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1.
Transp Res Part C Emerg Technol ; 129: 103218, 2021 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36313400

RESUMEN

The advent of COVID-19 is a sensible reminder of the vulnerability of our society to pandemics. We need to be better prepared for finding ways to stem such outbreaks. Except from social distancing and wearing face masks, restricting the movement of people is one important measure necessary to control the spread. Such decisions on the lock-down/reduction of movement should be made in an informed way and, accordingly, modeled as an optimization problem. We propose the Early-stage Transportation Lock-down and Quarantine Problem (TLQP), which can help to decide which parts of the transportation infrastructure of a country should be restricted in early stages. On top of the network-based Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) model, we establish a decision recommendation framework, which considers the lock-down of cross-border traffic, internal traffic, and movement inside individual populations. The combinatorial optimization problem aims to find the best set of actions which minimize the social cost of a lock-down. Given the inherent intractability of this problem, we develop a highly-efficient heuristic based on the Effective Distance (ED) path and the Cost-Effective Lazy Forward (CELF) algorithm. We perform and report experiments on the global spread of COVID-19 and show how individual countries may protect their population by taking appropriate measures against the threatening pandemic. We believe that our study contributes to the orchestration of measures for dealing with current and future epidemic outbreaks.

2.
Comput Intell Neurosci ; 2022: 2372575, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35669655

RESUMEN

The height of the cementing cement sheath of the conductor for offshore drilling is the key factor affecting wellhead stability. For the influence of the insufficient return height of cement slurry on the mechanical behavior of the conductor after running the conductor by shallow water exploration well drilling, the axial load distribution characteristics and bearing capacity mechanism of conductor were first analyzed from the perspective of operation characteristics of the drilling method. Second, a calculation model of axial bearing capacity of the conductor with the size of the conductor and the return height of cement slurry as variables was established on the basis of the hole enlargement that often occurs during drilling. In addition, the law of the influence of the return height of cement slurry on the ultimate bearing capacity of conductor and the strength difference of the two cementing surfaces between conductor and cement ring and between the cement sheath and submarine soil layer and its changing rules with time were explored and studied by field experiment. It was concluded that the friction between the cement sheath and the soil layer is the key factor that decides the main bearing capacity of the conductor.

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