Predictive model for atrial fibrillation in hypertensive diabetic patients.

BACKGROUND: Several scores to identify patients at high risk of suffering atrial fibrillation have been developed. Their applicability in hypertensive diabetic patients, however, remains uncertain. Our aim is to develop and validate a diagnostic predictive model to calculate the risk of developing atrial fibrillation at five years in a hypertensive diabetic population. METHODS: The derivation cohort consisted of patients with both hypertension and diabetes attended in any of the 52 primary healthcare centres of Barcelona; the validation cohort came from the 11 primary healthcare centres of Terres de l'Ebre (Catalonia South) from January 2013 to December 2017. Multivariable Cox regression identified clinical risk factors associated with the development of atrial fibrillation. The overall performance, discrimination and calibration of the model were carried out. RESULTS: The derivation data set comprised 54 575 patients. The atrial fibrillation rate incidence was 15.3 per 1000 person/year. A 5-year predictive model included age, male gender, overweight, heart failure, valvular heart disease, peripheral vascular disease, chronic kidney disease, number of antihypertensive drugs, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, heart rate, thromboembolism, stroke and previous history of myocardial infarction. The discrimination of the model was good (c-index = 0.692; 95% confidence interval, 0.684-0.700), and calibration was adequate. In the validation cohort, the discrimination was lower (c-index = 0.670). CONCLUSIONS: The model accurately predicts future atrial fibrillation in a population with both diabetes and hypertension. Early detection allows the prevention of possible complications arising from this disease.

Complex chronic patients as an emergent group with high risk of intracerebral haemorrhage: an observational cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Demographic aging is a generalised event and the proportion of older adults is increasing rapidly worldwide with chronic pathologies, disability, and complexity of health needs. The intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) has devastating consequences in high risk people. This study aims to quantify the incidence of ICH in complex chronic patients (CCP). METHODS: This is a multicentre, retrospective and community-based cohort study of 3594 CCPs followed up from 01/01/2013 to 31/12/2017 in primary care without a history of previous ICH episode. The cases were identified from clinical records encoded with ICD-10 (10th version of the International Classification of Diseases) in the e-SAP database of the Catalan Health Institute. The main variable was the ICH episode during the study period. Demographic, clinical, functional, cognitive and pharmacological variables were included. Descriptive and logistic regression analyses were carried out to identify the variables associated with suffering an ICH. The independent risk factors were obtained from logistic regression models, ruling out the variables included in the HAS-BLED score, to avoid duplication effects. Results are presented as odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). The analysis with the resulting model was also stratified by sex. RESULTS: 161 (4.4%) participants suffered an ICH episode. Mean age 87 ± 9 years; 55.9% women. The ICH incidence density was 151/10000 person-years [95%CI 127-174], without differences by sex. Related to subjects without ICH, presented a higher prevalence of arterial hypertension (83.2% vs. 74.9%; p = 0.02), hypercholesterolemia (55.3% vs. 47.4%, p = 0.05), cardiovascular disease (36.6% vs. 28.9%; p = 0.03), and use of antiplatelet drugs (64.0% vs. 52.9%; p = 0.006). 93.2% had a HAS-BLED score ≥ 3. The independent risk factors for ICH were identified: HAS-BLED ≥3 [OR 3.54; 95%CI 1.88-6.68], hypercholesterolemia [OR 1.62; 95%CI 1.11-2.35], and cardiovascular disease [OR 1.48 IC95% 1.05-2.09]. The HAS_BLED ≥3 score showed a high sensitivity [0.93 CI95% 0.89-0.97] and negative predictive value [0.98 (CI95% 0.83-1.12)]. CONCLUSIONS: In the CCP subgroup the incidence density of ICH was 5-60 times higher than that observed in elder and general population. The use of bleeding risk score as the HAS-BLED scale could improve the preventive approach of those with higher risk of ICH. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This study was retrospectively registered in ClinicalTrials.gov ( NCT03247049 ) on August 11/2017.

Mortality in heart failure with atrial fibrillation: Role of digoxin and diuretics.

BACKGROUND: The impact of atrial fibrillation (AF) on mortality of patients with heart failure (HF) has been established. Nevertheless, the effect of some factors in mortality, such as digoxin or diuretic use, remains controversial. This study aims at assessing mortality in community-dwelling patients with stable HF related to AF and determines the relation of these drugs with prognosis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Community-based cohort study of HF patients diagnosed between January 2010 and December 2014 attended at any one of the 279 primary healthcare centres of the Catalan Institute of Health (Spain). Follow-up ended on December 31, 2015, and the main outcome was mortality for all causes. The effect of clinical and demographic characteristics on survival was assessed by Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: A total of 13 334 HF patients were included. Mean age was 78.7 years (SD 10.1), and 36.8% had AF. Mean follow-up was 26.9 months (SD 14.0). At the end of the study, 25.8% patients had died, and mortality was higher when AF was present (28.8% vs 24.1%, P < 0.001, respectively). Multivariate model confirmed the higher risk of death for AF patients (HR 1.10 95%, CI 1.02-1.19). Digoxin and diuretics were not associated with higher mortality in AF patients (HR 1.04 95% CI 0.92-1.18 and HR 1.04 95% CI 0.85-1.26, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: An excess of mortality in HF patients with AF was found in a large retrospective community-based cohort. Digoxin and diuretics did not affect mortality in HF patients with AF.

[The management of atrial fibrillation and characteristics of its current care in outpatients. AFABE observational study]. / El circuito asistencial de la fibrilación auricular en pacientes ambulatorios: estudio observacional Audit fibrilación auricular en el Baix Ebre.

AIM: To provide insights into the characteristics and management of outpatients when their atrial fibrillation (AF) was first detected: diagnosis, treatment and follow-up in the context of the public health system. DESIGN: AFABE is an observational, multicentre descriptive study with retrospective data collection relating to the practice patterns, management and initial strategies of treatment of patients with diagnosed AF in the context of primary care, emergency and cardiologists of the public health system. SETTING: Primary and Specialist care. Baix Ebre region. Tarragona. Spain. SUBJECTS: A representative sample of 182 subjects > 60-year-old with AF who have been randomized, recruited among the registered patients with AF in 22 primary care centres in the area of the study. MESUREMENTS: Demographic data, comorbidities (AF), CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS_BLED scores, and practice patterns results between Primary Care and referral services. RESULTS: A total of 182 patients were included (mean age 78.5 SD:7.3 years; 50% women). Most patients (68.3% 95%CI; 60.3-76.3) had the first contact in Primary Care, of which 56.3% (95%CI; 45.2-66.0) were sent to Hospital Emergency Department where 72.7% (95%CI: 63.5-79.0) of the oral anticoagulation and 58.4% (95%CI: 49.4-66.9) of antiarrhytmic treatments were started. More than half (55.9%:95%CI; 47.2-64.7, of patients with permanent AF were followed-up by the Cardiology department. CONCLUSIONS: Most patients with newly diagnosed AF made a first contact with Primary Care, but around half were sent to Hospital Emergency departments, where they were treated with an antiarrhythmic and/or oral anticoagulation.

Prognostic Significance of Lung Ultrasound for Heart Failure Patient Management in Primary Care: A Systematic Review.

Background: Heart failure (HF) affects around 60 million individuals worldwide. The primary aim of this study was to evaluate the efficacy of lung ultrasound (LUS) in managing HF with the goal of reducing hospital readmission rates. Methods: A systematic search was conducted on PubMed, Embase, Google Scholar, Web of Science, and Scopus, covering clinical trials, meta-analyses, systematic reviews, and original articles published between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2023, focusing on LUS for HF assessment in out-patient settings. There is a potential for bias as the effectiveness of interventions may vary depending on the individuals administering them. Results: The PRISMA method synthesized the findings. Out of 873 articles identified, 33 were selected: 19 articles focused on prognostic assessment of HF, 11 centred on multimodal diagnostic assessments, and two addressed therapeutic guidance for HF diagnosis. LUS demonstrates advantages in detecting subclinical congestion, which holds prognostic significance for readmission and mortality during out-patient follow-up post-hospital-discharge, especially in complex scenarios, but there is a lack of standardization. Conclusions: there are considerable uncertainties in their interpretation and monitoring changes. The need for an updated international consensus on the use of LUS seems obvious.

Understanding Prognostic Factors for Human Papillomavirus Vaccination: A Rural Community Case-Control Study.

HPV vaccination coverage rates can vary depending on several factors. The main objective of this study is to identify possible independent prognostic factors that have an impact on HPV vaccination in a rural community, specifically related to sexual and reproductive health. A case-control, retrospective, community-based study was carried out on women aged 15 to 40 in the primary health centers of Southern Catalonia's Terres de l'Ebre region, Spain, from 1 January 2020 to 31 December 2022. A random sample of 520 women with an average age of 29.3 (SD 7.8) years old was included in the study. Independent prognostic factors: age OR 0.680 (95% CI: 0.635-0.729, p < 0.001), immigrant origin OR 0.215 (95% CI: 0.109-0.422, p < 0.001), and HPV PCR OR 7.402 (95% CI: 2.504-21.880, p < 0.001). The variables that showed a barrier effect for HPV vaccination were age (OR 0.680, 95% CI 0.635-0.729, p < 0.001), and immigrant origin (OR 0.215, 95% CI 0.109-0.422, p < 0.001). The variable that showed a facilitating effect for HPV vaccination was HPV PCR (OR 7.402, 95% CI 2.504-21.880, p < 0.001).

Early Diagnosis of Atrial Fibrillation and Stroke Incidence in Primary Care: Translating Measurements into Actions-A Retrospective Cohort Study.

(1) Background: AF-related strokes will triple by 2060, are associated with an increased risk of cognitive decline, and alone or in combination, will be one of the main health and economic burdens on the European population. The main goal of this paper is to describe the incidence of new AF associated with stroke, cognitive decline and mortality among people at high risk for AF. (2) Methods: Multicenter, observational, retrospective, community-based studies were conducted from 1 January 2015 to 31 December 2021. The setting was primary care centers. A total of 40,297 people aged ≥65 years without previous AF or stroke were stratified by AFrisk at 5 years. The main measurements were the overall incidence density/1000 person-years (CI95%) of AF and stroke, prevalence of cognitive decline, and Kaplan-Meier curve. (3) Results: In total, 46.4% women, 77.65 ± 8.46 years old on average showed anAF incidence of 9.9/103/year (CI95% 9.5-10.3), associated with a four-fold higher risk of stroke (CI95% 3.4-4.7), cognitive impairment(OR 1.34 (CI95% 1.1-1.5)), and all-cause mortality (OR 1.14 (CI95% 1.0-1.2)), but there was no significant difference in ischemic heart disease, chronic kidney disease, or peripheral arteriopathy. Unknown AF was diagnosed in 9.4% and of these patients, 21.1% were diagnosed with new stroke. (4) Conclusions: The patients at high AF risk (Q4th) already had an increased cardiovascular risk before they were diagnosed with AF.

Echocardiography and Electrocardiography in Detecting Atrial Cardiomyopathy: A Promising Path to Predicting Cardioembolic Strokes and Atrial Fibrillation.

(1) Background: Atrial cardiomyopathy constitutes an intrinsically prothrombotic atrial substrate that may promote atrial fibrillation and thromboembolic events, especially stroke, independently of the arrhythmia. Atrial reservoir strain is the echocardiography marker with the most robust evidence supporting its prognostic utility. The main aim of this study is to identify atrial cardiomyopathy by investigating the association between left atrial dysfunction in echocardiography and P-wave abnormalities in the surface electrocardiogram. (2) Methods: This is a community-based, multicenter, prospective cohort study. A randomized sample of 100 patients at a high risk of developing atrial fibrillation were evaluated using diverse echocardiography imaging techniques, and a standard electrocardiogram. (3) Results: Significant left atrial dysfunction, expressed by a left atrial reservoir strain < 26%, showed a relationship with the dilation of the left atrium (p < 0.001), the left atrial ejection fraction < 50% (p < 0.001), the presence of advanced interatrial block (p = 0.032), P-wave voltage in lead I < 0.1 mV (p = 0.008), and MVP ECG score (p = 0.036). (4) Conclusions: A significant relationship was observed between left atrial dysfunction and the presence of left atrial enlargement and other electrocardiography markers; all of them are non-invasive biomarkers of atrial cardiomyopathy.

HPV Vaccination Coverage Rate in a Rural Area: An Observational, Retrospective, and Cohort Study.

In order to reduce the incidence and mortality rate of cervical cancer, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared the Global Strategy Goal for 2030, advocating for reaching a vaccination coverage rate of >90% against human papillomavirus for girls by the age of 15 years. The main objectives of this study were (1) to determine the papillomavirus vaccination coverage among women 15−40 years old and (2) to identify the at-risk subgroups and possible barriers to achieving WHO's 2030 goal. Multicentre, observational, retrospective, and community-based cohort studies were conducted on women from a rural area in southern Catalonia until 31 December 2021. A total of 23,136 women were included, with a mean age of 26.6 (SD = 5.6) years. The average dose number was 1.7 (SD = 0.7). The results showed overall vaccination coverage of 17.4% among the target women. This coverage was unequal across regions (16.6−24.5%, p < 0.001), primary healthcare teams (15.5−24.3%, p < 0.001), and age groups (56.7% (15−19-year-olds) vs. 3.8% (35−40-year-olds), p < 0.001), related to accessibility to vaccination and economic−geographical indicators. Clinical practice guidelines on screening individuals at risk in terms of vaccination access and public vaccination protocols should be implemented in order to improve the vaccination coverage rate.

Blood-biomarkers and devices for atrial fibrillation screening: Lessons learned from the AFRICAT (Atrial Fibrillation Research In CATalonia) study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: AFRICAT is a prospective cohort study intending to develop an atrial fibrillation (AF) screening program through the combination of blood markers, rhythm detection devices, and long-term monitoring in our community. In particular, we aimed to validate the use of NT-proBNP, and identify new blood biomarkers associated with AF. Also, we aimed to compare AF detection using various wearables and long-term Holter monitoring. METHODS: 359 subjects aged 65-75 years with hypertension and diabetes were included in two phases: Phase I (n = 100) and Phase II (n = 259). AF diagnosis was performed by baseline 12-lead ECG, 4 weeks of Holter monitoring (NuuboTM), and/or medical history. An aptamer array including 1310 proteins was measured in the blood of 26 patients. Candidates were selected according to p-value, logFC and biological function to be tested in verification and validation phases. Several screening devices were tested and compared: AliveCor, Watch BP, MyDiagnostick and Fibricheck. RESULTS: AF was present in 34 subjects (9.47%). The aptamer array revealed 41 proteins with differential expression in AF individuals. TIMP-2 and ST-2 were the most promising candidates in the verification analysis, but none of them was further validated. NT-proBNP (log-transformed) (OR = 1.934; p<0.001) was the only independent biomarker to detect AF in the whole cohort. Compared to an ECG, WatchBP had the highest sensitivity (84.6%) and AUC (0.895 [0.780-1]), while MyDiagnostick showed the highest specificity (97.10%). CONCLUSION: The inclusion and monitoring of a cohort of primary care patients for AF detection, together with the testing of biomarkers and screening devices provided useful lessons about AF screening in our community. An AF screening strategy using rhythm detection devices and short monitoring periods among high-risk patients with high NT-proBNP levels could be feasible.

Blood-Based Biomarkers to Search for Atrial Fibrillation in High-Risk Asymptomatic Individuals and Cryptogenic Stroke Patients.

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of ischemic stroke in asymptomatic individuals and may be the underlying cause of many cryptogenic strokes. We aimed to test the usefulness of candidate blood-biomarkers related to AF pathophysiology in two prospective cohorts representative of those populations. Methods: Two hundred seventy-four subjects aged 65-75 years with hypertension and diabetes from the AFRICAT cohort, and 218 cryptogenic stroke patients aged >55 years from the CRYPTO-AF cohort were analyzed. AF was assessed by 4 weeks of monitoring with a wearable Holter device (NuuboTM™). Blood was collected immediately before monitoring started. 10 candidate biomarkers were measured by automated immunoassays (Roche, Penzberg) in the plasma of all patients. Univariate and logistic regression analyses were performed in each cohort separately. Results: Atrial fibrillation detection rate was 12.4% (AFRICAT cohort) and 22.9% (CRYPTO-AF cohort). 4 biomarkers were significantly increased in asymptomatic individuals with AF [Troponin-T, Angiopoietin-2 (Ang-2), Endocan, and total N-terminal pro-B type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP)] and 7 biomarkers showed significantly higher concentrations in cryptogenic stroke patients with AF detection [growth differentiation factor 15, interleukin 6, Troponin-T, Ang-2, Bone morphogenic protein 10, Dickkopf-related protein 3 (DKK-3), and total NT-proBNP]. The models including Ang-2 and total NT-proBNP [AUC 0.764 (0.665-0.863)], and Ang-2 and DKK-3 [AUC = 0.733 (0.654-0.813)], together with age and sex, showed the best performance to detect AF in high-risk asymptomatic individuals, and in cryptogenic stroke patients, respectively. Conclusion: Blood-biomarkers, in particular, total NT-proBNP, DKK-3, and Ang-2, were associated with AF reflecting two mechanistically different pathways involved in AF pathophysiology (AF stretch and vascular changes). The combination of these biomarkers could be useful in AF screening strategies in the primary care setting and also for searching AF after cryptogenic stroke.

Adjusted Morbidity Groups and Intracerebral Haemorrhage: A Retrospective Primary Care Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Intracerebral haemorrhage rates are increasing among highly complex, elderly patients. The main objective of this study was to identify modifiable risk factors of intracerebral haemorrhage. METHODS: Multicentre, retrospective, community-based cohort study was conducted, including patients in the Adjusted Morbidity Group 4 with no history of intracerebral haemorrhage. Cases were obtained from electronic clinical records of the Catalan Institute of Health and were followed up for five years. The primary outcome was the occurrence of intracerebral haemorrhage during the study period. Demographic, clinical and pharmacological variables were included. Logistic regression analyses were carried out to detect prognostic variables for intracerebral haemorrhage. RESULTS: 4686 subjects were included; 170 (3.6%) suffered an intracerebral haemorrhage (85.8/10,000 person-year [95% CI 85.4 to 86.2]). The HAS-BLED score for intracerebral haemorrhage risk detection obtained the best AUC (0.7) when used in the highest complexity level (cut-off point ≥3). Associated independent risk factors were age ≥80 years, high complexity and use of antiplatelet agents. CONCLUSIONS: The Adjusted Morbidity Group 4 is associated with a high risk of intracerebral haemorrhage, particularly for highly complex patients and the use of antiplatelet agents. The risk of bleeding in these patients must be closely monitored.

Incidence and Risk Assessment for Atrial Fibrillation at 5 Years: Hypertensive Diabetic Retrospective Cohort.

(1) Background: The link between diabetes and hypertension is mutual and reciprocal, increasing the risks for the development of atrial fibrillation (AF). The main objective was to develop a prediction model for AF in a population with both diabetes and hypertension at five years of follow-up. (2) Methods: A multicenter and community-based cohort study was undertaken of 8237 hypertensive diabetic patients without AF between 1 January 2103 and 31 December 2017. Multivariate Cox proportional-hazards regression models were used to identify predictors AF and to stratify risk scores by quartiles. (3) Results: AF incidence was 10.5/1000 people/years (95% confidence interval (CI) 9.5-11.5), higher in men. The independent prognostic factors identified: age (hazard ratio (HR) 1.07 95% CI 1.05-1.09, p < 0.001), weight (HR 1.03 95% CI 1.02-1.04, p < 0.001), CHA2DS2VASc score (HR 1.57 95% CI 1.16-2.13, p = 0.003) and female gender (HR 0.55 95% CI 0.37-0.82, p = 0.004). Q4 (highest-risk group for AF) had the highest AF incidence, stroke and mortality, and the smallest number needed to screen to detect one case of AF. (4) Conclusions: Risk-based screening for AF should be used in high cardiovascular risk patients as the hypertensive diabetics, for treatment of modifiable cardiovascular risk, and monitoring AF detection.

Cardioembolic Ischemic Stroke Gene Expression Fingerprint in Blood: a Systematic Review and Verification Analysis.

An accurate etiological classification is key to optimize secondary prevention after ischemic stroke, but the cause remains undetermined in one third of patients. Several studies pointed out the usefulness of circulating gene expression markers to discriminate cardioembolic (CE) strokes, mainly due to atrial fibrillation (AF), while only exploring them in small cohorts. A systematic review of studies analyzing high-throughput gene expression in blood samples to discriminate CE strokes was performed. Significantly dysregulated genes were considered as candidates, and a selection of them was validated by RT-qPCR in 100 patients with defined CE or atherothrombotic (LAA) stroke etiology. Longitudinal performance was evaluated in 12 patients at three time points. Their usefulness as biomarkers for AF was tested in 120 cryptogenic strokes and 100 individuals at high-risk for stroke. Three published studies plus three unpublished datasets were considered for candidate selection. Sixty-seven genes were found dysregulated in CE strokes. CREM, PELI1, and ZAK were verified to be up-regulated in CE vs LAA (p = 0.010, p = 0.003, p < 0.001, respectively), without changes in their expression within the first 24 h after stroke onset. The combined up-regulation of these three biomarkers increased the probability of suffering from CE stroke by 23-fold. In cryptogenic strokes with subsequent AF detection, PELI1 and CREM showed overexpression (p = 0.017, p = 0.059, respectively), whereas in high-risk asymptomatic populations, all three genes showed potential to detect AF (p = 0.007, p = 0.007, p = 0.015). The proved discriminatory capacity of these gene expression markers to detect cardioembolism even in cryptogenic strokes and asymptomatic high-risk populations might bring up their use as biomarkers.

N-Terminal Pro B-Type Natriuretic Peptide's Usefulness for Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation Detection Among Populations Carrying Cardiovascular Risk Factors.

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) systematic screening studies have not shown a clear usefulness in stroke prevention, as AF might present as paroxysmal and asymptomatic. This study aims to determine the usefulness of some blood-biomarkers to identify paroxysmal atrial fibrillation in the context of a screening programme. Methods: A total of 100 subjects aged 65-75 years with hypertension and diabetes were randomly selected. AF was assessed by conventional electrocardiogram (ECG) and 4 weeks monitoring with a wearable Holter device (Nuubo™). N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), apolipoprotein CIII (ApoC-III), von Willebrand factor (vWF), ADAMTS13, urokinase plasminogen activator surface receptor (uPAR), and urokinase plasminogen activator (uPA) were determined in serum/plasma samples and the levels were compared depending on AF presence and mode of detection. Results: The AF prevalence in the studied population was found to be 20%. In seven subjects, AF was only detected after 1 month of Holter monitoring (hAF group). NT-proBNP levels were higher in subjects with AF compared with subjects with no AF (p < 0.0001), even when only taking into account the hAF group (p = 0.031). No significant differences were found in the other biomarkers. The NT-proBNP >95 pg/ml cut-off showed high sensitivity and specificity to detect AF (95%, 66.2%) or hAF (85.72%, 66.2%) and was found to be an independent predictor of AF and hAF in a logistic regression analysis. NT-proBNP correlated with AF burden (r = 0.597, p = 0.024). Conclusion: NT-proBNP was elevated in AF cases not identified by ECG; thus, it may be used as a screening biomarker in asymptomatic high-risk populations, with a promising cut-off point of 95 pg/ml that requires further validation.

Results from the Registry of Atrial Fibrillation (AFABE): Gap between Undiagnosed and Registered Atrial Fibrillation in Adults--Ineffectiveness of Oral Anticoagulation Treatment with VKA.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to examine the effectiveness of the use of oral anticoagulation (OAC) medication, recommended by national guidelines for stroke prevention but reportedly underused in AF patients with moderate to high stroke risk. METHOD: A multicentre and cross-sectional study of undiagnosed AF among out-of-hospital patients over 60 years old was carried out, visiting 3,638 patients at primary health centres or at home for AF diagnosis using the IDC-10 classification. The main outcome measures were CHA2DS2VASC, HAS-BLED scores, cardiovascular comorbidity, pharmacological information, TTR, and SAMe-TT2R2 scores. RESULTS: The main findings were undiagnosed AF in 26.44% of cases; 31.04% registered with AF but not using OAC despite 95.6% having a CHA2DS2VASC ≥ 2 score; a risk of bleeding in important subgroups using OAC without indication (37.50% CHA2DS2VASC < 2 score); the use of OAC with TTR < 60% (33.1%), of whom 47.6% had a HAS-BLED score ≥3. Thus, 35.4% of the expected AF prevalence achieved an optimal time in the therapeutic range. CONCLUSIONS: The expected AF prevalence was 10.9% (n 5267), but the registered prevalence was 7.5% (n 3638). Only 35.04% (CI = 95%, 33.7-36.3) of AF patients treated with vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) achieve the goal of TTR > 60%.

Características del tratamiento anticoagulante oral en la fibrilación auricular crónica de alto riesgo / Characteristics of oral anticoagulation treatment in chronic auricular fibrillation

Objective: To calculate the prevalence of chronic auricular fibrillation (CAF), how much of it is considered high-risk (CAFhr) and the degree of coverage with oral anticoagulation treatment (OAT). Design: Multi-centre descriptive study. Setting: 9 health districts. The Terres de l'Ebre Primary Care Service. Participants: Randomised sample of 375 patients with CAF, of whom 150 met the criteria of CAFhr during 2002. Main measurements: Profile of patients with CAFhr; coverage with OAT; place of follow-up; presence of vascular complications; and the time relationships between the diagnosis of CAF, vascular complications and the start of OAT. All the INR determinations taken from the patients included in the study were used. Results: There was 2.2% prevalence of CAF (95% CI: 1.2-3.3). 40% of CAF had criteria of CAFhr. 74.2% were treated with OAT. In 41.7% the diagnosis of CAF coincided with the incidence of some vascular complication. There were no differences between the overall results of the INR obtained in hospital and in PC. The expected efficacy of OAT for thromboembolism prevention in our high risk sample was 61.12%. Conclusions: 40% of the CAF are high risk. In over a third of patients OAT was indicated after a vascular complication linked to a unknown CAF. The INR between 2-3 is similar in PC centres and the corresponding haematology service

Objetivo: Investigar la prevalencia de la fibrilación auricular crónica de alto riesgo (FACar) y su cobertura con tratamiento anticoagulante oral (TAO) y comparar los resultados a nivel primario y hospitalario. Diseño: Estudio descriptivo, multicéntrico, de selección al azar. Emplazamiento: 9 áreas básicas de salud. Participantes: 375 pacientes con FAC, de los que 112 reunían los criterios de FACar durante 2002. Mediciones principales: Perfil de pacientes con FACar, cobertura con TAO, lugar de seguimiento, presencia de complicaciones vasculares y la relación temporal entre el diagnóstico de FAC, las complicaciones vasculares y el inicio del TAO. Se utilizaron todas las determinaciones INR practicadas a los pacientes incluidos en el período de estudio. Resultados: La prevalencia de FAC es del 2.2% (IC 95%: 1.4-3.3). El 40% de las FAC tienen criterios de FACar en pacientes mayores de 64 años. Un 74.2% está tratado con TAO. En un 41.7% el diagnóstico de la FAC coincide con la incidencia de una complicación vascular. No hay diferencias en los resultados globales de los INR obtenidos en el hospital y en atención primaria. La efectividad esperada del TAO en la prevención tromboembólica en nuestra población de alto riesgo es del 61.12%. Conclusiones: El 40% de las FAC son de alto riesgo. En más de un tercio de los pacientes el TAO fue indicado después de una complicación vascular asociada a una FAC desconocida. Hay un retraso del TAO en su inicio. La proporción de INR entre 2-3 obtenida en los centros de atención primaria es similar a los del servicio de hematología de referencia.