A Transcriptomic Classifier Model Identifies High-Risk Endotypes in a Prospective Study of Sepsis in Uganda.

OBJECTIVES: In high-income countries (HICs), sepsis endotypes defined by distinct pathobiological mechanisms, mortality risks, and responses to corticosteroid treatment have been identified using blood transcriptomics. The generalizability of these endotypes to low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs), where the global sepsis burden is concentrated, is unknown. We sought to determine the prevalence, prognostic relevance, and immunopathological features of HIC-derived transcriptomic sepsis endotypes in sub-Saharan Africa. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Public referral hospital in Uganda. PATIENTS: Adults ( n = 128) hospitalized with suspected sepsis. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Using whole-blood RNA sequencing data, we applied 19-gene and 7-gene classifiers derived and validated in HICs (SepstratifieR) to assign patients to one of three sepsis response signatures (SRS). The 19-gene classifier assigned 30 (23.4%), 92 (71.9%), and 6 (4.7%) patients to SRS-1, SRS-2, and SRS-3, respectively, the latter of which is designed to capture individuals transcriptionally closest to health. SRS-1 was defined biologically by proinflammatory innate immune activation and suppressed natural killer-cell, T-cell, and B-cell immunity, whereas SRS-2 was characterized by dampened innate immune activation, preserved lymphocyte immunity, and suppressed transcriptional responses to corticosteroids. Patients assigned to SRS-1 were predominantly (80.0% [24/30]) persons living with HIV with advanced immunosuppression and frequent tuberculosis. Mortality at 30-days differed significantly by endotype and was highest (48.1%) in SRS-1. Agreement between 19-gene and 7-gene SRS assignments was poor (Cohen's kappa 0.11). Patient stratification was suboptimal using the 7-gene classifier with 15.1% (8/53) of individuals assigned to SRS-3 deceased at 30-days. CONCLUSIONS: Sepsis endotypes derived in HICs share biological and clinical features with those identified in sub-Saharan Africa, with major differences in host-pathogen profiles. Our findings highlight the importance of context-specific sepsis endotyping, the generalizability of conserved biological signatures of critical illness across disparate settings, and opportunities to develop more pathobiologically informed sepsis treatment strategies in LMICs.

Fibrotic-Like Pulmonary Radiographic Patterns Are Not Associated With Adverse Outcomes in COVID-19 Chronic Critical Illness.

OBJECTIVES: Pulmonary fibrosis is a feared complication of COVID-19. To characterize the risks and outcomes associated with fibrotic-like radiographic abnormalities in patients with COVID-19-related acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) and chronic critical illness. DESIGN: Single-center prospective cohort study. SETTING: We examined chest CT scans performed between ICU discharge and 30 days after hospital discharge using established methods to quantify nonfibrotic and fibrotic-like patterns. PATIENTS: Adults hospitalized with COVID-19-related ARDS and chronic critical illness (> 21 d of mechanical ventilation, tracheostomy, and survival to ICU discharge) between March 2020 and May 2020. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We tested associations of fibrotic-like patterns with clinical characteristics and biomarkers, and with time to mechanical ventilator liberation and 6-month survival, controlling for demographics, comorbidities, and COVID-19 therapies. A total of 141 of 616 adults (23%) with COVID-19-related ARDS developed chronic critical illness, and 64 of 141 (46%) had a chest CT a median (interquartile range) 66 days (42-82 d) after intubation. Fifty-five percent had fibrotic-like patterns characterized by reticulations and/or traction bronchiectasis. In adjusted analyses, interleukin-6 level on the day of intubation was associated with fibrotic-like patterns (odds ratio, 4.40 per quartile change; 95% CI, 1.90-10.1 per quartile change). Other inflammatory biomarkers, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, age, tidal volume, driving pressure, and ventilator days were not. Fibrotic-like patterns were not associated with longer time to mechanical ventilator liberation or worse 6-month survival. CONCLUSIONS: Approximately half of adults with COVID-19-associated chronic critical illness have fibrotic-like patterns that are associated with higher interleukin-6 levels at intubation. Fibrotic-like patterns are not associated with longer time to liberation from mechanical ventilation or worse 6-month survival.

Multidimensional analysis of the host response reveals prognostic and pathogen-driven immune subtypes among adults with sepsis in Uganda.

BACKGROUND: The global burden of sepsis is concentrated in sub-Saharan Africa, where severe infections disproportionately affect young, HIV-infected adults and high-burden pathogens are unique. In this context, poor understanding of sepsis immunopathology represents a crucial barrier to development of locally-effective treatment strategies. We sought to determine inter-individual immunologic heterogeneity among adults hospitalized with sepsis in a sub-Saharan African setting, and characterize associations between immune subtypes, infecting pathogens, and clinical outcomes. METHODS: Among a prospective observational cohort of 288 adults hospitalized with suspected sepsis in Uganda, we applied machine learning methods to 14 soluble host immune mediators, reflective of key domains of sepsis immunopathology (innate and adaptive immune activation, endothelial dysfunction, fibrinolysis), to identify immune subtypes in randomly-split discovery (N = 201) and internal validation (N = 87) sub-cohorts. In parallel, we applied similar methods to whole-blood RNA-sequencing data from a consecutive subset of patients (N = 128) to identify transcriptional subtypes, which we characterized using biological pathway and immune cell-type deconvolution analyses. RESULTS: Unsupervised clustering consistently identified two immune subtypes defined by differential activation of pro-inflammatory innate and adaptive immune pathways, with transcriptional evidence of concomitant CD56(-)/CD16( +) NK-cell expansion, T-cell exhaustion, and oxidative-stress and hypoxia-induced metabolic and cell-cycle reprogramming in the hyperinflammatory subtype. Immune subtypes defined by greater pro-inflammatory immune activation, T-cell exhaustion, and metabolic reprogramming were consistently associated with a high-prevalence of severe and often disseminated HIV-associated tuberculosis, as well as more extensive organ dysfunction, worse functional outcomes, and higher 30-day mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Our results highlight unique host- and pathogen-driven features of sepsis immunopathology in sub-Saharan Africa, including the importance of severe HIV-associated tuberculosis, and reinforce the need to develop more biologically-informed treatment strategies in the region, particularly those incorporating immunomodulation.

Respiratory support in patients with severe COVID-19 in the International Severe Acute Respiratory and Emerging Infection (ISARIC) COVID-19 study: a prospective, multinational, observational study.

BACKGROUND: Up to 30% of hospitalised patients with COVID-19 require advanced respiratory support, including high-flow nasal cannulas (HFNC), non-invasive mechanical ventilation (NIV), or invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV). We aimed to describe the clinical characteristics, outcomes and risk factors for failing non-invasive respiratory support in patients treated with severe COVID-19 during the first two years of the pandemic in high-income countries (HICs) and low middle-income countries (LMICs). METHODS: This is a multinational, multicentre, prospective cohort study embedded in the ISARIC-WHO COVID-19 Clinical Characterisation Protocol. Patients with laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection who required hospital admission were recruited prospectively. Patients treated with HFNC, NIV, or IMV within the first 24 h of hospital admission were included in this study. Descriptive statistics, random forest, and logistic regression analyses were used to describe clinical characteristics and compare clinical outcomes among patients treated with the different types of advanced respiratory support. RESULTS: A total of 66,565 patients were included in this study. Overall, 82.6% of patients were treated in HIC, and 40.6% were admitted to the hospital during the first pandemic wave. During the first 24 h after hospital admission, patients in HICs were more frequently treated with HFNC (48.0%), followed by NIV (38.6%) and IMV (13.4%). In contrast, patients admitted in lower- and middle-income countries (LMICs) were less frequently treated with HFNC (16.1%) and the majority received IMV (59.1%). The failure rate of non-invasive respiratory support (i.e. HFNC or NIV) was 15.5%, of which 71.2% were from HIC and 28.8% from LMIC. The variables most strongly associated with non-invasive ventilation failure, defined as progression to IMV, were high leukocyte counts at hospital admission (OR [95%CI]; 5.86 [4.83-7.10]), treatment in an LMIC (OR [95%CI]; 2.04 [1.97-2.11]), and tachypnoea at hospital admission (OR [95%CI]; 1.16 [1.14-1.18]). Patients who failed HFNC/NIV had a higher 28-day fatality ratio (OR [95%CI]; 1.27 [1.25-1.30]). CONCLUSIONS: In the present international cohort, the most frequently used advanced respiratory support was the HFNC. However, IMV was used more often in LMIC. Higher leucocyte count, tachypnoea, and treatment in LMIC were risk factors for HFNC/NIV failure. HFNC/NIV failure was related to worse clinical outcomes, such as 28-day mortality. Trial registration This is a prospective observational study; therefore, no health care interventions were applied to participants, and trial registration is not applicable.

Latent Class Analysis Reveals COVID-19-related Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome Subgroups with Differential Responses to Corticosteroids.

Rationale: Two distinct subphenotypes have been identified in acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), but the presence of subgroups in ARDS associated with coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is unknown. Objectives: To identify clinically relevant, novel subgroups in COVID-19-related ARDS and compare them with previously described ARDS subphenotypes. Methods: Eligible participants were adults with COVID-19 and ARDS at Columbia University Irving Medical Center. Latent class analysis was used to identify subgroups with baseline clinical, respiratory, and laboratory data serving as partitioning variables. A previously developed machine learning model was used to classify patients as the hypoinflammatory and hyperinflammatory subphenotypes. Baseline characteristics and clinical outcomes were compared between subgroups. Heterogeneity of treatment effect for corticosteroid use in subgroups was tested. Measurements and Main Results: From March 2, 2020, to April 30, 2020, 483 patients with COVID-19-related ARDS met study criteria. A two-class latent class analysis model best fit the population (P = 0.0075). Class 2 (23%) had higher proinflammatory markers, troponin, creatinine, and lactate, lower bicarbonate, and lower blood pressure than class 1 (77%). Ninety-day mortality was higher in class 2 versus class 1 (75% vs. 48%; P < 0.0001). Considerable overlap was observed between these subgroups and ARDS subphenotypes. Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) RT-PCR cycle threshold was associated with mortality in the hypoinflammatory but not the hyperinflammatory phenotype. Heterogeneity of treatment effect to corticosteroids was observed (P = 0.0295), with improved mortality in the hyperinflammatory phenotype and worse mortality in the hypoinflammatory phenotype, with the caveat that corticosteroid treatment was not randomized. Conclusions: We identified two COVID-19-related ARDS subgroups with differential outcomes, similar to previously described ARDS subphenotypes. SARS-CoV-2 PCR cycle threshold had differential value for predicting mortality in the subphenotypes. The subphenotypes had differential treatment responses to corticosteroids.

Epidemiology, clinical course, and outcomes of critically ill adults with COVID-19 in New York City: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Over 40 000 patients with COVID-19 have been hospitalised in New York City (NY, USA) as of April 28, 2020. Data on the epidemiology, clinical course, and outcomes of critically ill patients with COVID-19 in this setting are needed. METHODS: This prospective observational cohort study took place at two NewYork-Presbyterian hospitals affiliated with Columbia University Irving Medical Center in northern Manhattan. We prospectively identified adult patients (aged ≥18 years) admitted to both hospitals from March 2 to April 1, 2020, who were diagnosed with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 and were critically ill with acute hypoxaemic respiratory failure, and collected clinical, biomarker, and treatment data. The primary outcome was the rate of in-hospital death. Secondary outcomes included frequency and duration of invasive mechanical ventilation, frequency of vasopressor use and renal replacement therapy, and time to in-hospital clinical deterioration following admission. The relation between clinical risk factors, biomarkers, and in-hospital mortality was modelled using Cox proportional hazards regression. Follow-up time was right-censored on April 28, 2020 so that each patient had at least 28 days of observation. FINDINGS: Between March 2 and April 1, 2020, 1150 adults were admitted to both hospitals with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19, of which 257 (22%) were critically ill. The median age of patients was 62 years (IQR 51-72), 171 (67%) were men. 212 (82%) patients had at least one chronic illness, the most common of which were hypertension (162 [63%]) and diabetes (92 [36%]). 119 (46%) patients had obesity. As of April 28, 2020, 101 (39%) patients had died and 94 (37%) remained hospitalised. 203 (79%) patients received invasive mechanical ventilation for a median of 18 days (IQR 9-28), 170 (66%) of 257 patients received vasopressors and 79 (31%) received renal replacement therapy. The median time to in-hospital deterioration was 3 days (IQR 1-6). In the multivariable Cox model, older age (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1·31 [1·09-1·57] per 10-year increase), chronic cardiac disease (aHR 1·76 [1·08-2·86]), chronic pulmonary disease (aHR 2·94 [1·48-5·84]), higher concentrations of interleukin-6 (aHR 1·11 [95%CI 1·02-1·20] per decile increase), and higher concentrations of D-dimer (aHR 1·10 [1·01-1·19] per decile increase) were independently associated with in-hospital mortality. INTERPRETATION: Critical illness among patients hospitalised with COVID-19 in New York City is common and associated with a high frequency of invasive mechanical ventilation, extrapulmonary organ dysfunction, and substantial in-hospital mortality. FUNDING: National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and the National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences, National Institutes of Health, and the Columbia University Irving Institute for Clinical and Translational Research.

Frailty subtypes and recovery in older survivors of acute respiratory failure: a pilot study.

BACKGROUND: Identifying subtypes of acute respiratory failure survivors may facilitate patient selection for post-intensive care unit (ICU) follow-up clinics and trials. METHODS: We conducted a single-centre prospective cohort study of 185 acute respiratory failure survivors, aged ≥ 65 years. We applied latent class modelling to identify frailty subtypes using frailty phenotype and cognitive impairment measurements made during the week before hospital discharge. We used Fine-Gray competing risks survival regression to test associations between frailty subtypes and recovery, defined as returning to a basic Activities of Daily Living disability count less than or equal to the pre-hospitalisation count within 6 months. We characterised subtypes by pre-ICU frailty (Clinical Frailty Scale score ≥ 5), the post-ICU frailty phenotype, and serum inflammatory cytokines, hormones and exosome proteomics during the week before hospital discharge. RESULTS: We identified five frailty subtypes. The recovery rate decreased 49% across each subtype independent of age, sex, pre-existing disability, comorbidity and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score (recovery rate ratio: 0.51, 95% CI 0.41 to 0.63). Post-ICU frailty phenotype prevalence increased across subtypes, but pre-ICU frailty prevalence did not. In the subtype with the slowest recovery, all had cognitive impairment. The three subtypes with the slowest recovery had higher interleukin-6 levels (p=0.03) and a higher prevalence of ≥ 2 deficiencies in insulin growth factor-1, dehydroepiandrostersone-sulfate, or free-testosterone (p=0.02). Exosome proteomics revealed impaired innate immunity in subtypes with slower recovery. CONCLUSIONS: Frailty subtypes varied by prehospitalisation frailty and cognitive impairment at hospital discharge. Subtypes with the slowest recovery were similarly characterised by greater systemic inflammation and more anabolic hormone deficiencies at hospital discharge.

Precision Surveillance for Viral Respiratory Pathogens: Virome Capture Sequencing for the Detection and Genomic Characterization of Severe Acute Respiratory Infection in Uganda.

BACKGROUND: Precision public health is a novel set of methods to target disease prevention and mitigation interventions to high-risk subpopulations. We applied a precision public health strategy to syndromic surveillance for severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) in Uganda by combining spatiotemporal analytics with genomic sequencing to detect and characterize viral respiratory pathogens with epidemic potential. METHODS: Using a national surveillance network we identified patients with unexplained, influenza-negative SARI from 2010 to 2015. Spatiotemporal analyses were performed retrospectively to identify clusters of unexplained SARI. Within clusters, respiratory viruses were detected and characterized in naso- and oropharyngeal swab samples using a novel oligonucleotide probe capture (VirCapSeq-VERT) and high-throughput sequencing platform. Linkage to conventional epidemiologic strategies further characterized transmission dynamics of identified pathogens. RESULTS: Among 2901 unexplained SARI cases, 9 clusters were detected, accounting for 301 (10.4%) cases. Clusters were more likely to occur in urban areas and during biannual rainy seasons. Within detected clusters, we identified an unrecognized outbreak of measles-associated SARI; sequence analysis implicated cocirculation of endemic genotype B3 and genotype D4 likely imported from England. We also detected a likely nosocomial SARI cluster associated with a novel picobirnavirus most closely related to swine and dromedary viruses. CONCLUSIONS: Using a precision approach to public health surveillance, we detected and characterized the genomics of vaccine-preventable and zoonotic respiratory viruses associated with clusters of severe respiratory infections in Uganda. Future studies are needed to assess the feasibility, scalability, and impact of applying similar approaches during real-time public health surveillance in low-income settings.

Opportunities and limitations of genomics for diagnosing bedaquiline-resistant tuberculosis: a systematic review and individual isolate meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Clinical bedaquiline resistance predominantly involves mutations in mmpR5 (Rv0678). However, mmpR5 resistance-associated variants (RAVs) have a variable relationship with phenotypic Mycobacterium tuberculosis resistance. We did a systematic review to assess the maximal sensitivity of sequencing bedaquiline resistance-associated genes and evaluate the association between RAVs and phenotypic resistance, using traditional and machine-based learning techniques. METHODS: We screened public databases for articles published from database inception until Oct 31, 2022. Eligible studies performed sequencing of at least mmpR5 and atpE on clinically sourced M tuberculosis isolates and measured bedaquiline minimum inhibitory concentrations (MICs). A bias risk scoring tool was used to identify bias. Individual genetic mutations and corresponding MICs were aggregated, and odds ratios calculated to determine association of mutations with resistance. Machine-based learning methods were used to define test characteristics of parsimonious sets of diagnostic RAVs, and mmpR5 mutations were mapped to the protein structure to highlight mechanisms of resistance. This study was registered in the PROSPERO database (CRD42022346547). FINDINGS: 18 eligible studies were identified, comprising 975 M tuberculosis isolates containing at least one potential RAV (mutation in mmpR5, atpE, atpB, or pepQ), with 201 (20·6%) showing phenotypic bedaquiline resistance. 84 (29·5%) of 285 resistant isolates had no candidate gene mutation. Sensitivity and positive predictive value of taking an any mutation approach was 69% and 14%, respectively. 13 mutations, all in mmpR5, had a significant association with a resistant MIC (adjusted p<0·05). Gradient-boosted machine classifier models for predicting intermediate or resistant and resistant phenotypes both had receiver operator characteristic c statistic of 0·73 (95% CI 0·70-0·76). Frameshift mutations clustered in the α1 helix DNA-binding domain, and substitutions in the α2 and α3 helix hinge region and in the α4 helix-binding domain. INTERPRETATION: Sequencing candidate genes is insufficiently sensitive to diagnose clinical bedaquiline resistance, but where identified, some mutations should be assumed to be associated with resistance. Genomic tools are most likely to be effective in combination with rapid phenotypic diagnostics. This study was limited by selective sampling in contributing studies and only considering single genetic loci as causative of resistance. FUNDING: Francis Crick Institute and National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases at the National Institutes of Health.

COVID-19 immune signatures in Uganda persist in HIV co-infection and diverge by pandemic phase.

Little is known about the pathobiology of SARS-CoV-2 infection in sub-Saharan Africa, where severe COVID-19 fatality rates are among the highest in the world and the immunological landscape is unique. In a prospective cohort study of 306 adults encompassing the entire clinical spectrum of SARS-CoV-2 infection in Uganda, we profile the peripheral blood proteome and transcriptome to characterize the immunopathology of COVID-19 across multiple phases of the pandemic. Beyond the prognostic importance of myeloid cell-driven immune activation and lymphopenia, we show that multifaceted impairment of host protein synthesis and redox imbalance define core biological signatures of severe COVID-19, with central roles for IL-7, IL-15, and lymphotoxin-α in COVID-19 respiratory failure. While prognostic signatures are generally consistent in SARS-CoV-2/HIV-coinfection, type I interferon responses uniquely scale with COVID-19 severity in persons living with HIV. Throughout the pandemic, COVID-19 severity peaked during phases dominated by A.23/A.23.1 and Delta B.1.617.2/AY variants. Independent of clinical severity, Delta phase COVID-19 is distinguished by exaggerated pro-inflammatory myeloid cell and inflammasome activation, NK and CD8+ T cell depletion, and impaired host protein synthesis. Combining these analyses with a contemporary Ugandan cohort of adults hospitalized with influenza and other severe acute respiratory infections, we show that activation of epidermal and platelet-derived growth factor pathways are distinct features of COVID-19, deepening translational understanding of mechanisms potentially underlying SARS-CoV-2-associated pulmonary fibrosis. Collectively, our findings provide biological rationale for use of broad and targeted immunotherapies for severe COVID-19 in sub-Saharan Africa, illustrate the relevance of local viral and host factors to SARS-CoV-2 immunopathology, and highlight underemphasized yet therapeutically exploitable immune pathways driving COVID-19 severity.

Approach to the Physiologically Challenging Endotracheal Intubation in the Intensive Care Unit.

Endotracheal intubation for airway management is a common procedure in the ICU. Intubation may be difficult due to anatomic airway abnormalities but also due to physiologic derangements that predispose patients to cardiovascular collapse during the procedure. Results of studies demonstrate a high incidence of morbidity and mortality associated with airway management in the ICU. To reduce the likelihood of complications, medical teams must be well versed in the general principles of intubation and be prepared to manage physiologic derangements while securing the airway. In this review, we present relevant literature on the approach to endotracheal intubation in the ICU and provide pragmatic recommendations relevant to medical teams performing intubations in patients who are physiologically unstable.

Opportunities and limitations of genomics for diagnosing bedaquiline-resistant tuberculosis: an individual isolate metaanalysis.

Background: Clinical bedaquiline resistance predominantly involves mutations in mmpR5 (Rv0678). However, mmpR5 resistance-associated variants (RAVs) have a variable relationship with phenotypic M. tuberculosis resistance. We performed a systematic review to (1) assess the maximal sensitivity of sequencing bedaquiline resistance-associated genes and (2) evaluate the association between RAVs and phenotypic resistance, using traditional and machine-based learning techniques. Methods: We screened public databases for articles published until October 2022. Eligible studies performed sequencing of at least mmpR5 and atpE on clinically-sourced M. tuberculosis isolates and measured bedaquiline minimum inhibitory concentrations (MICs). We performed genetic analysis for identification of phenotypic resistance and determined the association of RAVs with resistance. Machine-based learning methods were employed to define test characteristics of optimised sets of RAVs, and mmpR5 mutations were mapped to the protein structure to highlight mechanisms of resistance. Results: Eighteen eligible studies were identified, comprising 975 M. tuberculosis isolates containing ≥1 potential RAV (mutation in mmpR5, atpE, atpB or pepQ), with 201 (20.6%) demonstrating phenotypic bedaquiline resistance. 84/285 (29.5%) resistant isolates had no candidate gene mutation. Sensitivity and positive predictive value of taking an 'any mutation' approach was 69% and 14% respectively. Thirteen mutations, all in mmpR5, had a significant association with a resistant MIC (adjusted p<0.05). Gradient-boosted machine classifier models for predicting intermediate/resistant and resistant phenotypes both had receiver operator characteristic c-statistics of 0.73. Frameshift mutations clustered in the alpha 1 helix DNA binding domain, and substitutions in the alpha 2 and 3 helix hinge region and in the alpha 4 helix binding domain. Discussion: Sequencing candidate genes is insufficiently sensitive to diagnose clinical bedaquiline resistance, but where identified a limited number of mutations should be assumed to be associated with resistance. Genomic tools are most likely to be effective in combination with rapid phenotypic diagnostics.

Development of a Novel Clinicomolecular Risk Index to Enhance Mortality Prediction and Immunological Stratification of Adults Hospitalized with Sepsis in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Pilot Study from Uganda.

The global burden of sepsis is concentrated in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), where epidemic HIV and unique pathogen diversity challenge the effective management of severe infections. In this context, patient stratification based on biomarkers of a dysregulated host response may identify subgroups more likely to respond to targeted immunomodulatory therapeutics. In a prospective cohort of adults hospitalized with suspected sepsis in Uganda, we applied machine learning methods to develop a prediction model for 30-day mortality that integrates physiology-based risk scores with soluble biomarkers reflective of key domains of sepsis immunopathology. After model evaluation and internal validation, whole-blood RNA sequencing data were analyzed to compare biological pathway enrichment and inferred immune cell profiles between patients assigned differential model-based risks of mortality. Of 260 eligible adults (median age, 32 years; interquartile range, 26-43 years; 59.2% female, 53.9% living with HIV), 62 (23.8%) died by 30 days after hospital discharge. Among 14 biomarkers, soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor 1 (sTNFR1) and angiopoietin 2 (Ang-2) demonstrated the greatest importance for mortality prediction in machine learning models. A clinicomolecular model integrating sTNFR1 and Ang-2 with the Universal Vital Assessment (UVA) risk score optimized 30-day mortality prediction across multiple performance metrics. Patients assigned to the high-risk, UVA-based clinicomolecular subgroup exhibited a transcriptional profile defined by proinflammatory innate immune and necroptotic pathway activation, T-cell exhaustion, and expansion of key immune cell subsets including regulatory and gamma-delta T cells. Clinicomolecular stratification of adults with suspected sepsis in Uganda enhanced 30-day mortality prediction and identified a high-risk subgroup with a therapeutically targetable immunological profile. Further studies are needed to advance pathobiologically informed sepsis management in SSA.

Clinical Characteristics of the 2019 Eastern Equine Encephalitis Outbreak in Michigan.

Background: Eastern equine encephalitis virus is a mosquito-borne alphavirus responsible for unpredictable outbreaks of severe neurologic disease in animals and humans. While most human infections are asymptomatic or clinically nonspecific, a minority of patients develops encephalitic disease, a devastating illness with a mortality rate of ≥30%. No treatments are known to be effective. Eastern equine encephalitis virus infection is rare in the United States, with an annual average nationwide incidence of 7 cases between 2009 and 2018. However, in 2019, 38 cases were confirmed nationwide, including 10 in Michigan. Methods: Data from 8 cases identified by a regional network of physicians in southwest Michigan were abstracted from clinical records. Clinical imaging and histopathology were aggregated and reviewed. Results: Patients were predominantly older adults (median age, 64 years), and all were male. Results of initial arboviral cerebrospinal fluid serology were frequently negative, and diagnosis was not made until a median of 24.5 days (range, 13-38 days) after presentation, despite prompt lumbar punctures in all patients. Imaging findings were dynamic and heterogeneous, with abnormalities of the thalamus and/or basal ganglia, and prominent pons and midbrain abnormalities were displayed in 1 patient. Six patients died, 1 survived the acute illness with severe neurologic sequelae, and 1 recovered with mild sequelae. A limited postmortem examination revealed diffuse meningoencephalitis, neuronophagia, and focal vascular necrosis. Conclusions: Eastern equine encephalitis is a frequently fatal condition whose diagnosis is often delayed, and for which no effective treatments are known. Improved diagnostics are needed to facilitate patient care and encourage the development of treatments.

Brief Report: Detection of Urine Lipoarabinomannan Is Associated With Proinflammatory Innate Immune Activation, Impaired Host Defense, and Organ Dysfunction in Adults With Severe HIV-Associated Tuberculosis in Uganda.

BACKGROUND: The immunopathology of disseminated HIV-associated tuberculosis (HIV/TB), a leading cause of critical illness and death among persons living with HIV in sub-Saharan Africa, is incompletely understood. Reflective of hematogenously disseminated TB, detection of lipoarabinomannan (LAM) in urine is associated with greater bacillary burden and poor outcomes in adults with HIV/TB. METHODS: We determined the relationship between detection of urine TB-LAM, organ dysfunction, and host immune responses in a prospective cohort of adults hospitalized with severe HIV/TB in Uganda. Generalized additive models were used to analyze the association between urine TB-LAM grade and concentrations of 14 soluble immune mediators. Whole-blood RNA-sequencing data were used to compare transcriptional profiles between patients with high- vs. low-grade TB-LAM results. RESULTS: Among 157 hospitalized persons living with HIV, 40 (25.5%) had positive urine TB-LAM testing. Higher TB-LAM grade was associated with more severe physiologic derangement, organ dysfunction, and shock. Adjusted generalized additive models showed that higher TB-LAM grade was significantly associated with higher concentrations of mediators reflecting proinflammatory innate and T-cell activation and chemotaxis (IL-8, MIF, MIP-1ß/CCL4, and sIL-2Ra/sCD25). Transcriptionally, patients with higher TB-LAM grades demonstrated multifaceted impairment of antibacterial defense including reduced expression of genes encoding cytotoxic and autophagy-related proteins and impaired cross-talk between innate and cell-mediated immune effectors. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings add to emerging data suggesting pathobiological relationships between LAM, TB dissemination, innate cell activation, and evasion of host immunity in severe HIV/TB. Further translational studies are needed to elucidate the role for immunomodulatory therapies, in addition to optimized anti-TB treatment, in this often critically ill population.

HIV infection drives pro-inflammatory immunothrombotic pathway activation and organ dysfunction among adults with sepsis in Uganda.

BACKGROUND: The global burden of sepsis is concentrated in high HIV-burden settings in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Despite this, little is known about the immunopathology of sepsis in persons with HIV (PWH) in the region. We sought to determine the influence of HIV on host immune responses and organ dysfunction among adults hospitalized with suspected sepsis in Uganda. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. METHODS: We compared organ dysfunction and 30-day outcome profiles of PWH and those without HIV. We quantified 14 soluble immune mediators, reflective of key domains of sepsis immunopathology, and performed whole-blood RNA-sequencing on samples from a subset of patients. We used propensity score methods to match PWH and those without HIV by demographics, illness duration, and clinical severity, and compared immune mediator concentrations and gene expression profiles across propensity score-matched groups. RESULTS: Among 299 patients, 157 (52.5%) were PWH (clinical stage 3 or 4 in 80.3%, 67.7% with known HIV on antiretroviral therapy). PWH presented with more severe physiologic derangement and shock, and had higher 30-day mortality (34.5% vs. 10.2%; P  < 0.001). Across propensity score-matched groups, PWH exhibited greater pro-inflammatory immune activation, including upregulation of interleukin (IL)-6, IL-8, IL-15, IL-17 and HMGB1 signaling, with concomitant T-cell exhaustion, prothrombotic pathway activation, and angiopoeitin-2-related endothelial dysfunction. CONCLUSIONS: Sepsis-related organ dysfunction and mortality in Uganda disproportionately affect PWH, who demonstrate exaggerated activation of multiple immunothrombotic and metabolic pathways implicated in sepsis pathogenesis. Further investigations are needed to refine understanding of sepsis immunopathology in PWH, particularly mechanisms amenable to therapeutic manipulation.