Lung cancer screening using low-dose CT and FDG-PET in liver transplant recipients.

To address the feasibility of implementing a lung cancer screening program in liver transplant recipients (LTR) targeted to detect early-stage lung cancer one hundred twenty-four LTR (89% male, 59.8+/-8.8 y old), who entered the lung cancer screening program at our hospital were reviewed. The results of the diagnostic algorithm using low-dose CT and F-18-fluorodeoxyglycose positron emission tomography (FDG-PET) were analyzed. Lung cancer was detected in 12 LTR (9.7%), most of which corresponded to the non-small cell subtype. Two of the 12 lung cancers were detected in the baseline study (prevalence of 1.6%), whereas 10 patients were diagnosed with lung cancer in the follow-up (incidence of 8.1%). Considering all cancers, 10 of 12 (83.3%) were diagnosed at stage I, one cancer was diagnosed at stage IIIA, and another one at stage IV. The sensitivity, specificity, diagnostic accuracy, and positive and negative predictive values of F-18-fluorodeoxyglycose positron emission tomography to detect malignancy in our cohort were 81.8%,100%, 99.3%, 100%, and 99.3%, respectively. A carefully followed multidisciplinary lung cancer screening algorithm in LTR that includes F-18-fluorodeoxyglycose positron emission tomography and low-dose CT allows lung cancer to be diagnosed at an early stage while reducing unnecessary invasive procedures.

Impaired Ventilatory Efficiency, Dyspnea, and Exercise Intolerance in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: Results from the CanCOLD Study.

Rationale: Impaired exercise ventilatory efficiency (high ventilatory requirements for CO2 [[Formula: see text]e/[Formula: see text]co2]) provides an indication of pulmonary gas exchange abnormalities in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Objectives: To determine 1) the association between high [Formula: see text]e/[Formula: see text]co2 and clinical outcomes (dyspnea and exercise capacity) and its relationship to lung function and structural radiographic abnormalities; and 2) its prevalence in a large population-based cohort. Methods: Participants were recruited randomly from the population and underwent clinical evaluation, pulmonary function, cardiopulmonary exercise testing, and chest computed tomography. Impaired exercise ventilatory efficiency was defined by a nadir [Formula: see text]e/[Formula: see text]co2 above the upper limit of normal (ULN), using population-based normative values. Measurements and Main Results: Participants included 445 never-smokers, 381 ever-smokers without airflow obstruction, 224 with Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) 1 COPD, and 200 with GOLD 2-4 COPD. Participants with [Formula: see text]e/[Formula: see text]co2 above the ULN were more likely to have activity-related dyspnea (Medical Research Council dyspnea scale ⩾ 2; odds ratio [5-95% confidence intervals], 1.77 [1.31 to 2.39]) and abnormally low peak [Formula: see text]o2 ([Formula: see text]o2peak below the lower limit of normal; odds ratio, 4.58 [3.06 to 6.86]). The Kco had a stronger correlation with nadir [Formula: see text]e/[Formula: see text]co2 (r = -0.38; P < 0.001) than other relevant lung function and computed tomography metrics. The prevalence of [Formula: see text]e/[Formula: see text]co2 above the ULN was 24% in COPD (similar in GOLD 1 and 2 through 4), which was greater than in never-smokers (13%) and ever-smokers (12%). Conclusions: [Formula: see text]e/[Formula: see text]co2 above the ULN was associated with greater dyspnea and low [Formula: see text]o2peak and was present in 24% of all participants with COPD, regardless of GOLD stage. The results show the importance of recognizing impaired exercise ventilatory efficiency as a potential contributor to dyspnea and exercise limitation, even in mild COPD.

Metallomic Signatures of Lung Cancer and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

Lung cancer (LC) is the leading cause of cancer deaths, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) can increase LC risk. Metallomics may provide insights into both of these tobacco-related diseases and their shared etiology. We conducted an observational study of 191 human serum samples, including those of healthy controls, LC patients, COPD patients, and patients with both COPD and LC. We found 18 elements (V, Al, As, Mn, Co, Cu, Zn, Cd, Se, W, Mo, Sb, Pb, Tl, Cr, Mg, Ni, and U) in these samples. In addition, we evaluated the elemental profiles of COPD cases of varying severity. The ratios and associations between the elements were also studied as possible signatures of the diseases. COPD severity and LC have a significant impact on the elemental composition of human serum. The severity of COPD was found to reduce the serum concentrations of As, Cd, and Tl and increased the serum concentrations of Mn and Sb compared with healthy control samples, while LC was found to increase Al, As, Mn, and Pb concentrations. This study provides new insights into the effects of LC and COPD on the human serum elemental profile that will pave the way for the potential use of elements as biomarkers for diagnosis and prognosis. It also sheds light on the potential link between the two diseases, i.e., the evolution of COPD to LC.

Exertional dyspnoea in patients with mild-to-severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: neuromechanical mechanisms.

In patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), exertional dyspnoea generally arises when there is imbalance between ventilatory demand and capacity, but the neurophysiological mechanisms are unclear. We therefore determined if disparity between elevated inspiratory neural drive (IND) and tidal volume (VT ) responses (neuromechanical dissociation) impacted dyspnoea intensity and quality during exercise, across the COPD severity spectrum. In this two-centre, cross-sectional observational study, 89 participants with COPD divided into tertiles of FEV1 %predicted (Tertile 1 = FEV1 = 87 ± 9%, Tertile 2 = 60 ± 9%, Tertile 3 = 32 ± 8%) and 18 non-smoking controls, completed a symptom-limited cardiopulmonary exercise test (CPET) with measurement of IND by diaphragm electromyography (EMGdi (%max)). The association between increasing dyspnoea intensity and EMGdi (%max) during CPET was strong (r = 0.730, P < 0.001) and not different between the four groups who showed marked heterogeneity in pulmonary gas exchange and mechanical abnormalities. Significant inspiratory constraints (tidal volume/inspiratory capacity (VT /IC) ≥ 70%) and onset of neuromechanical dissociation (EMGdi (%max):VT /IC > 0.75) occurred at progressively lower minute ventilation ( V ̇ E ${\dot{V}}_{{\rm{E}}}$ ) from Control to Tertile 3. Lower resting IC meant earlier onset of neuromechanical dissociation, heightened dyspnoea intensity and greater propensity (93% in Tertile 3) to select qualitative descriptors of 'unsatisfied inspiration'. We concluded that, regardless of marked variation in mechanical and pulmonary gas exchange abnormalities in our study sample, exertional dyspnoea intensity was linked to the magnitude of EMGdi (%max). Moreover, onset of critical inspiratory constraints and attendant neuromechanical dissociation amplified dyspnoea intensity at higher exercise intensities. Simple measurements of IC and breathing pattern during CPET provide useful insights into mechanisms of dyspnoea and exercise intolerance in individuals with COPD. KEY POINTS: Dyspnoea during exercise is a common and troublesome symptom reported by patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and is linked to an elevated inspiratory neural drive (IND). The precise mechanisms of elevated IND and dyspnoea across the continuum of airflow obstruction severity in COPD remains unclear. The present study sought to determine the mechanisms of elevated IND (by diaphragm EMG, EMGdi (%max)) and dyspnoea during cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) across the continuum of COPD severity. There was a strong association between increasing dyspnoea intensity and EMGdi (%max) during CPET across the COPD continuum despite significant heterogeneity in underlying pulmonary gas exchange and respiratory mechanical impairments. Critical inspiratory constraints occurred at progressively lower ventilation during exercise with worsening severity of COPD. This was associated with the progressively lower resting inspiratory capacity with worsening disease severity. Earlier critical inspiratory constraint was associated with earlier neuromechanical dissociation and greater likelihood of reporting the sensation of 'unsatisfied inspiration'.

Comorbidities and mortality risk in adults younger than 50 years of age with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVE: Patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), usually diagnosed after the 6th decade, frequently suffer from comorbidities. Whether COPD patients 50 years or younger (Young COPD) have similar comorbidities with the same frequency and mortality impact as aged-matched controls or older COPD patients is unknown. METHODS: We compared comorbidity number, prevalence and type in 3 groups of individuals with ≥ 10 pack-years of smoking: A Young (≤ 50 years) COPD group (n = 160), an age-balanced control group without airflow obstruction (n = 125), and Old (> 50 years) COPD group (n = 1860). We also compared survival between the young COPD and control subjects. Using Cox proportional model, we determined the comorbidities associated with mortality risk and generated Comorbidomes for the "Young" and "Old" COPD groups. RESULTS: The severity distribution by GOLD spirometric stages and BODE quartiles were similar between Young and Old COPD groups. After adjusting for age, sex, and pack-years, the prevalence of subjects with at least one comorbidity was 31% for controls, 77% for the Young, and 86% for older COPD patients. Compared to controls, "Young" COPDs' had a nine-fold increased mortality risk (p < 0.0001). "Comorbidomes" differed between Young and Old COPD groups, with tuberculosis, substance use, and bipolar disorders being distinct comorbidities associated with increased mortality risk in the Young COPD group. CONCLUSIONS: Young COPD patients carry a higher comorbidity prevalence and mortality risk compared to non-obstructed control subjects. Young COPD differed from older COPD patients by the behavioral-related comorbidities that increase their risk of premature death.

Chest CT-assessed comorbidities and all-cause mortality risk in COPD patients in the BODE cohort.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: The availability of chest computed tomography (CT) imaging can help diagnose comorbidities associated with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Their systematic identification and relationship with all-cause mortality have not been explored. Furthermore, whether their CT-detected prevalence differs from clinical diagnosis is unknown. METHODS: The prevalence of 10 CT-assessed comorbidities was retrospectively determined at baseline in 379 patients (71% men) with mild to severe COPD attending pulmonary clinics. Anthropometrics, smoking history, dyspnoea, lung function, exercise capacity, BODE (BMI, Obstruction, Dyspnoea and Exercise capacity) index and exacerbations rate were recorded. The prevalence of CT-determined comorbidities was compared with that recorded clinically. Over a median of 78 months of observation, the independent association with all-cause mortality was analysed. A 'CT-comorbidome' graphically expressed the strength of their association with mortality risk. RESULTS: Coronary artery calcification, emphysema and bronchiectasis were the most prevalent comorbidities (79.8%, 62.7% and 33.9%, respectively). All were underdiagnosed before CT. Coronary artery calcium (hazard ratio [HR] 2.09; 95% CI 1.03-4.26, p = 0.042), bronchiectasis (HR 2.12; 95% CI 1.05-4.26, p = 0.036) and low psoas muscle density (HR 2.61; 95% CI 1.23-5.57, p = 0.010) were independently associated with all-cause mortality and helped define the 'CT-comorbidome'. CONCLUSION: This study of COPD patients shows that systematic detection of 10 CT-diagnosed comorbidities, most of which were not detected clinically, provides information of potential use to patients and clinicians caring for them.

Inhaled corticosteroids, COPD, and the incidence of lung cancer: a systematic review and dose response meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: There has been debate on whether inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) reduce the incidence of lung cancer amongst patients with Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (COPD). We aimed to perform a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis on available observational data. METHODS: We performed both a dose response and high versus low random effects meta-analysis on observational studies measuring whether lung cancer incidence was lower in patients using ICS with COPD. We report relative risk (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI), as well as risk difference. We use the GRADE framework to report our results. RESULTS: Our dose-response suggested a reduction in the incidence of lung cancer for every 500 ug/day of fluticasone equivalent ICS (RR 0.82 [95% 0.68-0.95]). Using a baseline risk of 7.2%, we calculated risk difference of 14 fewer cases per 1000 ([95% CI 24.7-3.8 fewer]). Similarly, our results suggested that for every 1000 ug/day of fluticasone equivalent ICS, there was a larger reduction in incidence of lung cancer (RR 0.68 [0.44-0.93]), with a risk difference of 24.7 fewer cases per 1000 ([95% CI 43.2-5.4 fewer]). The certainty of the evidence was low to very low, due to risk of bias and inconsistency. CONCLUSION: There may be a reduction in the incidence for lung cancer in COPD patients who use ICS. However, the quality of the evidence is low to very low, therefore, we are limited in making strong claims about the true effect of ICS on lung cancer incidence.

COPD Clinical Control: predictors and long-term follow-up of the CHAIN cohort.

BACKGROUND: Control in COPD is a dynamic concept that can reflect changes in patients' clinical status that may have prognostic implications, but there is no information about changes in control status and its long-term consequences. METHODS: We classified 798 patients with COPD from the CHAIN cohort as controlled/uncontrolled at baseline and over 5 years. We describe the changes in control status in patients over long-term follow-up and analyze the factors that were associated with longitudinal control patterns and related survival using the Cox hazard analysis. RESULTS: 134 patients (16.8%) were considered persistently controlled, 248 (31.1%) persistently uncontrolled and 416 (52.1%) changed control status during follow-up. The variables significantly associated with persistent control were not requiring triple therapy at baseline and having a better quality of life. Annual changes in outcomes (health status, psychological status, airflow limitation) did not differ in patients, regardless of clinical control status. All-cause mortality was lower in persistently controlled patients (5.5% versus 19.1%, p = 0.001). The hazard ratio for all-cause mortality was 2.274 (95% CI 1.394-3.708; p = 0.001). Regarding pharmacological treatment, triple inhaled therapy was the most common option in persistently uncontrolled patients (72.2%). Patients with persistent disease control more frequently used bronchodilators for monotherapy (53%) at recruitment, although by the end of the follow-up period, 20% had scaled up their treatment, with triple therapy being the most frequent therapeutic pattern. CONCLUSIONS: The evaluation of COPD control status provides relevant prognostic information on survival. There is important variability in clinical control status and only a small proportion of the patients had persistently good control. Changes in the treatment pattern may be relevant in the longitudinal pattern of COPD clinical control. Further studies in other populations should validate our results. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinical Trials.gov: identifier NCT01122758.

Reduced exercise tolerance in mild chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: The contribution of combined abnormalities of diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide and ventilatory efficiency.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: The combination of both reduced resting diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (DLCO ) and ventilatory efficiency (increased ventilatory requirement for CO2 clearance [V˙E /V˙CO2 ]) has been linked to exertional dyspnoea and exercise intolerance in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) but the underlying mechanisms are poorly understood. The current study examined if low resting DLCO and higher exercise ventilatory requirements were associated with earlier critical dynamic mechanical constraints, dyspnoea and exercise limitation in patients with mild COPD. METHODS: In this retrospective analysis, we compared V˙E /V˙CO2 , dynamic inspiratory reserve volume (IRV), dyspnoea and exercise capacity in groups of patients with Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease stage 1 COPD with (1) a resting DLCO at or greater than the lower limit of normal (≥LLN; Global Lung Function Initiative reference equations [n = 44]) or (2) below the

Recent Advances in the Physiological Assessment of Dyspneic Patients with Mild COPD.

There is growing recognition that a sizable fraction of COPD patients with forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1)/forced vital capacity ratio below the lower limit of normal but preserved FEV1 reports out-of-proportion dyspnea relative to the severity of airflow limitation. Most physicians, however, assume that patients' breathlessness is unlikely to reflect the negative physiological consequences of COPD vis-à-vis FEV1 normalcy. This concise review integrates the findings of recent studies which uncovered the key pathophysiological features shared by these patients: poor pulmonary gas exchange efficiency (increased "wasted" ventilation) and gas trapping. These abnormalities are associated with two well-known causes of exertional dyspnea: heightened ventilation relative to metabolic demand and critically low inspiratory reserves, respectively. From a clinical standpoint, a low diffusion capacity associated with increased residual volume (RV) and/or RV/total lung capacity ratio might uncover these disturbances, identifying the subset of patients in whom exertional dyspnea is causally related to "mild" COPD.

Mechanisms of Exertional Dyspnea in Patients with Mild COPD and a Low Resting DLCO.

Patients with mild chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and lower resting diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide (DLCO) often report troublesome dyspnea during exercise although the mechanisms are not clear. We postulated that in such individuals, exertional dyspnea is linked to relatively high inspiratory neural drive (IND) due, in part, to the effects of reduced ventilatory efficiency. This cross-sectional study included 28 patients with GOLD I COPD stratified into two groups with (n = 15) and without (n = 13) DLCO less than the lower limit of normal (

The effect of radiographic emphysema in assessing lung cancer risk.

PURPOSE: Lung cancer risk models optimise screening by identifying subjects at highest risk, but none of them consider emphysema, a risk factor identifiable on baseline screen. Subjects with a negative baseline low-dose CT (LDCT) screen are at lower risk for subsequent diagnosis and may benefit from risk stratification prior to additional screening, thus we investigated the role of radiographic emphysema as an additional predictor of lung cancer diagnosis in participants with negative baseline LDCT screens of the National Lung Screening Trial. METHODS: Our cohorts consist of participants with a negative baseline (T0) LDCT screen (n=16 624) and participants who subsequently had a negative 1-year follow-up (T1) screen (n=14 530). Lung cancer risk scores were calculated using the Bach, PLCOm2012 and Liverpool Lung Project models. Risk of incident lung cancer diagnosis at the end of the study and number screened per incident lung cancer were compared between participants with and without radiographic emphysema. RESULTS: Radiographic emphysema was independently associated with nearly double the hazard of lung cancer diagnosis at both the second (T1) and third (T2) annual LDCT in all three risk models (HR range 1.9-2.0, p<0.001 for all comparisons). The number screened per incident lung cancer was considerably lower in participants with radiographic emphysema (62 vs 28 at T1 and 91 vs 40 at T2). CONCLUSION: Radiographic emphysema is an independent predictor of lung cancer diagnosis and may help guide decisions surrounding further screening for eligible patients.

5 protein-based signature for resectable lung squamous cell carcinoma improves the prognostic performance of the TNM staging.

INTRODUCTION: Prognostic biomarkers have been very elusive in the lung squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and none is currently being used in the clinical setting. We aimed to identify and validate the clinical utility of a protein-based prognostic signature to stratify patients with early lung SCC according to their risk of recurrence or death. METHODS: Patients were staged following the new International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer (IASLC) staging criteria (eighth edition, 2018). Three independent retrospective cohorts of 117, 96 and 105 patients with lung SCC were analysed to develop and validate a prognostic signature based on immunohistochemistry for five proteins. RESULTS: We identified a five protein-based signature whose prognostic index (PI) was an independent and significant predictor of disease-free survival (DFS) (p<0.001; HR=4.06, 95% CI 2.18 to 7.56) and overall survival (OS) (p=0.004; HR=2.38, 95% CI 1.32 to 4.31). The prognostic capability of PI was confirmed in an external multi-institutional cohort for DFS (p=0.042; HR=2.01, 95% CI 1.03 to 3.94) and for OS (p=0.031; HR=2.29, 95% CI 1.08 to 4.86). Moreover, PI added complementary information to the newly established IASLC TNM 8th edition staging system. A combined prognostic model including both molecular and anatomical (TNM) criteria improved the risk stratification in both cohorts (p<0.05). CONCLUSION: We have identified and validated a clinically feasible protein-based prognostic model that complements the updated TNM system allowing more accurate risk stratification. This signature may be used as an advantageous tool to improve the clinical management of the patients, allowing the reduction of lung SCC mortality through a more accurate knowledge of the patient's potential outcome.

Plasma metabolomics and clinical predictors of survival differences in COPD patients.

BACKGROUND: Plasma metabolomics profile (PMP) in COPD has been associated with clinical characteristics, but PMP's relationship to survival has not been reported. We determined PMP differences between patients with COPD who died an average of 2 years after enrollment (Non-survivors, NS) compared to those who survived (S) and also with age matched controls (C). METHODS: We studied prospectively 90 patients with severe COPD and 30 controls. NS were divided in discovery and validation cohorts (30 patients each) and the results compared to the PMP of 30 S and C. All participants completed lung function tests, dyspnea scores, quality of life, exercise capacity, BODE index, and plasma metabolomics by liquid and gas chromatography / mass spectometry (LC/MS, LC/MS2, GC/MS). Statistically, we used Random Forest Analysis (RFA) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) to determine metabolites that differentiated the 3 groups and compared the ability of metabolites vs. clinical characteristics to classify patients into survivors and non-survivors. RESULTS: There were 79 metabolites statistically different between S and NS [p < 0.05 and false discovery rate (q value) < 0.1]. RFA and SVM classification of COPD survivors and non-survivors had a predicted accuracy of 74 and 85% respectively. Elevation of tricyclic acid cycle intermediates branched amino acids depletion and increase in lactate, fructose and xylonate showed the most relevant differences between S vs. NS suggesting alteration in mitochondrial oxidative energy generation. PMP had similar predictive power for risk of death as information provided by clinical characteristics. CONCLUSIONS: A plasma metabolomic profile characterized by an oxidative energy production difference between survivors and non-survivors was observed in COPD patients 2 years before death.

Comparison of the 2017 and 2015 Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease Reports. Impact on Grouping and Outcomes.

RATIONALE: The Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) document has modified the grading system directing pharmacotherapy, but how this relates to the previous one from 2015 and to comorbidities, hospitalizations, and mortality risk is unknown. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to evaluate the changes in the GOLD groups from 2015 to 2017 and to assess the impact on severity, comorbidities, and mortality within each group. METHODS: We prospectively enrolled and followed, for a mean of 5 years, 819 patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (84% male) in clinics in Spain and the United States. We determined anthropometrics, lung function (FEV1%), dyspnea score (modified Medical Research Council scale), ambulatory and hospital exacerbations, and the body mass index, obstruction, dyspnea, and exercise capacity (BODE) and Charlson indexes. We classified patients by the 2015 and 2017 GOLD ABCD system, and compared the differential realignment of the same patients. We related the effect of the reclassification in BODE and Charlson distribution as well as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and all-cause mortality between the two classifications. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Compared with 2015, the 2017 grading decreased by half the proportion of patients in groups C and D (20.5% vs. 11.2% and 24.6% vs. 12.9%; P < 0.001). The distribution of Charlson also changed, whereas group D was higher than B in 2015, they become similar in the 2017 system. In 2017, the BODE index and risk of death were higher in B and D than in A and C. The mortality risk was better predicted by the 2015 than the 2017 system. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with 2015, the GOLD ABCD 2017 classification significantly shifts patients from grades C and D to categories A and B. The new grading system equalizes the Charlson comorbidity score in all groups and minimizes the differences in BODE between groups B and D, making the risk of death similar between them.

External Validation and Recalculation of the CODEX Index in COPD Patients. A 3CIAplus Cohort Study.

The CODEX index was developed and validated in patients hospitalized for COPD exacerbation to predict the risk of death and readmission within one year after discharge. Our study aimed to validate the CODEX index in a large external population of COPD patients with variable durations of follow-up. Additionally, we aimed to recalculate the thresholds of the CODEX index using the cutoffs of variables previously suggested in the 3CIA study (mCODEX). Individual data on 2,755 patients included in the COPD Cohorts Collaborative International Assessment Plus (3CIA+) were explored. A further two cohorts (ESMI AND EGARPOC-2) were added. To validate the CODEX index, the relationship between mortality and the CODEX index was assessed using cumulative/dynamic ROC curves at different follow-up periods, ranging from 3 months up to 10 years. Calibration was performed using univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models and Hosmer-Lemeshow test. A total of 3,321 (87.8% males) patients were included with a mean ± SD age of 66.9 ± 10.5 years, and a median follow-up of 1,064 days (IQR 25-75% 426-1643), totaling 11,190 person-years. The CODEX index was statistically associated with mortality in the short- (≤3 months), medium- (≤1 year) and long-term (10 years), with an area under the curve of 0.72, 0.70 and 0.76, respectively. The mCODEX index performed better in the medium-term (<1 year) than the original CODEX, and similarly in the long-term. In conclusion, CODEX and mCODEX index are good predictors of mortality in patients with COPD, regardless of disease severity or duration of follow-up.

Large-scale external validation and comparison of prognostic models: an application to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

BACKGROUND: External validations and comparisons of prognostic models or scores are a prerequisite for their use in routine clinical care but are lacking in most medical fields including chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Our aim was to externally validate and concurrently compare prognostic scores for 3-year all-cause mortality in mostly multimorbid patients with COPD. METHODS: We relied on 24 cohort studies of the COPD Cohorts Collaborative International Assessment consortium, corresponding to primary, secondary, and tertiary care in Europe, the Americas, and Japan. These studies include globally 15,762 patients with COPD (1871 deaths and 42,203 person years of follow-up). We used network meta-analysis adapted to multiple score comparison (MSC), following a frequentist two-stage approach; thus, we were able to compare all scores in a single analytical framework accounting for correlations among scores within cohorts. We assessed transitivity, heterogeneity, and inconsistency and provided a performance ranking of the prognostic scores. RESULTS: Depending on data availability, between two and nine prognostic scores could be calculated for each cohort. The BODE score (body mass index, airflow obstruction, dyspnea, and exercise capacity) had a median area under the curve (AUC) of 0.679 [1st quartile-3rd quartile = 0.655-0.733] across cohorts. The ADO score (age, dyspnea, and airflow obstruction) showed the best performance for predicting mortality (difference AUCADO - AUCBODE = 0.015 [95% confidence interval (CI) = -0.002 to 0.032]; p = 0.08) followed by the updated BODE (AUCBODE updated - AUCBODE = 0.008 [95% CI = -0.005 to +0.022]; p = 0.23). The assumption of transitivity was not violated. Heterogeneity across direct comparisons was small, and we did not identify any local or global inconsistency. CONCLUSIONS: Our analyses showed best discriminatory performance for the ADO and updated BODE scores in patients with COPD. A limitation to be addressed in future studies is the extension of MSC network meta-analysis to measures of calibration. MSC network meta-analysis can be applied to prognostic scores in any medical field to identify the best scores, possibly paving the way for stratified medicine, public health, and research.

Intraoperative Ultrasound-Guided Excision of Axillary Clip in Patients with Node-Positive Breast Cancer Treated with Neoadjuvant Therapy (ILINA Trial) : A New Tool to Guide the Excision of the Clipped Node After Neoadjuvant Treatment.

BACKGROUND: The accuracy of sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) after neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) has been improved with the placement of a clip in the positive node prior to treatment. Several methods have been described for clipped node excision during SLNB after NAT. We assessed the feasibility of intraoperative ultrasound (IOUS)-guided excision of the clipped node during SLNB and investigated whether the accuracy of SLNB is improved. METHODS: After approval by the Institutional Ethics Committee, all breast cancer patients undergoing NAT had an US-visible clip placed in the positive node. The ILINA trial consisted of IOUS-guided excision of the clipped node along with SLNB and axillary lymph node dissection (ALND). RESULTS: Forty-six patients had a clip placed in the positive node. In two (4.3%) cases, the clip could not be seen prior to surgery and the patient underwent ALND; however, the clipped node was successfully removed by IOUS-guided excision in 44 patients. Thirty-five patients (79.5%) underwent SLNB along with IOUS-guided excision of the clipped node and ALND, and were subsequently included in the ILINA trial. Nine patients were not included (five patients with SLNB only and four patients with ALND without SLNB). SLNB matched the clipped node in 27 (77%) patients. The false negative rate for the ILINA protocol was 4.1% (95% confidence interval 0.1-21.1%). CONCLUSIONS: IOUS-guided excision of the axillary clipped node after NAT was feasible, safe, and successful in 100% of cases. The ILINA trial is accurate in predicting axillary nodal status after NAT.

Long-term outcome of pulmonary vein isolation in patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation and Brugada syndrome.

Aims: The therapeutical management of atrial fibrillation (AF) in the setting of Brugada syndrome (BS) might be challenging as many antiarrhythmic drugs (AADs) with sodium channel blocking properties might lead to to the development of ventricular arrhythmias. This study sought to evaluate the clinical outcome in a consecutive series of patients with BS having undergone pulmonary vein (PV) isolation by means of radiofrequency (RF) or cryoballoon (CB) ablation and the efficacy of catheter ablation for preventing inappropriate interventions delivered by implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICD) on a 3-year follow up. Methods and results: Twenty-three consecutive patients with BS (13 males; mean age was 47 ± 18 years) having undergone PV isolation for drug-resistant paroxysmal AF were enrolled. Eleven patients (48%) had an ICD implanted of whom four had inappropriate shocks secondary to rapid AF. Over a mean follow-up period of 35.0 ± 25.4 months (median 36 months) the freedom from AF recurrence after the index PV isolation procedure was 74% without AADs. Patients with inappropriate ICD interventions for AF did not present futher ICD shocks after AF ablation. No major complications occurred. Conclusion: Catheter ablation is a valid therapeutic choice for patients with BS and paroxysmal AF considering the high success rates, the limitations of the AADs and the safety of the procedure, and it should be taken into consideration especially in those patients presenting inappropriate ICD shocks due to rapid AF.

The importance of symptoms in the longitudinal variability of clusters in COPD patients: A validation study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Cluster analysis has been utilized to explore phenotypic heterogeneity in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). To date, little is known about the longitudinal variability of clusters in COPD patients. We aimed to evaluate the 2-year cluster variability in stable COPD patients. METHODS: We evaluated the following variables in COPD patients at baseline and 2 years later: age, gender, pack-year history, body mass index (BMI), modified Medical Research Council (MMRC) scale, 6-min walking distance (6MWD), spirometry and COPD Assessment Test (CAT). Patient classification was performed using cluster analysis at baseline and 2 years later. Each patient's cluster variability after 2 years and its parameters associated with cluster change were explored. RESULTS: A total of 521 smokers with COPD were evaluated at baseline and 2 years later. Three different clusters were consistently identified at both evaluation times: cluster A (of younger age, mild airway limitation, few symptoms), cluster B (intermediate) and cluster C (of older age, severe airway limitation and highly symptomatic). Two years later, 70% of patients were unchanged, whereas 30% changed from one cluster to another: 20% from A to B; 15% from B to A; 15% from B to C; 42% from C to B and 8% from C to A. 6MWD, forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1 ) % and CAT were the principal parameters responsible for this change. CONCLUSION: After 2 years of follow-up, most of the COPD patients maintained their cluster assignment. Exercise tolerance, lung function and quality of life were the main driving parameters in those who change their cluster assignment.