univariate logistic regression analysis showed that the following were significant factors: age, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation scoring system (APACHE II) score, white blood cell (WBC), hematocrit (HCT), international normalized ratio (INR), fibrinogen (FIB), and D-dimer. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed, which confirmed that the factors of age (AUC: 0.677, 95% CI: 0.564-0.790), APACHE II score (AUC: 0.746, 95% CI: 0.656-0.837), INR (AUC: 0.743, 95% CI: 0.636-0.849), and D-dimer (AUC: 0.826, 95% CI: 0.750-0.902) were independent variables. Next, a nomogram was constructed using these independent variables for predicting venous catheter thrombosis. Favorable results with C-indexes (0.816; 95% CI: 0.780-0.882) and calibration curves closer to ideal curves indicated the accurate predictive ability of this nomogram. CONCLUSION: The individualized nomogram demonstrated effective prognostic prediction for patients with venous thrombosis.
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Trombosis , Trombosis de la Vena , Humanos , Nomogramas , Estudios Retrospectivos , Trombosis de la Vena/etiología , Trombosis/etiología , Catéteres , Cateterismo/efectos adversosRESUMEN
Background: Many studies have shown that the pollution of fine particles in the air is related to the incidence of chronic diseases. However, research on air pollution and metabolism-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is limited. Objective: The purpose of this study was to explore the relationship between short-term ambient air pollution and daily outpatient visits for metabolic-related fatty liver. Methods: We used a quasi-Poisson regression generalized additive model to stratify analyses by season, age, and gender. Results: From January 1, 2017, to August 31, 2019, 10,562 confirmed MAFLD outpatient visits were recorded. A 10 µg/m3 increase of fine particular matter (PM10and PM2.5) and NO2 concentrations corresponding with percent change were 0.82 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.49-1.15), 0.57 (95% CI, 0.18-0.98), and 0.86 (95% CI, 0.59-1.13) elevation in MAFLD outpatient visits. In terms of season, the impact estimates of NO2 and PM2.5% change were 3.55 (95% CI, 1.23-5.87) and 1.12 (95% CI, 0.78-1.46) in the hot season and transition season, respectively. Compared with the warm season, the impact estimates of PM10were more significant in the cool season: 2.88 (95% CI, 0.66-5.10). NO2 has the greatest effect in the transition season, whereas PM10 has the greatest highest effect in the cool and hot seasons. Compared with other pollutants, PM2.5 has the greatest impact in the age stratification, which percent change are 2.69 (95% CI, 0.77-5.61) and 2.88 (95% CI, 0.37-6.40) respectively. The impact values of PM2.5 in male and female percent change were 3.60 (95% CI, 0.63-6.57) and 1.65 (95% CI, 1.05-2.25), respectively. Conclusion: This study shows that the air pollutants are related to the number of outpatient visits for MAFLD. The effects of different air pollutants on MAFLD outpatient visits were different by season, ages, and gender.
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AIMS: We aimed to evaluate the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic on emergency and cardiovascular disease-related calls in Hangzhou, China. METHODS: We conducted a single-center retrospective study, collecting data on emergency calls to the Hangzhou Emergency Center (HEC) during the COVID-19 epidemic (January 20, 2020, to March 15, 2020). Data were compared with the same period in 2019. RESULTS: Compared to 2019, the number of emergency calls has dropped by 21.63%, ambulance calls by 29.02%, rescue calls by 22.57%, and cardiovascular disease-related emergency calls by 32.86%. The numbers of emergency, ambulance, and rescue calls in 2020 were significantly lower than in 2019. CONCLUSIONS: During the COVID-19 epidemic in Hangzhou, the numbers of emergency and cardiovascular disease-related calls have decreased significantly. These results point to a severe social problem that requires the attention of the medical community and the government.
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COVID-19 , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , COVID-19/epidemiología , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , China/epidemiología , Humanos , Estudios Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2RESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIM: Relevant studies show that population migration has a great impact on the early spread of infectious diseases. Therefore, it is important to explore whether there is an explicit relationship between population migration and the number of confirmed cases for the control of the COVID-19 epidemic. This paper mainly explores the impact of population migration on early COVID-19 transmission, and establishes a predictive nonlinear mathematical model to predict the number of early cases. METHODS: Data of confirmed cases were sourced from the official website of the Municipal Health Committee, and the proportions of migration from Wuhan to other cities were sourced from the Baidu data platform. The data of confirmed cases and the migration proportions of 14 cities in Hubei Province were collected, the COVID-19 cases study period was determined as 10 days based on the third quartile of the interval of the incubation period, and a non-linear mathematical model was constructed to clarify the relationship between the migration proportion and the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases. Finally, eight typical regions were selected to verify the accuracy of the model. RESULTS: The daily population migration rates and the growth curves of the number of confirmed cases in the 14 cities were basically consistent, and Pearson's correlation coefficient was 0.91. The specific mathematical expression of 14 regions is . In each of the fourteen cities, The nonlinear exponential model structure is as follows:. It was found that the R 2 values of the fitted mathematical model were greater than 0.8 in all studied regions, excluding Suizhou (p < 0.05). The established mathematical model was used to fit eight regions in China, and the correlations between the predicted and actual numbers of confirmed cases were greater than 0.9, excluding that of Hebei Province (0.82). CONCLUSION: The study found that population migration has a positive and significant impact on the spread of COVID-19. Modeling COVID-19 risk may be a useful strategy for directing public health surveillance and interventions. Restricting the migration of the population is of great significance to the joint prevention and control of the pandemic worldwide.
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BACKGROUND: Many people have experienced novel coronavirus pneumonia since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic in Wuhan, China. The Chinese government has encouraged people to wear face masks in public places; however, due to the large population, there may be a series of problems related to this recommendation, including shortages of masks and lack of an optimal disposal method for used masks. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study is to understand the current status of mask shortages and used masks in China. METHODS: A questionnaire survey was designed to assess the current status of mask shortages and used masks. The differences among groups were analyzed with chi-square tests. RESULTS: The constituent ratio of those who reuse masks was 61%. Obtaining masks from the drugstore was reported to be very difficult due to high demand and short supply, and approximately 1/3 of the respondents purchased expensive masks. Most people know how to properly handle used masks, and only 7% of them casually discard masks. However, 50% of respondents have seen others throw away used masks at will. A further subgroup analysis showed that respondents in Central China tended to use masks repeatedly, as did medical personnel. Females, people living in the central region, and medical personnel may find it more difficult to purchase masks in drugstores. Non-medical personnel may be more likely to buy expensive masks. Females, people living in the western region, and medical personnel may be more likely to know how to properly handle used masks and not to discard used masks at will. Medical personnel may be more likely to observe others discarding used masks at will. CONCLUSION: In response to COVID-19, the public should be encouraged to use face masks and are advised not to reuse or throw away masks at will due to safety concerns.
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Background: The coronavirus pneumonia is still spreading around the world. Much progress has been made in vaccine development, and vaccination will become an inevitable trend in the fight against this pandemic. However, the public acceptance of COVID-19 vaccination still remains uncertain. Methods: An anonymous questionnaire was used in Wen Juan Xing survey platform. All the respondents were divided into healthcare workers and non-healthcare workers. Multinomial logistic regression analyses were performed to identify the key sociodemographic, cognitive, and attitude associations among the samples of healthcare workers and non-healthcare workers. Results: A total of 2,580 respondents completed the questionnaire, including 1,329 healthcare workers and 1,251 non-healthcare workers. This study showed that 76.98% of healthcare workers accepted the COVID-19 vaccine, 18.28% workers were hesitant, and 4.74% workers were resistant. Among the non-healthcare workers, 56.19% workers received the COVID-19 vaccine, 37.57% workers were hesitant, and 6.24% workers were resistant. Among the healthcare workers, compared with vaccine recipients, vaccine-hesitant individuals were more likely to be female (AOR = 1.52, 95% CI: 1.12-2.07); vaccine-resistant individuals were more likely to live in the suburbs (AOR = 2.81, 95% CI: 1.44-3.99) with an income of 10,000 RMB or greater (AOR = 2.00, 95% CI: 1.03-3.90). Among the non-healthcare workers, vaccine-hesitant individuals were more likely to be female (AOR = 1.66, 95% CI: 1.31-2.11); vaccine-resistant individuals were also more likely to be female (AOR = 1.87, 95% CI: 1.16-3.02) and older than 65 years (AOR = 4.96, 95% CI: 1.40-7.62). There are great differences between healthcare workers and non-healthcare workers in their cognition and attitude toward vaccines. Conclusions: Our study shows that healthcare workers are more willing to be vaccinated than non-healthcare workers. Current vaccine safety issues continue to be a major factor affecting public acceptance, and to expand vaccine coverage in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, appropriate vaccination strategies and immunization programs are essential, especially for non-healthcare workers.
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Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , COVID-19 , China/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Personal de Salud , Humanos , Masculino , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2 , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , VacunaciónRESUMEN
Aim: Metabolic syndrome (MS) screening is essential for the early detection of the occupational population. This study aimed to screen out biomarkers related to MS and establish a risk assessment and prediction model for the routine physical examination of an occupational population. Methods: The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) regression algorithm of machine learning was used to screen biomarkers related to MS. Then, the accuracy of the logistic regression model was further verified based on the Lasso regression algorithm. The areas under the receiving operating characteristic curves were used to evaluate the selection accuracy of biomarkers in identifying MS subjects with risk. The screened biomarkers were used to establish a logistic regression model and calculate the odds ratio (OR) of the corresponding biomarkers. A nomogram risk prediction model was established based on the selected biomarkers, and the consistency index (C-index) and calibration curve were derived. Results: A total of 2,844 occupational workers were included, and 10 biomarkers related to MS were screened. The number of non-MS cases was 2,189 and that of MS was 655. The area under the curve (AUC) value for non-Lasso and Lasso logistic regression was 0.652 and 0.907, respectively. The established risk assessment model revealed that the main risk biomarkers were absolute basophil count (OR: 3.38, CI:1.05-6.85), platelet packed volume (OR: 2.63, CI:2.31-3.79), leukocyte count (OR: 2.01, CI:1.79-2.19), red blood cell count (OR: 1.99, CI:1.80-2.71), and alanine aminotransferase level (OR: 1.53, CI:1.12-1.98). Furthermore, favorable results with C-indexes (0.840) and calibration curves closer to ideal curves indicated the accurate predictive ability of this nomogram. Conclusions: The risk assessment model based on the Lasso logistic regression algorithm helped identify MS with high accuracy in physically examining an occupational population.
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Síndrome Metabólico , Algoritmos , Biomarcadores , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Síndrome Metabólico/diagnóstico , NomogramasRESUMEN
As doctors, we find it disturbing to read the paper "Burnout in physicians who are exposed to workplace violence" (January 2020).1 Workplace violence experienced by doctors has been documented both in developed and developing countries. Reports show that Chinese medical professionals are being injured, disabled, or even killed by patients or their family members.2,3 The killing of a doctor in Beijing in 2019 attracted national attention. China's top legislative body has approved the first fundamental and comprehensive law to protect health-care professionals. The bill will take effect on June 1, 2020. However, the law alone will not solve the problem. We need to treat it from the root and address the issues that have led to this health-care-related violence. A multi-faceted action must be launched to reduce violence against doctors in China urgently.
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Relaciones Médico-Paciente , Violencia Laboral/prevención & control , China , Miedo , Reforma de la Atención de Salud , Humanos , Medios de Comunicación de Masas , SeguridadRESUMEN
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Meningiomas, the most common brain tumor, inevitably require surgical treatment. However, the efficacy of prophylactic antiepileptic drugs (AEDs), in reducing the frequency of new-onset seizures during the perioperative period remains controversial. To further clarify if prophylactic antiepileptic drug treatment for patients with meningioma had value, we reviewed the medical records of 186 supratentorial meningioma patients who were operated at our hospital between 2016 and 2018. SPSS 24.0 software was used for statistical analysis. The results of univariate analysis showed that factors including age, sex, the course of the disease (years), maximum cross-sectional area of the tumor, location of the tumor, multiple or single tumors, adjacent to the cortex, peritumoral brain edema, World Health Organization classification, and peritumoral adhesion were not associated with perioperative seizures (P >0.05). Furthermore, the results of multivariate analysis revealed hydrocephalus (OR 4.87 P = 0.05) and non-skull base location (OR 1.88 P = 0.04) were significant risk factors for perioperative in-hospital seizures. Prophylactic valproic acid treatment did not contribute to the alleviation of perioperative seizures (OR 1.76 P = 0.04). However, Multivariate logistic regression analyses excluding the patients with seizures before operation confirmed prophylactic valproic acid treatment did not reduce the frequency of seizures during the perioperative period (OR 1.84 P = 0.04). Taken together, the data suggest that prophylactic valproic acid treatment for patients with supratentorial meningioma does not reduce the rate of perioperative seizures.
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OBJECTIVE: Patient delay in the recognition of and response to the symptoms of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) is a worldwide problem. A community education program about chest pain was implemented in China, and was aimed at providing better community intervention. In this study, the impact of this program on the time of symptom onset to the first medical contact (SO-to-FMC) in ACS patients was investigated, as was the incidence of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) in these patients. METHODS: A total of 10 local communities were included in this study. A 9-month intensive community education program about chest pain was conducted in these communities. The data on the demographics, mode of transportation, procedures, clinical outcomes, and discharge diagnoses of all ACS patients in these communities were collected. RESULTS: The study communities had a combined population of 361,609, and all community population sizes ranged from 12,823 to 66,127. The average SO-to-FMC time of the control period was 510â¯min, whereas, following community intervention, the average SO-to-FMC time was 256â¯min (Pâ¯<⯠0.001). Furthermore, comparative analyses revealed that, following discharge from the hospital, the 1.5-year MACCE-free survival rate was higher in the community intervention group than in the control group (95.0 % vs. 90.5 %, Pâ¯=⯠0.025), and the 1.5-year mortality rate was lower in the community intervention group than in the control group (3.3 % vs. 6.3 %, Pâ¯=⯠0.03). CONCLUSIONS AND PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS: The Hangzhou Chest Pain Science Education Project(HCPSEP) was found to reduce the SO-to-FMC time and improve the outcome of ACS patients. This indicates that a scientific, educational program on chest pain can be effective in improving the knowledge and alertness of the local residents about chest pain. This type of program may be recognized and carried out in other regions.