Detection of PatIent-Level distances from single cell genomics and pathomics data with Optimal Transport (PILOT).

Although clinical applications represent the next challenge in single-cell genomics and digital pathology, we still lack computational methods to analyze single-cell or pathomics data to find sample-level trajectories or clusters associated with diseases. This remains challenging as single-cell/pathomics data are multi-scale, i.e., a sample is represented by clusters of cells/structures, and samples cannot be easily compared with each other. Here we propose PatIent Level analysis with Optimal Transport (PILOT). PILOT uses optimal transport to compute the Wasserstein distance between two individual single-cell samples. This allows us to perform unsupervised analysis at the sample level and uncover trajectories or cellular clusters associated with disease progression. We evaluate PILOT and competing approaches in single-cell genomics or pathomics studies involving various human diseases with up to 600 samples/patients and millions of cells or tissue structures. Our results demonstrate that PILOT detects disease-associated samples from large and complex single-cell or pathomics data. Moreover, PILOT provides a statistical approach to find changes in cell populations, gene expression, and tissue structures related to the trajectories or clusters supporting interpretation of predictions.

Evidence from the large VALIGA cohort validates the subclassification of focal segmental glomerulosclerosis in IgA nephropathy.

Evidence from the Oxford IgA nephropathy (IgAN) cohort supports the clinical value of subclassifying focal segmental glomerulosclerosis lesions (S1). Using the larger Validation in IgA (VALIGA) study cohort, we investigated the association between podocytopathic changes and higher proteinuria, kidney outcome and response to immunosuppressive therapy. All biopsies were evaluated for glomeruli with segmental capillary occlusion by matrix ("not otherwise specified", NOS lesion), simple capsular adhesion without capillary occlusion (Adh), tip lesions, and podocyte hypertrophy (PH). S1 required a NOS lesion and/or Adh. A Chi-Squared Automatic Interaction Detection method was used to identify subgroups of FSGS lesions associated with distinctive proteinuria at biopsy. We assessed survival from a combined event (kidney failure or 50% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate). Finally, we evaluated within each subgroup if immunosuppression was associated with a favorable outcome using propensity analysis. In 1147 patients, S1 was found in 70% of biopsies. Subclassification found NOS lesions in 44%, Adh in 59%, PH in 13%, and tip lesions in 3%, with much overlap. Four subgroups were identified with progressively higher proteinuria: from lowest, S1 without NOS, S1 with NOS but without Adh/PH, to highest, S1 with NOS and Adh but without PH, and S1 with NOS and PH. These four subgroups showed progressively worse kidney survival. Immunosuppression was associated with a better outcome only in the two highest proteinuria subgroups. Propensity analysis in these two groups, adjusted for clinical and pathological findings, found a significantly reduced time-dependent hazard of combined outcome with corticosteroids. Podocyte hypertrophy and glomeruli with simple adhesions appeared to reflect active lesions associated with a response to corticosteroids, while other S1 lesions defined chronicity. Thus, our findings support subclassifying S1 lesions in IgAN.

A disease-modifying approach to the treatment of IgA nephropathy targeting mucosal IgA synthesis and beyond.

The benefits and risks of systemic corticosteroids in the treatment of IgA nephropathy are still controversial. Part A results of the Efficacy and Safety of Nefecon in Patients With Primary IgA Nephropathy (NefIgArd) trial provide significant effects on decrease in proteinuria and protection from estimated glomerular filtration rate decline after 9 months of treatment with budesonide (Nefecon). Targeting the initiating pathogenetic event in the gut-associated lymphoid tissue would offer a disease-modifying approach to IgA nephropathy. Results, adverse events, and possible multiple effects of this treatment are critically discussed.

The incidence and prevalence of IgA nephropathy in Europe.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to determine the incidence and prevalence of immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) in Europe based on high-quality data from national registries. METHODS: IgAN incidences were obtained from a literature review of European studies of national kidney biopsy registry data in which IgAN diagnosis was biopsy-verified using contemporary techniques. Studies were eligible for the main analysis if published from 1990 to 2020. IgAN point prevalence was defined as the annual IgAN incidence multiplied by the estimated duration of disease. Incidence and prevalence estimates were made for three pooled populations: (i) patients of all ages; (ii) pediatric patients; and (iii) elderly patients. RESULTS: Across 10 European countries, the estimated annual IgAN incidence was 0.76 per 100 000 in patients of all ages. The corresponding pooled IgAN point prevalence was 2.53 per 10 000 (95% confidence interval: 2.51-2.55), ranging from 1.14 per 10 000 in Spain to 5.98 per 10 000 in Lithuania. Applied to 2021 population estimates, the number of expected prevalent IgAN cases was 47 027 across all 10 countries and ranged from 577 in Estonia to 16 645 in Italy. Among pediatric patients, IgAN incidence was 0.20 per 100 000 children and IgAN point prevalence was 0.12 per 10 000 children. Among elderly patients, IgAN incidence was 0.30 per 100 000 and IgAN point prevalence was 0.36 per 10 000. CONCLUSIONS: Based on high-quality data from European national registries, IgAN point prevalence was estimated at 2.53 per 10 000 in patients of all ages. Prevalence was considerably lower in pediatric and elderly populations.

Application of the International IgA Nephropathy Prediction Tool one or two years post-biopsy.

The International IgA Nephropathy (IgAN) Prediction Tool is the preferred method in the 2021 KDIGO guidelines to predict, at the time of kidney biopsy, the risk of a 50% drop in estimated glomerular filtration rate or kidney failure. However, it is not known if the Prediction Tool can be accurately applied after a period of observation post-biopsy. Using an international multi-ethnic derivation cohort of 2,507 adults with IgAN, we updated the Prediction Tool for use one year after biopsy, and externally validated this in a cohort of 722 adults. The original Prediction Tool applied at one-year without modification had a coefficient of variation (R2) of 55% and 54% and four-year concordance (C statistic) of 0.82 but poor calibration with under-prediction of risk (integrated calibration index (ICI) 1.54 and 2.11, with and without race, respectively). Our updated Prediction Tool had a better model fit with higher R2 (61% and 60%), significant increase in four-year C-statistic (0.87 and 0.86) and better four-year calibration with lower ICI (0.75 and 0.35). On external validation, the updated Prediction Tool had similar R2 (60% and 58%) and four-year C-statistics (both 0.85) compared to the derivation analysis, with excellent four-year calibration (ICI 0.62 and 0.56). This updated Prediction Tool had similar prediction performance when used two years after biopsy. Thus, the original Prediction Tool should be used only at the time of biopsy whereas our updated Prediction Tool can be used for risk stratification one or two years post-biopsy.

Quantifying Duration of Proteinuria Remission and Association with Clinical Outcome in IgA Nephropathy.

BACKGROUND: On the basis of findings of observational studies and a meta-analysis, proteinuria reduction has been proposed as a surrogate outcome in IgA nephropathy. How long a reduction in proteinuria needs to be maintained to mitigate the long-term risk of disease progression is unknown. METHODS: In this retrospective multiethnic cohort of adult patients with IgA nephropathy, we defined proteinuria remission as a ≥25% reduction in proteinuria from the peak value after biopsy, and an absolute reduction in proteinuria to <1 g/d. The exposure of interest was the total duration of first remission, treated as a time-varying covariate using longitudinal proteinuria measurements. We used time-dependent Cox proportional hazards regression models to quantify the association between the duration of remission and the primary outcome (ESKD or a 50% reduction in eGFR). RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 3.9 years, 274 of 1864 patients (14.7%) experienced the primary outcome. The relationship between duration of proteinuria remission and outcome was nonlinear. Each 3 months in sustained remission up to approximately 4 years was associated with an additional 9% reduction in the risk of disease progression (hazard ratio [HR], 0.91; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 0.89 to 0.93). Thereafter, each additional 3 months in remission was associated with a smaller, nonsignificant risk reduction (HR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.96 to 1.03). These findings were robust to multivariable adjustment and consistent across clinical and histologic subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings support the use of proteinuria as a surrogate outcome in IgA nephropathy, but additionally demonstrate the value of quantifying the duration of proteinuria remission when estimating the risk of hard clinical endpoints.

Updating the International IgA Nephropathy Prediction Tool for use in children.

Although IgA nephropathy (IgAN) is a common cause of glomerulonephritis in children, the absence of a method to predict disease progression limits personalized risk-based treatment decisions. The adult International IgAN Prediction Tool comprises two validated Cox survival models that predict a 50% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or end stage kidney disease (ESKD) using clinical risk factors and Oxford MEST histology scores. Here, we updated the Prediction Tool for use in children using a multiethnic international cohort of 1,060 children with IgAN followed into adulthood. The updated pediatric Prediction Tool had better model fit than the original adult tool with lower Akaike Information Criterion, higher R2D and similar C-statistics. However, calibration showed very poor agreement between predicted and observed risks likely due to the observed disease trajectory in children. Therefore, the Tool was updated using a secondary outcome of a 30% reduction in eGFR or ESKD, resulting in better R2D (30.3%/22.2%) and similar C-statistics (0.74/0.68) compared to the adult tool but with good calibration. The trajectory of eGFR over time in children differed from adults being highly non-linear with an increase until 18 years old followed by a linear decline similar to that of adults. A higher predicted risk was associated with a smaller increase in eGFR followed by a more rapid decline, suggesting that children at risk of a 30% decrease in eGFR will eventually experience a larger 50% decrease in eGFR when followed into adulthood. As such, these two outcomes are analogous between pediatric and adult Prediction Tools. Thus, our pediatric Prediction Tool can accurately predict the risk of a 30% decline in eGFR or ESKD in children with IgAN.

Development and testing of an artificial intelligence tool for predicting end-stage kidney disease in patients with immunoglobulin A nephropathy.

We have developed an artificial neural network prediction model for end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) in patients with primary immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) using a retrospective cohort of 948 patients with IgAN. Our tool is based on a two-step procedure of a classifier model that predicts ESKD, and a regression model that predicts development of ESKD over time. The classifier model showed a performance value of 0.82 (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve) in patients with a follow-up of five years, which improved to 0.89 at the ten-year follow-up. Both models had a higher recall rate, which indicated the practicality of the tool. The regression model showed a mean absolute error of 1.78 years and a root mean square error of 2.15 years. Testing in an independent cohort of 167patients with IgAN found successful results for 91% of the patients. Comparison of our system with other mathematical models showed the highest discriminant Harrell C index at five- and ten-years follow-up (81% and 86%, respectively), paralleling the lowest Akaike information criterion values (355.01 and 269.56, respectively). Moreover, our system was the best calibrated model indicating that the predicted and observed outcome probabilities did not significantly differ. Finally, the dynamic discrimination indexes of our artificial neural network, expressed as the weighted average of time-dependent areas under the curve calculated at one and two years, were 0.80 and 0.79, respectively. Similar results were observed over a 25-year follow-up period. Thus, our tool identified individuals who were at a high risk of developing ESKD due to IgAN and predicted the time-to-event endpoint. Accurate prediction is an important step toward introduction of a therapeutic strategy for improving clinical outcomes.

Development of an international Delphi survey to establish core outcome domains for trials in adults with glomerular disease.

Outcomes relevant to treatment decision-making are inconsistently reported in trials involving glomerular disease. Here, we sought to establish a consensus-derived set of critically important outcomes designed to be reported in all future trials by using an online, international two-round Delphi survey in English. To develop this, patients with glomerular disease, caregivers and health professionals aged 18 years and older rated the importance of outcomes using a Likert scale and a Best-Worst scale. The absolute and relative importance was assessed and comments were analyzed thematically. Of 1198 participants who completed Round 1, 734 were patients/caregivers while 464 were health care professionals from 59 countries. Of 700 participants that completed Round 2, 412 were patients/caregivers and 288 were health care professionals. Need for dialysis or transplant, kidney function, death, cardiovascular disease, remission-relapse and life participation were the most important outcomes to patients/caregivers and health professionals. Patients/caregivers rated patient-reported outcomes higher while health care professionals rated hospitalization, death and remission/relapse higher. Four themes explained the reasons for their priorities: confronting death and compounded suffering, focusing on specific targets in glomerular disease, preserving meaning in life, and fostering self-management. Thus, consistent reporting of these critically important outcomes in all trials involving glomerular disease is hoped to improve patient-centered decision-making.

Glomerular endothelial activation, C4d deposits and microangiopathy in immunoglobulin A nephropathy.

Immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) is considered as mesangiopathy since it initiates in the mesangium; however, other glomerular components are involved and the glomerular capillary wall offers the first contact to circulating macromolecular IgA1. Acute and active forms of IgAN are associated with endocapillary hypercellularity and vascular damage of various degrees, in severe cases with microangiopathy (MA) without or with thrombosis [thrombotic microangiopathy (TMA)]. Vascular damage activates complement and coagulation cascades. A defective complement regulation has recently been detected in active and progressive cases of IgAN. C4d deposits in renal biopsies have been found to be an early risk factor. These observations have raised interest in manifestation of MA and TMA in progressive cases of IgAN. MA-TMA lesions have been found in various percentages (2-53%) of patients with IgAN according to patients' selection and pathology definition of TMA. The association with hypertension (HTN) was so strong that it led to the hypothesis that MA/TMA in IgAN was a mere consequence of severe HTN. Old and new clinical and experimental data indicate that in IgAN the interaction of the glomerular capillary wall with immune reactants and complement uncontrolled activation leading to C4b deposits favours the development of MA-TMA, which plays a role in progression and renal function decline. The central role of complement activation is relevant also for the new therapeutic interventions offered by the pharma.

The switch from proteasome to immunoproteasome is increased in circulating cells of patients with fast progressive immunoglobulin A nephropathy and associated with defective CD46 expression.

The proteasome to immunoproteasome (iPS) switch consists of ß1, ß2 and ß5 subunit replacement by low molecular weight protein 2 (LMP2), LMP7 and multicatalytic endopeptidase-like complex-1 (MECL1) subunits, resulting in a more efficient peptide preparation for major histocompatibility complex 1 (MHC-I) presentation. It is activated by toll-like receptor (TLR) agonists and interferons and may also be influenced by genetic variation. In a previous study we found an iPS upregulation in peripheral cells of patients with immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN). We aimed to investigate in 157 IgAN patients enrolled through the multinational Validation Study of the Oxford Classification of IgAN (VALIGA) study the relationships between iPS switch and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) modifications from renal biopsy to sampling. Patients had a previous long follow-up (6.4 years in median) that allowed an accurate calculation of their slope of renal function decline. We also evaluated the effects of the PSMB8/PSMB9 locus (rs9357155) associated with IgAN in genome-wide association studies and the expression of messenger RNAs (mRNAs) encoding for TLRs and CD46, a C3 convertase inhibitor, acting also on T-regulatory cell promotion, found to have reduced expression in progressive IgAN. We detected an upregulation of LMP7/ß5 and LMP2/ß1 switches. We observed no genetic effect of rs9357155. TLR4 and TLR2 mRNAs were found to be significantly associated with iPS switches, particularly TLR4 and LMP7/ß5 (P < 0.0001). The LMP7/ß5 switch was significantly associated with the rate of eGFR loss (P = 0.026), but not with eGFR at biopsy. Fast progressors (defined as the loss of eGFR >75th centile, i.e. -1.91 mL/min/1.73 m2/year) were characterized by significantly elevated LMP7/ß5 mRNA (P = 0.04) and low CD46 mRNA expression (P < 0.01). A multivariate logistic regression model, categorizing patients by different levels of kidney disease progression, showed a high prediction value for the combination of high LMP7/ß5 and low CD46 expression.

Treatment of IgA nephropathy in children: a land without KDIGO guidance.

IgA nephropathy (IgAN) in children is no longer considered a rare and benign disease but a nephritis with different presentations and various outcomes. The decision to initiate a treatment and the therapeutic choice depend on the individual risk of progression. The Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) clinical guidelines in 2012 considered that the risk factors for progression of IgAN were similar in both children and adults and suggested in some conditions to follow the adult schedules. In 2017 a KDIGO Controversies Conference on management and treatment of glomerular diseases decided not to include an update in children with IgAN since the level of evidence of treatments in children was too scarce. Children can follow the indications for adults as far as the disease is similar in the various ages. This review is aimed at discussing why the KDIGO guidelines are poorly suitable to treat children with IgAN, and there is a need to develop new prediction models for progression of IgAN in children to guide selection of the cases to be treated. The identification of different risk levels in children with IgAN may personalize the choice of available drugs and support the use of new targeted therapies.

IgA vasculitis nephritis in children and adults: one or different entities?

The clinical features of the kidney involvement in immunoglobulin A (IgA) vasculitis (IgAVN) differ in children and adults for both clinical presentation and progression. IgAVN in children has mostly a self-limiting course and favorable resolution, while in adults the kidney involvement is frequently severe with unfavorable outcome. However, a subset of children is at risk of progression within the pediatric age or decades later in adulthood, particularly when the diagnosis and a prompt intervention are delayed. Factors predicting progression and outcome in the whole spectrum of age have been investigated in recent research, as well as the relationship between IgAVN and primary IgAN, which share the same pathology features, in the light of peculiar clinical differences and progression tendencies, and hence need for selective treatments. The search for a personalized treatment in children with IgAV and in different ages of life should rely on the identification of different risks for progression. This review will focus on recent studies which contribute to improve our knowledge in this still largely unclear area.

Improving treatment decisions using personalized risk assessment from the International IgA Nephropathy Prediction Tool.

Immunosuppression in IgA nephropathy (IgAN) should be reserved for patients at high-risk of disease progression, which KDIGO guidelines determine based solely on proteinuria 1g or more/day. To investigate if treatment decisions can be more accurately accomplished using individualized risk from the International IgAN Prediction Tool, we simulated allocation of a hypothetical immunosuppression therapy in an international cohort of adults with IgAN. Two decision rules for treatment were applied based on proteinuria of 1g or more/day or predicted risk from the Prediction Tool above a threshold probability. An appropriate decision was defined as immunosuppression allocated to patients experiencing the primary outcome (50% decline in eGFR or ESKD) and withheld otherwise. The net benefit and net reduction in treatment are the proportion of patients appropriately allocated to receive or withhold immunosuppression, adjusted for the harm from inappropriate decisions, calculated for all threshold probabilities from 0-100%. Of 3299 patients followed for 5.1 years, 522 (15.8%) experienced the primary outcome. Treatment allocation based solely on proteinuria of 1g or more/day had a negative net benefit (was harmful) because immunosuppression was increasingly allocated to patients without progressive disease. Compared to using proteinuria, treatment allocation using the Prediction Tool had a larger net benefit up to 23.4% (95% confidence interval 21.5-25.2%) and a larger net reduction in treatment up to 35.1% (32.3-37.8%). Thus, allocation of immunosuppression to high-risk patients with IgAN can be substantially improved using the Prediction Tool compared to using proteinuria.

Is there long-term value of pathology scoring in immunoglobulin A nephropathy? A validation study of the Oxford Classification for IgA Nephropathy (VALIGA) update.

BACKGROUND: It is unknown whether renal pathology lesions in immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) correlate with renal outcomes over decades of follow-up. METHODS: In 1130 patients of the original Validation Study of the Oxford Classification for IgA Nephropathy (VALIGA) cohort, we studied the relationship between the MEST score (mesangial hypercellularity, M; endocapillary hypercellularity, E; segmental glomerulosclerosis, S; tubular atrophy/interstitial fibrosis, T), crescents (C) and other histological lesions with both a combined renal endpoint [50% estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) loss or kidney failure] and the rate of eGFR decline over a follow-up period extending to 35 years [median 7 years (interquartile range 4.1-10.8)]. RESULTS: In this extended analysis, M1, S1 and T1-T2 lesions as well as the whole MEST score were independently related with the combined endpoint (P < 0.01), and there was no effect modification by age for these associations, suggesting that they may be valid in children and in adults as well. Only T lesions were associated with the rate of eGFR loss in the whole cohort, whereas C showed this association only in patients not treated with immunosuppression. In separate prognostic analyses, the whole set of pathology lesions provided a gain in discrimination power over the clinical variables alone, which was similar at 5 years (+2.0%) and for the whole follow-up (+1.8%). A similar benefit was observed for risk reclassification analyses (+2.7% and +2.4%). CONCLUSION: Long-term follow-up analyses of the VALIGA cohort showed that the independent relationship between kidney biopsy findings and the risk of progression towards kidney failure in IgAN remains unchanged across all age groups and decades after the renal biopsy.

The implications of focal segmental glomerulosclerosis in children with IgA nephropathy.

Focal segmental glomerular sclerotic lesions in IgA nephropathy (IgAN), considered for years a chronic histologic feature related to proteinuria in remnant nephrons without any active role in the pathogenesis and progression of glomerular damage of IgAN, have been recently reconsidered. The Oxford classification of IgAN reported it as the "S" score and found it to be an independent risk factor for progression of IgAN. Its prognostic value was confirmed also in children. The identification of some histologic subvariants of the S lesion has produced interesting insights into different pathogenetic mechanisms of glomerular damage in IgAN. Tip lesion and podocyte hypertrophy are considered secondary to active podocytopathy and are correlated with higher levels of proteinuria and a faster decline in glomerular filtration rate. Moreover, endocapillary and mesangial hypercellularity might contribute in children with IgAN to formation and progression of S lesions. Considering the pathophysiology of these processes, children with some S features may benefit not only from nephroprotective measures but also from immunosuppression.

Towards a personalized treatment for IgA nephropathy considering pathology and pathogenesis.

The search of personalized treatment for a subject with immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) is appealing since the individual long-term outcome is highly variable in spite of common mild clinical signs such as microscopic haematuria, moderate proteinuria and slightly reduced glomerular filtration rate (GFR). The only risk factor considered by the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) guidelines to target corticosteroid/immunosuppressive treatment in IgAN is proteinuria persistently >1 g/day despite 3-6 months of optimized supportive care. However, proteinuria in IgAN may result not only from active lesions but also from sclerotic glomerular lesions with hyperfiltration and tubular damage. The Oxford classification study and subsequent investigations have indicated the value of pathology risk factors for progression independent of proteinuria, blood pressure and GFR at renal biopsy. Meanwhile new studies have provided an improved understanding of the pathogenetic mechanisms operating in IgAN leading to kidney tissue damage. These findings suggest the possibility for the individual patient with IgAN of using a pathology-based therapy, taking into consideration the pathogenetic mechanisms operating at the time of renal biopsy. This review is largely opinion based, since evidence-based reports are mostly incomplete: hypotheses are suggested based on interesting published investigations. The clinician faces a daily challenge: find the best management for his/her patient, modelling a rather general indication as obtained by the guidelines to the needs of the patient. This review offers some considerations that hopefully will be useful in this difficult choice.

Podocytopathy in the mesangial proliferative immunoglobulin A nephropathy: new insights into the mechanisms of damage and progression.

Immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) was defined as a mesangiopathic disease, since the primary site of deposition of IgA immune material is the mesangium, and proliferation of mesangial cells and matrix excess deposition are the first histopathologic lesions. However, the relentless silent progression of IgAN is mostly due to the development of persistent proteinuria, and recent studies indicate that a major role is played by previous damage of function and anatomy of podocytes. In IgAN, the podocytopathic changes are the consequence of initial alterations in the mesangial area with accumulation of IgA containing immune material. Podocytes are therefore affected by interactions of messages originally driven from the mesangium. After continuous insult, podocytes detach from the glomerular basement membrane. This podocytopathy favours not only the development of glomerular focal and segmental sclerosis, but also the progressive renal function loss. It is still debated whether these lesions can be prevented or cured by corticosteroid/immunosuppressive treatment. We aimed to review recent data on the mechanisms implicated in the podocytopathy present in IgAN, showing new molecular risk factors for progression of this disease. Moreover, these observations may indicate that the target for new drugs is not only focused on decreasing the activity of mesangial cells and inflammatory reactions in IgAN, but also on improving podocyte function and survival.

Defective gene expression of the membrane complement inhibitor CD46 in patients with progressive immunoglobulin A nephropathy.

BACKGROUND: Complement is thought to play a role in immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN), though the activating mechanisms are unknown. This study focused on the gene expression of CD46 and CD55, two key molecules for regulating C3 convertase activity of lectin and alternative complement pathways at a cellular level. METHODS: The transcriptional expression in peripheral white blood cells (WBCs) of CD46 and CD55 was investigated in 157 patients enrolled by the Validation of the Oxford Classification of IgAN group, looking for correlations with clinical and pathology features and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) modifications from renal biopsy to sampling. Patients had a previous median follow-up of 6.4 (interquartile range 2.8-10.7) years and were divided into progressors and non-progressors according to the median value of their velocity of loss of renal function per year (-0.41 mL/min/1.73 m2/year). RESULTS: CD46 and CD55 messenger RNA (mRNA) expression in WBCs was not correlated with eGFR values or proteinuria at sampling. CD46 mRNA was significantly correlated with eGFR decline rate as a continuous outcome variable (P = 0.014). A significant difference was found in CD46 gene expression between progressors and non-progressors (P = 0.013). CD46 and CD55 mRNA levels were significantly correlated (P < 0.01), although no difference between progressors and non-progressors was found for CD55 mRNA values. The prediction of progression was increased when CD46 and CD55 mRNA expressions were added to clinical data at renal biopsy (eGFR, proteinuria and mean arterial blood pressure) and Oxford MEST-C (mesangial hypercellularity, endocapillary hypercellularity, segmental glomerulosclerosis, tubular atrophy/interstitial fibrosis, presence of any crescents) score. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with progressive IgAN showed lower expression of mRNA encoding for the complement inhibitory protein CD46, which may implicate a defective regulation of C3 convertase with uncontrolled complement activation.