A predictive mortality score in ANCA-associated renal vasculitis.

BACKGROUND: Several scores have been developed to predict mortality at ANCA-Associated Vasculitis (AAV) diagnosis. Their prognostic value in Caucasian patients with kidney involvement (AAV-GN) remains uncertain as none have been developed in this specific population. We aimed to propose a novel and more accurate score specific for them. METHODS: This multicentric study included patients diagnosed with AAV-GN since January 2000 in 4 nephrology Centers (recorded in the Maine-Anjou AAV-GN Registry). Existing scores and baseline characteristics were assessed at diagnosis before any therapeutic intervention. A multivariable analysis was performed to build a new predictive score for death. Its prognosis performance (AUROC and C-index) and accuracy (Brier score) was compared to existing scores. 185 patients with AAV-GN from the RENVAS registry were used as a validation cohort. RESULTS: 228 patients with AAV-GN from the Maine-Anjou registry were included to build the new score. It included the 4 components most associated with death: age, history of hypertension or cardiac disease, creatinine, and hemoglobin levels at diagnosis. 194 patients had all the data available to determine the performance of the new score and existing scores. The new score performed better than the previous ones in the development and in the validation cohort. Among the scores tested, only FFS (Five-Factor Score) and JVAS (Japanese Vasculitis Activity Score) had good performance in predicting death in AAV-GN. CONCLUSIONS: This original score, named DANGER (Death in ANCA Glomerulonephritis -Estimating the Risk), may be useful to predict the risk of death in AAV-GN patients. Validation in different populations is needed to clarify its role in assisting clinical decisions.

Association between kinetic of anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA), renal survival and relapse risk in ANCA glomerulonephritis.

BACKGROUND: Anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA) kinetic in ANCA-associated vasculitis with glomerulonephritis (AAV-GN) has been suggested to be associated with AAV relapse. Few studies have focused on its association with renal prognosis. Thus we aimed to investigate the relationship between ANCA specificity and the evolutive profile and renal outcomes. METHODS: This multicentric retrospective study included patients diagnosed with ANCA-GN since 1 January 2000. Patients without ANCA at diagnosis and with fewer than three ANCA determinations during follow-up were excluded. We analysed estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) variation, renal-free survival and relapse-free survival according to three ANCA profiles (negative, recurrent and persistent) and to ANCA specificity [myeloperoxidase (MPO) or proteinase 3 (PR3)]. RESULTS: Over a follow-up of 56 months [interquartile range (IQR) 34-101], a median of 19 (IQR 13-25) ANCA determinations were performed for the 134 included patients. Patients with a recurrent/persistent ANCA profile had a lower relapse-free survival (P = .019) and tended to have a lower renal survival (P = .053) compared with those with a negative ANCA profile. Patients with a recurrent/persistent MPO-ANCA profile had the shortest renal survival (P = .015) and those with a recurrent/persistent PR3-ANCA profile had the worst relapse-free survival (P = .013) compared with other profiles. The negative ANCA profile was associated with a greater eGFR recovery. In multivariate regression analysis, it was an independent predictor of a 2-fold increase in eGFR at 2 years [odds ratio 6.79 (95% confidence interval 1.78-31.4), P = .008]). CONCLUSION: ANCA kinetic after an ANCA-GN diagnosis is associated with outcomes. MPO-ANCA recurrence/persistence identifies patients with a lower potential of renal recovery and a higher risk of kidney failure, while PR3-ANCA recurrence/persistence identifies patients with a greater relapse risk. Thus ANCA kinetics may help identify patients with a smouldering disease.

Adding 6-month parameters for the prediction of kidney prognosis in ANCA-associated glomerulonephritis.

Background: Antineutrophil-cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)-associated vasculitis (AAV) with kidney involvement (AAV-GN) frequently evolves to end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) despite aggressive immunosuppressive treatment. Several risk scores have been used to assess renal prognosis. We aimed to determine whether kidney function and markers of AAV-GN activity after 6 months could improve the prediction of ESKD. Methods: This retrospective and observational study included adult patients with AAV-GN recruited from six French nephrology centers (including from the Maine-Anjou AAV registry). The primary outcome was kidney survival. Analyses were conducted in the whole population and in a sub-population that did not develop ESKD early in the course of the disease. Results: When considering the 102 patients with all data available at diagnosis, Berden classification and Renal Risk Score (RRS) were not found to be better than kidney function [estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)] alone at predicting ESKD (C-index = 0.70, 0.79, 0.82, respectively). Multivariables models did not indicate an improved prognostic value when compared with eGFR alone.When considering the 93 patients with all data available at 6 months, eGFR outperformed Berden classification and RRS (C-index = 0.88, 0.62, 0.69, respectively) to predict ESKD. RRS performed better when it was updated with the eGFR at 6 months instead of the baseline eGFR. While 6-month proteinuria was associated with ESKD and improved ESKD prediction, hematuria and serological remission did not. Conclusion: This work suggests the benefit of the reassessment of the kidney prognosis 6 months after AAV-GN diagnosis. Kidney function at this time remains the most reliable for predicting kidney outcome. Of the markers tested, persistent proteinuria at 6 months was the only one to slightly improve the prediction of ESKD.