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1.
PLoS Comput Biol ; 14(5): e1006127, 2018 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29768401

RESUMEN

Computational models of cholera transmission can provide objective insights into the course of an ongoing epidemic and aid decision making on allocation of health care resources. However, models are typically designed, calibrated and interpreted post-hoc. Here, we report the efforts of a team from academia, field research and humanitarian organizations to model in near real-time the Haitian cholera outbreak after Hurricane Matthew in October 2016, to assess risk and to quantitatively estimate the efficacy of a then ongoing vaccination campaign. A rainfall-driven, spatially-explicit meta-community model of cholera transmission was coupled to a data assimilation scheme for computing short-term projections of the epidemic in near real-time. The model was used to forecast cholera incidence for the months after the passage of the hurricane (October-December 2016) and to predict the impact of a planned oral cholera vaccination campaign. Our first projection, from October 29 to December 31, predicted the highest incidence in the departments of Grande Anse and Sud, accounting for about 45% of the total cases in Haiti. The projection included a second peak in cholera incidence in early December largely driven by heavy rainfall forecasts, confirming the urgency for rapid intervention. A second projection (from November 12 to December 31) used updated rainfall forecasts to estimate that 835 cases would be averted by vaccinations in Grande Anse (90% Prediction Interval [PI] 476-1284) and 995 in Sud (90% PI 508-2043). The experience gained by this modeling effort shows that state-of-the-art computational modeling and data-assimilation methods can produce informative near real-time projections of cholera incidence. Collaboration among modelers and field epidemiologists is indispensable to gain fast access to field data and to translate model results into operational recommendations for emergency management during an outbreak. Future efforts should thus draw together multi-disciplinary teams to ensure model outputs are appropriately based, interpreted and communicated.


Asunto(s)
Cólera , Simulación por Computador , Tormentas Ciclónicas , Brotes de Enfermedades , Cólera/prevención & control , Cólera/transmisión , Toma de Decisiones , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Brotes de Enfermedades/estadística & datos numéricos , Predicción , Haití , Humanos , Incidencia
2.
BMC Public Health ; 19(1): 1153, 2019 Aug 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31438898

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Measles continues to circulate in the Democratic Republic of Congo, and the country suffered from several important outbreaks over the last 5 years. Despite a large outbreak starting in the former province of Katanga in 2010 and the resulting immunization activities, another outbreak occurred in 2015 in this same region. We conducted measles seroprevalence surveys in four health zones (HZ) in the former Katanga Province in order to assess the immunity against measles in children 6 months to 14 years after the 2015 outbreak. METHODS: We conducted multi-stage cluster surveys stratified by age group in four HZs, Kayamba, Malemba-Nkulu, Fungurume, and Manono. The age groups were 6-11 months, 12-59 months, and 5-14 years in Kayamba and Malemba-Nkulu, 6-59 months and 5-14 years in Manono and Fungurume. The serological status was measured on dried capillary blood spots collected systematically along with vaccination status (including routine Extended Program of Immunization (EPI), and supplementary immunization activities (SIAs)) and previous self-reported history of suspected measles. RESULTS: Overall seroprevalence against measles was 82.7% in Kayamba, 97.6% in Malemba-Nkulu, 83.2% in Manono, and 74.4% in Fungurume, and it increased with age in all HZs. It was 70.7 and 93.8% in children 12-59 months in Kayamba and Malemba-Nkulu, and 49.8 and 64.7% in children 6-59 months in Fungurume and Manono. The EPI coverage was low but varied across HZ. The accumulation of any type of vaccination against measles resulted in an overall vaccine coverage (VC) of at least 85% in children 12-59 months in Kayamba and Malemba-Nkulu, 86.1 and 74.8% in children 6-59 months in Fungurume and Manono. Previous measles infection in 2015-early 2016 was more frequently reported in children aged 12-59 months or 6-59 months (depending on the HZ). CONCLUSION: The measured seroprevalence was consistent with the events that occurred in these HZs over the past few years. Measles seroprevalence might prove a valuable source of information to help adjust the timing of future SIAs and prioritizing support to the EPI in this region as long as the VC does not reach a level high enough to efficiently prevent epidemic flare-ups.


Asunto(s)
Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Programas de Inmunización , Vacuna Antisarampión/administración & dosificación , Sarampión/epidemiología , Adolescente , Niño , Preescolar , República Democrática del Congo/epidemiología , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Masculino , Sarampión/prevención & control , Estudios Seroepidemiológicos
3.
Matern Child Nutr ; 15(2): e12688, 2019 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30194814

RESUMEN

The use of mid upper arm circumference (MUAC) measurement to screen and determine eligibility for admission to therapeutic feeding programs has been established, but evidence and programmatic experience to inform guidance on the use of MUAC as a discharge criterion is limited. We present results from a large-scale nutritional program using MUAC for admission and discharge and compare program outcomes and response to treatment when determining eligibility for discharge by proportional weight gain versus discharge by MUAC. The study population included all children admitted to the Ministry of Health therapeutic feeding program supported by Médecins Sans Frontières in northern Burkina Faso from September 2007 to December 2011 (n = 50,841). Recovery was high overall using both discharge criteria, with low risks of death, nonresponse, and transfer to inpatient care and high daily gains in weight, MUAC, weight-for-height Z score, and height. When discharge was made by MUAC only, recovery increased, while all adverse program outcomes and length of stay decreased, with increasing MUAC on admission. MUAC-based programming, where MUAC is integrated into program screening, admission, and discharge, is one of several new approaches that can be used to target resources to the most at-risk malnourished children and improve program efficiency and coherency. This analysis provides additional programmatic experience on the use of MUAC-based discharge criterion, but more work may be needed to inform optimal discharge thresholds across settings.


Asunto(s)
Antropometría/métodos , Brazo/fisiología , Alta del Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Desnutrición Aguda Severa/dietoterapia , Burkina Faso , Preescolar , Centros Comunitarios de Salud , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Masculino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Resultado del Tratamiento
4.
BMC Med ; 16(1): 40, 2018 03 13.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29530041

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Since 2015, Europe has been facing an unprecedented arrival of refugees and migrants: more than one million people entered via land and sea routes. During their travels, refugees and migrants often face harsh conditions, forced detention, and violence in transit countries. However, there is a lack of epidemiological quantitative evidence on their experiences and the mental health problems they face during their displacement. We aimed to document the types of violence experienced by migrants and refugees during their journey and while settled in Greece, and to measure the prevalence of anxiety disorders and access to legal information and procedures. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional population-based quantitative survey combined with an explanatory qualitative study in eight sites (representing the range of settlements) in Greece during winter 2016/17. The survey consisted of a structured questionnaire on experience of violence and an interviewer-administered anxiety disorder screening tool (Refugee Health Screener). RESULTS: In total, 1293 refugees were included, of whom 728 were Syrians (41.3% females) of median age 18 years (interquartile range 7-30). Depending on the site, between 31% and 77.5% reported having experienced at least one violent event in Syria, 24.8-57.5% during the journey to Greece, and 5-8% in their Greek settlement. Over 75% (up to 92%) of respondents ≥15 years screened positive for anxiety disorder, which warranted referral for mental health evaluation, which was only accepted by 69-82% of participants. Access to legal information and assistance about asylum procedures were considered poor to non-existent for the majority, and the uncertainty of their status exacerbated their anxiety. CONCLUSIONS: This survey, conducted during a mass refugee crisis in a European Community country, provides important data on experiences in different refugee settings and reports the high levels of violence experienced by Syrian refugees during their journeys, the high prevalence of anxiety disorders, and the shortcomings of the international protective response.


Asunto(s)
Acceso a la Información/psicología , Salud Mental/etnología , Refugiados/psicología , Violencia/etnología , Adolescente , Adulto , Niño , Preescolar , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Grecia , Humanos , Masculino , Siria , Adulto Joven
5.
Bull World Health Organ ; 96(12): 817-825, 2018 Dec 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30505029

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate vaccination coverage, identify reasons for non-vaccination and assess satisfaction with two innovative strategies for distributing second doses in an oral cholera vaccine campaign in 2016 in Lake Chilwa, Malawi, in response to a cholera outbreak. METHODS: We performed a two-stage cluster survey. The population interviewed was divided in three strata according to the second-dose vaccine distribution strategy: (i) a standard strategy in 1477 individuals (68 clusters of 5 households) on the lake shores; (ii) a simplified cold-chain strategy in 1153 individuals (59 clusters of 5 households) on islands in the lake; and (iii) an out-of-cold-chain strategy in 295 fishermen (46 clusters of 5 to 15 fishermen) in floating homes, called zimboweras. FINDING: Vaccination coverage with at least one dose was 79.5% (1153/1451) on the lake shores, 99.3% (1098/1106) on the islands and 84.7% (200/236) on zimboweras. Coverage with two doses was 53.0% (769/1451), 91.1% (1010/1106) and 78.8% (186/236), in the three strata, respectively. The most common reason for non-vaccination was absence from home during the campaign. Most interviewees liked the novel distribution strategies. CONCLUSION: Vaccination coverage on the shores of Lake Chilwa was moderately high and the innovative distribution strategies tailored to people living on the lake provided adequate coverage, even among hard-to-reach communities. Community engagement and simplified delivery procedures were critical for success. Off-label, out-of-cold-chain administration of oral cholera vaccine should be considered as an effective strategy for achieving high coverage in hard-to-reach communities. Nevertheless, coverage and effectiveness must be monitored over the short and long term.


Asunto(s)
Administración Oral , Vacunas contra el Cólera/administración & dosificación , Cólera/prevención & control , Adolescente , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Entrevistas como Asunto , Malaui , Masculino , Investigación Cualitativa , Cobertura de Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos
6.
Trop Med Int Health ; 23(8): 834-840, 2018 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29851181

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To assess the performance of the SD Bioline Cholera Ag O1/O139 rapid diagnostic test (RDT) compared to a reference standard combining culture and PCR for the diagnosis of cholera cases during an outbreak. METHODS: RDT and bacterial culture were performed on site using fresh stools collected from cholera suspected cases, and from stools enriched in alkaline peptone water. Dried stool samples on filter paper were tested for V. cholerae by PCR in Lusaka (as part of a laboratory technology transfer project) and at a reference laboratory in Paris, France. A sample was considered positive for cholera by the reference standard if any of the culture or PCR tests was positive for V. cholerae O1 or O139. RESULTS: Among the 170 samples tested with SD Bioline and compared to the reference standard, the RDT showed a sensitivity of 90.9% (95% CI: 81.3-96.6) and specificity of 95.2% (95% CI: 89.1-98.4). After enrichment, the sensitivity was 95.5% (95% CI: 87.3-99.1) and specificity 100% (95% CI: 96.5-100). CONCLUSION: The observed sensitivity and specificity were within recommendations set by the Global Task Force for Cholera Control on the use of cholera RDT (sensitivity = 90%; specificity = 85%). Although the sample size was small, our findings suggest that the SD Bioline RDT could be used in the field to rapidly alert public health officials to the likely presence of cholera cases when an outbreak is suspected.


Asunto(s)
Cólera/diagnóstico , Pruebas Diagnósticas de Rutina/métodos , Heces/microbiología , Vibrio cholerae/aislamiento & purificación , Humanos , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa , Juego de Reactivos para Diagnóstico , Zambia
8.
Appetite ; 59(3): 698-705, 2012 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22867910

RESUMEN

Few studies have looked at consumption of Ready-to-Use-Supplementary-Foods (RUSFs) during a nutritional emergency. Here, we describe the use and acceptability of RUSF within households in four districts of the region of Maradi, Niger during large scale preventive distributions with RUSF in 2010 targeted at children 6-35months of age. Our study comprised both quantitative and qualitative components to collect detailed information and to allow in-depth interviews. We performed a cross-sectional survey in 16 villages between two monthly distributions of RUSF (October-November 2010). All households with at least one child who received RUSF were included and a total of 1842 caregivers were interviewed using a structured questionnaire. Focus groups and individual interviews of 128 caregivers were conducted in eight of the selected villages. On average, 24.7% of households reported any sharing of RUSF within the household. Sharing practices outside the household remained rare. Most of the sharing reported occurred among children under 5years of age living in the household. On average, 91% of caregivers in all districts rated the child's appreciation of the products as good or very good. Program planning may need to explicitly accounting for the sharing of products among children under 5 within household.


Asunto(s)
Dieta , Composición Familiar , Comida Rápida/estadística & datos numéricos , Desnutrición/prevención & control , Aceptación de la Atención de Salud , Conducta Social , Adolescente , Adulto , Cuidadores , Niño , Preescolar , Estudios Transversales , Cultura , Suplementos Dietéticos , Femenino , Grupos Focales , Humanos , Lactante , Relaciones Interpersonales , Entrevistas como Asunto , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Niger , Percepción , Valores Sociales , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Adulto Joven
9.
J Trop Pediatr ; 57(6): 412-7, 2011 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21212129

RESUMEN

Providing abandoned children the necessary medical and psychological care as possible after their institutionalization may minimize developmental delays. We describe psychomotor development in infants admitted to an orphanage in Khartoum, Sudan, assessed at admission and over an 18-month follow-up. Psychological state and psychomotor quotients were determined using a simplified Neonatal Behavior Assessment Scale (NBAS), the Brunet-Lezine and Alarm distress baby (ADBB) scale. From May-September 2005, 151 children were evaluated 2, 4, 9, 12 and 18 months after inclusion. At admission, ~15% of children ≤1 month had a regulation impairment according to the NBAS, and 33.8% presented a distress state (ADBB score >5). More than 85% (129/151) recovered normal psychomotor development. The results of the program reinforce the importance of early detection of psychological disorders followed by rapid implementation of psychological case management to improve the development of young children in similar institutions and circumstances.


Asunto(s)
Desarrollo Infantil , Niños Huérfanos/psicología , Discapacidades del Desarrollo , Conducta del Lactante/psicología , Cuidado del Lactante/métodos , Orfanatos , Trastornos Psicomotores , Adopción , Manejo de Caso , Discapacidades del Desarrollo/diagnóstico , Discapacidades del Desarrollo/terapia , Femenino , Cuidados en el Hogar de Adopción , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , Orfanatos/métodos , Orfanatos/estadística & datos numéricos , Estudios Prospectivos , Pruebas Psicológicas , Trastornos Psicomotores/diagnóstico , Trastornos Psicomotores/terapia , Desempeño Psicomotor , Sudán
10.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 14(1): e0007967, 2020 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32004316

RESUMEN

Oral cholera vaccine (OCV) has increasingly been used as an outbreak control measure, but vaccine shortages limit its application. A two-dose OCV campaign targeting residents aged over 1 year was launched in three rural Communes of Southern Haiti during an outbreak following Hurricane Matthew in October 2016. Door-to-door and fixed-site strategies were employed and mobile teams delivered vaccines to hard-to-reach communities. This was the first campaign to use the recently pre-qualified OCV, Euvichol. The study objective was to estimate post-campaign vaccination coverage in order to evaluate the campaign and guide future outbreak control strategies. We conducted a cluster survey with sampling based on random GPS points. We identified clusters of five households and included all members eligible for vaccination. Local residents collected data through face-to-face interviews. Coverage was estimated, accounting for the clustered sampling, and 95% confidence intervals calculated. 435 clusters, 2,100 households and 9,086 people were included (99% response rate). Across the three communes respectively, coverage by recall was: 80.7% (95% CI:76.8-84.1), 82.6% (78.1-86.4), and 82.3% (79.0-85.2) for two doses and 94.2% (90.8-96.4), 91.8% (87-94.9), and 93.8% (90.8-95.9) for at least one dose. Coverage varied by less than 9% across age groups and was similar among males and females. Participants obtained vaccines from door-to-door vaccinators (53%) and fixed sites (47%). Most participants heard about the campaign through community 'criers' (58%). Despite hard-to-reach communities, high coverage was achieved in all areas through combining different vaccine delivery strategies and extensive community mobilisation. Emergency OCV campaigns are a viable option for outbreak control and where possible multiple strategies should be used in combination. Euvichol will help alleviate the OCV shortage but effectiveness studies in outbreaks should be done.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra el Cólera/administración & dosificación , Cólera/prevención & control , Vacunación Masiva/métodos , Cobertura de Vacunación , Adolescente , Adulto , Niño , Preescolar , Cólera/epidemiología , Vacunas contra el Cólera/provisión & distribución , Análisis por Conglomerados , Recolección de Datos , Brotes de Enfermedades , Composición Familiar , Femenino , Haití/epidemiología , Humanos , Lactante , Masculino , Población Rural
11.
Malar J ; 8: 203, 2009 Aug 23.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19698172

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Artesunate and amodiaquine (AS&AQ) is at present the world's second most widely used artemisinin-based combination therapy (ACT). It was necessary to evaluate the efficacy of ACT, recently adopted by the World Health Organization (WHO) and deployed over 80 countries, in order to make an evidence-based drug policy. METHODS: An individual patient data (IPD) analysis was conducted on efficacy outcomes in 26 clinical studies in sub-Saharan Africa using the WHO protocol with similar primary and secondary endpoints. RESULTS: A total of 11,700 patients (75% under 5 years old), from 33 different sites in 16 countries were followed for 28 days. Loss to follow-up was 4.9% (575/11,700). AS&AQ was given to 5,897 patients. Of these, 82% (4,826/5,897) were included in randomized comparative trials with polymerase chain reaction (PCR) genotyping results and compared to 5,413 patients (half receiving an ACT). AS&AQ and other ACT comparators resulted in rapid clearance of fever and parasitaemia, superior to non-ACT. Using survival analysis on a modified intent-to-treat population, the Day 28 PCR-adjusted efficacy of AS&AQ was greater than 90% (the WHO cut-off) in 11/16 countries. In randomized comparative trials (n = 22), the crude efficacy of AS&AQ was 75.9% (95% CI 74.6-77.1) and the PCR-adjusted efficacy was 93.9% (95% CI 93.2-94.5). The risk (weighted by site) of failure PCR-adjusted of AS&AQ was significantly inferior to non-ACT, superior to dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine (DP, in one Ugandan site), and not different from AS+SP or AL (artemether-lumefantrine). The risk of gametocyte appearance and the carriage rate of AS&AQ was only greater in one Ugandan site compared to AL and DP, and lower compared to non-ACT (p = 0.001, for all comparisons). Anaemia recovery was not different than comparator groups, except in one site in Rwanda where the patients in the DP group had a slower recovery. CONCLUSION: AS&AQ compares well to other treatments and meets the WHO efficacy criteria for use against falciparum malaria in many, but not all, the sub-Saharan African countries where it was studied. Efficacy varies between and within countries. An IPD analysis can inform general and local treatment policies. Ongoing monitoring evaluation is required.


Asunto(s)
Amodiaquina/uso terapéutico , Antimaláricos/uso terapéutico , Artemisininas/uso terapéutico , Malaria Falciparum/tratamiento farmacológico , Adolescente , Adulto , África del Sur del Sahara , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Animales , Niño , Preescolar , Combinación de Medicamentos , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Plasmodium falciparum/aislamiento & purificación , Resultado del Tratamiento , Adulto Joven
12.
Vaccine ; 37(28): 3668-3676, 2019 06 19.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31133470

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In response to a cholera outbreak among mobile, difficult-to-reach fishermen on Lake Chilwa, Malawi in 2016, a novel vaccine distribution strategy exploited the proven vaccine thermostability. Fishermen, while taking the first vaccine dose under supervision, received the second dose in a sealed bag, and were told to drink it two weeks later. This study assessed short-term vaccine protection of this strategy. METHODS: Patients with diarrhoea admitted to health facilities around lake were interviewed and a stool sample collected for PCR testing. Vaccine effectiveness was assessed in a case-control test-negative design by comparing cases (PCR-positive for V. cholerae O1) and controls (patients with diarrhoea but PCR-negative) and with the screening method that compared the proportions of vaccinated among cholera cases versus the general fishermen population. RESULTS: Of 145 study participants, 120 were fishermen living on the lake. Vaccine effectiveness at three-months was 90.0% [95%CI:38.8;98.4] among fishermen and 83.3% [95%CI: 20.8; 96.5] among all participants in the case-control test-negative design, and 97.5% [95%CI: 90.9;99.3] with the screening method. CONCLUSION: This strategy was effective in providing short-term protection in fishermen against cholera. Further research is needed to determine the adding value of the second dose and to identify the optimal vaccination strategies for different contexts.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra el Cólera/inmunología , Cólera/inmunología , Administración Oral , Adulto , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Diarrea/inmunología , Diarrea/parasitología , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Femenino , Humanos , Lagos/parasitología , Malaui , Masculino , Vacunación/métodos , Vibrio cholerae/inmunología , Adulto Joven
13.
PLoS One ; 14(8): e0219040, 2019.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31469853

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In April 2016, an emergency vaccination campaign using one dose of Oral Cholera Vaccine (OCV) was organized in response to a cholera outbreak that started in Lusaka in February 2016. In December 2016, a second round of vaccination was conducted, with the objective of increasing the duration of protection, before the high-risk period for cholera transmission. We assessed vaccination coverage for the first and second rounds of the OCV campaign. METHODS: Vaccination coverage was estimated after each round from a sample selected from targeted-areas for vaccination using a cross-sectional survey in to establish the vaccination status of the individuals recruited. The study population included all individuals older than 12 months residing in the areas targeted for vaccination. We interviewed 505 randomly selected individuals after the first round and 442 after the second round. Vaccination status was ascertained either by vaccination card or verbal reporting. Households were selected using spatial random sampling. RESULTS: The vaccination coverage with two doses was 58.1% (25/43; 95%CI: 42.1-72.9) in children 1-5 years old, 59.5% (69/116; 95%CI: 49.9-68.5) in children 5-15 years old and 19.9% (56/281; 95%CI: 15.4-25.1) in adults above 15 years old. The overall dropout rate was 10.9% (95%CI: 8.1-14.1). Overall, 69.9% (n = 309/442; 95%CI: 65.4-74.1) reported to have received at least one OCV dose. CONCLUSIONS: The areas at highest risk of suffering cholera outbreaks were targeted for vaccination obtaining relatively high vaccine coverage after each round. However, the long delay between doses in areas subject to considerable population movement resulted in many individuals receiving only one OCV dose. Additional vaccination campaigns may be required to sustain protection over time in case of persistence of risk. Further evidence is needed to establish a maximum optimal interval time of a delayed second dose and variations in different settings.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra el Cólera/administración & dosificación , Cólera/prevención & control , Cólera/transmisión , Vacunación/métodos , Administración Oral , Adolescente , Adulto , Niño , Cólera/epidemiología , Vacunas contra el Cólera/inmunología , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Relación Dosis-Respuesta Inmunológica , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Riesgo , Factores de Tiempo , Adulto Joven , Zambia/epidemiología
14.
Epidemics ; 25: 72-79, 2018 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30054196

RESUMEN

Although patterns of social contacts are believed to be an important determinant of infectious disease transmission, it remains unclear how the frequency and nature of human interactions shape an individual's risk of infection. We analysed data on daily social encounters individually matched to data on S. pneumoniae carriage and acute respiratory symptoms (ARS), from 566 individuals who took part in a survey in South-West Uganda. We found that the frequency of physical (i.e. skin-to-skin), long (≥1 h) and household contacts - which capture some measure of close (i.e. relatively intimate) contact - was higher among pneumococcal carriers than non-carriers, and among people with ARS compared to those without, irrespective of their age. With each additional physical encounter the age-adjusted risk of carriage and ARS increased by 6% (95%CI 2-9%) and 7% (2-13%) respectively. In contrast, the number of casual contacts (<5 min long) was not associated with either pneumococcal carriage or ARS. A detailed analysis by age of contacts showed that the number of close contacts with young children (<5 years) was particularly higher among older children and adult carriers than non-carriers, while the higher number of contacts among people suffering from ARS was more homogeneous across contacts of all ages. Our findings provide key evidence that the frequency of close interpersonal contact is important for transmission of respiratory infections, but not that of casual contacts. Those results are essential for both improving disease prevention and control efforts as well as informing research on infectious disease dynamics and transmission models, and more studies should be undertaken to further validate our results.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones Neumocócicas/transmisión , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/transmisión , Conducta Social , Streptococcus pneumoniae , Adolescente , Adulto , Portador Sano/transmisión , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Infecciones Neumocócicas/prevención & control , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/prevención & control , Conducta Sexual , Parejas Sexuales , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Uganda , Adulto Joven
15.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 12(12): e0007029, 2018 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30532188

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Between December 2015 and July 2016, a yellow fever (YF) outbreak affected urban areas of Angola and the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). We described the outbreak in DRC and assessed the accuracy of the YF case definition, to facilitate early diagnosis of cases in future urban outbreaks. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: In DRC, suspected YF infection was defined as jaundice within 2 weeks after acute fever onset and was confirmed by either IgM serology or PCR for YF viral RNA. We used case investigation and hospital admission forms. Comparing clinical signs between confirmed and discarded suspected YF cases, we calculated the predictive values of each sign for confirmed YF and the diagnostic accuracy of several suspected YF case definitions. Fifty seven of 78 (73%) confirmed cases had travelled from Angola: 88% (50/57) men; median age 31 years (IQR 25-37). 15 (19%) confirmed cases were infected locally in urban settings in DRC. Median time from symptom onset to healthcare consultation was 7 days (IQR 6-9), to appearance of jaundice 8 days (IQR 7-11), to sample collection 9 days (IQR 7-14), and to hospitalization 17 days (IQR 11-26). A case definition including fever or jaundice, combined with myalgia or a negative malaria test, yielded an improved sensitivity (100%) and specificity (57%). CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: As jaundice appeared late, the majority of cases were diagnosed too late for supportive care and prompt vector control. In areas with known local YF transmission, a suspected case definition without jaundice as essential criterion could facilitate earlier YF diagnosis, care and control.


Asunto(s)
Fiebre Amarilla/epidemiología , Adulto , Angola , República Democrática del Congo/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Viaje , Población Urbana , Fiebre Amarilla/diagnóstico , Fiebre Amarilla/virología , Virus de la Fiebre Amarilla/genética , Virus de la Fiebre Amarilla/aislamiento & purificación , Virus de la Fiebre Amarilla/fisiología
16.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 12(5): e0006369, 2018 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29734337

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Oral cholera vaccines are primarily recommended by the World Health Organization for cholera control in endemic countries. However, the number of cholera vaccines currently produced is very limited and examples of OCV use in endemic countries, and especially in urban settings, are scarce. A vaccination campaign was organized by Médecins Sans Frontières and the Ministry of Health in a highly endemic area in the Democratic Republic of Congo. This study aims to describe the vaccine coverage achieved with this highly targeted vaccination campaign and the acceptability among the vaccinated communities. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We performed a cross-sectional survey using random spatial sampling. The study population included individuals one year old and above, eligible for vaccination, and residing in the areas targeted for vaccination in the city of Kalemie. Data sources were household interviews with verification by vaccination card. In total 2,488 people were included in the survey. Overall, 81.9% (95%CI: 77.9-85.3) of the target population received at least one dose of vaccine. The vaccine coverage with two doses was 67.2% (95%CI: 61.9-72.0) among the target population. The vaccine coverage was higher during the first round (74.0, 95%CI: 69.3-78.3) than during the second round of vaccination (69.1%, 95%CI: 63.9-74.0). Vaccination coverage was lower in male adults. The main reason for non-vaccination was to be absent during the campaign. No severe adverse events were notified during the interviews. CONCLUSIONS: Cholera vaccination campaigns using highly targeted strategies are feasible in urban settings. High vaccination coverage can be obtained using door to door vaccination. However, alternative strategies should be considered to reach non-vaccinated populations like male adults and also in order to improve the efficiency of the interventions.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra el Cólera/administración & dosificación , Cólera/prevención & control , Adolescente , Niño , Preescolar , Cólera/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , República Democrática del Congo/epidemiología , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Masculino , Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos
17.
Malar J ; 6: 94, 2007 Jul 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17640357

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In 2003, artesunate-amodiaquine (AS+AQ) was introduced as the new first-line treatment for uncomplicated malaria in Burundi. After confirmed diagnosis, treatment was delivered at subsidized prices in public health centres. Nine months after its implementation a study was carried out to assess whether children below five years of age with uncomplicated malaria were actually receiving AS+AQ. METHODS: A community-based study was conducted in Makamba province. Randomly selected households containing one or more children under five with reported fever onset within fourteen days before the study date were eligible. Case-management information was collected based on caregiver recall. A case definition of symptomatic malaria from observations of children presenting a confirmed malaria episode on the day of the survey was developed. Based on this definition, those children who had probable malaria among those with fever onset in the 14 days prior to the study were identified retrospectively. Treatment coverage with AS+AQ was then estimated among these probable malaria cases. RESULTS: Out of 195 children with fever on the day of the study, 92 were confirmed as true malaria cases and 103 tested negative. The combination of 'loss of appetite', 'sweating', 'shivering' and 'intermittent fever' yielded the highest possible positive predictive value, and was chosen as the case definition of malaria. Out of 526 children who had had fever 14 days prior to the survey, 165 (31.4%) were defined as probable malaria cases using this definition. Among them, 20 (14.1%) had been treated with AS+AQ, 10 with quinine (5%), 68 (41%) received non-malaria treatments, and 67 got traditional treatment or nothing (39.9%). Most people sought treatment from public health centres (23/99) followed by private clinics (15/99, 14.1%). The median price paid for AS+AQ was 0.5 US$. CONCLUSION: AS+AQ was the most common treatment for patients with probable malaria at public health centres, but coverage was low due to low health centre utilisation and apparently inappropriate prescribing. In addition, AS+AQ was given to patients at a price ten times higher than the subsidized price. The availability and proper use of ACTs should be monitored and maximized after their introduction in order to have a significant impact on the burden of malaria.


Asunto(s)
Amodiaquina/uso terapéutico , Antimaláricos/uso terapéutico , Artemisininas/uso terapéutico , Malaria/tratamiento farmacológico , Sesquiterpenos/uso terapéutico , Artesunato , Burundi/epidemiología , Preescolar , Servicios de Salud Comunitaria/economía , Servicios de Salud Comunitaria/métodos , Estudios Transversales , Quimioterapia Combinada , Fiebre/etiología , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Malaria/complicaciones , Malaria/epidemiología
18.
Int Health ; 9(6): 335-342, 2017 11 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29325099

RESUMEN

Background: In 2015, more than 1 million refugees arrived in Europe. During their travels, refugees often face harsh conditions, violence and torture in transit countries, but there is a lack of quantitative evidence on their experiences. We present the results of a retrospective survey among refugees in the 'Jungle' of Calais, France, to document their health problems and the violence they endured during their journeys. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional population-based survey in November and December 2015. The sample size was set at 402 individuals, and geospatial simple random sampling was used. We collected data on demographics, routes travelled, health status, violence and future plans. Results: Departures from the country of origin increased beginning in September 2015. Sixty-one percent of respondents reported having at least one health problem, especially while in Calais. Overall, 65.6% (95% CI 60.3-70.6) experienced at least one violent event en route; 81.5% of refugees wanted to go to the UK. Conclusions: This first quantitative survey conducted among refugees in Europe provides important socio-demographic data on refugees living in Calais and describes the high rate of violence they encountered during their journeys. Similar documentation should be repeated throughout Europe in order to better respond to the needs of this vulnerable population.


Asunto(s)
Estado de Salud , Refugiados/estadística & datos numéricos , Violencia/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto , Estudios Transversales , Europa (Continente) , Femenino , Francia , Humanos , Masculino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Adulto Joven
19.
Vaccine ; 35(39): 5271-5277, 2017 09 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28784282

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Information on Streptococcus pneumoniae nasopharyngeal (NP) carriage before the pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) introduction is essential to monitor impact. The 10-valent PCV (PCV10) was officially introduced throughout Ugandan national childhood immunization programs in 2013 and rolled-out countrywide during 2014. We aimed to measure the age-specific Streptococcus pneumoniae carriage and serotype distribution across all population age groups in the pre-PCV10 era in South Western Uganda. METHODS: We conducted a two-stage cluster, age-stratified, cross-sectional community-based study in Sheema North sub-district between January and March 2014. One NP swab was collected and analyzed for each participant in accordance with World Health Organization guidelines. RESULTS: NP carriage of any pneumococcal serotype was higher among children <2years old (77%; n=387) than among participants aged ≥15years (8.5%; n=325) (chi2 p<0.001). Of the 623 positive cultures, we identified 49 serotypes among 610 (97.9%) isolates; thirteen (2.1%) isolates were non-typeable. Among <2years old, serotypes 6A, 6B, 14, 15B, 19F and 23F accounted for half of all carriers. Carriage prevalence with PCV10 serotypes was 29.4% among individuals aged <2years (n=387), 23.4% in children aged 2-4years (n=217), 11.4% in 5-14years (n=417), and 0.4% among individuals ≥15years of age (n=325). The proportion of carried pneumococci serotypes contained in PCV10 was 38.1% (n=291), 32.8% (n=154), 29.4% (n=156), and 4.4% (n=22) among carriers aged <2years, 2-4years, 5-14years and ≥15years, respectively. DISCUSSION: In Sheema district, the proportion of PCV10 serotypes was low (<40%), across all age groups, especially among individuals aged 15years or older (<5%). PCV10 introduction is likely to impact transmission among children and to older individuals, but less likely to substantially modify pneumococcal NP ecology among individuals aged 15years or older.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas Neumococicas/uso terapéutico , Streptococcus pneumoniae/patogenicidad , Adolescente , Niño , Preescolar , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Infecciones Neumocócicas/inmunología , Infecciones Neumocócicas/prevención & control , Vacunas Neumococicas/inmunología , Prevalencia , Serogrupo , Streptococcus pneumoniae/inmunología , Uganda/epidemiología , Vacunas Conjugadas/inmunología , Vacunas Conjugadas/uso terapéutico
20.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 75(1): 152-4, 2006 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16837723

RESUMEN

Sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine (SP) is the first line antimalarial treatment in the Democratic Republic of Congo. Using polymerase chain reaction, we assessed the prevalence of mutations in the dihydrofolate reductase (dhfr) (codons 108, 51, 59) and dihydropteroate synthase (dhps) (codons 437, 540) genes of Plasmodium falciparum, which have been associated with resistance to pyrimethamine and sulfadoxine, respectively. Four hundred seventy-four patients were sampled in Kilwa (N = 138), Kisangani (N = 112), Boende (N = 106), and Basankusu (N = 118). The proportion of triple mutations dhfr varied between sites but was always > 50%. The proportion of dhps double mutations was < 20%, with some sites as low as 0.9%. A quintuple mutation was present in 12.8% (16/125) samples in Kilwa; 11.9% (13/109) in Kisangani, 2.9% (3/102) in Boende, and 0.9% (1/112) in Basankusu. These results suggest high resistance to pyrimethamine alone or combined with sulfadoxine. Adding artesunate to SP does not seem a valid alternative to the current monotherapy.


Asunto(s)
Antimaláricos/farmacología , Dihidropteroato Sintasa/genética , Plasmodium falciparum/efectos de los fármacos , Plasmodium falciparum/genética , Pirimetamina/farmacología , Sulfadoxina/farmacología , Tetrahidrofolato Deshidrogenasa/genética , Animales , Codón/genética , República Democrática del Congo , Combinación de Medicamentos , Resistencia a Medicamentos/genética , Marcadores Genéticos , Genotipo , Humanos , Mutación/genética , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa/métodos , Prevalencia
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