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1.
Thorax ; 78(10): 1011-1018, 2023 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37451864

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: People with cystic fibrosis (CF) are often on multiple long-term treatments, including mucoactive nebulisers. In the UK, the most common mucoactive nebuliser is dornase alfa (DNase). A common therapeutic approach for people already on DNase is to add hypertonic saline (HS). The effects of DNase and HS used alone have been studied in randomised trials, but their effects in combination have not. This study investigates whether, for people already prescribed DNase, adding HS has additional benefit for lung function or use of intravenous antibiotics. METHODS: Using UK CF Registry data from 2007 to 2018, we emulated a target trial. We included people aged 6 years and over who were prescribed DNase without HS for 2 years. We investigated the effects of combinations of DNase and HS over 5 years of follow-up. Inverse-probability-of-treatment weighting was used to control confounding. The period predated triple combination CF transmembrane conductance regulator modulators in routine care. RESULTS: 4498 individuals were included. At baseline, average age and forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1%) predicted were 21.1 years and 69.7 respectively. During first year of follow-up, 3799 individuals were prescribed DNase alone; 426 added HS; 57 switched to HS alone and 216 were prescribed neither. We found no evidence that adding HS improved FEV1% at 1-5 years, or use of intravenous antibiotics at 1-4 years, compared with DNase alone. CONCLUSION: For individuals with CF prescribed DNase, we found no evidence that adding HS had an effect on FEV1% or prescription of intravenous antibiotics. Our study illustrates the emulated target trial approach using CF Registry data.


Asunto(s)
Fibrosis Quística , Humanos , Fibrosis Quística/tratamiento farmacológico , Datos de Salud Recolectados Rutinariamente , Nebulizadores y Vaporizadores , Administración por Inhalación , Volumen Espiratorio Forzado , Solución Salina Hipertónica/uso terapéutico
2.
Thorax ; 78(8): 752-759, 2023 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36423925

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The imposition of restrictions on social mixing early in the COVID-19 pandemic was followed by a reduction in asthma exacerbations in multiple settings internationally. Temporal trends in social mixing, incident acute respiratory infections (ARI) and asthma exacerbations following relaxation of COVID-19 restrictions have not yet been described. METHODS: We conducted a population-based longitudinal study in 2312 UK adults with asthma between November 2020 and April 2022. Details of face covering use, social mixing, incident ARI and severe asthma exacerbations were collected via monthly online questionnaires. Temporal changes in these parameters were visualised using Poisson generalised additive models. Multilevel logistic regression was used to test for associations between incident ARI and risk of asthma exacerbations, adjusting for potential confounders. RESULTS: Relaxation of COVID-19 restrictions from April 2021 coincided with reduced face covering use (p<0.001), increased frequency of indoor visits to public places and other households (p<0.001) and rising incidence of COVID-19 (p<0.001), non-COVID-19 ARI (p<0.001) and severe asthma exacerbations (p=0.007). Incident non-COVID-19 ARI associated independently with increased risk of asthma exacerbation (adjusted OR 5.75, 95% CI 4.75 to 6.97) as did incident COVID-19, both prior to emergence of the omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 (5.89, 3.45 to 10.04) and subsequently (5.69, 3.89 to 8.31). CONCLUSIONS: Relaxation of COVID-19 restrictions coincided with decreased face covering use, increased social mixing and a rebound in ARI and asthma exacerbations. Associations between incident ARI and risk of severe asthma exacerbation were similar for non-COVID-19 ARI and COVID-19, both before and after emergence of the SARS-CoV-2 omicron variant. STUDY REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04330599.


Asunto(s)
Asma , COVID-19 , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio , Adulto , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , SARS-CoV-2 , Estudios Longitudinales , Pandemias , Asma/epidemiología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiología , Reino Unido/epidemiología
3.
Eur Respir J ; 62(3)2023 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37652570

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Cystic fibrosis (CF) is commonly characterised by thick respiratory mucus. From diagnosis, people with CF are prescribed daily physiotherapy, including airway clearance techniques (ACTs). ACTs consume a large proportion of treatment time, yet the efficacy and effectiveness of ACTs are poorly understood. This study aimed to evaluate associations between the quality and quantity of ACTs and lung function in children and young people with CF. METHODS: Project Fizzyo, a longitudinal observational cohort study in the UK, used remote monitoring with electronic pressure sensors attached to four different commercial ACT devices to record real-time, breath-by-breath pressure data during usual ACTs undertaken at home over 16 months in 145 children. ACTs were categorised either as conformant or not with current ACT recommendations based on breath pressure and length measurements, or as missed treatments if not recorded. Daily, weekly and monthly associations between ACT category and lung function were investigated using linear mixed effects regression models adjusting for clinical confounders. RESULTS: After exclusions, 45 224 ACT treatments (135 individuals) and 21 069 days without treatments (141 individuals) were analysed. The mean±sd age of participants was 10.2±2.9 years. Conformant ACTs (21%) had significantly higher forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) (mean effect size 0.23 (95% CI 0.19-0.27) FEV1 % pred per treatment) than non-conformant (79%) or missed treatments. There was no benefit from non-conformant or missed treatments and no significant difference in FEV1 between them (mean effect size 0.02 (95% CI -0.01-0.05) FEV1 % pred per treatment). CONCLUSIONS: ACTs are beneficial when performed as recommended, but most people use techniques that do not improve lung function. Work is needed to monitor and improve ACT quality and to increase the proportion of people doing effective airway clearance at home.


Asunto(s)
Fibrosis Quística , Humanos , Niño , Adolescente , Fibrosis Quística/terapia , Volumen Espiratorio Forzado , Modelos Lineales , Prednisona , Esputo
4.
Stat Med ; 42(13): 2191-2225, 2023 06 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37086186

RESUMEN

Longitudinal observational data on patients can be used to investigate causal effects of time-varying treatments on time-to-event outcomes. Several methods have been developed for estimating such effects by controlling for the time-dependent confounding that typically occurs. The most commonly used is marginal structural models (MSM) estimated using inverse probability of treatment weights (IPTW) (MSM-IPTW). An alternative, the sequential trials approach, is increasingly popular, and involves creating a sequence of "trials" from new time origins and comparing treatment initiators and non-initiators. Individuals are censored when they deviate from their treatment assignment at the start of each "trial" (initiator or noninitiator), which is accounted for using inverse probability of censoring weights. The analysis uses data combined across trials. We show that the sequential trials approach can estimate the parameters of a particular MSM. The causal estimand that we focus on is the marginal risk difference between the sustained treatment strategies of "always treat" vs "never treat." We compare how the sequential trials approach and MSM-IPTW estimate this estimand, and discuss their assumptions and how data are used differently. The performance of the two approaches is compared in a simulation study. The sequential trials approach, which tends to involve less extreme weights than MSM-IPTW, results in greater efficiency for estimating the marginal risk difference at most follow-up times, but this can, in certain scenarios, be reversed at later time points and relies on modelling assumptions. We apply the methods to longitudinal observational data from the UK Cystic Fibrosis Registry to estimate the effect of dornase alfa on survival.


Asunto(s)
Modelos Estadísticos , Humanos , Causalidad , Modelos Estructurales , Probabilidad , Análisis de Supervivencia , Resultado del Tratamiento , Estudios Longitudinales
5.
BMC Med Res Methodol ; 23(1): 114, 2023 05 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37170205

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Clinical outcomes are normally captured less frequently than data from remote technologies, leaving a disparity in volumes of data from these different sources. To align these data, flexible polynomial regression was investigated to estimate personalised trends for a continuous outcome over time. METHODS: Using electronic health records, flexible polynomial regression models inclusive of a 1st up to a 4th order were calculated to predict forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) over time in children with cystic fibrosis. The model with the lowest AIC for each individual was selected as the best fit. The optimal parameters for using flexible polynomials were investigated by comparing the measured FEV1 values to the values given by the individualised polynomial. RESULTS: There were 8,549 FEV1 measurements from 267 individuals. For individuals with > 15 measurements (n = 178), the polynomial predictions worked well; however, with < 15 measurements (n = 89), the polynomial models were conditional on the number of measurements and time between measurements. The method was validated using BMI in the same population of children. CONCLUSION: Flexible polynomials can be used to extrapolate clinical outcome measures at frequent time intervals to align with daily data captured through remote technologies.


Asunto(s)
Fibrosis Quística , Modelos Estadísticos , Niño , Humanos , Volumen Espiratorio Forzado , Fibrosis Quística/terapia
6.
BMC Public Health ; 23(1): 2416, 2023 12 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38053057

RESUMEN

A cornerstone of asthma management is maintaining physical activity (PA), but this may lead to increased exposure to, and deeper inhalation of, pollutants. Furthermore, children and adolescents may be more susceptible to the deleterious impacts of such exposures. Despite the recent air quality campaigns and media coverage surrounding the dangers of air pollution to respiratory health, few target children and their understanding of such issues.Using semi structured interviews, understanding of PA, air pollution and their interaction was explored with 25 youth aged 7-17 years. Utilising NVIVO 12 software, an atheoretical, inductive thematic analysis was conducted to identify key themes which were subsequently presented as pen profiles with the number of common responses within a theme indicative of its strength.The majority (88%) of youth's indicated traffic-related air pollution and global manufacturing as key sources of air pollution. Whilst all youths were aware of outdoor pollution, only 52% were aware of indoor air pollutants, of which 62% had asthma. Despite some uncertainty, all youths described pollution in a negative fashion, with 52% linking air pollution to undesirable effects on health, specifically respiratory health. PA in a polluted area was thought to be more dangerous than beneficial by 44%, although 24% suggested the benefits of PA would outweigh any detriment from pollution.Youth are aware of, and potentially compensate for, the interaction between air pollution and PA. Strategies are needed to allow youth to make more informed decisions regarding how to promote PA whilst minimising exposure to air pollution.


Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Asma , Contaminantes Ambientales , Adolescente , Niño , Humanos , Asma/epidemiología , Asma/etiología , Contaminación del Aire/efectos adversos , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/toxicidad , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Ejercicio Físico , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/efectos adversos
7.
Thorax ; 77(9): 900-912, 2022 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34848555

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Risk factors for severe COVID-19 include older age, male sex, obesity, black or Asian ethnicity and underlying medical conditions. Whether these factors also influence susceptibility to developing COVID-19 is uncertain. METHODS: We undertook a prospective, population-based cohort study (COVIDENCE UK) from 1 May 2020 to 5 February 2021. Baseline information on potential risk factors was captured by an online questionnaire. Monthly follow-up questionnaires captured incident COVID-19. We used logistic regression models to estimate multivariable-adjusted ORs (aORs) for associations between potential risk factors and odds of COVID-19. RESULTS: We recorded 446 incident cases of COVID-19 in 15 227 participants (2.9%). Increased odds of developing COVID-19 were independently associated with Asian/Asian British versus white ethnicity (aOR 2.28, 95% CI 1.33 to 3.91), household overcrowding (aOR per additional 0.5 people/bedroom 1.26, 1.11 to 1.43), any versus no visits to/from other households in previous week (aOR 1.31, 1.06 to 1.62), number of visits to indoor public places (aOR per extra visit per week 1.05, 1.02 to 1.09), frontline occupation excluding health/social care versus no frontline occupation (aOR 1.49, 1.12 to 1.98) and raised body mass index (BMI) (aOR 1.50 (1.19 to 1.89) for BMI 25.0-30.0 kg/m2 and 1.39 (1.06 to 1.84) for BMI >30.0 kg/m2 versus BMI <25.0 kg/m2). Atopic disease was independently associated with decreased odds (aOR 0.75, 0.59 to 0.97). No independent associations were seen for age, sex, other medical conditions, diet or micronutrient supplement use. CONCLUSIONS: After rigorous adjustment for factors influencing exposure to SARS-CoV-2, Asian/Asian British ethnicity and raised BMI were associated with increased odds of developing COVID-19, while atopic disease was associated with decreased odds. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ClinicalTrials.gov Registry (NCT04330599).


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , COVID-19/epidemiología , Estudios de Cohortes , Humanos , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , SARS-CoV-2 , Reino Unido/epidemiología
8.
Eur Respir J ; 60(4)2022 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35236727

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Many people recovering from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) experience prolonged symptoms, particularly breathlessness. We urgently need to identify safe and effective COVID-19 rehabilitative strategies. The aim of the current study was to investigate the potential rehabilitative role of inspiratory muscle training (IMT). METHODS: 281 adults (age 46.6±12.2 years; 88% female) recovering from self-reported COVID-19 (9.0±4.2 months post-acute infection) were randomised 4:1 to an 8-week IMT or a "usual care" waitlist control arm. Health-related quality-of-life and breathlessness questionnaires (King's Brief Interstitial Lung Disease (K-BILD) and Transition Dyspnoea Index (TDI)), respiratory muscle strength, and fitness (Chester Step Test) were assessed pre- and post-intervention. The primary end-point was K-BILD total score, with the K-BILD domains and TDI being key secondary outcomes. RESULTS: According to intention to treat, there was no difference between groups in K-BILD total score post-intervention (control: 59.5±12.4; IMT: 58.2±12.3; p<0.05) but IMT elicited clinically meaningful improvements in the K-BILD domains for breathlessness (control: 59.8±12.6; IMT: 62.2±16.2; p<0.05) and chest symptoms (control: 59.2±18.7; IMT: 64.5±18.2; p<0.05), along with clinically meaningful improvements in breathlessness according to TDI (control: 0.9±1.7 versus 2.0±2.0; p<0.05). IMT also improved respiratory muscle strength and estimated aerobic fitness. CONCLUSIONS: IMT may represent an important home-based rehabilitation strategy for wider implementation as part of COVID-19 rehabilitative strategies. Given the diverse nature of long COVID, further research is warranted on the individual responses to rehabilitation; the withdrawal rate herein highlights that no one strategy is likely to be appropriate for all.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Enfermedades Pulmonares Intersticiales , Adulto , Ejercicios Respiratorios , COVID-19/complicaciones , Disnea/terapia , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Fuerza Muscular , Calidad de Vida , Músculos Respiratorios , Síndrome Post Agudo de COVID-19
9.
BMC Med ; 20(1): 87, 2022 02 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35189888

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Prospective population-based studies investigating multiple determinants of pre-vaccination antibody responses to SARS-CoV-2 are lacking. METHODS: We did a prospective population-based study in SARS-CoV-2 vaccine-naive UK adults recruited between May 1 and November 2, 2020, without a positive swab test result for SARS-CoV-2 prior to enrolment. Information on 88 potential sociodemographic, behavioural, nutritional, clinical and pharmacological risk factors was obtained through online questionnaires, and combined IgG/IgA/IgM responses to SARS-CoV-2 spike glycoprotein were determined in dried blood spots obtained between November 6, 2020, and April 18, 2021. We used logistic and linear regression to estimate adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and adjusted geometric mean ratios (aGMRs) for potential determinants of SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity (all participants) and antibody titres (seropositive participants only), respectively. RESULTS: Of 11,130 participants, 1696 (15.2%) were seropositive. Factors independently associated with  higher risk of SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity included frontline health/care occupation (aOR 1.86, 95% CI 1.48-2.33), international travel (1.20, 1.07-1.35), number of visits to shops and other indoor public places (≥ 5 vs. 0/week: 1.29, 1.06-1.57, P-trend = 0.01), body mass index (BMI) ≥ 25 vs. < 25 kg/m2 (1.24, 1.11-1.39), South Asian vs. White ethnicity (1.65, 1.10-2.49) and alcohol consumption ≥15 vs. 0 units/week (1.23, 1.04-1.46). Light physical exercise associated with  lower risk (0.80, 0.70-0.93, for ≥ 10 vs. 0-4 h/week). Among seropositive participants, higher titres of anti-Spike antibodies associated with factors including BMI ≥ 30 vs. < 25 kg/m2 (aGMR 1.10, 1.02-1.19), South Asian vs. White ethnicity (1.22, 1.04-1.44), frontline health/care occupation (1.24, 95% CI 1.11-1.39), international travel (1.11, 1.05-1.16) and number of visits to shops and other indoor public places (≥ 5 vs. 0/week: 1.12, 1.02-1.23, P-trend = 0.01); these associations were not substantially attenuated by adjustment for COVID-19 disease severity. CONCLUSIONS: Higher alcohol consumption and lower light physical exercise represent new modifiable risk factors for SARS-CoV-2 infection. Recognised associations between South Asian ethnic origin and obesity and higher risk of SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity were independent of other sociodemographic, behavioural, nutritional, clinical, and pharmacological factors investigated. Among seropositive participants, higher titres of anti-Spike antibodies in people of South Asian ancestry and in obese people were not explained by greater COVID-19 disease severity in these groups.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Adulto , Anticuerpos Antivirales , Formación de Anticuerpos , Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , Humanos , Estudios Longitudinales , Estudios Prospectivos , Reino Unido , Vacunación
10.
Paediatr Respir Rev ; 42: 17-22, 2022 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32952050

RESUMEN

Despite evidence showing an improvement in nutritional outcomes following diagnosis by newborn screening (NBS) for cystic fibrosis (CF), the impact on pulmonary outcomes has been less clear. In this review the approaches to measurement of early lung function and knowledge gained from NBS CF cohorts will be described. Studies which have compared outcomes in those diagnosed by NBS to those diagnosed following symptomatic presentation will be presented. Compiling the evidence base used to evaluate the impact of NBS on pulmonary outcomes has been complicated by improvements in clinical management, infection control practices, as well as public health interventions (such as tobacco smoking bans in public places) that have evolved substantially over recent decades. Forced expiratory volumes have been used as the main outcome but it is important not to draw conclusions for 'early lung function' from tests such as spirometry alone, which lack sensitivity in early lung disease. There is, at present, insufficient evidence to draw firm conclusions about the effect of NBS on early lung function. In an era of highly effective treatments targeting the underlying molecular defect responsible for CF, future opportunities for early initiation of treatment may mean that the impact of NBS on early lung function may yet to be realised.


Asunto(s)
Fibrosis Quística , Fibrosis Quística/complicaciones , Volumen Espiratorio Forzado , Humanos , Recién Nacido , Pulmón , Tamizaje Neonatal , Resultado del Tratamiento
11.
PLoS Med ; 18(2): e1003497, 2021 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33577558

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Socioeconomic deprivation is known to be associated with worse outcomes in asthma, but there is a lack of population-based evidence of its impact across all stages of patient care. We investigated the association of socioeconomic deprivation with asthma-related care and outcomes across primary and secondary care and with asthma-related death in Wales. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We constructed a national cohort, identified from 76% (2.4 million) of the Welsh population, of continuously treated asthma patients between 2013 and 2017 using anonymised, person-level, linked, routinely collected primary and secondary care data in the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank. We investigated the association between asthma-related health service utilisation, prescribing, and deaths with the 2011 Welsh Index of Multiple Deprivation (WIMD) and its domains. We studied 106,926 patients (534,630 person-years), 56.3% were female, with mean age of 47.5 years (SD = 20.3). Compared to the least deprived patients, the most deprived patients had slightly fewer total asthma-related primary care consultations per patient (incidence rate ratio [IRR] = 0.98, 95% CI 0.97-0.99, p-value < 0.001), slightly fewer routine asthma reviews (IRR = 0.98, 0.97-0.99, p-value < 0.001), lower controller-to-total asthma medication ratios (AMRs; 0.50 versus 0.56, p-value < 0.001), more asthma-related accident and emergency (A&E) attendances (IRR = 1.27, 1.10-1.46, p-value = 0.001), more asthma emergency admissions (IRR = 1.56, 1.39-1.76, p-value < 0.001), longer asthma-related hospital stay (IRR = 1.64, 1.39-1.94, p-value < 0.001), and were at higher risk of asthma-related death (risk ratio of deaths with any mention of asthma 1.56, 1.18-2.07, p-value = 0.002). Study limitations include the deprivation index being area based and the potential for residual confounders and mediators. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, we observed that the most deprived asthma patients in Wales had different prescribing patterns, more A&E attendances, more emergency hospital admissions, and substantially higher risk of death. Interventions specifically designed to improve treatment and outcomes for these disadvantaged groups are urgently needed.


Asunto(s)
Asma/rehabilitación , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Incidencia , Atención Secundaria de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Oportunidad Relativa , Factores Socioeconómicos , Gales/epidemiología
12.
Thorax ; 76(9): 867-873, 2021 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33782079

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic's impact on people with asthma is poorly understood. We hypothesised that lockdown restrictions were associated with reductions in severe asthma exacerbations requiring emergency asthma admissions and/or leading to death. METHODS: Using data from Public Health Scotland and the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage Databank in Wales, we compared weekly counts of emergency admissions and deaths due to asthma over the first 18 weeks in 2020 with the national averages over 2015-2019. We modelled the impact of instigating lockdown on these outcomes using interrupted time-series analysis. Using fixed-effect meta-analysis, we derived pooled estimates of the overall changes in trends across the two nations. We also investigated trends in asthma-related primary care prescribing and emergency department (ED) attendances in Wales. RESULTS: Lockdown was associated with a 36% pooled reduction in emergency admissions for asthma (incidence rate ratio, IRR: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.49 to 0.83, p value 0.001) across both countries. There was no significant change in asthma deaths (pooled IRR: 0.57, 95% CI: 0.17 to 1.94, p value 0.37). ED asthma attendances in Wales declined during lockdown (IRR: 0.85, 95% CI: 0.73 to 0.99, p value 0.03). A large spike of 121% more inhaled corticosteroids and 133% more oral corticosteroid prescriptions was seen in Wales in the week before lockdown. CONCLUSIONS: National lockdowns were associated with substantial reductions in severe asthma exacerbations leading to hospital admission across both Scotland and Wales, with no corresponding increase in asthma deaths.


Asunto(s)
Asma/mortalidad , COVID-19/prevención & control , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital/estadística & datos numéricos , Admisión del Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Atención Primaria de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Administración por Inhalación , Corticoesteroides/uso terapéutico , Asma/tratamiento farmacológico , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital/tendencias , Humanos , Análisis de Series de Tiempo Interrumpido , Admisión del Paciente/tendencias , Atención Primaria de Salud/tendencias , SARS-CoV-2 , Escocia/epidemiología , Gales/epidemiología
13.
Eur Respir J ; 58(2)2021 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33446607

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Cystic fibrosis (CF) is a multisystem disease in which the assessment of disease severity based on lung function alone may not be appropriate. The aim of the study was to develop a comprehensive machine-learning algorithm to assess clinical status independent of lung function in children. METHODS: A comprehensive prospectively collected clinical database (Toronto, Canada) was used to apply unsupervised cluster analysis. The defined clusters were then compared by current and future lung function, risk of future hospitalisation, and risk of future pulmonary exacerbation treated with oral antibiotics. A k-nearest-neighbours (KNN) algorithm was used to prospectively assign clusters. The methods were validated in a paediatric clinical CF dataset from Great Ormond Street Hospital (GOSH). RESULTS: The optimal cluster model identified four (A-D) phenotypic clusters based on 12 200 encounters from 530 individuals. Two clusters (A and B) consistent with mild disease were identified with high forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1), and low risk of both hospitalisation and pulmonary exacerbation treated with oral antibiotics. Two clusters (C and D) consistent with severe disease were also identified with low FEV1. Cluster D had the shortest time to both hospitalisation and pulmonary exacerbation treated with oral antibiotics. The outcomes were consistent in 3124 encounters from 171 children at GOSH. The KNN cluster allocation error rate was low, at 2.5% (Toronto) and 3.5% (GOSH). CONCLUSION: Machine learning derived phenotypic clusters can predict disease severity independent of lung function and could be used in conjunction with functional measures to predict future disease trajectories in CF patients.


Asunto(s)
Fibrosis Quística , Niño , Análisis por Conglomerados , Fibrosis Quística/diagnóstico , Volumen Espiratorio Forzado , Humanos , Pulmón , Pruebas de Función Respiratoria
14.
BMC Med ; 19(1): 124, 2021 05 17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33993870

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic and ensuing national lockdowns have dramatically changed the healthcare landscape. The pandemic's impact on people with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) remains poorly understood. We hypothesised that the UK-wide lockdown restrictions were associated with reductions in severe COPD exacerbations. We provide the first national level analyses of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and first lockdown on severe COPD exacerbations resulting in emergency hospital admissions and/or leading to death as well as those recorded in primary care or emergency departments. METHODS: Using data from Public Health Scotland and the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage Databank in Wales, we accessed weekly counts of emergency hospital admissions and deaths due to COPD over the first 30 weeks of 2020 and compared these to the national averages over the preceding 5 years. For both Scotland and Wales, we undertook interrupted time-series analyses to model the impact of instigating lockdown on these outcomes. Using fixed-effect meta-analysis, we derived pooled estimates of the overall changes in trends across the two nations. RESULTS: Lockdown was associated with 48% pooled reduction in emergency admissions for COPD in both countries (incidence rate ratio, IRR 0.52, 95% CI 0.46 to 0.58), relative to the 5-year averages. There was no statistically significant change in deaths due to COPD (pooled IRR 1.08, 95% CI 0.87 to 1.33). In Wales, lockdown was associated with 39% reduction in primary care consultations for acute exacerbation of COPD (IRR 0.61, 95% CI 0.52 to 0.71) and 46% reduction in COPD-related emergency department attendances (IRR 0.54, 95% CI 0.36 to 0.81). CONCLUSIONS: The UK-wide lockdown was associated with the most substantial reductions in COPD exacerbations ever seen across Scotland and Wales, with no corresponding increase in COPD deaths. This may have resulted from reduced transmission of respiratory infections, reduced exposure to outdoor air pollution and/or improved COPD self-management.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/prevención & control , Enfermedad Pulmonar Obstructiva Crónica/epidemiología , Enfermedad Pulmonar Obstructiva Crónica/mortalidad , Cuarentena , COVID-19/complicaciones , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Hospitalización , Humanos , Incidencia , Análisis de Series de Tiempo Interrumpido , Pandemias , Atención Primaria de Salud , SARS-CoV-2 , Escocia , Gales
15.
Nature ; 520(7549): 670-674, 2015 Apr 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25707804

RESUMEN

Immunoglobulin E (IgE) is a central mediator of allergic (atopic) inflammation. Therapies directed against IgE can alleviate hay fever and allergic asthma. Genetic association studies have not yet identified novel therapeutic targets or pathways underlying IgE regulation. We therefore surveyed epigenetic associations between serum IgE concentrations and methylation at loci concentrated in CpG islands genome wide in 95 nuclear pedigrees, using DNA from peripheral blood leukocytes. We validated positive results in additional families and in subjects from the general population. Here we show replicated associations--with a meta-analysis false discovery rate less than 10(-4)--between IgE and low methylation at 36 loci. Genes annotated to these loci encode known eosinophil products, and also implicate phospholipid inflammatory mediators, specific transcription factors and mitochondrial proteins. We confirmed that methylation at these loci differed significantly in isolated eosinophils from subjects with and without asthma and high IgE levels. The top three loci accounted for 13% of IgE variation in the primary subject panel, explaining the tenfold higher variance found compared with that derived from large single-nucleotide polymorphism genome-wide association studies. This study identifies novel therapeutic targets and biomarkers for patient stratification for allergic diseases.


Asunto(s)
Metilación de ADN/genética , Epigénesis Genética/genética , Estudios de Asociación Genética , Genoma Humano/genética , Inmunoglobulina E/sangre , Adolescente , Adulto , Asma/sangre , Asma/genética , Niño , Islas de CpG/genética , Eosinófilos/citología , Eosinófilos/metabolismo , Femenino , Humanos , Mediadores de Inflamación , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Proteínas Mitocondriales/genética , Linaje , Polimorfismo de Nucleótido Simple/genética , Factores de Transcripción/genética , Adulto Joven
16.
Curr Opin Pulm Med ; 26(6): 671-678, 2020 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32925367

RESUMEN

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Early stage lung disease has long been synonymous with infancy and childhood. As diagnosis happens earlier and conventional management improves, we are seeing larger proportions of people with cystic fibrosis (CF) in adolescence and even adulthood with well preserved lung health. The availability of highly effective cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator modulator drugs for a large proportion of the CF population will impact even further. Transitioning into adult care with 'normal' lung function will become more common. However, it is crucial that we are not blasé about this phase, which sets the scene for future lung health. It is well recognized that lung function assessed by spirometry is insensitive to 'early' changes occurring in the distal, small airways. Much of our learning has come from studies in infants and young children, which have allowed assessment and optimization of alternative forms of monitoring. RECENT FINDINGS: Here, as a group of paediatric and adult CF specialists, we review the evidence base for sensitive physiological testing based on multibreath washout, lung imaging, exercise and activity monitoring, assessment of infection and quality of life measures. SUMMARY: We seek to emphasise the importance of further work in these areas, as outcome measures become widely applicable to a growing CF population.


Asunto(s)
Fibrosis Quística/tratamiento farmacológico , Fibrosis Quística/fisiopatología , Pulmón/fisiopatología , Agonistas de los Canales de Cloruro/uso terapéutico , Fibrosis Quística/diagnóstico por imagen , Regulador de Conductancia de Transmembrana de Fibrosis Quística/efectos de los fármacos , Ejercicio Físico/fisiología , Prueba de Esfuerzo , Humanos , Pulmón/diagnóstico por imagen , Calidad de Vida , Espirometría
17.
J Sports Sci ; 38(3): 288-295, 2020 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31774371

RESUMEN

Although an association has been suggested between asthma, obesity, fitness and physical activity, the relationship between these parameters remains to be elucidated in adolescents. Six-hundred and sixteen adolescents were recruited (334 boys; 13.0 ± 1.1years; 1.57 ± 0.10m; 52.6 ± 12.9kg), of which 155 suffered from mild-to-moderate asthma (78 boys). Participants completed a 20-metre shuttle run test, lung function and 7-day objective physical activity measurements and completed asthma control and quality of life questionnaires. Furthermore, 69 adolescents (36 asthma; 21 boys) completed an incremental ramp cycle ergometer test. Although participants with asthma completed significantly fewer shuttle runs than their peers, peak V̇O2 did not differ between the groups. However, adolescents with asthma engaged in less physical activity (53.9 ± 23.5 vs 60.5 ± 23.6minutes) and had higher BMI (22.2 ± 4.8 vs 20.4 ± 3.7kg·m-2), than their peers. Whilst a significant relationship was found between quality of life and cardiorespiratory fitness according to peak V̇O2, only BMI was revealed as a significant predictor of asthma status. The current findings highlight the need to use accurate measures of cardiorespiratory fitness rather than indirect estimates to assess the influence of asthma during adolescence. Furthermore, the present study suggests that BMI and fitness may be key targets for future interventions seeking to improve asthma quality of life.


Asunto(s)
Asma/fisiopatología , Índice de Masa Corporal , Capacidad Cardiovascular/fisiología , Adolescente , Prueba de Esfuerzo , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Obesidad/fisiopatología , Consumo de Oxígeno/fisiología , Calidad de Vida , Análisis de Regresión , Pruebas de Función Respiratoria , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad
19.
J Allergy Clin Immunol ; 140(2): 571-577, 2017 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28069425

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Total IgE is a therapeutic target in patients with allergic diseases. DNA methylation in white blood cells (WBCs) was associated with total IgE levels in an epigenome-wide association study of white subjects. Whether DNA methylation of eosinophils explains these findings is insufficiently understood. METHODS: We tested for association between genome-wide DNA methylation in WBCs and total IgE levels in 2 studies of Hispanic children: the Puerto Rico Genetics of Asthma and Lifestyle Study (PR-GOAL; n = 306) and the Genes-environments and Admixture in Latino Americans (GALA II) study (n = 573). Whole-genome methylation of DNA from WBCs was measured by using the Illumina Infinium HumanMethylation450 BeadChip. Total IgE levels were measured by using the UniCAP 100 system. In PR-GOAL WBC types (ie, neutrophils, eosinophils, basophils, lymphocytes, and monocytes) in peripheral blood were measured by using Coulter Counter techniques. In the GALA II study WBC types were imputed. Multivariable linear regression was used for the analysis of DNA methylation and total IgE levels, which was first conducted separately for each cohort, and then results from the 2 cohorts were combined in a meta-analysis. RESULTS: CpG sites in multiple genes, including novel findings and results previously reported in white subjects, were significantly associated with total IgE levels. However, adjustment for WBC types resulted in markedly fewer significant sites. Top findings from this adjusted meta-analysis were in the genes ZFPM1 (P = 1.5 × 10-12), ACOT7 (P = 2.5 × 10-11), and MND1 (P = 1.4 × 10-9). CONCLUSIONS: In an epigenome-wide association study adjusted for WBC types (including eosinophils), methylation changes in genes enriched in pathways relevant to asthma and immune responses were associated with total IgE levels among Hispanic children.


Asunto(s)
Asma/sangre , Asma/genética , Metilación de ADN , Hispánicos o Latinos/genética , Inmunoglobulina E/sangre , Leucocitos/metabolismo , Adolescente , Adulto , Asma/inmunología , Niño , Islas de CpG , Epigénesis Genética , Femenino , Genoma Humano , Estudio de Asociación del Genoma Completo , Humanos , Masculino , Adulto Joven
20.
Eur Respir J ; 49(6)2017 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28619959

RESUMEN

There is currently no consensus on approaches to defining asthma or assessing asthma outcomes using electronic health record-derived data. We explored these approaches in the recent literature and examined the clarity of reporting.We systematically searched for asthma-related articles published between January 1, 2014 and December 31, 2015, extracted the algorithms used to identify asthma patients and assess severity, control and exacerbations, and examined how the validity of these outcomes was justified.From 113 eligible articles, we found significant heterogeneity in the algorithms used to define asthma (n=66 different algorithms), severity (n=18), control (n=9) and exacerbations (n=24). For the majority of algorithms (n=106), validity was not justified. In the remaining cases, approaches ranged from using algorithms validated in the same databases to using nonvalidated algorithms that were based on clinical judgement or clinical guidelines. The implementation of these algorithms was suboptimally described overall.Although electronic health record-derived data are now widely used to study asthma, the approaches being used are significantly varied and are often underdescribed, rendering it difficult to assess the validity of studies and compare their findings. Given the substantial growth in this body of literature, it is crucial that scientific consensus is reached on the underlying definitions and algorithms.


Asunto(s)
Asma/diagnóstico , Estudios Clínicos como Asunto/normas , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud , Algoritmos , Registros Electrónicos de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud/métodos , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud/normas , Mejoramiento de la Calidad
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